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The First Cold Neptune Analog Exoplanet: MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb

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Abstract

We present the discovery of the first Neptune analog exoplanet, MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb. This planet has a mass similar to that of Neptune or a super-Earth and it orbits at $9\sim 14$ times the expected position of the snow-line, $a_{\rm snow}$, which is similar to Neptune's separation of $ 11\,a_{\rm snow}$ from the Sun. The planet/host-star mass ratio is $q=(3.6\pm0.7)\times 10^{-4}$ and the projected separation normalized by the Einstein radius is $s=2.39\pm0.05$. There are three degenerate physical solutions and two of these are due to a new type of degeneracy in the microlensing parallax parameters, which we designate "the wide degeneracy". The three models have (i) a Neptune-mass planet with a mass of $M_{\rm p}=21_{-7}^{+6} M_{\rm earth}$ orbiting a low-mass M-dwarf with a mass of $M_{\rm h}=0.19_{-0.06}^{+0.05} M_\odot$, (ii) a mini-Neptune with $M_{\rm p}= 7.9_{-1.2}^{+1.8} M_{\rm earth}$ orbiting a brown dwarf host with $M_{\rm h}=0.068_{-0.011}^{+0.019} M_\odot$ and (iii) a super-Earth with $M_{\rm p}= 3.2_{-0.3}^{+0.5} M_{\rm earth}$ orbiting a low-mass brown dwarf host with $M_{\rm h}=0.025_{-0.004}^{+0.005} M_\odot$. The 3-D planet-host separations are 4.6$_{-1.2}^{+4.7}$ AU, 2.1$_{-0.2}^{+1.0}$ AU and 0.94$_{-0.02}^{+0.67}$ AU, which are $8.9_{-1.4}^{+10.5}$, $12_{-1}^{+7}$ or $14_{-1}^{+11}$ times larger than $a_{\rm snow}$ for these models, respectively. The Keck AO observation confirm that the lens is faint. This discovery suggests that Neptune-like planets orbiting at $\sim 11\,a_{\rm snow}$ are quite common. They may be as common as planets at $\sim 3\,a_{\rm snow}$, where microlensing is most sensitive, so processes similar to the one that formed Uranus and Neptune in our own Solar System may be quite common in other solar systems.
arXiv:1512.00134v1 [astro-ph.EP] 1 Dec 2015
The First Cold Neptune Analog Exoplanet:
MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb
T. Sumi1,2, A. Udalski3,4, D.P. Bennett5,6,2, A. Gould7, R. Poleski3,4,7, I.A. Bond8,2,
N. Rattenbury9,2, R. W. Pogge7T. Bensby10, J.P. Beaulieu11 , J.B. Marquette11 ,
V. Batista11 , S. Brillant12
and
F. Abe13, A. Bhattacharya5, M. Donachie9, M. Freeman9, A. Fukui14, Y. Hirao1, Y. Itow13,
N. Koshimoto1, M.C.A. Li9, C.H. Ling8, K. Masuda13, Y. Matsubara13 , Y. Muraki13 ,
M. Nagakane1, K. Ohnishi15, To. Saito16, A. Sharan9, D.J. Sullivan17, D. Suzuki5,
P.,J. Tristram18, A. Yonehara19,
(The MOA Collaboration)
M.K. Szyma´nski3, K. Ulaczyk3, S. Koz lowski 3, L. Wyrzykowski3, M. Kubiak3, P.
Pietrukowicz3, G. Pietrzy´nski3, I. Soszy´nski3,
(The OGLE Collaboration)
2
ABSTRACT
We present the discovery of the first Neptune analog exoplanet, MOA-2013-
BLG-605Lb. This planet has a mass similar to that of Neptune or a super-Earth
and it orbits at 9 14 times the expected position of the snow-line, asnow, which
is similar to Neptune’s separation of 11 asnow from the Sun. The planet/host-star
mass ratio is q= (3.6±0.7)×104and the projected separation normalized by the
1Department of Earth and Space Science, Graduate School of Science, Osaka University, Toyonaka, Osaka
560-0043, Japan,
e-mail: sumi@ess.sci.osaka-u.ac.jp
2Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics (MOA)
3Warsaw University Observatory, Al. Ujazdowskie 4, 00-478 Warszawa,Poland; udalski, msz, mk, pietrzyn,
soszynsk, szewczyk, kulaczyk@astrouw.edu.pl
4Optical Gravitational Lens Experiment (OGLE)
5Department of Physics, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA; bennett@nd.edu
6Laboratory for Exoplanets and Stellar Astrophysics, NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt,
MD 20771, USA
7Department of Astronomy, Ohio State University, 140 W. 18th Ave., Columbus, OH 43210, USA
8Institute of Information and Mathematical Sciences, Massey University, Private Bag 102-904, North
Shore Mail Centre, Auckland, New Zealand; i.a.bond,c.h.ling,w.sweatman@massey.ac.nz
9Department of Physics, University of Auckland, Private Bag 92019, Auckland, New Zealand;
n.rattenbury,mli351,p.yock@auckland.ac.nz; asha583,mdon849@aucklanduni.ac.nz
10Lund Observatory, Department of Astronomy and Theoretical physics, Box 43, SE-221 00 Lund, Sweden
11UPMC-CNRS, UMR7095, Institut d’Astrophysique de Paris, F-75014 Paris, France
12European Southern Observatory (ESO), Karl-Schwarzschildst. 2, D-85748 Garching, Germany
13 Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University, Nagoya 464-8601, Japan;
abe,itow,kmasuda,ymatsu@stelab.nagoya-u.ac.jp
14Okayama Astrophysical Observatory, National Astronomical Observatory of Japan, 3037-5 Honjo, Kamo-
gata, Asakuchi, Okayama 719-0232, Japan
15Nagano National College of Technology, Nagano 381-8550, Japan
16Tokyo Metropolitan College of Aeronautics, Tokyo 116-8523, Japan
17School of Chemical and Physical Sciences, Victoria University, Wellington, New Zealand
18Mt. John University Observatory, P.O. Box 56, Lake Tekapo 8770, New Zealand
19Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, Kyoto Sangyo University, 603-8555 Kyoto, Japan
3
Einstein radius is s= 2.39 ±0.05. There are three degenerate physical solutions
and two of these are due to a new type of degeneracy in the microlensing parallax
parameters, which we designate “the wide degeneracy”. The three models have
(i) a Neptune-mass planet with a mass of Mp= 21+6
7Morbiting a low-mass
M-dwarf with a mass of Mh= 0.19+0.05
0.06M, (ii) a mini-Neptune with Mp=
7.9+1.8
1.2Morbiting a brown dwarf host with Mh= 0.068+0.019
0.011Mand (iii) a
super-Earth with Mp= 3.2+0.5
0.3Morbiting a low-mass brown dwarf host with
Mh= 0.025+0.005
0.004M. The 3-D planet-host separations are 4.6+4.7
1.2AU, 2.1+1.0
0.2
AU and 0.94+0.67
0.02 AU, which are 8.9+10.5
1.4, 12+7
1or 14+11
1times larger than asnow
for these models, respectively. The Keck AO observation confirm that the lens
is faint. This discovery suggests that Neptune-like planets orbiting at 11 asnow
are quite common. They may be as common as planets at 3asnow, where
microlensing is most sensitive, so processes similar to the one that formed Uranus
and Neptune in our own Solar System may be quite common in other solar
systems.
Subject headings: gravitational lensing Galaxy: bulge stars: variables: other
1. Introduction
The formation of the ice giants Uranus and Neptune is not well understood. In the
favored core accretion theory, the gas giant planets like Jupiter and Saturn are believed
to form through the accumulation of small icy planetesimals into solid cores of about
5-15 Min the region beyond the snow-line at asnow 2.7(Mh/M) (Ida & Lin 2004;
Laughlin, Bodenheimer & Adams 2004; Kennedy, Kenyon & Bromley 2006), where the pro-
toplanetary disk is cold enough for ices (especially water-ice) to condense. However, such
a scenario is unable to form smaller ice giants like Uranus and Neptune at their current
orbital positions, due to the low density of planetesimals and slow evolution in these orbits
(Pollack et al. 1996).
One idea is that Uranus and Neptune formed in the Jupiter-Saturn region between 5
and 17 AU, then migrated outwards to the current position (Fernandez 1984; Thommes, Duncan & Levison
1999; Helled & Bodenheimer 2013). The distribution of such cold ice-giant planets in other
solar systems is important for understanding the formation of our own cold ice giants. Also,
in our own Solar System, the distribution of Kuiper Belt objects (KBOs) is dominated by
gravitational interactions with Neptune. Since KBOs hold large amounts of water and other
volatiles needed for life, it could be that exo-neptunes play an important role in the devel-
opment of life in some exoplanetary systems, whether or not they play this role in our own
4
Solar System.
In the 20 years since the first exoplanet discovery (Mayor & Queloz 1995), there have
been repeated discoveries of planets that are quite different from those in our own So-
lar System. However, the detection of planets similar to those in our own Solar System
has been more difficult. Only Jupiter analogs have been detected orbiting solar type stars
(Wittenmyer et al. 2014), while Jupiter/Saturn (Gaudi et al. 2008; Bennett et al. 2010) and
Venus/Earth analogs (Burke et al. 2014; Quintana et al. 2014) have been found orbiting
low-mass stars. Very cold, low-mass planets have yet to be explored (see the distribution of
known exoplanets as of 2015 Oct. 6 1in Figure 1). Cold ice-giants like Uranus and Neptune
are very difficult to detect with the radial velocity and transit methods owing to their long
orbital periods (80-160 years), low orbital velocities and low transit probabilities. The direct
imaging method can detect wide-orbit planets if they are self-luminous, but otherwise, they
will be far too faint to detect, especially if they are as small as Uranus and Neptune.
Recently, low-mass stars (i.e. M-dwarfs) have attracted more interest in exoplanet search
programs because of their high detectability of habitable or cold low-mass planets.
Kepler ’s 150,000 targets contain about 3000 red dwarfs and more than a hundred plan-
etary systems have been found orbiting these stars (Morton & Swift 2013). These results
show that smaller planets are more common than larger planets around M-dwarfs, and plan-
ets with radii of 1.25 Rare the most common planets in these systems. Dressing & Charbonneau
(2013) estimated an occurrence rate of 0.5 habitable zone Earth size planets per M-dwarf,
and Quintana et al. (2014) found an Earth-radius habitable planet around a 0.5 MM-
dwarf. That smaller planets are more common than larger planets around M-dwarfs may be
related to the fact that only small mass proto-planetary disks have been found around such
low mass stars (Kennedy & Kenyon 2008). The TRENDS high-contrast imaging survey, in
combination with radial velocity measurements, indicates that 6.5% ±3.0% of M-dwarf stars
host one or more massive companions with 1 < m/MJ<13 and 0 < a < 20 AU, however
this survey is not sensitive to cold ice planets (Montet et al. 2014; Clanton & Gaudi 2014).
The gravitational microlensing method is also sensitive to planets around M-dwarfs and
even brown dwarfs because it does not rely on the light from the host stars. Microlens-
ing relies upon random alignments between background source stars and foreground lens
star+planet systems, and more massive lens stars are only favored by the factor Mwhile
smaller masses have shorter timescales which can also bias against detection. So M-dwarf
lens stars dominate microlensing events. Contrary to the other methods, microlensing is sen-
sitive to low-mass planets down to an Earth-mass (Bennett & Rhie 1996) orbiting beyond
1http://exoplanet.eu
5
the snow-line, as shown in Fig. 1. Microlensing is therefore complementary to the other
planet detection techniques. Statistical analyses of microlensing samples indicate that the
planet abundance beyond the snow line is about a factor 7 larger than the abundance of
close-in planets. Neptune mass planets are more abundant than gas giants around M-dwarfs,
and one or more planets per star in total are predicted just beyond the snow-line (Sumi et al.
2010; Gould et al. 2010; Cassan et al. 2012).
In about half of the planetary systems found by microlensing, the mass of the host
and planets and their projected separation have been measured by microlensing paral-
lax in combination with the finite source effect (Bennett et al. 2008; Gaudi et al. 2008;
Muraki et al. 2011; Kains et al. 2013; Tsapras et al. 2014; Udalski et al. 2015a) and/or direct
detection of the lens flux by high resolution imaging by adaptive optics (AO) (Bennett et al.
2010; Kubas et al. 2012; Batista et al. 2014, 2015) or the Hubble Space Telescope (HST)
(Bennett et al. 2006, 2015; Dong et al. 2009b). The probability distribution of physical
mass and separations of other events have been estimated using a Bayesian analysis as-
suming a Galactic model. Among the planetary systems with mass measurements, three of
them have very low mass hosts, less than 0.2Mand each system has a planetary mass
ratio q < 0.01. These three systems are MOA-2007-BLG-192L (Mh= 0.084+0.015
0.012M,
Mp= 3.2+5.2
1.8M) (Bennett et al. 2008; Kubas et al. 2012), MOA-2010-BLG-328L (Mh=
0.11 ±0.01M, Mp= 9.2±2.2M) (Furusawa et al. 2013), and OGLE-2013-BLG-0723LB
(Mh= 0.031 ±0.003M, Mp= 0.69 ±0.06M) (Udalski et al. 2015b). Neptune analog
planets are still difficult to detect even by microlensing.
Recently, Poleski et al. (2014) found a planet in a Uranus-like orbit with mass of 4
MUranus at 18 AU around 0.7 Mstar. This is 9 times the snow-line of the host. While
their mass estimates are based on a Bayesian analysis and have large uncertainties, their
detection demonstrated the ability to detect planets in these orbits with microlensing.
In this paper, we present the detection and the mass measurement of the first Neptune
analog MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb via microlensing. We detected the microlensing parallax ef-
fect which yield the mass measurement of the lens system in combination with the finite
source effect.
Microlensing parallax can be measured when one observes an event simultaneously from
two different locations, either with a telescope on Earth and a space telescope, (Refsdal 1966;
Udalski et al. 2015a) or with two ground-based telescopes, referred to as terrestrial parallax
(Gould et al. 2009). It is known that there is a four-fold degeneracy in these parallax mea-
surements, (Refsdal 1966; Gould 1994). Two elements of this four-fold degeneracy correspond
to two different magnitudes of the measured parallax. As a result, the physical parameters of
the lens differs between these two degenerate solutions. The other two degenerate solutions
6
in the four-fold degeneracy just arise from a symmetry in the lensing geometry. The physi-
cal parameters of the lens are the same between these two degenerate solutions, except the
projected velocities which can be used to distinguish among solutions (Calchi Novati et al.
2015). Most commonly, parallax measurements have been made by observing an event from
an accelerated observatory; specifically from ground-based observations of an event which
is long enough for Earth to move significantly in its orbit around the Sun. This is referred
to as orbital parallax (Gould 1992). There is also an analogous four-fold discrete degener-
acy for orbital parallax, termed the “jerk parallax” degeneracy and their mirror solutions
(Gould 2004; Park et al. 2004). For the binary lens case, there is an approximate degeneracy
in the parallax parameters, known as the “ecliptic degeneracy” (Skowron et al. 2013). In
this work on event MOA-2013-BLG-605, we report a new type of degeneracy in parallax
model solutions, which is specific to widely separated binary lenses. The details of this new
degeneracy are presented in section §4.
We describe the observations of, and photometric data for, event MOA-2013-BLG-605
in sections §2 and §3. The light curve modeling is described in section §4. In section §5
and §6 we present the physical parameters of the lens system and constraints by the Keck
AO observation. We discuss, in section §7, the manner in which we might measure the lens
mass in the future and we present an overall discussion and our conclusions in section §8.
2. Observation
The Microlensing Observations in Astrophysics (MOA; Bond et al. 2001; Sumi et al.
2003) collaboration carries out a microlensing survey toward the Galactic bulge from the
Mt. John University Observatory in New Zealand. The MOA-II survey (Sumi et al. 2011)
is a very high cadence photometric survey of the Galactic bulge with the 1.8 m MOA-II
telescope equipped with a 2.2 deg2field-of-view (FOV) CCD camera. The 2013 MOA-II
observing strategy called for the 6 fields (13 deg2) with the highest lensing rate to be
observed with a 15 minute cadence, while the next 6 best fields were observed with a 47
minute cadence, and 8 additional fields were observed with a 95 minutes cadence. Most
MOA-II observations use the custom MOA-red wide band filter, which corresponds to the
sum of the standard Cousins Rand I-bands. MOA-II issues 600 alerts of microlensing
events in real time each year.2
The Optical Gravitational Lensing Experiment (OGLE; Udalski, Szyma´nski and Szyma´nski
2015) also conducts a microlensing survey toward the Galactic bulge with the 1.3 m Warsaw
2https://it019909.massey.ac.nz/moa/
7
telescope at the Las Campanas Observatory in Chile. The fourth phase of OGLE, OGLE-
IV started its high cadence survey observations in 2010 with a 1.4 deg2FOV mosaic CCD
camera. OGLE observes bulge fields with cadences ranging from one observation every 20
minutes for 3 central fields to less than one observation every night for the outer bulge fields.
Most observations are taken in the standard Kron-Cousin I-band with occasional observa-
tions in the Johnson V-band. OGLE-IV issues 2000 microlensing event alerts in real time
each year.3
The microlensing event MOA-2013-BLG-605 was discovered at (R.A., decl.)(2000)=
(17:58:42.85, -29:23:53.66) [(l, b) = (1.0583, -2.695)], in MOA field gb9, which is mon-
itored every 15 min, and it was announced by the MOA Alert System on 2013 Aug 30
(HJDHJD2450000 6535). Figure 2 shows the light curve. At the time of its dis-
covery, MOA recognized this event as a possible free-floating plant candidate (Sumi et al.
2011) as the best fit single lens light curve had an Einstein radius crossing time of light curve
tE= 0.73 ±0.10 days. (See Figure 2.) Nearly four weeks later, the OGLE Early Warning
System (EWS) system (?) detected this event being magnified again with longer timescale
due to the lensing effect of the host star. The OGLE EWS system announced this event as
OGLE-2013-BLG-1835 on 2013 Sep 25 (HJD6560), as shown in the top panel of Figure
2. The initial short magnification by the planet at HJD6535 was confined by the OGLE
survey data. Actually, it should have triggered the OGLE discovery alert but due to unfor-
tunate deeply hidden bug in the EWS software this did not happen. The later magnification
by the host was observed by MOA, as well as OGLE.
Follow-up observations of the stellar part of the light curve in the V,Iand H-bands were
obtained by the µFUN collaboration using the CTIO 1.3 m SMARTS telescope. These data
were taken mainly to extract the source color. We use the average of these CTIO and OGLE
VIcolor measurements. CTIO H-band measurements are used to drive H-band source
magnitude, which is very important for comparison to the AO observations (see Section 6).
3. Data Reduction
The MOA images were reduced with MOA’s implementation (Bond et al. 2001) of the
difference image analysis (DIA) method (Tomany & Crotts 1996; Alard & Lupton 1998;
Alard 2000). In the MOA photometry, we found that there were systematic errors that
correlate with the seeing and airmass, as well as the motion, due to differential refraction,
of a nearby, possibly unresolved star. There is also a potential systematic error due to the
3http://ogle.astrouw.edu.pl/ogle4/ews/ews.html
8
relative proper motion of a nearby star or stars, which we model as linear function in time.
We ran a detrending code to measure these effects in the 2011, 2012 and 2014 data, and we
removed these trends with additive corrections to the full 2011-2014 data set. (The MOA
data from 2006-2010 indicate no significant photometric variations, but they are not included
in the light curve analysis.) This detrending procedure improved the fit χ2by χ2= 0.073
per data point in the baseline, so it has reduced the systematic photometry errors signifi-
cantly. This investigation of the systematics is necessary to have confidence in the modeling
of the light curve with high order effects in the following section.
The OGLE data were reduced with the OGLE DIA (Wo´zniak 2000) photometry pipeline
(Udalski, Szyma´nski and Szyma´nski 2015). In this event, the center of the magnified source
star is slightly shifted from the center of the apparent star identified in the reference image,
due to blending with one or more unresolved stars. So the OGLE data have been re-reduced
with a centroid based difference images, just as the MOA pipeline does (Bond et al. 2001).
The number of data points used for the light curve modeling are 9675, 5514 and 64
for MOA-Red, OGLE-Iand OGLE-Vpassbands, respectively. The photometric errorbars
provided by the photometry codes give approximate estimates of the absolute photometric
uncertainty of each measurement, and we regard them as an accurate representation of the
relative uncertainty for each measurement. This is adequate for determining the best light
curve model, but in order to determine the uncertainties on the model parameters, it is
important to have more accurate error bars. We accomplish this with the method presented
in Yee et al. (2012). We rescale the errors using the formula, σ
i=kpσ2
i+e2
min, where σi
and σ
iare original and renormalized errorbars in magnitudes. The parameters kand emin
are selected so that the cumulative χ2distribution sorted by the magnification of the best
model is a straight line of slope 1 and χ2/dof1. This procedure yields k= 1.092313
and emin = 0.012662 for MOA-Red, k= 1.387059 and emin = 0.010938 for OGLE-Iand
k= 1.571492 and emin = 0.0 for OGLE-V. Note that the changes of the final best fit model
due to this error renormalization are negligible.
4. Light curve modeling
We search for the best fit models of the standard (static), the parallax, the parallax
with the linear orbital motion of the planet, the keplerian orbital motion, with the keplerian
prior, the Galactic kinematic constraint and the Galactic density prior using Markov Chain
Monte Carlos (MCMC) (Verde et al. 2003). The best fit models are shown in Table 1-6 and
their physical parameters are in Tables 7-12, respectively (see Section 5).
9
4.1. Standard (static) model
In a point-source point-lens (PSPL) microlensing model, there are three parameters, the
time of peak magnification t0, the Einstein radius crossing time tE, and the minimum impact
parameter u0. The standard binary lens model has four more parameters, the planet-host
star mass ratio q, the projected separation normalized by Einstein Radius s, the angle of
the source trajectory relative to the binary lens axis α, and the ratio of the angler source
radius to the angler Einstein radius ρ=θE.ρcan only be measured for events that show
finite source effects. The measurement of ρis important because it allows us to determine
the angular Einstein radius θE=θ since the angular source radius, θ, can be estimated
from its color and extinction-corrected apparent magnitude (Kervella et al. 2004).
We use linear limb-darkening models for the source star using the coefficients, u=
0.5863, 0.7585 and 0.6327 for the I,Vand MOA-Red bands, respectively (Claret 2000).
The MOA-Red value is the mean of the Rand I-band values. These values were selected
from Claret (2000) for a K2 type source star with T= 5000 K, logg= 4.0 and log[M/H] = 0,
based on the extinction corrected, best fit source VIcolor and brightness (see Section 5).
The best fit standard model parameters are shown in Table 1. The mass ratio of
q3×104and separation of s2.3 indicate that the companion is a relatively low mass
planet at wide separation.
4.2. Parallax model with a New Type of Degeneracy
There are higher order effects that require additional parameters. The orbital motion
of the Earth can cause the apparent lens-source relative motion to deviate from a constant
velocity, and apparent lens-source separation and orientation. This effect is known as the
microlensing parallax effect (Gould 1992; Alcock et al. 1995; Smith, Mao & Wo´zniak 2002),
and it can be described by the microlensing parallax vector πE= (πE,N, πE,E). The direction
of πEis the direction of the lens-source relative motion projected on the sky (geocentric
proper motion at a fixed time), and the amplitude of the microlensing parallax vector,
πE= AU/˜rE, is the inverse of the Einstein radius, projected to the observer plane. Because
the Galactic bulge is close to the ecliptic plane, there is an approximate degeneracy in
the parallax parameters, known as the “ecliptic degeneracy, where models with similar
parameters but with (u0, α, πE,N) = (u0, α, πE,N) produce nearly indistinguishable light
curves. This corresponds to a reflection of the lens plane with respect to the geometry of
Earth’s orbit, (Smith, Mao & Paczy´nski 2003; Skowron et al. 2013).
We found the four degenerate parallax models as shown in Table 1. The light curves
10
of these four models are almost identical, which is shown in Figure 2. The caustics, critical
curves and source trajectory of these models are shown in Figure 3. The “P” scripts indicate
models with microlensing parallax. The ”+” and subscripts refer to two different 2-
fold degeneracies in the parallax models. The first ± subscript refers to the sign of the u0
parameter, and refers to the “ecliptic degeneracy” mentioned above, but the second ± sub-
script refers to a new parallax degeneracy, the wide degeneracy, that is particular to events
like this, with a wide separation planet detected through a crossing of the planetary caustic.
The light curve measurements indicate the angle, α(tpcc ), between the source trajectory and
lens axis at the time of the planetary caustic crossing, tpcc. Due to the reflection symmetry
of the lens system, the light curve constrains α(tpcc) up to a reflection symmetry, as shown in
Figure 3. If there were no microlensing parallax, we could use α(tpcc) to predict the closest
approach of the source to the center-of-mass, u0, and therefore the peak magnification of the
the stellar part of the microlensing light curve. But, when the microlensing parallax effect is
included, the angle αcan vary in time, so that α(tpcc)6=α(t0). For a wide-separation plan-
etary event, like MOA-2013-BLG-605, the light curve basically constrains the microlensing
parallax through the three parameters, α(tpcc), u0, and t0, which is essentially the time of the
stellar peak magnification (cf. An & Gould 2001). As a result, the configurations shown in
the upper and lower panels of Figure 3 yield nearly identical light curves as shown in Figure
2, even though the source passes through in between the two masses in the upper panels
and below or above the masses in the bottom two panels. The lower panels imply a larger
curvature of the source trajectory, and therefore, a larger microlensing parallax signal. (Note
that the model parameter α0and s0given in Table 1-6 are the αand svalues at a fixed time
tfix = 6573.045, following the convention of Geocentric microlensing parallax parameters.)
Fig. 4 shows the χ2distribution of the parallax parameters from the best fit MCMC
models. The best fit values are compared to that of other models in Figure 5. In late
September, the Earth’s acceleration is in the East-West (E-W) direction, so for a typical
event, we would expect a better constraint on parallax in the E-W direction, i.e, a smaller
error for πE,E. However, in this case, the planetary signal plays a big role in the parallax
signal. The angle and timing of caustic entry for a given u0value which is constrained by
the main peak corresponding to the host star constrain the parallax parameters.
For all these models, qand sare similar to that of the standard model, so the companion
is a cold low mass planet. For all 4 degenerate solutions, the model parameters of greatest
interest are all very similar, except for the microlensing parallax. The ecliptic degeneracy
yields nearly identical physical parameters, except that the direction of the lens-source rela-
tive motion is different. Potentially, this angle can be measured with follow-up observations
(Bennett et al. 2015; Batista et al. 2015). In contrast to the ecliptic degeneracy, the wide de-
generacy implies different amplitudes, πE, of the microlensing parallax vector, which implies
11
different lens system masses, as discussed in Section 5 below.
Thus, this wide degeneracy presents us with two different classes of physical models,
P±∓ and P±±, where the P±± models have larger πEimplying smaller lens system masses
and distance (see Section 5 and Table 7).
These four parallax models are preferred over the standard πE= 0 model in both
the MOA-Red and OGLE-Ibands by (∆χ2
MOA,χ2
OGLE) = (21.8,11.5), (21.6,11.1),
(21.9,12.5) and (23.6,12.8) for theP+, P+, P++ and P−− models, respectively. In
total, the χ2differences range from χ2=33.3 to 37.1. Microlensing parallax signals
can sometimes be mimicked by the systematic errors in the light curve photometry, but a
consistent signal seen in both the MOA and OGLE data implies that the signal is likely to
be real.
4.3. Xallarap model
The xallarap effect is a light curve distortion caused by the orbital motion of the source
star (Griest & Hu 1992; Han & Gould 1997), so it only occurs if the source star has a bi-
nary companion (Derue et al. 1999; Alcock et al. 2001). Xallarap can be represented by five
additional model parameters. The xallarap vector ξE= (ξE,N, ξE,E) is similar to the parallax
vector, πE, and represents the direction of the lens-source relative motion. The amplitude of
the xallarap vector, ξE=as/ˆrEis the semimajor axis of the source’s orbit, as, in units of the
Einstein radius projected on the source plane, ˆrE=θEDs. The other xallarap parameters
are the direction of the observer relative to the source orbital axis, with vector components
R.A.ξand decl.ξ, and the source binary orbital period, Tξ. For an elliptical orbit, two addi-
tional parameters are required, the orbital eccentricity, ǫand time of perihelion, tperi , which
we did not consider here as their inclusion did not improve the fit of the model to the data.
We found xallarap models giving only marginally better χ2values compared to parallax
models for Tξ160 days and worse values of χ2for shorter values of Tξ. This is not surprising
as it is known that xallarap effects can mimic parallax effects (Smith, Mao & Paczy´nski
2003; Dong et al. 2009a). Including xallarap yields a slight improvement of χ2 5 for
160 Tξ<200 days and χ2 9 at Tξ200 days. However, these models lead to
a xallarap amplitude of ξE0.26, which is larger than would be induced by a “normal”
main-sequence companion. Here ξEis expressed, making use of Kepler’s third law, by
ξE=as
ˆrE
=1AU
ˆrEMc
M M
Mc+Ms
Tξ
1yr2
3
.(1)
These models require a source companion of mass Mc>6Mfor Tξ160 days and
12
Mc>40Mfor Tξ200 days. Such a heavy object would most likely be a stellar remnant
or a black hole in either case, a rare object and thus an unlikely source companion. For
this reason we reject the inclusion of the xallarap in our models.
4.4. Orbital motion model
4.4.1. Linear Orbital Motion
The orbital motion of the planet around the host star causes a similar effect as parallax.
To a first-order approximation, the orbital motion of the planet is described by two parame-
ters, the rate of change, ω=dα/dt (radian yr1), of the binary axis angle α, and the rate of
change ds/dt(yr1), of the projected lens star and planet separation s(Dong et al. 2009a;
Batista et al. 2011), as follows,
s=s0+ds/dt(ttfix), α =α0+ω(ttfix),(2)
where, s0and α0are instantaneous value of sand αat the time tfix . We required the planet
to be bound. That is, the ratio of the projected kinetic energy and potential energy,
KE
PE
=(r/AU)3
8π2(M/M)"1
s
ds
dt 2
+
dt 2#yr2,(3)
which is less than the ratio of kinetic to potential energy (KE/PE) in three dimensions,
was required to be less than unity in the MCMC calculations used to determine the model
parameter distributions. The four best linear orbital motion models (with scripts ”L”) that
correspond to each of four parallax models in Table 1, are shown in Table 2. One finds that
πEand its uncertainty significantly increased, while the χ2only slightly improved. This is
because of the well known degeneracy between one component of the parallax vector, πE,,
which is the perpendicular to the binary axis and close to πE,Nin this case, and the lens
orbital rotation on the sky, ω. As an example, χ2distribution of πE,Nand ωfor the model
P+L is shown in Figure 6.
Note that there are two additional degenerate models P±± Lwhich have smaller s0
1.97 and larger ds/dt 4.1 yr1compared to the other models. Here, sof these models
are similar to others, s2.4, when the source crosses the planetary caustic. However these
models are disfavored with the full Keplerian orbit in the following analysis.
The physical parameters of the lens system of these models are shown in Table 8 (see
details in section §5). The host stars in these four models have a brown dwarf mass. Note
13
that (KE/PE)of these models given in Table 8 are close to unity. The probability of having
such high value is quite low as it requires very large eccentricity of e1, seeing the orbital
plane face-on. If the parameters are not well constrained by the light curve, the density
distribution of the MCMC chain depends on the prior probability of the fitting parameters
in MCMC. Although the linear approximation of the lens motion is good enough in most of
the cases, we inadvertently assumed the uniform prior on all microlensing fitting parameters,
which is not correct.
4.4.2. Full Keplerian Orbit
To take the proper weighting on the orbital parameters, we adopt the full Keplerian
parameterization by Skowron et al. (2013). The advantage of the full Keplerian orbit is not
only being more accurate and allowing only bound orbital solutions, it also enables us to
introduce physically justified priors on the orbital parameters. In addition to the parameters
defined above, we introduce the position and velocity along the line of sight, szin units of
rEand dsz/dt in yr1. Then, the three dimensional position and velocity of the secondary
relative to its host can be described by (s0,0, sz) and s0(γk, γ, γz) = (ds/dt, s0ω, dsz/dt).
We run MCMC fitting using the microlensing parameters with these six instantaneous
Cartesian phase-space coordinates, in which we transform the “microlensing” parameters to
“Keplerian” parameters, i.e., eccentricity (e), time of periapsis (tperi), semi-major axis (a)
and three Euler angles, longitude of the ascending node (Ωnode), inclination (i), and argument
of periapsis (ωperi). By following Skowron et al. (2013), we assume flat priors on values of
eccentricity, time of periapsis, log(a), and ωperi. Owing to the fact that orbital orientation is
random in space, we multiply the prior by |sin i|. We must multiply the Jacobian of the pa-
rameter transformation function, jkep =||(e, a, tperi ,node, i, ωperi)/∂(s0, α0, sz, γk, γ, γz)||
(Eq. B6 in Skowron et al. 2013). So we adopt the Keplerian orbit prior of Pkep =jkep|sin i|a1
and added the χ2penalty of χ2
kep =2 ln(Pkep).
We first show the results with full Keplerian orbit (with scripts “K”) without any priors
in Table 3 and Table 9. The results are almost same as the ones with the linear approximation
of the orbit. The large eccentricity of e1 seeing the orbital plane face-on (i0,180)
is as expected from the large (KE/PE)in the linear orbit. The physical parameter of the
keplerian orbits, semi-major axis akep, period P,e, and iare not well constrained so that
they have very large asymmetric error bars in MCMC in Table 9. Here, when the best fit
is outside of the 68% confidence interval of MCMC chains, the error bar is designated as
±0.0”. So the light curve shape itself does not constrain the parameters more than the
linear orbit model, except that it ruled out the models with smaller s0and larger ds/dt
14
corresponding to P±±L. The best fit parallax vectors are larger than that of the static
model as shown in Figure 5. Note that, the ratio of 3D kinetic to potential energy (KE/PE)
can be calculated in these full Keplerian orbit models as shown in Table 9. which are also
close to unity.
The results with the Keplerian orbit with the Keplerian prior (with scripts “Kp”) are
shown in Table 4, Table 10 and Figure 5. πEis reduced by a factor of 1/22/3 because the
circular orbit is preferred by the Keplerian prior. So the lens masses increased, while the
hosts are still the high-mass and low-mass brown dwarfs. As for the models P±∓Kp, there
are other minima with a lower parallax value of πE0.2 with similar final χ2whose host is
a low-mass M-dwarf. This is because Pkep prefers larger values of Dlby D6
l. But χ2values
from the light curves alone are larger than brown dwarf models. So there seems to be some
conflict between light curve and prior.
4.4.3. Stellar Kinematic constraint
In Table 10, the projected lens-source relative velocity ˜vt= vt,l , ˜vt,b ) of these Kp
models in the Galactic coordinate differs significantly. Those of the M-dwarf models are
significantly different from the expected value from the Galactic kinematics as shown in
Fig. 7. Here we assume a source distance of Ds= 8kpc, the proper motion of the Galactic
center is µGC = 6.1 mas yr1, the proper motion dispersion of stars in the bulge is σµ,GB = 3
mas yr1, the velocity dispersions of the Galactic disk stars in the Galactic coordinates are
σDisk,l = 34 km s1and σDisk,b = 18 km s1. Then the expected average vt,exp,l,˜vt,exp,b ) and
dispersion (˜σt,l,˜σt,b) of the lens projected velocity are calculated. The probability of having
observed ˜vtcan be given by
Pkin = exp "vt,l ˜vt,exp,l)2
σ2
t,l #exp "vt,b ˜vt,exp,b)2
σ2
t,b #.(4)
The χ2penalty of χ2
kin =2 ln(Pkin) is about +16 and +15 for M-dwarf P+Kpand
P+Kpmodels respectively. On the other hand the penalty is +9, +4, +2 and +2 for brown
dwarf P+Kp, P+Kp, P++Kpand P−−Kpmodels, respectively. So the M-dwarf models are
less preferred.
Thus, we conducted MCMC runs by adding the penalty χ2
kin. The results (with scripts
“Kpk”) are shown in Table 5, Table 11 and Figure 5. As expected, πEvalues for the M-dwarf
models increase to 0.3 to reduce the χ2
kin and the total χ2value became similar or larger
than the brown dwarf models. In total, low-mass brown dwarf P±±O models are slightly
15
preferred over other models.
4.4.4. Galactic mass density prior
Finally, we applied the prior for the Galactic mass density model (Batista et al. 2011;
Skowron et al. 2013).
Pgal =ν(x, y, z)f(µ)[g(M)M]D4
lµ4
πE
,(5)
which is the microlensing event rate multiplied by the Jacobian of the transformation from
microlensing parameters to physical coordinates, jgal =||(Dl, M, µ)/∂(tE, θE,πE)||. Here
ν(x, y, z) is the local density of lenses, g(M) is the mass function. f(µ) is the two-dimensional
probability function for a given source-lens relative proper motion, µ=vt/Dl, which is set
to unity because it is already implemented in Pkin above. We adopt the Galactic model by
Han & Gould (1995) for ν(x, y, z) and adopt g(M)M1by following Batista et al. (2011).
The results of MCMC runs by adding a penalty of χ2
gal =2 ln(Pgal) are shown (with
scripts “Kpkg”) in Table 6, Table 12 and Figure 5. The light curves, caustics, critical curves
and source trajectory of the models comprising both parallax and planetary orbital motion
with various different priors are almost same as that of the parallax-only models shown in
Figure 2 and Figure 3. Overall, the lens masses slightly increased relative to that of Kpk
models because this Pgal prefers larger Dl, i.e., smaller πE.
In addition to above six models, there are two more minima for P±±Kpkg with a lower
parallax value of πE0.8 with similar final χ2values. This is also because the prior Pgal
prefers larger Dland smaller πEvalues. These solutions happen to have similar πEvalues
with that of high-mass brown dwarf P±∓Kpkg models, hence the similar physical parameters.
As for the P±∓Kpkg models, there are two other minima which each have a much smaller
parallax value of πE0.035 and a smaller final χ2=15107. This is because their large
values of Dl= 7 kpc are preferred by Pgal. These solutions have a very heavy host mass
of Mh1.7Mwhich would be quite rare. In addition, these solutions have a value of
χ2
lc 15224 which is larger than any other model with parallax, which conflict to the
preference by Pgal. Furthermore, these models have very bright H-band source magnitudes
Hs= 15.816 ±0.017 and Hs= 15.824 ±0.018 for P++ Kpkg and P−−Kpkg, respectively. These
are too bright compared to the Keck AO measurement of the target, H= 15.90 ±0.02, by
3σ(see Section 6). If we assume that the host is a main sequence star, then total brightness
of the source plus lens is expected to be brighter and ruled out by Keck measurements by
16
more than 4σ. For these reasons we do not consider these solutions to be real, and are not
listed amongst the other solutions in the Tables.
5. Lens properties
The lens physical parameters can be derived for this event because we could measure
both the parallax and finite source effects in the light curve.
The OGLE-IV calibrated color magnitude diagram (CMD) in a 2×2region around
the event is shown in Figure 8. Figure 8 also shows the center of the Red Clump giants
(RCGs) (VI, I )RC,obs = (2.047,15.73) ±(0.002,0.04) and the model independent OGLE
VIsource color found by linear regression and the best fit source Imagnitude of the
model P++Kp, (VI, I)s= (1.985,18.13) ±(0.008,0.02). Isfor other models are almost
same, as shown in Table 1-6.
Assuming the source suffers the same dust extinction and reddening as the RCGs and
using the expected extinction-free RCG centroid (VI, I)RC,0= (1.06,14.39) ±(0.06,0.04)
at this position (Bensby et al. 2013; Nataf et al. 2013), we estimated the extinction-free
color and magnitude of the source as (VI , I)s,0= (1.00,16.80) ±(0.06,0.06). This color
measurement is consistent with the independent measurement of (VI)s,0= 1.02 ±0.06 by
the CTIO 1m telescope. We use the average color of (VI)s,0= 1.01 ±0.06 in the following
analyses. Here the errors in (VI)s,0are dominated by the error in (VI)RC,0. These
values are consistent with the source being a K2 subgiant (Bessell & Brett 1988).
Following Fukui et al. (2015), we estimated the source angular radius, θ, by using the
relation between the limb-darkened stellar angular diameter, θLD, (VI) and Igiven by
Equation (4) of Fukui et al. (2015). This relation is derived from a subset of the interfer-
ometrically measured stellar radii in Boyajian et al. (2014), in which the dispersion of the
relation is 2% by using only stars with 3900K < Teff <7000 K to improve the fit for FGK
stars. This yield the source radius of θ=θLD/2 = 1.84 ±0.12 µas.
The spectrum of the source was taken by the VLT at a time when the source was
still magnified, and which gives the source effective temperature, Teff = 4854 ±66 K, the
gravity, log g= 3.30 ±0.14, and the metallicity, [Fe/H]= 0.17 ±0.09 (Bensby et al. in
preparation). By using these values and the the relation by Casagrande et al. (2010), we
derive the extinction-free source colors, (VI)s,0,spec = 1.036 ±0.047 and (VH)s,0,spec =
2.244±0.078. Thus we get (IH)s,0,spec = 1.208±0.091. The extinction-free H-band source
magnitude is given as Hs,0=Is,0(IH)s,0,spec = 15.59 ±0.11.
17
Then we got θ= 1.90±0.11 µas by using the relation between θLD ,Hs,0, (VH)s,0and
[Fe/H], given by Equation (9) of Fukui et al. (2015), which is also driven in the same way as
Equation (4) of Fukui et al. (2015) but with the metallicity term. Note Hin the relation is
in Johnson magnitude system. Thus the observed H-band source magnitude which is in the
2MASS system, is converted to the Johnson system by following Fukui et al. (2015). This is
consistent with above value. The average of above values are,
θ= 1.87 ±0.12 µas,(6)
where we adopt the larger error from the estimate with (VI, I ), conservatively. This value
is about the median of those from other models and differences from them are less than 2%,
thus we adopt this value for all models in the following analysis.
We also tested the traditional method as follows. Following Yoo et al. (2004), the dered-
dened source color and brightness (V-K,K)s,0= (2.2,15.6) are estimated using the observed
(V-I,I)s,0and the color-color relation of Kenyon & Hartmann (1995). By using this (V-K,
K)s,0relation and the empirical color/brightness-radius relation of Kervella et al. (2004), we
estimated the source angular radius, θ= 1.85 ±0.16 µas, where the error includes uncer-
tainties in the color conversion and the color/brightness-radius relations. This is consistent
with the above value.
The physical parameters of all models are listed in Table 7-12. The physical properties
of three models with realistic priors and constraint, i.e., Kp, Kpk , and Kpkg , are basically
same within the error bars. In the following analysis, we focus on the model Kpk.
The angular Einstein radii, and geocentric lens-source relative proper motion µgeo are
estimated, respectively, as follows,
θE=θ
ρ= 0.48 ±0.06 mas,(7)
µgeo =θE
tE
= 8.4±1.2 mas yr1.(8)
This µgeo is consistent with the typical value for disk lenses of µ5-10 mas yr1.
The total mass and distance of the lens system can be given by M=θE/(κπE) and
Dl= AU/(πEθE+πs), where κ= 4G/(c2AU)=8.144 mas M1
,πs=AU/Dsand Ds8 kpc
is the distance to the source. Thus these quantities depend on the parallax parameter and
we have three groups of solutions in models, i.e, small πE0.3 (P±∓Kpk), medium πE0.8
(P±∓Kpk and P±± Kpk) and large πE2 (P±±Kpk). The distance to the system, Dl, the
18
mass of the host, Mh, and planet, Mp, and their projected separation, a, of these solutions
are,
Dl= 3.6+0.6
0.8kpc,1.8+0.4
0.2kpc,or 0.85+0.13
0.08 kpc,(9)
Mh=M
1 + q= 0.19+0.05
0.06 M,0.068+0.019
0.011 M,or 0.025+0.005
0.004 M,(10)
Mp=qM
1 + q= 21+6
7M,7.9+1.8
1.2M,or 3.2+0.5
0.3M,(11)
a=EDl= 4.2+0.7
0.9AU,2.1+0.4
0.2AU,or 0.94+0.12
0.09 AU,(12)
respectively. Here ais the 2-dimensional (2D) projection of a 3D elliptical orbit having a
semi-major axis a. The expected 3D semi-major axis can be estimated by aexp =p3/2a.
The best fit 3D semi-major axis by the Keplerian orbit, akep, are in-between of these values
in the case of this event.
The semi-major axis akep normalized by the snow-line, asnow = 2.7(Mh/M), are
akep
asnow
= 8.9+10.5
1.4,12+7
1,or 14+11
1,(13)
The effective temperature of the planet at the time of its formation based on the host mass
and host-planet separation are also given in the tables.
The small parallax models suggest that the planet has a mass similar to Neptune (17M)
orbiting a very low mass M-dwarf in the Galactic disk. The planet is very cold as the
estimated separation is 8.9+10.5
1.4times larger than the snow-line. This is comparable to
Neptune’s semi-major axis, i.e., 11 times larger than the Sun’s snow-line. This interpretation
of the planetary signal for MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb, therefore, suggests the planet is a Neptune
analog.
The medium parallax models correspond to a miniature Neptune (or large-mass “super-
Earth”) orbiting a high-mass brown dwarf host. The planet is even colder as the planetary
orbit radius is 12+7
2times larger than the snow line, which is also similar to the Neptune.
The large parallax models correspond to three times the Earth-mass planet orbiting a
low-mass brown dwarf host. The planet is colder because the planetary orbit radius is 14+11
1
times larger than the snow line.
19
These solutions of Kpk are compared to the planets found by other methods in Figure
1. As one can see in the right-hand panel of Figure 1, in either group of models, this planet
is the coldest low mass planet ever found and it is very similar to Neptune.
6. Keck AO Observations and Lens Mass constraint
We observed with the NIRC2 instrument mounted on KECK-II the microlensing target
MOA-2013-BLG-0605 on July 26, 2015. We used the Wide camera giving a pixel scale of
0.04 arcsec and a field of view of 40 arcsec. We adopted a 5 position dithering pattern, and
did 30 exposures of 10 seconds each. We performed dark subtraction and flatfielding in the
standard manner. We then stacked the frames using Swarp (Bertin et al. 2002), without
subtracting the background. The final image is shown in Figure 9.
For absolute calibration, we used images from the VVV survey done with the VISTA
4m telescope at Paranal (Minniti et al. 2010). We extracted a 3 arcmin JHK band images
centred on the target. We computed a PSF model using PSFEX software (Bertin & Arnouts
1996), and measured fluxes on the frames using SExtractor with this PSF model. We cross
identified the stars from the field with 2MASS catalogues. We selected 300 stars that are
bright while not saturated on VVV, and derive the photometric zero points with an accuracy
of 0.004 mag. We then use the VVV catalogue to perform the astrometric calibration of the
KECK frame.
We then measure the fluxes using SExtractor as described in (Batista et al. 2014). We
cross identified 39 stars in both the VVV and KECK image. We exclude the stars saturated
on the KECK, and derive the zero point of KECK photometry. In the non-AO PSF, there
are two stars, the source with H= 15.90 ±0.02 and a blend at 0.3 arcsec to the south
with H= 17.01 ±0.03. Here, these two stars are blended in the OGLE reference image
and the cataloged centroid is in-between of them. The actual source position during the
magnification on the OGLE difference image was precisely measured as shown by the red
cross in Figure 9. This clearly resolved the source and showed that the blend measured in
the fitting process is not the lens.
By a linear regression of OGLE-I-band light curve and µFUN CTIO H-band light curve,
which are calibrated to the 2MASS scale, we got the source (IH) color as,
(IH)s= 2.256 ±0.016.(14)
By using this color and the best fit Is,H-band source magnitude, Hsare calculated as shown
in Table 7-12. There is a trend that the smaller the parallax is, the brighter the source is.
The Hsof low-mass brown dwarf models are almost same as the Keck measurement of
20
H= 15.90 ±0.02 or only slightly brighter within 1σ. The Hsof high-mass brown dwarf and
most of M-dwarf models are within 2σ. The M-dwarf models, P+Kp, P+Kpk and P+Kpkg
have Hs= 15.856 ±0.022, 15.856 ±0.024, and 15.845 ±0.026, which are 1.6, 1.7 and 2.1
σbrighter than the Keck measurement. Furthermore, these are 2.0, 2.0 and 2.4 σbrighter
when those include the lens (host) brightness (Kroupa & Tout 1997) of Hh= 20.96 ±0.24
(Mh= 0.28M,Dl= 4.3kpc), 21.22 ±0.24 (Mh= 0.20M,Dl= 3.5kpc) and 21.17 ±0.24
(Mh= 0.21M,Dl= 3.7kpc), respectively. These results indicate that the lens is very
faint and not detected, which is consistent with the light curve solutions that the host is
a low-mass M-dwarf or a brown dwarf mentioned in Section 4. The low-mass brown dwarf
models are marginally preferred.
As mentioned in Section 4.4.4, there are two minima with a much smaller parallax value
of πE0.035 for the P±∓Kpkg models. In addition to the rarity of their heavy host mass
of 1.7Mwhich might be a stellar remnant, their source magnitudes Hs= 15.824 ±0.018
and Hs= 15.816 ±0.017 are 2.9σand 3.2σbrighter than the Keck measurement. So these
models are not likely real. If their host is a main sequence star, then total brightness of the
source plus lens are ruled out by Keck measurement by more than 4σ.
7. Future Mass Measurement
Let us consider the prospects for resolving the degeneracy and characterizing the host
and the planet. In the first epoch of Keck AO observations, we could not detect any excess
light, which confirmed the lens is faint. If the second epoch is taken by HST or AO ob-
servations, then we may directly detect the host (or possibly its companion). We can then
measure the lens mass and distance or place a stronger upper limit on the lens mass.
In Table 7-12, the geocentric proper motions are reported as |µgeo|=θE/tE= 8 9
mas yr1. The heliocentric proper motion is given by (Janczak et al. 2010),
µhel =µgeo +v,
πrel
AU,(15)
where v,= (v,,N , v,,E) = (2.96,8.24) km s1is the velocity of the Earth projected
on the plane of the sky at the peak of the event. The estimated µhel = (µhel,N, µhel,E) of each
model is shown in Table 7-12, and they are about 8 9 mas yr1. Hence it is clear that
the lens will be separately resolved by HST or AO observations in 5-10 years’ time given
a diffraction limit of 50 mas. Or, if we do not see any luminous object, then the lens is a
sub-stellar object.
Not only the value but also the direction of expected relative proper motion would help
21
us to know if it was the lens or just an ambient star when we detect such star at 80mas from
the source 10 years later.
8. Discussion and Conclusion
There are three physical planetary solutions for the MOA-2013-BLG-605L system. One
comprises a Neptune-mass planet at a wide separation from a very low mass M-dwarf host
star, having a very similar temperature as Neptune when the planet was formed. The
second solution comprises a mini-Neptune around a high-mass brown dwarf which is even
colder than Neptune when it was formed. The third one is a super-Earth around a low-mass
brown dwarf.
These degenerate solutions may be resolved by future high resolution imaging of the
lens by the HST or ground-based telescopes using adaptive optics, after waiting a period of
time for the positions of the lens and the source to diverge. We may detect an M-dwarf lens
host star, but we do not expect to detect a brown dwarf host star by such direct imaging.
In either case, the host is one of the four least massive main sequence stars orbited
by a planet for which the planet’s mass was measured and for which the planet-host mass
ratio is q < 0.01. The other low host mass, low planet mass systems are MOA-2007-BLG-
192L (Mh= 0.084+0.015
0.012M,Mp= 3.2+5.2
1.8Mr= 0.66+0.51
0.22 AU) (Bennett et al. 2008;
Kubas et al. 2012), MOA-2010-BLG-328L (Mh= 0.11 ±0.01M, Mp= 9.2±2.2M, r=
0.92±0.16 AU) (Furusawa et al. 2013) and OGLE-2013-BLG-0723LB (Mh= 0.031±0.003M, Mp=
0.69 ±0.06M) (Udalski et al. 2015b).
These planets found around very low mass (0.1M) hosts have relatively small masses
themselves, ranging from super-Earth mass to Neptune mass. In contrast, a roughly equal
number of giant planets and planets with Neptune-mass or less have been found across the
whole mass range of host stars. This may imply that the formation of gas giants is more
difficult around very low mass stars compared to average K-M dwarf stars with masses of
0.5M, which is the typical host star for microlensing planets. This is somewhat as
predicted by the core accretion model of planetary formation, but this work provides the
first observational evidence supporting this prediction.
This could be the second exoplanet around a brown dwarf with a mass measurement hav-
ing a planetary mass-ratio q < 0.03 after OGLE-2013-BLG-0723LB (Udalski et al. 2015b).
There are three brown dwarf binaries where one of the components is in the planetary mass
regime (Choi et al. 2013; Han et al. 2013). However, their mass ratios are large q0.08,
suggesting that their formation may be considered more akin to binary formation than plan-
22
etary formation.
The separation of the planet is very wide, 8.9+10.5
1.4, 12+7
1or 14+11
1times larger than the
snow line of 0.5(M/0.2M) AU, 0.2(M/0.07M) or 0.08(M/0.03M) AU, respectively,
as seen in Figure 1. The effective temperature of the planet when it was formed, based on
the host mass and the planet-host separation, is 26K, 13K or 7K, the coldest planet
found to date apart from those planets found by the direct imaging method, which can
presently only find heavy gas-giant planets of more than a few Jupiter masses. The effective
temperature of these heavy gas-giants are a few hundreds K or higher due to their internal
heat. In either interpretation, planet MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb is orbiting around one of the
least massive objects found to date at a very wide separation. The planet is the coldest
exoplanet discovered so far. This is the first observed example of a Neptune-like exoplanet
in terms of mass and temperature, which are important factors in any planetary formation
theory.
The probability of detecting such wide separation low mass planets is very low, even
by microlensing. The probability of a source crossing the planetary caustic is proportional
to the size of the planetary caustic, wc4q1/2s20.01 (Han 2006), divided by half the
circle with radius of separation s, i.e., P4q1/2s31×103(s= 2.4). It is an order
of magnitude smaller than planets at s1, where 10 planets with Neptune-mass or less
have been found by microlensing. This may imply that such low-mass planets with masses
about that of Neptune at a10 asnow are as common as low-mass planets at a few times of
the snow line (Sumi et al. 2010; Gould et al. 2010; Cassan et al. 2012).
This conclusion may challenge the standard core accretion model and other formation
models (Ida & Lin 2004) which predict few Neptune-like planets at 10 asnow. More accurate
measurements of the abundance and distribution of Neptune-like ice-giant planets are very
important in the study of the formation of Neptune and in the study of planet formation
mechanisms in general. The microlensing exoplanet search by NASA’s WFIRST satellite
is expected to detect hundreds of neptune-like planets and will constrain further planetary
formation models.
TS acknowledges the financial support from the JSPS, JSPS23103002,JSPS24253004
and JSPS26247023. The MOA project is supported by the grant JSPS25103508 and 23340064.
The OGLE project has received funding from the National Science Centre, Poland, grant
MAESTRO 2014/14/A/ST9/00121 to AU. DPB acknowledges support from NSF grants
AST-1009621 and AST-1211875, as well as NASA grants NNX12AF54G and NNX13AF64G.
Work by IAB and PY was supported by the Marsden Fund of the Royal Society of New
Zealand, contract no. MAU1104. NJR is a Royal Society of New Zealand Rutherford
23
Discovery Fellow. AS, ML and MD acknowledge support from the Royal Society of New
Zealand. AS is a University of Auckland Doctoral Scholar. AG was supported by NSF grant
AST 1103471 and NASA grant NNX12AB99G. J.P.B., S.B., J.B.M. gratefully acknowledges
support from ESO’s DGDF 2014. JPB & JB acknowledge the support of the Programme
National de Plan´etologie, CNRS, and from PERSU Sorbonne Universit´e.
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This preprint was prepared with the AAS L
A
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28
Fig. 1.—: The distribution in planetary mass, Mp, versus the semi-major axis, a(left
panel) and anormalized by the snow-line (right panel) of discovered exoplanets by various
methods. Red circles indicate the microlensing planets. Microlensing planets for which mass
measurements have been made are indicated with filled circles. Microlensing planets where
the mass has been estimated by a Bayesian analysis are indicated with open circles. The
six model solutions for event MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb comprising parallax and the Keplerian
orbital motion with the Keplerian prior and the kinematic constraint (Kpk) are indicated by
purple filled circles. Black dots represent the radial velocity planets and blue filled squares
are transit planets. Cyan dots are transit planets found by Kepler. Magenta triangles
denote planets found via direct imaging. Green open squares denotes planets found via
timing measurements. Solar system planets are indicated by their initial. A green vertical
dashed line indicates the snow line. All models for MOA-2013-BLG-605Lb are very similar
to Neptune, when planet orbit radii are scaled to the snow line (right panel).
29
Fig. 2.—: Light curve of MOA-2013-BLG-605. Black, red and green points indicate MOA-
Red, OGLE-I and OGLE-V band data, respectively. Blue lines represent the best fit parallax
model P++ which is almost identical to all models with parallax and orbital motion. Middle
and Bottom panels show the detail of the planetary signal and its residual from the best
model.
30
Fig. 3.—: Caustics (Red lines) of MOA-2013-BLG-605 of the best fit parallax models, P+,
P+, P++ and P−− in top-left, top-right, bottom-left and bottom-right panel, respectively.
The figure of each model with a orbital motion and various priors are similar. Insets show
a close-up view around the planetary caustic. Blue circles indicate the best fit source star
radius and position at HJD= 6534.6, just before crossing the planetary caustic. Blue lines
with arrows represent source star trajectories. The left and right black filled circles at y= 0
indicate the positions of primary and planet, respectively. The green lines show critical
curves.
31
Fig. 4.—: χ2distribution of the parallax parameters from the best fit parallax-only
models, without orbital motion, P++, P+, P+and P−−, from top to bottom. Black, red,
green, blue and orange dots indicate chains with χ2<1, 4, 9, 16 and 25, respectively.
32
Fig. 5.—: The best fit parallax parameters (πE,E,πE,N) of the parallax-only model (open
circles in the left panel) and the parallax with the orbital motion (filled circles) with the
Keplerian orbit (K), the Keplerian prior (Kp), kinematic constraint (Kpk) and the Galactic
prior (Kpkg) from the left to right panels, respectively. The black, red, green and blue color-
code correspond the models with the geometry of P+, P+, P++ and P−− , respectively.
33
Fig. 6.—: χ2distribution of the parallax parameter πE,Nand orbital motion perimeter
ωfrom the best fit MCMC models of the P+L, the parallax with a linear orbital motion
model. Black, red, green, blue and orange dots indicate chains with χ2<1, 4, 9, 16 and
25, respectively. Here ωis in rad day1as actually used in the MCMC.
34
Fig. 7.—: Lens projected velocity ˜vt= vl,˜vb) in the Galactic coordinate from the best fit
with Keplerian orbit with the Keplerian prior. Top-left, top-right and bottom panels indicate
M-dwarf and brown dwarf P±∓Kpmodels and brown dwarf P±±Kpmodels, respectively.
Red circles are expected mean from the Galactic kinematics. Green error bars and circles
represent uncertainty due to the velocity dispersion of disk stars and bulge stars, respectively.
They are added in the quadrature in the total error shown in red error bars. Green bashed
line indicate the ecliptic North and East. The ˜vtof M-dwarf P±∓Kpmodels are significantly
different from the expected value from the Galactic kinematics.
35
Fig. 8.—: OGLE-IV calibrated Vand IColor magnitude diagram (CMD) within 2’×2’
around the event (green dots). A filed square indicates the center of Red Clump Giants. The
source position shown by the filled circle, which is almost identical for all models, indicates
that the source star is a K2 sub-giant.
36
Fig. 9.—: H-band Keck AO image within 5”×5” around the event. The red cross indicates
the actual source position measured during the magnification on the OGLE difference image.
The brighter star at the cross is the source with H= 15.90 ±0.02 mag. The fainter star on
South is the blend with H= 17.01 ±0.02 mag. This shows that the blend measured in the
fitting process is not the lens. The measured H-band flux of the source shows that the lens
is very faint and not detected.
37
Table 1. Model Parameters. Standard and Parallax-only models.
Parameter Standard P+P+P++ P−−
t0(HJD) 6573.056 6573.050 6573.050 6573.051 6573.052
0.008 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.010
tE(days) 20.47 19.93 20.04 20.10 20.15
0.13 0.32 0.29 0.32 0.28
u0(102) 7.563 7.932 -7.874 7.907 -7.890
0.099 0.186 0.175 0.185 0.164
q(104) 2.762 3.460 3.431 3.530 3.611
0.105 0.211 0.204 0.202 0.215
s2.304 2.391 2.384 2.393 2.395
0.010 0.019 0.018 0.020 0.017
α0(radian) 3.0996 3.1335 3.1534 2.9829 3.3035
0.0004 0.0077 0.0072 0.0084 0.0080
ρ(103) 3.37 3.88 3.85 3.91 3.95
0.10 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.14
πE,N0.000 -0.313 0.279 1.114 -1.144
0.000 0.076 0.071 0.086 0.082
πE,E0.000 -0.252 -0.261 -0.210 -0.249
0.000 0.107 0.100 0.104 0.104
πE0.000 0.401 0.382 1.134 1.170
0.000 0.088 0.082 0.084 0.088
Is(mag) 18.167 18.117 18.125 18.120 18.123
0.011 0.024 0.023 0.025 0.021
Ib(mag) 18.508 18.580 18.568 18.575 18.571
0.015 0.037 0.034 0.038 0.032
Hs(mag) 15.911 15.861 15.869 15.864 15.867
0.019 0.029 0.028 0.029 0.027
χ2
lc 15251.42 15217.49 15218.15 15216.43 15214.27
χ2
kep 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ2
kin 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ2
gal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ215251.42 15217.49 15218.15 15216.43 15214.27
dof 15217 15215 15215 15215 15215
Note. HJD=HJD-2450000. The first subscript of model P, + and
indicate the models with u0>0 and u0<0, respectively. The second
subscript indicates the sign of impact parameter to the secondary lens, i.e,
++ and −− mean the source passes on the same side to the host and
planet. The 1σerror is given below each parameter. χ2
lc is the χ2from
the light curve alone. χ2
kep, χ2
kin and χ2
gal are χ2penalty due to the
Keplerian, kinematic and the Galactic priors. Note that πEis not a fit
parameter.
38
Table 2. Model Parameters. Linear orbit (L).
Parameter P+L P+L P++L P−−L P++ LP−− L
t0(HJD) 6573.051 6573.051 6573.055 6573.055 6573.055 6573.055
0.006 0.009 0.010 0.010 0.010 0.010
tE(days) 19.95 19.90 21.33 21.24 21.25 21.22
0.32 0.22 0.31 0.33 0.35 0.34
u0(102) 7.869 -7.894 7.418 -7.452 7.455 -7.449
0.187 0.128 0.154 0.169 0.169 0.161
q(104) 3.614 3.422 4.183 4.913 2.805 2.846
0.201 0.260 0.355 0.474 0.491 0.220
s02.370 2.353 2.302 2.451 1.972 1.975
0.024 0.063 0.093 0.081 0.111 0.022
α0(radian) 3.1445 3.1444 2.9485 3.3412 2.9614 3.3222
0.0067 0.0076 0.0058 0.0144 0.0097 0.0126
ρ(103) 3.94 3.85 4.06 4.41 3.33 3.36
0.12 0.19 0.19 0.23 0.28 0.12
πE,N-1.528 1.420 3.731 -3.366 3.703 -3.326
0.194 0.226 0.213 0.340 0.283 0.318
πE,E-0.240 -0.191 0.070 -0.138 0.077 -0.143
0.106 0.074 0.092 0.114 0.112 0.111
πE1.546 1.433 3.732 3.369 3.704 3.330
0.194 0.225 0.213 0.337 0.284 0.317
ω(rad yr1) -1.145 1.087 2.459 -1.974 2.550 -2.117
0.132 0.185 0.210 0.214 0.269 0.227
ds/dt -0.277 -0.403 -0.935 0.434 -4.104 -4.099
(yr1) 0.376 0.588 0.921 0.829 1.049 0.244
sz0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
dsz/dt 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
(yr1) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
Is(mag) 18.126 18.122 18.190 18.186 18.185 18.185
0.025 0.017 0.021 0.023 0.024 0.023
Ib(mag) 18.566 18.572 18.476 18.481 18.482 18.482
0.037 0.026 0.028 0.031 0.031 0.030
Hs(mag) 15.870 15.866 15.934 15.930 15.929 15.929
0.029 0.024 0.027 0.028 0.029 0.028
χ2
lc 15212.02 15214.89 15204.17 15204.36 15202.31 15202.52
χ2
kep 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ2
kin 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ2
gal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ215212.02 15214.89 15204.17 15204.36 15202.31 15202.52
dof 15213 15213 15213 15213 15213 15213
Note. Notation is ame as Table 1. The solutions P±± Ldoes not exist with the
full Keplerian orbit.
39
Table 3. Model Parameters. Full keplerian orbit (K).
Parameter P+K P+K P++K P−−K
t0(HJD) 6573.051 6573.051 6573.054 6573.055
0.010 0.008 0.009 0.008
tE(days) 19.98 19.91 21.03 21.14
0.22 0.27 0.22 0.18
u0(102) 7.856 -7.886 7.553 -7.488
0.134 0.157 0.119 0.085
q(104) 3.789 3.663 4.216 5.197
0.196 0.211 0.335 0.317
s02.423 2.418 2.396 2.535
0.018 0.026 0.055 0.033
α0(radian) 3.1474 3.1410 2.9553 3.3528
0.0077 0.0075 0.0122 0.0080
ρ(103) 4.03 3.98 4.12 4.56
0.11 0.13 0.17 0.19
πE,N-1.509 1.413 3.389 -3.351
0.220 0.187 0.224 0.197
πE,E-0.252 -0.196 0.033 -0.114
0.112 0.081 0.084 0.103
πE1.530 1.427 3.389 3.353
0.219 0.181 0.225 0.194
ω(rad yr1) -1.086 1.036 2.140 -1.744
0.179 0.130 0.155 0.156
ds/dt 0.304 0.293 0.241 1.431
(yr1) 0.240 0.203 0.577 0.356
sz0.002 0.031 0.025 0.602
0.122 0.200 0.078 0.288
dsz/dt 0.108 0.005 -0.413 -0.695
(yr1) 0.639 0.527 0.758 0.935
Is(mag) 18.127 18.123 18.171 18.180
0.017 0.020 0.015 0.012
Ib(mag) 18.563 18.571 18.501 18.489
0.026 0.030 0.020 0.016
Hs(mag) 15.871 15.867 15.915 15.924
0.023 0.026 0.022 0.020
χ2
lc 15212.20 15214.92 15204.70 15204.43
χ2
kep 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ2
kin 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ2
gal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ215212.20 15214.92 15204.70 15204.43
dof 15211 15211 15211 15211
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 1.
40
Table 4. Model Parameters. Full keplerian orbit with keplerian prior (Kp).
Parameter M-dwarf high-mass B-dwarf low-mass B-dwarf
P+KpP+KpP+KpP+KpP++KpP−− Kp
t0(HJD) 6573.051 6573.052 6573.050 6573.049 6573.053 6573.053
0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.009
tE(days) 19.93 19.93 20.01 20.08 20.38 20.63
0.27 0.19 0.31 0.26 0.19 0.16
u0(102) 7.942 -7.944 7.862 -7.816 7.816 -7.687
0.165 0.120 0.177 0.150 0.134 0.080
q(104) 3.420 3.330 3.436 3.401 3.838 4.010
0.165 0.118 0.132 0.160 0.185 0.155
s02.387 2.374 2.374 2.375 2.402 2.403
0.016 0.009 0.025 0.017 0.013 0.028
α0(radian) 3.1311 3.1540 3.1335 3.1540 2.9711 3.3154
0.0049 0.0048 0.0068 0.0037 0.0065 0.0042
ρ(103) 3.88 3.81 3.84 3.82 4.05 4.09
0.13 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.12 0.10
πE,N-0.005 0.030 -0.768 0.758 2.256 -2.244
0.050 0.040 0.177 0.118 0.104 0.117
πE,E-0.232 -0.216 -0.256 -0.225 -0.107 -0.221
0.085 0.075 0.090 0.084 0.090 0.070
πE0.232 0.218 0.809 0.790 2.259 2.255
0.086 0.072 0.147 0.104 0.103 0.115
ω(rad yr1) 0.295 -0.256 -0.475 0.506 1.074 -1.031
0.030 0.012 0.121 0.137 0.047 0.090
ds/dt -0.001 -0.109 -0.122 -0.001 0.005 0.072
(yr1) 0.011 0.144 0.222 0.049 0.046 0.295
sz0.365 1.458 1.031 0.027 0.098 0.256
0.613 0.782 1.006 0.110 0.076 0.484
dsz/dt 0.008 0.178 0.281 0.067 -0.100 -0.659
(yr1) 0.066 0.319 0.516 0.629 0.405 0.875
Is(mag) 18.115 18.115 18.126 18.132 18.133 18.151
0.021 0.015 0.023 0.019 0.016 0.011
Ib(mag) 18.583 18.583 18.565 18.556 18.556 18.529
0.032 0.023 0.035 0.029 0.023 0.016
Hs(mag) 15.859 15.859 15.870 15.876 15.877 15.895
0.026 0.022 0.028 0.025 0.022 0.019
χ2
lc 15218.11 15218.29 15215.84 15217.62 15210.27 15207.90
χ2
kep -66.30 -66.44 -61.96 -62.08 -55.91 -55.95
χ2
kin 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ2
gal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ215151.81 15151.85 15153.88 15155.54 15154.35 15151.95
dof 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 1.
41
Table 5. Model Parameters. Kepler prior + kinematic constraint (Kpk)
Parameter M-dwarf high-mass B-dwarf low-mass B-dwarf
P+Kpk P+Kpk P+Kpk P+Kpk P++Kpk P−− Kpk
t0(HJD) 6573.047 6573.054 6573.050 6573.051 6573.052 6573.054
0.009 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.009 0.010
tE(days) 20.20 19.83 19.96 19.93 20.41 20.52
0.16 0.23 0.10 0.24 0.32 0.28
u0(102) 7.797 -7.960 7.890 -7.905 7.804 -7.749
0.119 0.147 0.072 0.153 0.187 0.154
q(104) 3.526 3.124 3.557 3.400 3.812 4.054
0.176 0.120 0.131 0.158 0.189 0.279
s02.388 2.344 2.394 2.382 2.396 2.407
0.018 0.012 0.011 0.021 0.015 0.014
α0(radian) 3.1269 3.1568 3.1381 3.1516 2.9719 3.3182
0.0073 0.0058 0.0027 0.0059 0.0103 0.0102
ρ(103) 3.89 3.72 3.92 3.85 4.03 4.13
0.13 0.08 0.11 0.13 0.13 0.16
πE,N0.047 0.289 -0.891 0.793 2.242 -2.308
0.098 0.068 0.070 0.074 0.245 0.212
πE,E-0.315 -0.118 -0.259 -0.191 -0.108 -0.190
0.057 0.103 0.059 0.076 0.117 0.108
πE0.319 0.312 0.928 0.815 2.245 2.316
0.062 0.072 0.067 0.076 0.241 0.213
ω(rad yr1) 0.302 0.040 -0.552 0.512 1.074 -1.065
0.036 0.030 0.065 0.069 0.162 0.141
ds/dt 0.047 -0.304 0.002 0.001 -0.001 0.049
(yr1) 0.076 0.185 0.057 0.083 0.035 0.119
sz1.197 1.078 0.149 0.003 0.023 0.243
1.126 0.732 0.370 0.019 0.212 0.564
dsz/dt -0.095 0.658 -0.048 0.084 0.192 -0.493
(yr1) 0.185 0.112 0.406 0.423 0.995 0.908
Is(mag) 18.135 18.112 18.122 18.120 18.135 18.142
0.014 0.018 0.007 0.019 0.025 0.020
Ib(mag) 18.552 18.588 18.571 18.574 18.552 18.542
0.020 0.028 0.011 0.029 0.036 0.029
Hs(mag) 15.879 15.856 15.866 15.864 15.879 15.886
0.021 0.024 0.018 0.025 0.030 0.026
χ2
lc 15218.49 15220.05 15215.31 15217.48 15210.26 15207.67
χ2
kep -65.62 -65.73 -61.27 -61.93 -55.94 -55.80
χ2
kin 13.53 5.89 7.81 4.03 1.91 1.88
χ2
gal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
χ215166.40 15160.20 15161.85 15159.58 15156.24 15153.75
dof 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 1.
42
Table 6. Model Parameters. Keplerian prior + kinematic+Galactic prior (Kpkg)
Parameter M-dwarf high-mass B-dwarf low-mass B-dwarf
P+Kpkg P+Kpkg P+Kpkg P+Kpkg P++Kpkg P−− Kpkg P++ Kpkg P−− Kpkg
t0(HJD) 6573.048 6573.055 6573.051 6573.052 6573.052 6573.051 6573.052 6573.052
0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.008
tE(days) 20.14 19.70 20.01 19.88 19.96 20.09 20.43 20.64
0.21 0.25 0.29 0.28 0.26 0.22 0.30 0.25
u0(102) 7.796 -8.042 7.860 -7.919 7.956 -7.897 7.778 -7.672
0.104 0.162 0.172 0.165 0.159 0.130 0.160 0.140
q(104) 3.514 3.137 3.436 3.364 3.379 3.307 3.754 3.969
0.070 0.082 0.146 0.155 0.203 0.196 0.240 0.274
s02.388 2.349 2.373 2.381 2.382 2.339 2.390 2.399
0.007 0.016 0.016 0.015 0.021 0.037 0.042 0.019
α0(radian) 3.1253 3.1563 3.1337 3.1528 2.9868 3.2979 2.9750 3.3119
0.0052 0.0063 0.0066 0.0068 0.0054 0.0057 0.0062 0.0103
ρ(103) 3.88 3.75 3.84 3.84 3.86 3.79 3.99 4.06
0.08 0.09 0.12 0.10 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.16
πE,N0.062 0.278 -0.768 0.755 0.785 -0.836 2.200 -2.201
0.069 0.063 0.142 0.112 0.042 0.114 0.110 0.168
πE,E-0.288 -0.087 -0.256 -0.166 -0.166 -0.241 -0.098 -0.211
0.069 0.076 0.090 0.098 0.097 0.093 0.088 0.092
πE0.295 0.291 0.810 0.773 0.802 0.870 2.202 2.211
0.072 0.059 0.138 0.110 0.049 0.115 0.108 0.169
ω(rad yr1) 0.303 0.019 -0.474 0.485 -0.299 0.268 1.065 -1.025
0.034 0.011 0.101 0.050 0.071 0.072 0.076 0.067
ds/dt 0.033 -0.299 -0.120 -0.006 -0.082 -0.508 -0.006 0.087
(yr1) 0.020 0.075 0.028 0.039 0.053 0.417 0.470 0.069
sz0.840 1.086 1.128 0.054 0.199 1.335 0.084 0.374
0.629 0.907 1.291 0.078 0.103 0.756 0.180 0.496
dsz/dt -0.093 0.648 0.255 0.256 0.972 0.891 0.108 -0.562
(yr1) 0.188 0.238 0.324 0.371 0.203 0.548 0.923 0.674
Is(mag) 18.133 18.101 18.127 18.118 18.113 18.121 18.138 18.153
0.014 0.020 0.022 0.022 0.021 0.017 0.022 0.019
Ib(mag) 18.555 18.605 18.565 18.578 18.586 18.573 18.548 18.526
0.021 0.032 0.033 0.033 0.032 0.025 0.032 0.026
Hs(mag) 15.877 15.845 15.871 15.862 15.857 15.865 15.882 15.897
0.021 0.026 0.027 0.027 0.026 0.023 0.027 0.025
χ2
lc 15219.03 15220.81 15215.83 15217.93 15217.85 15215.74 15210.37 15208.07
χ2
kep -65.82 -65.90 -61.96 -62.20 -62.01 -61.58 -56.04 -56.06
χ2
kin 13.41 5.14 9.06 3.95 3.82 8.35 1.93 2.02
χ2
gal -38.35 -38.70 -30.50 -30.95 -30.60 -29.89 -21.33 -21.20
χ215128.27 15121.36 15132.43 15128.74 15129.06 15132.64 15134.94 15132.83
dof 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211 15211
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 1.
43
Table 7. Lens physical parameters (Parallax only).
Parameter P+P+P++ P−−
θE(mas) 0.482±0.036 0.486±0.036 0.478±0.036 0.474±0.035
µgeo (mas yr1) 8.61±0.67 8.63±0.67 8.47±0.66 8.38±0.64
µhel,N(mas yr1) -6.83±0.52 6.19±0.49 7.98±0.65 -8.54±0.63
µhel,E(mas yr1) -5.73±0.42 -6.22±0.46 -2.51±0.12 -2.75±0.14
Dl(kpc) 3.14+0.44
0.48 3.22+0.43
0.49 1.50+0.15
0.10 1.47+0.14
0.10
Mh(M) 0.147+0.031
0.037 0.156+0.030
0.040 0.052+0.008
0.005 0.050+0.007
0.005
Mp(M) 16.99+2.99
3.59 17.83+2.93
3.87 6.09+0.83
0.45 5.98+0.75
0.44
a(AU) 3.62+0.51
0.60 3.73+0.50
0.61 1.71+0.15
0.10 1.67+0.13
0.11
a/asnow 9.10+1.59
0.83 8.85+1.61
0.76 12.28+0.77
0.78 12.44+0.83
0.67
aexp (AU) 4.43+0.62
0.73 4.57+0.61
0.75 2.10+0.18
0.12 2.04+0.16
0.13
aexp/asnow 11.14+1.95
1.01 10.84+1.97
0.93 15.04+0.94
0.95 15.24+1.01
0.82
˜vt,l(km s1) -208.5±35.3 71.7±34.9 63.1±4.9 -64.7±4.8
˜vt,b(km s1) 46.7±31.7 228.9±33.8 62.2±3.0 -9.3±2.9
Teff,exp (K) 20+5
721+5
710+1
310+1
3
Note. aexp =p3/2ais an expected 3D separation for the measured
projected separation, a.asnow = 2.7(Mh/M) is the snow-line. Te,exp is the
effective temperature of the planet when it was formed based on the Mhand aexp .
44
Table 8. Lens physical parameters. Linear orbit (L)
Parameter P+L P+L P++L P L
θE(mas) 0.475±0.034 0.485±0.039 0.460±0.037 0.424±0.035
µgeo (mas yr1) 8.48±0.63 8.69±0.72 7.69±0.64 7.11±0.61
µhel,N(mas yr1) -8.83±0.63 8.17±0.72 6.61±0.64 -7.99±0.61
µhel,E(mas yr1) -2.59±0.10 -2.37±0.10 -2.84±0.01 -2.77±0.03
Dl(kpc) 1.16+0.12
0.17 1.22+0.40
0.04 0.54+0.06
0.05 0.64+0.08
0.05
Mh(M) 0.038+0.004
0.006 0.042+0.015
0.003 0.015+0.002
0.000 0.015+0.005
0.001
Mp(M) 4.54+0.55
0.74 4.74+1.79
0.21 2.11+0.23
0.23 2.53+0.36
0.24
a(AU) 1.31+0.11
0.19 1.39+0.43
0.05 0.58+0.05
0.05 0.67+0.11
0.04
a/asnow 12.87+0.63
0.46 12.40+1.17
0.73 14.08+0.51
1.73 16.05+0.24
2.15
aexp (AU) 1.60+0.13
0.23 1.70+0.53
0.06 0.70+0.06
0.06 0.82+0.13
0.05
aexp/asnow 15.76+0.77
0.56 15.19+1.43
0.90 17.24+0.62
2.12 19.66+0.30
2.63
˜vt,l(km s1) -47.1±6.1 53.5±8.2 24.4±1.1 -16.1±2.1
˜vt,b(km s1) -7.2±3.6 49.8±4.8 23.3±0.6 1.7±1.2
Teff,exp (K) 9+1
39+2
35+1
15+1
1
KE/PE1.000 0.994 0.988 0.964
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 7.
45
Table 9. Lens physical parameters. Keplerian orbit (K)
Parameter P+K P+K P++K P K
θE(mas) 0.464±0.032 0.469±0.034 0.454±0.035 0.410±0.031
µgeo (mas yr1) 8.28±0.60 8.40±0.63 7.70±0.61 6.91±0.54
µhel,N(mas yr1) -8.61±0.59 7.90±0.62 6.73±0.61 -7.76±0.54
µhel,E(mas yr1) -2.59±0.10 -2.31±0.09 -2.60±0.01 -2.62±0.02
Dl(kpc) 1.20+0.39
0.03 1.26+0.27
0.08 0.60+0.06
0.05 0.67+0.07
0.05
Mh(M) 0.037+0.014
0.001 0.040+0.010
0.004 0.016+0.003
0.001 0.015+0.002
0.001
Mp(M) 4.70+1.69
0.16 4.93+1.37
0.23 2.31+0.28
0.16 2.60+0.35
0.17
a(AU) 1.35+0.40
0.03 1.43+0.28
0.08 0.65+0.04
0.04 0.69+0.05
0.04
a/asnow 13.39+0.51
0.77 13.10+0.92
0.53 14.72+0.53
1.22 17.10+0.47
1.29
aexp (AU) 1.65+0.49
0.04 1.75+0.34
0.09 0.80+0.05
0.05 0.85+0.06
0.05
aexp/asnow 16.40+0.63
0.94 16.05+1.13
0.65 18.03+0.64
1.50 20.95+0.58
1.58
akep (AU) 114+0
112 117+0
113 49+0
44 44+0
41
akep/asnow 1134+0
1116 1069+0
1035 1092+0
1006 1080+0
1022
P(yr) 6304+0
6280 6260+0
6217 2635+0
2572 2362+0
2331
e0.99+0.00
0.52 0.99+0.00
0.32 0.99+0.00
0.15 0.98+0.00
0.25
i177.7+0.0
21.90.7+22.5
0.04.7+7.8
1.2161.6+8.5
4.6
˜vt,l(km s1) -47.8±7.0 53.6±6.7 26.5±1.4 -16.3±1.2
˜vt,b(km s1) -6.9±4.2 50.1±3.9 24.7±0.8 1.4±0.7
Teff,kep (K) 1.0+0.5
0.61.1+0.5
0.50.7+0.3
0.20.7+0.3
0.3
KE/PE0.992 0.994 0.987 0.944
KE/PE 0.994 0.994 0.993 0.992
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 7, except Teff,kep is based on akep.
If the best fit is outside of the 68% confidence interval of MCMC chains, then
the error is designated as ±0.0”.
46
Table 10. Lens physical parameters. Keplerian orbit with Keplerian prior (Kp)
Parameter M-dwarf high-mass B-dwarf low-mass B-dwarf
P+KpP+KpP+KpP+KpP++KpP−− Kp
θE(mas) 0.482±0.035 0.491±0.034 0.487±0.034 0.489±0.035 0.462±0.033 0.458±0.031
µgeo (mas yr1) 8.62±0.65 8.78±0.63 8.66±0.63 8.68±0.64 8.07±0.59 7.90±0.56
µhel,N(mas yr1) -0.27±0.02 1.13±0.09 -8.47±0.60 8.08±0.62 7.41±0.59 -8.51±0.56
µhel,E(mas yr1) -8.81±0.65 -8.88±0.63 -3.43±0.20 -3.14±0.18 -2.19±0.03 -2.57±0.05
Dl(kpc) 4.22+0.63
0.97 4.31+0.80
0.78 1.93+0.40
0.23 1.95+0.45
0.11 0.86+0.07
0.06 0.86+0.04
0.09
Mh(M) 0.256+0.061
0.094 0.276+0.095
0.083 0.074+0.020
0.012 0.076+0.018
0.007 0.025+0.003
0.002 0.025+0.002
0.003
Mp(M) 29.13+6.53
9.98 30.68+10.12
8.71 8.45+2.37
1.18 8.62+2.61
0.44 3.21+0.30
0.27 3.33+0.19
0.40
a(AU) 4.86+0.75
1.12 5.02+0.94
0.92 2.23+0.42
0.26 2.27+0.43
0.13 0.95+0.04
0.04 0.95+0.01
0.09
a/asnow 7.05+2.12
0.86 6.73+1.72
1.14 11.17+0.99
0.79 11.07+0.80
0.59 14.02+0.62
0.53 14.13+0.64
0.38
aexp (AU) 5.95+0.92
1.38 6.15+1.15
1.13 2.73+0.51
0.31 2.78+0.53
0.16 1.16+0.05
0.05 1.16+0.01
0.11
aexp/asnow 8.63+2.59
1.05 8.24+2.10
1.40 13.69+1.21
0.97 13.55+0.98
0.72 17.17+0.75
0.66 17.31+0.78
0.47
akep (AU) 4.92+1.72
0.75 5.90+6.10
1.30 2.43+3.49
0.19 2.27+0.88
0.22 0.95+0.09
0.03 0.96+0.72
0.01
akep/asnow 7.14+4.70
0.77 7.90+9.22
1.66 12.18+17.62
1.22 11.08+3.86
1.86 14.02+1.67
0.50 14.21+12.66
0.00
P(yr) 21.6+11.7
1.827.2+51.5
7.113.9+38.6
1.612.4+7.1
2.05.8+0.8
0.25.9+8.3
0.0
e0.00+0.24
0.00 0.00+0.59
0.00 0.00+0.62
0.00 0.00+0.43
0.00 0.00+0.09
0.00 0.00+0.45
0.00
i8.7+23.7
0.8143.7+9.6
13.2152.3+4.0
24.43.2+49.0
0.03.2+9.8
0.0163.9+3.8
18.9
˜vt,l(km s1) -188.7±69.3 -144.1±67.2 -99.5±16.3 80.7±12.2 37.0±1.5 -28.6±1.7
˜vt,b(km s1) 333.8±120.8 382.3±114.3 -8.2±10.6 91.8±7.8 33.1±0.9 -2.4±1.0
Teff,kep (K) 33+12
10 33+10
20 14+2
10 15+1
47+1
17+1
3
KE/PE0.495 0.394 0.432 0.499 0.498 0.464
KE/PE 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 9.
47
Table 11. Lens physical parameters. Keplerian prior + kinematic constraint (Kpk)
Parameter M-dwarf high-mass B-dwarf low-mass B-dwarf
P+Kpk P+Kpk P+Kpk P+Kpk P++Kpk P−− Kpk
θE(mas) 0.481±0.035 0.503±0.034 0.477±0.033 0.486±0.035 0.464±0.033 0.452±0.034
µgeo (mas yr1) 8.48±0.63 9.03±0.63 8.51±0.61 8.68±0.65 8.11±0.61 7.86±0.61
µhel,N(mas yr1) 1.16±0.09 8.26±0.59 -8.45±0.59 8.19±0.63 7.44±0.61 -8.48±0.61
µhel,E(mas yr1) -8.65±0.63 -3.69±0.24 -3.14±0.17 -2.72±0.15 -2.20±0.03 -2.47±0.05
Dl(kpc) 3.59+0.60
0.39 3.55+0.20
0.78 1.76+0.19
0.15 1.92+0.28
0.12 0.86+0.12
0.06 0.85+0.08
0.08
Mh(M) 0.185+0.054
0.034 0.198+0.007
0.065 0.063+0.006
0.006 0.073+0.014
0.006 0.025+0.004
0.003 0.024+0.004
0.003
Mp(M) 21.77+5.31
3.34 20.58+0.56
6.66 7.47+0.87
0.77 8.28+1.35
0.67 3.23+0.55
0.29 3.24+0.38
0.30
a(AU) 4.13+0.74
0.48 4.18+0.23
0.96 2.01+0.15
0.14 2.22+0.29
0.12 0.95+0.11
0.08 0.93+0.08
0.08
a/asnow 8.25+1.26
1.09 7.83+1.79
0.20 11.82+0.70
0.44 11.25+0.76
0.72 13.90+0.90
0.44 14.34+0.73
0.75
aexp (AU) 5.06+0.91
0.59 5.12+0.29
1.17 2.46+0.19
0.17 2.72+0.35
0.15 1.17+0.14
0.09 1.14+0.09
0.09
aexp/asnow 10.11+1.55
1.34 9.59+2.20
0.24 14.47+0.86
0.54 13.78+0.93
0.88 17.02+1.10
0.54 17.57+0.89
0.91
akep (AU) 4.62+4.71
0.71 4.60+2.66
1.18 2.01+1.10
0.04 2.22+0.84
0.17 0.95+0.32
0.03 0.93+0.68
0.01
akep/asnow 9.23+10.23
1.47 8.63+7.94
1.08 11.83+7.08
0.33 11.26+3.37
0.93 13.90+5.58
0.78 14.42+10.92
0.00
P(yr) 23.0+42.8
4.522.2+24.9
6.111.4+10.7
0.312.2+6.7
1.15.8+3.1
0.25.8+7.4
0.0
e0.00+0.48
0.00 0.00+0.51
0.00 0.00+0.38
0.00 0.00+0.27
0.00 0.00+0.30
0.00 0.00+0.41
0.00
i27.8+20.4
13.183.4+4.1
4.4175.9+0.0
27.03.9+34.0
0.04.3+28.4
0.0167.7+0.0
23.8
˜vt,l(km s1) -92.4±26.5 177.3±53.3 -85.5±5.7 82.8±8.6 37.2±3.6 -27.7±2.9
˜vt,b(km s1) 263.4±44.8 233.3±36.5 -9.2±3.6 86.1±5.3 33.2±2.0 -2.6±1.7
Teff,kep (K) 25+5
15 27+9
813+1
414+1
47+1
27+1
3
KE/PE0.439 0.086 0.498 0.498 0.497 0.480
KE/PE 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 9.
48
Table 12. Lens physical parameters. Keplerian prior + kinematic + Galactic density prior (Kpkg)
Parameter M-dwarf high-mass B-dwarf low-mass B-dwarf
P+Kpkg P+Kpkg P+Kpkg P+Kpkg P++Kpkg P−− Kpkg P++ Kpkg P−−Kpkg
θE(mas) 0.482±0.033 0.498±0.034 0.487±0.035 0.487±0.034 0.485±0.036 0.493±0.036 0.469±0.035 0.461±0.035
µgeo (mas yr1) 8.53±0.60 9.01±0.64 8.66±0.65 8.72±0.63 8.65±0.67 8.74±0.66 8.17±0.63 7.96±0.62
µhel,N(mas yr1) 1.71±0.13 8.51±0.61 -8.47±0.61 8.28±0.62 8.22±0.66 -8.67±0.63 7.52±0.63 -8.56±0.62
µhel,E(mas yr1) -8.59±0.59 -2.96±0.19 -3.42±0.20 -2.53±0.14 -2.47±0.14 -3.17±0.18 -2.16±0.03 -2.53±0.06
Dl(kpc) 3.74+0.68
0.55 3.70+0.49
0.55 1.93+0.38
0.19 2.00+0.20
0.26 1.95+0.16
0.16 1.81+0.38
0.08 0.86+0.10
0.04 0.87+0.07
0.08
Mh(M) 0.201+0.053
0.045 0.210+0.033
0.050 0.074+0.022
0.010 0.077+0.009
0.016 0.074+0.007
0.009 0.070+0.023
0.005 0.026+0.005
0.000 0.026+0.003
0.004
Mp(M) 23.54+6.29
5.07 21.96+3.84
4.88 8.45+2.26
1.04 8.66+1.07
1.46 8.35+0.75
0.71 7.67+2.40
0.28 3.27+0.43
0.20 3.39+0.29
0.35
a(AU) 4.31+0.72
0.65 4.33+0.54
0.66 2.22+0.44
0.22 2.31+0.19
0.34 2.25+0.14
0.17 2.08+0.47
0.08 0.97+0.08
0.02 0.97+0.04
0.08
a/asnow 7.95+1.41
0.99 7.64+1.47
0.62 11.17+0.82
0.96 11.08+1.25
0.40 11.22+0.93
0.54 11.09+0.71
1.00 13.73+0.25
1.26 13.99+1.00
0.51
aexp (AU) 5.28+0.88
0.79 5.31+0.67
0.81 2.72+0.54
0.28 2.83+0.23
0.41 2.75+0.17
0.21 2.55+0.58
0.10 1.19+0.10
0.02 1.18+0.05
0.10
aexp/asnow 9.73+1.72
1.21 9.36+1.80
0.76 13.68+1.01
1.18 13.57+1.53
0.48 13.74+1.14
0.66 13.58+0.87
1.22 16.81+0.31
1.54 17.13+1.23
0.62
akep (AU) 4.57+3.03
0.76 4.78+3.10
1.75 2.46+2.15
0.13 2.31+0.38
0.27 2.25+0.70
0.27 2.40+2.86
0.45 0.97+0.64
0.00 0.98+0.29
0.06
akep/asnow 8.42+5.38
1.28 8.43+6.10
2.52 12.37+9.35
1.19 11.09+2.92
0.46 11.26+3.72
0.92 12.76+12.25
3.20 13.74+7.07
0.42 14.16+4.96
0.21
P(yr) 21.8+22.4
3.622.8+25.3
10.414.2+20.0
1.212.7+2.9
1.212.4+6.1
1.714.1+28.5
4.05.9+6.1
0.06.0+2.9
0.3
e0.00+0.37
0.00 0.00+0.83
0.00 0.00+0.40
0.00 0.00+0.16
0.00 0.00+0.31
0.00 0.00+0.69
0.00 0.00+0.48
0.00 0.00+0.19
0.00
i20.8+15.0
6.386.7+3.0
1.2151.2+4.8
25.112.6+11.4
7.1126.0+8.0
15.263.1+4.2
29.43.1+28.3
0.0164.3+3.5
17.2
˜vt,l(km s1) -83.2±37.0 210.0±51.7 -99.4±15.3 88.7±13.8 86.0±5.8 -91.0±11.1 37.8±1.7 -29.2±2.5
˜vt,b(km s1) 290.9±60.9 234.5±33.2 -8.3±10.0 88.6±8.4 84.9±3.5 -10.7±7.0 33.5±1.0 -2.8±1.5
Teff,kep (K) 27+6
11 28+8
10 14+2
715+3
214+2
313+1
98+0
37+1
1
KE/PE0.464 0.081 0.430 0.477 0.175 0.196 0.499 0.470
KE/PE 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500 0.500
Note. Notation is the same as for Table 9.
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Article
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