ChapterPDF Available

Research and Development and high Technology Exports in Selected Countries at Different Development Stages. A Panel Co-integration and Causality Analy

Authors:

Abstract

This study aiming to investigate the impact of research and development (R&D) expenditures and the number of researchers on the value of export in high and medium-high technology manufacturing industry using panel data analysis for countries with different levels of economic development for the period of 1996-2012, comprises of three parts. In the first part, the theoretical and empirical literature on R&D and exports is presented. In the second part, the impact of R&D on exports is analyzed empirically. Finally, empirical findings are interpreted. In two different models designed for empirical analysis, high and medium-high technology exports (HTEX) is selected as dependent variable, and R&D expenditure and the number of researchers (RP), are taken as a measure of technological capability in each model. Additionally, gross fixed capital formation (GFC), and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows are employed to explain HTEX. The models are tested respectively. The results of analysis indicate that R&D and RP are most important determinants of HTEX for both groups of countries. Also, parameter estimations show that R&D expenditure elasticity of high-technology exports in developing countries is higher than that of developed ones. Besides, according to the estimation results of panel Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), while there is no short-run causality from R&D and RP to HTEX, there is short-run causality from GFC and FDI to HTEX. Moreover, since error correction term is negative and significant in these two models, we conclude that error correction mechanism has worked and the short-term imbalances have been fixed in the log-run. In the light of these empirical findings which present some important policy implications for developing countries that experience a technological gap compared to developed nations, to realize high value-added and sustainable export performance, policies transforming the structure of production and exports from the low-tech towards the high-tech by the way of supporting R&D activities and scientific and technological infrastructure are strongly recommended. Keywords: High-Tech Exports, R&D, Panel Cointegration, Panel VECM. JEL Classification: F10; F14; O14; O30; O38; C33
FOM-Edition
FOM
Hochschule
für
Oekonomie
&
Management
Springer Gabler 2016
© Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden.
This work is subject to copyright. All rights reserved. Current status.
Fehim Bakırcı
Thomas Heupel
Orhan Kocagöz
Üstün Özen
(Editors)
German-Turkish
Perspectives
on
IT and
Innovation
Management
Challenges and
Approaches
C
on
t
en
ts
Part I Introduction
1 R&D in Germany and Turkey a Comparison
Andreas Kladroba
2 Knowledge and Innovation Economy an Evaluation of Turkey
Fehim Bakırcı
3 Research and Development and high Technology Exports in Selected Countries
at Different Development Stages. A Panel Co-integration and Causality Analysis
Yusuf Bayraktutan, Hanife Bıdırdı and Aziz Kutlar
Part II Innovation
4 Business and Innovation
Kürşat Timuroğlu, Ersin Karaman and Mustafa Keskinkılıç
5 Strategic reorientation due to competitors’ disruptive innovation
Alexander Schmidt
6 Public Innovation Management Support in Rural Areas: The ARTIE Case in
Germany
Hartmut-Heinrich Meyer and Bastian Paulsen
7 The Innovative Role of Social Media in Healthcare
İmran Aslan
8 The analysis of factors that affect innovation performance of logistic enterprises
in Turkey
Osman Demirdöğen, Hamit Erdal and Ahmet İlker Akbaba
IV
V
C
on
t
en
ts
9 Corporate evaluation as an instrument of innovation management in Turkey
Sven Lauterjung and Alessandra Bugla
10 An Assessment on Innovative Activity and Performance of Turkish Logistics
Sector
Osman Demirdöğen and Hamit Erdal
11 Determining Performances of Innovation and Exports in Turkey via Malmquist
Index for the Period of 1996-2012
Aziz Kutlar, Yusuf Bayraktutan and Hanife Bıdırdı
12 Structure Genesis as a Factor of Success of Interorganisational Innovation
Networks
Axel Müller and Sylvia Pick Vidal
13 Knowledge transfer as Driver for Innovation Culture in Heterogeneous
Economic Zones
Winand Dittrich and Matthias Biniok
Part III IT
14 Driver's Choice and System Outcomes in Congested Traffic Networks
Siegfried Weinmann, Kay W. Axhausen and Christoph Dobler
15 Development of an efficient Europe-wide e-Recruiting System (European
Recruiting 2020)
Ricardo Büttner
16 Cloud-computing in the insurance industry. An application of the theory of club
goods
Thomas Christiaans and Stefan Steden
17 Dynamic Store Procedures in Databases
Muhammed Dursun Kaya and Hasan Asil
18 The Impact of High-Tech Expenditures on Exports in Turkey: 1996-2012
Aziz Kutlar and Ali Kabasakal
19 A Fresh Look at an Old Classification Algorithm
Bernd-Jürgen Falkowski
C
on
t
en
ts
VI
Part IV Finance
20 Islamic Banking 101: Turkish Banks in Germany. Fragments of a novel
marketing concept in consideration of ethical and sustainable ways of life
Andree Elsner, Tobias Kleinert and Helena Nelson-Strebel
21 Social Impact Bounds as a financial innovation an evolutionary economic
approach
Thomas Holtfort
22 Success Factors of Crowdfunding Projects on the Kickstarter Platform
Jörg Gutsche and Sabrina Sylla
Part V Education
23 Measuring the effectiveness and innovative capability of Bingöl University and
Atatürk University
İmran Aslan and Orhan Çınar
24 An E-conversion Project in Education System of Turkey: FATIH Project
Daha Orhan, Embiya Çelik and Arif Daş
25 Turkish academics and students in the context of skill shortages in Germany
Winand Dittrich and Natalina Reuffurth
Part VI SME
26 Risk Controlling in SMEs a German-Turkish Perspective
Stephan Schöning and Cömert Ersen
27 Study of the obstacles and motivational factors in innovation of SMEs
Osman Demirdöğen and Farid H. Hendou
VII
C
on
t
en
ts
Part VII Miscellaneous
28 Emotional ethnic marketing. Differences between emotional advertising
effectiveness of population with Turkish background and German population in
Germany
Julia Hermann
29 Use of Information Communication Technologies in Political Communication
and Participation - with Special Reference to Turkey
Hasan E. Aktaş
30 Trust Management as an Innovative Factor of Customer Retention: The
Negotiation Behaviour in Comparison to German and Turkish Business Partners
Volker Eickenberg
... To reduce the impact of the Sino-US trade war, Jiangsu province can improve its economy by actively attracting foreign investment and expand investment in innovation. Bayraktutan et al. (2018) investigated the impact of R&D on exports of advanced and medium technology manufacturing industries to countries with different levels of economic development over the period 1996-2012. The results of the panel vector error correction model (VECM) show, short-term causality from gross fixed capital (GFC) and foreign direct investment to the export of high tech manufacturing industries. ...
... Financial risk FR Based on the international country risk guide, the financial risk index includes 5 components named external debt to GDP ratio, external debt to exports of goods and services, current account balance to exports of goods and services, exchange rate stability, net international liquidity obtained as cover months to finance imports. That is a score that any increase will indicate a reduction in financial risk According to the study by Bayraktutan et al. (2018) and Tebaldi (2011) about this index, the following relationship is expected: ...
... Based on Fig. 1, the effect of this shock is long-term, and the production of high-tech goods and their export can for a long time lead to increased exports of high-tech in developing countries. Rojas & Correa (2019), Bayraktutan et al. (2018), Kabaklarli et al. (2018), Bassey Okon and Felix Awara (2018), Bournakis and Tsoukis (2016), and Groba and Cao (2015) also points to the importance of this variable in their studies. ...
Article
Full-text available
Scientific productivity has been one of the factors influencing high technology used in products that improve economic openness and international trade in developing economies. Given the low share of high-tech to total commodity exports, developing countries need to deploy relevant technologies to export advanced knowledge-based commodities. The present study investigates the impact of scientific productivity on high technology exports in selected developing countries (G15) during 1996–2017; using the panel vector autoregressive regression (PVAR) method. The result of the impulse response function shows that over a period of 10 years, with positive shock from the variables of scientific productivity, economic risk, and financial risk, the export of high technology increases but the positive impact of political risk on the export of high technology is negligible. The results of the analysis of variance show that technology export, economic risk, scientific productivity, financial risk, and political risk have the most effects on the high technology export, respectively.
Article
The state of income distribution in developing countries is important from an economic perspective, including per capita income, national savings, society's welfare and a socio-political perspective for governments to attract public voters. Therefore, economic justice has always been a concern of governments because of its undeniable economic and social consequences. The purpose of this study was to examine the impact of macroeconomic variables such as economic complexity, scientific productivity and various economic, financial and political risks on the situation of income inequality in developing economies during the years 2000–2019, using an econometric Panel-VAR method. The results showed that income inequality in selected middle-income developing countries is moving towards better status due to an increase in scientific productivity and a reduction in economic, financial and political risks. While income inequality decreases as economic complexity increases above a certain threshold. The results of the analysis of variance decomposition showed that among the explanatory variables, the economic complexity has the largest share in describing the Gini coefficient as the index of income inequality distribution.
Article
Location of new products, 191. — The maturing product, 196. — The standardized product, 202.
Article
Trade statistics portray the People's Republic of China (PRC) as the largest exporter of high-tech products. In this paper the author argues that the PRC’s leading position in high-tech exports is a myth created by outdated trade statistics, which are inconsistent with trade based on global supply chains. Current trade statistics mistakenly credit entire values of assembled high-tech products to the PRC, thus greatly inflating its exports. He suggests that a value-added-based approach should be adopted to accurately measure high-tech exports. Furthermore, if assembly is the only source of the value-added generated by PRC workers, in terms of technological contribution these assembled high-tech exports are no different from labor-intensive products, so they should be excluded from the high-tech classification.
Article
This paper uses a panel dataset from 1980 to 2008 to examine the determinants of high-technology exports. This research finds evidence that human capital, inflows of foreign direct investments, and openness to international trade are the major factors impacting the performance of a country's high-tech industry in the global market. It also shows that institutions do not have a direct impact on high-tech exports. However, institutions might impact high-tech exports indirectly via their effect on proximate factors such as human capital and inflows of foreign direct investments. This paper also demonstrates that gross capital formation, savings, and macroeconomic volatility have no significant effect on high-tech exports.
Article
This chapter uses fully modified OLS principles to develop new methods for estimating and testing hypotheses for cointegrating vectors in dynamic panels in a manner that is consistent with the degree of cross sectional heterogeneity that has been permitted in recent panel unit root and panel cointegration studies. The asymptotic properties of various estimators are compared based on pooling along the 'within' and 'between' dimensions of the panel. By using Monte Carlo simulations to study the small sample properties, the group mean estimator is shown to behave well even in relatively small samples under a variety of scenarios.
Article
In this paper, a formal model for the relationship between innovation and growth in European Union regions is developed drawing upon the theoretical contribution of the systems of innovation approach. The model combines the analytical approach of the regional growth models with the insights of the systemic approach. The cross-sectional analysis, covering all the Enlarged Europe (EU-25) regions (for which data are available), shows that regional innovative activities (for which a specific measure is developed) play a significant role in determining differential regional growth patterns. Furthermore, the model sheds light on how geographical accessibility and human capital accumulation, by shaping the regional system of innovation, interact (in a statistically significant way) with local innovative activities, thus allowing them to be more (or less) effectively translated into economic growth. The paper shows that an increase in innovative effort is not necessarily likely to produce the same effect in all EU-25 regions. Indeed, the empirical analysis suggests that in order to allow innovative efforts in peripheral regions to be as productive as in core areas, they need to be complemented by huge investments in human capital. Copyright 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd..
Article
This paper considers the prospects for Turkish manufactured exports, now dominated by simple labour-intensive products. The importance to Turkey of diversifying its export base has risen with its EU free trade agreement, where it has advantages in labour-intensive exports but where special preferences will vanish soon. As a high wage economy, Turkey has to compete with low-wage countries in simple, low technology products. As a technologically lagging economy, it has to compete against high technology European firms. Both are difficult, as there remain important structural deficiencies in Turkish competitiveness. Strategic implications are drawn in the conclusions.
Article
This paper employs recently developed techniques for testing hypotheses in cointegrated panels to test the strong version of purchasing power parity for a panel of post Bretton Woods data. We compare results using fully modified and dynamic OLS approaches, and strongly reject the hypothesis. We also introduce a new between-dimension dynamic OLS estimator and find that the between-dimension FMOLS and DOLS estimates of the long-run deviation from purchasing power parity are larger than the corresponding within-dimension estimates. Finally, we attempt to reconcile these rejections with the mixed findings that have been reported in panel unit root studies. © 2001 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technolog
Article
This paper maps out the recent manufactured export patterns of developing countries, using a new and detailed classification by technological levels. It argues that export structures, being path-dependent and difficult to change, have important implications for growth and development. Low-technology products (which have the least beneficial learning and spillover effects) tend to grow the slowest, and technology-intensive products (which have the most beneficial effects) the fastest in world trade. East Asia dominates the developing country scene, with 70% of total manufactured exports, and its role rises over time. There is also high and rising concentration at the national level. The technological specialization of different regions and the leading exporters differ greatly, as do the strategies used to achieve competitiveness. Received trade theory cannot explain these patterns without considering learning processes and the policies used to promote them.