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The Role of Computer Assisted Exercises for Development and Experimentation of New Concepts for Decreasing the Vulnerability from Terrorism and Other Threats for the Civil Security
... Scenario Development for CAX is a very important and complex topic of the Crisis Management (CM) area [1], [2], [3]. Here it should be noted that as far as Scenario Development is a part of the modelling and simulation process of CAX, a lot of techniques for this are already known [4], [5]. ...
... where: A : E [0,1] and A : E [0,1] are functions defined over an usual set that defines the degrees of membership and non-membership of the element x from the fixed set E (called universe of disclosure) to * , shortly marked as A. ...
... where: A : E [0,1] and A : E [0,1] are functions defined over an usual set that defines the degrees of membership and non-membership of the element x from the fixed set E (called universe of disclosure) to * , shortly marked as A. ...
Scenario development for Computer Assisted eXercises (CAX) is a very ambitious area in the Crisis management field. Generally, the reason for this is that CAX allows real world crises and objects translation in the more flexible digital world. The greatest challenge here is the consideration of terrorist attacks representation, modelling and simulation, where the information uncertainty is too high. This paper presents an ad hoc created methodology and tool for scenario development, based on the application of brainstorming, Intuitionistic Fuzzy Sets and random numbers, implementation in a real CAX system.
... CAX is considered a tool for transformation, supporting the CDE process [2, 8]. For the purpose of this paper, we consider the development and experimentation of the concept of civil security and, more specifically, the Civil-Military Emergency Planning (CMEP) [10]. ...
The paper explores architecture for a Joint Training Simulation and Analysis Center in Civil-Military Emergency Planning / Response (JTSAC-CMEP). The center is developed under NATO's Science for Peace Project, SfP 981149, by the Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses - a network of working groups from the Academy of Science, the Defense Staff College, and the Academy of Interior Ministry. The CAX network, web-based information sharing/collection/ fusion and post-exercise lessons learned analysis. JTSAC-CMEP is based on a model for concept development and experimentation in the area of civil security through CAX. This model is a base for managing the process of transformation of the security sector into an integrated, network enabled organization. The goal of the integrated security sector is to enable the state to face the challenges posed by terrorism and other asymmetric threats. The JTSAC-CMEP is considered a test-bed for a new decision-making software and information sharing technologies as well as a tool for adding exercise participants in the loop for experimentation of the concepts and acquisition of new knowledge in the area of CMEP. The focus of the environment is on modules for support of exercise (MOSEX), including planning and management, to achieve a higher effectiveness and efficiency of the experimentation and training process. The Modelling and Simulation Tool (MOSEX) is the main engine of the CAX environment. The MOSEX software is tailored and adapted for the Bulgarian context and will be applied in the "Terrorist Act Consequences Management in South East Europe" exercise (EU TACOM SEE 2006), which is sponsored by the European Union. A limited budget and manpower for the preparation of software is available for the extremely short duration of the exercise. Low cost, standard basic software was selected, which provides the minimum of required functionality of message handling, display capabilities and simulation tools.
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