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A CCNY collective of faculty members representing the Spitzer School of Architecture's J. Max Bond Center for Urban Futures, The Colin Powell School for Civic and Global Leadership and the Division of Interdisciplinary Studies prepared this report.
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INWOOD REZONING PROPOSAL
REVIEW AND REPORT
Submitted
July, 25 2018
Authors:
Shawn L. Rickenbacker, Associate Professor of Architecture
John Krinsky, Professor of Political Science
Susanna Schaller, Assistant Professor, Division of Interdisciplinary Studies
City University of New York
City College of New York
INWOOD REZONING PROPOSAL Review and Report
Introduction
A CCNY collective of faculty members representing the Spitzer School of Architecture’s J. Max
Bond Center for Urban Futures, The Colin Powell School for Civic and Global Leadership and
the Center for Worker Education has reviewed the TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM 001 INWOOD
REZONING PROPOSAL CEQR No. 17DME007M ULURP Nos.: 180073MMM, 180204 [A]
ZMM, N180205 [A] ZRM 180206PPM, 180207PQM, and 180208HAM dated April 17, 2018.
FEIS issued June 14, 2018. The City College of New York was asked by New York City Council
Member Ydanis Rodriguez to review the Inwood Rezoning proposal and a Community Board 12
- Manhattan Resolution, dated March 21, 2018. The College responded by assembling a team
of researchers and research assists to review documentation to date and that which was issued
after March 21, 2018. The time frame allotted for the review and report was approximately 12
weeks. The College was asked to report findings obtained from the documentation listed above
as well as consider available information from community advocates, groups, and associated
NYC rezoning proposals. This document reports on these findings as well as presents methods
of review and analysis and mechanisms that may be considered for use in future planning,
addendums and or negotiations toward achieving a holistic and balanced future rezoning plan
for Inwood.
Premise
The goals contained within the INWOOD REZONING PROPOSAL, dated April 17, 2018
represent numerous policies and initiatives toward intelligent urban densification, increasing the
provision of housing, economic opportunity, community services, physical and cultural
preservation and advancement. Following several other New York City wide rezoning initiatives
pursued under the de Blasio administration and before that the Bloomberg administration, the
proposal represents a similar structure and framework in addition to incremental modifications
addressing current development and economic trends as well as the specificity of the Inwood
community and context. For more information on the Inwood Community see
https://www.osc.state.ny.us/osdc/rpt2-2016.pdf
An Economic Snapshot of Washington Heights
and Inwood, by Thomas P. DiNapoli New York State Comptroller Kenneth B. Bleiwas Deputy
Comptroller
. However there has been and continues to be insufficient collection and or access
of evidence and or historical data for our purposes to confirm that the rezoning frameworks
adopted and those acted upon throughout the city have resulted in equitable distribution of
economic opportunity, affordable housing, public services and or mitigated against business and
residential displacement. The lack thereof of available empirical evidence that the proposed and
adopted rezoning fulfills stated goals and correlates with either DEIS and or FEIS or corrects for
real externalities also complicates validating current policies and the associated new rezoning
proposals. With regard to local environmental economics this also indicates an immediate future
need for further related data collection and analysis such as an economic / social cost-benefit
analysis for example, that would encourage if not require agencies to refrain from any new
proposals without first performing such cost-benefit analyses.
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Furthermore there is mounting evidence that unintended consequences and highlighted
concerns raised by CB12, political leadership and community groups will be exacerbated at
least in part by the frameworks and policies contained within the rezoning initiatives.
Neighborhood indicators which support such a conclusion include, Williamsburg and Bushwick
in the Borough of Brooklyn as well as 125th Street in Harlem, each of which have undergone
rezoning and according to several recent studies have experienced larger than estimated
figures of business and residential displacement.
This document is intended to serve as an informative supplement to enhance continued
community participation, dialogue and stakeholder negotiation beyond the adoption, amending,
modifying and or rejection of a rezoning plan and or to serve as a collection of alternative
methods of impact projection, identification and instrumental mechanisms which may operate
independently and or in conjunction with an adopted and or modified rezoning. As mechanisms
they operate as parallel methods to rezoning to encourage greater distribution of the estimated
benefits and resources proposed to be available as a result of rezoning, be they, affordable
housing, incentive funds, incentive fees, affordable commercial space, community benefits,
environmental protections etc.
The CCNY report will address the following: Draft Environmental Impact Study, Affordable
Housing and Mandatory Inclusionary Housing, Commercial and Economic Development with an
emphasis on small businesses, Environmental and Resilience design guidelines with respect to
the proposed development along the Harlem River, and the MTA rail yards. Additional City
Agency documents may have been reviewed and or referred to in this report if and when they
were obtained during the review process.
The CCNY report recognizes the following agencies, NYCEDC, DCP, SBS, HPP, HPD the office
of the Manhattan Borough President Gail Brewer, the Office of Councilman Ydanis Rodriguez,
Manhattan Community Board 12, U.S. Representative Adriano Espaillat and Uptown United as
authors and contributors to the above mentioned Inwood Rezoning Proposal. Several of the
above have produced documents which provide important critical examination of the referred to
proposal, suggest community preferred preferred alternatives and request supplemental and or
revised resident and environmental protective measures. This proposal does not repeat
information already contained within those documents. The content and proposed mechanisms
presented within this document are intended to: (1) clarify correlations between proposed
measures and community impact, (2) enhance the functionality of and or, (3) act as an
addendum to the above mentioned proposal and or any proposal that may supersede it. The
proposed presented here are identified and offered as a response to concerns expressed from
the Councilman Ydanis Rodriguez’s office, Community Board 12 Resolution dated March 21,
2018 and the Uptown United Platform.
Although not all concerns pertaining to the rezoning are considered here, the concerns that
have repeatedly arisen are. They are, the AMI calculation offered in the DEIS, maximizing the
potential for affordable and deeply affordable housing, maximizing potential of affordable
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commercial space, displacement of current residents and business owners, preserving
community and cultural assets and environmental and resilience design.
Neither the information and or the proposed mechanisms contained within nor any other part of
this document is an endorsement, or recommendation in favor of, or against the Inwood
Rezoning Proposal in its current form or any alternative proposal put forth through the public
review process. The document does highlight what are identified as procedural inconsistencies
that exist amongst stated intentions, analytical methodologies that appear incongruous with
objective research and illustrates impact patterns that should be considered and weighed prior
to the adoption of this and future plans and or proposals. Additionally, new models and
mechanisms of research aimed at increasing affordable housing and economic development
are presented to illustrate their potential benefit toward innovative, participatory and equitable
future planning and development.
Authors:
Shawn L. Rickenbacker
Associate Professor, Architecture
Director, J. Max Bond Center for Urban Futures
Spitzer School of Architecture
The City College of New York
Contributing Student Researchers:
Benjamin Akhavan
Isabella Joseph
John Krinsky
Professor, Political Science
Colin Powell School for Civic and Global Leadership
The City College of New York
Susanna Schaller, PhD, AICP (S. Schaller, AICP is a resident of Inwood. She has also worked with Unified
Inwood and Uptown United. Portions of this work are also presented within this report.)
Assistant Professor
The City College of New York, CUNY
The Division of Interdisciplinary Studies
The Center for Worker Education
Contributing Student Researchers:
Luis Diaz
Colin Geraghty
Nury M. Gutierrez
Yauheniya Sharma
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Introduction:
The findings and mechanisms contained within this report are offered in the interest of the
Inwood community, and the current City and State agencies and their associated policies,
property owners and developers with an interest in equitable and sustainable community
development. This review and report, recommended indicators and the mechanisms described
within offer an independent evaluation of the best practices in inclusionary zoning and zoning
recommendations aimed at promoting equitable and sustainable urban growth while sustaining
an environment in which residential affordability is maintained and independently-owned small
businesses can continue to compete, and considers their relevance to the Inwood neighborhood
of New York City. The report exists as (1) a resource to further understand potential impacts; (2)
Illustration of forces guiding those impacts, and; (3) actionable mechanisms or tools that may be
implemented during and or after a planning and or rezoning initiative by any party to promote
best uses and continued innovation of new models toward enhancing equitable development
potential.
As frameworks for incentivized development beyond New York City endorsed Mandatory
Inclusionary Housing, community space, etc. the report allows for the interest of the community,
the City and it’s associated agencies, private owners, business owners, developers and the
public at large to coalesce as active co-development parties and encourages the use of
incentive structures toward the creation of specific community and city based assets, ideally
defined by that community. The general premise and principles of of each mechanism is offered
in brief description. It should be noted that they do not by themselves represent a singular
structure or framework of how they arranged and or operate. Each also will require some
regulatory oversight as well as legislative city adoption prior to implementation in the form of
plan modifications or amendments. Examples pertaining to other U.S. cities and agencies that
have used them are provided to illustrate models of implementation. The offered mechanisms
are intended to operate independently and or in conjunction with the allocations of dedicated
pools of capital proposed by the Mayor’s Office for rezoning areas through the Neighborhood
Fund (administered by EDC), the Rezoning Fund (administered by DEP) and the Housing and
Acquisition Funds (separate entities, both administered by HPD).
The mechanisms, address relevant research methods beyond those outlined in the CEQR
manual and DEIS guidelines. They are limited in scope due to the time allotted and only
address the following, taken from combined summaries from the Manhattan Borough
President’s Summary of Recommendation, CB12 Resolution, Uptown United and the office of
City Councilman Ydanis Rodriguez staff’s notes with stated the following priorities:
(1) Create significantly more new affordable housing with more of it accessible to the average
current Inwood residents; (2) Identify funding and funding programs to allow current tenants to
remain in their homes; (3) Provide strategies for small local businesses to remain in the
community; and ( 4) Provides opportunities for new local businesses, employment, and cultural
resources to maintain Inwood's diversity and local character.
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Lastly this report offers an independent evaluation of the best practices in identifying rezoning
proposal impact, mechanisms for inclusionary zoning, affordable and deeply affordable housing,
community based economic development, a brief catalogue of resource and literature, policy
and program review from several US cities and their relevance to the Inwood and New York
City.
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Part One:
Mechanisms for Crafting an Expanded Inclusionary Zoning
Policy
Shawn L. Rickenbacker
RESIDENTIAL BACKGROUND
A review of the Inwood Reasonable Worst Case Development Scenario (RWCDS) and the
(DEIS) Draft Environmental Impact Statement (DEIS) has revealed that the methodologies
utilized to access impact and forecast future scenarios does not account for two outlying factors,
rent stabilized apartments and underbuilt residential buildings. Each of these factors correlate
to both higher amounts of development and displacement than estimated and presented in each
of the above mentioned documents. The magnitude of such omissions is worth greater
consideration in lieu of the explicitly stated goals of the provision of affordable housing.
Rezoning historically stimulates the development of predominately new market rate residential
buildings. The adoption of a Mandatory Inclusionary Housing policy is a response to this fact in
an effort to increase and or maintain the affordable housing stock. When such new
development occurs the development market has historically responded to the increased real
estate values through new building construction which in turn increases supply in the categories
of (1) new and or (2) redevelopment of existing multifamily properties. These property types are
often described as ‘soft-sites’. Soft-sites which are not accounted for in the RWCDS and or
DEIS / FEIS do not allow for an accurate evaluation of both the redevelopment pressures
geared toward maximizing investments and or the canvassing of real estate portfolio
opportunities and expansion within the rezoning area. If such soft-sites are to undergo
redevelopment there would be increased potential of indirect displacement of low-income
residents as well as those currently paying preferential rents. Recent historical research and
evidence associated with Williamsburg, and Bushwick, Brooklyn indicate a strong correlation
between soft-sites and displacement affecting lower and moderate income communities.
Moreover this new development supply is typically delivered to the market, after rezoning
development has commenced or completed. The renewed supply is then offered at sales and
rental rates exceeding those prior to rezoning or new development. It should also be noted that
construction costs particularly in New York City have risen steadily in the last 10 years of which
these cost are typically passed along to the consumer in increased rental or purchase rates. As
development proceeds the effect is market pressure on nearby properties i.e. ‘Soft Sites” to
compete with the rise in market comparables, thus transitioning these sites into higher priced
market categories through unit transition and or displacement.
Future Planning / MTA Inwood Rail Yards
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Although several parcels, lots and publicly owned properties which lie adjacent to the
designated rezoning area have not been included in the proposal and associated studies they
deserve careful inspection and review due to their potential to inform the current and or future
proposals. Of major interest and consequence is the Inwood MTA Rail Yards which represents
a significant amount of developable real estate, estimated at 40 acres and is currently owned by
public agencies. Technically speaking this real estate is as deemed “air rights”. If the MTA and
associated agencies where to sell “air rights” above the Inwood Rail Yards, this could allow for
new diversified mixed used development, including residential, commercial, cultural, educational
and open space. More importantly the sale of such “air rights” could allow for significant
investment into Mayor de Blasio’s affordable housing initiative. The environmental performance
model potential due to its adjacency to the Harlem River is also worth noting. The CCNY report
strongly recommends that an immediate study of the feasibility, best practices of urban design
and environmental impact be initiated to ensure a comprehensive understanding of the future
impact and design that can be publicly and professionally contributed to and reviewed by the
associated agencies, institutions and Inwood community.
Current Housing and Proposed Affordability
Currently Inwood’s rental inventory consists of approximately 60% rent regulated apartments.
Of this 60% identified as rent regulated, 30% of these are preferential rent leased apartments.
This information is currently not represented and or sufficiently considered with regard to future
impacts and displacement. The rezoning plan is focused on providing affordable housing
through Mandatory Inclusion housing. This provision alone represents an estimated 1,300
affordable residential units. This number of units and its associated AMI requirements by all
accounts under serves both the current and many future inhabitants of Inwood existing outside
of the prescribed qualifications outlined by EDC and the rezoning plan.
Report Objective
Identify additional mechanisms beyond Mandatory Inclusionary Housing and encourage
affordable, and deeply affordable residential unit development. Such mechanisms could be
made available to the community, City agencies and developers for longer term refinement and
incentive development of the proposed rezoning plan. Deeply Affordable Housing appears
outside of the scope of the rezoning plan, however has been addressed by City officials,
Manhattan Community Board 12 and general community as a concern. As of this report the
aspect of affordable and deeply affordable housing will fall upon the private real estate
development market. The perceived value and incentive of MIH amongst private developers is
mixed based on a recent survey and evidenced in the unsuccessful 4650 Broadway
development proposal. Additionally funding sources and programs for such will also fall upon
private developers and or not for profit developers competing for tax credits and other available
resources across the city. Although these issues do not indicate a referendum on MIH as a
policy it does suggest that additional mechanisms could supplement the MIH policy.
Additionally these mechanisms may be applied on a case by case, sity by site basis allowing for
community, local leaders and developer collaborative development participation. The offered
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mechanisms are intended to expand resource opportunity for deeply affordable housing which
would otherwise prove insufficient in number and increasingly difficult amidst limited capital
resources and national competition for those resources (federal tax credits).
1. Restrictive Declarations
To encourage a participatory redevelopment process, community leadership in conjunction with
the relevant city agencies may seek to employ the use of Restrictive Declarations. The use and
techniques are described below, taken from the NYC Zoning Handbook.
NYC Zoning Handbook:
Special Zoning Techniques
Chapter 10
Use of Restrictive Declarations
As a condition of certain special permits and some zoning changes, the Commission may
require applicants to sign and record a restrictive declaration that places conditions on the future
use and development of their land. These conditions may be designated to control building
design or land use or to require that impacts caused by the development be mitigated by the
provision of a public space or facility.
The restrictive declaration can be useful as a way of "fine tuning" the use or bulk controls of the
standard district regulation where there are features of a site or proposed project that appear to
require specialized conditions or restrictions. It can also be useful as a way of ensuring that
such conditions and restrictions remain binding on the land even if the proposed project
presented in an application does not move forward to completion and different development
takes place.
The restrictive declaration is a covenant running with the land which binds the present owners
and all successors. It, therefore, gives notice to future owners of the conditions and restrictions
that are continuously binding on the land.
2.
Incentive Zoning/Overlay
Incentive zoning provides a bonus, usually in the form of additional floor area, in exchange for
the provision of a public amenity or affordable housing. There are incentive bonuses for the
provision of public plazas (privately owned public spaces), visual or performing arts spaces,
subway improvements, theater preservation, FRESH food stores and affordable housing
(Inclusionary Housing Program)
Incentive zoning has proven to be an effective method for a municipality to achieve the
advantages of a desired community benefit, such as providing more public amenities, increased
housing options through greater density, needed affordable housing, and a pedestrian-friendly
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environment, all of which provide a community living environment that responds to the needs
and quality of life Livable New York Resource Manual.
http://www.aging.ny.gov/LivableNY/ResourceManual/Index.cfm 2 II.2.f issues of various resident
groups, including older adults, individuals with disabilities, young-adult workers, and others.
Since incentive zoning is market-based and voluntary, no public subsidies are required for the
resulting public amenities.
Resource—examples and ordinances: “Inclusionary Housing/Bonus Density/Incentives"
Affordable Housing Ordinances/Flexible Provisions. Seattle, WA: Municipal Research and
Service Center of Washington. Links to numerous examples of inclusionary zoning:
http://www.mrsc.org/subjects/Housing/ords.aspx.
"Housing Affordable to Elderly Households," Board of Supervisors Policy—Policy No. I-79,
County of San Diego, CA: http://www.sdcounty.ca.gov/cob/docs/policy/I-79.pdf.
City of Burlington, VT< Community and Economic Development Office: 24 V.S.A Chapter 117,
Burlington Comprehensive Development Ordinance, Article 9— Inclusionary and Replacement
Housing, Part I—Inclusionary Zoning:
http://www.ci.burlington.vt.us/planning/zoning/cdo/docs/article_09_housing.pdf.
Allan Mallach (1984), Inclusionary Housing Programs: Policies and Practice. New Brunswick,
NJ: Rutgers University Center for Urban Policy Research.
Anita R. Brown-Graham (editor) (2004), Locally Initiated Inclusionary Zoning Programs: a Guide
for Local Governments in North Carolina and Beyond. Chapel
Hill, NC: University of North Carolina, School of Government. Includes: Overview of Inclusionary
Zoning, Types of Inclusionary Zoning Programs, 15 Recommendations for Local Governments
in Implementing an Inclusionary Zoning Program, Local Governments' Statutory Authority to
Engage in Inclusionary Zoning Programs, and Constitutional Limitations on Inclusionary Zoning.
http://openlibrary.org/books/OL3456007M/Locally_initiated_inclusionary_zoning _programs.
Resource—written and web: Patricia E. Salkin (2000), "Senior Housing and Zoning," New York
Zoning Law and Practice, Fourth Edition, Chapter 23. St. Paul, MN: West Group.
Patricia E. Salkin (Fall, 2003), “Zoning and land Use Planning: Where Will All the Baby Boomers
Go? Planning and Zoning for An Aging Population,” Real Estate Law Journal.
PolicyLink, New York City and Oakland, CA, a national research and action institute advancing
economic and social equity by Lifting Up What Works®, based on a belief that equity—just, fair,
and green inclusion—must drive all policy decisions:
http://www.policylink.org/site/c.lkIXLbMNJrE/b.5136441/k.BD4A/Home.htm. "Inclusionary
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Zoning Tool Kit" (2003):
http://www.policylink.org/site/c.lkIXLbMNJrE/b.5137027/k.FF49/Inclusionary _Zoning.htm.
Go To 2040, Chicago Metropolitan Agency for Planning, Chicago, IL: "Inclusionary
Zoning—Appendix: Case Studies":
http://www.cmap.illinois.gov/strategy-papers/inclusionaryzoning/references.
3.
Incentive Fee Fund, Linkage Fees, Buy Back Program
The following excerpt is taken from the City of Denver Legislation, all references, intentions and
project descriptions are part of the adopted ordinance passed in 2016.
https://denver.legistar.com/LegislationDetail.aspx?ID=3299789&GUID=6F865C83-42C3-4BAF-
B0A5-27DD3E46274B
Incentive Fee Examples:
Model City: Denver
Incentive Fee Fund, is intended to allow the a city (“City”) to fund various types of affordable and
low-income housing, and revised the DMRC (Denver Revised Municipal Code) to permit
developers to construct buildings in the IO-1 overlay at heights in excess of the base zoning—
between eight and 16 stories—as long as they build a certain amount of affordable units or, in
the case of non-residential buildings, provide community benefits commensurate with the costs
to build those additional units. The amount of affordable units required for those portions of any
building constructed above the base height permitted by the underlying zone district is four
times what is required under the City’s current affordable housing linkage fee provisions, which
were passed in fall 2016 (“Linkage Fee Ordinance”).
Incentive Fee Fund and Incentive Height Requirements To further implement the new incentive
height allowances, Denver City Council voted to add a new Article VI to Chapter 27 of the
Denver Revised Municipal Code (“Incentive Fee Ordinance”) creating the Incentive Fee Fund.
The Incentive Fee Fund will be used for production/preservation of rental housing and for-sale
housing, homebuyer assistance programs, development of housing for homeless persons and
support for low-income at-risk persons in danger of losing existing homes, and will be
administered by the executive director of the City’s Office of Economic Development (“OED”).
The Incentive Fee Ordinance allows structures within the Incentive Overlay districts to exceed
their base height in exchange for payment of additional fees, construction of additional
affordable units or provision of other community serving benefits. The requirements for taking
advantage of increased height opportunities under the Incentive Fee Ordinance build upon the
existing requirements to either pay linkage fees or build affordable units as required in the
Linkage Fee Ordinance.
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Any fees required to be paid under the Incentive Fee Ordinance are in addition to, and above
and beyond, the fees required to be paid under the Linkage Fee Ordinance. Any project electing
to take advantage of increased height allowance under the Incentive Fee Ordinance must pay
fees required under the Linkage Fee Ordinance for all stories up to the permitted base height,
together with four times that amount for each and every story of the subject structure above and
beyond the permitted base height.
Residential and “Mixed-Use Residential” Requirements Residential and “mixed-use residential
structures” (as defined in the Incentive Fee Ordinance) must actually build the number of
affordable units required under both the Linkage Fee Ordinance and the Incentive Fee
Ordinance. The number of affordable units required under the Incentive Fee Ordinance is
determined by multiplying the number of affordable units under the Linkage Fee Ordinance by
four. These units may be provided on the subject property or at an off-site subject to the IO-1
overlay. Further, affordable units must be of the same tender—in other words, for-sale
multifamily units must build other for sale multifamily units.
Non-residential and “Mixed-Use Non-Residential” Requirements Non-residential and “mixed-use
non-residential” (as defined in the Incentive Fee Ordinance) developers within the IO-1 overlay
are required to comply with one of the following: (1) pay both the fees required under the
Linkage Fee Ordinance and Incentive Fee Ordinance; (2) build the required total affordable
units required under the Linkage Fee Ordinance and Incentive Fee Ordinance, either at a
structure located on other real property subject to the IO-1 overlay or, in a mixed-use
non-residential structure located at the subject property; or (3) pay the entire fee due under the
Linkage Fee Ordinance and execute a community benefits agreement.
4. Community Benefits Agreement
A “community benefits agreement” is an agreement entered into between an applicant
and the City, administered by OED, allowing an applicant to provide community serving uses for
a portion of the proposed structure in place of payment of the incentive height linkage fees.
OED, in consultation with Community Planning and Development, will determine the applicable
community serving uses for each community benefits agreement. The community benefit is
intended to be commensurate with the cost of providing the affordable units that otherwise
would have been required under the Incentive Fee Ordinance. These agreements are intended
to include, without limitation, rent-reduction rate, time period, collateral and default remedies
such as re-leasing or recapture of any obtained incentive height linkage fee savings. All
community benefits agreements must be executed prior to approval of a site development plan
or issuance of building permits.
5. Commercial Linkage Fees
The proposed rezoning allows for new commercial development. However there is no
correlation and or direct benefit to affordable housing, and or preservation. A commercial
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linkage fee may be considered as an overlay or otherwise to further address community needs
and concerns regarding affordable housing and preservation.
Overview
As people move into new market-rate homes and office buildings, they generate a need for
services typically provided by low-wage workers, such as restaurant and retail work.
Recognition of this link has led to growing interest in the use of housing impact (HIF) and
commercial linkage fees (CLF). These fees are assessed by square foot or by unit on new,
market-rate residential development and commercial development as defined in each
jurisdiction’s ordinances.
Linkage fees “link” other forms of development with a community's needs for affordable housing.
Linkage fees are typically charged to developers and then spent on affordable housing
preservation or production through existing housing programs. Linkage fee ordinances are one
way to leverage private markets to produce affordable housing, fund homeownership programs,
or preserve existing affordable rental housing.
Linkage fees help meet a housing need that may be produced when new development occurs.
For instance, the development of an office or retail complex in a station area will bring many
employment opportunities to the area, including minimum wage jobs that may not pay enough
so that a household can work and live in the same community – or even a nearby community
that is connected to the workplace by affordable transit. Linkage fees, most often charged to
developers on a square foot basis, can then supplement an affordable housing funding program
that targets station areas.
It is worth noting that revenue generated from linkage fees do fluctuate according to the rate of
development within a given local. Fees are typically levied when a new development occurs.
Therefore how much revenue and will be generated may difficult to predict and depends on the
markets response to several development factors as well as development opportunity.
Sources:
https://nonprofithousing.org/bay-area-impact-fees/
https://abag.ca.gov/files/CommercialLinkageFees.pdf
Resources:
Inclusionaryhousing.org published a primer on linkage fees specific to the Bay Area.
For more information on Linkage Fees see
https://www.denvergov.org/content/dam/denvergov/Portals/690/Housing/Linkage%20Fee%20-
%20Final%20Rules%20and%20Regulations%20-%20Published.pdf
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6. Community Land Trust
To take advantage of recently passed City Council legislation, it is recommended that the
identification and or creation of community based nonprofit entities capable of entering
regulatory agreements with the city are either identified and or created to compete for city and
institutional support in acquiring properties for development and or long term management.
Ongoing efforts should be coordinated to compile an inventory report of city owned parcels, and
properties suitable for acquisition, development and or management.
There is an ongoing effort to form a community land trust in Inwood, and the model has been
embraced more broadly citywide and nationally . The Northern Manhattan CLT is part of a
1
“learning exchange” with a dozen organizations with functioning or planned CLTs, funded
through the Department of Housing Preservation and Development, and that has been meeting
regularly since last year, and will continue to meet until the middle of next year. There have
further been proposals to create a CLT from other quarters, but there needs to be strong
analysis of how a CLT could be funded and land conveyed in a way that fulfills the mission of
the CLT to preserve and create truly affordable housing.
7. Non Profit and Limited Profit Developers
Both here in the United States incentivized development aimed at producing 100% affordable
housing units is used to ensure that the available housing stock keeps pace with the need and
demand. By all measurements here in the United States and in New York City in particular
affordable housing and the housing supply in general is not keeping up with demand. There are
several factors contributing to this, however a primary factor is the high cost of land acquisition
and construction within New York City. When weighed against for profit developer profits and or
margins the prospect of building affordable housing offered at lower sales and rental prices
become increasingly difficult and at substantially lower profit margins than mid market or luxury
offerings. To mitigate against this factor it would be in the interest of the City to encourage and
or adopt a supportive program servicing non-profit and limited profit developers. This would also
complement the growing national trend of Community Land Trust and further open up the
market of real estate development. An additional advantage to supporting such developers
would be increasing market competition, thereby theoretically adding more units and thus
producing a more competitive consumer pricing market. With respect to supply versus demand;
according to the Furman Institute’s State of New York City’s Housing and Neighborhoods
2017
report the City’s adult population has grown 11 percent from 2000 to 2016, compared to New
York City’s housing stock which has grown by 8 percent for the same period. This combined
with economic and job growth indicates an increase in housing demand. The demand in
1 See, e.g., Abigail Savitch-Lew, “The NYC Community Land Trust Movement Wants to Go Big.”
https://citylimits.org/2018/01/08/the-nyc-community-land-trust-movement-wants-to-go-big/; for a sense of
how flexible the model is, see, e.g., “Cano Martin Pena Community Land Trust,
https://www.world-habitat.org/world-habitat-awards/winners-and-finalists/cano-martin-pena-community-lan
d-trust/
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housing subsequently puts pressure on the housing market resulting in higher prices for housing
across all income bands. In the case of Inwood, the need is especially acute in the affordable
range serving low to moderate income households.
8. Comprehensive Geographic Planning
Comprehensive planning is essential toward meeting New York City’s growing housing needs,
infrastructural needs and vision of a balanced urban future. In the review of the Inwood
Rezoning, several of the City and Community stated goals albeit plausible are hampered due to
the economic constraints and factors associated with land acquisition and development cost.
Throughout the Rezoning Plan, development sites, and soft sites have been identified of which
the rezoning plan’s number of housing units and the calculus of commercial space is based
upon. To date City Councilman Ydanis Rodriguez, Manhattan Borough President Gail Brewer,
CB12 and the community have each stated both a recognizable need and rationale for
additional mixed income, affordable and deeply affordable housing as well as other supportive
programs such as schools, cultural programs, and public space. Based on the geographic limits
of the current plan and the amount of privately owned parcels available for future development,
there is limited opportunity to introduce significant measures to address the added affordable
housing need and other desired programs. Taking a long term comprehensive view and
following recent precedent such as Hudson Yards, Sunnyside Railyard and Concourse Yards,
the approximate 40 acres of the Inwood Railyard should be considered in parallel to the current
and future plans of Inwood. The three examples above have each undergone vitaly important
feasibility studies. The importance of such studies are numerous. Firstly, to generate a
comprehensive understanding of the potential impact of integration into their respective context.
Secondly, to assess value such as a cost benefit analysis. And lastly maximize the potential of
what would now be considered underutilized infrastructural urban landscapes. These three
generalized assertions coupled with rezoning considerations greatly lessens the future burden
on existing units as well as proposed units within the current plan. As public held property there
are numerous financial advantages to both the City and community. The consideration of the
Inwood Railyard as comprehensive future and or smart planning strategy would allow for public
and private interest to further gauge the City’s ability to meet its challenges of continued
densification and growth.
14
Part Two:
Recommendations for Assessing Risks of and Responses to
Residential Displacement
John Krinsky
Assessing the rezoning plan for Inwood for its effects on affordable housing in the neighborhood
immediately shows a neighborhood already
in transition. The last five years have seen an influx
of white residents, a slight decline in the percentage of Latino/a residents, a rather sudden jump
in the median household income, a distinct spike in asking rents, and a corresponding, though
still attenuated increase in median rents. In short, Inwood is in a process of gentrification, but
remains a neighborhood that is still largely
affordable to many of its residents, but with that
affordability increasingly threatened.
The assessment that follows asks several key questions that should be considered carefully
when thinking about the benefits and costs of rezoning.
· Given the existing threats to stability and affordability, would a rezoning add to the threats
or mitigate them?
· What do we know—and what can we know—about the forces that put residents in danger
of being displaced?
· How do we start to study and understand possible spillover effects of the rezoning to other
areas in the community district that are not subject to rezoning?
In what follows, I draw on data collected from the Furman Center, the Department of Housing
and Urban Development, and the Association of Housing and Community Development (ANHD)
“Displacement Alert Project” database (hereafter, DAP) and other research to create a profile of
the community district’s changes and housing threats over time.
I then propose a more detailed model of displacement risks that draws on landlord behavior, for
which data collection is ongoing (there was insufficient time to complete this as the invitation to
assess the rezoning came too late to do more). Part of the problem is that there are data that
are difficult to obtain at all, much less in a timely fashion, that would likely give a greater sense
of which tenants were in danger of displacement and where. It is premised on the idea that
markets are social institutions
rather than some abstract plane of existence where supply and
demand curves meet and tend toward optimization. Indeed, in a highly regulated environment
with extremely durable goods, the latter approach would be absurd. Instead, we must come to
terms with the fact that tenants are not displaced passively
, but that quite often, they are
displaced by landlords
who, in pursuit of profits, hike up rents, and sometimes go to significant
lengths—both legal and not—to do so. Further, they do so with the help of—and in debt
to—lenders whose institutions are bounded very differently, both from a geographical and
regulatory point of view. If we should have learned anything from the financial crisis of 2007 it
should have been that housing markets are also debt markets and that the primary actors in
15
both—landlords and lenders—are less and less beholden to specific places and to the people
who live in them. If they can, through regulatory means, change the people who are buying in
any given geographic location to their advantage
, they will. But unless we get serious about
understanding the risks that the model suggests, we should not pretend that we are taking the
risk of displacement seriously.
What we know
Gentrification
Inwood is the process of gentrification and with gentrification comes a threat of displacement;
whether this displacement is from a home—i.e., an apartment in a neighborhood building—or
from the immediate neighborhood, the larger neighborhood (Washington Heights-Inwood), or
from the City itself is difficult to track. But it is clear that low-income residents facing rising rents,
high rent-burdens, and evictions are at least at greater risk of displacement and, if they are not
displaced, face increasing hardship in place. Neither is a good outcome.
Some indicators of gentrification are a trend of a widening gap between median and asking
rents. Data are readily available only for Community District 12 (Washington Heights-Inwood) as
a whole, but the picture is both significant and corroborated by spot-checks on buildings in
Inwood on Streeteasy and other real-estate websites (Figure 1).
2
Gentrification is also usually understood as the replacement of a lower-income population,
usually people of color, with whiter, richer people in the neighborhood. The data bear this out,
as well, as we see a spike in the median income of the neighborhood (Figure 2) and a decline in
the percentage of Latina/o residents, though Washington Heights-Inwood retain a significantly
Latina/o and specifically Dominican character (Figure 3).
Figure 1.
2 Data for the following five figures are drawn from the Furman Center’s annual State of New York City’s
Housing and Neighborhoods reports for the reported years.
16
Figure 2
Figure 3
17
In all three figures, we see 2013 as an inflection point: median asking rents jumped, median
income started to increase, and the Latina/o population began to decline. Nearly all of the
decline, furthermore, was made up in White movers into the neighborhood.
While it is entirely possible, of course, that the decline in Latina/o presence—still a small decline
in percentage terms—is simply voluntary, the dynamics of asking rents make this interpretation
highly suspect.
Displacement risks
If we look more deeply at the data, we can make some more observations that help us to
understand the risks tenants face.
Figure 4 shows the shortfall between a rent affordable at 30 percent of median income and the
asking rents in the neighborhood. Some background here is also important: More than 60
percent of the neighborhood’s housing stock is rent-regulated but an estimated thirty percent of
renters are paying “preferential rents” that are lower than legally allowable rents but can
therefore be hiked to the allowable rent on a new lease. This can leave renters vulnerable to
having to go from a rent that is close to the median—and close to affordable—to having to pay
the “asking rent.” Thus, Figure 4 is a significant indicator of vulnerability, particularly as the
ability of many of these renters to afford housing elsewhere in the City is very low.
Figure 4
Figure 5
18
Figure 5 represents these data somewhat differently, comparing median rents, asking rents, and
rents affordable at the neighborhood median income (at 30 percent of income).
To put this into some perspective, 25.3 percent of Community District 12 had household
incomes below $20,000 in 2016. The shortfall
of $723.75 per month between the median
affordable rent in the neighborhood and the median asking rent is 30 percent of the income for
households making $28,950 per year. Of course, this also
means that median rents for the
neighborhood are already
out of reach—and have been for a long time—for a full quarter of the
neighborhood’s residents, which is why the Furman Center finds that in 2016, 45.5 percent of
low-income households were severely rent-burdened (paid more than 50 percent of their
incomes on rent) up from 41.6 percent in 2010, and that neighborhood-wide, the figures for
2016 were 32.3 and for 2010, 30.2 percent.
Tom Waters of CSS calculates that even if no rezoning happened, there would be about 9,100
people moving within the area and within a ½-mile radius of the zoning district every year, which
means that most will have significant problems affording housing in the neighborhood or in the
city as a whole. If rents go up in the area—and beyond the zoning area itself—as a result of
rezoning, this difficulty will get even more significant. (Waters bases this on ongoing patterns of
moving, but it is significant, too, that nearly the same number of renters have preferential rents
in the neighborhood).[1]
If we take a closer look at the data, we can begin to see some clearer signs of displacement
risks. For example, in ANHD’s annual report on risks to affordable housing, Community District
12 has consistently been in the top 20 and in ten community districts in the city in housing court
litigations. In 2017, it was second in the city. And yet, in 2017, Community District 12 did not
score among the highest 20 in the percentage of households paying more than 30 percent of
their incomes on rent
(rent burden) in spite of the large numbers of both all residents and
low-income residents who are severely
rent-burdened.
What does this suggest? It suggests both that landlords may be being extra-aggressive in
bringing housing-court litigations against Community District 12 residents and/or that these
litigations are targeted at those least able to pay rent—and even less able to pay the new,
19
inflated asking rents in the neighborhood. In any case, it begins to do what we must: train our
attention to landlord strategies.
Displacement Risks: A New Model
Background
It is critical to understand that residents of rent-regulated apartments are not
protected from
displacement risks. The CEQR manual’s guidelines for studying displacement suggests that
they are, but the manual was completed in 1993, prior to (and nearly contemporaneously with) a
change in rent regulation first enacted in City Council and then made permanent in state law
four years later. (And while the manual has been updated several times through 2014, its rule
not to consider rent regulated tenants in displacement analysis still stands.)[2] The change in
rent regulation allowed for vacancy bonuses and luxury decontrol, meaning that landlords could
hike up their rents by 20 percent on new leases (rather than renewed
leases) and could pull
their units from rent stabilization completely when the unit’s rent exceeded $2,000 per month.
The latter number has since been adjusted upward to $2,700 per month. In any case, these
changes incentivized rent-regulated landlords to turn over their units as often as possible. This
added to an already available strategy of hiking rents due to major capital improvements (MCIs),
a portion of the value of which can be added to the base rent even after the expense of the MCI
has been amortized.
It is important to understand both the issue of deregulation and the neighborhood and market
conditions in assessing risks of tenant displacement. In neighborhoods where rents are
increasing rapidly, it may be a sign that landlords are paying significantly more for their
properties than earlier landlords did and are hiking rents accordingly. As this appears possible,
other property owners will follow suit, sometimes ignoring the limits set by rent regulations, and
sometimes by removing preferential rents.
It may also be that landlords are buying property speculatively, paying significantly more for the
property than its rent roll will support at its current levels. Typically, property firms that do this
can absorb losses for a while and therefore tend to be larger firms.
Financial vulnerability indicators
The Association of Neighborhood and Housing Development (ANHD) has suggested that the
sales price divided by the annual rent roll—the Gross Rent Multiplier (GRM)–serves as a good
indicator of financial vulnerability, with speculative buying beginning with a GRM of 11 or
more.[3] GRMs are useful statistics because they can give a give a guideline for what average
rents should be
at GRMs set at specific points.
Accordingly, one way of tracing financial vulnerability would be to get the sales prices for every
building in the neighborhood for the last two sales, and then compare the target rents at a GRM
of 11 and see how much this differs from, for example, the median rent in the neighborhood for
the same years.
20
Scraping ACRIS for all of
the last sales of buildings in Inwood zip codes is time-consuming and
beyond what we could produce to this point. But if we look only at buildings sold (where deeds
were transferred) from February 2017 through April 2018 in zip codes 10034 and 10040, we can
see that the median rent at a GRM of 11 is $1953.28, which is just less than $100 below the
median asking rent, and $623.28 above
the median rent. Thus, we can see that the new sales
in the neighborhood are geared toward the asking rents and rely financially on rents that are far
above the median.
The same story can be told for properties with “spreader mortgages” across numerous
properties. For example, one portfolio, including a dozen
properties, mainly in Washington
Heights-Inwood—but one in Queens—and four in the rezoning area and another three just
outside it, has a single mortgage of $243,649,710, covering a total of 937 units. At a GRM of 11,
this comes out to $1,970 per month as a target rent. Again, this is nearly 50 percent more than
the median rents in Community District 12.
Ideally, we could find out the actual
GRMs for the buildings, but actual rents are not available on
a building-by-building basis, and only tenants can get information about their own rents.
Another indicator of financial trouble—and possibly, other trouble—in rental housing is the
incidence of tax arrears. When building owners stop paying taxes and water bills, they are often
not paying for basic repairs, either. Historically, this has been the case where cash flow is weak,
since nonpayment of taxes and water fees can result in the sale of tax liens and ultimately
foreclosure or pressure to sell the property for less than its market value. In 2013, Community
District 12 was the only
community district in Manhattan with a top-ten incidence of residential
properties with tax arrears in the top ten, as ranked by ANHD. Just over one in twenty (5.4
percent) of buildings had one or more years of tax or water arrears.
If combined with high GRMs, tax liens may be an indicator of overleveraged buying—when a
property owner’s calculations of expected profit outstrip their ability to realize it.
Finally, we can potentially understand more about landlord strategies if we understand what
else is in their portfolios. If landlords consistently buy buildings at GRMs that are extremely high,
that should be a warning sign that they do not intend to run the buildings in a manner affordable
to current tenants.
Material strategy indicators
Another way of turning over apartments is making the living conditions so bad that tenants want
to leave. Upon vacancy, again, building owners can hike up rents and also apply MCIs as they
renovate the very buildings that they have let slide into disrepair.
Not making repairs or doing adequate maintenance is also, of course, a possible business
model regardless of vacancy bonuses and incentives for turnover. What is not spent on repairs
and maintenance can be put toward profit or toward more building purchases. Either way,
tenants suffer and consider moving.
21
The main indicators of disrepair, again, gathered by ANHD’s Displacement Alert Project are
complaints and violations lodged with and issued by the Department of Housing Preservation
and Development (HPD). ANHD’s DAP reports show buildings that have new complaints and
violations each month, and a different database, the proprietary Building Indicator Project (BIP)
shows quarterly reports on how many violations and of what sort remain open (i.e., unresolved),
though for a different but overlapping set of buildings.
Almost paradoxically, building owners can also use renovation
as a way to harass tenants by
creating noise and dust conditions, leaks, and other nuisances designed to drive tenants away.
Hence, the DAP reports include filings by building owners for permits from the Department of
Buildings.
A distinction between the HPD complaints and violations and the DOB permits, beyond the
obvious, is that it is most often tenants’ collective action that leads to the filing of HPD
complaints and the dispatch of inspectors, while the DOB permitting process is initiated by the
landlords. Thus, there is some selection bias in the first measure, since it is not necessarily
more likely to pick up buildings in poor condition, but certainly more likely to select buildings
whose tenants are organized.
For some buildings in areas undergoing rezoning, the recently expanded Certificate of No
Harassment (CONH) holds out some hope for tenants. Under the program, certain landlords,
including those already found to have been harassing tenants, have to apply for a CONH and
HPD will contact tenants and former tenants to ensure that there has been no harassment. In
the event that there is, landlords will be denied building permits for a period of five years. To
understand the effect that CONH will have on indicators of harassment—or whether they will
result in fewer permits being sought—is still unclear.
Regulatory strategy indicators
The DAP website, as well as the justfix.nyc website list for each address the number of units
that have been deregulated, or, in the rarer instance, regulated between 2007 and 2016. Many
deregulated units in a building may be an indicator of the building-owner’s strategy, but it may
also be an indication of the history
of the building prior to their ownership. Using ACRIS data, it
should be relatively simple to see whether a given building owner or a preceding owner is
aggressively moving units to deregulation, a move that is certainly threatens tenants with
displacement and makes it very unlikely that the unit will be re-tenanted by a household of equal
or lesser means than the previous occupant.
Justfix.nyc’s website also lists the other
buildings in a given building-owner’s portfolio, and the
proportion of deregulated to total units in a whole portfolio may also be an indicator of a
building-owner’s overall strategy: even if one or another building does not have many
deregulated units, the other buildings in the portfolio may portend what is to come.
22
Litigious strategies
One of the greatest dangers for tenants fearing displacement is obviously eviction. Significant
numbers of evictions per unit in a building can indicate how aggressive a building owner is in
trying to turn over apartments. But in addition to “marshals’ evictions”—i.e., eviction cases in
which the Marshals have been ordered to carry out the eviction, there are ways in which
landlords use the courts to harass and threaten tenants. Specifically, they will bring many more
eviction cases
than they are likely to win, either to prepare the way for future successful
evictions (e.g., when tenants do not live up to stipulations to which they agree under pressure
from landlords’ lawyers) or simply to pressure tenants to leave.
Similar to the expansion of the Certificate of No Harassment program, the city council recently
passed a citywide right to counsel in Housing Court. While not everyone is income-qualified for
a free attorney, the right to counsel is anticipated to reduce significantly the number of eviction
cases landlords bring against tenants overall. Also similar to CONH, the roll0ut of the right to
counsel is likely to hit some speed bumps and its effect on eviction cases is not known yet.
Other indications
Other indications of landlords’ efforts to dislocate tenants include hiking up preferential rents
and making buyout offers. Neither is easy to track, and therefore are nearly impossible to use as
“indicators” even though we know that they are common.
Integrating the Indicators
Aggregation across time and ownership
There are a number of possible ways to integrate the indicators. For one, we could simply list
them, as ANHD does, and suggest that risks are severe when a certain number of indicators
appear in a given month (or over a given period of time), and less severe when fewer do. This
makes sense as a first cut at the data, but it does not necessarily give us any leverage over
landlord strategies. It suggests, indeed, that all tactics are available at all times and that all
landlords will essentially act in the same ways. This is, however, testable, and it makes sense to
do so, lest we overplay some risks and downplay others.
Another would be to look at properties over a longer period of time. Ideally, we could have a
window of several years before
and after
a rezoning was first announced to understand whether
or not the anticipation of rezoning has an effect on landlord strategies, or conversely, whether
initial moves to gentrify an area trigger rezoning plans. Short of this, looking at properties at an
interval of greater than one month at a time seems advisable. To get at overall strategies, it
would be best to look at each property over the course of their ownership by particular landlords
within a window of at least several years.
23
Properties could also be grouped by ownership to see whether landlords follow consistent
investment strategies across their buildings in a given neighborhood and/or across their
portfolios.
Factors and types
One way of thinking about the aggregation of risk would be to explore whether some tactics are
more regularly used in the company of other tactics, and whether patterns of tactical
combinations can help us to classify landlord strategies into “types” with varying degrees of
conformity to type used as a predictor of the severity of the threat.
For example, an owner of multiple buildings might have bought the buildings at a point at which
they did not produce a GRM over 11, and perhaps have GRMs at less than that. But this owner
might have a significant number of open HPD violations and eviction cases brought against
tenants. Another owner might have high GRMs, make repairs, but focus on raising preferential
rents. If these patterns were to hold across buildings and owners, we might consider strong
examples of the types to be more risky situations than weaker ones.
Of course, it could
be that building owners’ strategies to displace tenants—to the extent that
they do—are
selected in a less ordered fashion. Exploratory statistical analysis across buildings
should be able to shed light on this question.
Quantifying risk and at-risk residents
An alternative approach, which might be simpler, would note that buildings in which units have
been deregulated are ones that already
demonstrate considerable risk, as do buildings in which
many tenants are paying preferential rents, and in which there have been many evictions.
These conditions—which could also be extended to owners’ portfolios—are at least relatively
direct
threats. It might, accordingly, make more sense to consider these as higher-level
indicators of risk than violations, high GRMs, etc.
What we don’t know and why it’s important to know it
Who and how many people have already been displaced?
In Inwood and in other neighborhoods facing rezoning, gentrification and displacement
pressures already exist and predate the rezoning itself. The announcement of an intent to
rezone can help to unleash speculation, but it is equally possible that speculation predates
rezoning plans (as seems to be the case currently in Inwood). But all this means is that people
have already been displaced. The trouble is that we don’t have a clear picture of how many
people, from what buildings, and under what circumstances. We know, for example, from
justfix.nyc’s data, that relative to its whole portfolio, Barberry Rose management was more
aggressive in bringing eviction cases against tenants in 10034 and 10040, with an average of 7
more evictions per building. Looked at another way, it brought 1.4 eviction cases per unit per
24
building between 2013 and 2015 in these buildings, as against 0.57 per unit per building across
its whole portfolio during the same period. While these are evictions cases rather than marshals’
evictions, we can surmise that some portion of these tenants have lost their housing in Barberry
Rose-owned buildings. The trouble is that it is exceedingly difficult to know which ones, and
which ones left as a result of legal pressure even before a judge signed an order.
Actual rents paid by tenants in particular buildings, whether regulated or preferential rent
Without knowing what the actual rents paid by tenants in particular buildings are, it is impossible
to know what the real GRMs are for buildings, and therefore, too, impossible to perfectly
accurately look at them as an indicator of landlord strategies. On the other hand, the
construction of target rents at specific GRMs goes some way toward indicating where the
price-rent ratios for buildings lie.
The other problem with not knowing the actual rents paid is that we neither know whether
specific landlords are renting at preferential rents more than others, whether and how they use
preferential rents to pressure tenants into accepting substandard conditions, and whether there
are tipping points beyond which rents become too expensive for (particularly) low-income tenant
households.
Incomes of tenants in most-at-risk buildings
Related to the problem of not knowing the actual rents is not knowing the incomes of the
residents in the most-at-risk buildings. Accordingly, it is difficult to be able to tell, for any
particular building, whether the tenants are paying a lot more than they can afford or are on the
cusp of being asked to do so. And for buildings such as 4861 Broadway, a mixed-use building in
the “Commercial U” with a recent history of violations and 14 of its 146 units deregulated
between 2007 and 2016, and a $28 million mortgage from Signature Bank (translating to $1,452
per month at a GRM of 11), it would be important to know whether tenants made over $57,000 a
year, the point at which it would be affordable at 30 percent of income. It is also nearly $4,000
more per year than the current neighborhood median income, but about 63 percent of AMI for a
four-person household). Otherwise, we should expect that they are in danger of income-based
displacement.
Vulnerability of tenants to holdover actions, etc. for lease violations
In neighborhoods like Inwood, where there are many people with limited English proficiency, the
risk that tenants are technically in violation of their leases increases. Further, there are tenants
who are not on the leases of apartments that have been continuously occupied by their families
for many years, even through several generations. These tenants are especially vulnerable to
displacement through eviction proceedings.
Relationship of lenders to landlords
25
There are a handful of lenders (e.g., Signature Bank, New York Community Bank) that have
significant market share in multifamily residential loans in the neighborhood, and it is important
to gauge whether there are significant links between the banks and landlord behavior. If
landlords have aggressive strategies to turnover apartments, putting tenants at risk of
displacement, or if sales prices—as in the buildings sold in the last year and a half in 10034 and
10040—are set close to median asking rents, then it is clear that the lenders are helping to drive
tenants out. This has been a problem for a long time—the Northwest Bronx Community and
Clergy Coalition and the Community Service Society issued a tenant organizing handbook for
overleveraged buildings in 1996 based on work that NWBCCC had done beginning in the
1980s—but it’s important to understand the dynamics in particular neighborhoods and to see,
for example, if some lenders are more predatory than others. Doing so suggests two things:
First, it suggests that if there is variation in lender behavior, there is nothing necessary
about
“the market” that drives lenders to give loans that are far out of proportion to existing rent rolls.
Second, it suggests that before rezoning and providing new incentives for investment, some
regulation of lending with an eye toward preservation is in order.
Assessing Risks of Rezoning
Rezoning presents specific risks that have been addressed largely in the Uptown Unite platform
and alternative plan. But they are worth repeating here and expanding in some measure.
The first risk is the non-replacements of lost units
. If we could get some measure of how much
displacement has already occurred—let’s say even since the 2013 inflection point—we could
get a sense of how many units we might want to see developed in specific income bands to
replace ones that have already been lost. We already know, for example, that 453 households
have been evicted in 2017 in Inwood. We also know that, based on justfix.nyc’s count, for just
the buildings that showed up in ANHD’s DAP data,
1,153 units were taken out of rent
stabilization from 2007 through 2016 in zip codes 10034 and 10040. We cannot tell the overlap
between these numbers and evictions, nor of other evictions before 2017 or other eviction
cases, harassment, conversions from preferential rents or other rent-hikes that have resulted in
displacement. But even with this very rough count, we come close to the projected increase
in
“affordable” units projected under rezoning plans (between 1,325 and 1,563).
Related to this is the inadequacy of the income bands under Mandatory Inclusionary Housing
(MIH)
for the neighborhood as a whole.
For a four-person household, the 80-percent-of-median
rent would be $1,812 per month. To be sure, this is below the median asking rent in Community
District 12 of $2,050 per month, but it’s also nearly $500 more per month than both the median
rent of $1,330 per month and the rent that is affordable at the median income for the
neighborhood $1,326 per month. The idea that displacement and gentrification could be
addressed by MIH quotas—at almost whatever level—is, in this context, not simply fantastical
but hallucinatory.
Of course, rezoning presents the risk of direct displacement through redevelopment.
Given the
current state of the rezoning proposal, it is difficult to assess what these risks would be. In the
26
unamended plan, which also included the Inwood Library redevelopment, the EDC estimated
that between 1,325 and 1,563 new affordable units would be built, depending upon the options
taken by developers under the MIH rules. But with the possibility that in the Commercial U,
some FAR first envisioned for affordable housing might be sacrificed to more commercial space
suggests that these numbers are even more out-of-date. They have not, it seems, been revised
substantially.
There has been talk
about several developers working on deals that would provide significant
affordable housing as part of the rezoning—above the requirements of MIH. But because these
would be negotiated deals that would boost support for the rezoning, they require a significant
amount of faith in the follow-through of speculative developers, a faith that could be misplaced if
political or economic conditions change, and they certainly provide no real opportunity for public
review.
In any case, only
in the event that all or most of these units conformed to something close to
HPD’s a deep affordability option, with an average rent affordable at 40 percent AMI would they
be affordable to people in the neighborhood, and even have the potential to reach some of
Inwood’s lower-income residents. The Uptown United plan called for 100 percent affordable
development at an average of 48 percent of AMI for a four-person household, the rents would
be $1,087 per month, well below the median of $1,330 and just over half of the median asking
rent. Importantly, according to the Rent Guidelines Board, the average cost of operating an
apartment in a post-1946 building with 20-99 units in Upper Manhattan is $968 per month. For
pre-1947 apartments, the median is $886 per month. Nonspeculative landlords could make this
work, but it would also mean that their financiers were more responsible, as well.
The trouble is that even with
the planned new units, there is a strong potential for indirect
displacement
and a worsening quality of life for low-income renters who remain in the
neighborhood.
The reason is simple: current landlords in the neighborhood understand the
“market” to support median asking rents that are more than 50 percent higher than the median
rents in the neighborhood. Accordingly, as we have seen, large landlords are setting rents at
this higher level, which will mean that upward pressure on rents throughout the zoning area and
beyond
will continue unabated and likely worsen. Any idea that increased supply will lower rents
is countered by the already-significant disjuncture between median rents (the rents that prevail
in the local market) and asking rents.
The only real questions are whether the expansion of Certificate of No Harassment (CONH) and
Right to Counsel (RTC) in Inwood will mitigate the effects of landlords’ aggressively trying to
turn over their units. There is simply not enough evidence yet on the effects of these programs
on landlord strategies to know.
Recommendations
There should be no rush to rezone Inwood
. With the City Council and Mayor’s charter revision
commissions in the process of taking public comment about proposed changes to the City
Charter, it would be surprising if suggestions for changing land use procedures is not one of the
foremost concerns of city residents. Specifically, the failure of the CEQR manual to specify that
27
the required EIS take account of rent-stabilized housing is, given what has been presented
above, a gaping hole in our ability to predict and understand the dynamics of displacement. That
Inwood is still so deeply rent-regulated shines especial light on this problem. Approving a
rezoning without a thorough study of displacement dynamics focused especially on landlord
behavior seems both premature and frankly, negligent.
And there is a reason that affordable housing advocates and tenants are concerned about
rezoning. The recent history of neighborhood rezoning has been one of displacement and rising
rents, even with so-called “affordable housing” provided either through MIH or through city
programs prior to the current administration. All indicators are that Inwood needs far stronger
tenant protections before new development incentives are contemplated for the area. Already,
landlords are concentrating portfolios in the area; already asking rents are inflated far above
median rents. Already, Community District 12 landlords enjoy the second-highest increase in
Net Operating Income in Manhattan and the fifth-highest in the city. And already, Northern
Manhattan accounts for 80 percent of the cases in Manhattan’s Housing Court.
No rezoning should proceed in Inwood until HPD devises a new term sheet that is geared
toward local—Community District-level—income distributions with some adjustor for fair
housing.
In this way, low- and moderate-income communities of color would not fall victim to
gentrification-by-affordable-housing as has been the case in previous rezonings and with
significant portions of non-mandatory affordable development under both this and the previous
administration. It would also temper the speculative impulse in such neighborhoods while
allowing for measured redevelopment with responsible owners.
Gentrification-by-affordable-housing does not promote mixed-income neighborhoods, but rather
imposes disruptive and damaging churn on the longer-term residents of a neighborhood. As Leo
Goldberg[4] has shown, especially in “hybrid” neighborhoods such as Inwood (where the
upzoning is targeted and where wholesale changes in land use are not contemplated) these
pressures can result in rapid demographic change.
No zoning should proceed without a solid and staffed Partners in Preservation Program already
on the ground
. This program must take into account the risk factors elaborated in this working
paper, and have access to the data that are, at this moment, hard to come by. As the Jerome
Avenue Points of Agreement memo from Deputy Mayor Glen indicates, a “Partners in
Preservation” program would provide “risk assessment”:
This initiative will seek to identify and prevent the deregulation of affordable homes in CDs 4
and 5. HPD will conduct an analysis of the existing housing stock, including an inventory of all
regulated affordable housing to the extent possible using existing data sources and an
assessment of the potential for displacement and/or deregulation.[5]
Any risk assessment that does not focus on landlord behavior, but rather adheres to an older
model of displacement risk by landlords who simply cannot keep up with the cost or demands of
their buildings and tenants who are priced out by “the market,” will fundamentally miss what is
happening in Inwood and will be unprepared to deal with the fallout from rezoning. HPD cannot
be left to do this risk assessment on its own but must do so with community groups who are
28
already working to help tenants in danger of displacement stay in their homes and ensure that
they are safe.
This working paper has sought to spell out what we know and what we do not about the risks of
displacement in Inwood, and to propose a different way of looking at these risks than has been
commonly done before. To approach the rezoning without thinking clearly about the behavior of
landlords and lenders is to court an irresponsibly optimistic view of what happens next.
[1] Tom Waters, “Profiles of Rezoning Study Areas,” typescript.
[2] See Renae Widdison, It Matters How We Count: Understanding the Methodology used to assess
Indirect Residential Displacement in New York City's City Environmental Quality Review Technical
Manual.
Master’s thesis. Pratt Institute, 2018.
[3] Historically, average GRMs fluctuate considerably. See
https://realestatevaluation.wordpress.com/2009/09/03/a-little-bit-of-history-gross-rent-multipliers-
in-new-york-city-over-time/ What is particularly striking is that GRMs of 11 are, from the point of
view of New York City’s history, quite high. Just prior to the financial crisis in 2007, GRMs
“peak[ed] at more than 15 time gross annual rental income,” with previous peaks at below 10.
Accordingly, by adopting a baseline of GRM 11, we are here taking for granted a significant
degree of speculation as the “new normal.” In both historical terms and for the lives of
low-income tenants, a GRM of 11 should not be treated as normal but as a dangerous
aberration.
[4] See Goldberg, “Game of Zones.” Master’s thesis. Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Department of Urban and Studies and Planning, 2015.
https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/98935
[5] See
https://council.nyc.gov/land-use/wp-content/uploads/sites/53/2018/01/Jerome-Avenue-POA-Fin
al.pdf
Part Three: Assessment of the Rezoning Process and
Recommendations to Sustain an Independently-Owned Small
Business Environment
Susanna. Schaller
29
Rezoning planning processes should give residents and small business owners a
meaningful voice in shaping neighborhood plans ….
Rezoning frameworks, as we have seen across the city, impact the physical, economic, social
and cultural fabric of neighborhoods. Rezonings, by transforming the built environment and the
allowable uses in potential new buildings, change who will be able to stay, whose voices will
diminish in significance as demographic changes accelerate, and ultimately who will be pushed
out. Thus, when people, old and young, in Inwood, East Harlem and Jerome Avenue get
3
engaged in the rezoning process and come out to testify in the hundreds, but people indicate
through demonstrations and testimony that their voices are not fully considered, the planning
process has foreclosed people’s ability to have a say in what most intimately impacts not just
their daily lives but their existential survival in their neighborhoods. When determining adverse
impacts, assessment guidelines, such as the CEQR manual, which guide the environmental
review of land use actions in the City, however, do not consider qualitative criteria, such as
cultural, social or political displacement in situ
. As such, the public review and the
4
environmental review processes make invisible how rezonings affect people’s sense of
democratic empowerment or disempowerment in New York City.
The “Inwood Planning Initiative” and rezoning proposal from the City’s perspective represents a
comprehensive plan for Inwood, but the process seems to indicate that this plan is not widely
accepted. One positive outcome of the Inwood rezoning process, however, has been that
Inwood stakeholders have begun to reach across racial, economic and cultural divides to
proactively build bridges and to propose an alternative to the rezoning proposal. Mayor de
Blasio in his last State of the City Address issued a call that “we must re-democratize society.”
To support this process, the City could stop the ULURP clock on this rezoning plan and invest in
strengthening these initiatives, which have incorporated business owners and residents, by
designing a more participatory and community-building process beyond a rezoning framework.
This could serve as a demonstration project to explore how we might democratize and enhance
community-based planning in New York City (See introduction to the report by Shawn
Rickenbacker).
5
Inwood residents, business owners and organizations actively engaged in the process and
developed an alternative plan (Uptown United platform), including zoning recommendations,
which do not seem to foreclose growth but appear to create a framework that might allow for a
more sustainable growth trend. The CB12 committee meetings, including the business
3 Derek S. Hyra, “The Back-to-the-City Movement: Neighbourhood Redevelopment and Processes of
Political and Cultural Displacement,” Urban Studies
52, no. 10 (August 1, 2015): 1753–73,
https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098014539403.
4 Mindy Thompson Fullilove, Root Shock: How Tearing up City Neighborhoods Hurts America, and What
We Can Do about It
(New York: One World/Ballantine Books, 2005); Mindy Thompson Fullilove, “Root
Shock: The Consequences of African American Dispossession,” Journal of Urban Health: Bulletin of New
York Academy of Medicine
78, no. 1 (2001): 72–80
5 Hyra, “The Back-to-the-City Movement”; Gabriella Gahlia Modan, Turf Wars: Discourse, Diversity, and
the Politics of Place
, New Directions in Ethnography 1 (Malden, MA: Blackwell, 2007).
30
development committee meetings, were conducted in dialogue form and resulted in a
comprehensive CB12 resolution, which integrated many of the alternative strategies from the
Uptown United platform in its call to modify the Inwood rezoning plan. While the plan was
modified through an “A Amendment” apparently first released April 17, 2018, this significant
modification was introduced after community board committee meetings and the required public
hearings had concluded and CB12 had passed its resolution. Crucial recommendations from the
CB12 resolution pertaining to small businesses are not reflected in this Amendment. The
changes respond to the call to save the wholesalers east of 10th Avenue, which is significant,
however, they do not correspond with requests for a granularly tailored rezoning plan, especially
with regard to the Commercial U. Additionally, the ULURP clock was not stopped to give
residents, business owners and other stakeholders in the area ample time to fully assess the
significance of the rezoning with the proposed modifications.
6
The rezoning as-is is unlikely to fulfill the intended equity or neighborhood stabilizing
outcomes ….
During the “planning” phase when the agencies conducted their community workshops and at
discussions at the various community board committee meetings as well as at the public
hearings (ULURP CB12 and Borough President’s hearings), the Inwood rezoning plan was
presented to community members as a way to solve the mounting affordability crisis, stabilize
Inwood in the face of increasing gentrification pressures and to preserve the neighborhood’s
character. John Krinsky has already addressed how the FEIS fails to account fully for the likely
residential displacement. In 2013, the outgoing chair of the Department of City Planning
acknowledged that “the neighborhood-specific supply-side” approach to solving the housing
affordability crisis had failed:
“What we haven’t figured out is the question of gentrification. I have never, since I had
this job, come up with a satisfactory answer of how to make sure everyone benefits … I
had believed that if we kept building … and increasing our housing supply … that prices
would go down. We had every year almost 30,000 permits for housing, and we built a
tremendous amount of housing, including affordable housing, either through incentives or
through government funds. And the price of housing didn’t go down at all.”
7
The trend to present an undifferentiated supply-side argument and to continue to rely on
market-based mechanisms without sufficient public investments to produce adequate quantities
of affordable housing for different market segments, including for very low-income residents,
has not abated. To be sure, the Mandatory Inclusionary Housing (MIH) requirement under this
administration’s plan responds to CB12’s request in the earlier iteration of this plan for more
affordable housing and for a mandatory not voluntary inclusionary housing floor area ratio (FAR)
bonus. But, the Furman Center’s 2015 research brief, “Housing for an Inclusive New York:
Affordable Housing Strategies for a High Cost City,” in fact implied that Inwood was not a good
6 The City of New York Office of the Mayor, “Technical Memorandum 001 Inwood Rezoning Proposal
CEQR No. 17DME007M ULURP Nos.: 180073MMM, 180204 [A] ZMM, N180205 [A] ZRM 180206PPM,
180207PQM, and 180208HAM,” April 17, 2018, 3
7 Goodyear, Sarah. “What We Haven’t Figured Out is the Question of Gentrification,” The Atlantic
31
candidate for MIH. On the one hand, the report noted, “of the six neighborhoods the city has
announced will be subject to a new mandatory inclusionary housing program, at least two (East
Harlem and Long Island City) appear to have rents high enough for there to be the potential for
additional density to subsidize additional affordable units.” Only “prime New York City
8
neighborhoods have such rents…;” these, according to the report included “Manhattan
(excluding the northernmost neighborhoods),” namely Inwood. Thus, the expected
9
“cross-subsidization” for “affordable” housing in Inwood presupposes an escalation of rents,
which need to be counteracted by additional public subsidies.
As John Krinsky has pointed out, when the City indicated the rezoning was back on the drawing
board, including on Inwood’s coveted waterfront, it likely created a speculative environment,
placing even greater pressure on the adjacent existing rent-stabilized housing stock. Thus, the
rezoning, despite the MIH requirement, is likely to prove counterproductive, accelerating
displacement rather than “stabilizing the rental housing market” (FEIS, 3-4) in the neighborhood.
For MIH to work in Inwood, high-rent conditions would have to be created to support MIH
development, especially along the neighborhood’s “Commercial U” because most of the U is
already zoned as fairly high-density R7-2 districts.
If MIH works best in high-value property markets, higher rents, especially on the Commercial U
where the differential in FAR obtained by the rezoning is less than for the currently M-zoned
areas but which surrounds the area where most of Inwood’s current rent stabilized units are
located, need to catalyze and sustain MIH development. Thus, for the MIH-driven plan to work,
in this area in particular, the projected high-income residents would represent the key
ingredient. To achieve its purpose, then, the rezoning would have to reinforce an unbalanced
development trend, which is built into the ratio of 75% market rate housing to 25% affordable
units. This dynamic in contrast to the plan’s goals is unlikely to stabilize the neighborhood’s
diverse residential base. In confronting the affordability crisis, then, preservation efforts instead
10
of rezoning plans, such as the Inwood one, through the Department of Housing Preservation
and Development’s protection activities and its Neighborhood Pillars program to support
non-profit developers might have been prioritized before ever signaling a rezoning.
11
8 Josiah Madar and Mark Willis, “Housing for an Inclusive New York: Affordable Housing Strategies for a
High Cost City” (New York City: The NYU Furman Center, March 2015), 7.
[ix]Madar and Willis, 6.
9 Madar and Willis, 6
10 Anthony Downs, Opening up the Suburbs: An Urban Strategy for America
(New Haven, Conn.; London:
Yale University Press, 1977). MIH was originally developed to integrate suburban neighborhoods, but,
Downs argued that middle-class families would not want to live in integrated neighborhoods unless they
maintained “cultural dominance.” for a critique of MIH, see Samuel Stein, “Progress for Whom, toward
What? Progressive Politics and New York City’s Mandatory Inclusionary Housing,” Journal of Urban
Affairs 40, no. 6 (August 18, 2018): 770–81, https://doi.org/10.1080/07352166.2017.1403854
11 http://www1.nyc.gov/assets/hpd/downloads/pdf/about/neighborhood-pillars.pdf. Additionally, the
city might have invested in purchasing land on the east side of 10th Avenue at pre-rezoning values to
have the capacity to perhaps invest in community land trusts or to have worked with non-profit
32
The Furman Center recommended in 2016: “In neighborhoods where market-rate development
is currently not profitable, neither mandatory nor voluntary IZ requirements will result in new
affordable housing production without government subsidy”. Yet, the city has not as far as I
12
know committed to a subsidy package to ensure that this higher proportion and deeply
affordable units are produced in Inwood. Given that Inwood was at the time of the policy’s
creation, according to the Furman Center, not a viable MIH market, the specific subsidy
packages that would have to be made available with a rezoning plan in markets such as
Inwood, would need to accompany a rezoning proposal to clarify the public resources needed
and committed to achieve at least a 50 percent threshold of truly affordable units that are
pegged to Inwood’s median income.
Where MIH has greater potential to create “affordable housing” through proposed rezoning
actions is in the conversion of manufacturing to high-density residential land use changes.
Public investments in purchasing land at pre-rezoning values in M-zoned districts, such as east
of 10th Avenue in Inwood, might give the City greater capacity to invest in community land trusts
or to work with non-profit developers and property owners to capture as many lots as possible
for the production of a higher proportion of affordable (and more deeply affordable) units. By
creating greater “planning value” that can be extracted through higher FAR and use-changes in
M-zoned districts, the requirements for a higher proportion and deeper affordability should also
forestall any “takings” argument since there should be no expectations of post-rezoning value
creation by private property owners who purchased prior to a rezoning action.
The “Inwood Planning initiative” and rezoning should not be viewed as only a
neighborhood-based plan, but a plan that is in line with the kinds of public-private partnership
regimes that have privileged property-led development and have actively worked to gentrify
neighborhoods in New York City and elsewhere. Rezoning efforts in New York City have been
13
accompanied by neighborhood marketing and “revitalization” campaigns to create interest in
new housing developments and “new” neighborhoods. This has also been the case in Inwood.
The real estate section of the New York Times, for example, has spotlighted the Inwood
neighborhood’s rental market several times over the past two years. The last article was
developers and property owners to capture as many lots as possible for the production of a higher
proportion of affordable (and more deeply affordable) units. At the very least a higher proportion and a
requirement for deeper affordability should have been established for areas east of 10th Avenue where
the value private property owners capture through the City’s rezoning action (from an M zone to a
high-density residential zone) is much higher than in pre-existing residentially zoned areas.
12 NYU The Furman Center for Real Estate and Urban Policy, “Gentrification Response: A Survey of
Strategies to Maintain Neighborhood Economic Diversity” (New York: NYU: The Furman Center for Real
Estate and Urban Policy, 2016), 13,
http://furmancenter.org/files/NYUFurmanCenter_GentrificationResponse_26OCT2016.pdf.
13 Wolf-Powers, Laura. “Up-Zoning New York City's Mixed-Use Neighborhoods Property-Led Economic
Development and the Anatomy of a Planning Dilemma.” Journal of Planning Education and Research,
24(4): 379-393. Sagalyn, Lynn. “Public/Private Development: Lessons from History, Research, and
Practice.” Journal of the American Planning Association, 73(1): 7-22. 10.1080/01944360708976133
33
published the day after the July 10th City Council hearing. These articles profile the
14
neighborhood for a higher income demographic to create interest in Inwood’s “quality of life” and
fantastic amenities. In Northern Manhattan, as the New York Daily News
reported in 2013, the
city in cooperation with the Washington Heights BID (WHBID) and Community League of the
Heights (CLOTH) had apparently also been planning a major expansion of business
improvement districts (BIDs), including into Inwood.
BIDs are called “business” improvement districts and are marketed as serving merchants on
commercial corridors, but BIDs through their legal structure are created by and for property
owners. They are designed to give property owners, not tenant-businesses, an organized and
majority voice on their board and, consequently, in the management of an area’s commercial
environment. Although SBS has made it policy that additional community stakeholders must
also signal support before a BID can actually be established, who these stakeholders are and
what the threshold is to actually organize a BID is unclear. Business improvement districts
(BIDs) are still organizations led by property owners invested in increasing the profitability of
their properties and not necessarily in the welfare of the small businesses who lease from them
unless these two aims overlap. A consolidation of its BID area, the Daily News
noted, could
mean that the WHBID “would see its budget mushroom, though the exact figure isn’t yet
known.” Whether and how the BID’s budget would increase if it were to expand into the
15
Inwood rezoning area depends on the actual assessment formula and the additional square
footage and or assessed value the rezoning would generate.
Since BID-like services were presented as part of the planning initiative in Inwood, crucial
information, such as BID governance rules, assessment formulas, the fact that BID
assessments can, and usually are passed down to small businesses, should be clearly
communicated to enable stakeholders to make informed decisions. Because BIDs are
misunderstood institutions, this kind of information should be included as part of planning and
14 Jacobson, “Inwood: Green Space and Budget-Friendly Apartments”; Coneybeare, “The New York
Times Takes a Look at Manhattan’s Inwood Neighborhood in the Latest Block by Block”; C. J. Hughes,
“Inwood: Always on the Brink of Coolness,” The New York Times
, May 20, 2014. Other areas being
rezoned received this kind of SBS funding as well:
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/sbs/about/pr20170313-n3603.pageThrough these grants, now we as
taxpayers (SBS is tax payer funded) are also footing the bill for this and underwriting commercial
gentrification.
15 Douglas Feiden, “Major Expansion of Business Improvement Districts Is Planned for Northern
Manhattan |,” NY Daily News
, April 25, 2013,
http://www.nydailynews.com/new-york/manhattan/progress-bidness-wash-hts-article-1.1326741.
Since I am unfamiliar with New York City’s BIDs, I have over the past year, emailed staff but to no avail
(including an executive staff member) at the Department of Small Business Services to ascertain the
exact assessment formula of the WHBID or to ask staff to direct me to the portal where I might find
information specific to BID business plans and assessment formulas. In Washington, DC this kind of
information is readily available on the City’s websites.
34
rezoning initiatives where BID-like activities are funded and BIDs are in the organizational phase
as has been the case in Inwood.
In Inwood, the website (https://www.upininwood.nyc) which outlines the BID-like services in
which SBS invested, presents a map that overlaps with the rezoning area, not with Inwood
boundaries apparently recognized by longtime residents and business owners. Marketing
Inwood as a business improvement district area before a BID has been formally established
also draws attention to Inwood’s property market and its future potential commercial landscape.
As the websites name indicates, it also focuses on and profiles Inwood’s position in the city as a
destination, not necessarily as a neighborhood for current neighbors who are already “up in
Inwood.” BIDs can, but don’t necessarily have to, end up serving destination retail better than
neighborhood-serving retail, yet all businesses are required to pay.
16
The rezoning should sustain Inwood’s position both as a unique destination and
neighborhood-serving business district …
According to the City, one of the guiding documents to analyze the impact of the rezoning
proposal is the de Blasio administration’s OneNYC plan. The OneNYC plan specifically states:
“While New York City is home to 52 Fortune 500 companies, small businesses with fewer than
100 employees are a critical part of the city’s economy. These businesses account for more
than half of New York’s private sector employment” (28). The OneNYC plan also notes that we
need to “foster an environment in which small business can succeed” (56). In light of these
policy goals, the environmental impact assessment should have studied the displacement of
small, independently-owned businesses and their employees as well as the impact that the loss
of these businesses will have on Inwood’s neighborhood character. The City has at its disposal
zoning tools to create a differentiated zoning plan for Inwood’s commercial U. Best practices
from other cities and policy recommendations are outlined in the recent City Council report and
were incorporated in the CB12 Inwood rezoning resolution.
17
As the above section of the report outlines, the environmental impact analysis for the Inwood
rezoning plan fails to adequately account for the direct and indirect displacement of Inwood
neighbors from their homes and their community. Similarly, the Inwood rezoning will likely have
a much greater displacement impact, both in terms of direct and indirect displacement, on small
businesses than the FEIS is indicating.
Inwood is still a unique, vibrant neighborhood in which small businesses, especially
immigrant-owned businesses, have been able to survive. They form the backbone of the Inwood
community. They not only provide the essential products and services residents need and
desire, but they also create essential social spaces where residents, particularly Dominicans
16 My research on BIDs in Washington, DC indicates that this can be the case. The research shows the
interests of property owners can align with destination type businesses to the detriment of daytime,
neighborhood-serving businesses.
17 The New York City Council, “Planning for Retail Diversity Supporting NYC’s Neighborhood Businesses”
(New York: City Council, December 2017).
35
young and old, meet. A qualitative analysis of one block of 207th Street would yield the kind of
“ballet of the street” Jane Jacobs described in her 1961 Greenwich Village neighborhood. On
207th Street people create social networks, build entrepreneurial relationships and sustain
cultural connections.
The Manhattan Borough President’s (MBP) office has already warned that the rezoning plan,
whether in its original iteration or in the form of the “A Amendment,” will adversely impact a
diverse community of immigrant entrepreneurs. While the FEIS only identifies 33 projected
development sites, the Manhattan Borough President as well as a quick analysis of the
as-built-FAR on the Commercial U indicate that many more businesses are likely at risk of
displacement over the next 15 years than the FEIS acknowledges. The Manhattan Borough
President’s office corroborates the findings outlined in Table 1, namely that over a third of
Inwood businesses on the commercial corridors are at risk of direct displacement. If we consider
sites with a built FAR between 0 and 1 as development sites, then it seems 101 businesses are
located in sites that would yield considerable FAR differentials and thus soft sites.
The FEIS provides no clear rationale for why some lots are projected development sites while
others are potential development sites and others are excluded as sites likely to be developed.
For example, although it seems single owners hold multiple lots on several blocks along the
commercial U, this does not seem to factor into the site selection outlined in the FEIS. Another
factor, lease terms, which might influence this development trajectory and also the value that
business owners might lose should they have demolition clauses in their leases, is not
highlighted in the FEIS.
Table 1: Number of Business Storefronts on the Commercial U by FAR Categories (May 2018)
207TH ST
BROADWAY
DYCKMAN ST
FAR 0 1
30 (30%)
31 (36%)
40 (37%)
FAR 1.01 2
16
7
21
FAR > 2
55
47
47
Total Active Storefronts
101
85
108
In preparation for the rezoning, the Department of Small Business Services funded the
Washington Heights BID to conduct the “Neighborhood 360: Inwood Manhattan Commercial
District Needs Assessment.” The corresponding report was released in 2016. It seems the
18
18 New York City Department of Small Business Services, “Neighborhood 360: Inwood Manhattan
Commercial District Needs Assessment,” 2016,
https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/sbs/downloads/pdf/neighborhoods/n360-cdna-inwood.pdf.Anecdotal
36
survey asked questions about lease terms, tried to ascertain the approximate sizes of current
stores and collected the personal data of Inwood business owners. The data show that the vast
majority of Inwood’s businesses are independently owned (See Table 1) and that 98% of the
businesses lease their space. Additionally, as the SBS-funded report indicates, at the time the
Environmental Impact Assessment for the rezoning was conducted most small business owners
who participated in the survey felt extreme pressure from ever increasing lease burdens.
The data from these CDNA studies could be used to examine a rezoning’s potential impact on
business owners and the data collection process could be used to engage business owners in a
collaborative planning discussion about any potential rezoning plans. Instead, in Inwood the
19
failure to educate and inform business owners of their rights or lack thereof with regard to lease
negotiations has placed business owners (many of whom did not know if they had demolition
clauses in their contracts) at a disadvantage. A planning approach that does not inform owners
of the implications a rezoning process has for their businesses creates an uncertain
environment. Yet, business owners stand to lose their life’s investment should they be evicted
from their spaces or should their leases suddenly lose value. But, the FEIS has presented no
analysis of this kind of impact.
The data and canvassing in 2017 by Inwood volunteers as well as CCNY students revealed that
the majority of the business owners would probably qualify as minority or women owned
businesses (MWBE). Although Unified Inwood asked the City to study the particular impact on
MWBEs in Inwood, the City’s responded only that the CEQR manual did not prescribe this kind
of analysis. This is where the spirit of evaluation is overridden by bureaucratic or legalistic
thinking. Yet, together the Jerome Avenue, East Harlem and Inwood rezoning could create a
disparate impact since business displacement in these neighborhoods will impact largely
minority-owned businesses nor has the FEIS considered the potential intergenerational adverse
economic impact displacement may have on minority-owned business owners and their families.
20
Additionally, the notion that displaced businesses will be able to relocate in the City (FEIS)
reveals no detailed analysis of business displacement has been conducted. Small business
often cannot simply relocate into another market. Nor do most small businesses have the
evidence suggests that the rezoning process may have contributed to the precarity of businesses, some
of whom have indicated that they face lease renewal problems and harassment or greater scrutiny from
landlords. In September 2017, we canvassed the Commercial U to update the City’s 360 data. Again, this
is imperfect data given our volunteer efforts.
19 At least when we canvassed business owners in the Fall of in 2017, business owners, especially on
207th Street, seemed to know nothing about the rezoning or how it might impact their businesses.
20 Alison Decker, “The Racial Wealth Gap Hurts Entrepreneurs of Color – and the Economy” (The Aspen
Institute, December 22, 2016),
https://www.aspeninstitute.org/blog-posts/racial-wealth-gap-hurts-entrepreneurs-color-economy/;
Laura McFeely and Nancy Lee, “Small Business and the Racial Wealth Gap” (WWW.INTERISE.ORG,
November 2017).
37
financial capacity to simply close down, find a new location, renovate a new location, move in
and build up a new customer base.
The FEIS also provides no qualitative analysis of what the loss of these family-owned
businesses signifies for the Inwood community more broadly. Given that many small businesses
in Inwood function as social and cultural meeting places, the disappearance of local businesses
will likely reverberate through the community at large. In Inwood entire blocks are owned by
21
single property owners, which means the economic, social and cultural ecology, of the
commercial corridors could potentially be disrupted. The FEIS pays no attention to these types
of interactions. Instead, businesses are analyzed as interchangeable economic units, simply
selling products and services that can be substituted by any given incoming business with
similar offerings.
The City’s data (and canvassing of the Commercial U) suggest that Inwood still exhibits the kind
of retail environment that is under threat in New York City at large, especially in Manhattan. As
22
Table 2 indicates, the vast majority of the businesses in Inwood on the Commercial U are still
independently owned; moreover, as noted, they are mostly “immigrant” or Latino owned. The
FEIS does observe that the proposed actions “could lead to changes in local market conditions
that would lead to increases in commercial property values and rents within the study area,
making it difficult for some categories of businesses to remain in the area …[but] they would not
introduce new uses or a new type of economic activity to the study area.” (FEIS, 3-4). A closer
look at the current rezoning and the proposed zoning districts, however, reveals that they will
introduce “new uses” on parts of the commercial U, which may change the character of these
commercial sub-districts.
Table 2: Inwood: Business Types in Active Ground Floor Storefronts
BUSINESS TYPE
207TH
ST
BROADWAY
DYCKMAN
ST
Totals
Independent
83
(82%)
68 (80%)
81 (75%)
232
Formula
15
8
23
46
Corporate Banks
1
2
3
6
Community Bank
0
1
1
2
21 Jane Jacobs, The Death and Life of Great American Cities
, Vintage Books edition (New York: Vintage
Books, 1992).
22 Brad Hoylman, New York State Senator, “Bleaker on Bleeker: A Snapshot of High Rent Blight in
Greenwich Village and Chelsea” (New York State Senate, May 2017).
38
Supermarkets
1
2
0
3
Institutional
1
4
0
5
Total Active
Storefronts
101
85
108
294
Vacant
10
15
16
41
GRAND TOTAL
111
100
124
335
Two changes, in particular, in the A Amendment relating to the Broadway corridor and 207th
Street, a C4 zoning district for the entirety of the Commercial U (not just Dyckman) and the MIH
height bonuses, will likely change the development trajectory on these corridors. In this case the
FEIS is again likely underestimating the projected development sites because it did not study
how allowing larger and non-neighborhood-serving uses in a previously restricted market (see
below) for ground floor retail space will change the development dynamics.
Dyckman Street, 207th Street and Broadway have very distinct characters. Today, the area in
which chain or formula stores seem to be clustering is in the currently C4-4 district on Dyckman.
Yet, the “A Amendment” proposes to extend the C4 (as C4-4D and C4-5D) districts up
Broadway and down 207th Street. These two corridors are currently residentially zoned with
commercial overlays whose “retail uses include neighborhood grocery stores, restaurants, and
beauty parlors [for example] … This typically produces a commercial ground floor in an
otherwise residential building” (FEIS). As a representative of the Department of City planning
noted in 2012, zoning can shape the market for retail space: “Commercial overlays naturally
restrict store sizes by virtue of being limited in depth and only allowing one or two stories of
commercial uses. ‘Big Box’ retail simply cannot fit in these districts today. In certain special
districts, we've limited store sizes based on local land use concerns.” Thus, creating a C4
23
district where commercial overlays might have kept chains and “big box” retail at bay, the
proposed actions are opening up the market to precisely these kinds of tenants.
While the SID would introduce some ground floor regulations ostensibly to safeguard
neighborhood-serving retail and to activate the ground floor, these regulations are likely
inadequate. The zoning text would restrict banks and loan offices to 25 feet of ground floor
23 New York City City Planning Commission, “Report of the CPC in the Matter of Application C 120145
ZMM, May 9, 2012/Calendar No. 3,” May 9, 2012,
http://www1.nyc.gov/assets/planning/download/pdf/about/cpc/120145.pdf. To be sure “big box” are
changing their store size requirements, which means a formula store “conditional-use” permitting process
is crucial in combination with store size restrictions. San Francisco Planning Department, “San Francisco
Formula Retail Economic Analysis” (San Francisco: San Francisco Planning Department, June 2014),
http://www.sf-planning.org/ftp/files/legislative_changes/form_retail/Final_Formula_Retail_Report_06-06-1
4.pdf
39
frontage, and the project description notes, the “SID would mandate that individual local retail
and local service establishments occupy at least 50 percent of ground-floor building frontage” in
parts of the SID (6). The stated intent is “to ensure that future ground-floor commercial
development in these areas reinforces the existing smaller-scale local retail character that
defines these streets” (A Amendment, 6). But, Use Groups 10 and 12 are apparently included in
the uses allowed also within this 50 percent set-aside at least according to an Email query
answered by EDC. The City’s Zoning Resolution, specifically states that Use Groups 10 and
24
12 are explicitly non-local:
Use Group 10 consists primarily of large retail establishments (such as department
stores) that: (1) serve a wide area, ranging from a community to the whole metropolitan
area, and are, therefore, appropriate in secondary, major or central shopping areas; and
(2) are not appropriate in local shopping or local service areas because of the generation
of considerable pedestrian, automobile or truck traffic.
Use Group 12 is also non-local, including entertainment venues, such as large-scale
bars and restaurants, expected to bring in outside traffic.
The SID regulations, then, do not seem to differentiate neighborhood-serving businesses, which
provide essential products and services conveniently to local residents but often have smaller
profit margins, from destination retail and alcohol-serving entertainment venues.
The Dyckman Street trend, which already has more chains and nighttime entertainment venues,
may be an indicator of what we might expect on the other two commercial corridors that will now
be designated C4-4D and C4-5D. Moreover, the limited restriction on bank frontage the A
Amendment proposes seem not to have been effective as a sole measure in other rezonings.
25
An examination of the Upper West side comparing Broadway, where these limited restrictions
exist, and Columbus Avenue, where more expansive “Enhanced Commercial District” measures
were applied, apparently indicate that comprehensive store-size restrictions like on Amsterdam
and Columbus Avenues have had a positive impact on vacancies, and lease rates have
decreased.
26
24 Technical Memorandum 001 for Inwood Rezoning Proposal, Appendix A, Zoning Text 142-14 and Map
2. E-mail of Adam Meagher of EDC to Paul Epstein of May 7, 2018, in reply to Epstein’s May 2, 2018
e-mail. In C4 districts use groups 10-12 are allowed, which are “regional commercial
centers/amusement uses (Use Groups 10–12).”
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/planning/zoning/glossary.page#use_group
25 125th Street is one rezoning to be examined more carefully for its special district intentions versus its
outcomes.
26 The New York City Council, “Planning for Retail Diversity Supporting NYC’s Neighborhood Businesses.”
REBNY reported in it 2017 Manhattan Retail Report: “On the Upper West Side, our Manhattan
Retail Report Advisory Group noted concern for the effect of zoning regulations on ground floor
retail spaces,” it pointed out that within the Upper West Side Special Enhanced Commercial
District on “Columbus Avenue, between West 66th Street and West 79th Street, the average
asking rent fell 16 percent to $338 psf compared to last fall.”
40
The Inwood plan, including its bank frontage restrictions, is reminiscent of Bloomberg’s rezoning
of 125th Street, which was presented as a rezoning to strengthen Harlem’s “Main Street.”
Urbanist Alessandro Busa notes the 125th Street zoning plan, which “did not include provisions
to protect small merchants,” however, has supported the transition of Harlem’s “Main Street” into
a commercial district whose “corporate retail’s aesthetics is compromising the community’s
uniqueness and, according to some observers, even jeopardizing its potential as a tourist
destination.”
27
The updated EIS in the Technical Memorandum introducing the “A Amendment” ignores that
enabling large-scale, non-local uses in the Commercial U, including big-box chain stores that
can pay higher rents, is likely to strain the ability of Inwood’s local independent small businesses
and neighborhood-serving uses to maintain a foothold in the area. Both the proliferation of
chains and the potential preponderance of large ground floor commercial store plates have
been associated with increased vacancy rates, including in parts of New York City and the loss
of unique retail markets. The FEIS, however, does not study these trends.
28
The City in its analysis of the rezoning treats each business as an abstract discrete entity. But
small businesses are built on relationships, and neighborhood local economies as well as
neighborhood life are built around these relationships. The interdependencies among
businesses and their employees and their families may actually keep more dollars circulating
back through Inwood’s local economy and for longer than larger non-local businesses might.
Studies have begun to corroborate these types of synergies. Yet, the FEIS failed to study the
29
specific contribution (or lack thereof) that independently owned businesses make to the local
economy.
27 Alessandro Busà, “After the 125th Street Rezoning: The Gentrification of Harlem’s Main Street in the
Bloomberg Years,” Urbanities4, no. 2 (2014): 63
28 Olivia LaVecchia and Stacy Mitchell, “Testimony by Institute for Local Self-Reliance: Oversight Hearing
on Zoning and Incentives for Promoting Retail Diversity and Preserving Neighborhood Character,” §
Council Committee on Small Business and Subcommittee on Zoning and Franchises (2016); Hoylman,
New York State Senator, “Bleaker on Bleeker: A Snapshot of High Rent Blight in Greenwich Village and
Chelsea”; Mary DeStefano, “Final Report: Preserving Retail Diversity in Community Board 3” (New York
City: Manhattan CB3, 2012),
http://www.nyc.gov/html/mancb3/downloads/fellowship/Preserving%20Retail%20Diversity%20in%20C
ommunity%20Board%203.pdf The New York City Council, “Planning for Retail Diversity Supporting
NYC’s Neighborhood Businesses.”
29 Civic Economics, “Independent BC: Small Business And The British Columbia Economy,” February
2013.This is only one study. San Francisco, Austin and US cities have contracted with Civic Economics to
assess how independently owned business contribute to the economy as compared with formula stores.
Small businesses also add to neighborhood resiliency in the face of neighborhood hardships or out right
disasters. Stacy Mitchell, “Locally Owned Businesses Can Help Communities Thrive – and Survive Climate
Change,” June 12, 2013,
http://grist.org/cities/locally-owned-businesses-can-help-communities-thrive-and-survive-climate-chang
e/
41
More cities, such as Rome, Paris, London and San Francisco, are recognizing that they need to
truly build on the competitive advantages that urban retail districts have to offer - their
30
uniqueness, their human scale, their small and varied business characteristics, the sociability
they create on the street and their walkable convenience - in order to maintain viable
commercial corridors and truly “livable” neighborhoods. These obviously are not new insights.
31
But, the City did not study what kind of retail diversity the proposed actions might create,
32
relying instead on broad supply side metrics (gross commercial square footage), which do not
provide - as Commissioner Ortiz in her questioning of the EDC noted - a clear vision of the types
of commercial uses the proposed actions might actually produce. Neither the City nor the FEIS
has presented a market analysis or consumer demand study to communicate the Inwood
Planning Initiatives vision. Thus, it is difficult to assess the City’s plan for Inwood’s commercial
33
corridors beyond gross square footages.
The rezoning instead may undermine what several studies, including the CB12 land use plan,
have considered Inwood’s asset, namely its Dominican / Latino business culture and vibrant
environment, created by the interaction between the small businesses’ economic function and
the street life they sustain. In an increasingly competitive locational environment, a
distinguishable, niche retail market, however, represents an economic development asset
important also to New York City’s tourism industry.
34
“We Need Smart Policy”
35
30 Michael E. Porter, “The Competitive Advantage of the Inner City,” Harvard Business Review
, no.
May-June (1995): 55–71. Porter made the argument that urban centers needed to capitalize on their
competitive advantage to support economic development. While I do not subscribe to Porter’s
market-based rationale, there is an argument to be made that maintaining the diversity of urban centers
(economic, social, built environment, retail, etc.) is crucial to sustaining this advantage. The Institute for
Self-reliance provides an excellent resource site to find out what other cities are doing. Olivia LaVecchia
and Stacy Mitchell, “Affordable Space How Rising Commercial Rents Are Threatening Independent
Businesses, and What Cities Are Doing About It” (Institute for Self Reliance, April 2016),
https://ilsr.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/ILSR-AffordableSpace-FullReport.pdf
31 V. Mehta, “Lively Streets: Determining Environmental Characteristics to Support Social Behavior,”
Journal of Planning Education and Research
27, no. 2 (December 1, 2007): 165–87,
https://doi.org/10.1177/0739456X07307947; V. Mehta and J. K. Bosson, “Third Places and the Social Life
of Streets,” Environment and Behavior
42, no. 6 (November 1, 2010): 779–805,
https://doi.org/10.1177/0013916509344677.
32 Jacobs, The Death and Life of Great American Cities
; Jan Gehl, Cities for People
(Washington, DC: Island
Press, 2010).
33 See Larisa Ortiz Associates featured projects at http://www.larisaortizassociates.com
34 Christian González-Rivera, “Destination New York” (New York City: Center for an Urban Future, 2018).
35 Emily Robbins, “6 Things Cities Can Do When Commercial Space Becomes Unaffordable,” National
League of Cities, CitiesSpeak
(blog), May 24, 2106,
https://citiesspeak.org/2016/05/24/6-things-cities-can-do-when-commercial-space-becomes-unafforda
ble/.
42
A recent report by the City Council clearly highlights the paradox that inheres in our City’s
economic development trends: while of the ”approximately 215,000 businesses in New York
City, nearly 90 percent have 20 or fewer employees and over 60 percent have five or fewer
employees…. Reports indicate that landlords are evicting small businesses in hopes of
attracting deep pocketed banks and chain stores.” In the perception of many residents, these
36
banks and chain stores have diminished our urban “quality of life.”
The most recent modification to the rezoning plan, the “Amendment A,” as noted, was
introduced after the CB12 public hearings and after its resolution had been passed. Yet, the
ULURP process proceeded without pause. The Amendment, however, seems to present a
significant departure from the original intention to create more affordable housing in Inwood. It,
instead, incentivizes commercial development through MIH height bonuses without requiring the
production of affordable commercial space. The rationale behind this amendment, not unlike the
one used to justify the administration’s housing policy, is rooted in a supply-side argument:
“Stabilize the retail market by increasing the supply of available retail space (FEIS, 3-5).Yet, as
Amanda Burden observed in 2013, producing more housing does not mean we will produce
more affordable housing. Similarly, producing more commercial space does not mean we will
produce more space affordable to small neighborhood-serving businesses unless zoning tools
are used to regulate uses and sizes and additional policies are in place to create a supportive
environment for small businesses.
37
Zoning is not planning, and it may be difficult to fine-tune zoning districts to neighborhood
specific conditions. But there are ways to tailor zoning regulations more closely to local realities.
Several New York City specific studies and research from other cities suggest there are zoning
strategies that could be used to create an environment more hospitable to small businesses.
38
San Francisco is one city that has taken the loss of independently-owned businesses seriously
by introducing tailored store size restrictions, formula store prohibitions or conditional-use
authorization processes and, more recently, a legacy businesses program. Washington, DC is
39
36 Matt Gewolb and Raju Mann, “Oversight: Zoning and Incentives for Promoting Retail Diversity and
Preserving Neighborhood Character,” Briefing Paper of the Human Services and Land Use Divisions (New
York City: New York City Council, September 30, 2016), 2,
http://legistar.council.nyc.gov/LegislationDetail.aspx?ID=2829501&GUID=B0F06CAF-DF21-4193-9F35-F7
5461CAFAE0&FullText=1.
37 San Francisco Planning Department, “San Francisco Formula Retail Economic Analysis.”
38 Gewolb and Mann, “Oversight: Zoning and Incentives for Promoting Retail Diversity and Preserving
Neighborhood Character”; The New York City Council, “Planning for Retail Diversity Supporting NYC’s
Neighborhood Businesses”; San Francisco Planning Department, “San Francisco Formula Retail Economic
Analysis.”
39 Gewolb and Mann, “Oversight: Zoning and Incentives for Promoting Retail Diversity and Preserving
Neighborhood Character”; The New York City Council, “Planning for Retail Diversity Supporting NYC’s
Neighborhood Businesses”; San Francisco Planning Department, “San Francisco Formula Retail Economic
Analysis.”
43
also looking into these types of policies. The City Council recently released several documents
relating to the existential threat that small businesses face in NYC, and there are many excellent
recommendations and strategies the Council gleaned from other jurisdictions to protect New
York City’s small businesses. For Inwood two (limited) strategies in particular might create a
zoning plan more tailored to the neighborhood’s sub-districts.
40
· Store size restrictions, particularly on Broadway and 207th Street, and especially the latter.
· Formula store conditional use authorization requirements.
The FEIS presents no analysis of the average store sizes by type of businesses in Inwood, but
this type of examination for each one of the corridors, looking at size differentials of
independently owned businesses versus chains as well as bars and clubs versus daytime
neighborhood-serving businesses, for example, might have yielded a more nuanced
understanding of the corridors and formed a basis for tailoring the special district to help sustain
Inwood’s unique neighborhood character.
A 2014 study by the San Francisco’s Department of City Planning suggests that by “making
neighborhood commercial districts less attractive for formula retailers, the formula retail controls
likely help create lower-cost opportunities for independent retailers who cannot compete for
space in San Francisco’s premium retail locations. Most independent retailers are best suited
for smaller storefronts. Thus, small stores sizes and formula store regulations may reinforce
each other (given retail trends, store size restrictions alone are unlikely to keep out formula
stores). The San Francisco Formula Retail Economic Analysis found that “the median
establishment size for formula retailers [is] 6,500 square feet, compared to 2,200 square feet for
independent retailers.” Given Inwood’s particularity and multiple small store sizes, it probably
41
would be advisable to study the current store sizes on the corridors in the Commercial U to
adapt the restrictions to local conditions.
The NYC City Council in fact identified the above tools in its 2017 “Planning for Retail Diversity:
Supporting NYC’s Neighborhood Businesses” study: Recommendation 8 is to “Expand use of
special enhanced commercial districts that limit storefront size” and Recommendation 9 is to
40 These zoning tools could have been merely a starting point. Other non-zoning strategies, as outlined in
the above cited studies, should complement the zoning tools.
41 San Francisco Planning Department, “San Francisco Formula Retail Economic Analysis.” Some
countries, like Germany, even restrict supermarket sizes in urban neighborhoods. Inwood currently has
several independently owned supermarkets of around 15,000 square feet. The City has indicated that
two of Inwood’s supermarkets will be displaced and a new large supermarket is poised to open in one of
the development sites, but the FEIS does not indicate which category of supermarket this will likely be.
Yet, Inwood’s supermarkets respond to multiple residential markets (consumer segments) in the
neighborhood. Thus, the City should have analyzed both the differential impact of independently owned
supermarkets versus national chains, such as Whole Foods (now owned by amazon) and the product
offerings and price points these different supermarket categories will likely offer. The FEIS does not
disclose what kind of supermarket will enter Inwood and what subsidies it will receive.
44
“Examine the potential for zoning restrictions on chain stores and restaurants” in communities
that “expressed concern about preserving neighborhood character and a diversity of local
independent businesses.” Because recommendation 9 may need legislative action at the state
level, the City should actively support a bill recently reintroduced to allow “New York City to
Authorize the Enactment of Zoning to Regulate Formula Retail Uses.” Residents, business
owners and CB12 have asked for these tools to be piloted in Inwood. Before moving forward
with any Inwood rezoning process, the City should actively review and support the formula store
bill and carefully consider strategies delineated in the New York City Council’s “Planning for
Retail Diversity” report to create a closely tailored plan for Inwood.
42
Emily Robinson of the National League of Cities noted in 2016: “As rents are skyrocketing in
cities around the country, smart city policy has an important role to play in keeping commercial
space affordable and appropriate for local entrepreneurs.” The City Council recognized this
43
need when it released its report, “Planning for Retail Diversity,” in December 2017. Further,
Community Board 12 in its resolution and Borough President Gale Brewer in her
recommendations called for the kinds of smart policies detailed in the City Council’s report to be
implemented in Inwood.
If the City’s stated goal is to create a vibrant urban environment, the current plan, as far as I can
assess, goes counter to prevailing theories about what kind of built environments might achieve
this. Instead, the proposed zoning restrictions articulated by CB12 and Uptown United might
advance the City’s goal. Linear storefront restrictions, formula store permitting processes and
store size restrictions have the potential to create a more human scale urban design in keeping
with EDC’s goal to create pedestrian friendly, vibrant and unique streetscapes. They would also
be in keeping with contemporary urban design and even place-making theories.[liv]If we are to
rebuild Inwood (which is what this plan proposes) that supports both the quotidian life of
neighbors and the consumer needs of visitors, then we need a differentiated zoning plan
through a fine-grained approach that creates specific sub-districts that fosters the development
of diversity.
44
42 NY Senate Open Legislation, “S1771-2013: Authorizes the Enactment of Zoning Laws and Ordinances
to Regulate Formula Retail Use,” 2013; NY Senate Open Legislation, “Senate Bill S8577-2017-2018
Legislative Session: Authorizes the Enactment of Zoning to Regulate Formula Retail Uses: Law Section:
New York City Charter Laws Affected: Add §200-A, NYC Chart,” May 10, 2018,
https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2017/s8577.
43 Emily Robbins, “6 Things Cities Can Do When Commercial Space Becomes Unaffordable,” National
League of Cities, CitiesSpeak
(blog), May 24, 2106,
https://citiesspeak.org/2016/05/24/6-things-cities-can-do-when-commercial-space-becomes-unafforda
ble/.
44 Andreas Feldtkeller, Zur Alltagstauglichkeit unserer Städte: Wechselwirkungen zwischen Städtebau
und täglichem Handeln, Dt. Erstausg., 1. Aufl, Architext (Berlin: Schiller, 2012). The word Feldtkeller used
for diversity, building on Jane Jacob’s insights, is vielfaeltigkeit
, meaning economic and demographic
diversity, multiplicity in uses, built structures, ownership patterns. Key in his work is the focus on
creating mechanisms that remove property speculation from the equation.
45
46
ResearchGate has not been able to resolve any citations for this publication.
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S1771-2013: Authorizes the Enactment of Zoning Laws and Ordinances to Regulate Formula Retail Use
San Francisco Planning Department, "San Francisco Formula Retail Economic Analysis." 42 NY Senate Open Legislation, "S1771-2013: Authorizes the Enactment of Zoning Laws and Ordinances to Regulate Formula Retail Use," 2013; NY Senate Open Legislation, "Senate Bill S8577-2017-2018
The word Feldtkeller used for diversity, building on Jane Jacob's insights, is vielfaeltigkeit , meaning economic and demographic diversity, multiplicity in uses, built structures, ownership patterns
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