Nicklas Myrthue Thorsen's research while affiliated with Statens Serum Institut and other places

The COVID-19 pandemic has led to an unprecedented demand for real-time surveillance data in order to inform critical decision makers regarding the management of the pandemic. The aim of this review is to describe how the Danish national microbiology database, MiBa, served as a cornerstone for providing data to the real-time survelliance system by linkage to other nationwide health registries. The surveillance system was established on an existing IT health infrastructure and a close network between clinical microbiologists, information technology experts and public health officials. In 2020, testing capacity for SARS-CoV-2 was ramped up from none to over 10,000 weekly PCR tests per 100,000 population. The crude incidence data mirrored this increase in testing. Real-time access to denominator data and patient registries enabled adjustments for fluctuations testing activity, providing robust data on crude SARS-CoV-2 incidence during the changing diagnostic and management strategies. The use of the same data for different purposes, e.g. final laboratory reports, information to the public, contact tracing, public health and science, has been a critical asset for the pandemic response.It has also raised issues concerning data protection and critical capacity of the underlying technical systems and key ressources. However, even with these limitations, the set-up has enabled decision makers to adopt timely interventions. The experiences from COVID-19 may motivate a transformation from traditional indicator based public health surveillance to an all-encompassing information system based on access to a comprehensive set of data sources, including diagnostic and reference microbiology.

Background: A growing body of evidence supports the safety of the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines. However, concerns about autonomic dysfunction syndromes and non-specific symptoms continue to linger. These conditions are not easily captured by traditional diagnostic classification schemes and call for innovative approaches to the study of vaccine safety which take more general measures of all-cause morbidity into account. Methods: Taking advantage of the unique Danish registers, including regional registration of absence from school, we conducted a cohort study of 14 068 adolescent Danish girls attending 5th through 9th grade in public schools in the municipality of Copenhagen during 1 August 2013-23 January 2018. We obtained time-varying HPV vaccination status and demographic information from nationwide registers. Using Poisson regression with random effects, we estimated rate ratios (RRs) of absence due to illness, comparing HPV-vaccinated girls with unvaccinated girls with adjustment for grade, season, calendar period, demographic factors and random effects at the individual, class and school levels. Results: Our study included 6 206 188 school days with 213 221 days of absence from school due to illness (absence rate, 3.4%). Comparing absence rates due to illness in HPV-vaccinated and unvaccinated girls yielded an adjusted RR of 1.00 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.98-1.03). Conclusions: Our study provides an important and novel contribution to HPV vaccine safety. Using absence from school records, we were able to address important safety concerns without relying on medical diagnoses. We conclude that HPV vaccination does not increase the risk of morbidity in any manner that manifests as absence from school due to illness.

Objective: To evaluate the association between quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccination and syndromes with autonomic dysfunction, such as chronic fatigue syndrome, complex regional pain syndrome, and postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome. Design: Population-based self-controlled case series. Setting: Information on human papillomavirus vaccinations and selected syndromes with autonomic dysfunction (chronic fatigue syndrome, complex regional pain syndrome, and postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome) identified using ICD-10 (international classification of diseases, revision 10) diagnostic codes from Danish nationwide registers. Participants: 869 patients with autonomic dysfunction syndromes from a cohort of 1 375 737 Danish born female participants aged 10 to 44 years during 2007-16. Main outcome measures: Self-controlled case series rate ratios (95% confidence intervals) of the composite outcome of chronic fatigue syndrome, complex regional pain syndrome, and postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome, adjusted for age and season, comparing female participants vaccinated and unvaccinated with the quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccine. Chronic fatigue syndrome, complex regional pain syndrome, and postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome were also considered separately in secondary analyses. Results: During 10 581 902 person years of follow-up, 869 female participants with syndromes of autonomic dysfunction (136 with chronic fatigue syndrome, 535 with complex regional pain syndrome, and 198 with postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome) were identified. Quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccination did not statistically significantly increase the rate of a composite outcome of all syndromes with autonomic dysfunction in a 365 day risk period following vaccination (rate ratio 0.99, 95% confidence interval 0.74 to 1.32) or the rate of any individual syndrome in the risk period (chronic fatigue syndrome (0.38, 0.13 to 1.09), complex regional pain syndrome (1.31, 0.91 to 1.90), or postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (0.86, 0.48 to 1.54)). Conclusions: When vaccination is introduced, adverse events could occur in close temporal relation to the vaccine purely by chance. These results do not support a causal association between quadrivalent human papillomavirus vaccination and chronic fatigue syndrome, complex regional pain syndrome, or postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome, either individually or as a composite outcome. An increased risk of up to 32% cannot be formally excluded, but the statistical power of the study suggests that a larger increase in the rate of any syndrome associated with vaccination is unlikely.

Background Suspected adverse events (AE) after human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines include postural orthostatic tachycardia syndrome (POTS), chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS), complex regional pain syndrome (CRPS) and symptoms including headache and orthostatic intolerance.AimWe aimed to identify phenotypes of AEs after HPV vaccination, defined as patterns of AE terms (signs, symptoms, diagnoses), and to evaluate if identified phenotypes reflected previously suspected symptomatology or heightened public concerns over HPV vaccine safety since 1 January 2015.Methods We conducted a retrospective observational study using latent class cluster analysis of all serious AE reports (n = 963) reported by females residing in Denmark between September 2009 and August 2017. Resulting clusters were characterised according to AE terms associated with POTS, CFS and CRPS before (September 2009-December 2014) and during (January 2015-August 2017) a time of heightened media activity regarding HPV vaccines.ResultsFour clusters of AE reports were distinguished. The most common symptoms were fatigue, dizziness and headache but their frequency varied among clusters. The majority of reports in one cluster were submitted during a period of heightened media activity, including an anomalous spike in submissions in December 2015; a high proportion of these reports included the symptoms cognitive disorder (78%), abdominal pain (77%), dysuria (60%) and sleep disorder (60%).Conclusions Non-specific symptoms including headache, fatigue and dizziness feature prominently in serious AE reports from females in Denmark. Our analysis identified a cluster of reports, likely media stimulated, with a focus on symptoms of CFS and POTS.