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Finite Source Simulation of Near-Fault Strong Motion Records from the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan Earthquake

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The stochastic method for finite fault is applied to simulate near-source ground motions from the 21 September 1999, Mw 7.6 Chi-Chi, Taiwan dip-slip earthquake. We simulated accelerograms, peak ground motions, and response spectra from 35 strong motion stations within a distance of about 10 km from the ruptured fault plane. The simulations are in good agreement with the examined records. However, the stochastic predictions are better constrained at distances >1.5 km. This primarily is attributed to the significant near-fault effects at the close vicinity of the ruptured plane related to this earthquake.
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8th International Congress on Civil Engineering,
May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
Finite Source Simulation of Near-Fault Strong Motion Records
from the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan Earthquake
Hossein Tahghighi1, Kazuo Konagai2
1University of Kashan, Ravand Street, Kashan, P.O.BOX: 87317-51167, Iran
2Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, Tokyo 153-8505, Japan
tahghighi@kashanu.ac.ir
Abstract
The stochastic method for finite fault is applied to simulate near-source ground motions from the 21
September 1999, Mw 7.6 Chi-Chi, Taiwan dip-slip earthquake. We simulated accelerograms, peak ground
motions, and response spectra from 35 strong motion stations within a distance of about 10 km from the
ruptured fault plane. The simulations are in good agreement with the examined records. However, the
stochastic predictions are better constrained at distances >1.5 km. This primarily is attributed to the
significant near-fault effects at the close vicinity of the ruptured plane related to this earthquake.
Keywords: Stochastic, Finite source, Near-fault, Strong motion.
1. Introduction
We have been expanding cities in the past several decades without paying enough attention to seismic faults.
With a rapid population growth in the 20th century, many people are now living in disaster prone areas where
nobody used to live. The 1999 Kocaeli earthquake in Turkey and 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake in Taiwan
showed the devastating effects of fault rupture on dwellings and civil infrastructures. This is a serious threat
to mega cities spreading over active fault traces, and is posing us difficult problems about minimizing the
fault-rupturing-related damage. Near-fault motions are noticeably influenced by the forward directivity when
the fault rupture propagates toward a site and by permanent ground displacement, so called ‘fling-step’,
resulting from tectonic movement. These pulse-type motions have been identified as critical in the elastic and
inelastic design of engineering structures subjected to near-fault records [1- 4].
Stochastic modeling of earthquake radiation has been widely applied to predict strong ground motions
treating causative fault as a point source. The point-source approach resulted in successful predictions at high
frequency (f 2 Hz) and as far as the fault is located at distance large compared to its dimension [5, 6].
However, at near-source regions of large earthquakes and at low-to-intermediate frequencies (0.1< f <2 Hz),
finite-source modeling technique has been an important part of ground motion prediction [7-10]. Beresnev
and Atkinson [11] have developed a procedure for the stochastic simulation of strong motion from finite fault
ruptures. The fault plane is discretized into elements, each element is treated as a small source; similar to
Boore [6]. This method has been applied to consider rapture along finite fault plane in various tectonic
environments.
In this paper, we simulate the strong ground motion of the Mw 7.6, 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan earthquake
from a vast near-source database by using the stochastic method for finite faults [11, 12]. We modeled
accelerograms, peak ground motions, and response spectra from all available strong motion stations. The
database includes all records within a distance of about 10 km from the ruptured fault [13]; mainly located at
sites with very stiff soils. We simply used generic site amplification based on estimated average shear-wave
velocity over the upper 30 m, Vs30 [14]. Our primary targets are to investigate how near-fault effects related
to this earthquake affected the distribution of strong ground motions and whether the employed stochastic
method is capable of predicting broadband ground motion time histories. From an engineering standpoint,
these results are important for structures with intermediate-to-long natural periods (T 0.5 Sec). Such
structures, if located near a large active fault, could be subjected to significantly higher long-period
amplitudes in the direction normal to the fault.
2. Near-source strong ground motions database
The database compiled in this study consists of a comprehensive strong ground motions that were observed at
stations located within about 10 km from the activated Chelungpu fault during the Mw7.6 1999 Chi-Chi,
8th International Congress on Civil Engineering,
May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
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Taiwan earthquake (see Fig. 1). Detailed information including station names, site classifications,
hypocentral distances, closest distances to the fault plane, and geographical coordinates of the stations are
provided in Table 1. The hypocentral distances, R, range from 9.4 to 63.8 km.
Stations TCU065, TCU084, TCU129, and WNT were recorded the top fourPGA . However, these
four stations have questionable records from the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake and their records should be used
with caution [16]. These stations are denoted by an asterisk at the right side of their name in Table 1.
Excluding these problematic stations, the mean and median of PGA at the examined near-fault stations are
281.9 and 231.9 Gal respectively which is fairly low for an event of magnitude Mw7.6. The recorded low
peak ground accelerations during the mainshock of the Chi-Chi event has been related to the effect of
faulting mechanism and geometry [17, 18].
(b) (a)
Figure 1. (a) Distribution of 441 Accelerograph stations that recorded the 1999 Mw 7.6 Chi-Chi, Taiwan
earthquake (after [15]). (b) 35 near-fault stations with closest distance to rupture plane less than about 10 km;
used in this study.
3. Simulation method
This section provides a summary and application to the stochastic finite-fault radiation modeling proposed by
Beresnev and Atkinson [11] to synthesize near-source ground motions from the 1999, Mw7.6 Chi-Chi,
Taiwan earthquake. This method involves discretization of a rectangular fault plane into smaller elements
(subfaults), each of which is assigned an 2
ω
Brune point source spectrum. The contributions from all
subfaults are empirically attenuated to the observation site and summed to produce the synthetic acceleration
time history. A simple kinematic model of the Hartzell [7] type is used to simulate the rupture propagation,
which is assumed to start at the hypocenter and radially propagate from it. There is no intention to
reintroduce the stochastic modeling of the near-source Chi-Chi earthquake (see [16] for more details).
Following [16], a rectangular fault with 89 km long and 30 km wide, a strike of 5 deg, and an easterly dip of
30 deg was divided into 10×3 subfaults (see Fig. 2). The seismic moment of th
ij subfault, 0ij
m, is controlled
by its relative slip weight,Sij , and seismic moment for the entire fault plane, 0
M
, as follows [11].
00/( )
11
nl nw
mMS S
pq
ij ij pq
=∑∑
==
(1)
The total number of subfaults is equal to
N
nl nw
=
×. The seismic moment of the subfault in Eq. 1 is related
to its length
L
and stress drop of σ [11] by
03
.mLσ= (2)
8th International Congress on Civil Engineering,
May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
3
Table 1. Near-fault strong ground motions database considered in this study.
R d Lat. Lon.
PGAEW PGANS PGA
No. Station Site Side (km) (km) (oN) (oE) (cm/s/s) (cm/s/s) (cm/s/s)
1 CHY024 S Fw 25.4 7.7 23.76 120.61 276.4 162.1 219.3
2 CHY028 sr Fw 33.6 2.3 23.63 120.61 624.4 749.9 687.2
3 CHY101 S Fw 33.0 7.7 23.69 120.56 333.0 390.5 361.8
4 NSY+ sr Fw 63.8 9.7 24.42 120.76 119.4 115.1 117.3
5 TCU+ S Fw 37.1 5.0 24.15 120.68 200.5 187.1 193.8
6 TCU049 s Fw 39.7 2.7 24.18 120.69 273.4 240.9 257.2
7 TCU051 s Fw 39.4 6.9 24.16 120.65 156.8 231.0 193.9
8 TCU052 sr Hw 40.4 0.8 24.20 120.74 349.8 438.1 394.0
9 TCU053 s Fw 42.0 4.6 24.19 120.67 225.0 132.1 178.6
10 TCU054 s Fw 38.5 4.7 24.16 120.68 143.3 190.4 166.9
11 TCU055 s Fw 36.7 6.5 24.14 120.67 257.1 208.5 232.8
12 TCU060 s Fw 46.1 8.5 24.22 120.64 196.9 101.1 149.0
13 TCU065
*
s Fw 27.9 0.1 24.06 120.69 773.3 563.3 668.3
14 TCU067 s Fw 29.8 0.2 24.09 120.72 488.6 312.9 400.8
15 TCU068 s Hw 48.5 0.2 24.28 120.77 500.6 364.1 432.4
16 TCU071 r Hw 17.4 4.1 23.99 120.79 517.8 637.5 577.7
17 TCU072 s Hw 22.9 6.8 24.04 120.85 467.2 370.5 418.9
18 TCU074 sr Hw 20.7 11.4 23.96 120.96 585.0 368.4 476.7
19 TCU075 sr Fw 22.2 0.6 23.98 120.68 325.4 257.3 291.4
20 TCU076 r Fw 17.9 2.3 23.91 120.68 340.5 419.7 380.1
21 TCU078 s Hw 9.4 5.4 23.81 120.85 438.2 302.4 370.3
22 TCU082 s Fw 37.1 5.0 24.15 120.68 222.3 182.5 202.4
23 TCU084
*
r Hw 12.0 10.4 23.88 120.90 989.4 422.8 706.1
24 TCU087 sr Fw 56.2 5.8 24.35 120.77 119.3 111.7 115.5
25 TCU089 sr Hw 10.7 6.2 23.90 120.86 346.1 223.9 285.0
26 TCU101 sr Fw 45.8 1.5 24.24 120.71 207.7 253.6 230.7
27 TCU102 r Fw 46.3 0.6 24.25 120.72 298.3 170.0 234.2
28 TCU103 s Fw 53.0 4.4 24.31 120.71 126.6 149.4 138.0
29 TCU110
*
s Fw 29.5 11.6 23.96 120.57 177.7 187.8 182.8
30 TCU116 s Fw 25.7 11.5 23.86 120.58 185.5 132.9 159.2
31 TCU120 sr Fw 26.8 6.1 23.98 120.61 223.2 193.6 208.4
32 TCU122 s Fw 23.2 8.5 23.81 120.61 206.2 255.7 231.0
33 TCU128 sr Fw 63.8 9.7 24.42 120.76 141.1 162.9 152.0
34 TCU129
*
sr Fw 16.3 1.5 23.88 120.68 981.8 609.8 795.8
35 WNT+
sr Fw 16.3 1.5 23.88 120.68 920.5 602.0 761.3
+: Stations WNT, NSY and TCU have same location with TCU129, TCU128 and TCU082 respectively.
*: TCU065, TCU084, TCU110, TCU129, and WNT have questionable records.
s: Soil, r: Rock, sr: Soft rock.
Hw: Hanging wall, Fw: Footwall
R: Hypocentral distance.
d: Closest distance to the rupture plane.
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May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
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Lat., Lon.: Geographical coordinates, latitude and longitude.
PGAEW, PGANS: Peak Ground Acceleration in East-West and North-South directions, respectively.
PGA: Geometric average of the recorded Peak Ground Acceleration in the two horizontal directions.
Figure 2. 3D perspective of assumed fault rupture plane geometry (dimensions, dip, strike, and hypocenter) in the
1999 M7.6 Chi-Chi earthquake simulation.
Table 2. Modeling parameter
Parameter Value
Fault orientation Strike5o/Dip30o
Depth to the upper edge of fault (km) 0
Fault dimensions along strike and dip (km) 89 by 30
Subfault dimensions (km) 8.9
×
10
Crustal shear-wave velocity (km/sec) 3.2
Rupture velocity (km/sec) 0.8
×
(shear-wave velocity)
Crustal density (g/cm3) 2.7
Geometric spreading 1/R (R<50 km)
1/R0 ( 50 km
R<170 km)
1/R0.5 ( 170 km R)
Stress parameter (bar) 50.
Kappa, high-cut filter parameter (sec) 0.07
Anelastic attenuation; Q(f) 117f0.77
Site amplification Generic rock/soil
Windowing function Cosine-tapered boxcar
Radiation strength factor, controlling max. slip rate
Slip distribution 1.0
Homogeneous
Stress drop was kept constant at the value of 50 bars [12]. The attenuation effects of the propagation path
were taken into account through the empirical anelastic and geometric attenuation operators [18]. The crustal
amplification effect is then modeled by multiplying the spectrum by the frequency-dependent factors
proposed for generic rock sites in Western North America, WNA, described by shear-wave velocity Vs30
[14]. Table 2 summarizes all parameters, i.e. simulation domain, source parameters, wave propagation
effects, used in the employed stochastic method for synthesizing of ground motions (see [16] for details).
4. Results and discussions
After screening out the problematic records, ground accelerations, response spectra, and peak ground motions
are simulated from the stochastic scheme for finite fault. In Fig. 3, the observed and simulated acceleration
time histories, synthesized by stochastic finite fault model, at four representative near-fault stations have been
compared. As shown in this figure, the PGA, S-wave part of both the east-west and north–south observed
acceleration components (top two traces) and ground motion durations are well matched with the random
8th International Congress on Civil Engineering,
May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
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synthesized horizontal accelerograms (bottom traces). The simulated motions have the same sampling
interval (0.005 sec) as the recorded traces to which they are compared. Figure 4 compare the observed and
simulated peak ground accelerations, PGAs, synthesized by stochastic finite fault model at the near-source
stations shown in Table 1. The observed PGA at each site was calculated as the geometric average of the
PGAs of the two horizontal components; i.e. PGA in Table 1. Bias of simulated ground motions as a
function of hypocentral distance and closest distance to the rupture plane were shown in Figs. 4a and 4b
respectively. Bias is defined as the logarithm (base 10) ratio of the observed to the predicted PGAs. Peak
ground accelerations are generally well reproduced, except from very few stations where an error of more
than a factor of 2 is observed. Taking into account the complexity of the examined event, the simplicity of
the method and the fact that local site effect were basically calculated based on amplification factors
suggested for generic sites, the fit can be considered very satisfactory. The obtained results in [16] showed a
satisfactory match between synthetics and observed response spectra as well.
Figures 5 shows comparison between the stochastic simulations and observed response spectra at
frequencies of 0.2 Hz and 5.0 Hz. Comparisons are plotted as function of distance to fault according to GSA
and NSR models, respectively. The results are in a general agreement with each other in the distance range
considered in this study. However, the observed spectra exceed the predictions by a significant amount at low
frequencies (f = 0.20 Hz) for distances less than 1.5 km from the fault. At larger distances, the simulations
agree well with the recorded spectra.
Figure 6 plots the mean residuals for the near-fault stations in the two distance ranges of 0 – 1.5 km
and 1.5 – 10 km, respectively. At distances less than 1.5 km from the fault and at lower frequencies (f <#1
Hz), the stochastic finite-fault method tends to under-predict the ground motions by a significant factor of 2.5
(0.4 log units). It is possible that this underestimation is due to the effects of near-source forward directivity
and fling-related long-period behaviors.
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
CHY024
Obs SN, PGA = 0.28 g
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
Acceleration (cm/sec/sec)
Obs SP, PGA = 0.17 g
010 20 30 40
-150
0
150
Time (sec)
Sim, PGA = 0.26 g
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
TCU075
Obs SN, PGA = 0.33 g
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
Acceleration (cm/sec/sec)
Obs SP, PGA = 0.26 g
010 20 30 40
-150
0
150
Time (sec)
Sim, PGA = 0.32 g
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
TCU120
Obs SN, PGA = 0.23 g
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
Acceleration (cm/sec/sec)
Obs SP, PGA = 0.20 g
010 20 30 40
-150
0
150
Time (sec)
Sim, PGA = 0.19 g
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
TCU122
Obs SN, PGA = 0.21 g
20 30 40 50 60
-150
0
150
Acceleration (cm/sec/sec)
Obs SP, PGA = 0.26 g
010 20 30 40
-150
0
150
Time (sec)
Sim, PGA = 0.24 g
Figure 3. Comparison between observed and synthetic acceleration time histories at four representative ground
motion stations. The upper two wave forms are the recorded horizontal components (strike–normal and strike–
parallel), whereas the bottom traces are the predicted stochastic horizontal component using Generic Site
Amplification (GSA) scheme of Boore and Joyner [14]. The PGA is also shown for each accelerogram.
8th International Congress on Civil Engineering,
May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
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010 20 30 40 50 60 70
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
BJ, Obs(avg of EW and NS) & Sim(Sto)
Hypocentral distance, dH (km)
PGA; Log(Obs/Sim)
(a)
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
BJ, Obs(avg of EW and NS) & Sim(Sto)
Distance-to-fault, dR (km)
PGA; Log(Obs/Sim)
(b)
Figure 4. Bias of simulated strong ground motions, showing the logarithmic ratio of average observed horizontal
PGA to synthetic PGA versus (a) earthquake hypocentral distance, dH, at the near-fault stations depicted in
figure 1-b. (b) closest distance to rupture plane, dR, at the same stations. Simulated spectra have been amplified
according to GSA model.
5. Conclusions
We simulated a comprehensive near-source ground motions that were recorded during the 1999 Chi-Chi
earthquake using the stochastic finite-fault method. The near-source zone was assumed to be restricted to
within a distance of about 10 km from the ruptured fault. The results show a satisfactory match between
synthetics and observed accelerograms and also response spectra, although significant discrepancies were
observed at individual sites. To generate more accurate ground motion time histories at specific locations,
more reliable source and attenuation parameters as well as site-specific response functions would be useful.
We concluded that the mean ratio of simulated to observed spectra is very close to unity for frequencies
larger than about 1 Hz, whereas at lower frequencies and very close-to-fault distances (d <1.5 km) there is a
systematic under-prediction. Therefore, the stochastic method for finite-fault provides a sound basis for
estimation of ground motions at near-fault regions on average. However, the method may lack in adequate
prediction of exceptional waveforms with strong long-period velocity pulses and large permanent ground
displacements at near-fault sites sufficiently close to the rupture plane. These special aspects of near-fault
motions will be addressed in another paper.
8th International Congress on Civil Engineering,
May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
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0 2 4 6 8 10 12
10
1
10
2
10
3
BJ, f = 0.2 Hz, Obs & Sim(Sto)
Distance-to-fault, dR (km)
Accel. response spectrum (cm/sec/sec)
Obs.(EW)
Sim.(Sto)
(a)
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
10
1
10
2
10
3
BJ, f = 5.0 Hz, Obs & Sim(Sto)
Distance-to-fault, dR (km)
Accel. response spectrum (cm/sec/sec)
Obs.(EW)
Sim.(Sto)
(b)
Figure 5. Distribution of simulated and observed 5% damped acceleration response spectra with distance to
rupture plane. Comparisons are plotted at frequencies of (a) 0.2 Hz and (b) 5.0 Hz. Simulated spectra have been
amplified according to GSA model.
10
-1
10
0
10
1
-1
-0.8
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
BJ, Obs(EW) & Sim(Sto)
Fre
q
uenc
y
(
Hz
)
Accel. response spectrum residual; Log(Obs/Sim)
0-1.5 KM
1.5-10 KM
Figure 6. Mean residual showing the ratio of simulated to recorded spectrum, averaged over the near-source
stations depicted in Table 1, for closest distance to fault ranges, d, of 0-1.5 km and 1.5-10 km.
8th International Congress on Civil Engineering,
May 11-13, 2009, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran
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6. Acknowledgment
Partial financial support for this study was provided by the Japanese government. The first author would like
to acknowledge this research sponsorship under the postdoctoral fellowship at the University of Tokyo.
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... Stochastic finite fault modeling [4] has been widely applied to produce acceleration time series with relative large amplitude of low frequencies descritizing causative fault into elements, each element is treated as a small source [5]. However, inclusion of long-period pulses is believed to substantially improve the ability of waveform generated by the mentioned method in order to model broad-band time histories over a wide range of frequencies [6]. According to [6], the mean ratio of simulated to observed spectra from the near-source Chi-Chi earthquake is very close to unity for frequencies larger than about 1 Hz, whereas at lower frequencies and very close-to-fault distances (d <1.5 km) there is a systematic under-prediction. ...
... However, inclusion of long-period pulses is believed to substantially improve the ability of waveform generated by the mentioned method in order to model broad-band time histories over a wide range of frequencies [6]. According to [6], the mean ratio of simulated to observed spectra from the near-source Chi-Chi earthquake is very close to unity for frequencies larger than about 1 Hz, whereas at lower frequencies and very close-to-fault distances (d <1.5 km) there is a systematic under-prediction. This indicates that the employed stochastic method may lack in adequate prediction of exceptional waveforms with strong long-period velocity pulses and large permanent ground displacements at near-fault sites sufficiently close to the rupture plane. ...
... The dominant pulses are represented by square wave acceleration and one typical example of such simplified representation is shown in Fig. 3b. We determined equivalent pulse amplitudes PGVDir, by minimizing differences, by trial and error, between the amplitudes of predicted [6] and observed vibratory fault-normal velocity time histories and also corresponding quantity of response spectra. In the present work, pulse period, TDir, was explicitly estimated by the period of pulse with the largest amplitude from the velocity time histories recorded at stations shown in Fig. 1. ...
Conference Paper
Full-text available
Unique to the near-source large earthquake is the occurrence of strong impulsive long-period ground motion and surface faulting. The well-recorded time history event of the 1999 Chi-Chi earthquake has confirmed the existence of permanent displacements, referred to as 'fling-step', coupled with rupture directivity motions. The objective of this study is to characterize forward directivity and fling effects as a function of limited number of model input parameters for synthesizing broad-band time histories. The results show that the overall agreement between developed analytical methodology, and the recorded waveforms as well as the available empirically based predictive relationships is quite satisfying.
... The fault plane is discretized into elements, each element is treated as a small source, similar to Boore [5]. Although stochastic finite-fault modeling is able to produce acceleration time series with relative large amplitude of low frequencies, inclusion of long-period pulses is believed to substantially improve the ability of a broad-band waveform simulation [8]. According to Tahghighi and Konagai [8], the mean ratio of simulated to observed spectra from the near-source Chi-Chi earthquake is very close to unity for frequencies larger than about 1 Hz, whereas at lower frequencies and very close-to-fault distances there is a systematic underprediction. ...
... Although stochastic finite-fault modeling is able to produce acceleration time series with relative large amplitude of low frequencies, inclusion of long-period pulses is believed to substantially improve the ability of a broad-band waveform simulation [8]. According to Tahghighi and Konagai [8], the mean ratio of simulated to observed spectra from the near-source Chi-Chi earthquake is very close to unity for frequencies larger than about 1 Hz, whereas at lower frequencies and very close-to-fault distances there is a systematic underprediction. This indicates that the employed stochastic method has not adequately described the coherent long-period pulses that may control the period, duration and amplitude of near-fault ground motions at periods longer than about 1 s. ...
... The recorded low peak ground accelerations during the mainshock of the Chi-Chi event has been related to the effect of faulting mechanism and geometry [16]. It is noted that strong velocity pulses and large permanent displacements had almost appeared at the 10 nearest stations; all within 1.5 km except one within 2.3 km to the fault plane [8]. Ground motion stations located within this very narrow bandwidth will serve as a basis for the calibration of the proposed analytical near-fault model (see Figure 1(c)). ...
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Unique to the near-source region of a large earthquake is the occurrence of strong impulsive ground motion and surface faulting referred to as ‘fling-step’ motion. The objective of this study is to synthesize broad-band time histories over a wide range of frequencies by characterizing rupture directivity and fling effects from the comprehensive strong motion database of the near-fault Chi-Chi event. To aid in the generation of these special types of ground motions, a hybrid modeling technique is introduced based on the stochastic finite-fault radiation method and an efficient analytical approach to incorporate the observed low-frequency features in the records close to the ruptured fault. The results show that the overall agreement among the developed hybrid methodology and recorded waveforms and response spectra is quite satisfying. A brief discussion on the design of infrastructures near seismic fault is also included. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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The stochastic method for simulating strong ground motions from finite faults is applied to the records of the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake. The method involves discretization of the fault plane into smaller subfaults, each of which is assigned an x 2 spectrum. The contributions from all subfaults are empirically atten-uated to the observation site and summed to produce the synthetic acceleration time history. The method is initially calibrated against the data recorded at 24 rock sites, located within 7–120 km from the mainshock hypocenter and providing a broad azimuthal coverage of the fault plane. The accuracy of the simulations is quantified through the model bias, defined as the logarithm of the ratio of the observed to simulated spectrum, averaged over all stations. The calibrated model for the Chi-Chi event has a near-zero average bias in reproducing the ground motions at rock sites in the frequency range from 0.1 to 20 Hz. An unusually low value is found for the radiation-strength factor s, controlling the high-frequency radiation level and directly related to the maximum slip velocity on the fault, compared with the mean value found for North American earthquakes. This result reflects the observed low peak ground ac-celerations of the Chi-Chi mainshock and, physically, its lower-than-usual slip ve-locities. The calibrated model is then used to simulate soil-site (site class D) records using the linear-response assumption. The simulated soil-site input motions are amplified by the weak-motion amplification functions, estimated by the spectral-ratio technique from available aftershock records. This analysis reveals an average reduction in strong-motion amplification to about 0.5–0.6 of that in weak motions, with an ac-celeration "threshold" for detectable nonlinearity near 200–300 cm/sec 2 . However, the derivation of soil-site specific weak-motion amplification was limited by the amount of aftershock data available; further improvement in the quantification of nonlinear soil response during the Chi-Chi earthquake may be possible with the release of additional aftershock datasets.
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A synthesis method is developed for estimating deterministically strong motions during the main shock, using the records of small events such as foreshocks and aftershocks which occurred within the area of the main-shock fault. This synthesis formulation is based on a kinematic source model of Haskell type and the similarity law of earthquakes. The parameters for this synthesis are found to be consistent with the scaling relations between the moments and the fault parameters such as the fault length, width and dislocation rise time. If the ratio of the main-shock moment Mo to a small event, Mo//e, is assumed to be N**3, then the main-shock fault can be divided into N multiplied by N elements, each dimension of which is consistent with that of the small event and N events at each element may be superposed with a specific time delay to correct the difference in the rise time between the main-shock and the small event and to keep a constant slip velocity between them. By means of this method, the main-shock velocity motions were synthesized using the small-event records obtained by velocity-type strong-motion seismographs for the 1980 Izu-Hanto-Toho-Oki earthquake (M equals 6. 7). The resultant synthesized motions show good agreement with the observed ones in the frequency range lower than 1 Hz.
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INTRODUCTION Ground motions from earthquakes are created by ruptures on tectonic faults. The causative faults can be considered point sources at distances large compared to the fault dimensions. At closer distances, the finite-fault effects become important. These effects are primarily related to the finite speed of rupture propagation, which causes certain parts of the fault to radiate energy much earlier than do other parts; the delayed waves then interfere, creating significant directivity effects. The duration and amplitude of ground motion become dependent on the angle of observation. Finite-source modeling has been an important part of ground-motion prediction near the epicenters of large earthquakes (Hartzell, 1978; Irikura, 1983; Joyner and Boore, 1986; Heaton and Hartzell, 1989; Somerville et al., 1991; Hutchings, 1994; Tumarkin and Archuleta, 1994; Zeng et al. , 1994). In the approach adopted in most studies, the fault plane is discretized into elements, each element is treated as a small...
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Theoretical predictions of seismic motions as a function of source strength are often expressed as frequency-domain scaling models. The observations of inter-est to strong-motion seismology, however, are usually in the time domain (e.g., various peak motions, including magnitude). The method of simulation presented here makes use of both domains; its essence is to filter a suite of windowed, stochastic time series so that the amplitude spectra are equal, on the average, to the specified spectra. Because of its success in predicting peak and rms accelerations (Hanks and McGuire, 1981), an ~-squared spectrum with a high-frequency cutoff (fro), in addition to the usual whole-path anelastic attenuation, and with a constant stress parameter (Aa) has been used in the applications of the simulation method. With these assumptions, the model is particularly simple: the scaling with source size depends on only one parameter--seismic moment or, equivalently, moment magnitude. Besides peak acceleration, the model gives a good fit to a number of ground motion amplitude measures derived from previous analyses of hundreds of recordings from earthquakes in western North America, ranging from a moment magnitude of 5.0 to 7.7. These measures of ground motion include peak velocity, Wood-Anderson instrument response, and response spectra. The model also fits peak velocities and peak accelerations for South African earthquakes with moment magnitudes of 0.4 to 2.4 (with fm = 400 Hz and Aa = 50 bars, compared to fro" 15 Hz and Aa = 100 bars for the western North America data). Remarkably, the model seems to fit all essential aspects of high-frequency ground motions for earthquakes over a very large magnitude range. Although the simulation method is useful for applications requiring one or more time series, a simpler, less costly method based on various formulas from random vibration theory will often suffice for applications requiring only peak motions. Hanks and McGuire (1981) used such an approach in their prediction of peak acceleration. This paper contains a generalization of their approach; the formulas used depend on the moments (in the statistical sense) of the squared amplitude spectra, and therefore can be applied to any time series having a stochastic character, including ground acceleration, velocity, and the oscillator outputs on which response spectra and magnitude are based.
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The high-frequency seismic field near the epicenter of a large earthquake is modeled by subdividing the fault plane into subelements and summing their contributions at the observation point. Each element is treated as a point source with an ω2 spectral shape, where ω is the angular frequency. Ground-motion contributions from the subsources are calculated using a stochastic model. Attenuation is based on simple geometric spreading in a whole space, coupled with regional anelastic attenuation (Q operator). The form of the ωn spectrum with natural n follows from point shear-dislocation theory with an appropriately chosen slip time function. The seismic moment and corner frequency are the two parameters defining the point-source spectrum and must be linked to the subfault size to make the method complete. Two coefficients, Δσ and K, provide this link. Assigning a moment to a subfault of specified size introduces the stress parameter, Δσ. The relationship between corner frequency (dislocation growth rate) and fault size is established through the coefficient K, which is inherently nonunique. These two parameters control the number of subsources and the amplitudes of high-frequency radiation, respectively. Derivation of the model from shear-dislocation theory reveals the unavoidable uncertainty in assigning ωn spectrum to faults with finite size. This uncertainty can only be reduced through empirical validation. The method is verified by simulating data recorded on rock sites near epicenters of the M8.0 1985 Michoacan (Mexico), the M8.0 1985 Valparaíso (Chile), and the M5.8 1988 Saguenay (Québec) earthquakes. Each of these events is among the largest for which strong-motion records are available, in their respective tectonic environments. The simulations for the first two earthquakes are compared to the more detailed modeling of Somerville et al. (1991), which employs an empirical source function and represents the effects of crustal structure using the theoretical impulse response. Both methods predict the observations accurately on average. The precision of the methods is also approximately equal; the predicted acceleration amplitudes in our model are generally within 15% of observations. An unexpected result of this study is that a single value of a parameter K provides a good fit to the data at high frequencies for all three earthquakes, despite their different tectonic environments. This suggests a simplicity in the modeling of source processes that was unanticipated.
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A method is presented for modeling earthquake strong ground motion, which uses the aftershocks associated with a large earthquake as Green's functions. A major earthquake, with a large rupture surface, is modeled by a collection of point sources distributed over the fault plane. The response of each point source is approximated by the ground motion of the closest associated aftershock. By using the aftershock responses, the effects of the true earth structure are included in the modeling process. This method is used to model the El Centro displacement record for the 1940 Imperial Valley earthquake.
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We generalize source, path, and site effects for California earthquakes as functions of magnitude and distance, based on regression analysis of 1000 Fourier acceleration spectra from 43 California earthquakes in the moment magnitude range from 4.4 to 7.4, recorded at rupture distances from 1 to 200 km. Empirically derived source spectra for California earthquakes are generally inconsistent with the spectral shape implied by a Brune (“omega-squared”) point-source model. This is manifested by magnitude- and frequency-dependence of the Brune model parameters. For example, the Brune stress parameter that best matches the data at high frequencies decreases from a value of about 120 bars at M5.5 to a value near 50 bars at M7.5. At frequencies below 1 Hz, though, source spectra have much lower spectral amplitudes than predicted by the Brune point-source model for these values of stress; this discrepancy grows with increasing magnitude. Finite-fault simulations indicate that this is a consequence of the breakdown of the validity of the point-source approximation for large ruptures. A stochastic finite-fault model, in which the fault is discretized as a number of subfaults, each of which is represented by a Brune omegasquared point source, correctly matches the observed spectral shapes and amplitudes. The spectral decay parameter kappa, representing average near-surface attenuation of high-frequency motion at rock sites, increases with increasing magnitude, from values near 0.035 sec at M5.5 to 0.050 sec at M7.5. Magnitude dependence of kappa may be interpreted as evidence of nonlinearity for typical California sites subjected to strong ground motion. Comparisons of our empirical source spectra for California to corresponding spectra for eastern North America suggest that the spectral amplitudes are similar in the two regions for low-frequency motions (f < 2 Hz for M5.5, f < 0.5 Hz for M7.5), for equivalent crustal conditions. The eastern events appear to have enhanced high-frequency near-source amplitudes relative to the California events; this is particularly pronounced for large-magnitude earthquakes.
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Analysis of more than 300 horizontal components of ground acceleration written by the San Fernando earthquake, eight other moderate-to-large California earthquakes, and seven Oroville aftershocks reveal that these acceleration time histories are, to a very good approximation, band-limited white Gaussian noise within the S-wave arrival window; the band limitation is defined by the spectral corner frequency f0 and fmax, the highest frequency passed by the accelerograph or the Earth's attenuation, and the S-wave arrival window is (0 ≦ t − R/β ≦ Td), where R is distance, β is shear-wave velocity, and Td is the faulting duration. An examination of the root-mean-square acceleration (arms) characteristics of these records for 0 ≦ t − R/β ≦ Td in terms of the relation a rms = 0.85 ( 2 π ) 106 2 Δ σ ϕ R f max f o where Δσ is the earthquake stress drop, yields the surprising result that all 16 earthquakes have stress drops, as determined by record values of arms, very nearly equal to 100 bars (within a factor of 2). The source dependence of arms thus depends solely on the parameter 1/fo, which increases only as the one-sixth power of seismic moment for constant stress drop earthquakes. Put another way, model and record arms are in agreement within a factor of 2 approximately 85 per cent of the time for Δσ = 100 bars and knowledge of 1/fo. On the basis that acceleration time histories are finite-duration, band-limited, white Gaussian noise, for any of which arms is fixed by Δσ = 100 bars and 1/fo, we can estimate the peak accelerations (amax) for all of these records with considerable accuracy (50 per cent or less). The relation is a max = a rms 2 In ( 2 f max f o ) , where arms is defined above. With less accuracy, this relation fits the peak acceleration set of Hanks and Johnson (1976) as well, again with Δσ = 100 bars. At a fixed, close distance, we determine the magnitude dependence of amax to be log amax ∝ 0.30 M for 4≲M=ML≲612, close to that recently determined empirically by Joyner and Boore (1981) for 5.0 ≦ M ≦ 7.7, their coefficient on M (moment magnitude) being 0.25 ± 0.04. In the model presented here, the magnitude dependence of peak acceleration is a function of faulting duration alone; larger earthquakes have larger peak accelerations because they last longer, not because they are intrinsically more powerful at the high frequencies controlling peak acceleration. These well-behaved characteristics of high-frequency strong ground motion also suggest that the stress differences which develop in the course of crustal faulting are comparably well behaved, both in the average stress release across the characteristic source dimension and in the spectral composition and distribution of stress differences that develop across smaller dimensions.
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Near-fault ground motions impose large demands on structures compared to ‘ordinary’ ground motions. Recordings suggest that near-fault ground motions with ‘forward’ directivity are characterized by a large pulse, which is mostly orientated perpendicular to the fault. This study is intended to provide quantitative knowledge on important response characteristics of elastic and inelastic frame structures subjected to near-fault ground motions. Generic frame models are used to represent MDOF structures. Near-fault ground motions are represented by equivalent pulses, which have a comparable effect on structural response, but whose characteristics are defined by a small number of parameters. The results demonstrate that structures with a period longer than the pulse period respond very differently from structures with a shorter period. For the former, early yielding occurs in higher stories but the high ductility demands migrate to the bottom stories as the ground motion becomes more severe. For the latter, the maximum demand always occurs in the bottom stories. Preliminary regression equations are proposed that relate the parameters of the equivalent pulse to magnitude and distance. The equivalent pulse concept is used to estimate the base shear strength required to limit story ductility demands to specific target values. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.