L. Bryan's research while affiliated with Chelsea and Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust and other places

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Publications (10)


Table 1 Percentage of people estimated to have coronary artery disease (CAD) according to typicality of symptoms, age, sex and risk factors 
Table 2 Characteristics of the patient groups
Table 3 Distribution of RACPC population according to age, sex and nature of chest pain 
Table 4 Distribution of patients with at least one MACE according to CAD likelihood 
Clinical outcomes when applying NICE guidance for the investigation of recent-onset chest pain to a rapid-access chest pain clinic population
  • Article
  • Full-text available

September 2014

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673 Reads

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16 Citations

Heart (British Cardiac Society)

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Nabeel Ahmed

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Objective To describe the clinical outcomes of patients for whom National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) recent-onset chest pain guidance would not have recommended further investigation, compared with those of patients where further investigation would have been recommended. Methods 557 consecutive patients with recent-onset chest pain attending rapid-access chest pain clinics (RACPC) in two district general hospitals over a 9-month period were retrospectively reviewed. Likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD) was calculated according to NICE-defined modified Diamond–Forrester criteria. Patients were categorised into those for whom NICE guidelines recommend (NICE-Y) and do not recommend (NICE-N) further investigation. Main outcome measures were subsequent diagnosis of significant CAD and major adverse cardiac events (MACE) at 6 months. Results 187/557 (33.6%) patients comprised NICE-Y group, with 370/557 (66.4%) in NICE-N group. 360/370 (97.3%) of NICE-N group would have been excluded from further investigation due to non-anginal chest pain. Of 92/557 (16.5%) patients subsequently diagnosed with significant CAD, 35/557 (9.5%) were from NICE-N group versus 57/557 (30.5%, p<0.0001) from NICE-Y group. Of 11 patients experiencing at least one MACE, 7/557 (1.9%) were from NICE-N group, versus 4/557 (2.1%, p=1.000) from NICE-Y group. Conclusions The rigid application of NICE chest pain guidance to a RACPC population may result in up to two-thirds of patients being excluded from further cardiac investigation. Potentially, up to 10% of these patients may subsequently be diagnosed with significant CAD, with up to 2% potentially experiencing a major adverse cardiac event.

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139 Clinical outcomes of patients excluded from cardiac investigation in the NICE guidelines for chest pain of recent onset

May 2012

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13 Reads

Heart (British Cardiac Society)

Introduction NICE guidance for the investigation of chest pain of recent onset1 recommends clinical assessment and risk stratification within a diagnostic algorithm. Patients with pain considered “non-anginal”, and those with atypical/typical anginal pain but a likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD) <10% are not routinely recommended for cardiac investigation. This study sought to assess whether clinical outcomes support these patients being considered at low risk of CAD. Methods 557 consecutive patients (50.4% male; median age 55 yrs) attending rapid access chest pain clinics (RACPC) at two hospitals were risk stratified using NICE criteria. Frequency of admission with suspected angina, diagnosis of CAD and incidence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE: myocardial infarction (MI), cerebrovascular accident (CVA), emergency revascularisation or cardiac-related death) were compared for all risk categories at 6 months. Results Of 360/557 patients with “non-anginal” pain, 14 (3.9%) were subsequently admitted with angina, 34 (9.4%) were diagnosed with CAD, 3 (0.8%) with MI and 2 (0.6%) with CVA. This group accounted for 36.9% of all patients diagnosed with CAD and 38.5% of all patients with MACE. Of 10/557 patients with atypical/typical anginal pain and a likelihood of CAD <10%, 1 (10%) was diagnosed with CAD. None were admitted with angina or diagnosed with MACE. This group accounted for 1.1% of all patients diagnosed with CAD. Conclusions This study suggests one in ten patients routinely excluded from cardiac investigation by the NICE algorithm have CAD and just over one in a hundred of them have a MACE episode. Although these patients are considered low risk, they account for one third of adverse cardiac events in patients attending RACPC.


RE: Letter to the Editor regarding 'The effect of applying NICE guidelines for the investigation of stable chest pain on out-patient cardiac services in the UK'

December 2011

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35 Reads

QJM: monthly journal of the Association of Physicians

ARTICLE Sir, We thank George and Chattopadhyay for their detailed appraisal1 of our recent paper,2 and we note with interest their extensive references to our data in their recent publication.3 While they raise some interesting issues, we dispute a number of their assertions. To address their points in turn: 1. The study determines the likelihood of CAD in all subjects, at odds with guidance. We agree that it would have been ideal to exclude patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD) from further assessment in our study; however, the reasons for not doing so were multiple and compelling. The foremost issue was how to define CAD to generate an appropriate exclusion criterion. Traditionally, significant CAD has been defined by a history of myocardial infarction, ‘positive’ angiography or coronary revascularization. With advancing biomarker technology (e.g. highly sensitive troponin) and radiological techniques (e.g. cardiac computed tomography), detection of early CAD may now precede the development of symptoms and there is debate as to the implications of these occult findings. Enhanced diagnostic sensitivity for ischemic myocardial injury may also come at the expense of specificity, especially …


Early Warning systems in the UK: Variation in content and implementation strategy has implications for a NHS early warning system

October 2011

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596 Reads

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57 Citations

Clinical medicine (London, England)

The Royal College of Physicians report Acute medical care: the right person, in the right setting--first time advocates the introduction of a standardised NHS Early Warning Score (NEWS). Recommendations for the optimum scoring system have been released by NHS Quality Improvement Scotland (NHS QIS) and the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE). This study reviewed clinical practice in London and Scotland against national guidelines. All hospitals responsible for acute medical admissions completed a telephone survey (n = 25 London; n = 23 Scotland). All used an early warning system at point of entry to care. Eleven different systems were used in London and five in Scotland. Forty per cent of London hospitals and 70% of Scottish hospitals incorporated the minimum data set recommended by NICE. Overall, Scotland was closer to achieving standardisation. If NEWS is implemented, consideration of the NHS QIS approach may support a more consistent response.


The feasibility of nurse-led assessment in acute chest pain admissions by means of coronary computed tomography

July 2011

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64 Reads

European Journal of Cardiovascular Nursing

Background: Cardiac computed tomography (CCT) is a non-invasive imaging technique for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD). The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) recommend CCT for selected patients in the assessment of chest pain of recent onset. Aims: To assess the feasibility and utility of CCT in a nurse-led, protocol-based assessment of chest pain. Methods: Patients admitted over 4 months with suspected angina were assessed for eligibility for CCT by a specialist nurse. Eligibility was defined by: a likelihood of CAD < 90%, no features of acute coronary syndrome, no contra-indications to the scanning process, and the ability to give written consent. An age and sex-matched historical cohort (for whom CCT was unavailable) was compared with the CCT cohort with regard to the diagnosis or exclusion of CAD at 3 months post-discharge from hospital. Results: Of 198 patients admitted, 98 were identified as eligible for CCT. Of these, 37 were recommended for alternative management on cardiologist review, 18 declined consent, 23 were unable to be scanned within 24 h prior to discharge and 14 underwent CCT. CAD was diagnosed or excluded in 14/14 patients undergoing CCT. CAD was diagnosed or excluded in 11/14 patients investigated without CCT, leaving 3/14 patients with no clear diagnosis. Conclusion: This study suggests nurses may be trained to assess patients for CCT within agreed protocols. In the UK it is likely these protocols will be based on NICE guidance. Despite potential diagnostic utility, CCT appears likely to form a small percentage of cardiac investigations undertaken.


THE IMPACT OF NICE GUIDELINES FOR THE INVESTIGATION OF CHEST PAIN ON OUTPATIENT CARDIOLOGY SERVICES IN THE UK

June 2011

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12 Reads

Heart (British Cardiac Society)

IntroductionThe National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) have released guidelines for the investigation of chest pain of recent onset (1). There is concern that the guidelines will increase the burden on cardiac imaging, requiring service reconfiguration and investment (2, 3). This study was performed to assess the impact of the guidelines on outpatient cardiology services in the UK.Methods595 consecutive patients attending chest pain clinics at two hospitals over six months preceding release of the NICE guidelines (51% male; median age 55 yrs (range 22–94 yrs)) were risk stratified using NICE criteria. Preliminary cardiac investigations recommended by NICE were compared with existing clinical practice and the relative costs calculated.ResultsNICE would have recommended 443 patients (74%) for discharge without cardiac investigation, 10 (2%) for cardiac computed tomography (CCT), 69 (12%) for functional cardiac imaging and 73 (12%) for invasive coronary angiography (ICA). Relative to existing practice there would have been a trend towards reduced functional cardiac imaging (−24%; p=0.06) and increased CCT (+43%; p=0.436) but a significant increase in ICA (+508%; p




Figure 2. Number of patients undergoing preliminary cardiac investigations.  
Table 2 Population demographics for patients attending CWH and EH RACPCs
Table 4 Preliminary cardiac investigations undertaken (pre-NICE) compared with those recommended by NICE
The effect of applying NICE guidelines for the investigation of stable chest pain on out-patient cardiac services in the UK

February 2011

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69 Reads

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24 Citations

QJM: monthly journal of the Association of Physicians

The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) recently released guidelines for the investigation of chest pain of recent onset. There is no published data regarding their impact on out-patient cardiac services. This study was undertaken to assess the likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD) in Rapid Access Chest Pain Clinic (RACPC) patients and the resultant investigation burden if NICE guidance was applied. Five hundred and ninety-five consecutive patients attending two RACPCs over 6 months preceding release of the NICE guidelines [51% male; median age 55 (range 22-94) years] were risk stratified using NICE criteria and the resultant investigations evaluated. One hundred and six (18%) patients had a likelihood of CAD <10%, 123 (21%) between 10% and 29%, 175 (29%) between 30% and 60%, 141 (24%) between 61% and 90% and 50 (8%) >90%. NICE would have recommended 443 (74%) patients for no cardiac investigation, 10 (2%) for cardiac computed tomography (CCT), 69 (12%) for functional cardiac testing and 73 (12%) for invasive angiography. Relative to existing practice, there would have been a trend towards reduced functional cardiac testing (-24%, P = 0.06), no significant change in CCT (43%, P = 0.436) and a significant increase in invasive angiography (508%, P < 0.001). The cost of investigations recommended by NICE would have been £15,881 greater than existing practice. This study suggests patients attending RACPC will have a greater likelihood of CAD than predicted by NICE. Differences between recommended investigations and existing practice will guide investment in cardiac services. Individual hospitals should assess their RACPC cohorts prior to implementing the NICE guidelines.


Table 1 Study population demographics (n = 198) 
Table 2 Distribution of study population based on age, sex and typicality of angina symptoms 
The consequences of applying NICE chest pain guidelines to an acute medical population: A role for cardiac computed tomography

December 2010

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31 Reads

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4 Citations

QJM: monthly journal of the Association of Physicians

Cardiac computed tomography (CCT) is a well-validated investigation for the non-invasive assessment of coronary artery disease (CAD). The National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) have recently released guidelines incorporating CCT into the diagnostic algorithm for chest pain of recent onset. To assess the frequency of eligibility for CCT in medical admissions with suspected cardiac chest pain using criteria defined by NICE. A retrospective, observational study, set in a teaching hospital acute medical unit. A total of 198 consecutive patients admitted over a 4-month period with suspected cardiac chest pain (57% male; mean age 63.5 years) were assessed for eligibility for CCT based on NICE guideline criteria. Of the 198 patients admitted, 65 (33%) patients were excluded by a raised troponin I or ischaemic ECG changes; 100 (51%) patients were excluded by pain categorized as non-anginal and 171 (86%) patients were excluded by a modified Diamond Forrester score outside the range 10-29%. Applying NICE criteria to this population ultimately resulted in 2 (1%) patients recommended for CCT, 12 (6%) for functional cardiac testing and 17 (9%) for invasive angiography. Applying current NICE guidelines for chest pain of recent onset to medical admissions results in a lesser uptake of CCT than functional testing and invasive angiography. If the NICE guidelines are revised to include patients with an intermediate pre-test probability of CAD, CCT may have a greater role.

Citations (4)


... In 2010, the National Institute of Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) in the United Kingdom provided guidelines for more cost effective imaging techniques, and recommended CaSc as a first line investigation in patients with low pre-test likelihood (PTL) of CAD (10-29%) with CTCA to be performed on those with a CaSc between 1 and 400 [30]. The appropriateness of CaSc as a first line test was questioned by the UK's Royal College of Radiologists, who considered it to be a limited anatomical assessment, and because the evidence for CaSc was based on asymptomatic, not symptomatic patients [24]. The guidelines have evolved since, and in the 2016 NICE update, it was stipulated after assessment, that the low cost and high sensitivity of cardiac CT is to instead be used as the first line assessment for patients presenting with chest pain due to suspected coronary artery disease [21]. ...

Reference:

Is PMCT-calculated coronary artery calcium score (PMCT CaSc) a predictor of sudden death due to coronary ischaemia in younger persons i.e. males <50 years of age and females <60 years of age?
Clinical outcomes when applying NICE guidance for the investigation of recent-onset chest pain to a rapid-access chest pain clinic population

Heart (British Cardiac Society)

... Variabel struktur organisasi memiliki hubungan paling kuat terhadap penggunaan EWS di RS (Hidayat et al., 2020a). Pelatihan berkelanjutan, perubahan perilaku, dan perubahan budaya oleh profesional dan organisasi perawatan kesehatan perlu dilakukan untuk memastikan kepatuhan dengan protokol EWS (Patterson et al., 2011). ...

Early Warning systems in the UK: Variation in content and implementation strategy has implications for a NHS early warning system

Clinical medicine (London, England)

... Namely, that despite revisions, risk models continue to both over-and underestimate disease prevalence (9,(33)(34)(35)(36)(37)(38) the diagnosis of CAD, these principally relate to suboptimal specificity and a tendency to overestimate stenosis severity. In contrast, the very high diagnostic sensitivity offered by CCTA provides necessary reassurance regarding the ability of all strategies to exclude significant CAD. ...

The effect of applying NICE guidelines for the investigation of stable chest pain on out-patient cardiac services in the UK

QJM: monthly journal of the Association of Physicians

... There is emerging evidence that extending CT calcium scoring to patients with low and intermediate pretest probability of CAD, in addition to (but not in place of ) clinical assessment could also improve CAD prediction. 8 25 26 The availability of this test to RACPC clinicians, although increasing, is still variable. ...

The consequences of applying NICE chest pain guidelines to an acute medical population: A role for cardiac computed tomography

QJM: monthly journal of the Association of Physicians