The 1631 eruption has been selected by the Italian Civil Defence as the
maximum expected event upon short-medium term reactivation of Vesuvius.
Therefore, reconstruction of 1631 eruptive dynamic (Rosi et al., 1993)
is an important task for forecasting future eruptive behaviours. To
obtain a fully constrained dynamic model of the 1631 eruption, all the
deposits of this eruption have been investigated by a number of
different perspectives, including the stratigraphical, physical and
petro-chemical points of view. The geometry of the magma chamber walls
has been constrained by means of volcanological, stratigraphical, and
mineralogical data, with special emphasis on phase equilibria for the
peculiar lithics contained in pyroclastic deposits. Distribution,
granulometry, componentry, vescicularity of the fallout and nuée
ardentes deposits give reason of the volatiles distribution before and
during the eruption, as evidentiated by chemical and isotopic data. In
the resulting dynamic model the magma chamber of 1631 is a shallow,
closed, and slowly cooling magma chamber, with a continuous variation
from top to botton (fallout layers b, c, d, ei) of all relevant physical
and chemical parameters. At the margins of the magma chamber, cooling
and thermometasomatic reactions involving Mesozoic limestones originated
a skarn and cumulite carapax. The internal pressure was relatively high
during the plinian stage of the eruption (December 16th), when the
eruptive column reached a height of 13 km (fallout layer b), but
afterwards it became lower than external fluid pressure, which was
largely controlled by the CO2 produced all around the magma body by
thermometasomatic reactions. For this reason the chamber walls
collapsed, CO2 entered the system and expanded, giving new energy to the
plinian column, that became 19-km-high during the emission phase of the
es fallout layer. This new external motor dragged inside the plinian
column a huge quantity of skarn and cumulate fragments as well as the
poorly vesciculated magma (vescicularity close to 25%) positioned near
the chamber walls (layer f). After the end of the plinian phase, on
December 17th, the Vesuvian cone collapsed, the pressure inside the
magmatic system decreased further on, causing expulsion of the remaining
magma as nuée ardentes and allowing interaction between the magma
and the fluids coming from the nearby carbonate aquifers (mainly H2O).
This magma-water interaction was responsible of the final
phreatomagmatic phases of the eruption. Rosi M, Principe C, Vecci R
(1993): The 1631 vesuvius eruption - A reconstruction based on
historical and stratigraphical data. JVGR, 58:151-182.