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The Impact of Multinationality on Firm Value: A Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Techniques

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... However, it is also found to have a negative relationship with firm performance due to the riskiness of debt and debt overhang (Erickson et al., 2005;Faleye, 2007;Konijn et al., 2011). In terms of firm size that is measured by sales growth, it is stated that the higher the expectations for sales growth, the more a firm has value (Kuzey et al., 2014;Mak and Kusnadi, 2005;Hiraki et al., 2003;and Jiao, 2010). In terms of the variable of liquidity, Ammanna et al. (2011) show that liquidity, as measured by cash ratio, has a significantly positive impact on firm value. ...
... Based on the study of Guney et al. (2007) and García-Teruel and Martínez-Solano (2008), this research uses firm size, which is measured by the natural logarithm of gross sales, to examine its effect on firm value. It is explained that the higher the expectations for sales growth, the more a firm has value (Kuzey et al., 2014). Therefore, several studies demonstrated a positive relationship between sales growth and firm performance, such as Mak and Kusnadi (2005), Hiraki et al. (2003), and Jiao (2010). ...
... However, on the other hand, some scholars also found an insignificant impact from sales growth on firm performance, such as in the studies of Wu (2011) and Uyar and Kilic (2012). This study is based on the statement that the higher the expectations for sales growth, the more a firm has value (Kuzey et al., 2014), thus expecting that the impact of firm size on firm performance is positive. ...
Conference Paper
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Managerial overconfidence plays an important role in firm performance. It is stated that the greater the overconfidence level of managers, the higher risk, and the greater the probability of loss in firm value. It is also supported by evidence that overconfident managers tend to hold less cash, hence increasing the risk of getting a lower firm performance. Interestingly, the empirical evidence from this study indicates a different result whereby managerial overconfidence is shown to have a positive impact on firm value, however, firms with the combination of both managerial overconfidence and low cash holdings tend to have a worse firm performance than others. The result is illustrated through empirical research from a sample size of 648 listed firms on the Vietnamese stock exchange market.
... According to [19,33,81], AI takes a novel approach to information management, which represents both a challenge and a tremendous opportunity for businesses; however, realising this potential requires a shift in culture, mindset, and capabilities. According to these findings, [79,82] recommend deploying AI throughout an organisation's value chain, allowing for the integration of all elements such as research and development, preservation, marketing and sales, operations, production scheduling, demand and prediction, and services. With AI as a primary driver of growth, the literature highlights several notable accomplishments that the deployment of AI can enable an organisation to achieve. ...
... With AI as a primary driver of growth, the literature highlights several notable accomplishments that the deployment of AI can enable an organisation to achieve. [79,82], for example, identified improvements in operational efficiency, maintenance and supply chain operations, customer experience optimisation and enhancement, product and service development, and the item recommendation process. Similarly, [79,82] believe that AI will enable faster and more automatic adaptation to changing market conditions, develop new business models, and optimise the supply-demand nexus and more efficient forecasting and planning capacity. ...
... [79,82], for example, identified improvements in operational efficiency, maintenance and supply chain operations, customer experience optimisation and enhancement, product and service development, and the item recommendation process. Similarly, [79,82] believe that AI will enable faster and more automatic adaptation to changing market conditions, develop new business models, and optimise the supply-demand nexus and more efficient forecasting and planning capacity. ...
Article
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Uncertainty and a lack of stability are among the difficulties non-governmental organisations face. However, certain strategies for ensuring their performance's sustainability have not been empirically demonstrated in the literature. Using strategic resource management practises and artificial intelligence, this study examines the effect of organisational learning and corporate social responsibility on the sustainability of non-governmental organisations' performance. The survey gathered data from 171 participants representing 21 United Nations organisations and 70 non-governmental organisations in Jordan to accomplish this goal. The data were analysed using WarpPLS and PLS-SEM. The study demonstrates that organisational learning, artificial intelligence, strategic human resource management practises, and corporate social responsibility all contribute to the long-term viability of non-governmental organisations. Furthermore, the study discovered that strategic resource management practises and artificial intelligence significantly mediate the relationship between organisational learning and sustainable organisational performance on the one hand, and corporate social responsibility on the other. Finally, the study provides theoretical and practical guidance on how to apply the findings to assist non-profit organisations' management in utilising organisational learning, corporate social responsibility, artificial intelligence, and strategic resource management practices to help them run their internal operations in a more efficient and sustainable manner over time.
... In past exploration that has been completed with the examination of a few monetary proportion factors that are assessed to influence firm esteem. Cho & Pucik (2005), Kuzey et al. (2014), Aggarwal & Padhan (2017), and Khairunnisa et al. (2018) presumed that Asset Growth will affect the Price to Book Value Ratio. In the meantime, as indicated by Hasbi (2015), (Triyani et al., 2018) contends that Asset Growth has no impact on the Price to Book Value Ratio. ...
... In Varaiya et al. (1987), Cho & Pucik (2005) states that Return On Equity will impact the Price to Book Value Ratio, while Chen & Zhao (2006), Khairunnisa et al. (2018) expressed that Return On Asset negatively affects the Price to Book Value Ratio. Kuzey et al. (2014), Asiri & Hameed (2014), Misran & Chabachib, (2017) contend that a positive impact will be brought about by the Total Asset Turn Over factor on the Price to Book Value Ratio. In the meantime, Hendrick (2020) states that the consequences of his examination show that the negative impact of Total Asset Turn Over on the Price to Book Value Ratio. ...
... Aggarwal & Padhan (2017) presumed that the Current Ratio (CR) negatively affects firm worth. Kuzey et al. (2014) and in their exploration contend that Current Ratio (CR) has no impact on the firm worth. ...
Article
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Firm value is influenced by elements outside and within the organization. . They were selected by purposive examination technique. The examination procedure used is Panel Data Regression Analysis. The consequences of such examinations lead to the demonstration that Return on Equity has a substantial beneficial return on firm value, suggesting that return on capital through increased benefits will build financial support certainty. Conversely, the Debt to Asset Ratio has a critical negative impact on firm value. This implies that the use of extreme liabilities can sustain the business. Owners and top administrative organizations should be careful about the use of obligations. Operational productivity and expansion of the number of items must be the primary concern to build Return on Equity. Different factors, such as Asset Growth, Total Asset Turn Over, and Current Ratio, have no impact on firm value.
... AI and its technologies (machine learning, deep learning, chatbot, neural network, virtual assistant and others) are fundamentally reshaping the business and organizational processes of companies (CIGREF, 2018;Kuzey, Uyar, & Delen, 2014;Pwc, 2019). In fact, AI has already transformed the overall structure of organizations and the relation with their environment. ...
... Given its many benefits in terms of innovation and prowess, AI can be deployed across the entire value chain of the organization, integrating virtually all aspects: research and development, maintenance, operation, sales and marketing, planning and production, demand forecasting and services (Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019). ...
... (i) increase the efficiency of operations, maintenance and supply chain operations, optimize and improve the customer experience, improve products and services (with new features) as well as item recommendation processes (retail and other industries) (Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019); (ii) improve rapid and automatic adaptation to changing market conditions, create new business models, optimize the relationship between supplies and needs with better forecasting and planning capacity (Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019); (iii) detect fraud (banking and other sectors), automate threat intelligence and information systems, automate IT function (IT system and processes) and optimize sales processes (CIGREF, 2018; Pwc, 2019); (iv) diagnose and treat pathologies (Koh & Tan), anticipate a disease and its evolution, promote the recommendation of personalized treatments, assist in decision-making by advising on the diagnosis, prevent by anticipating epidemics and acting on pharmaceutical vigilance (Jiang et al., 2017;Johnson et al., 2018); and (v) automate quality management investigation and recommendation, manage supply, logistics and fleet assets (logistics/transport and most industries) (Di Francescomarino & Maggi, 2020;Rubin Victoria et al., 2010;Sikdar, 2018 In fact, three segments of AI will be the most promising by 2025: (1) detection, identification and avoidance of moving objects; (2) static image recognition, classification and marking; and ...
Article
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Purpose: The main purpose of our study is to analyze the influence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on firm performance, notably by building on the business value of AI-based transformation projects. This study was conducted using a four-step sequential approach: (i) analysis of AI and AI concepts/technologies; (ii) in-depth exploration of case studies from a great number of industrial sectors; (iii) data collection from the databases (websites) of AI-based solution providers; and (iv) a review of AI literature to identify their impact on the performance of organizations while highlighting the business value of AI-enabled projects transformation within organizations. Design/methodology/approach: This study has called on the theory on IT capabilities to seize the influence of AI business value on firm performance (at the organizational and process levels). The research process (responding to the research question, making discussions, interpretations and comparisons, and formulating recommendations) was based on a review of 500 case studies from IBM, AWS, Cloudera, Nvidia, Conversica, Universal Robots websites, etc. Studying the influence of AI on the performance of organizations, and more specifically of the business value of such organizations’ AI-enabled transformation projects, required us to make an archival data analysis following the three steps, namely the conceptual phase, the refinement and development phase, and the assessment phase. Findings: AI covers a wide range of technologies, including machine translation, chatbots and self-learning algorithms, all of which can allow individuals to better understand their environment and act accordingly. Organizations have been adopting AI technological innovations with a view to adapting to or disrupting their ecosystem while developing and optimizing their strategic and competitive advantages. AI fully expresses its potential through its ability to optimize existing processes and improve automation, information and transformation effects, but also to detect, predict and interact with humans. Thus, the results of our study have highlighted such AI benefits in organizations, and more specifically its ability to improve on performance at both the organizational (financial, marketing and administrative) and process levels. By building on these AI attributes, organizations can therefore enhance the business value of their transformed projects. The same results also showed that organizations achieve performance through AI capabilities only when they use their features/technologies to reconfigure their processes. Implications: AI obviously influences the way businesses are done today. Therefore, practitioners and researchers need to consider AI as a valuable support or even a pilot for a new business model. For the purpose of our study, we adopted a research framework geared towards a more inclusive and comprehensive approach so as to better account for the intangible benefits of AI within organizations. In terms of interest, this study nurtures a scientific interest, which aims at proposing a model for analyzing the influence of AI on the performance of organizations and, at the same time, filling the associated gap in the literature. As for the managerial interest, our study aims to provide managers with elements to be reconfigured or added in order to take advantage of the full benefits of AI, and therefore improve organizations’ performance, the profitability of their investments in AI transformation projects, and some competitive advantage. This study also allows managers to consider AI not as a single technology but as a set/combination of several different configurations of IT in the various company’s business areas because multiple key elements must be brought together to ensure the success of AI: data, talent mix, domain knowledge, key decisions, external partnerships, and scalable infrastructure. Originality/Value: This article analyses case studies on the reuse of secondary data from AI deployment reports in organizations. The transformation of projects based on the use of AI focuses mainly on business process innovations and indirectly on those occurring at the organizational level. Thus, 500 cases studies are being examined to provide significant and tangible evidence about the business value of AI-based projects and the impact of AI on firm performance. More specifically, this article, through these case studies, exposes the influence of AI at both the organizational and process performance levels, while considering it not as a single technology but as a set/combination of the several different configurations of IT in various industries.
... AI and its technologies (machine learning, deep learning, chatbot, neural network, virtual assistant and others) are fundamentally reshaping the business and organizational processes of companies (CIGREF, 2018;Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019). In fact, AI has already transformed the overall structure of organizations and the relation with their environment. ...
... Many sectors and services are already or will soon be affected by these technological innovations; they include transport with autonomous vehicles (Falcone et al., 2007), health with disease detection programs (cancers and other diseases) through Machine Learning and Deep Learning (Jiang et al., 2017;Koh and Tan, 2011), customer relationship with the use of conversational agents (Rubin Victoria, Chen and Thorimbert Lynne, 2010), natural processing language and automatic email processing by virtual robots (Gabrilovich and Markovitch, 2009), security with facial recognition and artificial vision technologies, and urbanism with a smart city (Jain et al., 2004;Khashman, 2009;Srivastava et al., 2017). Given its many benefits in terms of innovation and prowess, AI can be deployed across the entire value chain of the organization, integrating virtually all aspects: research and development, maintenance, operation, sales and marketing, planning and production, demand forecasting and services (Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019). Viewed as a key growth factor, AI can allow any organization to achieve the following: (1) increase the efficiency of operations, maintenance and supply chain operations, optimize and improve the customer experience, improve products and services (with new features), as well as item recommendation processes (retail and other industries) (Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019); ...
... Given its many benefits in terms of innovation and prowess, AI can be deployed across the entire value chain of the organization, integrating virtually all aspects: research and development, maintenance, operation, sales and marketing, planning and production, demand forecasting and services (Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019). Viewed as a key growth factor, AI can allow any organization to achieve the following: (1) increase the efficiency of operations, maintenance and supply chain operations, optimize and improve the customer experience, improve products and services (with new features), as well as item recommendation processes (retail and other industries) (Kuzey et al., 2014;Pwc, 2019); ...
Article
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The main purpose of our study is to analyze the influence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) on firm performance, notably by building on the business value of AI-based transformation projects. This study was conducted using a four-step sequential approach: (i) analysis of AI and AI concepts/technologies; (ii) in-depth exploration of case studies from a great number of industrial sectors; (iii) data collection from the databases (websites) of AI-based solution providers; and (iv) a review of AI literature to identify their impact on the performance of organizations while highlighting the business value of AI-enabled projects transformation within organizations. This study has called on the theory on IT capabilities to seize the influence of AI business value on firm performance (at the organizational and process levels). The research process (responding to the research question, making discussions, interpretations and comparisons, and formulating recommendations) was based on a review of 500 case studies from IBM, AWS, Cloudera, Nvidia, Conversica, Universal Robots websites, etc. Studying the influence of AI on the performance of organizations, and more specifically of the business value of such organizations’ AI-enabled transformation projects, required us to make an archival data analysis following the three steps, namely the conceptual phase, the refinement and development phase, and the assessment phase. AI covers a wide range of technologies, including machine translation, chatbots and self-learning algorithms, all of which can allow individuals to better understand their environment and act accordingly. Organizations have been adopting AI technological innovations with a view to adapting to or disrupting their ecosystem while developing and optimizing their strategic and competitive advantages. AI fully expresses its potential through its ability to optimize existing processes and improve automation, information and transformation effects, but also to detect, predict and interact with humans. Thus, the results of our study have highlighted such AI benefits in organizations, and more specifically its ability to improve on performance at both the organizational (financial, marketing and administrative) and process levels. By building on these AI attributes, organizations can therefore enhance the business value of their transformed projects. The same results also showed that organizations achieve performance through AI capabilities only when they use their features/technologies to reconfigure their processes. AI obviously influences the way businesses are done today. Therefore, practitioners and researchers need to consider AI as a valuable support or even a pilot for a new business model. For the purpose of our study, we adopted a research framework geared towards a more inclusive and comprehensive approach so as to better account for the intangible benefits of AI within organizations. In terms of interest, this study nurtures a scientific interest, which aims at proposing a model for analyzing the influence of AI on the performance of organizations and, at the same time, filling the associated gap in the literature. As for the managerial interest, our study aims to provide managers with elements to be reconfigured or added in order to take advantage of the full benefits of AI, and therefore improve organizations’ performance, the profitability of their investments in AI transformation projects, and some competitive advantage. This study also allows managers to consider AI not as a single technology but as a set/combination of several different configurations of IT in the various company’s business areas because multiple key elements must be brought together to ensure the success of AI: data, talent mix, domain knowledge, key decisions, external partnerships, and scalable infrastructure. This article analyses case studies on the reuse of secondary data from AI deployment reports in organizations. The transformation of projects based on the use of AI focuses mainly on business process innovations and indirectly on those occurring at the organizational level. Thus, 500 cases studies are being examined to provide significant and tangible evidence about the business value of AI-based projects and the impact of AI on firm performance. More specifically, this article, through these case studies, exposes the influence of AI at both the organizational and process performance levels, while considering it not as a single technology but as a set/combination of the several different configurations of IT in various industries.
... Such ability has made machine learning models widely used in many cases, for example, in pattern recognition, classification, data mining, and forecasting [8], [38]. In financial area, ML has shown its strength in stock price prediction [15], [17], [18], house price prediction [27], [31], firm value prediction [20], [22], [24] and so on. ML methods are able to discover the unknown function, dependency or structure between inputs and outputs which are impossible to be represented by explicit algorithms [38]. ...
... [20] proves Ensemble Approach performs better than CART and ANN in prediction corporate dividends. [22] reveals that Decision Trees and the ensemble models outperform ANN in firm value prediction. [24] demonstrates BPANN provides superior outcomes than linear regression method in firm market value assessment and influential factors selecting. ...
... It is suitable for solving complex problems of internal mechanisms and extracting hidden relationships between variables based on its self-learning and self-adaptive capabilities. Therefore, ANN algorithms are the most appropriate for this study [22], [37], [32]. SVR model performs good as well. ...
Article
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For decades, a high prediction error rate of firm value assessment has been reported by using traditional financial evaluation methods, therefore develop a suitable assessment tool to improve firm value prediction accuracy is in urgent. This paper provides a comprehensive review and statistical comparison of six machine learning models: K-Nearest Neighbor, Decision Trees, Support Vector Regression, Artificial Neutral Network, AdaBoost, and Random Forest in oil firm and power firm value prediction. Based on nearly 5000 M&A items, this paper finds that for both oil and power industries, the prediction error of ANN is the lowest in all the three measurement terms. ANN performs better than the other five ML models by 18% at least for oil industry, and outperforms the others by 19% for power industry. It shows that ANN models can produce both accurate and reasonably understandable prediction results. ANN can be applied to a wide range of M&A decisions and value assessment for energy firms.
... In this study, we developed and compared several machine learning techniques in both predictive as well as for descriptive purposes. Some of these analytical methods were also recently used in other studies to address different problem settings in the field of finance [19,20,35]. ...
... According to the recent literature, there are significant advantages of using contemporary machine learning methods in financial studies [19,20,35]. Despite many studies focusing on IPO pricing using classical statistical techniques, the review of the extant literature showed that there have not been many studies investigating IPO pricing using ML methods, in both developed as well as developing countries. ...
... With respect to the analysis methods, we choose to use the most popular machine learning techniques. Our choice of methods and techniques were based on testaments obtained from previous comparative studies [19][20][21]35,44] and on our own experimentations. After a consolidation of our observations, we found that decision trees and support vector machines performed significantly better than their machine learning and statistical counterparts, namely naïve Bayes, nearest neighbor, neural networks and logistic regression. ...
... With respect to the effect of multi-nationality of firm values, Cemil et al., (2014) examined the impact of multi-nationality and other financial indicators on firm value for the period of 1997-2011 using two popular machine learning techniques (Decision tree and artificial neural intelligence). The result of the study revealed that multi-nationality has significant positive effect on the value of the studied firms. ...
... This stems from the fact that MNCs have multi-tax jurisdictions to exploit in order to minimize tax liability and consequently increasing the firms' value. This finding is consistent with the studies of Cemil et al., (2014) and Sophocles et al. (2017). Table 4 discloses mix relationship between institutional shareholding and firm value. ...
Article
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Firms are increasingly striving to improve their value through various corporate strategies as well as exploiting their unique attributes to stimulate value. The extent to which firms create value given their attributes remains a subject of discuss among scholars with mix conclusions. This study therefore investigates the comparative effect of corporate attributes (Firm size, leverage, Institutional ownership, multi-nationality and Research and development) on the value (Tobin’s Q and Market value of equity) of 24 listed Consumer and Industrial goods firms for a period of 14 years (2009-2022). The study utilized a positivist research philosophy and employed correlational research design. Data for the study were quantitatively retrieved from the annual reports and accounts of the firms. Variables were described using descriptive statistics and relationships were ascertained via correlation analysis. Both random effect (FE) and OLS robust regressions were used to analyze the data having carried out some robustness and diagnostic tests. Results from the study revealed firm size, multi-nationality and research and development have significant positive effects on firm value. However, while leverage has significant negative effect on firm value, institutional shareholding effect on firm value was found to be negative and insignificant.
... Since 2010, with innovative developments in computer hardware and internet technology, a series of AI technologies has emerged. These AI technologies have been integrated into various fields, reshaping business models in enterprises [3], particularly in corporate governance [4]. According to IBM's 2022 corporate research report, 1 35 % of global enterprises have adopted AI, with China leading at 58 %, significantly surpassing the 25 % adoption rate in European and American countries (on average). ...
... Enterprises could employ AI capabilities to forge new skills, thereby capturing market opportunities [6]. For example [7], highlighted the significant role of AI in corporate innovation activities, including open collaboration, new ideas, and precision innovation [3,8]. pointed out the positive impact of AI on enhancing operational capabilities, improving customer service experiences, and optimizing supply chains. ...
Article
Artificial intelligence (AI) is playing an increasingly important role in the corporate strategic development, and this study explores the relationship between AI and corporate sustainable development for the first time. By analyzing data from Chinese listed companies from 2011 to 2020 and employing a series of robust methods, this study makes the following findings: First, AI promotes corporate sustainable development, with a greater impact on environmental governance and social responsibility. Second, this study focuses on the moderating effects of internal and external pressures. Confucian culture and public pressure hinder the positive effects of AI, while technological proficiency and data security awareness amplify this positive impact. Finally, this study explores the potential pathways of AI based on corporate resource allocation and stakeholders. AI achieves corporate sustainable development by alleviating financing constraints, reducing agency costs, improving supply chain performance, labor productivity, resource utilization efficiency, and reducing corporate risks. These findings have significant implications for the application of AI technology and corporate sustainable development in emerging countries, including China.
... On a few even informational indexes and different profound learning designs, the creators looked at existing unmitigated information encoding procedures [9]. Kuzey et al. (2014) examined artificial neural networks and decision trees as two machine learning techniques for determining the relative weights of elements as predictors of company value. They positioned their importance utilizing a responsiveness investigation in view of data combination, utilizing multi-nationality (estimated by the worldwide deals proportion) and fourteen other monetary pointers on organization esteem as information factors. ...
... They positioned their importance utilizing a responsiveness investigation in view of data combination, utilizing multi-nationality (estimated by the worldwide deals proportion) and fourteen other monetary pointers on organization esteem as information factors. Their study demonstrates that both strategies produced a comparable set of significant predictors, but more research is still needed to determine how accurate these methods are when dealing with high-dimensional input spaces [10]. ...
Article
The boundary for machine learning engineers lately has moved from the restricted data to the algorithms' failure to involve every one of the data in the time permitted. Due of this, scientists are presently worried about the adaptability of machine learning algorithms notwithstanding their exactness. The key to success for many computer vision and machine learning challenges is having big training sets. A few published systematic reviews were taken into account in this topic. Recent systematic reviews may include both more recent and older research on the subject under study. Thus, the publications we examined were all recent. The review utilized information that were gathered somewhere in the range of 2010 and 2021. System: In this paper, we make a modified brain organization to eliminate possible components from extremely high layered datasets. Both a totaled level and an exceptionally fine-grained level of translation are feasible for these highlights. It is basically as easy to grasp non-straight connections as it is a direct relapse. We utilize the method on a dataset for item returns in web based shopping that has 15,555 aspects and 5,659,676 all out exchanges. Result and conclusion: We compare 87 various models to show that our approach not only produces higher predicted accuracy than existing techniques, but is also interpretable. The outcomes show that feature selection is a useful strategy for enhancing scalability. The method is sufficiently abstract to be used with many different analytics datasets
... Human mind is a complex system, traditional linear statistical methods cannot provide effective prediction results and may be difficult to clearly and accurately clarify the complex relationship in between [1]. Machine learning is a way to solve this problem. ...
... x À minðxÞ maxðxÞ À minðxÞ (1) where x is the original value, x' is the scaled value, max(x) is the maximum value of feature x, and min (x) is the minimum value of feature x. Then the dataset is divided into two parts for training and testing the model. ...
... References: [10,27,36,40,42,52,53,55,68] Publicly available data from organizations (e.g., social media, product reviews, news, members' demographics) are used to predict an organization's value, revenue, innovation budget, creditworthiness, or even moral hazard that might occur in contacts with a company. These works help investors make the right investment or assist organizations in avoiding bankruptcy. ...
... Furthermore, it also shows that not only individuals or groups thereof are subject to potential discrimination. Companies and organizations [42,52], and even countries [68], can suffer from algorithmic unfairness. In particular, their access to money on stock exchanges or from investors might be impacted by an absence of algorithmic fairness. ...
Chapter
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While both information systems and machine learning are not neutral, the identification of discrimination is more difficult if a system learns from data and discrimination can be introduced at several stages. Therefore, this article investigates if IS Research has taken up with this topic. A literature analysis is conducted and its discussion shows that technology, organization, and human aspects have to be considered, making it a topic not only for data scientist or computer scientist, but for information systems researchers as well.
... Information intensity refers to the degree that the company's processes are information intensive. Given that ML deals very well with large amounts of information and complexity [7,40], projects that have this technology at the core and are information intensive can provide positive business value. Thus, a positive relationship can be expected between this construct and both financial performance and organizational performance. ...
... Forth, information intensity is equally important to both groups. This can be explained by the fact that both groups have realized that ML is suitable for processes that rely on large amounts of information and the complexity that comes from it [7,40]. ML can help to streamline many processes that rely heavily on data and sometimes skip some superfluous steps, for example by using process mining [51]. ...
Article
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Corporations are leveraging machine learning (ML) to create business value (BV). So, it becomes relevant to not only ponder the antecedents that influence the ML BV process but also, the main actors that influence the creation of such value within organizations: data scientists and managers. Grounded in the dynamic-capabilities theory, a model is proposed and tested with 319 responses to a survey. While for both groups, platform maturity and data quality are equally important factors for financial performance, information intensity is an equally important factor for organizational performance. On one hand, data scientists care more about the catalytic effect of data quality on the relationship between platform maturity and financial performance, and the compatibility factor for organizational performance. On the other hand, managers care more about the feasibility factor for financial performance. The findings presented here offer insights on how data scientists and managers perceive the ML BV creation process.
... These accounting financial measurements have not been comprehensively covered and may not sufficiently represent the performance of automotive MNCs (Goerzen and Beamish, 2003). Previous studies have also used common internationalisation proxies, such as foreign sales to total sales (FSTS) (Collins, 1990;Qian, 1998), research and development (R&D) intensity (Kafouros et al., 2018;Singh, 2007), advertisement intensity (Casillas and Moreno-Menéndez, 2014), foreign asset to total asset (FATA) and international asset diversity (Buckley et al., 2014;Kuzey et al., 2014). The literature has consistently found FATA's positive influence on the performance of MNCs, while irregularities have been observed on the impact of R&D and advertisement intensity on firm performance. ...
... The literature also suggests that international expansion via overseas production through foreign subsidiaries has a greater impact on firm performance than expansion with exports. Based on the literature, most scholars have found a significant positive association for FRTR and FATA towards firm performance (Buckley et al., 2014;Wiersema and Bowen, 2011;Ramaswamy, 1993;Kuzey et al., 2014). In a different perspective, Riahi-Belkaoui (1998) found a negative association between internationalisation and performance for MNCs with stagnant and declining profitable trends, while positive association is found for MNCs with upward profitability trend (at a growing stage). ...
Article
Purpose Given the mixed evidence on the relationship between internationalisation and firm performance, the purpose of this study is to investigate the effect of internationalisation on the financial performance in the setting of a matured and stagnant market, the global automotive industry. Design/methodology/approach The study uses 37 automotive manufacturers covering from 2000 to 2015. Panel regression analyses were used to estimate the relationship between four financial performance variables (return on equity [ROE], return on asset [ROA], return on capital [ROC] and return on sales [ROS]) and three main independent variables (foreign assets to total assets [FATA], research and development intensity [RNDi], advertising intensity [ADVi]), controlling for product diversification, firm size, age and risk. Findings The findings reveal that automotive firms with a lower FATA ratio, lower RNDi and higher ADVi tend to achieve higher financial performance. However, the intensity of product diversification does not influence the financial performance of global automakers. Ceteris paribus, larger firms in terms of market capitalisation and new entrants into the market tend to have higher financial performance relative to smaller and older firms. Originality/value This study contributes to the literature first by examining the relationship between internationalisation and firm performance in the setting of a matured market, i.e. the automotive industry. Secondly, the paper uses a multinational sample at a global level; and third, it analyses financial performance on a comprehensive basis via four measures, namely, ROA, ROE, ROC and ROS, as the dependent variables.
... Hence, this study uses an ML-based, data/fact-driven analytic approach to critically analyze the factors underlying CSF. Several researchers (Friedman, 1998;Breiman, 2001;Benjamini and Leshno, 2010;Kuzey et al., 2014) have compared efficacy of ML algorithms to those of the classical statistical techniques, using a variety of empirical techniques and a wide range of problem settings, to prove the viability and/or superiority of ML techniques (as a complement or replacement) over to traditional methods. According to Breiman (2001), ML type algorithmic models are able to provide better predictive accuracy than classical approaches, consequently leading to the extraction of more reliable information/explanation about the underlying phenomenon. ...
... During the past few decades, ML techniques have been used to analyze a wide range of problems including several in finance and accounting domains. Predictive modeling based ML techniques such as SVM and DT have shown superior performance in several comparative studies similar to the domain of interest of this study (Charalambous et al., 2000;Anandarajan et al., 2001;Atiya, 2001;Delen et al., 2013;Kuzey et al., 2014;Kuzey, 2012). It was shown that ML algorithms can provide a compelling alternative approach to traditional statistical methods when applied to prediction type problems and also predictionbased investigative studies (i.e. ...
Article
Purpose The paper aims to identify and critically analyze the factors influencing cost system functionality (CSF) using several machine learning techniques including decision trees, support vector machines and logistic regression. Design/methodology/approach The study employed a self-administered survey method to collect the necessary data from companies conducting business in Turkey. Several prediction models are developed and tested; and a series of sensitivity analyses is performed on the developed prediction models to assess the ranked importance of factors/variables. Findings Certain factors/variables influence CSF much more than others. The findings of the study suggest that utilization of management accounting practices require a functional cost system, which is supported by a comprehensive cost data management process (i.e., acquisition, storage and utilization). Research limitations/implications The underlying data was collected using a questionnaire survey; thus, it is subjective which reflects the perceptions of the respondents. Ideally, it is expected to reflect the objective of the practices of the firms. Secondly, we have measured CSF it on a “Yes” or “No” basis which does not allow survey respondents reply in between them; thus, it might have limited the choices of the respondents. Thirdly, the Likert scales adopted in the measurement of the other constructs might be limiting the answers of the respondents. Practical implications Information technology plays a very important role for the success of CSF practices. That is, successful implementation of a functional cost system relies heavily on a fully-integrated information infrastructure capable of constantly feeding CSF with accurate, relevant and timely data. Originality/value In addition to providing evidence regarding the factors underlying CSF based on a broad range of industries interesting finding, this study also illustrates the viability of machine learning methods as a research framework to critically analyze domain specific data.
... Alekseeva et al (2020) opined that adoption of artificial intelligence can increase forecasting which will in turn facilitate better decision making and cost reduction such as the reduction in the cost of handling customer orders and inventory management costs. Kuzey et al (2014) posited that artificial intelligence adoption can help a firm to increase its operational efficiency, improve its supply chain and maintenance operations, optimize costs, product improvement and provide a positive and pleasant customer experience which will in turn boost sales and improve the marketing performance of firms. It is against this backdrop that this study examines the relationship between artificial intelligence adoption and marketing performance of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. ...
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p> This study examined artificial intelligence adoption and marketing performance of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study adopted the positivism research philosophy and correlational research design. The population of the study consisted of 426 managers drawn from the 71 quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The managers include branch managers, operational managers, production managers, marketing managers and sales managers of the firms. A sample size of 206 managers was used for the study. The sample size was determined mathematically using the Taro Yamene’s formula. A structured questionnaire was used to obtain data from the respondents. The data collected were analyzed statistically while the hypotheses were tested using Spearman Rank Order Correlation Coefficient (rho). The SPSS version 23.0 was used to perform the bivariate analysis. The findings revealed that the application of artificial intelligence technologies in marketing operations has a significant relationship with sales growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study also revealed that the application of artificial intelligence technologies in marketing operations has a strong and significant relationship with market share growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study equally confirmed that artificial intelligence capabilities have a strong and significant relationship with sales growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study also reported that artificial intelligence capabilities has a strong and significant relationship with market share growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. Based on these findings, it was concluded that artificial intelligence adoption significantly relate to marketing performance of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. Based on these findings and conclusion, it was recommended that quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria especially those that are experiencing poor marketing performance should adopt artificial intelligence technologies in their marketing operations as it would improve their marketing performance. </p
... Alekseeva et al (2020) opined that adoption of artificial intelligence can increase forecasting which will in turn facilitate better decision making and cost reduction such as the reduction in the cost of handling customer orders and inventory management costs. Kuzey et al (2014) posited that artificial intelligence adoption can help a firm to increase its operational efficiency, improve its supply chain and maintenance operations, optimize costs, product improvement and provide a positive and pleasant customer experience which will in turn boost sales and improve the marketing performance of firms. It is against this backdrop that this study examines the relationship between artificial intelligence adoption and marketing performance of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. ...
Preprint
Full-text available
p> This study examined artificial intelligence adoption and marketing performance of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study adopted the positivism research philosophy and correlational research design. The population of the study consisted of 426 managers drawn from the 71 quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The managers include branch managers, operational managers, production managers, marketing managers and sales managers of the firms. A sample size of 206 managers was used for the study. The sample size was determined mathematically using the Taro Yamene’s formula. A structured questionnaire was used to obtain data from the respondents. The data collected were analyzed statistically while the hypotheses were tested using Spearman Rank Order Correlation Coefficient (rho). The SPSS version 23.0 was used to perform the bivariate analysis. The findings revealed that the application of artificial intelligence technologies in marketing operations has a significant relationship with sales growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study also revealed that the application of artificial intelligence technologies in marketing operations has a strong and significant relationship with market share growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study equally confirmed that artificial intelligence capabilities have a strong and significant relationship with sales growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. The study also reported that artificial intelligence capabilities has a strong and significant relationship with market share growth of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. Based on these findings, it was concluded that artificial intelligence adoption significantly relate to marketing performance of quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria. Based on these findings and conclusion, it was recommended that quoted manufacturing firms in Nigeria especially those that are experiencing poor marketing performance should adopt artificial intelligence technologies in their marketing operations as it would improve their marketing performance. </p
... For enterprises, artificial intelligence (AI) can increase the value of IT. It can be applied throughout an organization's whole value chain, enabling the skillful use of big data and data analytics to improve service quality (Kuzey et al., 2014;PwC, 2019). This study looked at how AI impacted the quality of services provided by telecom firms. ...
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Globally, artificial intelligence (AI) technology spans various industries, but relatively little attention is given to the use of AI technologies by telecommunication industries. This study evaluated the effect of AI on the service quality of telecommunications companies in Nigeria, specifically the effect of data mining, machine learning, and chatbots on the service quality of these firms. The research employed a survey research design, and its population was heterogeneous. A sample size of 400 participants was chosen using Taro Yamane's formula, and the Cronbach alpha test yielded an average of 75%, confirming the reliability of the instrument. To analyze the data collected, descriptive and ordinary least squares regression methods were used. The study revealed that data mining and chatbots exhibited a significant positive effect while machine learning showed a negative relationship to the service quality of the telecommunications industry. Based on these findings, it is concluded that artificial intelligence affects service quality in Nigeria, with strong reference to data mining and chatbot, which enhance the quality of service to customers in Nigeria. It is therefore recommended that telecommunication firms in Nigeria should embrace the philosophy of AI to improve their quality of service. | KEYWORDS Artificial intelligence, service quality, data mining, machine learning, chatbot, Telecommunications. JEL Classification Codes: M49, L87, L96.
... As mentioned in the literature section, previous studies have focused on working capital, leverage, and profitability. This focus was taken as the starting point in the establishment of the model [14,16,17,21,22] In this study, a total of 1950 financial data obtained from the quarterly financial statements of 13 companies were entered into the Knime Program used for machine learning methods. ...
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Return on equity (ROE) and return on assets (ROA) are important indicators that reveal the sustainability of a company’s profitability performance for both managers and investors. The correct prediction of these indicators will provide a basis for the strategic decisions made by the company managers. The estimation of these signs is a significant factor in supporting the decisions and up-to-date knowledge of potential investors. In this study, return on equity and return on assets were estimated using artificial neural networks (ANNs), multiple linear regression (MLR), and support vector regression (SVR) on the financial data of thirteen companies operating in the iron and steel sector. The success of predicting ROA in the designed model was 86.4% for ANN, 79.9% for SVR, and 74% for MLR. The success of estimating the ROE of the same model was 85.8% for ANN, 80.9% for SVR, and 63.8% for MLR. It is concluded that ANN and SVR can produce successful prediction results for ROA and ROE both accurately and reasonably.
... Neural Networks (ANN): It is an analytical and mathematical technique inspired by the neurons of the nervous system of animals; it comes from the motivation of artificial intelligence and neuroscience, starting in the 40s [12]. Neural network models can accept a larger amount of input data in a weighted manner, usually creating nonlinear algebraic functions or decision trees to reach the result that would be the output data [13]. ...
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During the latest events caused by climate change and the current of the child, Peru has been affected by these natural disasters, such as the flood, which directly affect the Peruvian economy and especially the department of Piura. To prevent and mitigate the problems that affect the department of Piura with respect to flooding, the development of a probabilistic system has been proposed with the use of machine learning that will allow us to prevent possible climatic changes and avoid material damage to the area based on predictions. Likewise, the data found in the repository of the free data web page provided by SENAMHI will be extracted to be reused internally and can contribute to the development of the application through neural networks that will facilitate the use of the data. Given this, it has been decided to use the data scientific method, which consists of 10 phases that allow us to identify the main points that contribute to the model of the proposal. This allows us to carry out the necessary validations to make the proposed system feasible. To obtain, as a result, a model that can predict and give warning about the threat of flooding based on the weather behavior of the area. In addition, it is concluded that the prediction models with the help of artificial intelligence tools have better efficiency in terms of forecasts.
... Los modelos de redes neuronales aceptan gran cantidad de entradas, sumándolas de manera ponderada. Usualmente se aplican funciones no lineales para generar los resultados (Kuzey, Uyar, & Delen, 2014) y transmitirla a otra neurona dichos resultados como futuras entradas (Lao & Caridad, 2017). ...
Conference Paper
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En el contexto de cualquier empresa, los administradores y responsables de la alta dirección centran sus esfuerzos en conocer el estado futuro de sus áreas de negocio, con el fin de minimizar los riesgos y tomar decisiones de forma más acertada. Es por esta razón que actualmente se han centrado los esfuerzos organizacionales en entender y dar valor a los datos generados al interior de la organización con el fin de encontrar soluciones más competitivas. Por esta razón se han aplicado diversos modelos estadísticos y computacionales para tratar estos datos y convertirlos en información valiosa para la organización. El objetivo de esta investigación es proponer un modelo de red neuronal artificial para eficientemente entender cuáles son las variables que impactan en el valor percibido por los clubes adscritos de una organización deportiva sin ánimo de lucro en la ciudad de Medellín. Esta investigación consta de una primera parte introductoria, donde se exploran los referentes conceptuales sobre el valor percibido y las redes neuronales artificiales (RNA), seguido, se plantea la metodología utilizada para la investigación, en un tercer momento se presenta el desarrollo por medio de las RNA, finalmente se obtienen los resultados obtenidos de la RNA que apuntan a que 3 de las 10 variables más importantes para diagnosticar el valor percibido son FIA1, FIA4 y CR3 pertenecientes a la categoría de la calidad de servicio, otras variables en menor medida se encuentran en las categorías expectativas y compromiso. Se espera que los hallazgos presentados sirvan a administradores y personal encargado en mejorar el proceso de toma de decisiones.
... Los modelos de redes neuronales 10 aceptan gran cantidad de entradas, sumándolas de manera ponderada. Usualmente, se aplican funciones no lineales para generar los resultados (Kuzey, Uyar and Delen, 2014) y transmitirla a otra neurona, dichos resultados se establecen como futuras entradas de la red. Las posibilidades del uso de redes neuronales radica en la necesidad de trabajar procesos de decisión cuando se encuentran gran cantidad de datos y patrones ocultos, escenarios donde el desarrollo de modelos matemáticos y estadísticos tradicionales se torna difícil y complejo (Hanafizadeh, Ravasan and Khaki, 2010). ...
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This research proposes a selection and classification model to understand what are the factors that impact innovation processes in the case of Colombia. The conceptual referents on the global innovation index and the technique of artificial neural network optimization are analyzed, the framework for the analysis and development through the networks is presented. Finally, the results obtained are shown, where it is found that 5 of the 133 most important variables to diagnose global innovation index are: intensity in local competition, foreign investment, credit, tertiary education, human capital and research, other variables discarded by the model for its minor importance are: GDP per unit of energy used or amount of total shares traded. The findings are expected to improve the decision-making process in prioritizing frameworks for regional and national innovation systems.
... They find that there is a positive relationship between ICT adoption and all the measures of performance. Kuzey C., Uyar A. and Delen D. (2014) investigate the impact of multinationality and other financial indicators on firm value from 1997 to 2011. Among the independent variables, multinationality was found to determine a firm's value moderately. ...
... Previous models make assumptions about the data-generating process and consider a linear additive relationship between crime counts and covariates. Machine learning techniques are more flexible and account for non-linearity in a data-driven manner [21]. We concentrate on random forest (RF), gradient boosting machines (GBMs), and feedforward artificial neural networks (ANNs), all of which have shown promising results in previous studies [e.g. ...
Preprint
Crime prediction is crucial to criminal justice decision makers and efforts to prevent crime. The paper evaluates the explanatory and predictive value of human activity patterns derived from taxi trip, Twitter and Foursquare data. Analysis of a six-month period of crime data for New York City shows that these data sources improve predictive accuracy for property crime by 19% compared to using only demographic data. This effect is strongest when the novel features are used together, yielding new insights into crime prediction. Notably and in line with social disorganization theory, the novel features cannot improve predictions for violent crimes.
... Data mining and predictive analytics have also been used in finance-related areas. For instance, financial fraud detection [48], evaluating firms' value [49] and predicting the type of entities in the Bitcoin blockchain [50]. ...
Article
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In recent decades, the implementation of electronic health record (EHR) systems has been evolving worldwide, leading to the creation of immense data volume in healthcare. Moreover, there has been a call for research studies to enhance personalized medicine and develop clinical decision support systems (CDSS) by analyzing the available EHR data. In EHR data, usually, there are millions of patients records with hundreds of features collected over a long period of time. This enormity of EHR data poses significant challenges, one of which is dealing with many variables with very high degrees of missing values. In this study, the data quality issue of incompleteness in EHR data is discussed, and a framework called ‘Missing Care’ is introduced to address this issue. Using Missing Care, researchers will be able to select the most important variables at an acceptable missing values degree to develop predictive models with high predictive power. Moreover, Missing Care is applied to analyze a unique, large EHR data to develop a CDSS for detecting Parkinson's disease. Parkinson is a complex disease, and even a specialist's diagnosis is not without error. Besides, there is a lack of access to specialists in more remote areas, and as a result, about half of the patients with Parkinson's disease in the US remain undiagnosed. The developed CDSS can be integrated into EHR systems or utilized as an independent tool by healthcare practitioners who are not necessarily specialists; therefore, making up for the limited access to specialized care in remote areas.
... The systems produced by machine learning can be used regularly in the industry or education sector. In some of the applications, the machine learning methods gives performance better than the methods without learning [94,85]. ...
Article
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Data mining plays an important role in various human activities because it extracts the unknown useful patterns (or knowledge). Due to its capabilities, data mining become an essential task in large number of application domains such as banking, retail, medical, insurance, bioinformatics, etc. To take a holistic view of the research trends in the area of data mining, a comprehensive survey is presented in this paper. This paper presents a systematic and comprehensive survey of various data mining tasks and techniques. Further, various real-life applications of data mining are presented in this paper. The challenges and issues in area of data mining research are also presented in this paper.
... However, linear regression methods are incompetent for predicting human decision-making due to human thinking is a complicated system instead of linearity. Under such circumstance, traditional linear statistical methods may fall short of expectation in providing effective predicting results [19]. As an interdisciplinary tool, machine learning seems to be effective in solving this problem. ...
Article
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Winning a granting is critical in helping young and innovative firms to reduce financial burden, yet successfully get a funding is not easy. Granting applicants are eager to find out the funding evaluator’s decision pattern and fully prepare for the fund application. In such condition, supervised machine learning models seem to be a suitable tool. Based on nearly 5000 Beijing Innofund applicants, we find that supervised machine learning models, like support vector machines (SVM), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), decision tree, logistic regression, and Artificial Neutral Network (ANN) can produce both accurate and reasonably understandable funding prediction results with their average accuracy rate over 80%. Yet, the comparison results also reveal that SVM model produces the most accurate forecasts in terms of average accuracy rate (86%) and F-score (82%). The findings indicate that SVM is an effective and reliable classification algorithm that can perform tasks well with small datasize. Based on the selected attributes and their weights, the funding applicants can get ready for the grants, by making up for the disadvantages and enhancing the advantages.
... In doing so, The ratio of export sales to total sales. Allayannis and Weston (2001); Kuzey, Uyar, and Delen (2014). ...
Chapter
Traditional financial reporting usually ignores intangible assets, even though these assets play an increasingly important role in today's knowledge-based economy. As such, the valuation of intangible assets, while typically overlooked in traditional reporting, has nonetheless garnered widespread interest. This paper uses data-mining technologies to identify important valuation factors and to determine an optimal valuation model. In the feature selection process, the paper focus on three methods, namely, decision trees, association rules, and genetic algorithms in data mining, to identify important valuation factors. The results show that decision trees have approximately 75% prediction accuracy and select seven critical variables. In the prediction process, the paper constructs and compares many kinds of evaluation and prediction models. The results show that hybrid classifiers (i.e., k-means + k-NN) perform best in terms of prediction accuracy (91.52%), Type I and II errors (11.17% and 7.15%, respectively), and area under ROC curve (0.908).
... Machine learning techniques are more flexible and account for non-linearity in a data-driven manner (Kuzey et al., 2014). We concentrate on random forest (RF), gradient boosting machines (GBMs), and feed-forward artificial neural networks (ANNs), all of which have shown promising results in previous studies (e.g. ...
Article
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Crime prediction is crucial to criminal justice decision makers and efforts to prevent crime. The paper evaluates the explanatory and predictive value of human activity patterns derived from taxi trip, Twitter and Foursquare data. Analysis of a six-month period of crime data for New York City shows that these data sources improve predictive accuracy for property crime by 19% compared to using only demographic data. This effect is strongest when the novel features are used together, yielding new insights into crime prediction. Notably and in line with social disorganisation theory, the novel features cannot improve predictions for violent crimes.
Article
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Moroccan manufacturing companies investing in the metallurgical, mechanical, and electromechanical industries sector are among the contributors to the growth of the national economy. The projects they are awarded do not have the same specific features as those of operating activities within other companies. They share several common features, making them particularly complex to fund. In such circumstances, supervised machine learning seems to be a suitable instrument to help such enterprises in their funding decisions, especially given that linear regression methods are inadequate for predicting human decision making as human thinking is a complicated system and not linear. Based on 5198 industrial projects of 53 firms operating in the said sector, four machine learning models are used to predict the funding method for some industrial projects, including are decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting, and K-nearest neighbors (KNN). Among the four machine learning methods, the gradient boosting method appears to be most effective overall, with an accuracy of 99%.
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Bu araştırmanın amacı, şirket değerini etkileyen unsurların tespit edilmesi, bu unsurlardan hareketle finansal oranlar/veriler kullanılarak Türkiye’de Borsa İstanbul Yatırım ve Holding Endeksi’nde (BİST XHOLD) işlem gören holding şirketlerinin şirket değerlerini tahmin etme aracı olarak makine öğrenimi algoritmalarından Yapay Sinir Ağları (YSA), Destek Vektör Makineleri (DVM), Karar Ağaçları (KA) ve Rastgele Orman (RO) ile uygulanabilirliğini ortaya koymaktır. Belirtilen algoritmalar ile dört adet model kurulmuş ve bu modellerin tahmin gücü sınanmıştır. Bulgulara göre piyasa değerini R2, MAE ve RMSE ölçütleri baz alınarak YSA algoritmasının daha güçlü tahmin ürettiği görülmüştür. Bu araştırma ile şirket değerinin tahminine ve gelecek fiyatların öngörüsüne yönelik literatür incelenmiş, finansal oranlar/verileri içeren bütüncül bir yapı ortaya koyularak, yatırımcılara ve analistlere hisse senedi yatırımlarında ve şirket değerleme süreçlerinde makine öğrenimi algoritmaları ile geleneksel değerleme yaklaşımlarına kıyasla farklı bir bakış açısı sunulmuştur.
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Çalışmanın amacı işletmelerin finansal başarısızlık riski ile ilgili tahmin yapay zekâ tekniklerinden makine öğrenmesi kullanılarak yapılmasıdır. Bu kapsamda, Borsa İstanbul Ulusal Pazar’da yer alan 14 firma ile Borsa İstanbul Yakın İzleme Pazarı’nda yer alan14 firmanın 2022 yılı 12 aylık gelir tabloları ve bilançolarından elde edilen 43 adet finansal oran kullanılmış makine öğrenmesi yöntemlerinden NaiveBayes, J48, RandomForest, LinearRegression, RandomTree kullanılmıştır. Şirketlerin mali tabloları kullanılarak elde edilen veriler ile, makine öğrenmesi uygulama modellerinden hangisinin daha iyi sınıflandırma doğruluğu sağladığı araştırılmıştır. Ayrıca 2022 yılında yakın izleme pazarında yer alan bir şirketin bir sonraki sene için finansal durumunun makine öğrenmesi ile öngörüsünün mümkün olup olmadığı test edilmiştir. En yüksek sınıflandırma doğruluğu oranına RandomForest algoritması ve 10 kat çapraz doğrulama tekniğinin birlikte uygulanması ile ulaşıldığı, tek yıl için yapılan öngörü modelinde ise NaiveBayes algoritması ve 10 kat çapraz doğrulama tekniğinin çok yüksek bir oranda başarı sağladığı sonuçlarına ulaşılmıştır.
Chapter
This study examines emerging trends in organizational learning and their profound impact on modern businesses. In an era marked by rapid technological developments, globalization, and changing customer expectations, businesses must constantly adapt to remain competitive. Organizational learning as a strategic tool plays a crucial role in fostering employee development, supporting innovation, and improving overall business performance. The paper begins by providing an overview of traditional approaches to learning in organizations and highlights the limitations that hinder their effectiveness in the dynamic business world. In conclusion, this study shows how adopting the latest trends in organizational learning can increase competitive advantage and foster a culture of innovation in businesses. By empowering employees with personalized, collaborative, and data-driven learning experiences, businesses can adapt more effectively to change and unlock their full potential in an ever-evolving business environment.
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Modern finans anlayışı kapsamında yirminci yüzyılın yarısından sonra tartışmaya açılan şirket amacı, hissedar değerinin maksimize edilmesi yönüne evrilmiştir. Finansın 1950’li yılların başından itibaren geçirdiği teorik yönelim, hissedar değerini maksimize edecek gerekli varlık ve kaynakların seçimine yönelik kararlar ve bu kararların temel alındığı analitik çalışmalardır. Hissedar değeri stratejileri temelde, şirketin büyüme fırsatlarını görebilmeyi ve sektöründe rekabetçi üstünlük yaratmaya odaklanmaktadır. Günümüzde değer yaratmanın, şirket paydaşlarınca stratejik bir faktör olduğunun farkına varılması ile şirketler, varlık ve kaynaklarını değer odaklı bir perspektifle yönetme sürecine girmiştir. Bu süreç doğrultusunda, şirketlerin sermaye yapısı ve temettü dağıtma kararları değer yaratımının itici güçleri olarak finans yazınında hâlâ tartışmalı konumunu sürdürmektedir. Yapılan bu tartışmaların fitilini de Merton Miller ile Franco Modigliani 1958 yılında kaleme aldıkları makale ateşlemiştir. Sürdürülen bu tartışmalara katkı sunmak amacı ile makine öğrenimi algoritmalarından Karar Ağaçları ile Borsa İstanbul (BİST) Yatırım ve Holding Endeksi’ne (XHOLD) kote 12 holding şirketi üzerinde değer yaratan finansal unsurlar tespit edilmiş ve değer ile ilişkili Modigliani-Miller’in Sermaye Yapısı ve Temettü İlgisizliği Teorileri test edilmiştir. Elde edilen bulgularda, holding şirketleri üzerinde etkisi en yüksek finansal oran/veriler özsermaye, likit oran, hisse başı temettü oranı ve kısa vadeli borç/aktif olarak tespit edilmiştir. Modigliani-Miller’in sermaye yapısı ve temettü dağıtım kararlarının şirket piyasa değeri üzerinde bir etkisinin olmadığına dair teorileri, holding şirketleri nezdinde geçerli bulunmamıştır. Modigliani-Miller’in teorilerinin yapay zekâ/makine öğrenmesi temelli algoritmalar ile test edilmesi, bu araştırmanın orijinalliğine katkı sunmaktadır.
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Anomaly detection approaches have become critically important to enhance decision-making systems, especially regarding the process of risk reduction in the economic performance of an organisation and the consumer costs. Previous studies on anomaly detection have examined mainly abnormalities that translate into fraud, such as fraudulent credit card transactions or fraud in insurance systems. However, anomalies represent irregularities in system patterns data, which may arise from deviations, adulterations or inconsistencies. Further, its study encompasses not only fraud, but also any behavioural abnormalities that signal risks. This paper proposes a literature review of methods and techniques to detect anomalies on diverse financial systems using a five-step technique. In our proposed method, we created a classification framework using codes to systematize the main techniques and knowledge on the subject, in addition to identifying research opportunities. Furthermore, the statistical results show several research gaps, among which three main ones should be explored for developing this area: a common database, tests with different dimensional sizes of data and indicators of the detection models' effectiveness. Therefore, the proposed framework is pertinent to comprehending an existing scientific knowledge base and signals important gaps for a research agenda considering the topic of anomalies in financial systems.
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Fraud cases have become more common in recent years, highlighting the role of auditors’ legal liability. The competent authorities have called for stricter control and disciplinary measures for auditors, increasing auditors’ legal liability and litigation risk. This study used machine learning (ML) techniques to construct a litigation warning model for auditors to assess audit risk when they evaluate whether accept or terminate an engagement, thus improving audit quality and preventing losses due to litigation. Otherwise, a sample matching method comprised of 64 litigated companies and 128 non-litigated companies was used in this study. First, feature selection technology was used to extract six important influencing factors among the many variables affecting auditors’ litigation risk. Then a decision tree was used to establish a litigation warning model and a decision table for auditors’ reference. The results indicated that the eight outcomes provided by the decision table could effectively distinguish the level of a litigation risk with an accuracy rate of 92.708%. These results can provide useful information to aid auditors in assessing engagement decisions.
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Abstract Purpose – This paper aims to explore employee perceptions of companies engaged in services and banking of the role of change leadership on the application of artificial intelligence (AI) that will impact the performance and work engagement in conditions that are experiencing rapid changes. Design/methodology/approach – This study has used a quantitative research approach, and data analysis uses an approach structural equation modeling (SEM) supported by program computer software AMOS 22.0. A total of 357 respondents were involved in this study, but only 254 were qualified. In this study, the respondent is an employee of companies engaged in the services and banking sector in the East Java, Indonesia region. Findings – The results reveal that AI has a significant positive effect on employee performance and work engagement. Change leadership positively moderates the influence of AI on employee performance and work engagement. Originality/value – The development of this model has a novelty by including the moderating variable of the role of change leadership because, in conditions that are experiencing rapid changes, the role of leaders is essential. After all, leaders are decision-makers in the organization. The development of this concept focuses on studies of companies engaged in services and banking. Employee performance is an essential determinant in the organization because it will improve organizational performance. In addition, the application of AI in organizations will experience turmoil, so that the critical role of leaders is needed to achieve success with employee work engagement. Keywords: Artificial intelligence, Change leadership, Employee performance, Work engagement Paper type Research paper
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Auditors will have to be reached the judgment about the firm that will be supervised to perform a good quality audit as much as possible in a short time. To reach this judgment, the auditors benefit from the company's financial statements. Financial statements arranged in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards are important indicators that provide information about companies. These statements is one of the instruments the auditor can use it during the analytical review activities in stage of the audit program. In our study, we aimed to classify 40 companies listed in Borsa İstanbul as financially successful or financially unsuccessful with data mining algorithms using datas of the financial statement of these companies. As a result, correct classification estimation was achieved at a rate as high as 95% with the k-nearest neighbor algorithm and 10-fold cross-validation technique.
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This collection is the first comprehensive selection of readings focusing on corporate bankruptcy. Its main purpose is to explore the nature and efficiency of corporate reorganisation using interdisciplinary approaches drawn from law, economics, business, and finance. Substantive areas covered include the role of credit, creditors' implicit bargains, non-bargaining features of bankruptcy, workouts of agreements, alternatives to bankruptcy, and proceedings in countries other than the United States, including the United Kingdom, Europe, and Japan.
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Data Mining: Practical Machine Learning Tools and Techniques, Fourth Edition, offers a thorough grounding in machine learning concepts, along with practical advice on applying these tools and techniques in real-world data mining situations. This highly anticipated fourth edition of the most acclaimed work on data mining and machine learning teaches readers everything they need to know to get going, from preparing inputs, interpreting outputs, evaluating results, to the algorithmic methods at the heart of successful data mining approaches. Extensive updates reflect the technical changes and modernizations that have taken place in the field since the last edition, including substantial new chapters on probabilistic methods and on deep learning. Accompanying the book is a new version of the popular WEKA machine learning software from the University of Waikato. Authors Witten, Frank, Hall, and Pal include today's techniques coupled with the methods at the leading edge of contemporary research. Please visit the book companion website at http://www.cs.waikato.ac.nz/ml/weka/book.html It contains Powerpoint slides for Chapters 1-12. This is a very comprehensive teaching resource, with many PPT slides covering each chapter of the book Online Appendix on the Weka workbench; again a very comprehensive learning aid for the open source software that goes with the book Table of contents, highlighting the many new sections in the 4th edition, along with reviews of the 1st edition, errata, etc. Provides a thorough grounding in machine learning concepts, as well as practical advice on applying the tools and techniques to data mining projects Presents concrete tips and techniques for performance improvement that work by transforming the input or output in machine learning methods Includes a downloadable WEKA software toolkit, a comprehensive collection of machine learning algorithms for data mining tasks-in an easy-to-use interactive interface Includes open-access online courses that introduce practical applications of the material in the book.
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The aim of this contribution is to illustrate the role of statistical models and, more generally, of statistics, in choosing a Data Mining model. After a preliminary introduction on the distinction between Data Mining and statistics, we will focus on the issue of how to choose a Data Mining methodology. This well illustrates how statistical thinking can bring real added value to a Data Mining analysis, as otherwise it becomes rather difficult to make a reasoned choice. In the third part of the paper we will present, by means of a case study in credit risk management, how Data Mining and statistics can profitably interact.
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In this paper we draw on recent progress in the theory of (1) property rights, (2) agency, and (3) finance to develop a theory of ownership structure for the firm.1 In addition to tying together elements of the theory of each of these three areas, our analysis casts new light on and has implications for a variety of issues in the professional and popular literature, such as the definition of the firm, the “separation of ownership and control,” the “social responsibility” of business, the definition of a “corporate objective function,” the determination of an optimal capital structure, the specification of the content of credit agreements, the theory of organizations, and the supply side of the completeness-of-markets problem.
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Classification trees based on exhaustive search algorithms tend to be biased towards selecting variables that afford more splits. As a result, such trees should be interpreted with caution. This article presents an algorithm called QUEST that has negligible bias. Its split selection strategy shares similarities with the FACT method, but it yields binary splits and the final tree can be selected by a direct stopping rule or by pruning. Real and simulated data are used to compare QUEST with the exhaustive search approach. QUEST is shown to be substantially faster and the size and classification accuracy of its trees are typically comparable to those of exhaustive search.
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This study developed and tested a model that attempts to describe the influence of internationalization on firm performance. Degree of internationalization was measured by foreign revenues/total revenues. Results based on data from a cross-sectional set of U.S. multinational firms find evidence of a nonmonotonic relationship between degree of internationalization and firm performance. The rate of return on assets declines, then increases, and finally decreases slightly as the degree of internationalization increases.
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Knowledge management (KM) concepts, principles, and technologies provide a foundation for understanding and building systems for acquiring, assimilating, selecting, generating, and emitting knowledge-a crucial resource of the firm. In the knowledge management community, it is commonly contended that knowledge, and capabilities for processing it, comprise a major resource that can differentiate one firm from another in the sense of yielding better performance or a competitive edge. However, aside from anecdotes, there has been little to substantiate this contention. Can any empirical link be discovered between a firm's KM success and that firm's financial performance? To develop an answer to this question, we use an independent research company's reports of firms judged to be highly successful in their KM initiatives, plus related data reported by COMPUSTAT. As an initial investigation of the linkage between KM performance and firm performance, as measured by financial ratios, this study uses the Matched Sample Comparison Group methodology to evaluate research hypotheses. The analysis reveals a heretofore elusive antecedent of firm performance-evidence that superior KM performance is indeed a predictor of superior bottom-line performance. This study contributes to the information systems (IS) literature by demonstrating that KM, a basic foundation for IS, is an important factor to consider from the standpoint of achieving strong financial performance. As such, it suggests that KM furnishes an important context for understanding designs, applications, and possibilities for IS with respect to achieving such performance. In the context of devising and executing KM initiatives, both technological and human treatments of knowledge need to be cultivated and integrated in ways that lead to superior KM performance. This study also contributes to the management literature by going beyond anecdotes and case studies in buttressing the proposition that a firm's KM competencies are an important ingredient in that firm's performance. It solidifies the raison d'etre for investigating KM phenomena and methods (computer-based and human), both within and across modern organizations. It gives practicing managers evidence that bottom-line benefits are indeed associated with superior KM strategy and execution.
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Dividend policy is one of most important managerial decisions affecting the firm value. Although there are many studies regarding decision-making problems, such as credit policy decisions through bankruptcy prediction and credit scoring, there is no research, to our knowledge, about dividend prediction or dividend policy forecasting using machine learning approaches in spite of the significance of dividends. For dealing with the problems involved in literature, we suggest a knowledge refinement model that can refine the multiple rules extracted through rule-based algorithms from dividend data sets by utilizing genetic algorithm (GA). The new technique, called “GAKR (genetic algorithm knowledge refinement)”, aims to combine the advantages of both knowledge consolidation and GA. The main result of the cross-validation procedure is the average accuracy rate of prediction in the five sets over the five iterations. The experiments show that GAKR model always outperforms other models in the performance of dividend policy prediction; we can predict future dividend policy more correctly than any other models. The major advantages of GAKR model can be summarized as follows: (1) Classification process of GAKR can be very fast with a compact set of rules. In other words, fast training mechanism of GAKR is possible regardless of data set sizes. (2) Multiple rules extracted by GAKR development process are much simpler and easier to understand. Moreover, GAKR model can discriminate redundant rules and inconsistent rules.
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It is very important for investors and creditors to understand the critical factors affecting a firm’s value before making decisions about investments and loans. Since the knowledge-based economy has evolved, the method for creating firm value has transferred from traditional physical assets to intangible knowledge. Therefore, valuation of intangible assets has become a widespread topic of interest in the future of the economy. This study takes advantage of feature selection, an important data-preprocessing step in data mining, to identify important and representative factors affecting intangible assets. Particularly, five feature selection methods are considered, which include principal component analysis (PCA), stepwise regression (STEPWISE), decision trees (DT), association rules (AR), and genetic algorithms (GA). In addition, multi-layer perceptron (MLP) neural networks are used as the prediction model in order to understand which features selected from these five methods can allow the prediction model to perform best. Based on the chosen dataset containing 61 variables, the experimental result shows that combining the results from multiple feature selection methods performs the best. GA ∩ STEPWISE, DT ∪ PCA, and the DT single feature selection method generate approximately 75% prediction accuracy, which select 26, 22, and 7 variables respectively.
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Regionalist supporters’ claim that most of the world's largest firms are regional rather than global and that managers should be encouraged to ‘think regional, act local and forget global’ (Rugman and Moore, 2004, p. 67). We apply the matrix of multinationality proposed by Aggarwal et al. (2011) to a sample of the world's 500 largest corporations, the Fortune Global 500. We show that these firms range from purely domestic to regional, trans-regional and entirely global with most lying in the trans-regional and global categories. Our results imply that global strategies are essential to international trade and management in today's business environment. We compare multinationality results by market type (developed versus emerging market), industry, size and age. We find that firms from more advanced economies tend to be older, larger and more multinational than firms from emerging markets. We find no relationship between multinationality and age or multinationality and size, and conclude that developed market firms are not more multinational as a result of size, age or industrial structure.
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We examine the relation between the quality of corporate governance practices and firm value for Thai firms, which often have complex ownership structures. We develop a comprehensive measure of corporate governance and show that, in contrast to conventional measures of corporate governance, our measurement, on average, is positively associated with Tobin’s q. Furthermore, we find that q values are lower for firms that exhibit deviations between cash flow rights and voting rights. We also find that the value benefits of complying with “good†corporate governance practices are nullified in the presence of pyramidal ownership structures, raising doubts on the effectiveness of governance measures when ownership structures are not transparent. We conclude that family control of firms through pyramidal ownership structures can allow firms to seemingly comply with preferred governance practices but also use the control to their advantage.
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This study examines the value relevance of accounting information under International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) in the Abu Dhabi Stock Exchange (ADX, henceforth). Based on models developed by Easton and Harris (1991), and Ohlson (1995) and using monthly market data from 2000 to 2006, this paper investigates the value relevance of accounting information of firms traded on the ADX. Our overall results show that earnings scaled by beginning of period price are positively and significantly related to cumulative returns and that earnings per share and book value per share are positively and significantly related to price per share. We also find that value relevance of accounting information has changed since the market inception in 2000. The results documented herein extend the literature on value relevance accounting information in an emerging market that requires the use of IFRS. The study therefore contributes to the debate over the mandatory adoption of IFRS and the value relevance of accounting information reported under IFRS.
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The objective of this paper is to develop the hybrid neural network models for bankruptcy prediction. The proposed hybrid neural network models are (1) a MDA-assisted neural network, (2) an ID3-assisted neural network, and (3) a SOFM(self organizing feature map)-assisted neural network. Both the MDA-assisted neural network and the 11)3-assisted neural network are the neural network models operating with the input variables selected by the MDA method and 1133 respectively. The SOFM-assisted neural network combines a backpropagation model (supervised learning) with a SOFM model (unsupervised learning). The performance of the hybrid neural network model is evaluated using MDA and ID3 as a benchmark. Empirical results using Korean bankruptcy data show that hybrid neural network models are very promising neural network models for bankruptcy prediction in terms of predictive accuracy and adaptability.
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Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between capital expenditures and corporate earnings for 357 manufacturing firms listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange over the sample period 1992-2002. Design/methodology/approach – The sample period of 11 years is divided into capital investment period and performance period. The sample firms are first grouped into eight portfolios ranked by capital investment ratio estimated from the investment period. Corporate earnings in the performance period for the eight portfolios are examined to see if any positive association exists. Regressions are then estimated to test the relationship between capital expenditures and corporate earnings. Findings – The results indicate a significantly positive association between capital expenditures and future corporate earnings even after controlling for current corporate earnings. Practical implications – The results indicate that the unexpected announcements of capital expenditures are good news for investors in the investment practice. Originality/value – Previous studies on the relationship between capital expenditures and corporate earnings are based mainly on developed countries. Empirical evidence from the manufacturing firms listed on the Taiwan Stock Exchange would provide further insights regarding this important issue.
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A valuation approach is used to examine the effects of the degree of internationalization on the relation between the market value of a firm’s stock and the book value of equity. Degree of internationalization was measured by both foreign revenues over total revenues and foreign assets over total assets. Results on the “Most International” 100 U.S. firms indicate a consistent and positive relation between each measure of the degree of internationalization and the value of equity.
Article
In this paper, we investigate the relation between firm-level corporate governance and firm value based on a large and previously unused dataset from Governance Metrics International (GMI) comprising 6,663 firm-year observations from 22 developed countries over the peri-od from 2003 to 2007. Based on a set of 64 individual governance attributes we construct two alternative additive corporate governance indices with equal weights attributed to the governance attributes and one index derived from a principal component analysis. For all three indices we find a strong and positive relation between firm-level corporate governance and firm valuation. In addition, we investigate the value relevance of governance attributes that document the companies' social behavior. Regardless of whether these attributes are considered individually or aggregated into indices, and even when "standard" corporate governance attributes are controlled for, they exhibit a positive and significant effect on firm value. Our findings are robust to alternative calculation procedures for the corporate govern-ance indices and to alternative estimation techniques.
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This paper contrasts the "static tradeoff" and "pecking order" theories of capital structure choice by corporations. In the static tradeoff theory, optimal capital structure is reached when the tax advantage to borrowing is balanced, at the margin, by costs of financial distress. In the pecking order theory, firms preferinternal to external funds, and debt to equity if external funds are needed. Thus the debt ratio reflects the cumulative requirement for external financing. Pecking order behavior follows from simple asymmetric information models. The paper closes with a review of empirical evidence relevant to the two theories.
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Outside directors and audit committees are widely considered to be central elements of good corporate governance. We use a 1999 Korean law as an exogenous shock to assess how board structure affects firm market value. The law mandates 50% outside directors and an audit committee for large public firms, but not smaller firms. We study how this shock affects firm market value, using event study, difference-in-differences, and instrumental variable methods, within a regression discontinuity approach. The legal shock produces large share price increases for large firms, relative to mid-sized firms; share prices jump in 1999 when the reforms are announced.In a companion paper, Bernard Black, Woochan Kim, Hasung Jang and Kyung-Suh Park, How Corporate Governance Affects Firm Value: Evidence on Channels from Korea (working paper 2011), http://ssrn.com/abstract=844744, we provide evidence on the channels through which governance may affect firm value. For our earlier cross-sectional research on Korean corporate governance, see:Bernard Black, Hasung Jang and Woochan Kim, Does Corporate Governance Affect Firms' Market Values? Evidence from Korea,: 22 Journal of Law, Economics and Organization 366-413 (2006), nearly final version at http://ssrn.com/abstract=311275Bernard Black, Hasung Jang & Woochan Kim, Predicting Firms' Corporate Governance Choices: Evidence from Korea, 12 Journal of Corporate Finance 660-691 (2006), nearly final version at http://ssrn.com/abstract=428662
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This paper investigates whether geographic diversification is value-enhancing or value-destroying in the financial services sector, broadly defined. Our dataset comprises approximately 3,579 observations over the period from 1985 to 2004 and covers the entire range of U.S. financial intermediaries – commercial banks, investment banks, insurance companies, asset managers, and financial infrastructure services firms. We use two alternative measures of geographic diversification: (1) a dummy variable whether the firm reports more than one geographic segment and (2) the percentage of sales from non-domestic operations. Our results indicate that geographic diversification is not associated with a significant valuation discount in financial intermediaries. However, when accounting for the firms’ main activity-areas, we find evidence of a significant discount associated with geographic diversification in securities firms and a premium in credit intermediaries and insurance companies. All these results are robust after taking into account functional diversification of the firms as well as a potential endogeneity of both functional and geographic diversification.
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This paper examines the relationships between firm-level corporate governance mechanisms and cash holdings; along with their combined effects on firm value for a sample of firms listed in Singapore and Malaysia. Firms with less effective governance attributes are found to be more inclined to accumulate cash than those with more effective governance. The results support the flexibility hypothesis in that an increase in agency conflicts between managers and minority shareholders leads to entrenched managers having more discretion to hoard cash reserves. In addition, the incremental value of holding excess cash is shown to be negative for firms with a single leadership structure, firms with a pyramidal ownership structure, as well as family-controlled firms. The discounts associated with these firms may reflect investors' recognition of the possibility of managerial entrenchment.
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Drawing on the literature of corporate governance and privatization, this study explores the elusive roles of a specific owner identity, namely, state ownership in its minority. With a sample of 68 Taiwanese companies with 5 to 49% state ownership during 1999-2003, the study examines the value-shaping effects of minority state ownership (MSO) and, furthermore, seeks to establish a contingency perspective suggesting that the internal and external contexts may moderate the influence of MSO on firm value. Using first-order autoregressive models to mitigate the problems of endogeneity, the study shows that the governance effect of MSO associates not only in a curvilinear relationship with firm value but also strengthened by corporate ownership ties and market competition. The non-monotonic performance effect and the context-dependent nature of MSO yield significant implications for government investments in the private sector.
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We analyse the impact of multinationality on shareholder value in the case of German firms for the time span from 1990 to 2006. Based on a sample of 13,130 firm-year observations, we find that multinational companies perform worse in terms of shareholder value than domestic companies. This relationship remains stable even after controlling for industrial diversification. However, using a multivariate regression model, the impact of multinationality on shareholder value turns out to be positive. Obviously, the relationship between multinationality and shareholder value seems to be a classical example of Simpson's paradox. Therefore, bivariate analysis of the effects of multinationality on shareholder value must be considered as methodologically inappropriate. We find that the effect of multinationality on shareholder value depends on the existence of intangible assets either related to research and development or on the existence of intangible assets related to marketing and management skills. Hence, our findings support the results of Morck and Yeung (1991). Furthermore, our findings tend to support the view that the effect of mulinationality depends on the potential to realize economies of scale. The implication is that multinationality is not a value in itself. The multinational company has to have either intangible assets that can be capitalized abroad or the potential to realize economies of scale through internationalization in order for multinationality to lead to value enhancement.
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The aim of this contribution is to illustrate the role of statistical models and, more generally, of statistics, in choosing a Data Mining model. After a preliminary introduction on the distinction between Data Mining and statistics, we will focus on the issue of how to choose a Data Mining methodology. This well illustrates how statistical thinking can bring real added value to a Data Mining analysis, as otherwise it becomes rather difficult to make a reasoned choice. In the third part of the paper we will present, by means of a case study in credit risk management, how Data Mining and statistics can profitably interact. Key wordsModel choice-statistical hypotheses testing-cross-validation-loss functions-credit risk management-logistic regression models