ArticlePublisher preview available

The effect of financial development on ecological footprint in BRI countries: evidence from panel data estimation

Authors:
To read the full-text of this research, you can request a copy directly from the author.

Abstract

This work aims to contribute to the existing literature by investigating at the impact of financial development on ecological footprint. To achieve this goal, we have employed Driscoll-Kraay panel regression model for a panel of 59 Belt and Road countries in the period from 1990 to 2016. The findings suggest that financial development increases ecological footprint. Moreover, economic growth, energy consumption, foreign direct investment (FDI), and urbanization pollute the environment by increasing ecological footprint. In addition, several diagnostic tests have been applied to confirm the reliability and validity of the results. From the outcome of the study, various policy implications have been proposed for Belt and Road countries to minimize the ecological footprint.
RESEARCH ARTICLE
The effect of financial development on ecological footprint in BRI
countries: evidence from panel data estimation
Muhammad Awais Baloch
1
&Jianjun Zhang
2
&Kashif Iqbal
3
&Zeeshan Iqbal
4
Received: 14 October 2018 / Accepted: 12 December 2018 / Published online: 7 January 2019
#Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2019
Abstract
This work aims to contribute to the existing literature by investigating at the impact of financial development on ecological
footprint. To achieve this goal, we have employed Driscoll-Kraay panel regression model for a panel of 59 Belt and Road
countries in the period from 1990 to 2016. The findings suggest that financial development increases ecological footprint.
Moreover, economic growth, energy consumption, foreign direct investment (FDI), and urbanization pollute the environment
by increasing ecological footprint. In addition, several diagnostic tests have been applied to confirm the reliability and validity of
the results. From the outcome of the study, various policy implications have been proposed for Belt and Road countries to
minimize the ecological footprint.
Keywords Financial development .Ecological footprint .Driscoll-Kraay panel regression .BRI countries
Introduction
Sound and developed financial sector plays an important
role in the countrys economic growth and improves the
economic efficiency of the financial system. Despite the
fact that financial development offers economic benefits,
there are shortcomings as financial development might
bring adverse problems to the environment and deplete
the natural resources in several ways. For instance, finan-
cial development builds consumers confidence to buy
Blarge ticket^like houses, machinery, air conditioners,
and automobiles; these raise the energy demand, in turn,
environmental issues emerge. Similarly, financial develop-
ment eliminates investment barriers for businesses through
provision of access to financial capital, ultimately investor
set up new plants and installs more machinery which in
turn consume a large amount of energy and discharges
more waste and carbon dioxide (CO
2
) emissions into the
environment (Danish et al. 2018b). On the contrary, there
are also a few existing studies suggesting that financial
development decreases pollution. For instance, Zhang
(2011) posits that financial development brings environ-
mental friendly project by promoting research and devel-
opment (R&D) that leads to reducing environmental deg-
radation. In addition, Shahbaz et al. (2016) argue that fi-
nancial development boosts investment in efficient tech-
nologies and promotes renewable energy sources, which
are less likely to harm the environment.
From the above discussion, it is clear that there is a
reasonable connection between financial development
and the environment. There is evidence in existing litera-
ture that has investigated the nexus of financial develop-
ment and CO
2
emissions (Shahbaz et al. 2013;
Charfeddine and Ben Khediri 2015;Bekhetetal.2017;
Maji et al. 2017). CO
2
emissions were widely discussed
as a factor of environmental quality. Recently, ecological
footprint is one of the comprehensive indicators of envi-
ronmental quality (Uddin et al. 2017; Katircioglu et al.
2018a). In literature, studies have identified several deter-
minants of ecological footprint, such as economic growth
Responsible editor: Philippe Garrigues
*Jianjun Zhang
jjzhang@xidian.edu.cn
Muhammad Awais Baloch
mawaisbaloch@hotmail.com
1
School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of
Technology, Beijing 100081, China
2
School of Economics and Management, Xidian University,
Xian, China
3
School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts
and Telecommunications, Beijing 100876, China
4
School of Public Administration, University of International
Business and Economics, Beijing, China
Environmental Science and Pollution Research (2019) 26:61996208
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-018-3992-9
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
... Several human-related factors that contribute to environmental degradation have been investigated, with a special focus on variables such as energy-consumption patterns. More recently, Adams and Klobodu (2018), Baloch et al. (2019), Godil et al. (2020), Tsaurai (2019) and Ju et al. (2023) have considered financial development (FD) among the crucial factors that are likely to influence environmental degeneration. As more and more countries better financially develop, they are likely to engage in unsustainable practices like the overutilisation of natural resources and environmental pollution. ...
... The first set of studies suggests a positive correlation between FD and EF (Adams and Klobodu, 2018;Baloch et al., 2019;Tsaurai, ...
... A one-unit rise in GDP per capita will promote environmental quality by −0.90%, suggesting that GDP per capita has a negative relationship with environmental quality, agreeing with Arogundade et al. (2022). In addition, the energyuse coefficient depicts a positive and statistically supported outcome at a 1% level, which recommends that a unit rise in energy use is associated with degrading environmental quality by 1.08%; the finding is compatible with Baloch et al. (2019) and Odugbesan and Adebayo (2020). ARDL Cusum tests. ...
Article
Full-text available
Introduction: The literature on the finance–emission nexus offers conflicting conclusions. This study resolves this inconsistency by investigating the symmetric and asymmetric effect of financial development on ecological footprint in South Africa, using the Environmental Kuznets Curve framework as a guide. Given the coexistence of ecological deficits and world-class financial development systems in South Africa, it is essential to explore and evaluate potential solutions to mitigating these deficits. Our empirical analysis contributes to the body of literature on the impact of financial development and ecological footprint by using a comprehensive measure of financial development and disaggregates it into its sub-indices to provide a nuanced analysis. Method: This study employs the linear auto regressive distribution lag and nonlinear auto regressive distribution lag techniques to explore the complex interactions of financial development and ecological footprint. Results and Discussion: The findings of this research indicate that financial markets and institutions seem to have varying effects on the ecological footprint. Financial market indices promote environmental quality, while financial institutions exacerbate environmental quality. These results call for policymakers to craft a watertight process that will encourage both financial markets and institutions to allocate capital to projects that are pro-environmental.
... Hence, FD catalyzes economic growth and raises living standards in the short run, creating negative externalities in the form of environmental challenges in the long term [74]. These results align with the findings of [75][76][77] and contradict those of [78,79]. However, the positive effect of HC on the EF in BRICST economies means the development of HC often results in increased income and consumption. ...
Article
Full-text available
Environmental degradation is a serious concern and its prevention strategies have become a central topic worldwide. It is widely accepted that improving environmental quality is essential for advancing sustainable development and societal well-being. From this perspective, the present research employed panel data from 1990 to 2022 from BRICST economies to assess the effects of financial development, human capital, urban population, energy consumption, and economic growth on environmental quality regarding ecological footprint. This study employs second-generation empirical techniques such as CIPS and CADF unit root tests, Westerlund bootstrap cointegration, and DFE/MG/PMG-ARDL models to examine the connections among the studied variables. The empirical findings of this study uncover that in the BRICST countries, environmental quality is exacerbated by human capital, urban population, energy consumption, and economic growth. On the other hand, financial development and GDP2 help improve environmental quality. Additionally, the interaction of the term financial development results with the terms human capital and urban population has a negative effect and reduces ecological footprint by improving environmental quality. From the policy perspective, the selected countries must implement policies that promote equitable financial resources, plan sustainable urbanization to promote compact cities and green infrastructure, and invest in green energy to address the adverse environmental consequences in BRICST economies.
... In the present day, ecological security is a signi cant scienti c and societal issue (Steffen et al., 2015;Baloch et al., 2019). From the 20th century, rapid advancements in science and technology, continuous population growth, and accelerated urbanization have powerfully propelled socio-economic development. ...
Preprint
Full-text available
Context Since entering the process of industrialization, human activities have interfered with the original ecological environment all the time, and the expansion of cities has also continuously impacted the ecological service function. Objectives In order to maintain the balance of the ecosystem and the stability of ecological security, it is very important to establish an ecological security network (ESN), particularly in the composite transitional geospace. To address this, we proposed a framework for mountainous transitional geospace by morphological spatial pattern analysis and circuit theory. Methods We take Taihang mountain area as a case, identify sources based on landscape connectivity, establish a suitable evaluation system for the mountainous transitional geospace. Then, using circuit theory to quantitate ecological key nodes and constructing the ESN. Results We found 34 ecological sources and use eight factors to form a resistance surface. The corridors primarily run north-south on the east and west, but display a mesh-like layout in the central and southern parts. Additionally, pinch points are primarily in plains or plateaus, while barriers are mainly in basins and mountainous areas. These elements integrated an ESN of "four zones and three lines". Conclusions Pay more attention to the key ecological pinch point areas and ecological barrier restoration areas, particularly basin and mountainous area. Furthermore, the protection and resotoration of cultivated land are also important to the advance of ecological security. The study provides recommendations for protection and restoration work in the Taihang Mountain area, which hold both theoretical and practical significance for ecological planning.
... FD can improve environmental quality by fostering environmentally friendly projects and promoting energy transition. However, the financial sector may also promote projects in unsustainable polluting sectors, including fossil fuel energy exploration and exploitation, leading to environmental deterioration [9]. Finally, some works have focused on industrialization as a driver of environmental quality. ...
Article
Full-text available
Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have faced environmental challenges in recent decades. This study aims to identify the contribution of digitalization, industrialization, and financial development to the ecological footprint (EF) in GCC countries between 2000 and 2021. The empirical investigation involves estimating the STochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model using the augmented mean group (AMG), common correlated effects mean group (CCEMG) and cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) estimators. The findings reveal the existence of long-term linkages between EF and the factors mentioned above. Furthermore, there is evidence that adopting digitalization and information and communication technologies (ICT) improves long-term environmental quality. In contrast, both industrialization and financial development exert detrimental effects on the environment. Finally, the JKS Granger non-causality test revealed that all variables, except financial development, predict environmental degradation in GCC countries. These findings can assist in formulating efficient strategies to reduce ecological degradation and achieve environmental sustainability in GCC countries.
Article
Bài nghiên cứu kiểm định tác động của phát triển tài chính đến suy thoái môi trường thông qua việc sử dụng dữ liệu bảng tại 31 quốc gia mới nổi và đang phát triển trong giai đoạn 1995 đến 2017. Mô hình hồi quy ngưỡng dành cho dữ liệu bảng (PTR) được sử dụng để xem xét tác động phi tuyến của phát triển tài chính đến dấu chân sinh thái. Kết quả khẳng định tồn tại một ngưỡng tác động, dù hệ số tác động trước và sau giá trị ngưỡng đều dương, tuy nhiên mức độ tác động giảm dần sau giá trị ngưỡng. Ngoài ra, nghiên cứu cũng tìm thấy mối quan hệ cùng chiều của tăng trưởng kinh tế, vốn đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài và quá trình đô thị hoá đối với suy thoái môi trường.
Article
Full-text available
This study focuses on how remittance outflow shapes the economic growth (EG) performance in leading remittance-sending nations, considering the role of trade, ICT, and human and physical capital as control variables. It utilizes panel data from 1990 to 2021 and utilizes second-generation econometric methods. Our findings reveal a cointegration among variables and show that remittance outflow is growth-enhancing in leading remittance-paying countries. Trade, capital formation, and ICT deployment positively impact economic performance and appear to be a blessing for EG. While the role of HC is insignificant, indicating that it does not affect EG. The outcome suggests that remittance outflow is not an economic problem for the remittance-paying nations; instead, they must utilize the talent and skills of migrant labor to achieve EG. Our results suggest that policymakers should concentrate on using the talent and skills of migrant labor, consider trade as a source of growth, develop policies to improve the skills and competencies of the local workforce and deploy and utilize ICT facilities effectively to achieve sustainable EG.
Article
Full-text available
Since 1990 foreign direct investment (FDI) flows have shown a significant increase both in developed and developing countries. Before the financial crisis in 2008, which affected the whole world, they had reached their highest level. Due to FDI, not only finance but also advanced technology and new industry are being provided in developing countries. Even though the 2008 crisis caused a significant global decrease of FDI, the impact of the crisis on developing and developed economies has been different. The aim of this study is to analyze the impact of the 2008 crisis on the FDI of developed, developing and undeveloped countries, and to identify the macroeconomic factors affecting FDI. In order to see the impact of the crisis on FDI in the period 2005-2011 according to the development levels of the countries panel Tobit models were estimated, and in order to analyze in detail the factors affecting FDI before, during and after the crisis according to the development level, separate cross-section Tobit models for every year were estimated. The Tobit models estimated separately for every year with the help of the cross section data thus it was possible to indicate in detail which of the variables taking place in the panel Tobit models according to the development levels were effective on FDI before and after the crisis and which ones during the crisis. The results of the estimated models have shown that the most influential factor on FDI in all the development levels is the current account balance.
Article
Full-text available
The ecological footprint, a measure of human demand on earth’s ecosystems, represents the amount of biologically productive land and sea area that is necessary to supply the resources a human population consumes and to mitigate associated waste. This study estimates the impact of economic growth and natural resources on Pakistan’s ecological footprint using an autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model for long-run estimation. The empirical findings indicate that natural resources have a positive effect on an ecological footprint that deteriorates environmental quality and that natural resources help to support the environmental Kuznets hypothesis (EKC). Bidirectional causality is found between natural resources and the ecological footprint, along with a long-run causality between biocapacity and the ecological footprint. The innovative findings have important implications for policy.
Article
Full-text available
The aim of this study is to examine the role of oil price changes in the effects of services trade and tourism on real income growth in Turkey. Time series analysis using the 1960–2017 annual period has been adapted with this respect. Results confirm the long-term impacts of tourism and services trade sectors on real income growth in Turkey. Tourism and trade (both services and manufacturing) exert positively significant effects on the long-term performance of macroeconomic activity as measured by gross domestic product. Oil prices negatively impact on real income growth of Turkey. It is also found that oil prices negatively moderate the effects of foreign trade, services trade, and tourism on real income growth in Turkey. This finding reveals that significant effects of foreign trade, services trade, and tourism on real income are negatively influenced from oil price changes.
Article
Full-text available
The present study searches the effects of international oil prices on the performance of financial sector firms in the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE). Using the daily data which range from July 3, 2006 to April 12, 2018, we found that financial performance of the ASE firms is downturn during this data period and oil prices do not impact on these performances. It is found that downward movement of financial performances in the ASE is totally independent of the movements in international oil prices.
Article
Full-text available
This study investigates the impact of Internet use, financial development, economic growth, and trade openness on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in selected European Union (EU) countries. To this end, pooled mean group (PMG) estimator is utilized for panel data from 2001 to 2014. Empirical findings suggest that Internet use has long-run relationship with CO2 emissions and lowering the environmental quality in EU countries. Also, the electricity consumption has a positive and significant effect on CO2 emissions. Moreover, interestingly, economic growth and financial development have a diminishing negative impact on CO2 emission. Heterogeneous panel Granger causality results suggest unidirectional causality running from Internet use to CO2 emissions. The finding implies that the European Union countries did not achieve the level of green information and telecommunication (ICTs) consumption. Overall, the innovative findings indicate that Internet use is raising the threat to the sustainable development. Thus, to curb and mitigate CO2 emissions from Internet use and electricity consumption is the need of time to maintain the sustainable development in EU countries.
Article
Full-text available
This study examines the contribution of financial development to environmental degradation in Saudi Arabia in the period from 1971 to 2016, controlling the model for globalization and electricity consumption. The autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) and vector error correction methods (VECM) are applied to the long-run and causal relationship, respectively. Empirical results indicate that financial development contributes to CO2 emissions and degrades environmental quality. The results also show that the role of globalization in environmental degradation is insignificant and that electricity consumption is the main culprit behind the growing CO2 emissions in Saudi Arabia. In addition, bidirectional causality exists between globalization and CO2 emissions in the long run, and financial development and CO2 emissions Granger-cause each other. Insights from the study help policymakers to understand the roles of financial development and globalization in environmental degradation and to comply with global mandate for the reduction of CO2 emissions.
Chapter
China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is a central tool for advancing China’s geopolitical ambitions. It is the flagship of China’s forceful push to be a global player to link Asia, Africa, and Europe—the world. The inspiration arises from the Ancient Silk Road, a web of roads to trade goods and exchange innovations and ideas between the countries and civilisations. Use of the route peaked during the first millennium, under the leadership of first the Roman and then Byzantine Empires and the Tang Dynasty (618–907 CE) in China. China’s Arctic interests are embedded in a “Polar Silk Road” that connects China with Europe via the Arctic. China as a “Near-Arctic State” regards that it has the right to participate in Arctic affairs in line with international legal treaties, referring to the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea.
Article
This paper empirically analyzes the ecological consequences of globalization, by employing the Ecological Footprint (EF) as a proxy for human ecological demands and the KOF index of Globalization. We develop an unbalanced data set covering 146 countries over the 1981–2009 period and are thus able to address the influence of countries’ development over time. After empirically showing that globalization is an explanatory factor of ecological demands, an Extreme Bounds Analysis (EBA) identifies a robust set of impact factors. Subsequently, specific hypotheses on economic, political, social and overall globalization guide the empirical analysis. The findings suggest that economic globalization drives the EF of consumption, production, imports and exports. Social globalization correlates negatively with the EF of consumption and production, while increasing the EF of imports and exports. No effects are found for political globalization while overall globalization is positively correlated with EFs of imports and exports. The findings show that globalization may have different effects on EFs depending on the dimension (consumption, production, exports and imports) referred to.
Article
Climate change has become a global phenomenon due to its threat to sustainable development. However, economic development plays a complementary role in both climate change and sustainability. Thus, the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis is critical to climate change policy formulation and development strategies. Accordingly, this study examined the validity of environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis by investigating the relationship between economic growth, energy consumption, financial development, and ecological footprint for the period from 1977 to 2013 in 11 newly industrialized countries. For this purpose, the study employed both augmented mean group (AMG) estimator and heterogeneous panel causality method which are suitable for dependent and heterogeneous panels. The results of the estimator show that there is an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic growth and ecological footprint. According to the causality test results, it is concluded that there is bi-directional causality between economic growth and ecological footprint.
Article
The aim of this study is to search the role of tourism development in the environmental quality for the major tourist destination countries. Ecological footprint has been selected as a proxy of environmental quality with this respect while top 10 tourist countries have been selected as samples of the study. Panel estimation results of this study show that the tourism-induced environmental Kuznets curve has been confirmed for these tourist countries which has an inverted U-shape. Tourism development in the selected countries exerts negatively significant effects on the levels of ecological footprints. Thus, this study concludes that tourism development in top tourist countries exert improving effect on the levels of environmental quality.