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BRI in Central Asia: Overview of Chinese Projects

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Abstract and Figures

This data article summarises the analysis of 261 Chinese projects in Central Asia. The findings indicate that trade promotion and industrial development are the sectors where there is most BRI-related activity in Central Asia. The total number of projects in these areas approximates the number of projects in all other areas combined. These sectors also receive most investment. In terms of the number of implemented projects, roads is the second key sector, followed by energy. However, due to larger project sizes, energy receives more funds than roads. The majority of Chinese projects in Central Asia are bilateral.
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Central!Asia!Regional!Data!Review!20!(2019)!1–5.!
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BRI!in!Central!Asia:!Overview!of!Chinese!Projects!
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Farkhod!Aminjonov,a,b,*!Alina!Abylkasymova,b!Anna!Aimée,b!Bahtiyor!Eshchanov,b,c!Daniyar!
Moldokanov,b!Indra!Overland,b,d!Roman!Vakulchuk!b,d!
!!
a!College!of!Humanities!and!Social!Sciences,!Zayed!University!
b!Central!Asia!Data-Gathering!and!Analysis!Team!(CADGAT)!
c!Westminster!International!University!in!Tashkent!
d!Norwegian!Institute!of!International!Affairs!(NUPI)!
*!Corresponding!author:!F.!Aminjonov;!Email!address: farkhod.aminjonov@zu.ac.ae;!a_farkhod@yahoo.com!
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!
A!B!S!T!R!A!C!T!
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This!data!article!summarises!the!analysis!of!261!Chinese!projects!in!Central!Asia.!The!findings!indicate!that!trade!
promotion!and!industrial!development!are!the!sectors!where!there!is!most!BRI-related!activity!in!Central!Asia.!The!
total!number!of!projects!in!these!areas!approximates!the! number! of! projects! in! all! other!areas!combined.!These!
sectors!also!receive! most! investment.!In! terms! of!the! number! of! implemented!projects,! roads! is! the! second! key!
sector,! followed! by! energy.! However,! due! to! larger! project! sizes,!energy! receives!more! funds! than! roads.! The!
majority!of!Chinese!projects!in!Central!Asia!are!bilateral.!
!
Keywords:!BRI,!China,!Central!Asia,!Kazakhstan,!Kyrgyzstan,!Tajikistan,!Turkmenistan,!Uzbekistan!
!
Background+
Chinas!main!strategic!document!devoted!to!BRI!is!
“Vision! and! Actions! on! Jointly! Building! the! Silk!
Road! Economic! Belt! and! the! 21st-Century!
Maritime!Silk!Road,”!published! in! March!2015.!As!
highlighted! in! that! document,! BRI! “is! aimed! at!
promoting!the! orderly! and! free! flow! of! economic!
factors,!highly!efficient!allocation!of!resources!and!
deep! integration! of! markets;! encouraging! the!
countries! along! the! Belt! and! Road! to! achieve!
economic! policy! coordination! and! carry! out!
broader!and!more!in-depth!regional!cooperation!of!
higher! standards;! and! jointly! creating! an! open,!
inclusive! and! balanced! regional! economic!
cooperation! architecture! that! benefits! all.”
1
!The!
definition! of! BRI!outlined! in! the! document!is! all-
encompassing!in!nature!and!it!can!be!applied!with!
equal!success! to! different! contexts.! Therefore,! the!
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!
1
For!more!detail,!see:!
http://www.beltandroadforum.org/english/n100/2017/0410/c22-
45.html!!
2
!Vakulchuk,! Roman! and! Indra! Overland! (2019)! “China’s! Belt! and!
Road!Initiative!through!the!Lens!of!Central!Asia”,!in!Fanny!M.!Cheung!
term!BRI! itself!is! broad!and! general!and! it!opens!
the! room! for! a! diversify! of! meanings! and!
interpretations.!
!
What+is+a+BRI+project?!
China! has! actively! promoted! Belt! and! Road!
Initiative! (BRI)! projects! in! Central! Asia! since!
2013.
2
!However,!there! are!no!commonly!accepted!
definitions! or! key! determinants! of! what! makes!
project!part!of!BRI.!We!regard!Chinese!projects!in!
Central! Asia! as! part! of! BRI! if! they! satisfy! the!
following!criteria:!!
!
publicly!reported!as!a!BRI!project;!
fully!or!partially!financed! by! the! BRI!financial!
institutions:! Asian! Infrastructure! Investment!
Bank!(AIIB),!China!Development!Bank,!Export
Import!Bank!of!China!or!New!Silk!Road!Fund;!!
and!Ying-yi! Hong!(eds)!Regional! Connection!under!the! Belt!and! Road!
Initiative.! The! Prospects! for! Economic! and! Financial! Cooperation.
London:!Routledge,!pp.!115133.!Available!at:!!
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/329310641!
Central!Asia!Data-Gathering!and!Analysis!Team!
CADGAT
Central!Asia!Regional!Data!Review!19!(2019)!1–5.!
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2!
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launched!after!the!first!announcement!of!BRI!in!
2013;!!
implemented!and!financed!in!either!a!bilateral!
format!(between!China!and!one!of!the!Central!
Asian!states)! or!a! multilateral! format! (among!
three!or!more!parties).!!
In!this!and!other!data!articles!on!BRI!(see!CADGAT!
data!articles!no.!21-27),!Chinese!projects!that!meet!
all!or!some!of!these!criteria!are!considered!part!of!
BRI.! Other!projects!are! simply! Chinese! bilateral!
projects! implemented! in! Central! Asian! countries;!
they!are!also! presented!in! this!article.!This!article!
provides! a! detailed! description! of! projects! that!
have! been!implemented,! have! been! cancelled,!or!
are!still!in!the!planning!stage.!
Data!on!the!261!projects!were!gathered!by!
one! researcher! from! each! Central! Asian! country!
and! were! drawn!from! official!statistics,! local! and!
international! media!news,! government!press!
releases,! interviews!and! reports.! Data! collection!
was!carried!out!between!August!2018!and!January!
2019.!
! We! divide! projects! into! four! major!
categories!that! correspond! to!the! four! BRI!
priorities:!(a)!rail!and!road!connectivity,!(b)!energy!
connectivity,! (c)! trade! promotion! and! industrial!
development!and!(d)!people-to-people!projects.!In!
addition,!we!have!divided!the!trade!promotion!and!
industrial! development! category! into! four! sub-
categories:!(a)!mineral!and!petroleum!exploration,!
development! and! processing! (b)! industry,! (c)!
finance! and! IT,! and! (d)! agriculture! and! food.!
Because! trade! promotion! and! industrial!
development!are!one!of!the!four!official!categories!
of!BRI! projects,! we!present! numbers!for! both! the!
main!category!!and!its!sub-categories.!
This!publication! is!part! of!a! series!of! data!
articles! on! Chinese! projects! in! Central! Asia!(see!
CADGAT! data! articles! no.! 21-27).! It!summarises!
some! key! numbers! across! sectors,! whereas! the!
other!articles! in! the! series!contain! more! detailed!
overviews!of!BRI!projects!in!specific!sectors.!All!the!
data! are! also! available! in! a! unified! database! in!
Excel!format!at:!!
http://osce-academy.net/en/research/cadgat/!
!
Definitions+
Financing+–!Sources!of!funding!for!each!project!are!
identified!and!presented.!
Commercial! interests! –! A! project! is! classified! as!
“commercial”,!if!the!parties!promoting!it!primarily!
pursue!commercial!goals.!
Strategic! interests!–!A! project! is! classified! as!
“strategic”,!if!it! fits! one!of!the! broader! categories,!
particularly!strengthening!connectivity.!
Connection! to! BRI! –! If! a! project! is! announced!
publicly!as!part!of!BRI,!then!it!is!classified!as!a!“BRI!
project”.!
Local! project!–!A! project! is! classified! as! “local”,! if!
the! infrastructure! or! facility! constructed! and!
services!provided,!are!limited!to!a!specific!country.!
Regional! project! –! A! project! is! classified! as!
“regional”,! if! it! is! part! of! the! bigger! regional!
initiative,!which!includes!more!than!one!country.!
Bilateral+–!A!project!is!classified!as!“bilateral”,!if!an!
agreement!for!project!implementation!is!signed!by!
the!Chinese!government!or!a!Chinese!company,!as!
one! party,!and! one! of! the! Central! Asian!
governments!or!companies!as!the!other.!
Multilateral+–! A! project! is! classified! as!
“multilateral”,! if! an! agreement! for! project!
implementation!is!signed!by!three!or!more!parties,!
including! the! Chinese! or! Central! Asian!
governments,! multilateral! financial! institutions!
(AIIB,! China! Development! Bank,! ExportImport!
Bank!of!China!or!New!Silk!Road!Fund)!and!private!
enterprises.!
!
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Central!Asia!Regional!Data!Review!20!(2019)!1–5.!
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3!
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Table!1.!Number!of!China’s!BRI!and!bilateral!projects!in!Central!Asia!
!
Sectors!
Total+
number++
by+sector+
Kazakhstan+
Tajikistan+
Uzbekistan+
Turkmenistan+
Total+by+country+
261+
102!
44!
43!
26!
Trade!and!industrial!
development!
131+
61!
17!
24!
12!
Rail!and!road!connectivity!
51+
14!
16!
5!
5!
Energy!connectivity!
48+
20!
7!
12!
4!
People-to-people!projects!
31+
7!
4!
2!
5!
!
+
+
+
+
+
!
!
!
!
Table!2.!Breakdown!of!China’s!BRI!and!bilateral!trade!and!industrial!development!projects!
!
Sectors!
Total+
number++
by+sector+
Kazakhstan+
Tajikistan+
Kyrgyzstan+
!
Trade!and!industrial!
development!
131+
61!
17!
17!
Mineral!and!petroleum!exploration,!
extraction!and!processing!projects!
47+
23!
3!
9!
Industry!
44+
17!
6!
3!
Agriculture!and!food!
26+
17!
6!
2!
Finance!and!IT!
14+
4!
2!
3!
!
!
!
!
!
Table!3.!Total!investment!of!Chinese!projects!in!Central!Asia!(USD!mln)!
+
!
!
!
!
!
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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3
!Here!and!throughout:!“NA”!means!“no!information!has!been!found/is!available”.!
+
Total!
by!country+
Rail+and+
road+
connectivity+
Energy+
connecti
vity+
Industry++
Agricultu
re+and+
food+
Mineral+and+
petroleum+
exploration+
and+
processing+
Finance+
and+IT+
People-to-
people+
projects+
Total+by+sector+
136+251.06+
23+499.74!
35+693.8!
12+299.55!
1+451.88!
55+159.65!
8+100!
46.44!
Kazakhstan!
90!862.43!
14!539.3!
18!849.5!
10!545.5!
1!049.63!
37!778.5!
8!100!
NA!
Turkmenistan!
24!842.5!
1!402.5!
9!410!
NA!
NA!
14!03!
NA!
NA!
Tajikistan!
10!518.7!
4!515.9!
4!516!
679,8!
342!
465!
NA!
NA!
Kyrgyzstan!
5!391.68!
1!773.04!
2!713!
150.8!
31.55!
676.85!
NA!
46.44!
Uzbekistan!
4!635.75!
1!269!
205.3!
923.45!
28.7!
2!209.3!
NA!
NA!
!
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Central!Asia!Regional!Data!Review!20!(2019)!1–5.!
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4!
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!
Table!4.!Number!of!bilateral!vs.!multilateral!Chinese!projects!in!Central!Asia!
!
!
!
Table!5.!Number!of!commercial!vs.!strategic!Chinese!projects!in!Central!Asia!
!
+
Total!by!country!
Road+
infrastructure+
Energy+connectivity+
Trade+and+industrial+
development+
People-to-people+
projects+
!
Commerc.!
Strateg.!
Commerc.!
Strateg.!
Commerc.!
Strateg.!
Commerc.!
Strateg.!
Commerc.!
Strateg.!
Total+by+sector+
135+
126+
6+
45+
25+
23+
102+
28+
2+
29+
Kazakhstan!
70!
32!
3!
11!
10!
10!
57!
4!
0!
7!
Kyrgyzstan!
12!
34!
0!
11!
1!
4!
9!
8!
2!
11!
Tajikistan!
22!
22!
2!
14!
4!
3!
16!
1!
0!
4!
Uzbekistan!
28!
15!
0!
5!
10!
2!
18!
6!
0!
2!
Turkmenistan!
3!
23!
1!
4!
0!
4!
2!
10!
0!
5!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
Table!6.!Number!of!local!vs.!regional!Chinese!projects!in!Central!Asia!
!
+
Total!by!country!
Road+infrastructure+
Energy+connectivity+
Trade+and+industrial+
development+
People-to-people+
projects+
!
Local!
Regional!
Local!
Regional!
Local!
Regional!
Local!
Regional!
Local!
Regional!
Total+by+sector+
209+
52+
27+
24+
37+
11+
123+
7+
21+
10+
Kazakhstan!
96!
6!
13!
1!
16!
4!
60!
1!
7!
0!
Kyrgyzstan!
29!
17!
5!
6!
4!
1!
13!
4!
7!
6!
Tajikistan!
28!
16!
4!
12!
6!
1!
16!
1!
2!
2!
Uzbekistan!
39!
4!
3!
2!
11!
1!
23!
1!
2!
0!
Turkmenistan!
17!
9!
2!
3!
0!
4!
12!
0!
3!
2!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
!
+
Total!by!country!
Road+
infrastructu
re+
Energy+
connectivity+
Trade+and+
industrial+
development+
People-to-people+
projects+
!
Bilateral!
Multil.!
Bilateral!
Multil.!
Bilateral!
Multil.!
Bilateral!!
Multil.!
Bilateral!
Multil.!
Total+by+sector+
237+
24+
33!
18!
46!
2!
127!
3!
30!
1!
Kazakhstan!
100!
2!
13!
1!
20!
0!
60!
1!
7!
0!
Kyrgyzstan!
41!
5!
8!
3!
5!
0!
16!
1!
12!
1!
Tajikistan!
35!
9!
8!
8!
6!
1!
17!
0!
4!
0!
Uzbekistan!
38!
5!
2!
3!
11!
1!
23!
1!
2!
0!
Turkmenistan!
23!
3!
2!
3!
4!
0!
12!
0!
5!
0!
!
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+
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+
+
+
+
+
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+
Central!Asia!Regional!Data!Review!20!(2019)!1–5.!
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5!
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!
+
About+CADGAT+and+Central+Asia+Regional+Data+Review+
+
The!Norwegian!Institute!of!International!Affairs!(NUPI)!and!the!OSCE!Academy!established!the!Central!Asia!Data-
Gathering!and!Analysis!Team!(CADGAT)!in!2009.!The!purpose!of!CADGAT!is!to!produce!new!cross-regional!data!on!
Central!Asia!that!can!be!used!free!of!charge!by!researchers,!journalists,!NGOs,!government!employees,!and!students,!
both!inside!and!outside!the!region.!The!data!articles!can!be!found!at!http://osce-academy.net/en/research/cadgat/!
!
The!following!CADGAT!data!articles!have!been!published:!
!
1.!Hydroelectric!dams!and!conflict!in!Central!Asia!
2.!The!narcotics!trade!and!related!issues!in!Central!Asia!
3.!Language!use!and!language!policy!in!Central!Asia!
4.!The!transportation!sector!in!Central!Asia!
5.!Road!transportation!in!Central!Asia!
6.!Gender!and!politics!in!Central!Asia!
7.!Political!relations!in!Central!Asia!
8.!Trade!policies!and!major!export!items!in!Central!Asia!
9.!Intra-regional!trade!in!Central!Asia!
10.!Trade!barriers!and!tariffs!in!Central!Asia!
11.!Holidays!in!Central!Asia.!Part!I:!Laws!and!official!holidays!
12.!Holidays!in!Central!Asia.!Part!II:!Professional!and!working!holidays!
13.!Media!in!Central!Asia:!Print!Media!
14.!Media!in!Central!Asia:!TV!
15.!Media!in!Central!Asia:!Radio!
16.!Renewable!energy!policies!of!the!Central!Asian!countries!
17.!Wind!power!potential!of!the!Central!Asian!countries!
18.!Solar!power!potential!of!the!Central!Asian!countries!
19.!Hydropower!potential!of!the!Central!Asian!countries!
20.!BRI!in!Central!Asia:!Overview!of!Chinese!projects!
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CADGAT! has! also! produced! a! database! on! Elites! in! Central! Asia,! which! can! be! found! at! http://osce-
academy.net/_dbelite/!
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©!2019!by!the!authors.!This!is!an!open!access!publication!under!the!terms!
and! conditions! of! the! Creative! Commons! Attribution! (CC! BY)! license!
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).!The!material!can!be! used!
freely,!as!long!as!a!reference!to!this!article!is!included.!
... It was joined by the representatives of more than 130 states and 70 international organizations. The forum revealed that the initiative will work on five regions of development i.e., policy, infrastructure, trade, financial and people-to-people connectivity (Vakulchuk et al., 2019). ...
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This chapter analyzes the cooperation of China with two Central Asian countries—Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan—within the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), its positive and negative impacts on the economies of the two countries. The chapter discusses the projects implemented within the economic spheres of the BRI including FDI and infrastructure projects. The chapter questions what role the BRI plays for the countries of Central Asia in the globalization process. Specifically, it questions what infrastructure projects have been implemented between the two countries and their economic impacts on the Kyrgyz Republic and the Republic of Kazakhstan.KeywordsBRIChinaCentral AsiaKazakhstanKyrgyzstaneconomics
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This paper revisits the question of choice between regionalism and multilateralism in trade relations of Central Asia introduced by Pomfret (2005). Our study is motivated by a significant restoration of economic links between the former Soviet republics following Russian accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO), the creation of the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), and the formation of new trade ties with Vietnam, Iran, and Serbia. Above all, there have been substantial commitments made by the three Central Asian republics of Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan toward a multilateral system under the WTO rules. To this end, we apply a multi-region gravity model with interdependent trade flows using bilateral trade data of Tajikistan and Uzbekistan to study the ex-ante effects of economic integration with various bilateral, plurilateral, and multilateral partners. Our findings indicate the existence of considerable gains if the aforementioned economies would ascend to the EAEU in comparison to integration with China or Iran. We also document the presence of shared economic links between Tajikistan, Central Asia, and Turkey.
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