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First trimester ultrasound screening for Down syndrome based on maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency and different combinations of the additional markers nasal bone, tricuspid and ductus venosus flow

Authors:
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
First trimester ultrasound screening for Down syndrome based
on maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency and different
combinations of the additional markers nasal bone,
tricuspid and ductus venosus ow
Harald Abele
1
, Philipp Wagner
1
, Jiri Sonek
2,3
, Markus Hoopmann
1
, Sara Brucker
1
, Burcu Artunc-Ulkumen
4
and Karl Oliver Kagan
1
*
1
Department of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, University of Tuebingen, Tübingen, Germany
2
Fetal Medicine Foundation USA, Dayton, OH, USA
3
Division of Maternal Fetal Medicine, Wright State University, Dayton, OH, USA
4
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Celal Bayar University, Turkey
*Correspondence to: Karl Oliver Kagan. E-mail: KOKagan@gmx.de
ABSTRACT
Objective To examine the performance of screening for Down syndrome based on maternal age, fetal nuchal
translucency (NT) and different combinations of the additional ultrasound parameters: nasal bone (NB), tricuspid
ow (TF) and ductus venosus (DV).
Methods Retrospective study at the University of Tuebingen, Germany including women who underwent chorionic
villous sampling between 2008 and 2014. Prior to invasive testing, the crown rump length, NT, NB, TF and DV were
measured. In each case, the added value of the additional markers NB, TF and DV were compared with screening
for trisomy 21 based on maternal age (MA) and NT thickness alone.
Results A total of 1916 pregnancies met the inclusion criteria, including 1823 fetuses with a normal karyotype and 93
with trisomy 21. Screening based on MA, fetal NT and one, two and three of the additional ultrasound markers
resulted in a detection rate of about 80%, 87% and 94%, respectively for a false positive rate of 3%.
Conclusion Detection rates for trisomy 21 in rst trimester ultrasound screening are substantially higher if all three
additional markers rather than just one are assessed. © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Funding sources: None
Conicts of interest: None declared
INTRODUCTION
Although cell free fetal DNA (cffDNA) testing provides a
signicant improvement in screening for trisomy 21, rst
trimester combined screening based on maternal age (MA),
fetal nuchal translucency (NT) and the maternal serum
markers (free beta-hCG and PAPP-A) is still considered to be
the gold standard in most countries.
1,2
Moreover it plays an
important role for genetic screening in the presence of
multiple pregnancies. The detection rate for this traditional
approach is about 90% for a false positive rate of 35%.
3
The performance of rst trimester combined screening can
be improved by using additional ultrasound markers. The
most promising ones are nasal bone (NB) and evaluation of
the tricuspid ow (TF) and the ductus venosus (DV) using
Doppler ultrasound. Each of these markers is abnormal
in 55% to 66% of the affected cases.
46
In a rst trimester
screening study based on maternal age, fetal NT, maternal
serum biochemistry and one of these markers including
19 614 euploid pregnancies and 122 with trisomy 21, the
detection rates were 9196% for a false positive rate of
about 2.5%.
47
As a matter of policy, the Fetal Medicine
Foundation (FMF) recommends the use of only one of
the additional markers in order to reduce inter-operator
variability and the time required for the examination.
8
Only few studies have examined the change in screening
performance of traditional combined screening if two or three
of these markers are added. These studies have indicated a
substantially increased detection rate of up to 100%.
9,10
Because the majority of affected fetuses have at least one
abnormal additional marker and because the prevalence of
these markers is low in the euploid population, the use of NT
and MA in combination with multiple additional ultrasound
markers may prove to be an appropriate alternative to classical
rst trimester screening policies.
Prenatal Diagnosis 2015, 35,15© 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
DOI: 10.1002/pd.4664
In this study we set out to examine the performance of
screening for trisomy 21 based on maternal age, fetal NT and
different combinations of the additional ultrasound parameters:
NB, TF and DV.
METHODS
This is a retrospective study involving patients that were seen at
the department of prenatal medicine at the University of
Tuebingen, Germany between 2007 and 2014. A search of our
database was performed to identify those pregnancies where a
CVS was carried out and where data on MA and weight, obstetric
history and all pertinent ultrasound parameters (crown-rump-
length [CRL], NT, NB, DV, and TR) were available.
At our department, a detailed ultrasound examination is
routinely carried out prior to chorionic villus sampling (CVS).
This includes CRL and NT measurements as well as a thorough
anatomical fetal assessment looking for the presence of major
anatomic defects.
11,12
In addition, the NB, TF and DV are
examined in each case.
The NB is considered to be abnormal if it is either not visible
or its echogenicity is the same or less than that of the skin.
Tricuspid regurgitation (abnormal TF) is diagnosed if it is
found during at least half of the systole and with a velocity of
more than 80 cm/s. The DV ow is assessed qualitatively, and
considered to be abnormal if the a-wave was reversed. All
operators are certied for the respective marker evaluations
by the FMF UK and measurements are performed according
to the published guidelines.
46
A CVS is offered to all women who consider their risk for trisomy
to be high enough to justify invasive testing.
13
The results of the
ultrasound examination, the karyotype and all relevant maternal
and pregnancy characteristics are entered into a digital database
(Viewpoint, GE Healthcare, Muenchen/Germany).
Pregnancies with a chromosomal abnormality other than
trisomy 21 were excluded from this study.
Because of the retrospective character of our study, an
approval of the local ethical committee was not necessary.
However, the ethical committee was informed about the study
(IEC number: 446/2015R).
Statistical analysis
In each case, the risk for trisomy 21 was calculated based on rst,
MA, second, MA and NT thickness, third, MA, NT and one of the
additional markers NB, TF and DV, fourth two of these markers
and nally, all of these additional markers together.
The risks were computed based on the latest algorithms of
the FMF UK that incorporated DV ow as dichotomous
variable.
46,1416
Detection and false-positive rates were
calculated by taking the proportions with risks above a given
risk threshold.
Figure 1 Distribution of fetal nuchal translucency measurements in
fetuses with trisomy 21
Table 1 Detection rate for xed false positive rates in rst trimester screening for trisomy 21 based on maternal age, fetal NT and
different combination combinations of additional sonographic markers
Fixed false positive rate, n(%)
1% 2% 3% 4% 5%
Screening policy
MA 3 (3.2) 3 (3.2) 4 (4.3) 6 (6.5) 8 (8.6)
MA +NT 36 (38.7) 52 (55.9) 63 (67.7) 67 (72.0) 67 (72.0)
MA +NT + NB 56 (60.2) 70 (75.3) 74 (79.6) 78 (83.9) 80 (86.0)
MA +NT + TF 61 (65.6) 70 (75.3) 74 (79.6) 76 (81.7) 79 (84.9)
MA +NT + DV 49 (52.7) 62 (66.7) 73 (78.5) 76 (81.7) 78 (83.9)
MA +NT + NB + DV 70 (75.3) 76 (81.7) 81 (87.1) 82 (88.2) 83 (89.2)
MA +NT + DV + TF 65 (69.9) 72 (77.4) 80 (86.0) 83 (89.2) 83 (89.2)
MA +NT + NB + TF 62 (66.7) 75 (80.6) 82 (88.2) 85 (91.4) 87 (93.5)
MA +NT + NB + TF + DV 69 (74.2) 82 (88.2) 87 (93.5) 88 (94.6) 89 (95.7)
MA, maternal age; NT, nuchal translucency; NB, nasal bone; TF, tricuspid ow; DV, ductus venosus ow.
H. Abele et al.
Prenatal Diagnosis 2015, 35,15 © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
RESULTS
The search of the database identied 1916 pregnancies that
met inclusion criteria. There were 1823 fetuses with a normal
karyotype and 93 fetuses with trisomy 21.
In 62.3% of the cases, invasive testing was carried out because
of an increased risk after rst trimester risk assessment including
cell free fetal DNA testing and in 37.7% of the cases, karyotyping
was performed because of increased anxiety, respectively.
Median MA and weight was 34.9 (25
th
75
th
IQR 30.938.0)
years and 65.2 (IQR 59.073.8) kg, respectively. Median CRL
was 66.7 (IQR 61.472.3) mm. Most patients were of Caucasian
origin (1880 [98.1%]).
The NT measurement was above the 99
th
percentile in 77
(4.4%) of euploid fetuses and in 66 (71%) of the fetuses with
trisomy 21. Figure 1 illustrates the NT distribution in the
aneuploid population.
In the normal population, the NB, TF and DV were abnormal
in 36 (2.0%), 31 (1.7%) and 64 (3.5%) cases, respectively. In
the trisomic population, these ndings were abnormal in 57
(61.3%), 57 (61.3%) and 56 (60.2%) cases, respectively. In 108
(5.9%) of the normal and 89 (95.7%) of the trisomic fetuses, at
least one of the markers was abnormal.
Different screening policies and the respective detection
rates are shown in Table 1. Screening based on MA and fetal
NT resulted in a detection rate of 67.7% for a false positive rate
of 3%. By adding one of the ultrasound markers NB, TF or DV,
the detection rate increased to 78.579.6%. The examination of
two of these markers resulted in detection rates of 86.088.2%,
and the assessment of the NB, TF and DV in addition to the NT
and MA detected 93.5% of fetuses with trisomy 21 for the same
false positive rate.
In Table 2 detection and false positive rates are shown for
xed risk cut-offs. For a risk cut-off of 1:50, detection and false
positive rates are 95.7% and 4.3% if all markers are assessed.
By assessing only one or two of the markers NB, TF or DV
in addition to MA and NT resulted in a substantially lower
screening performance.
DISCUSSION
Main ndings of our study
In this study we have examined the detection rates for trisomy 21
in screening by MA, fetal NT and different combinations of
additional ultrasound markers. We have shown that the highest
detection rate can be achieved if in addition to MA and fetal NT,
all three other sonographic markers NB, TF and DV are assessed.
If only two or one of the additional sonographic markers is
examined, the detection rate is about 10 and 15% lower.
Comparison with previous studies
Previous studies have predominantly used rst trimester
combined screening based on MA, fetal NT and maternal
serum biochemistry as gold standard with the addition of only
one of new markers, i.e. NB, TF and DV.
In a study performed by the FMF UK, 19614 euploid
pregnancies and 122 with trisomy 21 were examined. The
Table 2 Detection and false positive rates for xed risk cut-offs in rst trimester screening for trisomy 21 based on maternal age, fetal
NT and different combinations of additional sonographic markers
Fixed risk cut-offs, n(%)
Karyotype 1 in 10 1 in 50 1 in 100 1 in 1000 1 in 2500
Screening policy
MA Normal 5 (0.3) 74 (4.1) 272 (14.9) 1698 (93.1) 1823 (100.0)
T21 0 (0) 6 (6.5) 27 (29.0) 87 (93.5) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT Normal 58 (3.2) 159 (8.7) 214 (11.7) 975 (53.5) 1460 (80.1)
T21 63 (67.7) 80 (86.0) 86 (92.5) 93 (100.0) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT + NB Normal 48 (2.6) 114 (6.3) 160 (8.8) 595 (32.6) 1016 (55.7)
T21 72 (77.4) 82 (88.2) 85 (91.4) 93 (100.0) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT + TF Normal 40 (2.2) 119 (6.5) 159 (8.7) 578 (31.7) 1009 (55.3)
T21 72 (77.4) 79 (84.9) 86 (92.5) 92 (98.9) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT + DV Normal 47 (2.6) 128 (7.0) 178 (9.8) 652 (35.8) 1094 (60.0)
T21 67 (72.0) 80 (86.0) 83 (89.2) 93 (100.0) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT + NB + DV Normal 49 (2.7) 92 (5.0) 127 (7.0) 384 (21.1) 683 (37.5)
T21 80 (86.0) 83 (89.2) 85 (91.4) 93 (100.0) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT + DV + TF Normal 47 (2.6) 89 (4.9) 129 (7.1) 359 (19.7) 674 (37.0)
T21 78 (83.9) 83 (89.2) 85 (91.4) 93 (100.0) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT + NB + TF Normal 45 (2.5) 83 (4.6) 117 (6.4) 331 (18.2) 613 (33.6)
T21 80 (86.0) 86 (92.5) 87 (93.5) 93 (100.0) 93 (100.0)
MA +NT + NB + TF + DV Normal 41 (2.2) 79 (4.3) 100 (5.5) 239 (13.1) 398 (21.8)
T21 84 (90.3) 89 (95.7) 89 (95.7) 90 (96.8) 93 (100.0)
MA, maternal age; NT, nuchal translucency; NB, nasal bone; TF, tricuspid ow; DV, ductus venosus ow.
First trimester ultrasound screening
Prenatal Diagnosis 2015, 35,15 © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
detection and false positive rates using rst trimester combined
screening alone was 90% and 5% respectively. These improved
to 9095% and 2.5% respectively by including a single additional
marker.
46
In another more recent study by the FMF UK, the DV
ow was measured as a continuous instead of a dichotomous
variable. The addition of DV pulsatility index for veins to the
combined test resulted in a detection rate of 94% and a false
positive rate of 1.6%.
17
Only few studies have examined the screening performance of
combined screening with more than one additional marker.
Ghaffari et al. examined the additional markers in about 13 500
pregnancies including 33 cases with trisomy 21. Screening based
on combined screening resulted in a detection rate of 94% for a
false positive rate of 4.8%. The addition of the NB, TF and DV
increased the detection rate to 100% for a false positive rate of
3.4%.
9
Karadzov-Orlic et al. examined about 4000 euploid fetuses
and 97 fetuses with trisomy 21. They reported a 93% detection
rate with the additional examination of the NB, TF and DV,
which represents a 6% increase compared to combined
screening alone. The false positive rate was only slightly reduced
from 5.3 to 4.8%.
18
Hsiao et al. observed an increase in the
detection rate from 67% to 100% and a decrease of the false
positive rate from 4.1% to 2.4% if these additional three markers
were assessed after combined screening.
10
In contrast to these previous studies, we have focused on the
ultrasound examination only without including biochemical
screening. The detection rate increased from 68% using MA
and fetal NT only to 94% if MA, fetal NT and all three additional
markers were assessed. We acknowledge that the screening
performance based on MA and fetal NT was slightly lower than
expected.
19
This may be because of the referral character of our
study population: although we have noted a change in the
indications for invasive testing over the years, a major reason
for referral was still advanced maternal age followed by
increased NT. However, as none of our patients was referred
for abnormal results of the NB, TF or DV examination, our
results are still representative.
Limitations of our study
Our study has some limitations. First, we examined a high risk
population that was referred because of increased MA or
increased NT. For a xed false positive rate of 3%, the detection
rate in screening based on MA alone was substantially lower than
the expected 2030%. However, the detection rates for a xed risk
cut-off are still representative as the MA and fetal NT distribution
and the prevalence of abnormal NB, TF and DV ndings in our
cases with trisomy 21 is consistent with larger screening
studies.
46
In the general population, however, the false positive
rates for the respective risk cut-off should be lower than our study.
A second weakness lies in the fact that our risk calculation
did not take into account the fact that NB, TF and DV are not
entirely independent. The FMF software package allows the
use all different marker combinations. However, since the
studies of the FMF focused only on one of the additional
markers, it does not use correction factors if more than one
additional marker is examined. As a result, the precision of
individual risk assessment is diminished though the clinical
impact is probably minimal.
Finally, we acknowledge that the assessment of the additional
markersisapowerfultoolinthe hands of fetal medicine
experts. However, it may be too difcult to incorporate
this approach into general screening policies. Most of the
reproducibility studies focused on the assessment of the
DV. Maiz et al. reported on about 120 examinations that are
necessary to reach an acceptably high intra- and inter-
operator reproducibility.
8
Consistently, Borrell et al.reported
on an intra- and interclass correlation of 0.81 and 0.50 for
the examination of the DV which underlines the need for
careful training and quality assessment when using this
marker in screening for trisomy 21.
20
Implication for clinical practice
Our results indicate that in expert hands, rst trimester
ultrasound screening based on MA, fetal NT and all three
additional markers results in detection rates of more than
95%. The respective false positive rate in our study was about
4% because of the referral character of our study population.
However, in a general population a lower false positive rate
can be expected. For a risk cut-off of 1:50, the false positive
ratebasedonMAandfetalNTandoneoftheadditional
ultrasound markers is 1.31.4%.
7
The examination of two or
three of these markers will lead to a further reduction in the
false positive rate.
Currently, a lot of the discussion focuses on how rst
trimester screening can be combined with new but expensive
screening methods such as cffDNA analysis. We have
recently reported on a policy based on MA, fetal NT and DV
pulsatility index for veins for all patients followed by cffDNA
in patients with an intermediate risk. If the risk cut-offs 1 in
50 and 1 in 1000 are used, the detection and false positive
rates are 1.3 and 94%.
21
SuchapolicywouldlimitcffDNA
testing to about 9% of the population. Because of the
high negative likelihood ratio, it can be expected that the
additional examination of the NB and the TF would further
reduce the need of cffDNA testing.
CONCLUSION
In this study we have shown that in the hands of fetal medicine
experts rst trimester ultrasound screening based on MA, fetal
NT and the additional examination of all three ultrasound
markers NB, TF and DV results in a higher detection rate than
if only one of these ultrasound markers is assessed.
WHATS ALREADY KNOWN ABOUT THIS TOPIC?
First trimester screening for Down syndrome based on maternal age
and fetal NT detects about 70% of affected fetuses for a 3% false
positive rate.
WHAT DOES THIS STUDY ADD?
The assessment of one, two and three of the additional ultrasound
markers nasal bone, tricuspid and ductus venosus ow increases
the detection rate to about 80%, 87% and 94%, respectively, for
the same false positive rate.
H. Abele et al.
Prenatal Diagnosis 2015, 35,15 © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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First trimester ultrasound screening
Prenatal Diagnosis 2015, 35,15 © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Article
Full-text available
Objective: To evaluate first-trimester screening protocols for detecting trisomy 21 in an Indian population. Methods: The present prospective study collected data from women with singleton pregnancies and a crown-to-rump length of 45-84 mm who presented at the fetal medicine unit of a tertiary care center in North India between June 1, 2006, and December 31, 2015, for combined first-trimester screening. Maternal age, nuchal translucency, nasal bone, and maternal serum levels of free beta human chorionic gonadotropin and pregnancy-associated plasma protein A were assessed for calculating the risk of trisomy 21. Tricuspid regurgitation and qualitative analysis of ductus venosus data were available from June 2010, and were included where available. Trisomy-21 detection rates were calculated for various screening protocols and were compared. Results: There were 4523 women screened and 24 records of trisomy 21. Combined screening with maternal age, nuchal translucency, nasal bone, tricuspid regurgitation, and ductus venosus demonstrated optimal detection and false-positive rates of 93.8% and 1.9%, respectively. Screening using only maternal age yielded a detection rate of 37.5%; using fixed nuchal translucency cut-off values of 2.5 mm and 3 mm resulted in detection rates of 66.7% and 37.5%, respectively. Conclusion: Combined first-trimester screening performed well in an Indian population; combining maternal age, nuchal translucency, nasal bone, ductus venosus, and tricuspid regurgitation yielded the most accurate screening. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
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The aim of this study was to examine the effectiveness of a combination of parameters at first-trimester screening for fetal aneuploidies, including ultrasound assessment of the nasal bone (NB), blood flow in the ductus venosus (DV) and flow across the tricuspid valve. Screening for aneuploidy was carried out in 4172 singleton pregnancies between January 2006 and December 2010. Diagnostic accuracy of combined screening [inclusive of maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency (NT) thickness and maternal serum free beta-human chorionic gonadotropin and pregnancy-associated plasma protein A] and of secondary ultrasound markers [NB, tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and Doppler studies of the DV] obtained at the same visit was assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. The individual areas under the ROC curves of NT, NB, DV or TR ranged between 0.7 and 0.8, representing acceptable discrimination. The area under the ROC curve of combined first-trimester screening was 0.87, whereas the addition of secondary ultrasound markers increased the area under the curve to 0.92, which represents excellent discrimination. At a risk cutoff of 1 : 275, the detection rate for aneuploidy increased from 87% to 92% (z statistic = 1.78, P = 0.076), and the false positive rate decreased from 5.3% to 4.8%. The addition of secondary ultrasound markers (NB, DV and TR) to combined first-trimester screening showed a tendency toward improved accuracy of the screening.
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Objective To examine performance of screening for major trisomies by a policy of first-line assessment of risk with maternal age, fetal nuchal translucency thickness (NT) and ductus venosus pulsatility index for veins (DV-PIV) followed by cell-free (cf) DNA testing, in pregnancies with an intermediate risk.Methods We estimated the distribution of risks based on maternal age, fetal NT and DV-PIV in a dataset of 86 917 unaffected and 491 trisomic pregnancies undergoing prospective screening for trisomies. Performance of screening for trisomies by cfDNA testing was derived from a meta-analysis of clinical validation studies. We estimated performance and cost of screening for trisomies by different combinations of ultrasound screening and cfDNA testing.ResultsScreening for trisomies 21, 18 and 13 by a combination of maternal age, fetal NT and DV-PIV in all pregnancies, followed by invasive testing in the high-risk group (≥1:10) and cfDNA testing in the intermediate-risk group (1:11–1:3000) can potentially detect about 96%, 95% and 91% of cases, respectively, with an FPR of 0.8%. On the assumption that the costs for ultrasound screening, cfDNA testing and invasive testing are €150, €500 €1000, respectively, the overall cost of such a policy would be about €250 per patient. The alternative policy of universal screening by cfDNA testing, can potentially detect about 99%, 97% and 92% of cases of trisomies 21, 18 and 13, but at the overall cost of more than €500 per patient.Conclusion Combined screening by first-trimester ultrasound examination and cfDNA testing can detect a high proportion of trisomies with a low FPR.
Article
Objective: To examine the performance of first-trimester screening test combining several fetal sonographic and maternal biochemical markers for major aneuploidy in a Chinese population. Methods: This was a prospective study performed over 5 years between January 2005 and December 2010 in Taiwan, with 20,586 cases that had a combination of a variety of sonographic markers and maternal serological β-human chorionic gonadotropin and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A levels assessed at first trimester screening between 11(+0) and 13(+6) weeks of gestation. The risk of aneuploidy was calculated using algorithm software developed by Fetal Medicine Foundation, London. Fetal karyotyping was performed when the prenatal screening showed a risk of 1/300 or higher. All cases were followed for fetal outcome. Results: The study population was divided into four groups according to the screening strategy performed. The combination of maternal serological biochemistry and nuchal translucency measurement had a 66.7% detection rate of trisomy 21. Addition of nasal bone status increased the detection rate of trisomy 21 to 88.2%. Inclusion of tricuspid regurgitation flow showed an 87.5% detection rate of trisomy 21. Further inclusion of ductus venosus flow increased the detection rate of trisomy 21 to 100%. Incorporating more markers greatly increased the detection rate and decreased the false-positive rate (FPR). Conclusion: Extension of first-trimester screening to include more sonographic markers greatly increased the sensitivity and decreased FPR for detection of chromosomal abnormalities. Such screening strategy is effective in clinical practice for the Chinese ethnic population.
Article
What's already known about this topic? Noninvasive DNA testing (NIDT) is recommended in many developed countries as an option for pregnant women who have already been determined to be at high risk for fetal aneuploidy. Over two years of clinical experience has been accumulated with offering NIDT as an advanced screen for fetal autosomal aneuploidy. At the present time, most testing is being performed by commercial organizations. What does this study add? This study provides a written transcript to accompany an oral debate that was presented at the 17(th) International Conference on Prenatal Diagnosis and Therapy in Lisbon, Portugal on June 3, 2013. The debaters, who are both experts in maternal-fetal medicine, consider the benefits and limitations of offering NIDT to all pregnant women regardless of their a priori risk of having a fetus with a chromosome abnormality. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Article
Background Prenatal diagnosis of trisomy 21 currently relies on assessment of risk followed by invasive testing in the 5% of pregnancies at the highest estimated risk. Selection of the high-risk group by a combination of maternal age and second-trimester maternal serum biochemistry gives a detection rate of about 60%. We investigated assessment of risk by a combination of maternal age and fetal nuchal-translucency thickness, measured by ultrasonography at 10–14 weeks of gestation. Methods The risk of trisomy 21 was estimated for 96127 women of median age 31 years (range 14–49) with singleton pregnancies. Ultrasonography was done by 306 appropriately trained sonographers in 22 centres. Risk of trisomy 21 was calculated from the maternal age and gestational-age-related prevalence, multiplied by a likelihood ratio depending on the deviation from normal in nuchal-translucency thickness for crown-rump length. The distribution of risks was investigated and the sensitivity of a cut-off risk of 1 in 300 was calculated. Phenotype was assessed by fetal karyotyping or clinical examination of liveborn infants. Findings The estimated trisomy-21 risk, from maternal age and fetal nuchal-translucency thickness, was 1 in 300 or higher in 7907 (8·3%) of 95 476 normal pregnancies, 268 (82·2%) of 326 with trisomy 21, and 253 (77·9%) of 325 with other chromosomal defects. The 5% of the study population with the highest estimated risk included 77% of trisomy-21 cases. Interpretation Selection of the high-risk group for invasive testing by this method allows the detection of about 80% of affected pregnancies. However, even this method of risk assessment requires about 30 invasive tests for identification of one affected fetus.
Article
To investigate the performance of first-trimester screening for chromosomal abnormalities by integrated application of nuchal translucency thickness (NT), nasal bone (NB), tricuspid regurgitation (TR) and ductus venosus (DV) flow combined with maternal serum free β-human chorionic gonadotropin (fβ-hCG) and pregnancy-associated plasma protein-A (PAPP-A) at a one-stop clinic for assessment of risk (OSCAR). In total, 13,706 fetuses in 13,437 pregnancies were screened for chromosomal abnormalities during a period of 5 years. Maternal serum biochemical markers and maternal age were evaluated in combination with NT, NT + NB, NT + NB + TR, and NT + NB + TR + DV flow data in 8581, 242, 236 and 4647 fetuses, respectively. In total, 51 chromosomal abnormalities were identified in the study population, including 33 cases of trisomy 21, eight of trisomy 18, six of sex chromosome abnormality, one of triploidy and three of other unbalanced abnormalities. The detection rate and false-positive rate (FPR) for trisomy 21 were 93.8% and 4.84%, respectively, using biochemical markers and NT, and 100% and 3.4%, respectively, using biochemical markers, NT, NB, TR and DV flow. While risk assessment using combined biochemical markers and NT measurement has an acceptable screening performance, it can be improved by the integrated evaluation of secondary ultrasound markers of NB, TR and DV flow. This enhanced approach would decrease the FPR from 4.8 % to 3.4 %, leading to a lower number of unnecessary invasive diagnostic tests and subsequent complications, while maintaining the maximum level of detection rate. Pre- and post-test genetic counseling is of paramount importance in either approach.