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HLA-B27 is known for its strong association with inflammatory spondyloarthropathies (SpA), a group of rheumatic diseases. Apart from playing its role in the onset of these inflammatory diseases, HLA-827 is so ubiquitous in the world that the carrying of this gene must have also have an advantage. There are some indications that a beneficial effect can be found as a less severe course of viral infections among B27-carriers. The literature on this subject was reviewed and revealed a favorable course of infection with influenza virus, herpes simplex type 2 virus, Epstein-Barr virus and, even more interesting, a protective effect of HLA-B27 in the progression of HIV infections. The course of HIV infection differs among individuals and is thought to be partly related to host-factor variability, reflecting broad genetic heterogeneity. The polymorphic human leukocyte antigens (HLA) are herein analyzed intensively with respect to this relationship. Cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) responses, activated by HLA antigen presentation, are implicated in the control of HIV replication. An immunological explanation for the protective role for HLA B27 in HIV disease is that B27+ patients have a specific and strong CTL response against the p24 epitope, a conservative HIV protein that does not easily mutate. Some HLA genes seen in long-term non-progressors (LTNP) (>10 years disease free) are associated with a favorable prognosis. One of the alleles found predominantly in LTNPs is HLA-B27. More genetic factors seem to influence disease progression in HIV infections. Therefore, it would be interesting to further explore the influence of the genetic make up of these HIV-infected individuals. Knowledge of the immunogenetic profile might give clues for the individual course of the HIV infection, may influence the development of drug-resistant viruses and will possibly lead to a tailored therapeutic strategy in HIV-infected persons.
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Debby den Uyl, et al.: Progression of HIV to AIDS
89
Progression of HIV to AIDS: a Protective Role for HLA-B27?
Debby den Uyl
1
, Irene E. van der Horst-Bruinsma
1
and Michiel van Agtmael
2
1
Departments of Rheumatology and
2
Internal Medicine, VU University Medical Centre Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Abstract
HLA-B27 is known for its strong association with inflammatory spondyloarthropathies (SpA), a group
of rheumatic diseases. Apart from playing its role in the onset of these inflammatory diseases, HLA-
B27 is so ubiquitous in the world that the carrying of this gene must have also have an advantage.
There are some indications that a beneficial effect can be found as a less severe course of viral in-
fections among B27-carriers. The literature on this subject was reviewed and revealed a favorable
course of infection with influenza virus, herpes simplex type 2 virus, Epstein-Barr virus and, even
more interesting, a protective effect of HLA-B27 in the progression of HIV infections. The course of
HIV infection differs among individuals and is thought to be partly related to host-factor variability,
reflecting broad genetic heterogeneity. The polymorphic human leukocyte antigens (HLA) are herein
analyzed intensively with respect to this relationship.
Cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) responses, activated by HLA antigen presentation, are implicated in the
control of HIV replication. An immunological explanation for the protective role for HLA B27 in HIV
disease is that B27+ patients have a specific and strong CTL response against the p24 epitope, a
conservative HIV protein that does not easily mutate. Some HLA genes seen in long-term non-progres-
sors (LTNP) (>10 years disease free) are associated with a favorable prognosis. One of the alleles found
predominantly in LTNPs is HLA-B27. More genetic factors seem to influence disease progression in
HIV infections. Therefore, it would be interesting to further explore the influence of the genetic make
up of these HIV-infected individuals. Knowledge of the immunogenetic profile might give clues for the
individual course of the HIV infection, may influence the development of drug-resistant viruses and will
possibly lead to a tailored therapeutic strategy in HIV-infected persons. (AIDS Reviews 2004;6:89-96)
Key words
HLA-B27. HIV. AIDS. Spondyloarthropathy. Disease progression.
AIDS Reviews 2004;6:89-96
Correspondence to:
Irene E. van der Horst-Bruinsma
Department of Rheumatology, room 4A-42
PO Box 7057
1007 MB Amsterdam
The Netherlands
Phone: +0031 204443432
Fax: +0031 204442138
E-mail: IE.vanderHorst@vumc.nl
I
ntroduction
The natural course of HIV infection is characterized
by considerable variations among infected individuals.
The time between infection and progression to AIDS
varies per individual from 5-20 years and is believed
to be related to both viral and host factors, including
genetic differences. Prognostic viral factors for fast
progression are the level of the viral load and the pres-
e
nce of certain mutants. For instance, SI (syncytium-
inducer, or X4) viruses accelerate the immune decay
more than NSI (non-syncytium-inducer, or R5) viruses.
The intriguing relationship between viral and host fac-
tors has led to many studies to unravel the extent of
their respective roles.
Host factors are, among others, a strong cytotoxic T
lymphocyte (CTL) response against HIV, which is gen-
erally believed to play an important role in controlling
virus replication
1
. CTLs are activated by binding to
antigenic peptides, presented by human leukocyte an-
tigens (HLA), thereby initiating the immune response.
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AIDS Reviews 2004;6
90
Because this CTL response is HLA-dependent, it is
believed that genetic factors influence the individual
response to HIV infection
2,3
. Over the years, there have
been studies reporting the effect of HLA polymorphism
on the progression to AIDS. Several studies have
reported associations between HIV disease progres-
sion and HLA antigens
3-7
. A subgroup of patients
(5-10%), called long-term non-progressors (LTNP),
remains asymptomatic and clinically healthy for more
than 10 years without therapy
8,9
. Different HLA anti-
gens have been correlated with rapid or delayed dis-
ease progression. HLA-A24, -A29, -B35, -C4, -DR1 and
-DR3 have been described as being associated with a
rapid progression to AIDS
4,6,10,11
, while patients with
HLA-B14, -B27, -B57, -C8 or -DR6 appear to develop
AIDS more slowly
4-6,10,11
.
This review highlights the role of HLA-B27 on HIV
progression and raises the following intriguing ques-
tions: a) does the worldwide pattern of HLA-B27
prevalence coincide with the worldwide differences in
HIV progression, and b) can HLA-B27 positivity be
used in single individuals as a predictor of disease
progression.
HLA-B27 and human diseases
The human major histocompatibility complex (MHC)
maps to the short arm of chromosome 6 and contains
the polymorphic HLA genes. These HLA genes are
fundamental for the acquired immune response. HLA
class I products bind to endogenous antigenic epit-
o
pes and present them to CD8+ CTLs, while HLA
class II products present exogenous antigenic pep-
tides to CD4+ helper T-cells. The binding groove of the
HLA alleles binds to specific peptides. These peptides
anchor in the groove by one or two amino acids at key
points. Because of the polymorphism of HLA genes,
many different peptides can be presented to the im-
mune system.
Numerous diseases are associated with the HLA
loci and a number of them are autoimmune diseases.
HLA-B27 is associated with the spondyloarthropathies
(SpA), including ankylosing spondylitis (AS), Reiter’s
syndrome, reactive arthritis, inflammatory bowel dis-
ease and psoriatic spondylitis
12
. HLA-B27 is highly as-
sociated with AS (98% is positive), whereas the preva-
lence in other forms of SpA varies between 50-80%
13
.
The B27-antigen is present in 8-20% of healthy Cau-
casians, depending on their geographic distribution,
with the highest prevalence being in the northern zones
(Fig. 1).
Research on the pathogenesis of B27 has lead to
several theories, all of which cite the unique structure
of the binding groove of HLA-B27 as the cause of this
autoimmune reaction
14,15
. Spondyloarthropathy patients
have an adequate HLA-B27 restricted CTL response,
showing that their HLA-B27 functions normally
12
. There
is evidence that infection with Chlamydia, Yersinia, Sal-
Figure 1. Prevalence (%) of HLA-B27 among different indigenous population groups in the world.
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without the prior written permission
of the publisher
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Debby den Uyl, et al.: Progression of HIV to AIDS
91
monella, Shigella, Campylobacter and Klebsiella, trig-
gers the local chronic inflammation causing reactive
arthritis
16
.
Animal models support the importance of an infec-
tious agent triggering disease. Rats maintained in
germ-free environments did not develop arthritis; how-
ever after being transferred out of the pathogen-free
colony, arthritic changes were seen within several
weeks
17
. Different bacteria involved in SpA pathology
were found to have sequence homology with certain
regions of the B27 molecule
18
.
The molecular mimicry hypothesis explains that
bacteria would cause SpA as antibodies cross-react
with self-peptides. Another theory suggested that
bacteria bind to an empty HLA-B27 molecule, there-
by activating autoreactive T-cells
14
. Empty HLA-B27
molecules are relatively stable compared to other
HLA subtypes, and are able to bind to several pep-
tides
19
.
Finally,
the role of CD4+ T-cells is believed to be of
importance. MHC class II–, HLA-B27+
transgenic mice
still develop spontaneous disease
20
. This can be ex-
plained by the hypothesis that CD4+ T-cells can rec-
ognize MHC class I molecules
15
. Some investigators
believe that the empty B27 molecule forms an abnor-
mal complex with itself, causing a local autoimmune
response by activating CD4+ cells
14,15
. The enhanced
CTL response in B27+ HIV-infected patients should
explain their better prognosis.
Twenty subtypes of HLA-B27 exist, but not all are
associated with human disease. B2706 and B2709 are
not disease-associated, while B2702, B2703, B2705
(the most common subtypes) and B2707 are clearly
associated with disease
21
. It is believed that the diver-
sity of the HLA antigens is maintained through natural
selection by local infectious diseases
22
. But if HLA-B27
is strongly associated with SpA, why is it more common in
the northern than in the southern hemisphere (Fig. 1)?
Figure 2. Number of children and adults with HIV/AIDS at the end of year 2003.
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without the prior written permission
of the publisher
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AIDS Reviews 2004;6
92
Could there be advantages of having HLA-B27, there-
by causing an evolutionary selection?
HLA-B27 viral infections
Demographic data indicate that the incidence of
some viral infections is higher in the northern hemi-
sphere. Hepatitis C is found predominantly in countries
of the northern hemisphere
23
and outbreaks of influ-
enza viruses and SARS are also mainly associated with
countries of the northern hemisphere where HLA-B27
is more prevalent
24
. Could there be an evolutionary
connection?
HLA-B27 is thought to positively influence the out-
come of viral infections like influenza, herpes simplex
virus type 2 (HSV-2) and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)
12,25-27
.
The importance of HLA B27 in influenza is clear from
the recent description of a new escape mutant influ-
enza A virus with a mutation of a HLA B27 specific
epitope
25
.Also B27+ individuals infected with EBV
show high, specific CTL responses against viral epit-
opes, suggesting a protective role
26,27
. The evalua-
tion of three cohorts showed an association of B27
with asymptomatic infection of HSV-2
27
. B27 is as-
sociated with a benign clinical course of hantavirus
infection
28
. In addition progression of HIV infection
in particular appears to be positively effected by
presence of HLA-B27
12,14
.
Definition of HIV progression
HIV progression can be measured in two ways: by
the level of viral antigens (viral load) and by the de-
crease in CD4+ cells (CD4 count).
Viral load and viral escape
AIDS is the result of an ongoing infection of the im-
mune system. CTLs have been implicated in the con-
trol of HIV infection by several mechanisms, including
direct killing through lysis, or by inhibiting viral replica-
tion by production of cytokines and chemokines
2
. In-
fected patients produce strong CTL responses to
HIV
29
. Ogg, et al.
1
observed an inverse correlation be-
tween HIV-specific CTL frequency and plasma RNA
viral load. Characteristic of HIV is its ability to escape
CTL responses. This is due to the high mis-incorpora-
tion rate of HIV and its transcriptase, which lacks proof-
reading activity
29,30
.
In longstanding, progressed, HIV infection not just
one HIV-epitope but a cloud of mutated epitopes was
found in patients with increasing viral load levels
29,31,32
.
This mechanism seems an effective survival strategy
of the virus. CTLs exert a selective force on HIV,
giving an advantage to epitopes mutated in critical
amino acids in the dominant epitopes. This viral es-
cape causes an increase in viral load
29,32,33
. An epi-
tope which escapes from CTLs has a selective advan-
tage and this escape mutant will eventually dominate
the virus population
29,32,33
. The consequence of this
antigenic variation is a shift of immunodominance of
CTL response to other epitopes, resulting in an irre-
versible immunodeficiency. Thus, high levels of plasma
HIV-RNA levels are associated with rapid disease pro-
gression. Effective therapy will prevent viral escape
because a high viral replication is needed for HIV to
mutate. However, suboptimal therapy will lead to es-
cape variants, which can be transmitted sexually,
theoretically leading to a spread of non-responsive
epitopes over the world
34
(Fig. 2).
CD4 count and CTL response
Failure to control the virus will cause CTL escape.
Moreover, CD4+ T-cells have direct antiviral effects
35
and because of their antigen-presenting role, T-helper
cells are important in the priming of CTLs, maintaining
CTL memory, and for maturing CTLs
36
. T-helper cells
are needed to initiate new CTL responses against the
mutated epitopes
3
. However, with ongoing HIV infec-
tion there is a gradual loss of these CD4+ T-helper
cells, as they are the main targets of the HIV virus.
The decline in the CD4+
count will weaken the CTL
response and is therefore a second cause for viral
escape. An effective suppression of the virus with
antiretroviral therapy will protect CD4+ cells, result-
ing in a better control of HIV
36
. By reducing the
replication of the virus to a minimum, thus halting
the destruction of CD4+ T-cells, a strong CTL response
is maintained.
HLA B27 and slow HIV progression
With the HIV pandemic evolving in low-resource
countries with limited access to antiretroviral drugs,
there is growing interest in identifying the 5-10% of
patients with a relatively natural course being called
“long-term survivors” (10-20 years). A number of stud-
ies have shown a higher frequency of the B27 haplo-
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Debby den Uyl, et al.: Progression of HIV to AIDS
93
type in this subgroup of patients. Table 1 summarizes
the associations between B27 and HIV progression
resulting from several observational cohorts and so-
called “extreme patient” studies
4-6,8,9,30
. These studies
suggest that HLA-B27 is involved in the pathogenesis
of HIV.
Kaslow, et al.
4
correlated in 1996 one of the first in-
dividual HLA-B27 profiles with slow progression. This
observation was confirmed by Magierowska, et al.
6
.
McNeil, et al.
5
showed a significant association of B27
with a delayed progression to AIDS. Hendel, et al.
9
studied a cohort of individuals representing extremes
of fast progressors and non-progressors and they also
found a protective effect of B27 on the progression to
AIDS. In contrast, the results of Carrington, et al.
37
showed an association of B27 with rapid progression.
This was found among the 144 African-Americans
studied, whereas the positive effect of B27 in other
studies had been seen among Caucasians. Smith,
et al.
38
found an overall lower CD4 count among black
HIV-infected persons compared with white HIV-infect-
ed persons, while Trachtenberg, et al.
30
found that
black men had lower viral loads than white men. These
data suggest an influence of ethnic background on HIV
progression; therefore the association of B27 with rap-
id progression among African-Americans could be a
result of selection bias.
Although most studies implicated B27 prevalence
with slow progression, some associations of B27 with
HIV progression only indicate a trend
10,30,39
. The incon-
sistencies seen in B27 data could be explained by the
study design or by the fact that B27 is a rare HLA
subtype in these research-groups. To study HLA influ-
ence on HIV progression it is important to know the
date of seroconversion and to choose an exact end-
point (death, AIDS or CD4+ decline)
7
. Also, a short
interval of HLA-typing is important to ensure that no
HLA types are missed because of early death
7
. The
effects of multi-allelic associations may be difficult to
interpret. The extensive polymorphism of HLA, linkage
disequilibrium and cohort size can complicate the in-
terpretation of results
7,8,40
. For example, small numbers
of patients in a study lead to weaker associations be-
cause of the multiplicity of the HLA alleles, while large
numbers of alleles need multiple-comparison correc-
tion (Bonferroni) to consider other HLA effects that
Table 1. Results of studies associating HLA-B27 with slow progression of HIV-1 infection
Reference Study Risk group Race Cohort size Definition of Antiretroviral RR
design (% B27) disease progression treatment B27
Kaslow ’96
4
Cohort*
Homosexual Caucasian 241 (7%) AIDS-free interval (50%) 0.23
McNeil ’96
5
Cohort IDU ? 313 (8%) Rate CD4+ decline AZT (66%) 0.3
in time
Carrington ’99
37
Cohort IDU African- 144 (?) AIDS-free time ? 6.86
American Time till death
Keet ’99
10
Cohort Homosexual Caucasian 375 (8%) Rate CD4+ decline Single or 0.4
in time combination
AIDS-free interval
Magierowska ’99
6
Extremes
Homosexual Caucasian 153 (11%) LTNP: LTNP: no therapy 0.2
IDU asymptomatic 8 years
+ CD4 > 600 µl
last 5 years
Hendel ’99
11
Extremes ? Caucasian 276 (13%) LTNP: LTNP: no therapy 0.34
asymptomatic 8 years
+ CD4 > 500 cells/mm
3
Trachtenberg ’03
30
Cohort Homosexual ? 481 (2%) Rate CD4+ decline HAART ?
in time (guidelines)
Viral load level
*Cohort: prospective follow-up cohort with known seroconversion date;
extremes = extreme patient study: comparing the extremes of disease progression (slow progressors
and fast progressors); IDU: injection drug users; RR = relative risk; >1 = short AIDS-free interval; <1 = prolonged AIDS-free interval.
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of the publisher
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AIDS Reviews 2004;6
94
could mask the influence
7,40
. Ideally a study is per-
mormed in hundreds of HLA-characterized patients,
but this is difficult to establish in practice.
Mechanism of Gag-specific
CTL response
Although not all results of the role of B27 in HIV
progression seen in cohort and cross-sectorial studies
are consistent, there is a molecular basis to explain the
protective role of B27 in HIV progression. It is believed
that HIV-infected patients carrying HLA-B27 control the
virus better due to their strong immune response. Stud-
ies show that patients with HLA-B27 maintain stable
CD4 counts for many years and present high levels of
HIV-specific CD8+ T-cells during the asymptomatic
phase. It is known that HIV can escape from selective
pressure of CTLs. Patients with HLA-B27 have CTLs
specifically selected for a Gag p24 epitope (amino
acids 263-272, sequence KRWIILGLNK), a core pro-
tein of HIV
31,41
. This Gag p24 epitope is strongly im-
munodominant
32
. Although oligoclonal T-cell responses
are believed to give a better protection against viral
escape
35
, B27+ patients clearly show an immune re-
sponse against one epitope. How can this been ex-
plained?
Results from several studies have shown that Gag
p24 does not mutate easily and therefore it is believed
to represent a conservative HIV protein
31,42,43
. Most
mutations lead to a non-viable virus, because they
result in a changed conformation, causing the peptide
to lose its function
31
. But even when a mutation variant
survives, peptide-binding experiments have shown
that B27-specific CTLs still recognize these mutated
Gag p24
31,42
. Crystallographic analysis showed the
importance of arginine at position 2, which binds
strongly with the B-pocket of the B27 molecule, creat-
ing a stable complex
44
. An amino acid substitution from
arginine (R) to lysine (K) or glycine (G) leads to a
peptide that binds poorly to B27
31,42
. Kelleher, et al.
31
proved that Gag p24 escapes from HLA-B27 only after
a particular array of mutations.
The functional impor-
tance of p24 and the genetic tolerance of B27 explain
why HIV escape from B27-specific CTLs occurs late in
the course of infection.
Unfortunately, the mutational escape variant is found
to be sexually transmittable
45
. Children sharing the
HLA-B27 with their mother failed to control HIV replica-
tion. These children showed a rapid disease progres-
sion because they targeted an epitope that had already
escaped from B27-specific CTLs. Other studies sup-
port the theory that advantageous mutated epitopes
may be transmitted frequently to other individuals with
the same HLA type
30,45,46
.
Other genetic factors
and progression to AIDS
HIV is found to progress faster in individuals homo-
zygous for HLA loci, because CTL escape occurs
easier
10,37
. Patients heterozygous at the HLA loci are
able to present a higher variety of antigenic epitopes
Table 2. Genetic factors involved in HIV-1 disease progression
Genetic factors Function Influence on HIV progression
HLA homozygosity MHC Rapid progression
HLA-B35 MHC Rapid progression
HLA-Cw04 MHC Rapid progression
HLA-B27 MHC Slow progression
HLA-B57 MHC Slow progression
CCR2-64I Chemokine receptor Slow progression
CCR5-Δ3
2 Chemokine receptor Slow progression
CX3CR1 Chemokine receptor Rapid progression
SDF1-3’A Chemokine Slow progression
RANTES Chemokine Slow progression
IL10-5’A Cytokine Rapid progression
MBL Mannose-binding lectin Rapid progression
CCR2 and CCR5 are coreceptors for HIV-1. CX3CR1 is rarely used as coreceptor for HIV; a mutated form was associated with rapid progression in one study. SDF1 is the
chemokine receptor for CXCR4, an important coreceptor for HIV-1 in the late disease course. RANTES is the CCR5 chemokine ligand and could suppress HIV-1 infection by
blocking CCR5. IL10 is a TH-2 cell cytokine that is shown to inhibit HIV-1 replication in macrophages. MBL activates complement and phagocytosis and a genetic variant is
associated with rapid progression to AIDS.
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Debby den Uyl, et al.: Progression of HIV to AIDS
95
to CTLs and studies suggest that this results in a more
productive immune response
30,37
.
A fast growing number of host genetic associations
have been identified as correlating with HIV disease
progression (Table 2). The role of chemokine receptors
CCR2 and CCR5 especially have been studied inten-
sively. These receptors are found to be used as core-
ceptors for HIV-1 together with CD4
47
. A mutation in
these genes, CCR5-
Δ
32 and CCR2-64I, has been
shown to provide strong protection and is found more
frequently in LTNPs than in rapid progressors. Both are
found to be associated with slow progression in many
cohorts
6,9,40,47,48
. Altogether, the results of many asso-
ciation studies illustrate the complexity of host genetic
interactions with the HIV pathogen.
Conclusion
The role of HLA in HIV disease progression should
be further elucidated to identify those patients with
either a mild or aggressive course of their natural
HIV-1 infection. HLA genotyping might influence the
timing to start HIV therapy, for example postponing
therapy in the long-term survivor group. This risk strat-
ification could be relevant in countries with limited ac-
cess to antiviral drugs. Under antiretroviral therapy,
HLA type (like drug levels) may influence the risk for
developing drug-resistant viruses. Thus, HLA typing
could play a role in the choice of antiretroviral regi-
mens, mainly in drug-naive patients. Knowledge of the
immunogenetic background may enable us to calcu-
late a composite genetic risk, which will be of increas-
ing importance in the tailored management of HIV-in-
fected patients. Moreover, since HLA loci vary by
ethnic group and region, it may affect the response to
specific vaccines in different parts of the world.
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... Another point that deserves attention is the possible protective role of HLA-B27 against COVID-19. Since that Brewerton and Schlosstein [11][12][13] reported a close relationship between ankylosing spondylitis and HLA-B27, many other aspects have been pointed out over time, especially related to some protective role regarding infections (occurrence and severity) [14][15][16][17]. ...
... Previous evidence supporting the association between HLA-B27 and lower viral load and long-term non-progression in chronic viral infection [17,18]. Some mechanisms are postulated, including complicated pathways of viral escape from immunodominant HLA-B27-restricted virus-specific CD8+ T-cell epitopes, CD8+ T-cell polyfunctionality and functional avidity, thymic selection of CD8+ T-cell precursors, specific T-cell receptor repertoires and clonotypes, efficient antigen processing, and evasion from regulatory T-cell-mediated suppression. ...
Article
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Objectives To evaluate the disease activity before and after COVID-19 and risk factors associated with outcomes, including hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation (MV) and death in patients with spondylarthritis (SpA). Methods ReumaCoV Brazil is a multicenter prospective cohort of immune-mediated rheumatic diseases (IMRD) patients with COVID-19 (case group), compared to a control group of IMRD patients without COVID-19. SpA patients enrolled were grouped as axial SpA (axSpA), psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and enteropathic arthritis, according to usual classification criteria. Results 353 SpA patients were included, of whom 229 (64.9%) were axSpA, 118 (33.4%) PsA and 6 enteropathic arthritis (1.7%). No significant difference was observed in disease activity before the study inclusion comparing cases and controls, as well no worsening of disease activity after COVID-19. The risk factors associated with hospitalization were age over 60 years (OR = 3.71; 95% CI 1.62–8.47, p = 0.001); one or more comorbidities (OR = 2.28; 95% CI 1.02–5.08, p = 0.001) and leflunomide treatment (OR = 4.46; 95% CI 1.33–24.9, p = 0.008). Not having comorbidities (OR = 0.11; 95% CI 0.02–0.50, p = 0.001) played a protective role for hospitalization. In multivariate analysis, leflunomide treatment (OR = 8.69; CI = 95% 1.41–53.64; p = 0.023) was associated with hospitalization; teleconsultation (OR = 0.14; CI = 95% 0.03–0.71; p = 0.01) and no comorbidities (OR = 0.14; CI = 95% 0.02–0.76; p = 0.02) remained at final model as protective factor. Conclusions Our results showed no association between pre-COVID disease activity or that SARS-CoV-2 infection could trigger disease activity in patients with SpA. Teleconsultation and no comorbidities were associated with a lower hospitalization risk. Leflunomide remained significantly associated with higher risk of hospitalization after multiple adjustments.
... 10 Thus, one physiological immune function of HLA-B27 is to protect against infections-for example, against the HIV and hepatitis C (HCV) (see figure 1B). [16][17][18] Thus, it seems likely that HLA B27 confers an evolutionary advantage related to the defence against infections. 19 HLA B27 subtypes In early 2017, a total of 213 alleles of HLA-B*27 were known at the nucleotide sequence level, while, at the translated protein level, there were 160 known subtypes based on one or more amino acid sequence differences. ...
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The human lymphocyte antigen B27 (HLA B27) is a member of the HLA class I family of genes in the major histocompatibility complex whose name goes back to its discovery in studies of transplanted tissue compatibility. Its prevalence in the mid-European population is about 8%. The association of HLA B27 alleles with ankylosing spondylitis (AS), a highly heritable disease, which is part of the spectrum of axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA), was discovered 50 years ago. HLA B27 explains less than 30% of the total genetic load. About 60%–90% of axSpA patients worldwide carry HLA B27. The prevalence of the disease is linked to the frequency of HLA B27 in the population which implies that there are relevant differences. Among the roughly 200 subtypes known there are two which are not disease associated. The function of HLA class I molecules is to present peptides to the immune system to defend the organism against microbes targeted by CD8+T cells. This is much supported by the role of the endoplasmic reticulum aminopeptidase 1 (ERAP 1) in AS, an enzyme that is responsible for the intracellular trimming of peptides, since polymorphisms of this gene are only associated with HLA-B27+ disease. The arthritogenic peptide hypothesis trying to explain the pathogenesis of AS is based on that very immune function assuming that also self peptides can be presented. HLA-B27 also plays an important role in classification, diagnosis and severitiy of axSpA.
... Conversely, at least some of these children may have been transient non-progressors, facilitating their survival into later childhood. HLA haplotypeencoding genes influence the rate of disease progression in HIV infection (88)(89)(90)(91), with certain HLA haplotypes being recognized as protective. However, several such alleles are also implicated in the pathogenesis of specific rheumatic syndromes. ...
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Background Advanced HIV infection is associated with an inflammatory arthritis, however few reports have described this disorder in children. This study aimed to describe the clinical features of HIV arthropathy in a case series of children in South Africa and compare these with features of JIA. Methods Retrospective data were collected from HIV-infected children with HIV arthropathy enrolled in a Paediatric Rheumatology clinic in Cape Town, South Africa. Data from a recently described, published cohort of children with JIA enrolled in the same clinic were included for comparison. Ethical approval was granted by the Human Research Ethics Committee of the University of Cape Town, with a waiver for consent. Results Eleven cases of HIV arthropathy were identified. Cases predominantly affected boys (8/11), and the median age of onset was 10.3 years (IQR 6.9–11.6). Most cases presented in the setting of advanced immunosuppression, with a median absolute CD4+ count of 389 cells/uL (IQR 322–449) and median CD4+ proportion of 19.5% (IQR 14.8–25.0) at presentation. The clinical presentation was variable, with both oligoarthritis (6/11) and polyarthritis (5/11) being prevalent. All cases exhibited large joint involvement, which was usually asymmetrical. In addition, four children had asymmetrical small joint involvement. Associated features included enthesitis (4/11) and dactylitis (1/11). The most consistent laboratory feature was elevated acute phase reactants, and typical ultrasonographic findings were joint effusions and synovial hypertrophy. JIA and HIV arthropathy presented at a similar age, with median age at HIV arthritis onset of 10.3 years (IQR 6.9–11.6) versus 9.25 years (IQR 4.5–12.3) at arthritis onset in the JIA subgroup. HIV arthropathy cases were predominantly male (M/F ratio 3.0), whereas JIA cases had an equal sex distribution (M/F ratio 0.9). Oligo-articular disease was more frequently described in children with HIV arthropathy (55%), compared to those with JIA (38%). Conclusion In this series, most cases of HIV arthropathy exhibited asymmetrical large joint oligoarthritis or polyarthritis, and presented in older boys with advanced immunosuppression. HIV arthropathy appears to present at a similar age to JIA, with a comparable pattern of joint involvement to oligo-articular and poly-articular JIA subtypes.
... Conversely, at least some of these children may have been transient non-progressors, facilitating their survival into later childhood. HLA haplotypeencoding genes influence the rate of disease progression in HIV infection (88)(89)(90)(91), with certain HLA haplotypes being recognized as protective. However, several such alleles are also implicated in the pathogenesis of specific rheumatic syndromes. ...
Article
Full-text available
Background HIV infection has been associated with a non-erosive inflammatory arthritis in children, although few published reports exist. This study describes the clinical, laboratory and imaging features of this noncommunicable disease in a series of HIV-infected children in South Africa. Methods A database search was conducted to identify HIV-infected children enrolled in a Paediatric Rheumatology service in Cape Town, South Africa between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2020. Retrospective data were collected from individuals classified with HIV arthropathy, based on a predefined checklist. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, sonographic, therapeutic, and outcomes data were extracted by chart review. Descriptive statistical analysis was performed using R (v4.0.3). Results Eleven cases of HIV arthropathy were included in the analysis. Cases predominantly presented in older boys with low CD4+ counts. Median age at arthritis onset was 10.3 years (IQR 6.9 – 11.6) and the male-female ratio was 3.0. The median absolute CD4+ count was 389 cells/uL (IQR 322 – 449). The clinical presentation was variable, with both oligoarthritis and polyarthritis being common. Elevated acute phase reactants were the most consistent laboratory feature, with a median ESR of 126 mL/h (IQR 67 – 136) and median CRP of 36 mg/L (IQR 25 – 68). Ultrasonography demonstrated joint effusions and synovial hypertrophy. Response to therapy was slower than has generally been described in adults, with almost all cases requiring more than one immunosuppressive agent. Five children were discharged in established remission after discontinuing immunotherapy, however outcomes data were incomplete for the remaining six cases. Conclusions In this case series, HIV arthropathy was associated with advanced immunosuppression. Therapeutic modalities included immunomodulators and antiretroviral therapy, which consistently induced disease remission although data were limited by a high rate of attrition. Prospective studies are needed to define and understand this HIV-associated noncommunicable disease.
... This naturally restricts the scope of our instrumental variable. Allele frequency B*27 is a potential indicator for values linked to independence and obedience as their carriers have improved survival chances in HIV (see e.g., den Uyl et al., 2004, Gao et al., 2005, Magierowska et al., 1999 and are less susceptible to the infection with influenza virus, herpes simplex type 2 virus or Epstein-Barr virus (see e.g., Brooks et al., 1998, Martinez et al., 2004, Voeten et al., 2000. It can be seen as a neutral genetic marker that does not affect a human's general fitness (intelligence, ability to run etc.). ...
Thesis
This dissertation uses subnational data to analyze determinants of income disparities across regions within countries. It focuses on three specific factors: culture, foreign aid and temperature. A general introduction highlights the relevance of analyzing regional data when focusing on economic development. Chapter 2 explores the effect of the cultural variables Independence and Obedience on regional incomes. A new and unique dataset with economic and cultural variables for more than 1,200 regions between 1980 to 2010 is explored while taking account of country fixed effects. The regional appreciation of the cultural value Independence has a positive and statistically significant association with regional per capita income, whereas the value Obedience exerts a negative effect. Chapter 3 explores the relevance of World Bank projects on water quality, access to water, child mortality and toilet quality. To do so, the chapter employs information from about 1.8 million individuals from Demographic and Health Surveys and combines it with data from 14’000 subnational World Bank projects between 1986 and 2017. The results suggest that World Bank projects reduce the time to gather water and child mortality and increase the quality of drinking water and sanitation. Chapter 4 studies the link between regional temperature and regional incomes. Once accounting for country fixed effects and employing country clustering, there is no statistically robust relationship between regional temperature and four different measures of regional economic development. Moreover, there is no systematic indication that temperature is non-linearly related to regional income nor that the effect of temperature on economic development is particularly pronounced in poorer regions. Chapter 5 summarizes all the results of the research chapters and discusses potential policy implications, potential drawbacks and limitations of the empirical analysis conducted in the present dissertation.
... Polymorphisms of the genes controlling viral fusion (mediated by chemokine receptors CXCR4 and CCR5) and host immune response (mediated by HLA molecules) have been found to correlate with either delayed or accelerated disease progression [5,6,8]. HLA B27positive individuals can mount strong cytotoxic T lymphocyte response against the gag p 24 epitope [9]. ...
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HLA B27 was the first allele to be associated with delayed HIV progression in HIV-infected white adults, while HLA B57 has been most consistently associated with elite control of disease. There is paucity of information on prevalence of these HLA alleles in LTNP pediatric population especially from the Indian subcontinent. Vertically infected children with long-term nonprogression provide an opportunity to study host factors that influence disease progression. These children will be no longer be identified in clinical practice with early universal ART to all guidelines.
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Most people living with HIV-1 experience rapid viral rebound once antiretroviral therapy is interrupted; however, a small fraction remain in viral remission for an extended duration. Understanding the factors that determine whether viral rebound is likely after treatment interruption can enable the development of optimal treatment regimens and therapeutic interventions to potentially achieve a functional cure for HIV-1. We built upon the theoretical framework proposed by Conway and Perelson to construct dynamic models of virus-immune interactions to study factors that influence viral rebound dynamics. We evaluated these models using viral load data from 24 individuals following antiretroviral therapy interruption. The best-performing model accurately captures the heterogeneity of viral dynamics and highlights the importance of the effector cell expansion rate. Our results show that post-treatment controllers and non-controllers can be distinguished based on the effector cell expansion rate in our models. Furthermore, these results demonstrate the potential of using dynamic models incorporating an effector cell response to understand early viral rebound dynamics post-antiretroviral therapy interruption.
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The association of the human lymphocyte antigen B27 (HLA-B27) with ankylosing spondylitis (AS), also now called axial spondylarthritis (axSpA), was first described 50 years ago. This article gives an overview of the available knowledge on the topic. This is a narrative review based on the experience of the authors. The HLA-B27 is a member of the HLA class I family of genes of the major histocompatibility complex (MHC). The prevalence of HLA-B27 in the central European population is approximately 8 %, i.e., the vast majority of carriers of HLA-B27+ remain healthy. The frequency of HLA-B27 shows a decline from north to south. The HLA-B27 explains only 30 % of the genetic burden of axSpA. The prevalence of the disease correlates with the frequency of HLA-B27 in the population, i.e., there are geographic differences. Approximately 60–90 % of patients with axSpA worldwide are HLA-B27+. Some 200 subtypes of HLA-B27 can be differentiated using the polymerase chain reaction (PCR). In Thailand and Sardinia two subtypes were found that are not associated with axSpA. The physiological function of HLA class I molecules is the defence of the organism against microbes. Microbial peptides are presented to the immune system, which can be specifically attacked by CD8+ T‑cells. Genetic polymorphisms of the enzyme endoplasmic reticulum aminopeptidase 1 (ERAP1), which breaks down peptides in the endoplasmic reticulum, are associated only with HLA-B27+ diseases. The pathogenesis of axSpA is unclear but a major hypothesis is that of the arthritogenic peptides. In this it is assumed that potentially pathogenic foreign or autologous peptides can be presented by HLA-B27. If nothing else, HLA-B27 plays an important role in the diagnosis, classification and determination of the severity of axSpA.
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Background Some studies have suggested the HLA-B27 gene may protect against some infections, as well as it could play a benefit role on the viral clearance, including hepatitis C and HIV. However, there is lack of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic data in spondyloarthritis (SpA) patients. Aim To evaluate the impact of HLA-B27 gene positivity on the susceptibility and severity of COVID-19 and disease activity in axial SpA patients. Methods The ReumaCoV-Brasil is a multicenter, observational, prospective cohort designed to monitor immune-mediated rheumatic diseases patients during SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Brazil. Axial SpA patients, according to the ASAS classification criteria (2009), and only those with known HLA-B27 status, were included in this ReumaCov-Brasil’s subanalysis. After pairing them to sex and age, they were divided in two groups: with (cases) and without (control group) COVID-19 diagnosis. Other immunodeficiency diseases, past organ or bone marrow transplantation, neoplasms and current chemotherapy were excluded. Demographic data, managing of COVID-19 (diagnosis, treatment, and outcomes, including hospitalization, mechanical ventilation, and death), comorbidities, clinical details (disease activity and concomitant medication) were collected using the Research Electronic Data Capture (REDCap) database. Data are presented as descriptive analysis and multiple regression models, using SPSS program, version 20. P level was set as 5%. Results From May 24th, 2020 to Jan 24th, 2021, a total of 153 axial SpA patients were included, of whom 85 (55.5%) with COVID-19 and 68 (44.4%) without COVID-19. Most of them were men (N = 92; 60.1%) with mean age of 44.0 ± 11.1 years and long-term disease (11.7 ± 9.9 years). Regarding the HLA-B27 status, 112 (73.2%) patients tested positive. There were no significant statistical differences concerning social distancing, smoking, BMI (body mass index), waist circumference and comorbidities. Regarding biological DMARDs, 110 (71.8%) were on TNF inhibitors and 14 (9.15%) on IL-17 antagonists. Comparing those patients with and without COVID-19, the HLA-B27 positivity was not different between groups (n = 64, 75.3% vs. n = 48, 48%, respectively; p = 0.514). In addition, disease activity was similar before and after the infection. Interestingly, no new episodes of arthritis, enthesitis or extra-musculoskeletal manifestations were reported after the COVID-19. The mean time from the first symptoms to hospitalization was 7.1 ± 3.4 days, and although the number of hospitalization days was numerically higher in the B27 positive group, no statistically significant difference was observed (5.7 ± 4.11 for B27 negative patients and 13.5 ± 14.8 for B27 positive patients; p = 0.594). Only one HLA-B27 negative patient died. No significant difference was found regarding concomitant medications, including conventional or biologic DMARDs between the groups. Conclusions No significant difference of COVID-19 frequency rate was observed in patients with axial SpA regarding the HLA-B27 positivity, suggesting a lack of protective effect with SARS-CoV-2 infection. In addition, the disease activity was similar before and after the infection. Trial registration This study was approved by the Brazilian Committee of Ethics in Human Research (CONEP), CAAE 30186820.2.1001.8807, and was registered at the Brazilian Registry of Clinical Trials – REBEC, RBR-33YTQC. All patients read and signed the informed consent form before inclusion.
Thesis
L’infection par le VIH-1 engendre une dérégulation des réponses immunitaires ainsi que la persistance de réservoirs VIH-1 latents. Une meilleure compréhension des évènements cellulaires et moléculaires impliqués dans ces mécanismes est nécessaire pour élaborer de nouvelles thérapies permettant une rémission durable du VIH-1. A cet égard, notre première étude confirme chez des patients VIH+ la présence de cellules T CD4+ CD32a+ initialement proposées comme spécifiques du réservoir latent du VIH-1. Néanmoins, nos données indiquent que ces cellules sont aussi retrouvées chez des individus séronégatifs. Ces résultats révèlent également l’importante diversité et la dynamique de ces cellules à différentes phases de l’infection.Dans une seconde étude, nous avons examiné les cellules myéloïdes, qui jouent un rôle clé dans la mise en place des réponses immunitaires. Nos résultats montrent que ces cellules subissent aussi des modifications d’abondances dès la phase précoce de l’infection au VIH-1. Cette étude met également en évidence une sous-population particulière de cDC2 surreprésentée chez les patients contrôleurs du VIH.Enfin, nous nous sommes intéressés aux stratégies thérapeutiques visant à restaurer la fonction du système immunitaire contre le VIH-1 par le blocage de certains récepteurs immunomodulateurs. Dans ce contexte et pour notre dernière étude, nous avons développé deux anticorps monoclonaux (AcM) bloquant l’interaction in vitro des récepteurs inhibiteurs LILRB1 et/ou LILRB2 avec leurs ligands du CMH-I, à la fois chez l’Homme et le macaque. Ces AcM pourraient ouvrir la voie à des études précliniques dans le modèle SIV et ainsi révéler l’implication in vivo de ces récepteurs dans la physiopathologie de l’infection au SIV/VIH.
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The genetics of resistance to infection by HIV-1 cohort consists of 200 slow and 75 rapid progressors to AIDS corresponding to the extremes of HIV disease outcome of 20,000 Caucasians of European descent. A comprehensive analysis of HLA class I and class II genes in this highly informative cohort has identified HLA alleles associated with fast or slow progression, including several not described previously. A quantitative analysis shows an overall HLA influence independent of and equal in magnitude (for the protective effect) to the effect of the CCR5-Δ32 mutation. Among HLA class I genes, A29 (p = 0.001) and B22 (p < 0.0001) are significantly associated with rapid progression, whereas B14 (p = 0.001) and C8 (p = 0.004) are significantly associated with nonprogression. The class I alleles B27, B57, C14 (protective), and C16, as well as B35 (susceptible), are also influential, but their effects are less robust. Influence of class II alleles was only observed for DR11. These results confirm the influence of the immune system on disease progression and may have implications on peptide-based vaccine development.
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Although cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs) are thought to be involved in the control of human immunodeficiency virus–type 1 (HIV-1) infection, it has not been possible to demonstrate a direct relation between CTL activity and plasma RNA viral load. Human leukocyte antigen–peptide tetrameric complexes offer a specific means to directly quantitate circulating CTLs ex vivo. With the use of the tetrameric complexes, a significant inverse correlation was observed between HIV-specific CTL frequency and plasma RNA viral load. In contrast, no significant association was detected between the clearance rate of productively infected cells and frequency of HIV-specific CTLs. These data are consistent with a significant role for HIV-specific CTLs in the control of HIV infection and suggest a considerable cytopathic effect of the virus in vivo.
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Although association of HLA-B27 with human spondyloarthropathies has been known for several years, its role in disease pathogenesis is not understood. Recently, a few investigators have proposed that presentation of B27-derived peptides by MHC class II molecules may be the underlying mechanism. HLA-B27 transgenic rat and mouse models have provided a new tool for understanding the exact role of B27 in disease pathogenesis. HLA-B27 mice lacking endogenous beta2-microglobulin (B27+ beta2m(o)) develop disease after they are transferred from the barrier facility to the conventional colony. This model was utilized to test the hypothesis that B27-derived peptide presented by MHC class II molecules is the cause of the disease. The MHC class II knockout gene, A beta(o), was bred into our B27+ beta2m(o) mice, and disease manifestation was monitored. These mice develop spontaneous disease, demonstrating that MHC class II molecules do not play a major role in B27-related disease. Thus, the disease is not manifested by presentation of B27-derived peptides by class II molecules, since these mice are devoid of H2-A and H2-E molecules. Furthermore, in vivo treatment with mAb against the heavy chain of B27 reduced the incidence of disease in B27+ beta2m(o) mice. Our results clearly demonstrate that B27 heavy chains are directly involved in the disease process.
Article
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-1–infected long-term nonprogressors (LT-NP) represent less than 5% of HIV-1–infected patients. In this work, we tried to understand whether combined genotypes of CCR5-▵32, CCR2-64I, SDF1-3′A and HLA alleles can predict the LT-NP status. Among the chemokine receptor genotypes, only the frequency of the CCR5-▵32 allele was significantly higher in LT-NP compared with the group of standard progressors. The predominant HLA alleles in LT-NP were HLA-A3, HLA-B14, HLA-B17, HLA-B27, HLA-DR6, and HLA-DR7. A combination of both HLA and chemokine receptor genotypes integrated in a multivariate logistic regression model showed that if a subject is heterozygous for CCR5-▵32 and homozygous for SDF1 wild type, his odds of being LT-NP are increased by 16-fold, by 47-fold when a HLA-B27 allele is present with HLA-DR6 absent, and by 47-fold also if at least three of the following alleles are present: HLA-A3, HLA-B14, HLA-B17, HLA-DR7. This model allowed a correct classification of 70% of LT-NPs and 81% of progressors, suggesting that the host’s genetic background plays an important role in the evolution of HIV-1. The chemokine receptor and chemokine genes along with the HLA genotype can serve as predictors of HIV-1 outcome for classification of HIV-1–infected subjects as LT-NPs or progressors.
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The human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has developed elaborate mechanisms to escape the immune system. Since the reverse transcriptase of HIV makes, on average, 1 error per 10000 bases copied, and the virus has a 9200-base genome, each virus produced is slightly different from its forebear. Over time each patient develops a swarm of virus variants (quasi species) with all possible 1-base and most 2-base variants represented. Additionally, if 2 viruses infect 1 cell or 2 infected cells get fused by HIV infection to form a syncytium, 2 different viral genomes can be packaged into the virus produced. When these viruses with 2 different HIV genomes infect the next cell, the reverse transcriptase enzyme can switch back and forth between the 2 genomes to form a recombinant virus with portions of genes from both parent viruses. The mechanisms of mutation and recombination, which the virus uses to escape immune pressure, are readily used to escape pressure exerted by antiviral drugs, resulting in emergence of drug-resistant virus.1
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Human Leukocyte Antigens (HLA), also known as transplantation antigens, determine the immune response. We give a brief account of them, and of more complex immunology, to explain why HLA phenotype may be specifically important in HIV disease, as it is in other infectious diseases.1 Study requirements for investigating HLA-associated progression of HIV disease are illustrated with Scottish data; susceptibility to HIV infection is considered only briefly. Systematic review of published and other diverse data on three HLA associations with HIV progression is attempted, and the difficulties illustrated, for: the ancestral phenotype HLA-A1, B8, DR3 (which is associated with a range of autoimmune diseases); the allele B35 (which is common in Africans, and has been implicated empirically in HIV progression); and B27 (because Ohno2 established a theoretical basis for its association with slow HIV progression, which McNeil et al. 3 corroborated). The systematic review suggests that major HLA effects on HIV progression are equivalent to at least 20 additional years of age. We also present a partial validation of Kaslow's HLA profile score4 which models intermediate effects also, but conclude that more rigorous analysis still requires an international multi-cohort analysis workshop to be convened to map HLA effects on HIV disease progression.5,,6 The most studied genes of the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) encode for the polymorphic Human Leukocyte Antigens (HLA). These are molecules on the surface of nucleated cells which represent the major mechanism by which the T lymphocyte immune system recognizes what is \`self' from \`non-self'. There are three classes of MHC genes: class I, encoding HLA-A, B and C, which are found on all nucleated cells; class II, encoding HLA-DR, DP and DQ, which are located on immune cells, namely: B lymphocytes, activated T lymphocytes and macrophages; and class III, of which more …
Article
A selective advantage against infectious disease associated with increased heterozygosity at the human major histocompatibility complex [human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class I and class II] is believed to play a major role in maintaining the extraordinary allelic diversity of these genes. Maximum HLA heterozygosity of class I loci (A, B, and C) delayed acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) onset among patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus–type 1 (HIV-1), whereas individuals who were homozygous for one or more loci progressed rapidly to AIDS and death. The HLA class I alleles B*35 andCw*04 were consistently associated with rapid development of AIDS-defining conditions in Caucasians. The extended survival of 28 to 40 percent of HIV-1–infected Caucasian patients who avoided AIDS for ten or more years can be attributed to their being fully heterozygous at HLA class I loci, to their lacking the AIDS-associated alleles B*35 and Cw*04, or to both.
Article
Increasing evidence indicates that potent anti-HIV-1 activity is mediated by cytotoxic T lymphocytes (CTLs)1-3; however, the effects of this immune pressure on viral transmission and evolution have not been determined. Here we investigate mother-child transmission in the setting of human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-B27 expression, selected for analysis because it is associated with prolonged immune containment in adult infection. In adults, mutations in a dominant and highly conserved B27-restricted Gag CTL epitope lead to loss of recognition and disease progression. In mothers expressing HLA-B27 who transmit HIV-1 perinatally, we document transmission of viruses encoding CTL escape variants in this dominant Gag epitope that no longer bind to B27. Their infected infants target an otherwise subdominant B27-restricted epitope and fail to contain HIV replication. These CTL escape variants remain stable without reversion in the absence of the evolutionary pressure that originally Selected the mutation. These data suggest that CTL escape mutations in epitopes associated with suppression of viraemia will accumulate as the epidemic progresses, and therefore have important implications for vaccine design.