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Vision and Long-term Development Strategy for Kenya's Tourism Industry

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... The drop in visitation rate continues until another threshold level (the negative impact turnaround, NIT) is reached, at which point environmental and social damages begin to repair. Recovery comes after a lag, since time is required for environmental regeneration and for socio-cultural changes to take place (Ikiara, 2001a). In fact, the commercial response of the tourist industry to the drop in visitation may delay recovery. ...
... This could happen through competition for the fewer tourists (through heavy discounts, for example) especially when there is excess capacity. Such discounts attract a cheaper class of tourists and lead to quality deterioration, therefore delaying recovery (Ikiara, 2001a). With sustainable tourism development, tourist numbers or tourism activity is not allowed to reach the threshold level (MTP). ...
... Although measurement difficulties (especially for carrying capacity and social-environmental impacts) reduce its utility as a practical tourismmanagement tool, the model demonstrates to policy-makers and tourism managers the tourism policy tradeoffs (Ikiara, 2001a). ...
... 68 In 1990, Kenya was second only to South Africa in tourist receipts; its rank declined to 7 in 2002 and 2003; in 2004 it ranked fifth, behind South Africa, Mauritius, Tanzania, and Botswana (World Tourism Organisation, Tourism Market Trend, 2005 Edition -Annex). 69 Ikiara (2001), Kenya Tourism Federation (2003 ...
... Further, Kenya's tourism policy since its independence in 1963 has been inconsistent, uncoordinated, and partially incomprehensive (Ikiara, 2001). The policy focus at the time of its independence was to encourage a mixture of mass and up-market tourists. ...
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