Conference Paper

Virtual worlds as fuzzy cognitive maps

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Abstract

Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) can structure virtual worlds. FCMs link causal events, values, goals, and trends in a fuzzy feedback dynamical system. They direct actors in virtual worlds as the actors react to events and to one another. In nested FCMs each causal concept can control its own FCM. This combines levels of fuzzy systems that can choose goals or move objects. Adaptive FCMs change as causal patterns change. They adapt with differential Hebbian learning. FCMs are applied to an undersea virtual world of dolphins

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... These CMs help with the identification of key concepts and their interactions in a system of interest, however, no dynamical analysis of the system through time is possible due to the qualitative nature and uncertainty in numerical data obtained, which makes the formulation of mathematical models difficult [3]. Nearly a decade later, Kosko [4] introduced Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) as a tool to model the behaviour of qualitative systems [3,5,6]. Like CMs, FCMs are a graphical representation of a system with nodes representing concepts and weighted links between these nodes explaining their relationship. ...
... FCMs intended goal is to model qualitative SD. However, FCMs proposed by Kosko [4] and his later works [5,6,31,38,39,40,41] have inherent limitations, which, several scholar has tried to address. Papageorgiou and Salmeron [8] has reviewed these advances from a SD perspective while Carvalho [3] and Nair et al. [11] have reviewed these from the perspective of modelling complex qualitative SD. ...
... The unit-time the system is modelled is six hours. The system or each perceptron layer is simulated using the Equation 5. This is similar to Equation 1, however, this method of simulation was designed by Yesil et al. [7] and uses fuzzy algebra (or fuzzy multiplication) to retain fuzziness and ambiguity during simulations [2]. ...
Article
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Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) have been used to quantitatively model the dynamics of complex systems and predict their behaviours. However, they are usually unable to address the issues arising from time lags between causes and effects. Accordingly, Generalized Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (GFCMs) have been introduced to overcome this problem. This article deals with a breed of GFCMs that addresses time lags between cause(s) and effect(s), demonstrated by a case-study that deals with the social, economic and technological consequences of heavy rainfall in Kampala, Uganda. The results show that the inclusion of time lags alters both, the final steady-state values of the social, economic and technological consequences of heavy rainfall and the time taken to stabilise. Thus, the inclusion of time lags increases the reliability of GFCMs as a means to quantitatively model the dynamics of complex systems.
... Нечеткие когнитивные карты изучались и использовались в различных областях техники и точных наук [2]. Их роль особенно важна при исследовании поведения сложных динамических систем [3], [18], [5]. Это связано с тем, что неопределенность человеческих знаний влияет на определение и обработку данных в таких системах [6]. ...
... ( , ∨, ∧) -решетка; 3 Векторные решетки еще называются -пространствами, которые были введены Л. В. Канторовичем и др. в [13] 4 возможен вариант полукольца 5 В кольце без делителей нуля это условие превращается в условие изотонности: ...
Preprint
Multi-valued neural networks and cognitive maps generalize similar fuzzy concepts to the case of lattice values of weights and variables. In this case, the formulas use lattice operations instead of the sum, product, and T-norm. However, on the lattice it is additionally possible to define the multiplication and/or the sum externally. The article discusses various general methods for such a definition and the application of their particular cases in modeling the operation of a photo-wind generator using a cognitive map and predicting the stability of a model process using associative memory. (in Russian)
... Differential Hebbian Learning (DHL) was suggested in [61,9] based on the Hebbian theory [62]; it is the first Hebbian-Based algorithm proposed by Dickerson and Kosko. In DHL, the weight matrices are modified when the value of corresponding concepts changes. ...
... Differential Hebbian Learning (DHL) [61,9] 10 Balance Differential Algorithm (BDA) [ ...
Preprint
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Among various soft computing approaches for time series forecasting, Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM) have shown remarkable results as a tool to model and analyze the dynamics of complex systems. FCM have similarities to recurrent neural networks and can be classified as a neuro-fuzzy method. In other words, FCMs are a mixture of fuzzy logic, neural network, and expert system aspects, which act as a powerful tool for simulating and studying the dynamic behavior of complex systems. The most interesting features are knowledge interpretability, dynamic characteristics and learning capability. The goal of this survey paper is mainly to present an overview on the most relevant and recent FCM-based time series forecasting models proposed in the literature. In addition, this article considers an introduction on the fundamentals of FCM model and learning methodologies. Also, this survey provides some ideas for future research to enhance the capabilities of FCM in order to cover some challenges in the real-world experiments such as handling non-stationary data and scalability issues. Moreover, equipping FCMs with fast learning algorithms is one of the major concerns in this area.
... Differential Hebbian Learning (DHL) was suggested in [61,9] based on the Hebbian theory [62]; it is the first Hebbian-Based algorithm proposed by Dickerson and Kosko. In DHL, the weight matrices are modified when the value of corresponding concepts changes. ...
... Differential Hebbian Learning (DHL) [61,9] 10 Balance Differential Algorithm (BDA) [ ...
Preprint
Full-text available
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) have emerged as an interpretable signed weighted digraph method consisting of nodes (concepts) and weights which represent the dependencies among the concepts. Although FCMs have attained considerable achievements in various time series prediction applications, designing an FCM model with time-efficient training method is still an open challenge. Thus, this paper introduces a novel univariate time series forecasting technique, which is composed of a group of randomized high order FCM models labeled R-HFCM. The novelty of the proposed R-HFCM model is relevant to merging the concepts of FCM and Echo State Network (ESN) as an efficient and particular family of Reservoir Computing (RC) models, where the least squares algorithm is applied to train the model. From another perspective, the structure of R-HFCM consists of the input layer, reservoir layer, and output layer in which only the output layer is trainable while the weights of each sub-reservoir components are selected randomly and keep constant during the training process. As case studies, this model considers solar energy forecasting with public data for Brazilian solar stations as well as Malaysia dataset, which includes hourly electric load and temperature data of the power supply company of the city of Johor in Malaysia. The experiment also includes the effect of the map size, activation function, the presence of bias and the size of the reservoir on the accuracy of R-HFCM method. The obtained results confirm the outperformance of the proposed R-HFCM model in comparison to the other methods. This study provides evidence that FCM can be a new way to implement a reservoir of dynamics in time series modelling.
... FCMs like CMs is a graphical representation of a system with nodes representing concepts and weighted links between these nodes explaining their relationship. FCMs, as explained in [5,12,13,14,15,16] are increasingly been used to model and analyse the behaviour of qualitative systems [17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30]. Over the last 30 years, this fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) approach has become increasingly popular due to the ease of design and the low computational requirements for simulating qualitative SD [31,32], largely using two forms of application, and connected data use and generation: 1) the deductive approach-employing knowledge that is gathered by interviewing experts from the area of application; 2) the inductive approach-an automated and semi-automated approach designed for learning FCM rules based on historical data [21,33,24,34,35]. ...
... Kosko [7] introduced fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) as a tool for capturing and explaining the behaviour of dynamic qualitative systems [7][8][9]. FCMs, as explained in [7,[10][11][12] are increasingly been used to model and analyse the behaviour of qualitative systems [13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. Over the last 30 years, this fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) approach has become increasingly popular due to the ease of design and the low computational requirements for simulating social system dynamics [21,22] , largely using two forms of application, and connected data use and generation: (1) the deductive approachemploying knowledge that is gathered by interviewing experts from the area of application; (2) the inductive approach-an automated and semi-automated approach designed for learning FCM rules based on historical data [13,16,19,20,[23][24][25][26][27][28]. ...
... biological system [1][2][3], climate models [4], traffic systems [5]), multi-agent system [6,7]; social simulations [8][9][10] and fuzzy cognitive maps (FCM) (e.g. modeling of virtual worlds [11], economic & business [12,13] medicine [14][15][16][17], production system [18][19][20]. In this paper, since a FCM is considered a useful tool to modeling dynamical system as a decision support and forecast tool, our focus is on FCM. ...
... (5a), the rule could be represented as in eqs. (10)(11). ...
Chapter
In the search of modeling methodologies for complex systems various attempts have been made, and so far, all have been inadequate in one thing or another leading the pathway open for the next better tool. Fuzzy cognitive maps have been one of such tools, although mainly used for decision making in what-if scenarios, they can also be used to represent complex systems. In this paper, we define an approach of fuzzy inference system based fuzzy cognitive map for modeling dynamic systems, where the complex model is defined by means of fuzzy IF-THEN rules which represent the behavior of the system in an easy to understand format, therefore facilitating a tool for complex system design. Various examples of dynamic systems are shown used as a means to demonstrate the ease of use, design and capability of the proposed approach.
... This was introduced to model the intensity of the change when event occurs only to some degree (Kosko, 1986). More specifically, a FCM model is a graph-based knowledge representation (Dickerson & Kosko, 1993) which models a static or dynamic system using causal dependencies between a set of n nodes V = (v 1 , v 2 , …, v n ). The intensity of causal connection between pair of nodes < v i , v j > is evaluated by assigning fuzzy weights (w i → j ∈ [− 1, 1]), where v i is the pre-synaptic (causal) node and v j is the post-synaptic (effect) node. ...
... In the augmented FCM method, the adjacency matrices provided by all experts are added to obtain the final diagraph-based FCM model (Dickerson & Kosko, 1993). This approach does not need that experts change their former opinions to obtain a consensus as in the Delphi methodology (Salmeron, 2009). ...
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The on-going offshore outsourcing processes have resulted in complex, global and more vulnerable supply chain to disruptions. However, a good supplier choice would preserve or even improve supply chain resilience. Despite this critical potential effect, this topic remains relatively underdeveloped in the literature. Accordingly, this study proposes a coupled method based on Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM) and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The final model shows the impact of locational decision in offshore outsourcing process on supply chain resilience. Moreover, it allows simulating locations scenarios over time through an inference process. The simulations foresee the impacts of three alternative locations on capabilities required in a resilient supply chain. The sensitivity analysis of the findings reveals that one location would improve supply chain resilience meanwhile the others would damage it. This FCM-AHP analysis enhances the understanding of academics and practitioners about the importance of locations criteria and their influence in the supply chain resilience capabilities.
... First, the Hebbian rule-based learning algorithms. These methods [23][24][25] share a com-mon feature is that they use iterative methods to learn the weight matrix of FCMs. Second, the population-based algorithms. ...
Article
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Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) learning is a hot topic in recent years. However, as the number of concepts increases in FCMs, it is difficult to learn the sparse and robust FCMs from a small amount of data, especially from noise data. In this paper, a new large-scale FCMs learning method based on the sparse regression of adaptive loss function is presented, marked as AQP-FCM. Adaptive loss function and L1\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$L_1$$\end{document}-norm are introduced in the model to deal with noise data. We solve the model by ADMM method and quadratic programming method to learn the FCMs better. Moreover, the convergence of model is proved. We did a series of experiments under the synthetic data of time series and noise synthesis data. AQP-FCM is also applied to reconstruct gene regulatory network (GRNs). The results of the experiments show that the proposed AQP-FCM method has good performance.
... One option is to have expert-defined weights. The other option is to infer the casual relationships of an FCM using a wide range of learning methods [22], including Hebbian methods [23]- [25], evolutionary learning methods [26]- [29], and various combinations of the two [30]- [32]. In addition to the above methods, FCM causal relationships can be determined using inverse function [33], pseudoinverse matrix [34], and backpropagation algorithm [35]. ...
Article
One drawback of using the existing one-step forecasting models for long-term time series prediction is the cumulative errors caused by iterations. In order to overcome this shortcoming, this article proposes a trend-fuzzy-granulation-based adaptive fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) for long-term time series forecasting. Different from the original FCM-based forecasting models, a class of trend fuzzy information granules is built to represent the trend, fluctuation range, and trend persistence of various segments of time series, which are more instrumental and comprehensive than simple magnitude information. Thus, the proposed forecasting model is a granular model according to the form of its inputs and outputs. In an original FCM-based forecasting model, the causal relationships among concepts remain unchanged throughout the training of the whole dataset, however, in reality, the causal relationships may change with the state of concepts. Therefore, it is unreasonable to use the invariable causal relationships which often result in poor predictions. In view of this, we construct an adaptive FCM where different causal relationships are built to forecast concepts of different states. This is the first time to forecast trend fuzzy information granules using an adaptive FCM. Compared with the existing classical forecasting models, the proposed forecasting model achieves superior performance which is verified through a series of experimental studies.
... Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) are soft computing tools that have proven their adequate performance to analyze the interrelationships between variables in processes. FCMs are a combination of fuzzy logic and neural networks, which are graphical representations used to illustrate causal reasoning with a structure that allows backward or forward progress and performing direct and inverse correlation analysis between related events (Dickerson & Kosko, 1994). ...
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Meeting quality characteristics of products and processes is an important issue for customer satisfaction and business competitiveness. It is necessary to integrate new techniques and tools that improve and complement traditional process variables analysis. This paper proposes a new methodological approach to analyze process quality control variables using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps.
... However, causal relationships among concepts are unknown in some cases and need to be learned from experimental data. The literature offers a wide range of FCM learning methods [26], including Hebbian methods [27]- [29], evolutionary learning methods [30]- [33], and various combinations of these two methods [34]- [36]. In the Hebbian method, FCMs are obtained by the iterative optimization scheme, which is very fast. ...
Article
A fuzzy cognitive map (FCM) is a graph-based knowledge representation model wherein the connections of the nodes (edges) represent casual relationships between the knowledge items associated with the nodes. This model has been applied to solve various modeling tasks including forecasting time series. In the original FCM-based forecasting model, causal relationships among concepts of the FCM remain unchanged. However, causal relationships may change in time. Therefore, we propose a new learning method for training an FCM resulting in an adaptive FCM which consists of several sub-FCMs. It can select different sub-FCMs at different moments. In an active processing scenario, in which we deal with a large-scale time series with new data being continuously generated, a forecasting model built on the old data should be updated when the new data arrive. Furthermore, retraining an FCM from scratch entails increasing computing overhead that will become a serious obstacle in many practical scenarios. To overcome the above-mentioned shortcomings, this study offers an original design setting in which the FCM is updated by knowledge-guidance learning mechanism for the first time. Compared with the existing classical forecasting models, the proposed model shows higher accuracy and efficiency. Its increased performance is demonstrated through a series of reported experimental studies.
... Слід зазначити, що в англомовних джерелах математично-кібернетичного характеру іноді зустрічається й ширше тлумачення когнітивних картяк умовних схематичних моделей, на які спирається суб'єкт у процесі інтелектуального вирішення завдань, що передають причиннонаслідкові зв'язки між певними об'єктами, і які можуть бути зображені у вигляді систем пов'язаних графів [14; 18]. Зокрема, Б. Коско запропонував термін «нечіткі когнітивні карти» (FCM-fizzy cognitive maps) -своєрідні моделі віртуальних світів, у яких каузальними зв'язками поєднуються певні події, діючі сторони, цінності, цілі, напрямки (тенденції) тощо [14]. Відомо, що FCM використовувались західними політологами та політичними діячами (зокрема, Г. Кіссінджером) при аналізі геополітичних проблем [18]. ...
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The results of theoretical analysis of the phenomenon of mental (cognitive) maps are presented. The essence, structure and features of these forms of spatial representations are considered. Different views among scientists regarding the structural components of mental maps, their similarity with geographical maps are described. There is conclusion the perspective of using this theoretical concept in the researches of number applied psychological problems.
... Papageorgiou, Stylios, & Groumpos, 2003), es el algoritmo de tipo Hebbiano (sin uso de datos históricos) con mejores resultados. Stach, Kurgan y Pedrycz comparan el algoritmo NHL contra los algoritmos: Algoritmo Hebbiano Diferencial (DHL) de (Dickerson & Kosko, 1993), Algoritmo Diferencial Balanceado (BDA) de (Vázquez-Huerga, 2002), Algoritmo Hebbiano Activo (AHL) de (E.I. Papageorgiou, Stylios, & Groumpos, 2004) y Hebbiano No-Lineal dirigido por dato (DDNHL) de (Stach, Kurgan, & Pedrycz, 2008). ...
Technical Report
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This research presents a methodology for the extraction of knowledge, based on the Essence standard charts, which is based on the modeling of the casual relationships Tbetween the different characteristics in software projects. It uses a framework of software project features (MCPS-R) created by our research group using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM)
... It has a structure that can express the structure of systems with related events. It allows receiving feedback on the status of the system over time [37]. FCM, when first proposed by Bart Kosko in 1986, suggests that the relationships between concepts must be fuzzified, and the developments in this area have been initiated. ...
... Therefore, qualitative systems analysis or qualitative modelling [6] is increasingly being used for analysing the dynamics of complex systems. Kosko [7] introduced fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) as a tool for capturing and explaining the behaviour of dynamic qualitative systems [7][8][9]. FCMs, as explained in [7,[10][11][12] are increasingly been used to model and analyse the behaviour of qualitative systems [13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. Over the last 30 years, this fuzzy cognitive mapping (FCM) approach has become increasingly popular due to the ease of design and the low computational requirements for simulating social system dynamics [21,22] , largely using two forms of application, and connected data use and generation: (1) the deductive approachemploying knowledge that is gathered by interviewing experts from the area of application; (2) the inductive approach-an automated and semi-automated approach designed for learning FCM rules based on historical data [13,16,19,20,[23][24][25][26][27][28]. ...
Article
Full-text available
Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs) were developed as a tool for capturing and modelling the behaviour of qualitative system dynamics. However, several drawbacks have been identified that limit FCMs ability in simulating the behaviour of qualitative system. This paper addresses the limitations of FCMs in modelling complex qualitative system dynamics and proposes a generalised Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) approach that is able to overcome those limitations. This approach uses fuzzy rules to represent the dynamics of concepts and relations, including time dynamics of relations and introduces a multistep simulation approach that can use several single layer perceptrons to simulate the dynamics of concepts and relations overtime. This approach also incorporates the fuzziness and ambiguity widely associated with expert knowledge when representing and simulating the dynamics of concepts and relations. In this paper, the design of the proposed generalised FCM approach is explained and demonstrated for a real-world case of the consequences of high intensity rainfall in Kampala City, Uganda. This generalised FCM approach creates a new perspective and an alternative approach to model the behaviour of complex qualitative system dynamics using FCMs.
... In our work we borrow the problem statement proposed in [12]: hence, we apply a Hebbian-based algorithm called differential Hebbian learning (DHL) algorithm [36]. The main drawback of this method is that the formula updates weights between each pair of concepts without considering the influence of other concepts. ...
Article
Future networks are expected to provide improved support for several different kinds of applications and services. All these services will have diverse characteristics and requirements to be satisfied. A potential technology to upgrade efficiently and effectively current generation networks is virtualisation via network ’softwarization’. This approach requires the combination of software-defined networking and network function virtualisation. Nevertheless, such a new complex network structure will raise further issues and challenges to be solved both reactively and proactively, without human intervention. In order to achieve that, academia and industry have identified the solution in the implementation and deployment of machine learning. Hence, very likely, 5G (and especially beyond 5G) networks will be cognitive virtualised networks. In that context, this article proposes a cognitive software-defined networking architecture based on Fuzzy Cognitive Maps. First, specific design modifications of Fuzzy Cognitive Maps are proposed to overcome some well-known issues of this learning paradigm. Second, the efficient integration with a software-defined networking architecture is presented and analysed. Finally, the emulation of a sample network scenario via Mininet is provided to validate the effectiveness and the potential of the new cognitive system and its capability to act and to adapt independently of human intervention.
... FCMs can also apply driving agents' behaviors or decisions in agent-based models (ABMs). Prior work (Dickerson & Kosko, 1993) shows how lone or combined FCMs can govern the behavior of agents or virtual actors. These behaviors can be simple or complex ...
Chapter
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Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) model feedback causal relations in interwoven webs of causality and policy variables. FCMs are fuzzy signed directed graphs that allow degrees of causal influence and event occurrence. Such causal models can simulate a wide range of policy scenarios and decision processes. Their directed loops or cycles directly model causal feedback. Their nonlinear dynamics permit forward‐chaining inference from input causes and policy options to output effects. Users can add detailed dynamics and feedback links directly to the causal model or infer them with statistical learning laws. Users can fuse or combine FCMs from multiple experts by weighting and adding the underlying fuzzy edge matrices. The combined FCM tends to better represent domain knowledge as the expert sample size increases if the expert sample approximates a random sample. Many causal models use more restrictive directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and Bayesian probabilities. DAGs do not model causal feedback because they do not contain closed loops. Combining DAGs also tends to produce cycles and thus tends not to produce a new DAG. Combining DAGs can produce an FCM. FCMs trade the numerical precision of Bayesian causal systems for pattern approximation, fast and scalable computation, and rich feedback representation. We show how FCMs can apply to the social scientific problem of public support for insurgency and terrorism and to US–China relations in Graham Allison's Thucydides' trap framework.
... FCM is used in many real-world applications, such as in international relations and political developments [60], [61]. The cognitive model has been extensively studied in the system control to enhance the control environment [62], to build failure models, to carry out effect analysis [63], and to model system supervisors [64] to model actors' intelligence and decision-making support [65]. Fig. 4 shows an example of FCM. ...
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Unmanned vehicle systems are often teleoperated, semiautonomous, and strictly dependent on human operators. In complex and dynamic environments, unmanned vehicles should be autonomous in a stricter sense, which means they should exhibit a human-like behavior to be capable of accurately perceiving the environment; understanding the situation, locating and interacting with environmental elements; and reporting solutions to humans. In order to address these desiderata, a modeling of a proactive, context-aware unmanned system is presented. Precisely, the system framework is designed for an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) that flies over an area, and collects data in the form of video frames, sensor values, etc. It recognizes situations, senses scene object and environment data, acquires the awareness about the evolving scenes, and, finally, takes a decision based on the perception of the overall scenario. The system design is based on two primary building blocks: 1) the semantic web technologies that provide the high-level object description in the tracked scenario, and 2) the fuzzy cognitive map model that provides the cognitive accumulation of spatial knowledge in order to discern specific situations that need a decision. Although the paper presents a UAV-based surveillance system model, its applicability is shown based on a realistic case study (viz., broken car on the highway); moreover, several possible scenario configurations have been simulated to assess the criticality level perceived by the system (UAV) in a given situation and to validate the effective response/decision in the case of critical situations.
... This level of the augmentation is often more challenging. However, a simple mathematical average of the values of a connection as proposed by experts in input FCMs is often sufficient [28]. ...
... Его основной инструменткогнитивная карта ситуации, т.е. математическая модель, представленная в виде ориентированного взвешенного (или функционального) графа [Kosko, 1986;Dickerson, Kosko, 1994]. Примерами применения когнитивного подхода для исследования социально-экономических систем могут служить работы российских авторов [Лавреш, Миронов, Смирнов, 2011; Солохин, 2009], но в отличие от них построенная нами модель агрегированным образом охватывает всю социально-экономическую систему выбранной для исследования территории. ...
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Chapter
This chapter gives a short introduction to Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCMs). It starts with the origin and first applications of Cognitive Maps, then describes the theoretical background of FCMs. Based on the cognitive model, simulations can be performed in order to predict the dynamic behavior of the system and support decision making tasks. The widely applied variations of implementation details are also covered, including their effect on model properties and behavior. A simple example is given to help understanding the theoretical parts, and a short outlook is provided to the possible ways of model creation, too.
Chapter
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Chapter
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We believe that computer animation in the form of narrated animated simulations can provide an engaging, effective and flexible medium for instructing agents in the performance of tasks. However, we argue that the only way to achieve the kind of flexibility needed to instruct agents of varying capabilities to perform tasks with varying demands in work places of varying layout is to drive both animation and narration from a common representation that embodies the same conceptualization of tasks and actions as Natural Language itself. To this end, we are exploring the use of Natural Language instructions to drive animated simulations. In this paper, we discuss the relationship between instructions and behavior that underlie our work and the overall structure of our system. We then describe in some what more detail three aspects of the system - the representation used by the Simulator, the operation of the Simulator and the Motion Generators used in the system.
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Most animals have significant behavioral expertise built in without having to explicitly learn it all from scratch. This expertise is a product of evolution of the organism; it can be viewed as a very long term form of learning which provides a structured system within which individuals might learn more specialized skills or abilities. This paper suggests one possible mechanism for analagous robot evolution by describing a carefully designed series of networks, each one being a strict augmentation of the previous one, which control a six legged walking machine capable of walking over rough terrain and following a person passively sensed in the infrared spectrum. As the completely decentralized networks are augmented, the robot's performance and behavior repertoire demonstrably improve. The rationale for such demonstrations is that they may provide a hint as to the requirements for automatically building massive networks to carry out complex sensory-motor tasks. The experiments with an actual robot ensure that an essence of reality is maintained and that no critical problems have been ignored.
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Fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs) are fuzzy-graph structures for representing causal reasoning. Their fuzziness allows hazy degrees of causality between hazy causal objects (concepts). Their graph structure allows systematic causal propagation, in particular forward and backward chaining, and it allows knowledge bases to be grown by connecting different FCMs. FCMs are especially applicable to soft knowledge domains and several example FCMs are given. Causality is represented as a fuzzy relation on causal concepts. A fuzzy causal algebra for governing causal propagation on FCMs is developed. FCM matrix representation and matrix operations are presented in the Appendix.
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Complex social systems are difficult to represent. Relationships between social forces demand feedback. For example, the causal connection between commodity price and consumer demand is a feedback system. Price increase tends to decrease demand for some commodities. On the other hand, an increased demand tends to elevate price. A stable system settles into equilibrium. A dynamic system is needed to model shifts in equilibrium brought about by changes in the causal environment. The knowledge-based expert system lacks the intrinsic structure for modeling these effects. Internally, all expert systems depend on these representations. Some attempt to simulate unrestricted graphs with virtual registers and loop counters. The result is a semantic gap between the internal representation of the social system and the social system itself. This article presents the Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) alternative to the expert system. We first describe the FCM. We then diagram several social systems. Finally, we show a method for combining credibility-weighted FCMs to achieve a single global knowledge base.
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Uncertain causal knowledge is stored in fuzzy cognitive maps (FCMs). FCMs are fuzzy signed digraphs with feedback. The sign (+ or -) of FCM edges indicates causal increase or causal decrease. The fuzzy degree of causality is indicated by a number in [−1, 1]. FCMs learn by modifying their causal connections in sign and magnitude, structurally analogous to the way in which neural networks learn. An appropriate causal learning law for inductively inferring FCMs from time-series data is the differential Hebbian law, which modifies causal connections by correlating time derivatives of FCM node outputs. The differential Hebbian law contrasts with Hebbian output-correlation learning laws of adaptive neural networks.FCM nodes represent variable phenomena or fuzzy sets. An FCM node nonlinearly transforms weighted summed inputs into numerical output, again in analogy to a model neuron. Unlike expert systems, which are feedforward search trees, FCMs are nonlinear dynamical systems. FCM resonant states are limit cycles, or time-varying patterns. An FCM limit cycle or hidden pattern is an FCM inference. Experts construct FCMs by drawing causal pictures or digraphs. The corresponding connection matrices are used for inferencing. By additively combining augmented connection matrices, any number of FCMs can be naturally combined into a single knowledge network. The credibility wi in [0, 1] of the ith expert is included in this learning process by multiplying the ith expert's augmented FCM connection matrix by wi.Combining connection matrices is a simple type of adaptive inference. In general, connection matrices are modified by an unsupervised learning law, such as the differential Hebbian learning law. Under special conditions, differential Hebbian dynamical systems are proved globally stable: they resonate on fixed-point attractors.
Conference Paper
The author describes a carefully designed series of networks, each one being a strict augmentation of the previous one, which control a six-legged walking machine capable of walking over rough terrain and following a person passively sensed in the infrared spectrum. As the completely decentralized networks are augmented, the robot's performance and behavior repertoire demonstrably improve. The rationale for such demonstrations is that they can help identify requirements for automatically building massive networks to carry out complex sensory-motor tasks. The experiments with an actual robot ensure that an essence reality is maintained and that no critical disabling problems have been ignored. The present work is based on the drawing of analogies between evolution in the animal world and robotic evaluation
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An additive fuzzy system can uniformly approximate any real continuous function on a compact domain to any degree of accuracy. An additive fuzzy system approximates the function by covering its graph with fuzzy patches in the input-output state space and averaging patches that overlap. The fuzzy system computes a conditional expectation E|Y|X| if we view the fuzzy sets as random sets. Each fuzzy rule defines a fuzzy patch and connects commonsense knowledge with state-space geometry. Neural or statistical clustering systems can approximate the unknown fuzzy patches from training data. These adaptive fuzzy systems approximate a function at two levels. At the local level the neural system approximates and tunes the fuzzy rules. At the global level the rules or patches approximate the function
Arhficial Reality II, Second Edition
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Animation from Instructions" in Making Them Move: Mechanics, Control, and Animation of Articulated Figures
  • N I Badler
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