Jun Xia's research while affiliated with Wuhan University and other places

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Publications (34)


Urban flood assessment framework under different rainfall characteristics and infiltration capacities
Location map of the study area
Generalization and land use of the study area
Design rainfall processes under different return periods
Comparison of waterlogging risk maps under different rainfall peak coefficients under P = 50a

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Influence of rainfall pattern and infiltration capacity on the spatial and temporal inundation characteristics of urban waterlogging
  • Article
  • Publisher preview available

January 2024

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37 Reads

Environmental Science and Pollution Research

Yishuo Jiang

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Jiake Li

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Yiping Li

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[...]

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Jun Xia

The rapid development of the city leads to the continuous updating of the land use allocation ratio, particularly during the flood season, which will exacerbate the significant changes in the spatial and temporal patterns of urban flooding, increasing the difficulty of urban flood forecasting and early warning. In this study, the spatial and temporal evolution of flooding in a high-density urban area was analyzed based on the Mike Flood model, and the influence mechanisms of different rainfall peak locations and infiltration rate scenarios on the spatial and temporal characteristics of urban waterlogging were explored. The results revealed that under the same return period, the larger the rainfall peak coefficient, the larger the peak value of inundation volume and inundation area. When the rainfall peak coefficient is small, the higher the return period is, and the larger the peak lag time of the inundation volume is, in which P = 50a, r = 0.2, the peak lag time of the inundation volume reached 32 min and 45 min for the inundation depths H > 0.03 m and H > 0.15 m, respectively. There are also significant differences in the peak lag time of waterlogging inundation volume for different inundation depths. The greater the inundation depth, the longer the peak lag time of the inundation volume, and the higher the return period, the more significant the effect of lag time prolongation. It is worth noting that the increase in infiltration rate may lead to an advance in the peak time of inundation volume and inundation area, and the peak time of the inundation area is overall more obvious than that of inundation volume. The effect of infiltration rate on the peak time of inundation volume for larger inundation depths was relatively large; the peak times of inundation volume and inundation area were advanced by 4–6 min and 4–8 min for H > 0.03 m and H > 0.15 m, respectively, after the increase in infiltration rate, and the higher the rainfall return period, the longer the advance time. The spatial and temporal characteristics of waterlogging under different peak rainfall locations and infiltration capacities obtained in this study can help provide a new perspective for temporal forecasting and warning of urban waterlogging.

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Figure 3
Influence of rainfall pattern and infiltration capacity on the spatial and temporal inundation characteristics of urban waterlogging

November 2023

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19 Reads

The rapid development of the city leads to the continuous updating of the ratio of land use allocation, especially during the flood season, which will exacerbate the significant changes in the spatial and temporal patterns of urban flooding, increasing the difficulty of urban flood forecasting and early warning. In this study, the spatial and temporal evolution of flooding in a high-density urban area was analyzed based on the Mike Flood model, and the influence mechanisms of different rainfall peak locations and infiltration rate scenarios on the spatial and temporal characteristics of urban waterlogging were explored. The results revealed that under the same return period, the larger the rainfall peak coefficient, the larger the peak value of inundation volume and inundation area. When the rainfall peak coefficient is small, the higher the return period is, and the larger the peak lag time of the inundation volume is, in which P = 50a, r = 0.2, the delay time of the inundation volume for the inundation depths H > 0.03 m and H > 0.15 m reached 32 min and 45 min, respectively, At the same time, there are also significant differences in the peak lag time of waterlogging inundation volume in different inundation depths. The greater the inundation depth, the longer the peak lag time of waterlogging inundation volume, and the higher the return period, the more significant the effect of lag time prolongation. It is worth noting that the increase in infiltration rate will lead to the advance of the peak time of inundation volume and inundation area, and the peak time of the inundation area is overall more obvious than that of inundation volume. The peak times of inundation volume and inundation area were advanced by 4 ~ 8 min and − 2 ~ 9 min for H > 0.03 m and H > 0.15 m, respectively, after the increase in infiltration rate; and the higher the return period, the smaller the rainfall peak coefficient and the longer the advance time. The spatial and temporal characteristics of waterlogging under different peak rainfall locations and infiltration capacities obtained in this study can help provide a new perspective for temporal forecasting and warning of urban waterlogging.


Evaluating the driving forces of spectral inversion methods used for assessing water quality parameters in Poyang Lake, China

August 2023

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29 Reads

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1 Citation

Ecohydrology

Water quality parameters are key indicators of quality of water and can indicate the algal biomass and eutrophication in lakes. Therefore, this study spectrally inverted and evaluated the water quality of the Poyang Lake in China by analysing the differences between the measured water quality parameters and the observed image spectra of Sentinel‐2 remote sensing. This analysis was done using statistical regression models (SRMs) and various machine learning models (e.g., support vector machine [SVM] and random forest [RF]). The following major conclusions were drawn: (1) nutrients accumulated more in summer (June–August) than in winter (December–February). For example, in local areas of the main river, total nitrogen (TN) concentration reached 3.4 mg/L in summer of 2016, whereas total phosphorus (TP) concentrations were below 0.052 mg/L in winters of 2016 and 2017. (2) The three models, SRM, RF and SVM, achieved good results in the inversions of Secchi depth and permanganate index. However, differences were noted in the inversions of other parameters. For example, the goodness‐of‐fit ( r ² ) between the inversion and measured values of TN concentration from RF was 0.81, while that from SR was 0.73. (3) The spatial distribution patterns of the water quality parameters showed differences. The ammoniacal nitrogen concentration was higher in the central region than that in the western region of the lake, whereas TP concentration was higher at the shoreline of the lake at 0.07 mg/L on 2 April 2017 but was relatively low in the main channel.


Statistics of storm events used to calibrate and validate the SWMM and DTVGM-SWMM.
Values of options and main calibrated parameters for the storm water management model.
Statistics of calibrated parameters of distributed time variant gain model for all subcatchments.
Depths and peak flow rates of runoff and outflow simulated by storm water management model and the coupling model under four storm events.
Coupling a Distributed Time Variant Gain Model into a Storm Water Management Model to Simulate Runoffs in a Sponge City

February 2023

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138 Reads

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4 Citations

Sustainability

The storm water management model (SWMM) has been used extensively to plan, implement, control, and evaluate low impact development facilities and other drainage systems to solve storm-related problems in sponge cities. However, the calibration of SWMM involves a variety of sensitive parameters and may bring significant uncertainties. Here we incorporated the distributed time variant gain model (DTVGM), a model with a simple structure and few parameters, into the SWMM (called DTVGM-SWMM) to reduce the complexity but keep the mechanistic representation of the hydrological process. The DTVGM runoff module parameters were calibrated and validated using the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), based on measured data and the results of SWMM. It was then coupled with the SWMM routing module to estimate catchment runoffs and outflows. Finally, the performance was evaluated using NSE (0.57~0.94), relative errors of the flow depth (−7.59~19.79%), and peak flow rate (−33.68~54.37%) under different storm events. These implied that the DTVGM-SWMM simulations were generally consistent with those of the control group, but underperformed in simulating peak flows. Overall, the proposed framework could reasonably estimate the runoff, especially the outflow process in the urban catchment. This study provides a simple and reliable method for urban stormwater simulation.


Evolutionary Characteristics of Runoff in a Changing Environment: A Case Study of Dawen River, China

February 2023

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31 Reads

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2 Citations

Water

Watershed water cycles undergo profound changes under changing environments. Analyses of runoff evolution characteristics are fundamental to our understanding of the evolution of water cycles under changing environments. In this study, linear regression, moving average, Mann–Kendall, Pettitt, accumulative anomaly, STARS, wavelet analysis, and CEEMDAN methods were used to analyze the trends, mutations, and periodic and intrinsic dynamic patterns of runoff evolution using long-term historical data. The intra-annual distribution of runoff in the Dawen River Basin was uneven, with an overall decreasing trend and mutations in 1975–1976. The main periods of runoff were 1.9 and 2.2 years, and the strongest oscillations in the study period occurred in 1978–1983. The runoff decomposition high-frequency term (intra-annual fluctuation term) had a stronger fluctuation frequency, with a period of 0.51–0.55 years, while the low-frequency term (interannual fluctuation term) had a period of 1.55–2.26 years. The trend term for the runoff decomposition tended to decrease throughout the monitoring period and gradually stabilized at the end of the monitoring period, while the period gradually decreased from upstream to downstream. In summary, we used multiple methods to analyze the evolutionary characteristics of runoff, which are of great relevance to the adaptive management of water resources under changing environments.



Developing socio-hydrology: Research progress, opportunities and challenges

November 2022

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101 Reads

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4 Citations

Journal of Geographical Sciences

The development of industrialization and urbanization has intensified the coupling of human activities and hydrological processes and promoted the emergence of socio-hydrology. This paper addresses the issue of socio-hydrology due to new development and social demand for hydrological sciences and sustainable development. Four key scientific issues are identified through systematic analysis and summary of the relative research and international progress, i.e., (1) the long-term dynamic process of socio-hydrological system evolution; (2) quantitative description and driving mechanism analysis of socio-hydrological coupling system; (3) prediction of the trajectories of socio-hydrological system co-evolution, and (4) integrated water resource management from the perspective of water systems. Moreover, opportunities and challenges for developing socio-hydrology are emphasized, including (1) strengthening the research of interdisciplinary theoretical systems; (2) improving and broadening socio-hydrological research technical methods, and (3) supporting integrated water resources management (IWRM) for sustainable utilization goals (SDGs). The review is expected to provide a reference for the future development of socio-hydrology discipline.


Surrogate-based multiobjective optimization to rapidly size low impact development practices for outflow capture

November 2022

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34 Reads

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8 Citations

Journal of Hydrology

The optimal implementation of low impact development (LID) practices remains an open research issue. Multiobjective optimization (MOO) based on physically-based models facilitates LID sizing but requires large computational budgets. We developed and validated a surrogate MOO framework based on machine learning (ML) models to obtain satisfactory optimal solutions with an affordable computational cost. First, a calibrated and validated storm water management model (SWMM) was driven by a 2-year, 120 min Chicago pattern storm with random LID areas for generating 10000 samples. Second, ML models, including multiple linear regression (MLR), generalized regression neural network (GRNN), and backpropagation neural network (BPNN), were trained and validated to predict catchment total outflow (CTO) and catchment peak outflow (CPO). Third, using the outperformed ML models as surrogates, the LID areas were optimized by non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II to minimize construction costs, CTO, and CPO. The results obtained for an urban catchment in Fengxi, China, demonstrated that: (1) BPNN outperformed MLR and GRNN in terms of accuracy, while the training time (∼40 min) was ∼6857 times and ∼706 times that of MLR (∼0.35 s) and GRNN (3.4 s) models, respectively. (2) The optimization process using BPNN models as surrogates converged well, indicating the efficiency of the proposed framework. (3) Under the marginal effect, the permeable pavement was identified as the leading practice for most Pareto solutions, followed by bioretention cell and green roof. Moreover, a subcatchment with a higher runoff coefficient was deemed preferable for LID implementation. (4) Outflow reduction by the LIDs was significant (CTO and CPO were reduced by 28.6–56.9 % and 27.5–48.3 %, respectively) but negligible for retarding the time of CPO. (5) The optimization time was reduced by ∼95.82% using the surrogate-based MOO instead of the SWMM-based model when the training time of the BPNN models was ignored. This study provides insights into the efficient optimization of LIDs.


Study on LID Facilities Comprehensive Effect Evaluation: A case in Campus

April 2022

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28 Reads

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5 Citations

Ecohydrology & Hydrobiology

The campus is facing the problems of waterlogging and runoff pollution. To mitigate these phenomena, this study constructs a SWMM model using a campus as the study area. The reduction effects of runoff volume and pollutant load under four LID facility combination scenarios were simulated. Eleven evaluation indicators were selected from environmental, economic and social aspects, and the weights of each indicator were calculated by applying the CRITIC method. The relative percentage of different rainfall recurrence periods under the same evaluation indicator was obtained. The composite index method is used to calculate the composite index for each scenario. The combination of rain garden, permeable pavement, bioretention and green roof is determined as the optimal scenario. The Fuzzy pattern recognition method is used to select three representative rainfall events and simulate the reduction effect of runoff volume and pollutant load under four scenarios to further verify the optimal scenario. The results show that the reduction rates of runoff volume and pollutant load under scenario 4 are 2.7%, 4.2% and 4.7% higher than those under scenarios 1, 2 and 3. Based on the above study, the optimal LID facility combination selected in this paper will provide a reference for the construction of sponge facilities similar to this study area.


Citations (27)


... Observational data indicate precipitation has not reduced much in recent years; however, the annual runoff and flood peak flow have declined. The Distributed Time Varying Gain Hydrologic Model (DTVGM) is widely used in runoff simulation Yang et al. 2023;Yu et al. 2023), and it can simulate the spatial and temporal distribution of hydrologic processes in a watershed. Consequently, this paper aims to examine the changes in rainstorms and floods in the Kuye River basin over the past 60 years and determine the characteristics of long-term changes in rainstorms and floods at the regional scale. ...

Reference:

Rainstorm and flooding characteristics and simulated analysis in the Loess Plateau, China
Coupling a Distributed Time Variant Gain Model into a Storm Water Management Model to Simulate Runoffs in a Sponge City

Sustainability

... The first two addressed uncertainty through adoption of LR-type fuzzy numbers, and Me-measure fuzzy chance-constrained programming, respectively, whilst (Ren et al., 2022) introduced objectives quantifying long-term life cycle. A notable paper was recently published by Yang et al. (2023) who used surrogate neural network models to leverage computational burden of storm water management models in multiobjective optimization applications. It is likely that in the near future, more researchers will adopt such approaches, especially in combination with explainable deep learning techniques (Ras et al., 2020) in order to keep computation within feasible time bounds whilst, at the same time, addressing problem of greater scale. ...

Surrogate-based multiobjective optimization to rapidly size low impact development practices for outflow capture
  • Citing Article
  • November 2022

Journal of Hydrology

... The discipline of socio-hydrology holds great potential in the field of water resource management, as it seeks to uncover the complex interplay and reciprocal influences between natural systems and human activities, with the ultimate goal of promoting sustainable water usage (Vanelli and Kobiyama 2020). Socio-hydrology endeavors to observe, comprehend, and forecast the dynamic interrelationships and interdependence between water and humans (Xia et al. 2022). ...

Developing socio-hydrology: Research progress, opportunities and challenges
  • Citing Article
  • November 2022

Journal of Geographical Sciences

... Em simulações computacionais, a implantação de jardins de chuva em uma bacia é capaz de reduzir de 11 a 20% o escoamento superficial da bacia durante períodos de chuvas (Kaykhosravi et al., 2022;Liu et al., 2022). ...

Study on LID Facilities Comprehensive Effect Evaluation: A case in Campus
  • Citing Article
  • April 2022

Ecohydrology & Hydrobiology

... Against the backdrop of high-quality development of urban and rural living environments today, China's urbanization rate has increased from 17.92% to 66.16% [1,2] over the 55 years from 1978 to 2023, with an average annual increase of 0.88%. The urban population has rapidly expanded, with nearly half of the population concentrated in cities, causing the initially developed old urban areas to face various "urban diseases" [3], and residents' physical and mental health issues have gradually emerged from the shadow of urban physical space development. ...

Spatial-temporal variation and nonlinear prediction of environmental footprints and comprehensive environmental pressure in urban agglomerations
  • Citing Article
  • March 2022

Journal of Cleaner Production

... It has typical extreme dryness and anomalous temperature variations. The average annual sunshine ranges from 2556.3 to 2991.8 h, The average annual precipitation from 40.1 to 82.5 mm, and the average annual evaporation from 1876.6 to 2558.9 mm [20] . The total irrigated area of the study area is 170kha, and the cultivated area reaches 1740 square kilometers ...

Effects of climate change on major elements of the hydrological cycle in Aksu River basin, northwest China
International Journal of Climatology

International Journal of Climatology

... Throughout the study period, the average rainfall threshold across all regions was 44.5 mm day −1 , classifying it as heavy rain according to the precipitation categorization established by the China Meteorological Administration. This definition method was also widely adopted by numerous scholars 21,[75][76][77] . ...

Dominant change pattern of extreme precipitation and its potential causes in Shandong Province, China

Scientific Reports

... Ecological carrying capacity (ECC) reflects the ability of social and economic sustainable development under the condition of ensuring reasonable exploitation of natural resources and virtuous circulation of ecological environment in essence (Wei et al., 2020;. Scientific evaluation of ECC plays an important role in improving carrying capacity of ecosystems and coordinating the relationship between protection and development (Yang Y. et al., 2022). The construct ecological security pattern (ESP) construction is a specific measure taken to achieve various ecological protection goal, which provides an efficient spatial planning approach to improve ecological carrying capacity and alleviate the contradiction between ecological protection and economic development Ding et al., 2022). ...

Ecological sustainability and its driving factor of urban agglomerations in the Yangtze River Economic Belt based on three-dimensional ecological footprint analysis
  • Citing Article
  • November 2021

Journal of Cleaner Production

... For the affluence indicator, provinces with higher GDP tend to have more advanced industrial structures. On one hand, local fiscal dependence on agricultural trade revenue decreases, and on the other hand, these provinces often have more intensive land use and better-developed industries, which can reduce ESV transfer to some extent (Chen et al., 2022). Comparatively, the population size has a greater impact on ESV transfer than GDP. ...

Spatial-temporal collaborative relation among ecological footprint depth/size and economic development in Chengyu urban agglomeration
  • Citing Article
  • November 2021

The Science of The Total Environment

... The state of safeguarding and repairing the shorelines of the Yangtze River is still critical [33][34][35]. Most scholars, both at home and abroad, have analyzed and evaluated the EEQ of the YRB, but less attention has been paid to the driving factors affecting regional EEQ, and studies that use Point of Interest (POI) data as a driving factor to analyze EEQ are relatively rare [36] [-] [38]. At the same time, one of the study's breakthroughs is the combination of land cover status and RSEI analysis. ...

Research and Analysis of Ecological Environment Quality in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River Basin between 2000 and 2019