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Abstract

Generation length (GL) is defined as the average age of parents of the current cohort, reflecting the turnover rate of breeding individuals in a population. GL is a fundamental piece of information for population ecology as well as for measuring species threat status (e.g. in the IUCN Red List). Here we present a dataset including GL records for all extant mammal species (n=5427). We first reviewed all data on GL published in the IUCN Red List database. We then calculated a value for species with available reproductive parameters (reproductive life span and age at first reproduction). We assigned to missing-data species a mean GL value from congeneric or confamilial species (depending on data availability). Finally, for a few remaining species, we assigned mean GL values from species with similar body mass and belonging to the same order. Our work provides the first attempt to complete a database of GL for mammals; it will be an essential reference point for all conservation-related studies that need pragmatic information on species GL, such as population dynamics and applications of the IUCN Red List assessment.
Generation length for mammals 87
Generation length for mammals
Michela Pacici1, Luca Santini1, Moreno Di Marco1, Daniele Baisero1,
LucillaFrancucci1, Gabriele Grottolo Marasini1, Piero Visconti1, Carlo Rondinini1
1Global Mammal Assessment program, Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza Università di
Roma, Viale dell’Università 32, I-00185 Rome, Italy
Corresponding author: Moreno Di Marco (moreno.dimarco@uniroma1.it)
Academic editor: Lyubomir Penev|Received3 July 2013|Accepted 28 August 2013|Published 13 November 2013
Citation: Pacici M, Santini L, Di Marco M, Baisero D, Francucci L, Grottolo Marasini G, Visconti P, Rondinini
C (2013) Generation length for mammals. Nature Conservation 5: 87–94. doi: 10.3897/natureconservation.5.5734
Resource ID: Dryad key: 10.5061/dryad.2jd88
Resource citation: Pacici M, Santini L, Di Marco M, Baisero D, Francucci L, Grottolo Marasini G, Visconti P,
Rondinini C (2013) Database on generation length of mammals. 5427 data records. Online at http://doi.org/10.5061/
dryad.gd0m3, version 1.0 (last updated on 2013-08-27, Resource ID: 10.5061/dryad.2jd88, Data Paper ID: doi:
10.3897/natureconservation.5.5734
Abstract
Generation length (GL) is dened as the average age of parents of the current cohort, reecting the turno-
ver rate of breeding individuals in a population. GL is a fundamental piece of information for population
ecology as well as for measuring species threat status (e.g. in the IUCN Red List). Here we present a
dataset including GL records for all extant mammal species (n=5427). We rst reviewed all data on GL
published in the IUCN Red List database. We then calculated a value for species with available reproduc-
tive parameters (reproductive life span and age at rst reproduction). We assigned to missing-data species
a mean GL value from congeneric or confamilial species (depending on data availability). Finally, for a
few remaining species, we assigned mean GL values from species with similar body mass and belonging to
the same order. Our work provides the rst attempt to complete a database of GL for mammals; it will be
an essential reference point for all conservation-related studies that need pragmatic information on species
GL, such as population dynamics and applications of the IUCN Red List assessment.
Keywords
Age at rst reproduction, conservation assessment, IUCN Red List, longevity, reproductive life span
Nature Conservation 5: 87–94 (2013)
doi: 10.3897/natureconservation.5.5734
http://www.pensoft.net/natureconservation
Copyright Michela Pacifici et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License 3.0
(CC-BY), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
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Michela Pacici et al. / Nature Conservation 5: 87–94 (2013)
88
Introduction
Generation length (GL) has been dened in a number of ways and has been approxi-
mated with a number of dierent formulas (IUCN 2013). e two most common
denitions of GL are: 1) “the average age of parents of the current cohort” (IUCN
2001, 2012b), 2) “the age at which half of total reproductive output is achieved by an
individual” (IUCN 2004). GL is a key vital statistic of animal populations and is used
in a multitude of ecological analyses (Gaillard et al. 2005, Perry et al. 2005, Jiguet et al.
2007). In IUCN Red List assessments, GL is used as a reference time-frame to assess a
species extinction risk due to population reduction (criterion A), continuing decline of
small populations over a denite time period (criterion C1; IUCN 2012b), calculated
extinction probability (criterion E; Mace et al. 2008). Nonetheless, such an important
variable is often hard to calculate due to the paucity of detailed reproductive data.
erefore it is missing for most species, even among relatively well-studied groups such
as mammals. Methods to ll missing-data gaps in biological datasets, such as multiple
imputation, have been applied in mammals (e.g. Di Marco et al. 2012). However, such
methods depend largely on data availability and assume that missing data are distrib-
uted randomly (e.g. among orders). We address this gap and provide the rst attempt
to complete a database of GL for mammals based on recently published datasets, using
published metrics as well as taxonomic and allometric species relationships.
Taxonomic coverage
is database covers all 5427 extant species in the class Mammalia. e taxonomy fol-
lows the IUCN Red List of reatened Species version 2012.2.
Methods
For 439 species, we used stated GL in years available from published IUCN Red List as-
sessments (IUCN 2012a); for 822 additional species we derived GLs from data on spe-
cies’ reproductive life span and age at rst reproduction (see Generation Length model,
below). We obtained life-history traits from PanTHERIA (Jones et al. 2009) and AnAge
(Tacutu et al. 2013). Moreover, for carnivores and ungulates, we applied a multiple
imputation procedure to estimate missing values of life history variables (see below for a
detailed description). We compiled the GL values of 3722 remaining species by assign-
ing them the mean GL value of congeneric or confamilial species (when expert-based
GL values of congeneric species were not available) in the same bin of log body mass.
For the mammal body masses, we used PanTHERIA (Jones et al. 2009) as our
main reference, and complemented the missing data with numerous other sources, in-
cluding books and primary literature (see Appendix). For species that lacked body mass
data (1047), we calculated the average body mass of congeneric or confamilial species.
Generation length for mammals 89
For 315 species, lacking a congeneric or confamilial species in the same bin of log
body mass, we assigned the mean GL value of congenerics or confamilials, irrespective
of their body mass. For the remaining species (n=116, 2.1 % of the total), where no
information was available for congeneric or confamilial species, we assigned the mean
GL value of species in the same bin of log body mass, belonging to the same order, or
simply the mean GL values of the order (2 species, Ptilocercus lowii and Cyclopes didac-
tylus). We made an exception for the two species of Dermoptera and 9 species of small
mammals (body mass < 100 g); since they were the only representatives of their orders,
we estimated mean GLs from species belonging to the same bin of log body mass. In
this way, we obtained a GL value for all existing 5427 mammals.
Generation length model
We estimated GL for mammals from information on species age at rst reproduction
and reproductive life span, by applying the methodology described in the IUCN Red
List Guidelines (IUCN 2013):
(eq. 1)
where Rspan is the species reproductive life span, calculated as the dierence between
the age at last reproduction and the age at rst reproduction (AFR), and z is a con-
stant “depending on survivorship and relative fecundity of young vs. old individuals
in the population” (IUCN 2013). Generation length values in the Red List are typi-
cally provided for threatened species (Vulnerable to Critically Endangered) assessed
under criteria A and C1 (IUCN 2001). As largely discussed (e.g. Purvis et al. 2000;
Cardillo et al. 2005), threatened species are generally characterised by relatively slow
life histories respect to non-threatened species (e.g. they are generally larger, have
longer gestation times, smaller litter sizes etc.). is has a potential to bias the tting
of GL model parameter toward long-living species respect to short-living ones. None-
theless, a moderate change in the z parameter, e.g. z=0.29 in our model (calculated
as the slope of the linear regression between GL and Rspan for 221 species) vs the
theoretical threshold of 0.5 proposed in IUCN guidelines, will have little inuence
on the calculation of a GL value for short-living species (such as most of rodents), e.g.
their modelled GL will remain below 3.3 years in any case (i.e. the arbitrary threshold
adopted for short-generation species in the Red List). For those 221 species with GL
data reported in IUCN Red List assessments, we modelled the linear relationship be-
tween expert-based GL values and calculated GL values (from reproductive life span
and age at rst reproduction). We found a good t (R2=0.84) and a high correlation
(cor=0.92, p-value of the Pearson’s test < 2.2e-16), which indicate a good correspond-
ence between reported and calculated GL values, and we are condent that this is a
good validation of the overall validity of the GL data reported in the IUCN Red List
for mammals. Discrepancies between the calculated GLs and the GLs IUCN might
Michela Pacici et al. / Nature Conservation 5: 87–94 (2013)
90
be a mix of process uncertainty (errors in the model) and observation uncertainty (er-
rors in expert-based GL estimates), which are impossible to tease apart.
Since age at last reproduction is generally related to longevity in the wild (IUCN
2013), we assumed it to be equal to the maximum known longevity of the species.
Even if published data on maximum longevity often refer to captive individuals, which
might cause biases in Rspan estimates, we believe that these biases will probably inu-
ence only a limited number of large-bodied species. Moreover, since data on GL stated
from experts were available for the majority of large-body species, we reduced the risk
of using inaccurate data. We assumed AFR to be equal to age at rst birth following
IUCN guidelines (IUCN 2013). When information on age at rst reproduction for
a species was not available, we estimated it by summing gestation length and age at
female sexual maturity. For species without empirical data on age at rst reproduction
for females, we used age at sexual maturity for males.
For carnivore and ungulate species, we completed missing data on maximum lon-
gevity and age at sexual maturity through a multiple imputation procedure (Rubin
1987). Carnivores and ungulates are generally characterized by lower levels of missing
life-history data respect to other mammal groups (e.g. see Jones et al. 2009). Repro-
ductive parameters used in our analyses were available for over 50% of species among
Carnivora, Cetartiodactyla and Perissodactyla. Missing life-history traits were imput-
ed, separately for carnivores and ungulates, following the procedure described in Di
Marco et al. (2012). In both datasets, all missing data were imputed 10 times in order
to obtain 10 complete datasets for each group. Finally, a median value was calculated
for all imputed data for maximum longevity and sexual maturity for each species. Mul-
tiple imputation analyses were conducted in R using the package MICE (van Buuren
and Groothuis-Oudshoorn 2010).
Dataset description
e dataset includes generation lengths for 5427 mammal species. Fields given are:
1. TaxID: identication number of species;
2. Order;
3. Family;
4. Genus;
5. ScienticName;
6. AdultBodyMass_g: body mass of species in grams;
7. Sources_AdultBodyMass: AnAge, Animal Diversity, Encyclopedia of Life (eol.
org/), Nowak and Paradiso 1999, PanTHERIA, Smith et al. 2003, Verde Arregoi-
tia et al. 2013, Mean congenerics, Mean_confamilials;
8. Max_longevity_d: maximum longevity (days) mediated from PanTHERIA, An-
Age and Carn_Ung (multiple imputation for carnivores and ungulates);
Generation length for mammals 91
9. Sources_Max_longevity: AnAge, Carn_ung (multiple imputation for ungulates
and carnivores) and PanTHERIA;
10. CalculatedRspan_d: reproductive life span (days) calculated from maximum lon-
gevity and age at rst reproduction;
11. AFR_d; age at rst reproduction (days);
12. Data_AFR: calculated or published data;
13. CalculatedGL_d: GL (days) calculated from reproductive life span and age at rst
reproduction;
14. GenerationLength_d: best known estimate of GL (days), including information
taken from IUCN database, calculated data and mean estimates;
15. Sources_GL:
GMA (IUCN Red List data);
Rspan-AFB (GL calculated as the dierence between reproductive life span
and age at rst birth);
Rspan-AFR(SM+Gest) (when data on age at rst reproduction were not avail-
able, we calculated this parameter as the sum between age at female sexual maturity
and gestation length);
Rspan-ASMmales (GL calculated with age at sexual maturity for males, when
data on age at rst reproduction for females were not available);
Mean_congenerics_same_body_mass (mean GL calculated from congeneric
species in the same bin of log body mass);
Mean_congenerics (mean GL calculated from congeneric species, irrespective
of body mass);
Mean_family_same_body_mass (mean GL calculated from confamilial spe-
cies in the same bin of log body mass);
Mean_family (mean GL calculated from confamilial species, irrespective of
body mass);
Mean_order_same_mass (for species with unknown parameter estimates, we
assigned the mean GL value of species in the same bin of log body mass and belonging
to the same order);
Mean_order (mean GL calculated from species belonging to the same order,
irrespective of body mass);
Mean_all_orders_same_body_mass (species for which we estimated mean GL
from species belonging to the same bin of log body mass).
Data sources
e data underpinning the analysis reported in this paper are deposited in the Dryad
Data Repository at http://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.gd0m3
Michela Pacici et al. / Nature Conservation 5: 87–94 (2013)
92
Original source
Pacici M, Santini L, Di Marco M, Baisero D, Francucci L, Grottolo Marasini G,
Visconti P, Rondinini C (2013) Generation length for mammals. Nature Conser-
vation 5: 87–94. doi: 10.3897/natureconservation.5.5734
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94
Appendix
Database on generation length of mammals. (doi: 10.3897/natureconservation.5.5734.
app). File format: Microsoft Excel le (xls).
Explanation note: Database on generation length of all extant mammals, with 5427
records.
Copyright notice: is dataset is made available under the Open Database License
(http://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1.0/). e Open Database License
(ODbL) is a license agreement intended to allow users to freely share, modify, and use
this Dataset while maintaining this same freedom for others, provided that the original
source and author(s) are credited.
Citation: Pacici M, Santini L, Di Marco M, Baisero D, Francucci L, Grottolo Marasini G, Visconti P, Rondinini
C (2013) Generation length for mammals. Nature Conservation 5: 87–94. doi: 10.3897/natureconservation.5.5734
Database on generation length of mammals. doi: 10.3897/zookeys.5.5734.app
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... criteria C1 and E; IUCN 2012). Because of this, a 40-year demarcation line has been added to all graphs showing the effect of harvest as this is compatible with the length of three generations (13.9 years × 3) currently accepted by the IUCN for this species (Pacifici et al., 2013). ...
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The PVA process involves four key objectives: collating demographic information, analyzing threats, understanding life history stages' importance, and conducting population viability analysis. A Threat Analysis Working Group conducted a comprehensive assessment of threats across the species' range. Participants prioritised threats based on their research experience and identified harvest for biological use, human intrusions and disturbance, residential and commercial development, and agriculture and aquaculture as the primary causes of population decline or extirpation. These threats were deemed to have a significant impact across various regions, with differing intensities and distribution. In mainland regions, biological resource use was high in Cambodia and Vietnam, driven by harvesting for the biomedical industry and meat consumption. Human intrusions and disturbances were prevalent in Thailand and Bangladesh (where the species is presumed extinct). Agriculture and aquaculture posed a high threat in Thailand but varied across other regions. In island regions, the severity of threats varied by location. In the Philippines, biological resource use was high in some areas due to hunting and conflict with agricultural practices. In Indonesia, Sumatra faced threats from human intrusions and disturbance, while Bali experienced medium threats from agriculture and aquaculture. Malaysian Borneo had low threat levels overall, while Peninsular Malaysia faced high threats from various sources due to frequent human-macaque interactions. The four main threats (biological resource use, human intrusions and disturbance, and residential/commercial development) were then discussed in terms of their effects on population dynamics. The information gathered by the Threat Analysis Working Group was then used to build a PVA model which was then used to investigate the impact of some of these threats. A baseline model of an LTM population was built in VORTEX. VORTEX is a simulation tool that factors deterministic forces, demographic events, and environmental influences affecting wild populations. It employs discrete sequential events with defined probabilities to model population dynamics. Despite its utility, PVAs like VORTEX offer probabilistic, not definitive, outcomes due to inherent uncertainties in wildlife population data. Consequently, caution is advised when utilizing PVA results for management decisions, emphasizing sensitivity analysis and interpretation with uncertainty in mind. The baseline model input parameters, such as population size, breeding systems, reproductive characteristics and average mortality rates, were sourced from the most updated published and unpublished information on the species. The resulting model was discussed with the species’ experts and amended based on their feedback. A demographic sensitivity analysis was run to test how different population sizes and growth rates affect viability. This highlighted the weight of the initial population size on the short and long-term extinction risk. These analyses underscored the need for accurate population estimates and comprehensive, long-term population monitoring. The model was then used to investigate the impacts of different threats across the species’ range. Given the scarcity of demographic data, the report employs case study scenarios, modelling the effects of threats under realistic conditions. These scenarios aim to provide insight into conservation management plans at national or regional levels. Six case scenarios were defined, each representing different population sizes and threats. These scenarios served as diagnostic tools to highlight the potential impacts of threats like harvest (using a range of methods and ‘quotas’), extreme weather events (with different impact and frequency), and disease outbreaks (with varying levels of lethality). Results from the simulations reveal varying degrees of vulnerability to different threats and capture methods. Harvesting adult females or entire groups can have significant long-term impacts on population viability. Extreme weather events and disease outbreaks also pose threats, with mortality rates affecting population trajectories differently across age and sex classes. Overall, the results underscored a) the importance of females for population viability, with interventions targeting females having greater impacts.; and b) the cruciality of the initial population size in long-term viability, highlighting the need for systematic population monitoring. Finally, the importance of interpreting results with biological knowledge and caution is emphasized. While the models provide valuable insights, they should not be the sole basis for management decisions. Instead, managers should prioritize precautionary measures, especially considering the fine line between safe and ruinous management decisions revealed by the simulations. Overall, the report underscores the need for comprehensive conservation strategies informed by robust data and stakeholder engagement.
... Tiempo generacional: 4.00 años Tiempo generacional, justificación: Pacifici et al. (2013) Reducción del tamaño poblacional en los últimos 10 años o 3 generaciones: -30%, (sospechada) ...
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El pudú es una especie endémica de los bosques templados y costeros sudamericanos de Argentina y Chile. En Argentina habita únicamente bosques húmedos, templados y fríos con estrato arbustivo denso. Su rango de distribución es acotado y se extiende desde el sudoeste de la provincia de Neuquén, norte del Parque Nacional Lanín, hasta el noroeste de Chubut. A pesar de que ladistribución del pudú está bajo la protección de áreas protegidas (Argentina ~66%), se sospecha una reducción futura en el tamaño poblacional mayor al 30% como consecuencia de numerosas amenazas potenciales y crecientes que podrían afectar seriamente su estatus de conservación actual. Las amenazas para esta especie en Argentina incluyen la pérdida y fragmentación del hábitat, los atropellamientos en rutas, la caza ilegal y el impacto de especies exóticas invasoras (EEI). Las EEI, que representan importantes agentes de cambio a nivel global, son unas de las amenazas más serias para este cérvido. En su distribución, esta especie coexiste con ganado vacuno (Bos taurus), jabalí (Sus scrofa) y ciervo colorado (Cervus elaphus), que representan competidores potenciales por espacio y recursos para herbívoros nativos como el pudú. Por otro lado, la presencia de perros (Canis lupus familiaris) sueltos, que puede implicar el acoso y la depredación hacia el pudú, se indica como una de las amenazas directas más importantes de este cérvido. Además estas EEI son potenciales vectores de enfermedades que pueden afectar el estado sanitario del pudú. Finalmente, la modificación del hábitat provocada por intervención humana (rutas, deforestación, uso turístico), sumado a la provocada por los impactos de las EEI, representa una de las causas principales de la declinación del pudú por pérdida y degradación de hábitat. Por lo tanto, se considera a la especie en la categoría Vulnerable (VU), teniendo en cuenta el criterio A3 de reducción del tamaño población a futuro y por el criterio B1, debido a una extensión de presencia (EOO) menor a 20.000 km2 y menos de 10 localidades.
... Tiempo generacional: 5.00 años Tiempo generacional, justificación: Extraído de Pacifici et al. (2013). ...
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El ciervo de los pantanos es una especie dependiente de ambientes de humedales y está sujeto a una alta presión de caza furtiva. Su rango de distribución se encuentra fragmentado en al menos cuatro subpoblaciones. Si bien la subpoblación de los Esteros del Iberá y áreas adyacentes, en la provincia de Corrientes, ha experimentado una importante recuperación en los últimos 30 años, el resto de las subpoblaciones se encuentran amenazadas (ver Evaluación de Subpoblaciones). La caza furtiva y el drenaje de los humedales para la producción agropecuaria, forestaciones y urbanizaciones son sus principales amenazas. La especie se ve afectada por las inundaciones extraordinarias que provocan mortalidades masivas por aumento en la presión de cacería, desnutrición, enfermedades y temperaturas extremas. Algunas subpoblaciones también se encuentran amenazadas por el ataque de perros, la competencia por interferencia con el ganado bovino y el atropellamiento en rutas. A nivel nacional, la especie está categorizada como Vulnerable (VU) con una proyección de reducción de su tamaño poblacional del 30% hacia el futuro (15 años, tres generaciones), teniendo en cuenta la reducción del EOO, AOO y la calidad de hábitat, y los impactos de la caza furtiva y de las inundaciones extraordinarias (incrementadas por el cambio climático).
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Red List assessment of the Seychelles Free-tailed bat, Mops Pusillus.
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An IUCN SSC assessment of the conservation status of the Ugandan Crested Mangabey, Lophocebus albigena ugandae
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El pecarí de collar está ampliamente distribuido en el centro y norte de Argentina. Se encuentra en las ecorregiones de Yungas, Chaco Seco, Chaco Húmedo, Selva Paranaense, y está siendo reintroducido en los Esteros del Iberá. Esta especie, respecto de las otras dos de pecaríes, es la menos susceptible a la degradación del bosque, la fragmentación y a la caza (Altrichter & Boaglio, 2004); también presenta una dieta generalista y su productividad es más alta (Altrichter 2006). Sin embargo, el pecarí de collar necesita de bosques nativos para persistir (Altrichter & Boaglio 2004; Periago et al. 2017). Grandes superficies de bosques nativos están siendo reemplazadas por otros tipos de cobertura con fines productivos (Hansen et al. 2013); por lo que la pérdida de bosques amenaza la conservación de este pecarí. Además, la especie se encuentra bajo altísima presión de cacería en todo su rango de distribución y está llevando a la extinción local de la especie en algunas localidades. Se sospecha e infiere una reducción en el tamaño poblacional superior al 30% producto de la disminución del área de ocupación (AOO), extensión de presencia (EOO) y calidad del hábitat, pasada (15 años) y proyectada (10 años) hacia el futuro. Las causas de la reducción del AOO son: (1) la transformación completa del hábitat de la especie -principalmente en Selva Pedemontana de Yungas y en el Chaco Seco y Húmedo-, debido al avance de la producción intensiva agrícola y ganadera; (2) la persistencia o aumento de los niveles actuales de cacería y (3) otras amenazas en los fragmentos de hábitat remanentes.
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Mazama nana es una especie endémica de la ecorregión de la Selva Paranaense (o Bosque Atlántico del Alto Paraná) y considerada Vulnerable (VU) a nivel global. A pesar de la conversión, degradación y fragmentación del bosque nativo en Misiones, la especie persiste en prácticamente todo el territorio provincial. Siendo frecuente en bosques degradados, fragmentos y en plantaciones forestales de pinos y eucaliptus, incluso en áreas con altos niveles de caza furtiva. Es la especie de Mazama más frecuente en monitoreos con cámaras trampa a lo largo de la provincia de Misiones, con excepción del Parque Nacional Iguazú donde es más frecuente Mazama americana. La especie es categorizada como Casi Amenazada (NT) porque tiene una extensión de presencia apenas superior a los 20.000 km2 (Criterio B1), pero no satisface los subcriterios y condiciones. El cambio de categoría es no genuino, y responde a una mayor información de campo sobre la especie (monitoreos con cámaras trampa) y a una reinterpretación de los criterios de evaluación. Sus mayores amenazas son la transformación del bosque nativo a usos agrícolas, la caza furtiva y el hostigamiento y depredación por perros. Se encuentra presente en la mayoría de las áreas naturales protegidas públicas y privadas de la provincia. Es importante destacar, que fuera del territorio argentino la especie es rara, producto de la intensa transformación del Bosque Atlántico del Alto Paraná para la expansión de la agricultura industrial en las regiones vecinas de Brasil y Paraguay.
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La corzuela parda tiene una amplia distribución en el país y no existen evidencia de que haya disminuido regionalmente en los últimos años. La especie está presente en ambientes naturales, en numerosas áreas protegidas y aún en paisajes severamente degradados y hasta transformados, presumiéndose además un tamaño poblacional grande. Si bien su hábitat original se encuentra muy fragmentado, en especial en la región chaqueña y el espinal, es capaz de sobrevivir y reproducirse en fragmentos y en la matriz agrícola. Es una especie muy cazada en todo su rango de distribución, pero a pesar de esto, persiste y se recupera rápidamente en cuanto la presión disminuye. La distribución de la especie está avanzando hacia el centro y norte de Misiones, aparentemente favorecida por la fragmentación y las plantaciones forestales de especies exóticas. Por lo tanto, la especie se lista en la categoría Preocupación Menor (LC).
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Tropical moist forests in Africa are concentrated in the Congo Basin. A variety of animals in these forests, in particular mammals, are hunted for their meat, termed bushmeat. This paper investigates current and future trends of bushmeat protein, and non-bushmeat protein supply, for inhabitants of the main Congo Basin countries. Since most bushmeat is derived from forest mammals, published extraction (E) and production (P) estimates of mammal populations were used to calculate the per person protein supplied by these. Current bushmeat protein supply may range from 30 g person1 in the Democratic Republic of Congo, to 180 g person1 in Gabon. Future bushmeat protein supplies were predicted for the next 50 years by employing current E:P ratios, and controlling for known deforestation and population growth rates. At current exploitation rates, bushmeat protein supply would drop 81% in all countries in less than 50 years; only three countries would be able to maintain a protein supply above the recommended daily requirement of 52 g person1. However, if bushmeat harvests were reduced to a sustainable level, all countries except Gabon would be dramatically affected by the loss of wild protein supply. The dependence on bushmeat protein is emphasized by the fact that four out of the five countries studied do not produce sufficient amounts of non-bushmeat protein to feed their populations. These findings imply that a significant number of forest mammals could become extinct relatively soon, and that protein malnutrition is likely to increase dramatically if food security in the region is not promptly resolved.
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We show that the distributions of both exploited and nonexploited North Sea fishes have responded markedly to recent increases in sea temperature, with nearly two-thirds of species shifting in mean latitude or depth or both over 25 years. For species with northerly or southerly range margins in the North Sea, half have shown boundary shifts with warming, and all but one shifted northward. Species with shifting distributions have faster life cycles and smaller body sizes than nonshifting species. Further temperature rises are likely to have profound impacts on commercial fisheries through continued shifts in distribution and alterations in community interactions.
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Phylogenetic information is becoming a recognized basis for evaluating conservation priorities, but associations between extinction risk and properties of a phylogeny such as diversification rates and phylogenetic lineage ages remain unclear. Limited taxon-specific analyses suggest that species in older lineages are at greater risk. We calculate quantitative properties of the mammalian phylogeny and model extinction risk as an ordinal index based on International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List categories. We test for associations between lineage age, clade size, evolutionary distinctiveness and extinction risk for 3308 species of terrestrial mammals. We show no significant global or regional associations, and three significant relationships within taxonomic groups. Extinction risk increases for evolutionarily distinctive primates and decreases with lineage age when lemurs are excluded. Lagomorph species (rabbits, hares and pikas) that have more close relatives are less threatened. We examine the relationship between net diversification rates and extinction risk for 173 genera and find no pattern. We conclude that despite being under-represented in the frequency distribution of lineage ages, species in older, slower evolving and distinct lineages are not more threatened or extinction-prone. Their extinction, however, would represent a disproportionate loss of unique evolutionary history.
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Red List Category & Criteria: Least Concern ver 3.1 Year Published: 2008 Date Assessed: 2008-06-30 Assessor(s): Aplin, K., Molur, S. & Nameer, P.O. Reviewer(s): Amori, G. (Small Nonvolant Mammal Red List Authority) & Cox, N. (Global Mammal Assessment Team)