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Ecological Approaches to Organizations

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Our goal is to assess and consolidate the current state-of-the-art in organizational ecology. To accomplish this we review major theoretical statements, empirical studies, and arguments that are now being made. Although we attempt to survey ecological approaches to organizations comprehensively, because ecological research now constitutes a very large body of work, and because other extensive reviews are available (Aldrich & Wiedenmayer, 1993; Barnett & Carroll, 1995; Baum, 1996; Baum & Amburgey, 2002; Baum & Rao, 2004; Carroll, Dobrev & Swaminathan, 2002; Galunic & Weeks 2002; Rao, 2002; Singh & Lumsden, 1990), we emphasize recent work that challenges and extends established theory and highlight new and emerging directions for future research that appear promising. Our appraisal focuses on two main themes - demographic processes and ecological processes.
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Introduction: What
Organizational Ecology
Is and Isn’t
Until the mid-1970s, the prominent approach in
organization and management theory emphasized
adaptive change in organizations. In this view, as
environments change, leaders or dominant coalitions
in organizations alter appropriate organizational
features to realign their fit to environmental demands
(e.g. Lawrence and Lorsch 1967; Thompson 1967;
Child 1972; Chandler 1977; Pfeffer and Salancik 1978;
Porter 1980; Rumelt 1986). Since then, an approach to
studying organizational change that places more
emphasis on environmental selection processes, intro-
duced at about that time (Aldrich and Pfeffer 1976;
Hannan and Freeman 1977; Aldrich 1979; McKelvey
1982), has become increasingly influential. The
stream of research on ecological perspectives of orga-
nizational change has generated tremendous excite-
ment, controversy and debate in the community of
organization and management theory scholars.
Inspired by the question, Why are there so
many kinds of organizations? (Hannan and Freeman
1977: 936), organizational ecologists seek to explain
how social, economic and political conditions affect
the relative abundance and diversity of organizations
and attempt to account for their changing composi-
tion over time. Organizational ecologists are very
empirically oriented – that is, driven by the cumula-
tive research findings of an international community
of scholars that attempts to replicate and extend
empirical generalizations derived from theoretical
expectations. Although differences exist among indi-
vidual investigators, ecological research typically
begins with three basic observations: (1) diversity is a
property of aggregates of organizations that has no
analogue at the level of the individual organization,
(2) organizations often have difficulty devising and
executing changes fast enough to meet the demands
of uncertain, changing environments, and (3) the
community of organizations is rarely stable – organi-
zations arise and disappear continually. Given these
observations, organizational ecologists pursue expla-
nations for the diversity of organizations at higher
levels of analysis of the organizational population
and community and focus on rates of organizational
founding and failure and rates of creation and death
of organizational populations as sources of increas-
ing and decreasing diversity.
Organizations, populations and communities of
organizations constitute the basic elements of an
ecological analysis of organizations (Hannan and
Freeman 1977; 1989). A set of organizations engaged
in similar activities and with similar patterns of
resource utilization constitutes a population (Hannan
and Freeman 1977; 1989). Populations form as a
result of processes that isolate or segregate one set of
organizations from another, including technological
incompatibilities, institutional actions such as
government regulations and imprinting effects
(Stinchcombe 1965; McKelvey 1982; Hannan and
Freeman 1989; Baum and Singh 1994a). Populations
themselves develop relationships with other popula-
tions engaged in other activities that bind them into
organizational communities (Astley 1985; Fombrun
1986; Hannan and Freeman 1989). Organizational
communities are functionally integrated systems of
interacting populations. In an organizational com-
munity, the outcomes for organizations in any one
population are fundamentally intertwined with those
of organizations in other populations that belong to
the same community system.
Although organizational ecology has been a
prominent subfield in organization studies for more
than 25 years, numerous critics and skeptics remain.
Why? The debate centres primarily on assumptions
about the relative influences of organizational
1.2 Ecological Approaches to Organizations
JOEL A. C. BAUM AND ANDREW V. SHIPILOV
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history, environment and strategic choice on
patterns of organizational change advanced by
structural inertia theory (Hannan and Freeman
1977; 1984). Structural inertia theory asserts that
existing organizations frequently have difficulty
changing strategy and structure quickly enough to
keep pace with the demands of uncertain, changing
environments and emphasizes that major organiza-
tional innovations often occur early in the life-histo-
ries of organizations and populations. Organizational
change and variability are thus regarded to reflect
primarily relatively inert (i.e. inflexible) organizations
replacing each other over time. To organizational
ecology’s critics and skeptics this means environmen-
tal determinism and loss of human agency (e.g. Astley
and Van de Ven 1983; Perrow 1986).
Do ecological approaches imply that the actions
of particular individuals do not matter for organiza-
tions? The answer is no, of course. One part of the
confusion about organizational ecology is that
determinism is mistakenly contrasted with volun-
tarism rather than with probabilism (Hannan and
Freeman 1989; Singh and Lumsden 1990). Leaving
aside whether their actions are intelligent or foolish,
carefully planned or seat-of-the-pants, individuals
can clearly influence their organizations future –
but under conditions of uncertainty and ambiguity
there are severe constraints on the ability of individ-
uals to conceive and implement correctly changes
that improve organizational success and survival
chances reliably in the face of competition. Thus,‘in
a world of high uncertainty, adaptive efforts … turn
out to be essentially random with respect to future
value’ (Hannan and Freeman 1984: 150). A second
part of the confusion has to do with the level of
analysis. The actions of individuals matter more to
their organization than they do to their organiza-
tions population as a whole. The actions of particu-
lar individuals may thus not explain much of the
diversity in organizational populations.
Changes in organizational populations reflect
the operation of four basic processes: variation,
selection, retention and competition (Campbell
1965; Aldrich 1979; McKelvey 1982). Variations are
human behaviours. Any kind of change, intentional
or blind, is variation. Individuals produce variations
in, for example, technical and management compe-
tencies constantly in their efforts to adjust their
organization’s relationship to the environment.
Organizational variations provide the raw material
from which selection can be made. Some variations
prove more beneficial to organizations than others
in acquiring resources in a competitive environment
and are thus selected positively – not by the environ-
ment, but by managers inside organizations and
investors, customers and government regulators
in the resource environment (Burgelman 1991;
Burgelman and Mittman 1994; McKelvey 1994;
Meyer 1994; Miner 1994).
When successful variations are known, or when
environmental trends are identifiable, individuals
can attempt to copy and implement these successful
variations in their own organization, or they can
attempt to forecast, anticipate, plan and implement
policies in the context of the predictable trends
(Nelson and Winter 1982; DiMaggio and Powell
1983; McKelvey 1994). However, when successful
variations are unknown, because, for example, the
behaviour of consumers and competitors is unpre-
dictable, the probability of choosing the correct
variation and implementing it successfully is very
low. Even when effective variations are identifiable,
ambiguity in the causes of success may frustrate
attempts at imitation. Under such conditions, varia-
tions can be viewed as experimental trials, some of
which are consciously planned and some of which
are accidental, some of which succeed and some of
which fail (McKelvey 1994; Miner 1994). Whether
or not they are known, over time, successful varia-
tions are retained as surviving organizations come
to be characterized by them.
If the survival odds are low for organizations with
a particular variant, it does not mean that these
organizations are destined to fail. Rather, it means
the capacity of individuals to change their organiza-
tions successfully is of great importance (Hannan
and Freeman 1989). However, there are strong
constraints on the capacity of individuals to change
existing organizations successfully, including estab-
lished practices, norms and incentives, scarcity of
resources, competition and limits to individual
rationality. Nevertheless, the existence of these con-
straints does not mean that individuals are irrele-
vant to processes of organizational change – only
that there are limits on the influence of individuals’
actions on variability in organizational properties.
Ecological theory does not remove individuals
from responsibility for or control (influence, at least)
over their organizations success and survival –
individuals do matter. Ecological theory does, how-
ever, assume that individuals cannot always (or often)
determine in advance which variations will succeed.
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Ecological theory also stresses that individuals have
difficulty changing existing organizations’ strategies
and structures quickly enough to keep pace with the
demands of uncertain, changing environments.
Because the success of particular variations is
often unknown in advance and because there are
strong constraints on the ability of individuals to
change their organizations, ecological analysis for-
mulates issues of organizational change and vari-
ability at the population level. It attempts to
estimate the odds of success for any particular vari-
ation by studying the survival chances of organiza-
tions with the variation and the rate at which
organizations adopt the variation. Consequently, in
contrast to adaptation approaches, which explain
changes in organizational diversity exclusively in
terms of the cumulative strategic choices and changes
of existing organizations, ecological approaches also
highlight the creation of new organizations and the
demise of old ones in addition.
Also in contrast to most organizational research,
which concentrates on the largest and most success-
ful organizations at a particular point in time,
ecological research examines entire organizational
populations, from the largest and longest-lived, to
the smallest and shortest-lived members, over
extended periods of time. Why? Because it is often
not possible to learn about the processes that create
success and failure by examining only current
successes. The problem is that comparison between
success and failure is implicit. Successful organiza-
tions in an industry may have certain strategies and
structures – but without information on failures we
cannot be certain poor performers didn’t have the
very same ones. Moreover, if success and failure
depend on the environment, winners and losers
may change as conditions change. The success of a
strategy in an industry at one point in time doesn’t
mean success next year under different conditions.
Thus, concentrating on organizations that succeed
at a particular point in time can result in misleading
inferences about the factors that produced the suc-
cess. These are examples of the methodological
problem of sample-selection bias (Heckman 1979;
Berk 1983). For these reasons, organizational ecolo-
gists undertake exhaustive data collection efforts
to identify all organizations in a population or
community (Hannan and Freeman 1989).
Current ecological theory and research takes four
distinct levels (Carroll 1984a; Hannan and Freeman
1989; Baum and Singh 1994a). Research at level one
investigates intraorganizational ecology. Research at
this level focuses on variation, selection and reten-
tion processes within organizations. Intraorganiza-
tional ecology models seek to describe how
organizations’ internal contexts and individuals’
purposeful and accidental use of variation, selection
and retention processes in organizations influence
rates of creation, transformation and death of orga-
nizational routines and strategies. Research at level
two focuses on the demography of organizations.
Research at this level considers variations in vital
rates (i.e. rates of organizational founding, change
and failure) for organizational populations. It
examines variations in these rates over time and
among populations. It seeks to identify empirical
regularities in these rates and specify their relations
to organizational characteristics. Research at level
three concerns the population ecology of organiza-
tions. At this level, research concentrates on growth
and decline of individual populations. Population
ecology models seek to describe how vital rates of
one population are influenced by processes endoge-
nous to that population as well as interactions with
other populations. It also seeks to specify how these
rates are shaped by patterns of environmental
change. Research at level four concerns the commu-
nity ecology of organizations. Community ecology
research investigates the evolution of community
structures and examines how the links binding a set
of populations into a community affect the likeli-
hood of persistence and stability of the community
as a whole. Community ecology research also
emphasizes processes of creation and demise of
populations of organizational forms.
To date, ecological theory and research has
focused primarily on demographic and population
ecology analyses of rates of organizational found-
ing, failure and change and to a much less (but
increasing) extent on intraorganizational and com-
munity ecology (for recent reviews see Galunic and
Weeks 2002; Rao 2002; Baum and Rao 2004).
Organizational founding and failure figure promi-
nently in organizational ecology because they affect
the relative abundance and diversity of organiza-
tions. Ecological theory stresses the difficulty indi-
viduals have changing existing organizations
strategies and structures to keep pace with the
demands of uncertain, changing environments.
Consequently, for organizational ecologists, the
rates at which new and diverse organizations are
created and the rates at which organizations of
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various types disappear are central to the dynamics
of organizational demography.
The focus of ecological research is changing
rapidly, however, as researchers turn their attention
to processes of organization-level change and tests
of structural inertia theory (e.g. Barnett and Carroll
1995). As Hannan and Freeman (1977: 930) point
out, a full treatment of organization–environment
relations must cover both adaptation and selection.
Researchers have embarked on development of a
combined perspective that sees processes of adapta-
tion and selection as complementary and interacting.
The emerging view takes seriously the occurrence of
selection processes and combines it with the sys-
tematic study of organization-level changes that
may, under certain conditions, be adaptive. And,
consequently, that organizational change can best be
studied by examining how social and environmental
conditions and interactions within and among pop-
ulations influence the rates at which new organiza-
tions and new populations are created, existing
organizations and populations die out and individ-
ual organizations change (Singh and Lumsden 1990;
Baum and Singh 1994a).
Chapter Aims and Overview
Our goal is to assess and consolidate the current
state-of-the-art in organizational ecology. To
accomplish this we review major theoretical state-
ments, empirical studies and arguments that are
now being made. Although we attempt to survey
ecological approaches to organizations comprehen-
sively, because ecological research now constitutes a
very large body of work, and because other extensive
reviews are available (Singh and Lumsden 1990;
Aldrich and Wiedenmayer 1993; Barnett and Carroll
1995; Baum 1996; Baum and Amburgey 2002;
Carroll et al. 2002; Galunic and Weeks 2002; Rao
2002; Baum and Rao 2004), we emphasize recent
work that challenges and extends established theory
and highlight new and emerging directions for
future research that appear promising. Our appraisal
focuses on two main themes – demographic
processes and ecological processes – the main
research areas in each summarized in Table 1.
Demographic Processes
Ecological approaches to founding and failure
constitute a radical departure from traditional
approaches to founding and entrepreneurship and
business failure, which focus on individual initia-
tive, skills and abilities (Carroll 1984a; Romanelli
1991; Aldrich and Wiedenmayer 1993). The tradi-
tional traits approach to founding and entrepre-
neurship assumes that there is something about an
individual’s background or personality that leads
him or her to found an organization. Gartner’s
(1989) review of traits studies suggests that they
have hit a dead end: most are based on small, cross-
sectional samples, drawn from unknown popula-
tions whose generality is not clear, and typically do
not use multivariate analytical techniques, raising
doubts about the significance of occasionally signif-
icant ‘trait’ variables. Similarly, traditional business
policy research typically attributes organizational
failure to managerial inexperience, incompetence,
or inadequate financing (e.g. Dun and Bradstreet
1978). By concentrating on the ‘traits’ of entrepre-
neurs and managers, traditional approaches to
organizational founding and failure deflected
attention away from the volatile nature of organiza-
tional populations and communities (Aldrich and
Wiedenmayer 1993). Ecological approaches to
organizational founding and failure, by comparison,
emphasize contextual or environmental causes –
social, economic and political – that produce varia-
tions in organizational founding and failure rates
over time by influencing opportunity structures
that confront potential organizational founders and
resource constraints that face existing organizations.
Because existing organizations have histories and
structures that influence their rates of failure
and change, studying organizational failure and
change is complicated by the need to consider
processes at both organizational and population
levels. Although founding processes have typically
been conceived in ecological research as attributes
of a population, since no organization exists prior to
founding, recently founding processes too are
increasingly seen as occurring at both organiza-
tional and population levels. Demographic analysis
examines the effects of organizational characteris-
tics on rates of organizational founding, failure and
change.
Organizational Founding
Although organizational founding is an important
theme in ecological research, in large part, foundings
have been treated as identical additions to homo-
genous populations: the characteristics of new
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Key references
Lomi (1995); Stuart and
Sorenson (2003a, b)
Baum and Haveman (1997)
Freeman et al. (1983);
Henderson (1999)
Bruderl and Schussler (1990);
Fichman and Levinthal (1991)
Baum (1989); Ingram (1993)
Barron et al. (1994);
Ranger-Moore (1997)
Freeman et al. (1983);
Mitchell (1994)
Hannan and Freeman (1984);
Amburgey et al. (1993);
Baum and Singh (1996);
Dobrev et al. (2001; 2003)
Amburgey and Miner (1992);
Amburgey et al. (1993);
Greve and Taylor (2000)
Baum and Ingram (1998);
Ingram and Baum (1997a)
Key predictions
Variation in social, institutional and economic conditions across regions produce
unobservable region-specific proneness to experiencing the founding of particular
organizational forms
Avoidance of direct competition pushes entrants away from similar organizations,
while complementary differences pull them together; agglomeration economies pull
entrants toward competitors
Liability of newness: failure rates decline with age as roles and routines are
mastered and links with external constituents established
Liability of adolescence: failure rates rise with age until initial buffering resource
endowments are depleted, then decline with further increases in age
Liability of obsolescence: failure rates increase with age as their original fit with the
environment erodes
Liability of senescence: failure rates increase with age as internal friction, precedent
and political pacts accumulate, impeding action and reliable performance
Liability of smallness: failure rates decline with size, which buffers organizations
from threats to survival
Change: structural inertia increases as organizations age and grow, lowering rates
of organizational change
Failure: the failure rate increases after a ‘core’ change, but then declines with the
passage of time; the disruptive effects of change increase (decrease) with
organizational age (size)
The rate of an organizational change of the same type increases with the number
of prior changes of the same type, but then declines with the passage of time
since the last change of the same type.
Initial increases in operating experience lower failure rates as organizations move
down learning curves for their routines, but further increases reduce
responsiveness to changing environmental demands, raising failure rates
Key variables
Spatial heterogeneity
Entrant’s similarity to
incumbents
Organizational age
Organizational size
Organizational change
Cumulative
organizational change
Organizational
operating experience
Demographic
processes
Organizational
founding
Age
dependence
Size
dependence
Structural
inertia
Organizational
momentum
Organizational
learning
Table 1 Major ecological approaches to organizational founding, failure and change
(Continued)
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Key references
Barnett (1997)
Freeman and Hannan (1983;
1987); Carroll (1985); Carroll
et al. (2002)
Carroll and Delacroix (1982);
Delacroix and Carroll (1983);
Delacroix et al. (1989)
Hannan and Freeman (1987;
1988; 1989); Hannan and
Carroll (1992); Hannan et al.
(1995)
Baum and Ingram (1998);
Ingram and Baum (1997a)
Ingram and Baum (1997a)
Key predictions
The greater an organization’s historical exposure to competition, the lower its
failure rate
Exploit a narrow range of resources and are favoured in fine-grained and
concentrated environments
Tolerate widely varying environmental conditions and are favoured in coarse-
grained, high variability environments
Initial increases in prior foundings signal opportunity, stimulating new foundings,
but further increases create competition, suppressing new foundings
Initial increases in prior deaths free up resources, stimulating new foundings, but
further increases signal a hostile environment suppressing new foundings
Initial increases in density increase the institutional legitimacy of a population,
increasing foundings and lowering failures, but further increases produce
competition, suppressing foundings and increasing failures
An organization’s failure rate declines as a function of the operating experience of
its population at the time of its entry and of the population’s increasing operating
experience after the organization’s founding
An organization’s failure rate declines as a function of its population’s history of
competitive outcomes (e.g. failures) at the time of its entry and of the population’s
increasing competitive experience after the organization’s founding
Key variables
Organizational
competitive experience
Specialist strategy
Generalist strategy
Prior foundings
Prior failures
Population density
Population operating
experience
Population competitive
experience
Demographic
processes
Ecological
processes
Niche width
dynamics
Population
dynamics
Density
dependence
Population-
level learning
Table 1 (
Continued
)
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organizations, which define their domains, have not
been of central interest. The absence of organization-
specific factors in studies of founding stands in sharp
contrast to ecological studies of failure and change, in
which issues of organizational demography have long
been conspicuous. Studying heterogeneity in found-
ing is more complicated than studying heterogeneity
in failure or change: organizational attributes cannot
be used as explanatory variables in analyses of found-
ing because they cannot be observed for organiza-
tions that do not yet exist (Delacroix and Carroll
1983). As a result, the organization itself cannot be
the focal point of study.
Ecological researchers initially sidestepped this
complication by considering the population itself as
the unit experiencing the events. The problem with
this approach is that variations in social and
economic conditions across a populations environ-
ment will produce differences in founding rates. If not
properly accounted for, this heterogeneity will result
in specification bias. Some progress on this problem
has been made by researchers using differences among
foundings within populations to specify more fine-
grained population substructures into which organi-
zations are differentially founded. A variety of criteria
have be used for this purpose including legal form
(Ranger-Moore et al. 1991; Rao and Neilsen 1992;
Baum and Oliver 1996), core technology (Barnett
1990), customer base (Baum and Singh 1994a), strat-
egy (Brittain 1994) and geographical location
(Barnett and Carroll 1987; Carroll and Wade 1991;
Swaminathan and Wiedenmayer 1991; Cattani et al.
2003). In this approach, studying founding involves
first specifying potential organizational subpopula-
tions and then examining differences in the rate at
which these subpopulations receive new entrants.
Unfortunately, this approach suffers operational
problems (e.g. artificial, arbitrary and large numbers
of organizational niches, ambiguous risk-set defini-
tion) that can undermine efforts to operationalize the
approach empirically. Consequently, subpopulation
entry studies typically provide descriptive accounts of
organizational niches that were actually filled. Three
alternative approaches have recently appeared that
make it possible to examine how differentiation
within populations and variation in their environ-
ments affect the founding process.
The first begins with the observation that organi-
zational environments have spatial components –
geographical barriers, localized resource environ-
ments – that affect the dynamics of organizational
populations. Variation in social and economic condi-
tions across regions or local differences in a popula-
tion’s institutional history can produce differences in
intrinsic founding rates, or in unobservable region-
specific proneness to experiencing the founding of
particular organizational forms. If different segments
of an organizational environment cannot be consid-
ered equally at risk of experiencing foundings of
organizations of a given type, then we should expect
location dependence and unobserved heterogeneity
in organizational founding rates.
To address these problems empirically, Lomi
(1995) proposes a model of location dependence in
organizational founding rates. In contrast to other
work, Lomi’s approach does not require subdivision
of organizational populations on the basis of
abstract a priori categories; instead empirical corre-
ctions for unobserved heterogeneity are estimated
directly from data. His analysis of founding rates of
Italian cooperative banks based on the model indi-
cates that models neglecting unobserved heterogene-
ity across geographic regions tend to overestimate
the effects of ecological processes on founding rates.
The analysis revealed the existence of two distinct
segments within the population; when the founding
rate was allowed to vary within segments, evidence
of heterogeneous response to general population
processes was found. Lomi’s study contributes to a
growing literature showing that organizational pop-
ulations are internally differentiated and that vital
rates vary systematically across heterogeneous seg-
ments of the population. Bringing the role of spatial
factors to the forefront of ecological analyses
enriches our understanding of organizational
founding processes.
Sorenson and colleagues (Barnett and Sorenson
2002; Stuart and Sorenson 2003a, b) recently
pioneered a second approach to dealing with geo-
graphic heterogeneity in founding rates. Like
Lomi’s, their approach does not require arbitrary
subdivision of the population. Unlike Lomi’s, how-
ever, it makes use of continuous measures of the
distance between fine-grained geographic units (i.e.
single zip codes) at risk of founding and variables
of theoretical interest, rather than estimating cor-
rections from the data. This permits effects of par-
ticular variations in social and economic conditions
on the founding rate to be estimated directly.
Sorenson et al. have used the approach to examine
whether location-specific founding rates of biotech-
nology firms depend on geographic proximity to
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61
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other biotechnology firms, lead inventors of
patented biotechnologies, venture capital firms, or
universities with leading biotechnology labs (Stuart
and Sorenson 2003a), as well as biotechnology firms
that have recently made an initial public offering or
that have been acquired (Stuart and Sorenson
2003b). Their findings provide substantial evidence
of spatial heterogeneity, suggesting that the spatial
distribution of resources materially affects entre-
preneurs ability and propensity to create new
organizations.
A third approach, introduced by Baum and
Haveman (1997), complements traditional ecologi-
cal analyses that ask when a founding will occur – by
any kind of organization within a population, in any
location in that populations niche – by taking orga-
nizational foundings as given and asking what kind
of organization is founded and where. Like
Sorenson et al.s, their approach is relational, focus-
ing on organizations’ positions relative to each other
in the resource space, and so does not require any
specification of subpopulations where foundings
can occur. They are concerned with new organiza-
tions’ similarity to (or difference from) incumbent
organizations. Given that a new organization
appears, they examine how similar it is to neigh-
bouring organizations. They investigate key entre-
preneurial decisions, namely how close new
organizations should locate in product and geo-
graphic space to incumbent organizations in their
industry. Baum and Haveman thus go beyond
geographic heterogeneity to consider product het-
erogeneity as well. Their analysis of the roles of size,
price and location similarity on Manhattan hotel
foundings finds evidence of both avoidance of
direct competition pushing similar hotels apart and
pulling complementary hotels together (e.g. Hawley
1950; White 1981), as well as of agglomeration
economies and institutional forces pulling similar
hotels together (e.g. Hotelling 1929; DiMaggio and
Powell 1983). The ‘hotel districts’ resulting from
these process help reduce consumer search costs
regarding hotels’ locations (e.g. proximity to points
of tourist interest or business activity) and class (i.e.
economy or luxury).
Together, these studies refocus organizational
ecologists’ emphasis on temporal heterogeneity
and time dependence in organizational founding to
less studied issues of spatial heterogeneity and loca-
tion dependence. The approaches to the dynamics
of location choice they advance make it possible
to subject theoretical predictions from spatial
economics and organizational sociology to empirical
testing, improving our knowledge of key entrepre-
neurial decisions and processes, and the tendency
for firms to cluster (or not) in product and geogra-
phic space.
Age and Size Dependence
A central line of inquiry in ecological research has
been the effect of organizational ageing on failure.
Until recently, the predominant view was the liabil-
ity of newness (Stinchcombe 1965: 148–9), the
propensity of young organizations to have higher
failure rates. Underlying Stinchcombe’s (1965) lia-
bility of newness is the assumption that young orga-
nizations are more vulnerable because they have to
learn new roles as social actors and create organiza-
tional roles and routines at a time when organiza-
tional resources are stretched to the limit. New
organizations are also assumed to typically lack
broad bases of influence and endorsement, stable
relationships with important external constituents
and the legitimacy that years of experience in provid-
ing particular products or services confer on older
organizations. In a complementary viewpoint,
Hannan and Freeman (1984) suggest that selection
pressures favour organizations capable of demon-
strating their reliability and accountability. Reliabil-
ity and accountability require organizations to be
highly reproducible. This reproducibility, and the
structural inertia that it generates, are expected to
increase as organizations age. Since selection proces-
ses favour highly reproducible structures, older
organizations are predicted to be less likely to fail
than young organizations.
A second important line of research examines
how organizational size influences failure rates.
Larger organizations are thought to be less likely to
fail for a variety of reasons. Since inertial tendencies
in organizations increase with size, and since selec-
tion pressures favour structurally inert organiza-
tions for their reliability, large organizations are
expected to be less vulnerable to the risk of failure
(Hannan and Freeman 1984). The propensity of
small organizations to fail is also argued to result
from several liabilities of smallness, including prob-
lems of raising capital, recruiting and training a
workforce, meeting higher interest payments and
handling the administrative costs of compliance with
government regulations (Aldrich and Auster 1986).
Handbook of Organization Studies
62
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Large size also tends to legitimate organizations to
the extent that stakeholders interpret organizational
size as an outcome of prior success and an indicator
of future dependability.
One major reason the liability of smallness is
studied is related to the liability of newness. Since
new organizations tend to be small, if, as the liabil-
ity of smallness predicts, small organizations have
higher failure rates, then liabilities of newness and
smallness are confounded and must be separated
empirically (Freeman et al. 1983). For example,
Levinthal (1991a) shows that a simple simulation
model in which change in organizational assets over
time is represented as a random walk replicates the
liability of newness in organizational mortality
rates. Thus, if organizational size increases with age
and failure decreases with size, then what appears as
a liability of newness may be an artifact of unmea-
sured size. This is one example of the well-known
problem of unobserved heterogeneity, which can
result in spurious negative age dependence in failure
rates (e.g. Tuma and Hannan 1984; Petersen and
Koput 1991).
Notably, although early ecological studies
supported the liability of newness hypothesis con-
sistently (e.g. Carroll and Delacroix 1982; Carroll
1983; Freeman et al. 1983), as Table 2 shows, later
studies find that, after controlling for contempora-
neous organizational size, failure rates do not gener-
ally decline with age. Since much of the original
support for the liability of newness comes from
studies in which organizational size is not con-
trolled, the early supportive findings may simply
reflect this. On the other hand, with few exceptions,
studies in Table 2 support the liability of smallness
prediction that organizational failure rates decline
with increased size.
Bigger may be Better,
but is Older Wiser?
These empirical findings have prompted two alter-
native theoretical perspectives on age dependence
that question the basic liability of newness argu-
ment. The first alternative, the liability of adolescence
hypothesis (Bruderl and Schussler 1990; Fichman
and Levinthal 1991), predicts an inverted U-shaped
relationship between age and failure. This model
observes that new organizations start with an initial
stock of assets (e.g. goodwill, psychological commit-
ment, financial investment) that buffers them from
failure during a honeymoon period – even when
early outcomes are unfavourable. The larger an
organizations initial stock of assets, the longer the
expected duration the organization is buffered. As
this original stock is depleted, however, organiza-
tions face a liability of adolescence and those unable
to generate needed resource flows because, for
example, they were unable to establish necessary
roles and routines or develop stable relationships
with important external constituents, fail. After ado-
lescence, the future probability of failure declines,
since surviving organizations are those able to
acquire sufficient ongoing resources.
Liability of newness and adolescence arguments
provide divergent accounts of age dependence for
young organizations, but agree that failure rates
decline monotonically for older organizations.
Notably, processes underlying these models (e.g.
learning and creating new roles and routines, estab-
lishing relations with external constituents, depleting
initial endowments) occur early in the organizational
life cycle. These arguments thus have little to say
about organizations that are not new or adolescent.
The liability of ageing hypothesis identifies processes
that become important later in the organizational
life cycle and predicts an increasing rate of failure
for older organizations as a result of these processes
(Aldrich and Auster 1986; Baum 1989; Ingram 1993;
Barron et al. 1994; Ranger-Moore 1997). Thus, the
liability of ageing hypothesis complements and
extends liability of newness and adolescence
hypotheses (Baum 1989).
The liability of ageing argument begins with
another insight from Stinchcombes (1965: 153)
essay: ‘… the organizational inventions that can be
made at a time in history depend on the social tech-
nology available at that time’. Organizations thus
reflect the environment at the time of their founding.
The initial fit between organizations and their envi-
ronments erodes, however, as incomplete informa-
tion, bounded rationality, and inertial tendencies
make it difficult, if not impossible, for individuals to
keep their organizations aligned with rapidly chang-
ing and unpredictable environmental demands.
Environmental change also creates opportunities for
new organizations to enter and undermine the com-
petitive positions of established organizations (e.g.
Tushman and Anderson 1986). Thus, encountering a
series of environmental changes that decreases the
alignment between organizations and environments
exposes ageing organizations to an increased risk of
Ecological Approaches to Organizations
63
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Table 2 Age and size dependence failure studies, 1983–2003
Population Age
a
Size
a
Size variable References
US Labor Unions, 1836–1985
b
−+Membership at founding Freeman et al. (1983); Hannan and Freeman
US Brewers, 1633–1988 na (1989); Carroll and Hannan (1989a, b);
Argentina Newspapers, 1800–1900 na Carroll and Wade (1991); Hannan and
Ireland Newspapers, 1800–1975 na Carroll (1992)
San Francisco Newspapers, 1800–1975 na
Little Rock Newspapers, 1815–1975 na
Springfield Newspapers, 1835–1975 na
Shreveport Newspapers, 1840–1975 na
Elmira Newspapers, 1815–1975 na
Lubbock Newspapers, 1890–1975 na
Lafayette Newspapers, 1835–1975 na
California Wineries, 1940–1985 0 Storage capacity Delacroix et al. (1989); Delacroix and
Swaminathan (1991)
Iowa Telephone Companies, 1900–1929 0 0 Subscribers Barnett (1990); Barnett and Amburgey (1990)
Pennsylvania Telephone 0
Companies, 1879–1934 +/ 0 Barnett (1997)
West German Business +/−−Employees at founding Bruderl and Schussler (1990)
Organizations, 1980–1989
Bavarian Brewers, 1900–1981 0 Small firm dummy Swaminathan and Wiedenmayer (1991)
Toronto Day Care Centers, 1971–1989 +−Licensed capacity Baum and Oliver (1991; 1992); Baum and
Singh (1994b)
Toronto Nursery Schools, 1971–1987 −−Licensed capacity
US Immigrant Newspapers, 1877–1914 na Olzak and West (1991)
African-American Newspapers, 1877–1914 na
Manhattan Banks, 1840–1976 0 Assets Banaszak-Holl (1992; 1993)
Manhattan Hotels, 1898–1990 +−Number of rooms Baum and Mezias (1992)
California S&Ls, 1970–1987 0 0 Assets Haveman (1992; 1993c)
US Mutual S&Ls, 1960–1987 +/ 0 Assets Rao and Neilsen (1992)
US Stock S&Ls, 1960–1987 +/ 0 Assets
US Cement Producers, 1888–1982 0/ na Anderson and Tushman (1992)
US Minicomputer Manufacturers, 1958–1982 +/– na
US Group HMOs, 1976–1991 0 Enrolment Wholey et al. (1992)
(Continued)
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Table 2 (
Continued
)
Population Age
a
Size
a
Size variable References
US Independent Practice Assn. HMOs, 1976–1991 +−Enrolment
Finish Newspapers, 1771–1963 na Amburgey et al. (1993)
US Brewers, 1878–1988 +−Production in Carroll et al. (1993)
1878 and 1879
US Microcomputer Manufacturers, 1975–1986 +−Units sold Ingram (1993)
US Integrated Circuit Manufacturers, 1971–1981 0 Employees Loree (1993)
Medical Diagnostic Imaging Firms, 1953–1989 +/ 0 Corporate sales Mitchell and Singh (1993)
US Trade Associations, 1901–1990 0/−−Membership Aldrich et al. (1994)
US Credit Unions, 1980–1989
c
+−/+/ Assets Amburgey et al. (1994)
US Hotel Chains, 1896–1980 0 Number of hotels Ingram (1994)
New York City Credit Unions, 1914–1990 +−Log real total assets Barron et al. (1994)
Medical Equipment Manufacturers, 1950–1990 −−Sales Mitchell (1994)
New York State Life Insurance & −−Number of policies sold Lehrman (1994)
Assessment Companies, 1881–1931
New York State Life Insurance −+Number of policies sold
Fraternal Societies, 1881–1931
US Automobile Producers, 1885–1981 −−Production capacity Carroll et al. (1996)
Niagara Falls Hotels, 1885–1991 0 Number of rooms Ingram and Inman (1996)
NY State Life Insurance Companies, 1813–1935 +/0 Assets Ranger-Moore (1997)
California Hospitals, 1980–1990 0 Log number of beds Reuf (1997)
US Hospital Systems Software Firms, 1961–1991 na Log sales Singh (1997)
US Hotel Chains, 1896–1990 +−Log number of components Ingram and Baum (1997a)
San Francisco Hospitals, 1945–1990 0 0 Log number of beds Reuf and Scott (1998)
US Breweries, 1845–1918 na Wade et al. (1998)
Proprietary Strategists, US Personal +−Log sales Henderson (1999)
Computer Industry, 1975–1992
(Continued)
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Table 2 (
Continued
)
Population Age
a
Size
a
Size variable References
Standards Strategists, US Personal +/−−Log sales
Computer Industry, 1975–1992
New York Credit Unions, 1914–1990 +−Assets Barron (1999)
Ontario Independent Nursing Homes, 1971–1996 0 Log number of beds Baum (1999)
Ontario Chain Nursing Homes, 1971–1996 + 0
US Breweries, 1938–1997 0 Production capacity Carroll and Swaminathan (2000)
US Bicycle Industry, 1880–1916 na na Dowell and Swaminathan (2000)
Israeli Worker Cooperatives, 1920–1992 0 na Cooperatives absorbed Ingram and Simons (2000)
US Wineries, 1941–1990 na /+ Acres of vineyard owned Swaminathan (2001)
na Log gallons of installed
capacity
French Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981
d
−−Log production Dobrev et al. (2001); Dobrev
and Carroll (2003)
German Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981
d
−−Log production
British Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981
d
−−Log production
Law Firms/Attorneys in Silicon Valley, 1945–1996 0 Number of partners Phillips (2001; 2002)
0 Number of associates
MIT Start-Ups, 1980–1994 0 Log of cumulative revenues Shane and Stuart (2002)
Canadian Biotechnology Firms, 1991–2000 0 Log R&D employees Baum and Silverman (2004)
US Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 −−Log production Dobrev and Carroll (2003);
Dobrev et al. (2003)
a
X/Y gives the signs of significant (p < 0.05) linear and squared terms, respectively, when estimated. X gives the sign of the effect of initial increases in age,
Y gives the sign of the effect for later increases.
b
See Hannan and Freeman (1989: 257–9) for an interpretation of this positive size effect.
c
Amburgey et al. (1994) test a cubic effect of size to examine the failure risk of mid-sized organizations.
d
Results differ somewhat in the two studies; Dobrev and Carroll (2003) exclude the smallest firms from their sample.
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 66
obsolescence and, concomitantly, failure. Ageing may
also bring about senescence: an accumulation of inter-
nal friction, precedent and political pacts that impede
action and reliable performance. Notably, obsoles-
cence does not require inertia to increase with orga-
nizational age – even if inertia is constant over time
there will be a liability of obsolescence. Obsolescence
and senescence thus pose separate risks: senescence is
a direct effect of ageing; obsolescence a result of envi-
ronmental change.
Available empirical evidence regarding age-
dependence is equivocal. Among studies in Table 2
that control for contemporaneous organizational
size, 12 populations exhibited a liability of newness,
11 a liability of ageing, six a liability of adolescence
and 15 no age dependence. Several explanations
may help account for the varied findings.
Two sample-selection problems may bias results
away from a liability of newness. First, the new orga-
nizations studied may be old new organizations,
that is organizations late in the process of emer-
gence (Katz and Gartner 1988). If researchers were
able to obtain data on organizations earlier in the
founding process (e.g. prior to formal incorpora-
tion – see, for example, Rao 2001), liability of new-
ness findings might be stronger. Secondly, in several
studies, left-censored organizations, that is organi-
zations founded before the start of the observation
period with known founding dates are included in
the analysis. Because they are already survivors, left-
censored organizations tend to be low-risk cases;
treating these cases as standard subjects can lead to
an underestimation of failure rates at shorter dura-
tions (Guo 1993).
It may also be that support for the liability of age-
ing is overstated. If organizational age coincides
with the amount of environmental change experi-
enced by an organization, and if the risk of failure
increases with cumulative environmental change,
then the probability of failure will increase, spuri-
ously, with age if accumulated environmental
change is uncontrolled (Carroll 1983: 313) – and it
typically is not. Thus, in the same way that negative
age dependence can result spuriously from uncon-
trolled size, positive age dependence (after control-
ling for size) may result spuriously from uncontrolled
organizational exposure to environmental change.
Notably, this implies that, after controlling for size
and environmental change, no age dependence
should be observed unless there is a liability of
senescence.
The more limited support for the liability of
adolescence hypothesis may have a benign expla-
nation: Because most researchers examine only
monotonic age dependence specifications, tests of
the liability of adolescence hypothesis are infre-
quent. Notably, however, six of the eight studies in
Table 2 that permit non-monotonic age dependence
and control for size find a liability of adolescence.
Hannan et al. (1998a, b) recently suggested that
divergent age dependence results might reflect non-
proportionality in age effects, combined with hetero-
geneity in the size distributions of populations
studied. And, although they find evidence that
patterns of age dependence vary for small and large
automobile producers in four European countries, no
systematic pattern emerges from their results. More
generally, divergent age dependence results might
reflect variation in age dependence across popula-
tions or subpopulations (Baum 1996). Henderson
(1999), for example, hypothesized contingent age
dependence effects based on an organizations tech-
nology strategy – proprietary or standards-based.
Hendersons analysis of sales growth and failure
among US personal computer manufacturers during
1975–92 provided strong support for his contingency
view, demonstrating how multiple patterns of age
dependence can operate simultaneously in a single
population. His study also revealed important trade-
offs between growth and the risk of failure resulting
from the joint effects of age and strategy.
To advance our understanding of these issues,
research on age dependence must move beyond the
use of age as a surrogate for all constructs underly-
ing the various age dependence models and begin to
test the models’ assumptions directly. Although
there has been much debate concerning the under-
lying source of the hazards facing new firms, most
of the research in this debate implicitly assumes that
new entrants are typified by a lack of stable rela-
tionships and sufficient resources. For example, the
liability of newness hypothesis assumes that a lack
of social approval, stability and sufficient resources
typifies recent entrants and that these shortcomings
increase their risk of failure, but organizational vari-
ation in these factors is rarely measured directly. Yet,
newly founded organizations display considerable
variation in their access to resources and stable rela-
tionships. Among US biotechnology firms, for
example, Barley et al. (1992) showed that startups
exhibited greater variability in alliances than estab-
lished firms, and Kogut et al. (1993) showed that
Ecological Approaches to Organizations
67
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startups were more likely to develop alliances than
incumbents. To date, only a few studies other than
Hendersons (1999) have explored the potential for
variation in liability of newness and smallness
effects. Singh et al. (1986b) found that external
legitimacy – measured as inclusion in community
directories or charitable registration – decreased the
liability of newness among voluntary social service
organizations. Reinforcing and extending these
results, Baum and Oliver (1991) showed that insti-
tutional linkages with municipal government and
community agencies moderated both liabilities of
newness and smallness for day care centres and
nursery schools. These studies, along with
Hendersons, support the idea that the liability of
newness is attributable to the absence of stable rela-
tionships to important institutional actors and
suggest that if young organizations obtain early
legitimacy and access to resources through the
formation of institutional attachments to commu-
nity and public constituents, a liability of newness
may not be observed.
A further benefit of taking this approach is that
liabilities of newness, adolescence and obsolescence
can be treated as complementary rather than as com-
peting organizational processes. Thus, although we
still know very little about how ageing affects orga-
nizational failure, or the conditions under which
one, the other or some combination of these models
will predominate, several recent studies offer
promise for future progress.
Structural Inertia Theory
Structural inertia theory depicts organizations as
relatively inert entities for which adaptive response
is not only difficult and infrequent, but hazardous as
well. Consequently, change in individual organiza-
tions is viewed as contributing considerably less to
population-level change than organizational found-
ing and failure. Given the centrality of this theore-
tical position to ecological approaches, it is not
surprising that organizational ecologists have
amassed a wealth of studies on the influence of
organizational and environmental factors on rates
of organizational change, as well as the survival
consequences of different kinds of changes.
Organization theory focuses frequently on the
relative advantages of alternative configurations of
organizational features. Consequently, a great deal of
research on organizational change has concentrated
on the content of organizational change: A change to
a more advantageous configuration is considered
as adaptive, while a switch to a less advantageous
configuration is considered detrimental (Miller and
Friesen 1980; Amburgey et al. 1993). Complement-
ing this focus, Hannan and Freemans (1984) struc-
tural inertia theory offers a model of the process of
organizational change that considers both internal
and external constraints on change. Structural iner-
tia theory addresses two main questions: (1) How
changeable are organizations? and (2) is change
beneficial for organizations? Figure 1 summarizes
structural inertia theory.
How Changeable are
Organizations?
Hannan and Freeman (1977) pointed out that orga-
nizations face both internal and external constraints
on their capacity for change and that, given these
constraints, selection processes are important to
explaining change in organizational populations.
Building on this idea, Hannan and Freeman (1984)
adopt a somewhat different approach that takes
seriously the potential for organizational change by
viewing inertia as a consequence of rather than
antecedent to selection processes. Although some
kinds of organizational changes occur frequently in
organizations and sometimes these can even be rad-
ical changes, the nature of selection processes is
such that organizations with inert features are more
likely to survive (Hannan and Freeman 1984: 149).
The structure in structural inertia theory refers to
some, but not all, features of organizations. Hannan
and Freeman (1984: 156) emphasize core features of
organizations, which are related to ‘… the claims
used to mobilize resources for beginning an organi-
zation and the strategies and structures used to
maintain flows of scarce resources’. Core features
include, the goals, forms of authority, core technology
and market strategy of organizations. Peripheral
features protect an organizations core from uncer-
tainty by buffering it and by broadening the organi-
zation’s connections to its environment. Peripheral
features include number and size of subunits, number
of hierarchical levels, spans of control, communica-
tion patterns and buffering mechanisms.
Hannan and Freeman (1984: 156) argue that core
features have higher levels of inertia than peripheral
features. Thus, in comparison to the probability of
change in peripheral features, the probability of
Handbook of Organization Studies
68
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 68
change in core features is very low (p. 157).
However, they do not claim that organizations never
change. Instead, they define inertia relative to envi-
ronmental change: ‘Structures of organizations have
high inertia when the speed of reorganization
[change in core features] is much lower than the
rate at which environmental conditions change
(Hannan and Freeman 1984: 151). This formulation
poses some rather difficult measurement problems –
how can rates of organizational and environmental
change be matched? Consequently, most studies
reviewed here examine absolute rates of organiza-
tional change and report tests of structural inertia
theory, but not relative inertia theory (an exception
is Ruef 1997).
In addition to varying by facet of organizational
structure, Hannan and Freeman (1984) also pro-
pose that inertial pressures vary with organizational
age and size. Because older organizations have had
time to more thoroughly formalize internal rela-
tionships, standardize routines and institutionalize
leadership and power distributions, as well as
develop rich networks of dependencies and
commitments with other social actors, reproducibil-
ity of structure and inertia should increase with age
(Hannan and Freeman 1977; Pfeffer and Salancik
1978; Nelson and Winter 1982; Granovetter 1985;
Aldrich and Auster 1986). Thus, older organizations
should be most limited in their ability to adapt to
changing environmental demands, and so the prob-
ability of attempting change in core features to
decline with age (Hannan and Freeman 1984: 157).
Organizational size is also associated with resistance
to change. As organizations increase in size, they
emphasize predictability, formalized roles and con-
trol systems and organizational behaviour becomes
predictable, rigid and inflexible, increasing the level
of structural inertia (Downs 1967; Aldrich and
Auster 1986). Moreover, by buffering organizations
from failure, large size may reduce the impetus
for change (Levinthal 1994; Barnett 1997).
Consequently, the probability of attempting change
in core features declines with size (Hannan and
Freeman 1984: 159).
Ecological Approaches to Organizations
69
(+)
(+)
(+)
(+)
(+)
(+)(+)
()
(+)
(+)
(+)
()
()
(+)/()
Institutionalization
Reproducible
Structure
Standardized
Routines
Organizational
Age
Organizational
Size
Core Change
Attempt
Momentum
Failure
Inertia
Figure 2.1 Structural Inertia Theory (Adapted from Kell & Amburgey 1991: 593)
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 69
Age and Size Dependence in
Rates of Organizational Change
Tests of age and size dependence in rates of organi-
zational change, presented in Table 3, are mixed
and, overall, appear to offer little support for struc-
tural inertia theory’s predictions. In their 1990
review, Singh and Lumsden used Hannan and
Freemans (1984) core-periphery distinction to
interpret the mixed findings available to them. They
speculated that rates of core feature change decrease
with age, while rates of peripheral feature change
increase with age. Does this distinction help account
for the mixed age (and size) dependence findings
available now? It appears not. For example, diversi-
fication – the development of new products or ser-
vices, often for new clients and frequently requiring
implementation of new administrative, production
or distribution technologies – is one core change
studied across multiple populations. Inspection of
Table 3 reveals little evidence that diversification is
related negatively to either age or size. What might
account for the findings? Below, we examine several
possibilities.
Fluidity of Age and Size
In contrast to structural inertia arguments, some
theoretical views suggest that organizations become
more fluid with age (Singh et al. 1988). Although
selection processes favour organizations that are fit
with their environment, the match between organiza-
tions and their environments is constantly eroding as
managerial bounded rationality, informational con-
straints and inertial pressures prevent organizations
from keeping pace with constantly changing environ-
ments. Thus, ‘… through a cumulative history of
having been alive, the stresses and strains of living
through multiple environmental changes cumulate
in organizations, increasing the pressure on organiza-
tions to change (Singh et al. 1988: 6). This implies a
discontinuous rather than incremental pattern of
organizational change (Miller and Friesen 1980;
Tushman and Romanelli 1985).
Some theoretical views also support the idea that
larger organizations are more fluid. Internal com-
plexity, differentiation, specialization and decentral-
ization, all features of large organizations, have each
been associated with the adoption of innovations
(Haveman 1993a). The slack resources available to
larger organizations may both enable them to initi-
ate change in response to environmental change
(Cyert and March 1963; Thompson 1967). Greater
size relative to other actors also increases market
power, lowering barriers to entry stemming from
scale economies (Bain 1956; Scherer and Ross 1990)
and reducing external political considerations
(Pfeffer and Salancik 1978; Aldrich and Auster
1986).
Age and size estimates in Table 3 support fluidity
and inertia predictions with approximately equal
frequency. Although Singh et al.s (1988) original
study did not include left-censored organizations,
many subsequent studies that find evidence of
fluidity did. Because left-censored organizations,
founded before the observation period begins, are
not observed when they are youngest and smallest,
including these organizations in analyses without
appropriate corrections, can lead to an under-
estimation of rates of change at younger ages and
smaller sizes (Guo 1993). Moreover, if large organi-
zations are buffered by their resources from the risks
of change (Hannan and Freeman 1989), support for
the fluidity of size may reflect sample selection bias
resulting from right censoring: Small organizations
are not observed responding to changing environ-
ments because they fail prior to the realization of
such efforts. Once again, sample selection problems
may account, in part, for the mixed findings.
Repetitive Momentum
Although Hannan and Freeman (1984) do not
include prior changes in their theoretical model,
Amburgey and colleagues (Amburgey and Kelly
1985; Kelly and Amburgey 1991; Amburgey and
Miner 1992; Amburgey et al. 1993) suggest that a
complete understanding of organizational change
requires consideration of an organizations history of
change. From an organizational learning perspec-
tive, making a change furnishes an organization
with the opportunity to routinize the change
(Nelson and Winter 1982; Levitt and March 1988).
Each time an organization engages in a particular
kind of change, it increases its competency at that
change. The more experienced an organization
becomes with a particular change, the more likely it
is to repeat the change. If a particular change
becomes causally linked with success in the minds
of organizational decision-makers – irrespective of
whether such a link actually exists – reinforcement
effects will make repetition even more likely. Thus,
once change is initiated, the change process itself
may become routinized and subject to inertial
Handbook of Organization Studies
70
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Table 3 Rate of organizational change studies, 1985–2003
Population Type of change Age
a
Size # Prior Dynamic Reference
US Business Periodicals, 1774–1865 Ownership 0 + na Amburgey and Kelly (1985)
Editor 0 + na
Name 00 na
Layout 0 + na
Content 0 0 0 na
Voluntary Social Service Organizations, 1970–1982 Name ++ na na Singh et al. (1988; 1991);
Tucker et al. (1990a, b)
Sponsor 0 0 na na
Location + 0na na
Service area + 0na na
Goals + 0na na
Client groups 0 0 na na
Service conditions 0 0 na na
Chief executive ++ na na
Structure + 0na na
Silicon Valley Semiconductor Producers
b
Change in initial strategy + na na na Boeker (1989)
US Medical Diagnostic Imaging Firms, 1959–1988 Entry to emerging subfield na 0 na na Mitchell (1989)
Toronto Day Care Centres, 1971–1987 Specialist to generalist +− na na Baum (1990a)
Generalist to specialist +/ 0na na
US Health Maintenance Organizations
b
For-profit to non-profit + 0 na na Ginsberg and Buchholtz (1990)
US Airlines, 1962–1985 Business-level specialism 0 + na Kelly and Amburgey (1991;
see also, Kelly 1988)
Business-level generalism 0 −+ na
Corporate-level specialism 0 0 + na
Corporate-level generalism 0 −+ na
Edmonton Gasoline Stations, 1959–1988 Domain enlargement 0 na na 0 Usher (1991); Usher and
Evans (1996)
Domain contraction 0 na na +
Niche migration +/ na na na
California Wineries, 1946–1984 Brand portfolio 0 −+ Delacroix and
Swaminathan (1991)
Product line 0 0 0 0
Land ownership status 0 0 + 0
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 71
Table 3 (
Continued
)
Population Type of change Age
a
Size # Prior Dynamic Reference
Fortune
500 Companies, 1949–1977 Product-extension mergers na −+na Amburgey and Miner (1992);
Amburgey and Dacin (1994)
Conglomerate mergers na 0 + na
Horizontal mergers na 0 + na
Vertical integration na 0 + na
Product market diversification na 0 0
Structural decentralization na 0
Finnish Newspapers, 1771–1963 Content na +− Amburgey et al. (1993);
Miner et al. (1990)
Publication frequency na +−
State Bar Associations, 1918–1950 Unification attempt −− na na Halliday et al. (1993)
US Private Liberal Arts Colleges, 1972–1986 Change to coed + 0 na na Zajac and Kraatz (1993)
Add graduate programme −+ na na
Add business programme 0 + na na
US Bank Holding Companies, 1956–1988 Related acquisition na +− Ginsberg and Baum (1994)
Unrelated acquisition 0 na + 0
California S&Ls, 1977–1987 Real estate (entry rates) 0 + na na Haveman (1994; see also,
Haveman 1992; 1993a, b)
Non-residential mortgages 0 0 na na
Mortgage-backed securities 0 0 na na
Consumer lending 0 0 na na
Commercial lending 0 0 na na
Service companies + 0nana
US Trade Associations, 1900–1980 Change in organizing 0/0 0 na na Aldrich et al. (1994)
domain or goals
US Airlines, 1979–1986 Tactical competitive actions 0 0 + na Miller and Chen (1994)
Strategic competitive actions 0 + 0na
US Radio Stations, 1984–1993 Abandon format na na na Greve (1995)
Abandon format and re-enter na 0 na na
US Airlines, 1985–1986 Propensity for action na na na Chen and Hambrick (1995)
Action execution speed na na na
Action visibility na + na na
Responsiveness na + na na
Response announcement speed na 0 na na
(Continued)
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 72
Table 3 (
Continued
)
Population Type of change Age
a
Size # Prior Dynamic Reference
Response execution speed na + na na
Response visibility na na na
Toronto Day Care Centres, 1971–1989 Market entry +− + Baum and Singh (1996)
Market exit 0 0 0 0
California Airlines, 1979–1984 Route entry +− na na Baum and Korn (1996)
Route exit −+ na na
US Radio Stations, 1984–1992 Innovative changes na 0 0 0 Greve (1996; 1998);
Greve and Taylor (2000)
Format changes na 00
Satellite entry na 0 ++
Production changes na 0 0 0
California Hospitals, 1980–1990 Market change ++na na Ruef (1997)
US Semiconductor Producers, 1978–1992 Change in diversification 0 + na na Boeker (1997)
US Liberal Arts Colleges, 1971–1986 Adoption of new professional 0 + na na Kraatz (1998)
programme
Russian Construction Companies, 1989–1993 Spin-off of state-owned units na na + na Suhomlinova (1999)
into independent companies
US Voluntary Associations, 1955–1986 Protest to advocacy 0 0 + 0 Minkoff (1999)
Advocacy to protest 0 0 + 0
Advocacy to service ++ +
Service to advocacy ++ +
US Rural Hospitals, 1984–1991 Change in provided services 0 na na D’Aunno et al. (2000)
Ontario Nursing Homes, 1971–1996 Acquisition na na na + Baum et al. (2000)
California Hospitals, 1978–1991 Domain enlargement 0 + na na Haveman et al. (2001)
CEO +− na na
500 Public US Corporations, 1963–1968 Diversifying acquisitions na ++na Palmer and Barber (2001)
Largest Dutch Firms, 1966–1994 Acquisition na + na na Vermeulen and Barkema
(2001)
French Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Change in niche width 0 0 + na Dobrev et al. (2001)
German Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Change in niche width 0 0 + na
British Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Change in niche width ++ +na
US Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Change in niche width −+ +na Dobrev et al. (2003)
a
X/Y gives the signs of significant (
p
< 0.05) linear and squared terms, respectively, when estimated.
b
Observation period dates not given.
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 73
forces. This creates repetitive momentum, that is the
tendency to maintain direction and emphasis of
prior actions in current behaviour (Miller and
Friesen 1980). Experience with change of a particu-
lar type is thus predicted to increase the likelihood
that the change will be repeated in the future
(Amburgey and Miner 1992).
To reconcile the idea that organizational change is
propelled by repetitive momentum with evidence
that organizations move from periods of change to
periods of stability (e.g. Miller and Friesen 1980;
Tushman and Romanelli 1985), Amburgey et al.
(1993) advance a dynamic effect of prior change.
Since organizational search processes begin with
recently utilized routines (Cyert and March 1963),
the likelihood of repeating a particular change should
be highest immediately after its occurrence, but
decline as time since the change was last made
increases. Combined, the main and dynamic effects
of prior change imply that the likelihood of repeating
a particular change jumps immediately after a change
of that type, the size of the jump increasing after each
additional change, but declines with increases in the
time since that type of change last occurred.
Support for repetitive momentum in organiza-
tional change is strong: Among the estimates in
Table 3, rates of change increase with the number of
prior changes of the same type in 29 of 40 empirical
tests. Estimates for the dynamic effect are weak,
however, with only seven of 22 tests supporting this
idea. Notably, studies that control for one or both
prior change effects account for most of the support
for age-dependent structural inertia – eight of 12
negative age coefficients occur in these studies.
Support for fluidity of ageing may thus reflect a
specification bias: Older organizations may be more
likely to change not because they are older, but
because they have accumulated experience with
change that is not accounted for. Overall, these find-
ings suggest strongly the merit of a broader view of
inertial forces in organizations – one that includes
momentum in the change process as well as inertia.
Although addressing left-censoring, right-censoring
and specification, bias issues can improve our
understanding of organization-level change proces-
ses incrementally, larger gains may be made by test-
ing the underlying arguments directly. Because, as
noted earlier, age and size coefficients reveal little
about the underlying organizational processes of
interest, we still know very little about how age and
size affect rates of change, or the conditions under
which fluidity, inertia or momentum will predomi-
nate. To learn what is really going on, studies using
more direct measures of the underlying organiza-
tional processes are needed. Fluidity and inertia
arguments are not necessarily competing. Indeed,
fluidity of ageing arguments rely on inertia to create
a gap between organizations and environments.
They may thus be complementary ideas, and the
underlying relationships they predict potentially
operate simultaneously.
Is Change Beneficial?
Perhaps the most striking aspect of structural
inertia theory is the relationship hypothesized
between change in core features and the liability of
newness (Stinchcombe 1965). Hannan and Freeman
(1984: 160) propose that attempting core change
produces a renewed liability of newness by robbing
an organizations history of survival value. Attempt-
ing change in core features lowers an organizations
performance reliability and accountability back to
that of a new organization by destroying or render-
ing obsolete established roles and routines, and by
disrupting relations with important external actors.
Attempting core change may also undermine an
organizations acquired legitimacy by modifying its
visible mission. Since stakeholders favour organiza-
tions that exhibit reliable performance and account-
ability for their actions, Hannan and Freeman
(1984: 160) conclude that, frequently, attempts to
change core features to promote survival – even
those that might ultimately reduce the risk of failure
by better aligning the organization with its environ-
ment – expose organizations to an increased short-
run risk of failure. Thus, structural inertia theory
predicts that organizations may often fail precisely
as a result of their attempts to survive.
In addition to their effects on reproducibility and
inertia, organizational age and size also both affect
the likelihood of surviving the short-run shock of a
core change attempt. Because their internal struc-
tures and routines are more institutionalized and
their external linkages are more established, older
organizations are particularly likely to experience
disruption as a result of core change (Hannan and
Freeman 1984: 157). In contrast, larger organiza-
tions, although less likely to attempt core changes
in the first place, are less likely to die during a
core change attempt (p. 159). Large size can buffer
organizations from the disruptive effects of core
Handbook of Organization Studies
74
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 74
change by, for example, helping to maintain both
old and new ways of doing things during the transi-
tion period or to overcome short-term deprivations
and competitive challenges that accompany the
change attempt.
If an organization manages to survive the short-
run shock of a core change, Hannan and Freeman
(1984: 161) predict the risk of failure to decline over
time as performance reliability is re-established,
external relationships are restabilized and organiza-
tional legitimacy is reaffirmed. The rate of decline in
the failure rate after a core change is not specified by
the structural inertia model, however. If the rate of
decline in the failure rate continues at the same rate
as before the change, the organization will face the
short-term risk of change without any long-term
benefit. If the rate of decline is slower than before, the
organization will increase both its short- and long-
term risk of failure. If, however, the rate of decline is
faster than before the change, the organization will
benefit in the long-run from taking on the short-term
risks of change. Thus, although structural inertia
theory views core change as disruptive in the short-
run, it may, ultimately, be adaptive in the long-run if
the organization manages to overcome the hazards
associated with the initial disruption.
Thus, structural inertia theory frames the ques-
tion of whether organizational change occurs at the
population level (through founding and failure) or
at the level of individual organizations as an issue of
the rate of change of organizations relative to the
rate of change in the environment. Organizations
may be unable to respond to environmental change
either because they are unwilling or unable to
change or because they fail prior to the realization of
their change efforts.
Organizational Change
and Failure
Table 4 presents findings for studies examining the
survival consequences of organizational change. As
the table shows, organizations in the study popula-
tions do not necessarily fail as a result of their efforts
to change – but they do not necessarily improve their
organizational survival chances either. Do organiza-
tions operate in a world so uncertain that adaptive
efforts turn out to be essentially random with respect
to future value (Hannan and Freeman 1984: 150)?
Thirteen of the studies in Table 4 separate the short-
and long-run effects of change, but only six of these
also test for age variation, one for size variation and
one for both age and size variation in the disruptive
effects of change. Thus, despite the relatively large
number of studies, any conclusions drawn at this
point would be premature.
In addition to the need for future research on the
adaptiveness of organizational change that specifies
structural inertia theory predictions fully, future
research may also benefit by considering several
additional issues.
Left-censored organizations, founded before the
start of the observation period, are not observed
when they are youngest and smallest and, according
to structural inertia theory, when they are both most
likely to change and most vulnerable to the hazards of
change. Including these organizations in the analysis
can lead to under-estimation of the overall hazard of
change as well as variation in the hazard for organi-
zations of different ages and sizes. Moreover, if core
organizational change is as perilous in the short-term
as structural inertia arguments assert, unless data are
fine-grained, core changes may frequently not be
observed, because these deadliest of changes will
not be detected in the yearly data typically available.
This right censoring problem lowers estimates of the
hazardousness of change because the most hazardous
changes are not included in the analysis.
Although poor and superior performing organi-
zations are likely to experience different risks of
failure as well as rates and kinds of change (e.g.
Hambrick and D’Aveni 1988; Haveman 1992;
1993a, b; 1994; Greve 1998), ecological analyses
of the effects of organizational change on failure do
not typically include measures of ongoing organiza-
tional performance (Haveman et al. 2001). This
results in two potential problems. First, cause and
effect logic is blurred because some changes or types
of change are symptoms of organizational decline
rather than causes of organizational death. Secon-
dly, model estimates are prone to specification bias:
If rates of organizational change and failure are both
influenced by recent performance, a spurious rela-
tionship between change and failure will be
observed if prior performance is not controlled.
Although organization-specific indicators of per-
formance are difficult to obtain for entire popula-
tions over time, one option is to use organizational
growth and decline as a proxy performance measure
(Baum 1990a; Scott 1992: 342–62; Haveman 1993c;
Baum and Singh 1996). Others include focusing on
shorter time periods of interest (Haveman et al.
Ecological Approaches to Organizations
75
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Table 4 Organizational change and failure studies, 1984–2003
Population Type of change Change* Dynamic x Age x Size Reference
US Newspapers, 1800–1975 Editor + 0 na na Carroll (1984b)
US Business Periodicals, 1774–1865 Ownership + na na na Amburgey and Kelly (1985)
Editor 0 na na na
Name 0 na na na
Layout 0 na na na
Content 0 na na na
Voluntary Social Service Organizations, 1970–1982 Sponsor + na na na Singh et al. (1986a)
Location na na na
Service area + na na na
Goals 0 na na na
Client groups + na na na
Chief executive na na na
Structure 0 na na na
US Airlines, 1962–1985 Business-level 0 na na na Kelly and Amburgey (1991;
specialism see also Kelly 1988)
Business-level 0 na na na
generalism
Corporate-level 0 na na na
specialism
Corporate-level 0 na na na
generalism
Peripheral change 0 na na na
Edmonton Gasoline Stations, 1959–1988 Domain enlargement 0 + na na Usher (1991); Usher
or contraction and Evans (1996)
California Wineries, 1946–1984 Brand portfolio 0 0 na na Delacroix and Swaminathan
increase (1991; see also Swaminathan
and Delacroix 1991)
Brand portfolio decrease 0 0 na na
Product line increase 0nana
Product line decrease 0 0 na na
Land acquisition 0nana
Land divestment 0 0 na na
Finnish Newspapers, 1774–1963 Content +−+na Amburgey et al. (1990; 1993)
Frequency +−+na
Layout 0 −+na
Location 0 −+na
Name +−+na
California S&Ls, 1977–1987 Residential mortgages na na na Haveman (1992)
Real estate (+ invest) 0 na na na
(Continued)
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 76
Table 4 (
Continued
)
Population Type of change Change* Dynamic x Age x Size Reference
Non-residential mortgages na na na
Mortgage-backed securities 0 na na na
Cash and investment securities na na na
Consumer lending 0 na na na
Commercial lending 0 na na na
Service companies 0 na na na
Iowa Telephone Companies, 1900–1917 Presidential succession +−0 na Haveman (1993c)
Managerial succession +−0na
US Medical Diagnostic Imaging Expand and survive in + na na na Mitchell and Singh (1993)
Firms, 1954–1989 new subfield new subfield
Expand and exit subfield na na na
Toronto Day Care Centres, 1971–1989 Market entry 0 0 −+Baum and Singh (1996)
Market exit +−+
US Liberal Arts Colleges, 1971–1986 Addition of a new 0 na na na Kraatz and Zajak (1996)
programme
California Hospitals, 1980–1990 Market change + na na na Ruef (1997)
US Voluntary Associations, 1955–1986 Protest to advocacy 0 na na na Minkoff (1999)
Advocacy to protest 0 na na na
Advocacy to service + 0nana
Service to advocacy + 0nana
US Computer Manufacturers, 1975–1992 Change from proprietary −+na na Henderson (1999)
to standards strategy
US Bicycle Industry, 1880–1916 New product introduction + 0 0 na Dowell and Swaminathan (2000)
French Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Niche expansion 0 0 0 na Dobrev et al. (2001)
Niche contraction 0 0 0 na
Change in relative market position 0 0 na na
Change in absolute market position + 00na
German Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Niche expansion 0 0 0 na
Niche contraction 0 0 0 na
Change in relative market position 0nana
Change in absolute market position + 00na
British Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Niche expansion 00na
Niche contraction 00na
Change in relative market position 0 0 na na
Change in absolute market position + 00na
US Auto Manufacturers, 1885–1981 Change in niche width 0na Dobrev et al. (2003)
* X gives the signs of significant (
p
< 0.05) coefficients.
Clegg (New)-3384-Ch-02.qxd 1/30/2006 6:35 PM Page 77
2001) or modelling the effects of organizational
change directly on observable performance indica-
tors such as market share (Greve 1998; 1999).
A closely related issue is that all organizations are
assumed to be equally susceptible to the effects of
change on failure. Hannan and Freeman (1984)
have identified age and size as factors that alter the
exposure of organizations to the liabilities of change.
However, as noted above, to date, few studies have
accounted for this variability (see Table 4). Institu-
tional linkages (i.e. ties to important state and com-
munity institutions) may also provide a buffer
against change by conferring resources and legiti-
macy on organizations (Miner et al. 1990; Baum
and Oliver 1991; Baum and Mezias 1993). Like
unmeasured performance, unmeasured variation in
organizational susceptibility to the risks of change
can bias in model estimates.
A final issue is that, although researchers do dif-
ferentiate broad categories of changes, variation in
the ecological consequences of the changes is not
considered; rather, all instances of a particular cate-
gory of change are considered equivalent. For many
kinds of change, however, there may be significant
within-type differences with substantial survival
implications. One such difference is within-type
variation in the effect of changes on the intensity of
competition. For example, depending on how an
organizations specific actions alter the size of its
domain relative to the number of organizations
competing over its domain, the organization’s diver-
sification activities can increase, decrease or leave
unchanged the intensity of competition the organi-
zation faces. Baum and Singh (1996), for example,
found that the effects of market domain changes
(both expansion and contraction) on the failure rate
in a population of day care centres depended on
how the changes affected the intensity of competi-
tion: Changes that lowered the intensity of compe-
tition improved organizational survival chances,
while those that increased the intensity of competi-
tion lowered survival chances. Such within-type
variation may help account for some earlier mixed
results in studies examining the adaptive conse-
quences of organizational change.
Reconciling Adaptation and
Selection
Although adaptationist and ecological views are fre-
quently presented as mutually exclusive alternatives
with very different implications for organization
studies, these views are not fundamentally incom-
patible. While ecological theory emphasizes the
predominance of selection over adaptation, the
complementarity of adaptive and ecological effects
is clearly reflected in the research reviewed here.
Research in Tables 3 and 4 does not support strong
ecological arguments: organizations appear to
change frequently in response to environmental
changes, and often without any harmful effects.
Moreover, rates of change are often not constrained
by age and size as predicted by structural inertia
theory.
At the same time, however, in contrast to a strong
adaptation view, survival consequences of change
appear more consistent with random groping or imi-
tation than calculated strategic action (Delacroix and
Swaminathan 1991; Baum and Singh 1996; Ruef 1997;
Baum and Korn 1999; Dobrev et al. 2001). In his study
of California hospitals, for example, Ruef (1997)
found little correspondence between organizational
change and ecological conditions. Hospitals did not
experience improved fitness as a result of their own
adaptive efforts, but rather as a result of their with-
drawal from unsuitable market niches, wariness of
competitors to enter incumbents markets and ecolog-
ical drift associated with competitors’ differentiation
strategies. Consequently, while studies provide clear
evidence of organizations’ adaptive potential, they
offer little systematic support for a belief in the funda-
mental adaptability of organizations.
Taken together, empirical evidence indicates
that the evolution of organizational populations
is shaped jointly by processes of selection and
adaptation and their interaction: Because organiza-
tional change can affect organizational failure, the
population-level result of combined adaptation and
selection is not the simple aggregate of each process
separately.
One interpretation for the absence of systematic
effects of organizational change on survival chances
may be anchored in the bounded rationality of
decision-makers in organizations (March and Simon
1958). Consider, for example, the case of market
niche change, one of the most frequently studied
organizational changes (see Table 4). It seems plau-
sible that decision-makers are more knowledgeable
about the environment they face in their current
market niches from past experience than they are
about the environments of other markets. And
expanding their markets would expose them to a
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78
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different environment. Thus, intentionally rational
expansions into new markets may sometimes have
the surprising consequence of exposing the organi-
zation to unanticipated environmental conditions
(e.g. greater competition). Of course, at other times,
expansion into new markets may prove beneficial ex
post. However, on average, there would be no effect.
The problem for organizations, then, is not that
adaptive changes are impossible (or even rare), it is
that organizational decision-makers are not, on
average, able to distinguish between beneficial and
detrimental organizational changes in advance. This
suggests that organizations more experienced with a
particular kind of change may be more likely to
benefit from it.
Another explanation is that non-bureaucratic
organizations make most of the changes (Baum and
Singh 1996). In the realm of adaptiveness, the
absence of bureaucracy can be viewed as both an
advantage (change is relatively easy) and a disad-
vantage (the ability to collect information on the
environment is weak). The combination of reduced
information gathering ability with a relatively
organic organizational structure could account for
our findings – a good deal of change, but not sys-
tematically effective change. Contained in this inter-
pretation is a paradox: Organizations that can
collect a lot of information often have organiza-
tional structures that are difficult to change, while
those that can change the fastest often have trouble
collecting relevant information to guide changes.
Thus, although simplicity might lead one to expect
organizations to possess a high potential for devel-
oping adaptive actions, in fact, it may lead them
only to be active. More generally, whether changes
in response to environments have adaptive conse-
quences may depend upon the nature of learning
processes in organizations (Levinthal 1991b).
Organizational Learning
Complementing the growing interest in organiza-
tional change and its consequences is an emerging
stream of ecological research that explores the
effects of organizations’ experiential learning on
their survival chances. Experience is one of the fun-
damental mechanisms facilitating organizational
learning (Cyert and March 1963; Huber 1991).
Organizations adjust their behaviour based on their
goals and past performance. Such ‘learning
by doing’ is widely held to be a critical source of
organizational knowledge, capabilities and improved
organizational performance (Argote et al. 1990). In
addition to advancing our understanding of how
experiential processes shape organizational survival,
this research contributes to an answer to the ques-
tion of how ageing influences organizational failure
by modelling more directly experiential learning
constructs invoked by the liability of newness and
ageing hypotheses.
Organizations Operating and
Competitive Experience
Organizations’ learning from their operating expe-
rience has been advanced as a source of production
efficiencies and through improved efficiency, a
source of sustainable competitive advantage (Yelle
1979; Argote 1999). There is substantial evidence
that organizations become more efficient at doing
something by repeatedly doing it. The learning
curve for operations has been demonstrated in
many manufacturing (Yelle 1979) and service orga-
nizations (Darr et al. 1995). Although learning
theorists recognize that experience may ultimately
influence organizational failure (e.g. Huber 1991),
the existing empirical literature typically uses effi-
ciency as the dependent variable (Yelle 1979; Darr
et al. 1995). Efficiency is linked to failure, with more
efficient organizations being less likely to fail, but
care must be taken in relating learning curve
research to organizational failure; operating experi-
ence is not a cure-all for organizations. Learning
from its own experience can constrain an organiza-
tion by leading it into competency traps, where it
focuses on perfecting routines that are ultimately
rendered obsolete by changing environmental
demands (Levinthal and March 1993).
Organizations must allocate energy between the
exploration of new routines and the exploitation of
old ones (March 1991). An organization that
engages in too much exploration will not harvest
the value of its current competencies; one that
engages in too much exploitation can stagnate.
Typically, short run rewards of exploitation drive
out exploration, since each increase in competence
at an activity increases the likelihood of benefiting
from that activity, while returns from exploration
are less certain. Given initial success with a routine,
organizations tend to continue using it because they
know how to, and because it is less risky than
exploring alternatives (Amburgey et al. 1993).
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Consequently, organizational routines tend to be
determined more by initial conditions, experiences
and actions than by information gained from later
learning situations (Stinchcombe 1965; Levitt and
March 1988).
In the face of ambiguity and uncertainty, an
emphasis on exploitation can prevent organizations
from adjusting their routines too quickly in
response to idiosyncratic events and from engaging
in costly explorations (Levinthal 1991b). In the face
of production pressures and the need for reliability
and consistency of action, exploitive learning may
enhance performance by reducing variability in
the quality or efficiency of task performance (Yelle
1979; Hannan and Freeman 1984). Exploitation can
become harmful, however, if the criteria for organi-
zational success and survival change after an organi-
zation has learned. Then the organization may
perform poorly and even fail when doing well what
it learned in the past (Levitt and March 1988).
The notion of a competency trap suggests that
organizations may reduce their exploratory activity
prematurely and, in the case of a changing environ-
ment, not renew exploratory search and learning
activities, despite the fact that new opportunities
and threats are present. In this way, organizations’
experience contributes to the inertia that binds
them to routines of the past, leading them to
employ routines well beyond their point of useful-
ness and ultimately resulting in their failure
(Starbuck 1983; Henderson and Clark 1990; Miller
1990; Baum et al. 1995).
The idea that own experience improves efficiency,
which is strongly supported by empirical evidence,
is not inconsistent with the possibility that, simulta-
neously, overall organizational effectiveness decreases
if the organization does not adjust to new demands
(Baum and Ingram 1998). Based on these argu-
ments, Baum and Ingram (1998) predicted a non-
monotonic effect of an organization’s operating
experience on its failure rate. Initially, the rate of
failure decreases with operating experience as the
organization moves down the learning curve for its
favoured set of routines. Eventually, however, accu-
mulating experience causes the organization to
become less able to adapt and, as the demands of the
environment change, more likely to fail. Supporting
this prediction, they found that the failure rates of
Manhattan hotels first fell and then increased with
increases in their own operating experience, mea-
sured in terms of accumulated room-operating
years, discounted for possible decay in the value of
operating experience over time due to forgetting
and antiquation (Argote et al. 1990).
Ingram and Baum (1997b) replicated this finding
for US hotel chains, where operating experience was
computed as the (discounted) number of hotel-
years a hotel chain had accumulated between the
time it was founded and the current year. Notably,
in neither study did incorporating operating experi-
ence in the empirical model alter the pattern of age
dependence, suggesting that the liability of newness
is due to external endorsement (not internal
routinization), and that the liability of ageing is due
to obsolescence (not senescence). This suggests that
it is organization-environment processes and not
intraorganizational phenomena that account for
liabilities of newness and obsolescence.
Most studies of organizational learning opera-
tionalize organizational experience based on historical
operations, corresponding to operating experience.
When it involves interactions with competitors,
however, experience may also contribute to the
external capability of organizations by helping to
improve their models of markets and competitive
interaction, which contribute critically to effective
strategizing and success. Organizations thus face
both internal and external strategic demands
(Saloner 1994). Operational and competitive organi-
zational experiences correspond, respectively, to the
internal and external differentiation of strategic
demands, and together contribute to satisfying all of
the strategic and competitive demands faced by an
organization. Two recent studies advance measures
of organizations’ competitive experience to test the
idea that organizations become more adept com-
petitors by observing the competitive actions and
outcomes of other organizations.
Barnett et al. (1994) consider the average histori-
cal number of competitors a retail bank has faced in
its past (see also Barnett 1997). They found oppos-
ing effects of competitive experience accumulated
before and after bank deregulation on Illinois
banks’ return on assets. Before deregulation, com-
petitive experience was negatively related to the per-
formance of single unit banks; afterward it was
positively related to single unit banks’ performance.
Performance of multi-unit banks was not affected
by the average historical number of competitors
either before or after deregulation. Barnett et al.
(1994) interpret their findings as suggesting that
simpler organizational forms are more able and
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80
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likely to learn from their competitive experience
than more complex forms.
Elaborating this approach, Barnett and Hansen
(1996) modelled competitive organizational experi-
ence as the aggregate number of years that an orga-
nization had been exposed to competition from
rival organizations. They also differentiate between
an organizations recent and distant competitive
experience, expecting that recent competitive expe-
rience (accumulated within the past 10 years) would
be beneficial, while older competitive experience
would be detrimental (accumulated more than 10
years earlier). Moreover, they consider not only an
organizations own competitive experience, but also
the competitive experience accumulated by its com-
petitors. The latter is a sum of the competitors’
exposure to their own rivals (both recent and dis-
tant). Again using data on Illinois banks, they find
support for their ideas – a bank’s recent competitive
experience reduced its failure rate, while its distant
competitive experience increases it; and, moreover,
a bank’s competitors recent competitive experience
increased the banks failure rate while its competi-
tors distant competitive experience lowered it.
Barnett and Hansen view their results as supporting
the existence of a ‘Red Queen’ effect in which com-
peting organizations search for ways to improve
their performance, increasing their competitive
strength, triggering a further cycle of learning (and
so on), and, as a result, success and survival become
increasingly difficult.
Recent ecological studies of organizational learn-
ing have advanced our understanding of the role of
experiential processes in organizational adaptation
and selection. Experiential learning is a double-edged
sword – it can enhance organizational survival
chances while at the same time hindering adaptation;
it can strengthen competitive abilities while at the
same time making competition harder. To shine
additional light on the complexities and tradeoffs
associated with organizational learning, future
research is needed to refine and link typologies of
organizational learning – exploration vs exploitation,
local vs non-local, recent vs distal, operational vs
competitive – and to identify the types of experiences
that are most likely to trigger learning.
Between-organization differences in learning also
deserve examination. Organizations likely vary in
their capacities for experiential learning, and so,
while organizations with superior capacities can
improve their survival chances, the fates of other
weaker learners may be either unaffected (or even
harmed) by their efforts to learn. Differences in
internal information processing capabilities, for
example, may generate learning advantages (Cyert
et al. 1993). Incorporating heterogeneity in organi-
zational learning into the approaches outlined here
would extend them in an important way.
Ecological Processes
Niche Width Dynamics
Niche width theory (Hannan and Freeman 1977)
focuses on two aspects of environmental variability
to explain differential survival of specialists, which
possess few slack resources and concentrate exploit-
ing a narrow range of customers, and generalists,
which appeal to the mass market and exhibit toler-
ance for more varied environments. Variability
refers to environmental fluctuations about the mean
over time. Grain refers to the patchiness of these
fluctuations with frequent variations termed fine-
grained and periodic termed coarse-grained.
Niche width theory builds on the idea that a spe-
cialist well designed for a particular environmental
condition will always outperform a generalist in that
same condition, because the generalist must carry
extra capacity that sustains its ability to perform in
other environmental conditions. Thus, the specialist
‘maximizes its exploitation of the environment and
accepts the risk of having that environment change
while the generalist ‘accepts a lower level of exploita-
tion in return for greater security’ (Hannan and
Freeman 1977: 948).
Niche width theory predicts that specialists per-
form better in stable or certain environments and
in fine grained environments. In contrast, when
environmental variability is high and coarse
grained, specialists have trouble outlasting the long
unfavourable periods and the generalist strategy
conveys advantage. The key prediction is that, in
fine-grained environments with large magnitude
variations relative to organizational tolerances, spe-
cialists out-compete generalists regardless of envi-
ronmental uncertainty. Specialists ride out the
fluctuations; generalists are unable to respond
quickly enough to operate efficiently. Thus, niche-
width theory challenges the classical contingency
theory prediction that uncertain environments
always favour generalists that spread their risk.
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In contrast to niche width theory, which predicts
that for a given population one optimal strategy
exists, Carroll (1985) proposes that, in environ-
ments characterized by economies of scale, compe-
tition among generalists to occupy the centre of the
market where resources are most abundant frees
peripheral resources that are most likely to be used
by specialists. He refers to the process generating
this outcome as resource partitioning. His model
implies that, in concentrated markets with a few
generalists, specialists can exploit more of the avail-
able resources without engaging in direct competi-
tion with generalists. It also implies that economies
of scale and scope may be sufficiently large that they
overwhelm any costs of sustaining extra capacity to
maintain a broad niche, thus giving advantage to
generalists. Based on these ideas, resource partition-
ing theory yields the novel prediction that increas-
ing market concentration increases the failure rate
of generalists operating in the centre of the market
and lowers the failure rate of specialists operating at
its periphery.
Resource-partitioning theory has been sup-
ported in studies of newspapers (Carroll 1985;
1987; Dobrev 2000; Boone et al. 2002), American
breweries and microbreweries (Carroll and
Swaminathan 1992; 2000), Rural Cooperative Banks
in Italy (Freeman and Lomi 1994), US farm winer-
ies (Swaminathan 1995), Dutch auditing firms
(Boone et al. 2000), US feature film producers and
distributors (Mezias and Mezias 2000) and US and
European automobile producers (Dobrev et al.
2001; 2002). Each of these studies provides at least
partial support for the theory. For example, in a
study of founding rates of specialist farm wineries
over a 50-year period starting shortly after the
end of Prohibition, Swaminathan (1995) found that
farm winery foundings were lower in states with
more generalist mass-production wineries, sug-
gesting localized competition between these two
organizational forms. Consistent with resource par-
titioning theory, however, increasing concentration
of mass-producers increased the farm winery
founding rate.
Although the specialist-generalist distinction is
common in ecological research, tests of niche-width
theory’s predictions are scarce, and studies of
resource-partitioning theory do not typically explic-
itly contrast niche-width and resource-partitioning
predictions. Yet, a tension exists between these two
theories of niche width dynamics. They define
specialism and generalism differently and make
different claims regarding the tradeoff between
organizational fitness and niche width. The theories
also focus on different kinds of niches (Carroll et al.
2002). Niche width theory emphasizes fundamental
niches, that is, the set of environments in which an
organization can survive in the absence of competi-
tion from other entities. Resource partitioning
theory’s focus is on an organizations resource loca-
tion relative to other organizations. As such, it
emphasizes realized niches – the subset of the funda-
mental niche in which an organization can survive
in the presence of competitors. This difference is
important because the absence of overlap between
realized niches takes on a very different meaning
depending on whether or not the underlying funda-
mental niches overlap.
Given these differences, it is an open question
whether the two theories differ fundamentally or
whether they can be integrated into a unified theory.
However, the recent flurry of theoretical efforts
(Hannan et al. 2003a; b), empirical work on
resource partitioning (for a review, see Carroll et al.
2002) and initial efforts to link the two theories
(Dobrev et al. 2001) provide a foundation for a
potential integration that would see niche width
theory’s emphasis on environmental dynamics
joined with resource partitioning’s emphasis on
scale advantages.
Population Dynamics and Density
Dependence
Recent research on founding and failure in organi-
zational ecology has paid considerable attention to
population-level processes of population dynamics,
the number of prior foundings and failures in a
population, and population density, the number of
organizations in a population. Although related,
these perspectives are not identical – population
dynamics focuses on how current founding and fail-
ure rates are more related to changes in density,
while density dependence focuses on levels of den-
sity itself (Tucker et al. 1988).
Density-dependent explanations for founding
and failure are broadly similar, though not identical.
Initial increases in population density can increase
the institutional legitimacy of a population. The
capacity of a population’s members to acquire
resources increases greatly when those controlling
resources take the organizational form for granted.
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However, as a population continues to grow, the
nature of interdependence among a populations
members becomes competitive. When there are few
organizations in a population, competition with
others for scarce common resources can easily be
avoided. However, as the number of potential
competitors grows, avoidance becomes more diffi-
cult. Combined, the mutualistic effects of initial
increases in density and the competitive effects of
further increases suggest curvilinear effects of den-
sity on founding and failure rates in organizational
populations (Hannan and Freeman 1989; Hannan
and Carroll 1992).
Hannan and Freeman (1989), Hannan and Carroll
(1992) and others provide substantial empirical sup-
port for the curvilinear relationships predicted by the
density dependence model in a variety of organiza-
tional populations. By comparison, although often
significant, population dynamics findings are mixed
(for reviews, see Singh and Lumsden 1990; Aldrich
and Wiedenmayer 1993). Moreover, as illustrated in
Table 5, when population dynamics and population
density are modelled together, with few exceptions
(e.g. Tucker et al. 1988; Delacroix et al. 1989), recent
studies find population dynamics effects are generally
weaker and less robust (for a review of earlier work,
see Singh and Lumsden 1990). Even Delacroix and
Carroll’s (1983) original Argentina and Ireland news-
paper population findings do not hold up when
density is introduced in a re-analysis of their data
(Carroll and Hannan 1989b).
There are several possible explanations for the
apparent dominance of density dependence
processes over population dynamics processes. One
is the more systematic character of density relative
to the transitory nature of changes in density that
result from ongoing foundings and failures. A
related explanation is that the effects of foundings
and failures on resource availability are more transi-
tory than the yearly data that is typically available
are able to detect. For example, if foundings and
failures keep pace with each other during a year,
density will remain stable, but population dynamics
will vary throughout the year (Aldrich and
Wiedenmayer 1993). A third explanation is the
much greater sensitivity of estimates for quadratic
specifications of prior foundings and failures to
outliers. This is especially true for prior foundings,
which are usually Poisson distributed (Hannan and
Freeman 1989). These issues need to be researched
more thoroughly before population dynamics
effects are abandoned, which has been the trend in
recent research (e.g. Baum and Mezias 1992; Rao
and Neilsen 1992; Amburgey et al. 1993).
Elaborations of the Density
Dependence Model
Although support for density dependence theory is
quite strong, it has not been without its critics.
Density dependence theory has received some criti-
cal attention for its proposed integration of ecolog-
ical and institutional perspectives (e.g. Zucker 1989;
Delacroix and Rao 1994; Baum and Powell 1995).
Some authors have questioned the implicit assump-
tion that each organization in a population influ-
ences and is influenced by competition equally (e.g.
Singh and Lumsden 1990; Winter 1990; Baum and
Mezias 1992). In a methodological critique, Petersen
and Koput (1991) argue that the negative effect of
initial increases in population density on the failure
rate may result from unobserved heterogeneity in
the population (for a reply on this point, see Hannan
et al. 1991). Singh (1993) observes that some of the
debate about density dependence stems from the
model’s main strength, its generality, which has
been achieved at the expense of precision of mea-
surement and realism of context. Singh (1993: 471)
concludes that ‘we have ample general supportive
evidence for density dependence, we may do well to
sacrifice some generality, provided it moves the
research toward greater precision and realism.
Density effects are clear empirically, but the specific
conditions that generate legitimacy and competi-
tion are more ambiguous – defined by outcomes
rather than by substance. Thus, the precise interpre-
tation of the extensive density dependence findings
needs to be explored further.
Elaborations, respecifications and new measures
have been advanced to address questions raised
by the initial density dependence formulation.
Although Hannan and Carroll (1992: 38–9, 71–4)
have questioned some of these developments, they
appear to hold real promise for improving the pre-
cision and realism of the density dependence model
with respect to both legitimation and competition.
Additionally, the focus of several approaches on
organization-level differences within populations
may provide a bridge between organizational ecolo-
gists and researchers who focus primarily on the
organizational level of analysis. These develop-
ments, summarized in Table 6, are reviewed below.
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Table 5 Population dynamics and density dependence studies, 1986–2003*
Population Found Fail Density Event References
US Labor Unions, 1836–1985 +/ na +/ Founding Hannan (1986); Hannan and Freeman (1989);
Carroll and Hannan (1989a, b);
Carroll and Swaminathan (1991);
Hannan and Carroll (1992)
na 0 /+ Failure
US Brewers, 1633–1988 +/ 0 +/ Founding
+−/+ Failure
San Francisco Newspapers, 1800–1975 0/0 /++/ Founding
0/0 +/−−/+ Failure
Argentina Newspapers, 1800–1900 /+ 0/−+/ Founding
0/0 +/0 /+ Failure
Ireland Newspapers, 1800–1975 +/ 0/0 +/ Founding
0/0 +/−−/+ Failure
Little Rock Newspapers, 1815–1975 0/0 0/++/ Founding
+/ 0/0 0/0 Failure
Springfield Newspapers, 1835–1975 0/+ 0/++/ Founding
0/0 0/0 0/+ Failure
Shreveport Newspapers, 1840–1975 0/0 0/0 +/ Founding
+/0 0/0 0/0 Failure
Elmira Newspapers, 1815–1975 +/0 0/0 +/0 Founding
+/0 0/0 0/0 Failure
Lubbock Newspapers, 1890–1975 0/0 0 0/0 Founding
0/0 0 0/ Failure
Lafayette Newspapers, 1835–1975 na 0 0/0 Founding
0/0 0 0/0 Failure
California Wineries, 1940–1985 −−0/0 Failure Delacroix et al. (1989)
Pennsylvania Telephone Cos., 1879–1934 +−/+ Founding Barnett and Amburgey (1990)
US semiconductor firms /++/ /+ Failure Freeman (1990)
Metro Toronto Day Care Centres, 1971–1989 + 0 +/ Founding Baum and Oliver (1992)
0 −−/+ Failure
US State Life Insurance Cos., 1759–1937 +/ na +/ Founding Ranger-Moore et al. (1991)
Manhattan Banks, 1840–1976 +/0 na +/ Founding Banaszak-Holl (1992; 1993)
NY State Life Insurance Cos., 1842–1904 −−0/+ Founding Budros (1993; 1994)
German Breweries, 1861–1988 /0 na +/ Founding Carroll et al. (1993)
US Trade Associations, 1901–1990 0/0 0/0 +/ Founding Aldrich et al. (1994)
+−/+ Failure
(Continued)
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Table 5 (
Continued
)
Population Found Fail Density Event References
US Medical Equipment Manufacturers, 1950–1990 + na /+ Failure Mitchell (1994)
Manhattan Fax Transmission Cos., 1965–1992 /+ 0 +/ Founding Baum et al. (1995)
Pre-dominant design cohort −−+/0 Failure
Post dominant design cohort /+ 0 +/ Founding
00/+ Failure
All US Immigrant Newspapers, 1877–1914 0 −+/ Founding West (1995)
Polish US Immigrant Newspapers, 1877–1914 −−+/+ Founding
Swedish US Immigrant Newspapers, 1877–1914 0 0 +/ Founding
Italian US Immigrant Newspapers, 1877–1914 0 +/ Founding
Belgian Automobile Manufacturers, 1885–1981 +/0 na +/ Founding Hannan et al. (1995);
Dobrev et al. (2001)
British Automobile Manufacturers, 1885–1981 +/0 na +/ Founding
0na/0 Failure
French Automobile Manufacturers, 1885–1981 +/0 na +/ Founding
0na/+ Failure
German Automobile Manufacturers, 1885–1981 0/0 na +/ Founding
0na0/+ Failure
Italian Automobile Manufacturers, 1885–1981 +/0 na +/ Founding
Niagara Falls Hotels, 1885–1991 + na +/ Founding Ingram and Inman (1996)
na 0/0 /+ Failure
Massachusetts Railroads, 1826–1922 + 0 +/ Founding Dobbin and Dowd (1997)
Finnish Newspapers, 1771–1963 + na +/ Founding Dacin (1997)
New York State Life Insurance Companies, 1813–1985 + na 0/0 Failure Ranger-Moore (1997)
US Breweries, 1845–1918 +−0/ Founding Wade et al. (1998)
+−/+ Failure
Dutch Accounting Firms, 1880–1990 0 + 0 Failure Pennings et al. (1998)
Egyptian Investment Firms, 1974–1989 +/0 0 0 Founding Messalam (1998)
US Computer Manufacturers, 1975–1992 na 0 Failure Henderson (1999)
New York City Credit Unions, 1914–1990 0 na 0/+ Failure Barron (1999)
US Specialist Feature Film Producers, 1912–1929 +/ na /+ Founding Mezias and Mezias (2000)
US Specialist Feature Film Distributors, 1912–1929 0 na /+ Founding
US Wineries, 1941–1990 + na /+ Failure Swaminathan (2001)
Bulgarian Newspapers, 1846–1992 +/ na +/ Founding Dobrev (2001)
Illionois Banks, 1900–1993 −++/ Founding Barnett and Sorenson (2002)
* Includes only analyses that estimate both population dynamics and density dependence effects; many additional studies estimate density dependence effects
alone. X/Y gives the signs of significant (
p
< 0.05) linear and squared terms, respectively.
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Table 6 Elaborations of the density dependence model, 1989–2003
Model Key variables Nature of elaboration References
Institutional processes
Density delay Population density at founding Adds an imprinting effect of density at founding Carroll and Hannan (1989a);
to the original formulation. Helps explain Hannan and Carroll (1992)
the commonly observed decline in population
density in older populations
Institutional Relational density (number of Attempts to explain the legitimation of an Baum and Oliver (1992);
embeddedness linkages between a population organizational form in terms of endorsements Hybels et al. (1994)
and the institutional environment) by powerful actors and organizations
Non-density-based Certification contests and media- Models legitimation effects with non-density- Rao (1994); Hybels (1994);
measures of based content measures based measures of institutionalization Lamertz and Baum (1998);
legitimacy Deeds et al. (2004)
Competitive processes
Level of analysis City density; state density; Attempts to uncover the appropriate level of Carroll and Wade (1991);
regional density; national density analysis to study density-dependent Swaminathan and
(population density at various processes by comparing patterns of density Wiedenmayer (1991);
levels of geographic aggregation) dependence across multiple levels of analysis Hannan et al. (1995)
Localized Size similarity; price similarity; Re-specifies competition effect Hannan et al. (1990);
competition location similarity (population density of population density by allowing more Baum and Mezias (1992);
weighted by the size of differences similar organizations to compete at a greater Ranger-Moore et al. (1995);
in various organizational features) level of intensely Baum and Haveman (1997)
Organizational Overlap density; non-overlap Re-specifies population density by Baum and Singh (1994b, c);
niche overlap density (population density disaggregating it into competitive and Baum and Oliver (1996)
weighted by (non)overlap in mutualistic components using information on
resource needs of organizations) the overlap and non-overlap of resource
requirement of population members
Accounting for concentration
Mass dependence Population mass (population Re-specifies competition effect of population Barnett and Amburgey (1990)
density weighted by density by allowing larger organizations
organizational size) to generate stronger competition. Helps
explain the tendency toward concentration
in organizational populations
(Continued)
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Table 6 (
Continued
)
Model Key variables Nature of elaboration References
Changing basis Population age × population As the basis of competition in a population Baum (1995)
of competition density
2
, population mass, evolves from
r
-selection to
K
-selection to
size similarity and differentiation, the strength of density-
concentration dependent competition declines, and
the strength of mass-dependent,
size-localized and concentration-based
competition increase
Competitive Organizational age × size; Organizations exposed to greater Barnett et al. (1994);
intensity average historical density competition over their lifetimes Barnett (1997)
generate the strongest competition
Coupled clocks Population age × population As a population matures, its density Hannan (1997);
density and density
2
becomes decoupled from legitimacy Hannan et al. (1998a, b);
and competition Dobrev et al. (2001)
Dynamic selection Mean of the log size distribution; As a population’s density approaches its Barron (1999)
organizational size × population carrying capacity, large organizations are
density better able to face the more intense
competition, increasing their survival
chances. The founding rate declines as a
population’s size distribution shifts right
and incumbents establish reputations,
customer loyalties and staff expertise
Scale-based Aggregate distance of an An organization’s competitive (dis) Dobrev and Carroll (2003)
selection organization to all larger advantage is a function of its position in
organizations in the population the size distribution of its population
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Density and Institutional
Processes
Drawing on the neo-institutional literature (Meyer
and Rowan 1977; Zucker 1977; DiMaggio and
Powell 1983), organizational ecologists draw a dis-
tinction between cognitive and sociopolitical legiti-
macy (Aldrich and Fiol 1994). Zucker (1977) treats
institutionalization as a process, emphasizing that
legitimacy is a cognitive phenomenon reflected in
taken-for-granted assumptions. Meyer and Rowan
(1977) and DiMaggio and Powell (1983) stress that
legitimacy is embedded in relational networks and
normative codes of conduct. Thus, they viewed
institutionalization as both a sociopolitical process
through which certain organizational forms come
to be regarded as obligatory, and as a state in which
organizational forms are butressed by legal man-
date or by widely shared cultural, professional and
political norms and values. From a cognitive legit-
imacy perspective, an organizational form is legit-
imated ‘when there is little question in the minds
of actors that it serves as the natural way to effect
some kind of collective action’ (Hannan and
Carroll 1992: 34).
The sociopolitical approach emphasizes how
embeddedness in relational and normative contexts
influences an organizational form’s legitimacy by
signalling its conformity to social and institutional
expectations. Although institutionalists view these
two facets of legitimation as complementary and
fundamentally interrelated, density dependence
theory emphasizes only cognitive legitimacy.
Although cognitive legitimacy may be achieved
without sociopolitical approval, sociopolitical legit-
imacy is considered a vital source of, or impediment
to, cognitive legitimacy. Indeed, since contemporary
organizational populations rarely operate in isola-
tion from the state, the professions and broader
societal influences sociopolitical legitimacy cannot
be ignored (Baum and Oliver 1992; Baum and
Powell 1995).
Hannan and colleagues defend their exclusive
focus on population density with a series of interre-
lated arguments. The first claim is that legitimacy
defies measurement. ‘[R]econstructing the exact
details of changing levels of legitimation … over the
history of any one population demands attention to
all of the unique features of that population
(Hannan and Carroll 1992: 37). Indeed, ‘[a] direct
measure of legitimation as we define it requires
learning what fraction of relevant individuals take a
particular organizational form for granted’
(Hannan and Carroll 1992: 38–9), thus severely lim-
iting the historical scope of analysis. This assertion
leads them to argue ‘… that theories of legitimation
and competition can be studied systematically and
comparatively only by testing their implications for
the relationships between other observables’
(Hannan and Carroll 1992: 39). Consequently, it
makes sense to study variables that can be easily
observed and compared across populations and
over long periods of time, such as density and vital
rates. This indirect measurement approach has gen-
erated criticism because conforming findings can-
not be interpreted precisely; density coefficients
reveal little about the theoretical explanations
designed to account for them (Singh 1993).
Critics question the legitimacy interpretation of
density effects, suggesting that legitimation is
invoked ex-post and that density estimates are
proxies for a wide range of other possible effects. In
her provocative commentary, Zucker (1989) takes
Hannan and colleagues to task for invoking the con-
cept of legitimation ex-post to explain the effects of
density on founding and failure rates, and suggests
that density estimates are proxies for other effects
(see also Petersen and Koput 1991; Miner 1993). She
advocates the use of more direct and precise mea-
sures of the underlying institutional processes.
Building on Zucker’s critique, Baum and Powell
(1995) argue that the point is not that legitimacy
must be measured directly, but rather that it should
be gauged using different observables from organiza-
tional density. Of course, there are sound method-
ological reasons for multiple measures. In their essay,
Delacroix and Rao (1994) provide a more general
critique that suggests that the density-dependence
conception of legitimation bundles together at least
three kinds of externalities – reputational, vicarious
learning, and infrastructural – only one of which is
related to legitimation.
These critiques appear to have led to the density-
as-process argument, in which legitimation is no
longer a variable to be measured, but a process that
relates density to founding and failure. Thus,
Hannan and Carroll (1992: 69) make the strong
claim that ‘growth in density controls … [legitima-
tion] processes – it does not reflect them. These
competing proxy and process views suggest different
effects of adding covariates. According to Hannan
and Carroll (1992: 70–1), if density is an indirect
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88
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indicator, measuring legitimation more directly and
precisely would dampen the first-order effects of
density or lead them to disappear altogether. How-
ever, from the density-as-process view, the inclusion
of such covariates implies a sharpening and strength-
ening of density’s legitimation effects.
Institutional Embeddedness and
Sociopolitical Legitimacy
Baum and Oliver (1992) address exactly this ques-
tion (see also Singh 1993: 471). They argue that an
important limitation of the density dependence
model is that it focuses exclusively on cognitive
legitimacy and interdependencies among organiza-
tions within populations and neglects the evolution
of a populations interdependencies with surround-
ing organizations and institutions. However, where
relations with community and government are
dense, these institutional actors may exert consider-
able influence over the conditions that regulate
competition for scarce resources and legitimacy in
the population. Baum and Oliver (1992) propose
an alternative hypothesis in which legitimation is
explained in terms of the institutional embedded-
ness of a population in its institutional environment
influences the populations sociopolitical legitimacy
by signalling its conformity to social and institu-
tional expectations (Meyer and Rowan 1977;
Aldrich and Fiol 1994). Institutional embeddedness
refers to interconnections between a population and
its institutional environment (DiMaggio and Powell
1983; Fombrun 1986; 1988).
According to institutional theory, conformity to
the norms and social expectations of the institu-
tional environment improves an organizations sur-
vival chances significantly (Meyer and Rowan 1977;
Scott and Meyer 1983; Oliver 1991). When organi-
zations establish ties to reputable societal institu-
tions, they typically obtain benefits that contribute
to their likelihood of survival. These benefits
include greater legitimacy and status (Scott and
Meyer 1983; Singh et al. 1986b; Baum and Oliver
1991), and enhanced resource access and pre-
dictability (Pfeffer and Salancik 1978; Aldrich and
Auster 1986; Miner et al. 1990). Thus, the endorse-
ment of an organization’s practices by a community
or state agency increases the organizations legiti-
macy and enhances the organizations ability to
attract clients and resources (Wiewel and Hunter
1985).
Organizational population growth is typically
accompanied by increasing institutional embedded-
ness (DiMaggio and Powell 1983; Zucker 1989). As
a population grows and its social or public impact
becomes more widely recognized, community advo-
cacy groups, government agencies, professional
associations and other social actors take an increas-
ingly active role in monitoring population
members’ activities, distributing endorsements and
rewards and shaping the rules and standards about
what are legitimate activities and outputs for the
population. Institutional theorists predict that this
increasing interconnectedness between a popula-
tion and its institutional environment enhances the
growth and survival of the population over time
(Scott and Meyer 1983). For example, Meyer and
Rowan (1977: 352) suggest that ‘the long-run sur-
vival prospects of organizations increase as state
structures elaborate and as organizations respond to
institutionalized rules … schools, hospitals and wel-
fare organizations show considerable ability to sur-
vive, precisely because they are … almost absorbed
by their institutional environments’.
Baum and Oliver model institutional embedded-
ness with relational density, defined as the number
of formal relations between the members of a pop-
ulation and key institutions in the populations
environment. Key institutions refer to government
agencies and community organizations in a popula-
tions environment. Although initial estimates in
their study of Metropolitan Toronto day care centres
support the curvilinear density dependence predic-
tions for both founding and failure rates, legitima-
tion effects of initial increases in organizational
density disappear after inclusion of relational den-
sity and the relationship between density and
founding and failure rates became purely competi-
tive. Relational density, in contrast, exhibited either
predicted curvilinear effects or purely mutualistic
effects.
Baum and Oliver thus test the proxy-vs-process
prediction, and their results support the proxy view.
However, as Baum and Oliver (1992: 556) point out,
their results also support ecological explanations of
the underlying institutional processes. Since organi-
zational populations rarely operate in isolation
from state and community institutions, future
research incorporating both population and rela-
tional densities may provide further clarification of
the role of institutional processes in population
dynamics. Baum and Oliver’s findings were
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89
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replicated in Hybels et al.’s (1994) study of founding
of US biotechnology firms in which vertical (input
and output) strategic alliances are used to measure
industry embeddedness in relational and institu-
tional contexts. These studies suggest that the initial
density-as-proxy formulation of legitimacy was
more accurate and, in addition, that organizational
density may be a proxy for relational as well as (or
instead of) cognitive legitimacy.
Non-Density-Based Measures of
Legitimacy
Density dependence theory’s exclusive emphasis on
one facet of legitimation misses its multidimen-
sional nature (Baum and Powell 1995). Researchers
have, however, begun to measure other aspects of
legitimation and examine how diverse social
processes combine with organizational density to
contribute to the legitimacy of organizational
forms, and several promising non-density-based
alternatives to studying legitimation have recently
been examined.
In many industries, special purpose organizations
institute certification contests to evaluate products
or firms and rank-order participants according to
their performance on preset criteria. Certification
contests offer a common social test of products and
organizations that serve as a social diffusion mecha-
nism. Rao (1994) argues that cumulative victories in
such certification contests enhance organizational
reputations in the eyes of risk-averse consumers and
financiers, improving their access to resources and
their survival chances. Moreover, Rao argues that,
by increasing opportunities for certification and dif-
fusing knowledge about organizations and their
products, these contests establish the identity and
legitimacy of a product and its producers, lowering
the risk of producer failure. His analysis of the early
American automobile industry supports these ideas,
demonstrating that winning heavily publicized road
races improved the survival chances of individual
automobile manufacturers and, in addition, that the
cumulative prevalence of contests lowers the aggre-
gate failure rate. In addition to certification contests,
a wide range of accreditation, certification and cre-
dentialing activities signal reliability, raising the
sociopolitical legitimacy of organizational forms, as
well as contributing to their cognitive legitimacy by
spreading knowledge about them (Baum and Powell
1995).
Another basic source of information diffusion
about the activities of an organizational form are
the print media. Detailed archives of media cover-
age exist for many industries and content analyses
of these public records offer a potentially powerful
technique for operationalizing legitimation. Measure-
ment of this kind is used widely in social movement
research (e.g. Olzak 1992; Tilly 1993). Content-
based measures promise high comparability across
settings covered by the business press as well as tem-
poral comparability within a given context. Hybels
(1994) successfully employed media-based mea-
sures of legitimacy in an analysis of US biotechnol-
ogy firm foundings, as have Pollock and Rindova
(2003) and Deeds et al. (2004) in studies of US
biotechnology firm initial public offerings. In a
related study, Lamertz and Baum (1998) used media
accounts to track the legitimation of management
downsizing in Canada.
Density and Competitive
Processes
Density dependence theory assumes that the inten-
sity of competition depends on the number of orga-
nizations in a population. Some researchers,
however, question the assumption implicit in this
approach that all members of a population are
equivalent, with each member assumed to compete
for the same scarce resources and to contribute to
and experience competition equally (e.g. Winter
1990: 286). Although research demonstrates that
this assumption may be a reasonable starting
approximation, theory in organizational ecology
suggests that the intensity of competition between
organizations in a population is largely a function of
their similarity in resource requirements: the more
similar the resource requirements, the greater the
potential for intense competition (e.g. Hannan and
Freeman 1977; 1989; McPherson 1983).
1
1 If all orga-
nizations in a population are not equal competitors,
then population density may not provide the most
precise measure of the competition faced by differ-
ent organizations in a population.
Building on this logic, three elaborations of the
density dependence model – localized competition,
levels of analysis and organizational niche overlap –
that incorporate organizational differences explicitly
to specify competitive processes within organizational
populations more precisely have been advanced.
Each of these refinements to the original model
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enriches the ecological approach to competition by
integrating ideas on population microstructures
into density dependence research.
Localized Competition
Following a long tradition in organizational sociol-
ogy, Hannan and Freeman (1977: 945–6) propose
that organizations of different sizes use different
strategies and structures. And, as a result, they pro-
pose that, although organizations of different sizes
are engaged in similar activities, large and small-sized
organizations depend on different mixes of resources.
This implies that organizations compete most
intensely with similarly-sized organizations. For
example, if large and small organizations depend on
different resources (e.g. large hotels depend on con-
ventions while small hotels depend on individual
travellers), then patterns of resource use will be spe-
cialized to segments of the size distribution.
Consequently, competition between large and small
organizations will be less intense than competition
among large or small organizations. Large organiza-
tions may, however, pose a threat to medium-sized
organizations. Whatever strategy medium-sized
organizations adopt to compete with large organiza-
tions will make them more vulnerable to competition
from small organizations and vice versa. Therefore,
the emergence of large organizations should be
accompanied by a decline in the number of
medium-sized organizations, while small ones flour-
ish as their most intense competitors are removed
from the environment. Thus, size-localized competi-
tion may also play a role in the consolidation of orga-
nizational populations over time.
Although size-localized competition did not
receive empirical attention initially (Hannan et al.
1990), studies of Manhattan banks (Banaszak-Holl
1992), Manhattan hotels (Baum and Mezias 1992),
US health maintenance organizations (Wholey et al.
1992) and Niagara Falls hotels (Ingram and Inman
1996) now provide empirical evidence of that size-
localized competition raises organizational failure
rates. Ranger-Moore et al. (1995) have also demon-
strated that size-localized competition dampens
organizational growth rates in the New York State
life insurance industry. These findings demonstrate
that the intensity of competition faced by organi-
zations in a population depends not only on the
number (i.e. density) of other organizations in the
population, but on their relative sizes as well. Baum
and Mezias (1992) generalize the size-localized
model to other organizational dimensions and show
that, in addition to similar-sized organizations,
competition within a population can be more
intense for organizations that are geographically
proximate and charge similar prices, lowering their
survival prospects. Baum and Haveman (1997)
showed that localized competitive processes also
shape key entrepreneurial decisions at the time of
founding, namely how near new organizations
should locate in product and geographic space to
other firms in their industry.
Future research on localized competition can
offer direct insights into the dynamics of organiza-
tional diversity. Localized competition models
imply a pattern of disruptive or segregating selec-
tion (Baum 1990b; 2006; Amburgey et al. 1994;
Baum and Haveman 1997) in which competition
between like entities for finite resources leads even-
tually to differentiation (see also, Durkheim 1933;
Hawley 1950: 201–3). This mode of selection, which
has not been emphasized in the ecological literature,
tends to increase organizational differentiation by
producing gaps rather than smooth, continuous
variation in the distribution of the members of a
population along some organizational dimension.
Level of Analysis
Recurrent patterns of organizational concentration
in space across different industries and national
contexts suggests that location may be a general
factor shaping the evolution of organizational pop-
ulations. If forces exist that give advantages to orga-
nizations located near other organizations or in
specific geographical areas, then the internal struc-
ture of organizational populations cannot be con-
sidered homogeneous and organizational birth and
death rates will vary systematically across locations.
It is essential, therefore, to select the appropriate
level of analysis to examine the dynamics of popula-
tions, since different levels of spatial aggregation
imply different assumptions about how general
processes of legitimation and competition unfold.
Although density dependence theory assumes
implicitly that geographically distant members of an
organizational population compete with each other
at intensity equal to neighbouring organizations,
several studies have refined this assumption by disag-
gregating population density according to geographic
proximity to explore the geographic boundaries on
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competitive (and institutional) processes. For example,
Hannan and Carroll (1992), Carroll and Wade (1991)
and Swaminathan and Wiedenmayer (1991) analysed
density dependence in founding and failure rates of
US and German Breweries at a variety of level of geo-
graphic aggregation (e.g. city, state, nation). These
studies estimated the density dependence model sep-
arately for each level of analysis and then compared
coefficients across levels. In their analysis of the US
brewing industry, Carroll and Wade (1991) found
support for density dependence at the state and
regional levels but not city level, while Hannan and
Carroll (1992) found that founding rates of newspa-
per organizations depend on density in a manner
consistent with theory only in small metropolitan
areas. Although these studies vary in their support for
the density dependence model, estimates consistently
reveal stronger competitive effects among breweries
for populations defined at more local geographic
levels than for national populations as a whole, while
local and national legitimation effects were similar in
magnitude.
Taken together, these studies, along with other
research examining effects of geographic levels (e.g.
Rao and Neilsen 1992; Budros 1993; 1994; Baum and
Singh 1994b, c; Lomi 1995; Cattani et al. 2003)
robustly support Zucker’s (1989: 543) speculation that
‘smaller geographic areas should theoretically involve
more intense competition since they are more tightly
bounded resource areas. Competitive processes in
organizational populations may thus often be hetero-
geneous, operating most strongly in local competitive
arenas, and therefore may generally be modelled more
precisely specified at a local geographic level. And, it
seems likely that the greater the geographic segmenta-
tion of a populations environment, the more geo-
graphically localized competitive processes in the
population will be (Carroll and Huo 1986).
Geographic segmentation of organizational
environments occurs for a variety of reasons.
Institutional and political constraints may limit the
geographic scope of organizational activities, lead-
ing to distinct geographic markets in which organi-
zations can compete for resources (Hannan et al.
1995). The nature of a populations activities can
also affect where potential consumers come from
when, for example, organizations provide services
on their premises (e.g. nursing homes, banks);
when transportation costs are high (e.g. brewers,
automobile manufacturers); when products are
made for specific locales (e.g. newspapers); or when
the demand for organizations’ products or services is
depends on location (e.g. hotels). Among recent
studies the level of analysis at which competition is
most intense appears to vary directly with the degree
of geographic segmentation: among Manhattan
hotels competition is most intense within a few city
blocks segmented by proximity to particular business
and tourist activities (Baum and Mezias 1992; Baum
and Haveman 1997), among bank branches within
city wards (Greve 2002), among newspapers within
metropolitan areas (Hannan and Carroll 1992),
among Dutch auditing firms within province
(Catttani et al. 2003), and among European automo-
bile producers within countries segmented by politi-
cal boundaries (Hannan et al. 1995).
Level of analysis issues are also relevant to insti-
tutional processes. Singh (1993: 467–8) speculates
that, while a local level of analysis may often be
more appropriate for analysing competition, it may
not to be so for legitimation processes, which are
likely to require much broader boundaries. Hannan
et al. (1995) estimated models of organizational
founding in the European automobile industry in
which density-dependent legitimation and compe-
tition were measured at different levels of analysis.
Supporting Singhs (1993) speculation, they found
stronger density-dependent competition at the
country level, and some evidence (support for two
of five countries) of stronger density-dependent
legitimation at the European level. Thus, Hannan et
al.s (1995) findings provide some support for the
idea that, in contrast to competitive processes, insti-
tutional processes in organizational populations
operate relatively homogeneously, and at a broad
geographic level serving to contextualize competi-
tive processes (Scott 1992; Tucker et al. 1992; but see
Lomi 2000; Cattani et al. 2003). This conclusion is
less well established, however, and may depend on
the type of institutional process.
Organizational Niche Overlap
Baum and Singh (1994b, c) advance and test a
resource overlap model in which the potential for
competition between any two organizations is
directly proportional to the overlap of their targeted
resource bases, or organizational niches. Following
McPherson (1983), Baum and Singh conceive each
member of a population as occupying a potentially
unique organizational niche that delineates its loca-
tion in a multidimensional resource space. The
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organizational niche, which is defined by the
intersection of resource requirements and produc-
tive capabilities at the organization level, depends
on where the organization is located and what it
does (e.g. the clients it has the capacity to target,
how it responds to the environment). The organiza-
tional niche is a result, not a cause, of organizational
adaptation – it is ‘carved out. Thus, the organiza-
tional niche is a dynamic concept. Depending on
the particular organizational niches they target,
organizations encounter different competitive land-
scapes. Attending to the internal structure of popu-
lation niches, and in particular the resource overlaps
of multiple organizational niches comprising a pop-
ulation, provides a simple way to isolate competitive
and non-competitive forces within a population.
Baum and Singh view the potential for competi-
tion between organizations in any two organizational
niches as directly proportional to the extent of the
overlap in their resource requirements. Potential
competition for each organization is measured using
overlap density, the aggregate overlap of an organiza-
tion’s resource requirements with those of all others
in the population (i.e. population density weighted
by the overlap in resource requirements). Overlap
density has a complementary property, non-overlap
density. Whereas overlap density captures the poten-
tial for competition by aggregating resource overlaps,
non-overlap density aggregates the resource non-
overlaps. Non-overlap density estimates the number
of organizations whose resource requirements do
not overlap with those of the focal organization.
Together, overlap and non-overlap densities disaggre-
gate competitive and non-competitive forces for each
organization in a population with respect to the
underlying resources.
Entrepreneurs are predicted to be unlikely to
target or to be capable of founding organizations in
parts of the resource space where overlap density is
high. Organizations operating in high overlap den-
sity conditions are also predicted to be less sustain-
able. Conversely, entrepreneurs are predicted to be
likely to target and be capable of founding organiza-
tions in parts of the resource space where non-
overlap density is high because of the absence of
direct competition for resources and the potential
for complementary demand enhancement. For
these reasons, high non-overlap density is also
expected to lower failure rates.
Baum and Singh (1994a, b) found support for
these predictions in a population of day care centres
in Metropolitan Toronto for which resource
requirements were defined in terms of the ages of
the children they had the capacity to enrol. These
studies indicate that organizations have different
likelihoods of being established and endure differ-
ent survival fates after founding as a function of the
locations they target in a multidimensional resource
space. If generalized to other populations, the disag-
gregation of population density into overlap and
non-overlap densities may help clarify the role of
population heterogeneity in interpretations of the
non-monotonic density dependence findings
(Hannan et al. 1991; Petersen and Koput 1991).
Overlap and non-overlap densities capture the
absolute presence and absence of resource overlaps
but fail to consider the situation in which organiza-
tions are competitive and non-competitive at the
same time. Baum and Oliver (1996) extended the
organizational niche overlap framework to consider
the relative influence of organizational niche over-
lap and non-overlap with non-overlap intensity,
which aggregates the ratio of an organizations niche
non-overlap to overlap with other organizations in
the population. While low non-overlap intensity
suggests competitive effects between organizations
because they share common resource needs, recog-
nizing their potential for competition, organizations
occupying partially overlapping niches, and thus
relatively high non-overlap intensity, may be more
inclined to cooperate. Baum and Oliver (1996)
found relative as well as absolute effects of overlap
and non-overlap densities on organizational found-
ing, and, in particular, that interorganizational
cooperation is strengthened when it is combined
with an element of competition.
Although measures of organizational niche over-
lap are now quite common (e.g. Podolny et al. 1996;
Dobrev et al. 2001; 2003) and results generally sup-
portive, measures of non-overlap and non-overlap
intensity have not been replicated, largely because of
the difficulty of obtaining information on the dis-
tribution of production in the various niches.
Taking on questions about how interorganizational
competition and coexistence interact in a multidi-
mensional resource space represents an important
direction for future research.
Accounting for Concentration
The growth trajectories of diverse organizational
populations appear to follow a common path: The
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number of organizations grows slowly initially, then
increases rapidly to a peak. Once this maximum is
reached, there is a decline in the number of popula-
tion members and increased concentration. In orga-
nizational ecology, the density dependence model is
used to account for the shape of the growth trajec-
tory to its peak (Hannan and Carroll 1992). Since
no organization or small group of organizations is
allowed to dominate (each organization in a popu-
lation is assumed to contribute to and experience
competition equally), the density dependence model
predicts logistic growth in numbers to an equilib-
rium level. However, it does not account for the
later decline in numbers and increase in concentra-
tion (Carroll and Hannan 1989a; Hannan and
Carroll 1992). This limitation of the original density-
dependence model formulation has received consid-
erable attention with five elaborations specifically
advanced to address this particular question.
Density Delay
In the density dependence model it is contempora-
neous population density – density at particular
historical times – that is the focus. Carroll and
Hannan (1989a) propose a refinement of the model
to include an additional, delayed population density
effect that helps explain the decline of populations
from their peak density. Carroll and Hannan
(1989a) suggest that organizations’ survival chances
are sensitive to population density levels at the time
of their founding. Specifically, they argue that orga-
nizations founded in high-density conditions expe-
rience persistently higher failure rates. High density
at founding creates a liability of resource scarcity that
prevents organizations from moving quickly from
organizing to full-scale operation. High density also
results in tight niche packing, forcing newly founded
organizations, which cannot compete head-to-head
with established organizations, to use inferior or
marginal resources. These founding conditions
imprint themselves on organizations, affecting their
viability throughout their existence. Carroll and
Hannan show that population density at the time of
organizational founding is positively related to fail-
ure rates in six of the seven populations they analyse
(Carroll and Hannan 1989a; Hannan and Carroll
1992). This means that organizations entering pop-
ulations in high-density conditions have persis-
tently elevated failure rates, contributing to an
explanation for the decline in population density
from its peak. This finding has been replicated in
several studies (e.g. Carroll et al. 1996; Ingram and
Inman 1996), however, several others have failed to
do so (e.g. Wholey et al. 1992; Aldrich et al. 1994).
Moreover, the density delay effect appears to pro-
duce an oscillating equilibrium, not a definite,
singular downturn (Hannan and Carroll 1992: 183).
It also does not permit the competitive strengths of
organizations to vary.
Mass Dependence
Barnett and Amburgey (1990) point out that various
perspectives in organization and management theory
suggest that larger organizations generate stronger
competition than their smaller rivals as a result of
their superior access to resources, greater market
power and economies of scale and scope (e.g.
Edwards 1955; Bain 1956; Starbuck 1965; Thompson
1967; Caves and Porter 1977; Pfeffer and Salancik
1978; Aldrich and Auster 1986; Scherer and Ross
1990; Winter 1990). If large organizations generate
stronger competition, then ecological models of pop-
ulation dynamics should reflect their greater signifi-
cance. Barnett and Amburgey (1990) advance an
elaboration of the density dependence model that
incorporates this possibility. They do this by model-
ling the effects of population mass, the sum of the
sizes of all organizations in the population, or, in
other words, population density weighted by organi-
zational size. If large organizations generate stronger
competition, then, after controlling for population
density, increases in population mass should have a
competitive effect, slowing the founding rate and
increasing the failure rate of smaller organizations.
By permitting the competitive strengths of orga-
nizations to vary as a function of their size, the mass
dependence model permits larger organizations in a
population to dominate by generating stronger
competition than smaller organizations, displacing
their population’s size in numbers. Mass-dependent
competition may thus help account for populations
later declines in number and increases in concentra-
tion. Large organizations may therefore play a
central role in organizational ecology, not because
they are affected individually by selection pressures,
but because they have a disproportionate influence
on population dynamics (Barnett and Amburgey
1990). Unfortunately, mass dependence findings are
mixed. Some studies find the predicted competitive
effects (e.g. Banaszak-Holl 1992; 1993; Baum and
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Mezias 1992). Others find either no or mixed effects
(e.g. Hannan and Carroll 1992) or mutualistic
effects (e.g. Barnett and Amburgey 1990).
Although contradictory findings appear to be
attributable to data limitations (Hannan and Carroll
1992: 130–1) or significant features of the study pop-
ulation (Barnett and Amburgey 1990: 98–9), a more
general explanation may be that the ability of organi-
zations to differentiate themselves from one another
varies from population to population (Baum and
House 1990). When a populations members do not
possess the capacity for differentiation, the competi-
tive strength of larger organizations is felt throughout
the population, causing the population to become
increasingly concentrated. However, when meaning-
ful differentiation is possible, population density may
remain relatively high as differentiated specialists that
do not compete directly either with each other or the
large organizations in the population flourish (e.g.
Carroll 1985). A related explanation may be found in
strategic groups theory (e.g. Caves and Porter 1977),
which suggests that industry-wide inferences of
market power cannot be made when strategic groups
characterize competition, since mobility barriers dif-
ferentially protect strategic groups. Future research
examining the effects of organizational differentia-
tion and mobility barriers on competitive dynamics
may therefore improve our understanding of concen-
tration processes in organizational populations.
Competitive Intensity
Barnett (1997: 135) suggests that mixed evidence for
mass-dependence results from a ‘failure to think
about organizational size in an evolutionary way’.
His interpretation is that, while large organizations
may be less likely to fail, as much evidence shows
(see Table 2), this does not necessarily mean that they
are stronger competitors. If they are not, then increas-
ing mass does not necessarily increase the intensity
of competition experienced by the members of the
population. Barnett’s (1997) argument is that the
‘fitness’ of large organizations is equal to the average
of the fitness of their subunits. Since, protected
by their membership in a large organization, sub-
units with low fitness will be less likely to fail than
their independent counterparts, the average fitness
of large organizations will tend to be lower than
that of small organizations. Consequently, smaller,
not larger, organizations will provide the stiffest
competition.
Barnett (1997: 139) operationalizes the relative
weakness of large organizations by allowing each
organizations competitive intensity to develop over
time depending on its size’. This implies an interac-
tion between an organization’s size and its age,
reducing the competitive strength of a large organi-
zation as it grows. To test his idea, Barnett models
the effects of the sum of the ages of all organizations
in the population (i.e. population age), the sum of
the sizes of all organizations in the population (i.e.
population mass) and competitive intensity, the sum
of the age × size interaction for all population
members. Since Barnett’s model predicts greater
competition as organizations become older and as
population mass increases, population age and mass
should both lower the rate of founding and increase
the rate of failure, but since competitive intensity is
expected to decline as organizations grow it should
be positively related to the rate of founding and neg-
atively related to the failure rate. Barnett finds sup-
port for his model in analyses of founding and
failure among Pennsylvania telephone companies
and US breweries.
Although Barnett’s approach to explaining the
common concave pattern of population growth is
theoretically intriguing and holds promise as an
explanation for population concentration, there
appears to be little support for the model’s basic
premise, that older organizations generate stronger
competition. Stinchcombes (1965) liability of new-
ness hypothesis suggests that new organizations have
higher failure rates than other organizations, not that
older organizations have lower failure rates than
younger organizations. Organizational and environ-
mental change can reset the fitness of older organiza-
tions, muddling the relationship between age and
fitness. Even in the absence of such change,
Levinthal’s (1991a) finding that previously accumu-
lated capital can account for the liability of newness
suggests that the survivability of older organizations
may have little to do with their ageing. Mounting
empirical evidence that, after controlling for organi-
zational size, organizational failure rates increase with
age reinforces this point. The fitness of older organi-
zations may thus have little to do with their age.
Changing Basis of Competition
While Barnetts competitive intensity model focuses on
heterogeneous competitive abilities among organiza-
tions to explain the concentration of organizational
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populations, several other approaches emphasize a
population-wide shift in the basis of competition.
In the original statement of the density depen-
dence model in organization theory, Brittain and
Freeman (1980) described how organizational popu-
lations undergo a competitive transition from
r-selection’ to ‘K-selection’ as increasing population
density alters the basis of competition from first-
mover advantage to efficiency. The distinction
between these two bases of competition is grounded
in the Lotka Volterra growth model from bioecology:
dN
= rN
K–N
dt K
where K is the carrying capacity of the popula-
tion’s environment, r is the natural growth rate of
the population, N is population density and t is a
time interval. In this equation, when population
density is initially low, the natural growth term r
dominates and organizations enter at a slow but
exponentially increasing rate. As population den-
sity increases, the carrying capacity term K
becomes dominant and the rate of growth slows.
Growth stops when population density equals the
carrying capacity.
In an emerging population, no organization
or small group of organizations is dominant and
new entrants are typically similar in size to estab-
lished organizations. Competition is dominated by
r-selection, which favours small organizations capa-
ble of moving quickly to exploit new resource oppor-
tunities in the resource-rich but dispersed and
uncertain environments that characterize low-den-
sity conditions. As the population continues to grow,
its markets become connected, demand becomes
more predictable and some organizations begin
making broad appeals to all customers to expand their
market shares. Along with the increased potential for
competition that accompanies increasing population
size (relative to the abundance of resources), this
begins to orient competition among the populations
members toward cost and price reduction, favouring
larger population members capable of achieving effi-
ciency advantages.
When a population reaches the carrying capacity,
the resources available to its members are exploited
fully and competitive pressures shift to K-selection,
which favours larger organizations competing on
the basis of efficiency. The economic and competi-
tive advantages of the population’s large members
enable them to out-compete their smaller rivals,
which are crowded out by the asymmetric competi-
tion. This shakeout decreases the number of orga-
nizations in the population, raises the level of
market concentration and creates a log-normal or
bimodal size distribution in which a few large orga-
nizations tend to dominate many smaller ones
(Hannan and Freeman 1977; Ijiri and Simon 1977).
Ultimately, however, increasing market concentra-
tion forces large organizations to compete increas-
ingly with one another for central markets capable of
sustaining their large-scale operations (Carroll 1985).
This specializes resource use to particular segments of
the size distribution and creates pockets of demand
that smaller, more specialized members of the popu-
lation may be able to exploit without engaging in
direct competition with the larger generalists. Thus,
resource partitioning localizes the competitive effects
of organizations – even large ones – to their particu-
lar segments of operations.
Competition at carrying capacity also initiates a
more general process of functional and territorial
differentiation within the population as competi-
tion pushes entrepreneurs to seek out distinct func-
tions in which they hold a competitive advantage
(Hawley 1950). This creates organizational sub-
groupings that fulfill complementary roles in which
they are dependent on, but non-competitive with,
each other and lowers the potential for competition
by reducing the number of direct competitors each
population member confronts.
The foregoing characterization of the evolution of
organizational populations suggests that the basis of
competition changes over the population life cycle
(Baum 1995). And, in particular, that the influence of
density-dependent competition weakens over a
populations history and that the effects of size-
based competitive process (e.g. mass dependence,
size-localized competition) become increasingly
influential as efficiency-based advantages grow and
resource partitioning proceeds. Baum finds evidence
of such a shift in the basis of competition over time
in the Manhattan hotel industry. Although, to date,
no research has attempted to replicate his findings,
two related approaches have appeared, supporting
similar arguments and model specifications.
Coupled Clocks
Hannan (1997) advanced a related model in which
density becomes decoupled’ from legitimacy and
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competition as a population matures. Early in a
populations history, density has a powerful effect
on the legitimacy of an organizational form. How-
ever, as the population grows older, density plays a
less important role in determining the extent to
which an organizational form is viewed as legiti-
mate. The mere fact of a population having been in
existence for some time is likely to play a role in its
being ‘taken-for-granted’. In addition, organizations
develop durable network ties with other kinds of
actors over time. ‘… as an organizational popula-
tion ages, its taken-for-grantedness presumably
comes to depend upon its network position
(Hannan et al. 1998b: 305). Therefore, legitimacy is
relatively stable and not easily eroded, even if the
population density declines.
Competition also becomes decoupled as organi-
zations become more fixed into networks of
alliances, develop specializations and so on. In other
words, the population becomes more ‘structured’ as
it gets more mature. As diverse forms of structure
develop, competition can shift from diffuse ecologi-
cal competition to focused, direct rivalry between
organizations with similar positions in the indus-
try…’ (Hannan et al. 1998b: 305). These arguments
imply that the effect of density on legitimation and
competition weaken as an industry ages, which
Hannan operationalizes as an interaction effect
involving population density, population density
squared and population age, and finds support for
his ideas among European automobile producers.
Dynamic Selection and Scale-Based
Competition
Barron (1999) has also proposed a variant of the
changing basis of competition model that empha-
sizes the organizational size distribution of a popu-
lation. In Barrons version, as organizations grow in
scale they may be able to take deliberate steps to pre-
vent the formation of new competitors. And, even if
they do not, the fact that they already have well-
established exchange networks, reputations, cus-
tomer loyalties and staff expertise makes it more
difficult for new entrants. Therefore, as the size dis-
tribution of a population shifts to the right, Barron
predicts that the founding rate will decline. He tests
this prediction using the mean of the log size distri-
bution, which is approximately symmetric.
For failure, Barrons argument is somewhat
different. In the early years of a population, when
density is low, the failure rate is high because the
legitimacy of the organizational form is also low.
However, competition is also weak. Under early
low-density conditions, therefore, he proposes that
failures are distributed randomly, with no organiza-
tions heavily disadvantaged relative to any other.
As density increases further, however, competition
increases and organizations best able to withstand
the more intense competition should have an
increasing advantage in terms of survival chances.
Barrons argument implies an interaction between
the intensity of competition experienced by the
members of a population and some factor that con-
fers a survival advantage, the size of the advantage
increasing as competition intensifies. Thus, the gap
in survival chances of robust and frail organizations
should widen as the density increases. Barron uses
size to differentiate robust and frail organizations
and thus predicts that, as the number of organiza-
tions in a population increase, the survival benefits
of large size should increase. He tests his hypothesis
by interacting population density and the log of
organizational size. Barron tested and corroborated
the model in an analysis of founding and failure of
New York State credit unions during 1914–90.
Dobrev and Carroll (2003) have recently advanced
a related model, measuring what they term ‘scale-
based competition as the aggregate distance of an
organization from its larger competitors. Their
model is based on the idea that the aggregate dis-
tance of an organization from its larger competitors
captures the extent to which it can capitalize on
potential competitive advantages derived from its
scale of operations. Their analysis of European auto-
mobile producer failure in four countries supports
the model. Like Barrons model, they emphasize an
organizations location in the size distribution, but
distinct from it posit that the benefits of size are a
function of positional differences with larger, rather
than all other organizations.
Future research comparing the ability of these
models to explain the historical growth trajectories
of diverse organizational populations is needed to
refine or integrate these models into a more unified
theoretical and empirical approach. Baum and
Hannan, for example, share a common emphasis on
temporal variation in population density effects and
agree that density becomes increasingly decoupled
from population dynamics over a populations
history. Hannan, however, does not specify what
population dynamics become coupled to, while
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Baum identifies the increasing influence of size-based
competitive processes. Baum and Barron both
highlight how a shift toward efficiency-based com-
petition gives larger organizations a competitive
advantage over smaller organizations, leading them
to displace their populations size in numbers, but
Barrons empirical specification, which ties large
organizations’ competitive advantage to population
density, conflicts with the idea that population den-
sity becomes decoupled from competition over a
population’s history. Dobrev and Carroll’s approach
relies on the populations evolving size distribution
to capture the increasing significance of scale-based
competition, but does not permit the strength of the
process to vary over time.
Connecting these models to Barnetts competitive
intensity model is also important given that the dif-
ferent models emphasize different processes – hetero-
geneous competitive abilities among organizations vs
population-wide shifts in the basis of competition.
Future research is needed to determine the relative
significance of these two basic competitive processes
in accounting for concentration and to identify their
distinct roles in population evolution.
Population-Level Learning
In addition to organization-level experiential learn-
ing, collective experiences of organizations at the
population level lay the foundation for the popula-
tion-level learning. Although individual organiza-
tions may tend to engage in too much exploitation,
populations of organizations may still engage in
substantial exploration and generate new knowl-
edge that individual organizations may acquire for
themselves. At the population level, a lack of cohe-
sion (i.e. diverse goals and incentives) and authority
structures may allow the proliferation of new ideas
and routines (Miner and Haunschild 1995). Even
recklessly innovative organizations that quickly fail
can generate new knowledge that adds to the expe-
rience of the population (Ingram and Baum 1997a).
Although learning in established organizations
tends to focus on exploiting old routines rather than
on developing new ones, these organizations may, at
a relatively low cost, be able to exploit new routines
produced by the ongoing explorations and advances
of other organizations in their population. So, ‘the
best strategy for any individual organization is often
to emphasize the exploitation of successful explo-
rations of others’ (Levinthal and March 1993: 104).
By observing their population, organizations can
potentially learn a multiplicity of strategies, prac-
tices and technologies employed by other organiza-
tions. Thus, an organization’s own experience is not
the only opportunity for learning; organizations
may also learn from population experience – the
operating and competitive experience of others in
their population.
Population Operating and
Competitive Experience
The operating experience of other organizations in
the same population may contribute to internal effi-
ciency in a similar way to an organizations own oper-
ating experience. An organization may be able to use
other organizations’ operating experience to improve
its efficiency at providing service and managing
employees and assets. By observing the internal oper-
ations of other organizations; reading about them in
trade journals; listening to lectures about them; or
by hiring the employees of other organizations, an
organization can gain ideas about how to efficiently
manage its own operations. The contribution of pop-
ulation operating experience to the organizations
external capabilities, however, is probably more
important (Ingram and Baum 1997a). Industry oper-
ating experience provides additional evidence about
the consumers preferences. Just as an organization
can observe consumers’ responses to it, it can observe
(perhaps less accurately) consumers responses to
another organization. Every organization in a popu-
lation provides information about consumers prefer-
ences (White 1981).
Population experience has several advantages
over own experience for learning. Any one organi-
zation is limited in how much it can learn from its
own experience. The constraint on experimenting is
not just an organizations resources, but also limits
on how much variance the organizations internal
systems can handle and external constituents will
accept (Hannan and Freeman 1984). Unlike an
organization, a population can encompass a great
deal of variety without violating internal or external
standards of consistency and reliability, and there-
fore more varied in their experience than individual
organizations. Populations may thus engage in
exploration, even while the organizations within
them engage in exploitation of old routines.
For US hotel chains, Ingram and Baum (1997a)
operationalize population operating experience as
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the operating experience (total chain units
operated) other US hotel chains had accumulated
since a given hotel chain was founded. They also
operationalize population experience at founding as
the operating experience other hotel chains had
accumulated at the time the hotel chain was
founded. To account for a possible decay in the
value of population operating experience over time
due to forgetting and antiquation, they discounted
these variables using weights that depreciated expe-
rience as various functions of its age. Controlling for
organizational operating experience, both popula-
tion experience at entry and accumulated since
entry had significant negative effects on hotel chain
failure rates. Baum and Ingram (1998) attempted to
replicate these findings for Manhattan hotels, mea-
suring population operating experience at founding
and since founding based on the operating experi-
ence (total rooms operated) other Manhattan hotels
had accumulated since a given hotel was founded.
Controlling for organizational operating experi-
ence, population operating experience at founding
had a significant negative effect on the hotel failure
rate; population operating experience accumulated
since a hotel’s founding did not.
Because organizational outcomes are also depen-
dent on the actions of competitors, organizations
also need a model of competitors. Operating expe-
rience can generate part of what is necessary for a
model of competitors by locating them in multidi-
mensional attribute space (White 1981). However,
with competition, an organizations success is inter-
dependent with other organizations’ competitive
moves. How should a competitor’s moves be inter-
preted? How will the competitor respond to the
organizations moves? What will it take to drive the
competitor from a market position or cause it to
fail? To answer these questions it is necessary to
observe competitive outcomes.
Ingram and Baum (1997a) suggest measuring
population competitive experience based on organi-
zational failures in a population. At the level of the
organization, Sitkin (1992) argues that small failures
can enhance long-term performance by facilitating
learning. This applies also at the population level. As
organizations fail, the population has an opportu-
nity to learn. Even organizations that break radically
from standards of effective practice and quickly fail
contribute to the experience of the population.
Indeed, since the failing organization disappears,
it is only the population that can learn from its
experience. Past failures are promising as a measure
of population competitive experience for at least
two reasons. First, organizational failures are usually
salient and well publicized events. Managers natu-
rally attend to failures and, unlike other sources of
population experience, since the failing organi-
zation is no longer trying to protect a competitive
future the details of its experience are more accessi-
ble. People who participated in the failed organiza-
tion facilitate dissemination of its experience when
they join other organizations. Secondly, failures are
rich in information that matters for competitive
strategy: what kills other organizations? By examin-
ing a failed organizations successful rivals other
organizations can learn what competitive moves are
effective at driving others from the market.
Ingram and Baum (1997a) operationalized popu-
lation competitive experience based on the number
of failures observed by US hotel chains both at the
time of their founding and accumulated thereafter,
discounted to account for possible decay in the
value of the experience. Controlling for organiza-
tional and population operating experience, they
found that population competitive experience since
chain entry was negatively related to its failure;
whereas, population competitive experience at the
time of entry had no effect on chain failure.
These studies highlight the often neglected fact
that organizational forms are not homogenous
across time, providing evidence that successive
cohorts of new organizations are improved as a
function of the experience of the population (see
also Sorenson 2000). In population level learning,
variation and selective retention of bundles of
organizational routines as well as organizations are
important forces for population-level change. By
emphasizing both organizations’ learning of rou-
tines and organizational selection (i.e. founding and
failure) as mechanisms for population-level change,
population level learning admits both adaptation
and selection. That new organizations benefit from
the experience of their population suggests, for
example, that entrepreneurs are not strangers to the
populations they enter; they recognize the unex-
ploited potential of the organizations they chal-
lenge. Thus population level learning complements
and extends traditional ecological analyses of orga-
nizational founding and failure, which emphasize
that organizational change and variability reflect
primarily inert organizations replacing each other
but do not typically explore the implications of
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entrepreneurs and ongoing organizations engaging
in vicarious selective learning of new routines.
Existing research would be complemented by
attention to processes within organizations that can
affect the capacity of organizations to learn from
their populations. Cyert et al. (1993), for example,
suggest that differences in internal information pro-
cessing capabilities can generate sustainable compet-
itive advantages. Cohen and Levinthal (1990) argue
that past preparation makes learning effectiveness
path dependent. Additionally, the implications of
organizations’ efforts to protect their own operating
experience as a source of competitive advantage (e.g.
Barney 1991; Peteraf 1993) for their population as a
whole – the tension between individual and collective
benefits from experience – would appear to be an
important topic for future research.
Conclusion: Progress, Problems
and Future Directions
As we have shown, organizational ecology is a vital
subfield within organization studies, its research
agenda expanding and methodological sophistica-
tion increasing constantly. However, what does
organizational ecology contribute to progress in orga-
nization studies? One way to answer this question is
to examine the problems organizational ecology
solves (Lauden 1984; Tucker 1994). According to
Lauden (1984: 15), scientific theories must solve two
kinds of problems: empirical problems, which are
substantive questions about the objects that consti-
tute the domain of inquiry, and conceptual problems,
which include questions about internal logical con-
sistency and conceptual ambiguity of theories
advanced to solve empirical problems, as well as the
methodological soundness of tests of theoretical
arguments. From this perspective, organizational
ecology’s contribution to progress can be defined in
terms of its capacity to accumulate solved empirical
problems while minimizing the scope of unsolved
empirical problems and conceptual problems.
As revealed in this review, the primary emphasis
of organizational ecology is the development of
theoretical explanations for specific empirical prob-
lems (e.g. age, size and density dependence in
organizational failure). Although organizational
ecology has advanced knowledge about a wide range
of empirical problems, few (if any) of these can be
considered solved conclusively. Of course, other
organization studies subdisciplines have not solved
these problems either. From a conceptual stand-
point, while examples of internal logical inconsis-
tencies are uncommon in ecological theory, and
those that are identified being tackled directly (see
for example, Péli 1997; Hannan 1998; Hannan et al.
2003a, b), instances of conceptual ambiguities are
more prevalent. Questions about the meaning of
central concepts such as population, founding,
failure and legitimacy have been raised frequently
(e.g. McKelvey 1982; Carroll 1984a; Astley 1985;
Delacroix and Rao 1994; Rao 2001). To be fair, such
ambiguities are not unique to organizational ecol-
ogy, but seem endemic to organization studies.
One persistent source of conceptual problems is
the methodological soundness of tests of theoretical
arguments. One area of frequent debate is the appro-
priateness of inferring underlying processes of legiti-
mation from population density estimates instead of
measuring the underlying construct directly (Zucker
1989; Baum and Oliver 1992; Hannan and Carroll
1992; Miner 1993). Inferring processes of learn-
ing from cumulative organizational and industry
experience estimates is subject to similar concerns
(Baum and Ingram 1998). In part, this problem stems
from organizational ecology’s use of large-scale,
historical databases in which, by necessity, measures
are frequently removed from concepts. Research on
age dependence and, to a lesser degree, research on
size dependence, also suffer from this problem
(Henderson 1999).
Although unsolved empirical problems and con-
ceptual problems are not uncommon in emerging
areas of scientific inquiry, the longer these problems
remain unresolved, the greater their importance
becomes in debates about the veracity of the theories
that generated them (Lauden 1984: 64–6). What pro-
duces organizational ecology’s problems? Although
organizational ecologists would like their theories to
maximize generality across organizational popula-
tions, realism of context and precision in measure-
ment of variables, in fact, no theory can be general,
precise and realistic all at the same time (McGrath
1982; Puccia and Levins 1985). Theories must sacri-
fice on some dimensions to maximize others. For
example, realistic theories may apply to only a limited
domain, while general theories may be inaccurate or
misleading for specific applications.
Historically, organizational ecologists appear to
have favoured a trade-off of precision and realism for
generality in their theories (Singh 1993). For example,
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precision and realism are clearly sacrificed for gener-
ality in the original formulations of density depen-
dence and structural inertia theories. On the one
hand, this research strategy produces organizational
ecology’s main strength: A wealth of comparable
empirical evidence from diverse organizational set-
tings on a range of empirical problems unparalleled
in organization studies. On the other hand, it also
creates a major weakness: The large pool of coeffi-
cients for indirect measures such as age, size, popula-
tion density and population experience reveals little
about underlying theoretical explanations designed
to account for the empirical problems of interest.
This creates conceptual problems by fostering skepti-
cism regarding the veracity of inferred underlying
processes because conforming findings cannot be
interpreted precisely, and creates unsolved empirical
problems by making it difficult to account for non-
conforming findings on theoretical grounds.
The sacrifice of contextual realism and measure-
ment precision for generality thus underlies several
key problems in organizational ecology. By sacrific-
ing some generality for more precision and realism,
however, organizational ecologists have begun to
address this. Over the past decade, ecological theory
and analysis has become increasingly sensitive to the
need for more fine-grained theory and measure-
ment that captures in a more nuanced and direct
manner the underlying processes of interest.
Ecological research adopting this problem-solving
strategy has already contributed to the literature in
several important ways. Perhaps most notable are
elaborations of the original density dependence
model (see Table 6) help increase precision by mea-
suring underlying processes of competition and
legitimation more directly (Baum and Oliver 1992;
1996; Baum and Singh 1994b, c; Deeds et al. 2004).
They also enhance contextual realism by incorpo-
rating additional features of population such as
organizational size distributions (Barnett and
Amburgey 1990; Barron 1999; Dobrev and Carroll
2003), market niche structures (Baum and Singh
1994b, c) and competitive heterogeneity into the
model (Baum 1995; Barnett 1997). The result is a
more compelling and less problematic account of
the ecological dynamics of organizational popula-
tions. At the demographic level, research emphasiz-
ing greater measurement precision has shed new
light on the underlying causes of structural inertia
and age and size dependence in organizational
change and failure (e.g. Greve 1999; Henderson
1999). More robust organization-level measures
are necessary to establish the micro-foundations of
ecological theory.
Organizational ecology is making good progress
on its problems. Continued emphasis on increasing
precision and realism in theory and research is essen-
tial to enhancing the impact and influence of ecolog-
ical approaches to organizations. Getting closer to
research problems will reveal important aspects of
phenomena that more distanced researchers cannot
detect. Understanding anomalies – results that are
inconsistent with each other, theory or observation –
is crucial to specifying contingent predictions and
increasing precision. Letting research problems drive
the choice of research design and methodology
(rather than vice versa) will yield study designs best
suited to answering the questions posed. These shifts
in the ecological research orientation will foster new
kinds of questions that enhance links with other
research streams in organization theory and related
subfields such as strategy. In turn, these linkages will
help realize more of the great potential of ecological
approaches to contribute to theory and research in
organization studies, as well as to practice in public
policy, management and entrepreneurship.
Note
1. Strategic and economic models make the same pre-
diction (e.g. Porter 1980; Tirole 1988; Scherer and Ross
1990).
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The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
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The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
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The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
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The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
Chapter
The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
Chapter
The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
Chapter
The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
Chapter
The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
Chapter
The book presents the latest research and theory about evolutionary change in organizations. It brings together the work of organizational theorists who have challenged the orthodox adaptation views that prevailed until the beginning of the 1980s. It emphasizes multiple levels of change - distinguishing change at the intraorganizational level, the organizational level, the population level, and the community level. The book is organized in a way that gives order and coherence to what has been a diverse and multidisciplinary field. (The book had its inception at a conference held at the Stern School of Business, New York University, January 1992.)
Article
Evolution is conceptualized as a multi-level phenomenon (subunit–organization–organizational field–national economy) that links organizational and ecological systems. Analysis of population and community-level evolution emphasizes the roles of institutional change (e.g., industry deregulation, globalization, market reforms), technological innovation cycles (e.g., technological discontinuities, dominant designs), entrepreneurs, and social movements as triggers of organizational variation. Institutional and technological change transforms the dynamics of organizational communities by shifting the boundaries of organizational forms, destabilizing or reinforcing existing community structures, giving rise to consensus and/or conflict oriented social movements, and creating opportunities for entrepreneurs and venture capitalists to shape new organizational forms.