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The social determinants of childhood mortality in Sri Lanka: Time-trends & comparisons across South Asia

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Sri Lanka has been able to achieve low childhood mortality levels at low cost. However, this achievement may have been at the expense of increasing mortality inequalities between socio-economic groups. This study addresses the question whether socio-economic mortality inequalities rise as overall mortality falls by describing socio-economic inequalities in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka and comparing the magnitude of these inequalities over time and with other South Asian countries. Further, the role of female autonomy, fertility, malnutrition, and health care use in explaining the observed patterns in mortality inequality were also examined. Time-trends in inequality in under 5 mortality by maternal education were described using data from the 1987, 1993 and 2000 Sri Lanka Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). Using DHS data, the magnitude of these inequalities was compared across 50 low and middle income countries, and with three South Asian countries in particular. Socio-economic inequalities in determinants of under 5 mortality were estimated for Sri Lanka over time, and compared with such inequalities in the other South Asian countries. Absolute inequalities in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka were very low internationally, while relative mortality inequalities were high. The decline in under 5 mortality between the 1987 and 2000 survey in Sri Lanka had been accompanied by rising relative mortality inequalities across educational groups. High and improving levels of health care use and declining levels of malnutrition in Sri Lanka ran parallel with high and increasing relative inequalities in undercoverage of health care and malnutrition. Despite the low overall under 5 mortality levels and absolute mortality inequalities, Sri Lanka exhibited a clear mortality gradient across educational groups. Further, the high and rising relative inequalities in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka showed that the achievement of low mortality might be at the expense of increasing relative mortality inequalities between socioeconomic groups. Increasing inequalities in malnutrition and undercoverage of health care, perhaps related to a strong gradient in female autonomy across educational groups, may have contributed to the rising relative under 5 mortality inequalities in this country.
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The social determinants of childhood mortality in Sri Lanka: time-
trends & comparisons across South Asia
Tanja A.J. Houweling, Saroj Jayasinghe & Tarani Chandola
Department of Epidemiology & Public Health, University College London, London, UK
Received August 23, 2007
Background & objectives: Sri Lanka has been able to achieve low childhood mortality levels at low
cost. However, this achievement may have been at the expense of increasing mortality inequalities
between socio-economic groups. This study addresses the question whether socio-economic mortality
inequalities rise as overall mortality falls by describing socio-economic inequalities in under 5
mortality in Sri Lanka and comparing the magnitude of these inequalities over time and with other
South Asian countries. Further, the role of female autonomy, fertility, malnutrition, and health care
use in explaining the observed patterns in mortality inequality were also examined.
Methods: Time-trends in inequality in under 5 mortality by maternal education were described
using data from the 1987, 1993 and 2000 Sri Lanka Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). Using
DHS data, the magnitude of these inequalities was compared across 50 low and middle income
countries, and with three South Asian countries in particular. Socio-economic inequalities in
determinants of under 5 mortality were estimated for Sri Lanka over time, and compared with such
inequalities in the other South Asian countries.
Results: Absolute inequalities in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka were very low internationally, while
relative mortality inequalities were high. The decline in under 5 mortality between the 1987 and
2000 survey in Sri Lanka had been accompanied by rising relative mortality inequalities across
educational groups. High and improving levels of health care use and declining levels of malnutrition
in Sri Lanka ran parallel with high and increasing relative inequalities in undercoverage of health
care and malnutrition.
Interpretation & conclusion: Despite the low overall under 5 mortality levels and absolute mortality
inequalities, Sri Lanka exhibited a clear mortality gradient across educational groups. Further, the
high and rising relative inequalities in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka showed that the achievement
of low mortality might be at the expense of increasing relative mortality inequalities between socio-
economic groups. Increasing inequalities in malnutrition and undercoverage of health care, perhaps
related to a strong gradient in female autonomy across educational groups, may have contributed to
the rising relative under 5 mortality inequalities in this country.
Key words Asia - child mortality/trends - comparative study - mothers/education - socio-economic factors - Sri Lanka
239
Indian J Med Res 126, October 2007, pp 239-248
Sri Lanka has been able to achieve relatively low
childhood mortality levels at low cost
1
. However, the
achievement of low mortality may have been at the
expense of increasing inequalities between socio-
economic groups
2
. The rate of decline for lower socio-
economic groups may not be as quick as for the better-
off, resulting in higher absolute inequalities in mortality.
In addition, even if absolute mortality inequalities
remain stable or decline, it is possible for relative
mortality inequalities to increase. It is therefore
important to examine whether the low childhood
mortality that Sri Lanka has achieved has been at the
expense of increasing absolute and relative inequalities
in health between socio-economic groups.
Fig. 1 shows a scatter plot of gross domestic product
(GDP) per capita by under 5 mortality, showing a clear
curve-linear association between higher GDP per capita
and lower under 5 mortality levels
3
. Sri Lanka is located
towards the bottom of the graph, distinct from its South
Asian neighbours. However, what remains unknown is
whether Sri Lanka retains this privileged position vis-
à-vis its neighbours and other low and middle income
countries in terms of the absolute and relative mortality
inequalities.
This study was undertaken to answer the question
whether socio-economic mortality inequalities rise as
overall mortality levels fall. It aimed to describe socio-
economic inequalities in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka
and compare the magnitude of these inequalities over
time and with other South Asian countries. More
specifically, the question if Sri Lanka is performing well
in relation to its time-trends, neighbours and other low-
middle income countries in terms of relative and absolute
socio-economic inequalities in under 5 mortality, was
examined. In order to understand the international
patterns and time-trends in inequality in under 5 mortality,
we explored the role of several mortality determinants.
Specifically, we describe inequalities in maternal and
childhood malnutrition, under-coverage of health care
(i.e., childhood immunization, professional antenatal care
and delivery attendance), fertility, and female autonomy
and compare these across the South Asian countries and
over time for Sri Lanka.
240 INDIAN J MED RES, OCTOBER 2007
Fig. 1. Under 5 mortality (per 1000 live births) by GDP per capita (PPP, constant international 2000 $) for 176 countries, 2005.
Data source: Ref 3. All countries for which data for 2005 were available are included in this figure.
Sri Lanka
Bangladesh
Nepal
India
Material & Methods
Data: The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS)
were the main data source for this study. The DHS are
nationally representative surveys, for which usually
between 5000 and 10,000 women, aged 15-49 yr, are
interviewed. The surveys include retrospective birth
histories, which provide mortality data for individual
children, and information on socio-economic
characteristics such as maternal education.
Information on under 5 mortality rate stratified by level
of maternal education was obtained, from the DHS
website
4
, for all 57 countries with surveys in 1995 or later.
These include countries in Africa, Asia, Latin America
and North Africa/the Near East. If multiple surveys were
available for the same country, only the most recent data
were obtained. For Sri Lanka the same information was
obtained from the 1987, 1993 and 2000 Sri Lanka DHS
Final Reports
5-7
. For the South Asian countries included
in the study, we used data closest to 2000 as to facilitate
comparisons with the 2000 Sri Lanka data. The under 5
mortality rates obtained are based on information on births
and deaths during the 10 yr prior to the survey.
The three surveys in Sri Lanka do not include the
Eastern Costal belt and the Northern province for security
reasons (approximately 14% of the 1987 population
5
).
In 1993 and 2000 also a few areas in the Amparai district
were excluded for the same reason. This means that the
data presented in this paper cannot necessarily be taken
to be representative for the country as a whole.
Design and analysis: A combined time-trend/cross-country
design was used. First, using cross-country comparisons
across all low and middle income countries with recent
DHS data, Sri Lanka’s international position in terms of
socio-economic inequalities in under 5 mortality was
assessed. This was combined with a more detailed
comparison of Sri Lanka with the three other South Asian
countries in the data set (India, Nepal, Bangladesh).
Secondly, we described trends in inequality in under 5
mortality between the 1987 and 2000 survey for Sri Lanka.
Maternal education, rather than household wealth,
was used to assess socio-economic inequalities in under
5 mortality, as under 5 mortality rates by household
wealth were not readily available for Sri Lanka.
Moreover, the currently available measure of household
wealth may not allow for time-trend analysis
8
. Three
educational categories were used: no education, primary,
and secondary+. For Sri Lanka, also basic rates were
presented using a more detailed categorisation (4 groups).
Two main measures were used to describe and
compare mortality inequalities, i.e., the relative index
of inequality (RII) as a measure of relative inequality
and the slope index of inequality (SII) as a measure of
absolute inequality. Both the RII and the SII capture
the differences in mortality experience between all
educational groups, and can be interpreted as the
(estimated) mortality ratio (difference - in case of SII)
between the lowest and highest educated
9
. This
estimate captures only the linear relationship between
socio-economic position and mortality. As these
measures take the relative size of educational groups
into account, they allow for direct comparisons
between countries and time periods. The RII and SII
were calculated on the basis of aggregate under 5
mortality rates by educational group, using linear
regression analysis with relative group size as
weighting variable. Countries with extreme heaping
(>98% of the population in one educational group)
(five countries) were excluded from the analysis, as
were two outliers (Peru and Philippines, with an RII
of 25 and 81 respectively), leaving us with 50 countries
for the international comparisons. The results obtained
using the RII and SII were compared with results using
the rate ratio and rate difference, comparing the
extreme groups ‘no education’ and ‘secondary+’. The
rate ratio and rate difference do not take group size
into account.
Finally, a first step towards explaining the time-
trends and international variations in the magnitude of
mortality inequality was set by describing inequalities
in mortality determinants for Sri Lanka over time, and
by comparing these inequalities with those in the three
other South Asian countries. For consistency reasons,
all mortality determinants included in this study were
defined in negative terms (e.g., undercoverage rather
than coverage of health care).
Results
Sri Lanka in international perspective: Sri Lanka had
among the lowest absolute inequalities (in terms of the
slope index of inequality) in under 5 mortality across
educational groups among the 50 countries (Fig. 2).
Further, the gap in under 5 mortality levels between the
extreme groups ‘no education’ and ‘some secondary and
higher was smallest in Sri Lanka (results not shown).
Relative inequalities in under 5 mortality showed a
more mixed picture. When using an inequality measure
that takes into account the mortality experience in all
educational groups, as well as the relative size of the
HOUWELING et al: SOCIAL DETERMINANTS OF CHILDHOOD MORTALITY 241
242 INDIAN J MED RES, OCTOBER 2007
Fig. 2. Absolute inequality (Slope index of inequality) in under 5 mortality by maternal education by average under 5 mortality (per 1000 live
births) for 50 DHS countries.
Fig. 3. Relative inequalities (Relative index of inequality) in under 5 mortality by maternal education by average under 5 mortality (per 1000
live births) for DHS 50 countries.
Nepal
India
Bangladesh
Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka
India
Nepal
Bangladesh
educational groups (RII), relative inequalities in under
5 mortality in Sri Lanka were high compared to the other
countries (Fig. 3). At the same time, when comparing
only the lowest and highest educated, relative
inequalities in Sri Lanka were only moderately large
(results not shown).
When comparing under 5 mortality levels by
educational group in Sri Lanka in more detail with the
other South Asian countries, the following was
observed. At any given educational level, under 5
mortality in Sri Lanka was substantially lower than in
other South Asian countries (Fig. 4). Under 5 mortality
among children born to women with no education in
Sri Lanka, for example, was only 32 per 1000 compared
to around 120 in the other countries. Absolute
inequalities across educational groups (SII) were
substantially lower in Sri Lanka. Relative inequalities
across educational groups were, however, substantially
higher in Sri Lanka compared to the other South Asian
countries. This is mainly because of the comparatively
high under 5 mortality levels among the primary
educated in Sri Lanka.
Time-trends in under 5 mortality inequality in Sri Lanka:
Total under 5 mortality declined by 51 per cent, from 42
to 21 per 1,000, between the 1987 and 2000 survey
(Table I). All educational groups experienced declines in
under 5 mortality. Absolute mortality declines were
probably strongest among the group with no education.
Hence, the educational mortality gap between the lowest
and highest educated probably declined in absolute terms.
When taking all educational groups into account, relative
inequalities showed an increase over time (from an RII of
2.4 in 1987 to 7.5 in 2000). The increasing RIIs in Sri
Lanka were primarily due to slower under 5 mortality
declines in the ‘primary education’ group. In all periods, a
systematic gradient in mortality, with higher mortality
levels among children of the lower educated, was observed.
In 2000, under 5 mortality among children born to mothers
with primary education or below was more than twice as
high as that in the ‘more than secondary education’ group
(Table I).
Determinants of time and place variations:
Rural residence - The overall percentage of women
living in rural areas was fairly similar across the countries
(Table II). In Sri Lanka, the difference in rural residence
between lower and higher educated women was smaller
than in the other countries. Sri Lanka has seen little
changes over time in this respect, perhaps only a minor
decline in educational differences in rural residence.
Female autonomy - Compared to women in
Bangladesh and Nepal, women in Sri Lanka reported less
problems relating to getting permission to seek care for
themselves and knowing where to go; getting money for
treatment seems more of a problem (Table III). However,
educational inequalities in female autonomy were as high
or higher (in absolute and relative terms) in Sri Lanka
HOUWELING et al: SOCIAL DETERMINANTS OF CHILDHOOD MORTALITY 243
Sri Lanka Bangladesh India Nepal
average under 5 mortality 21 110 101 108
relative index of inequality 7.51 2.66 4.72 3.58
slope index of inequality 32 96 125 118
Fig. 4. Under 5 mortality levels (per 1000 live births) by educational
group for four South Asian countries DHS 1998-2000.
Data Source: Ref. 4, 6.
Table I. Under 5 mortality levels (per 1000 live births) for total
population and by maternal education, Sri Lanka
Under 5 mortality Decline between
(per 1,000 live births) 1987-2000
1987 1993 2000 Absolute %
Total population 42 32 21 21 51
Maternal education
no education 71 62 [32] 40 55
primary 43 42 33 10 22
secondary 41 27 19 22 54
more than secondary 26 20 14 12 45
RII [a] 2.4 7.3 7.5
SII [b] 35 48 32
Figures within parentheses are based on 250-499 births. [a] RII gives
the estimated mortality ratio between the lowest and highest educated
when modelling a linear trend in effect, using 3 educational
categories; [b] SII gives the estimated mortality difference between
the lowest and highest educated when modelling a linear trend in
effect, using 3 educational categories.
Source: Ref. 5-7.
Under 5 mortality
244 INDIAN J MED RES, OCTOBER 2007
Table III. Women's autonomy in four South Asian countries - % of women experiencing problems when needing to get medical advice or
treatment for themselves
Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Bangladesh India Nepal
1987 1993 2000 2004 [1] 1998/99 2001
Problems with getting permission for treatment (%):
Total na na 5 17 na 17
No education na na 16 19 na 19
Primary na na 11 19 na 13
Secondary or higher na na 3 14 na 8
Rate difference 14 5 11
Rate ratio 6.39 1.36 2.30
Not knowing where to go (%):
Total na na 6 10 na 28
No education na na 20 11 na 32
Primary na na 12 11 na 24
Secondary or higher na na 3 7 na 12
Rate difference 17 3 19
Rate ratio 6.32 1.48 2.56
Problems with getting money for treatment (%):
Total na na 33 14 na 66
No education na na 67 16 na 76
Primary na na 57 15 na 53
Secondary or higher na na 24 10 na 29
Rate difference 43 5 46
Rate ratio 2.74 1.50 2.58
[1] for Bangladesh, 2004 data were used as 2000 DHS data were not readily available for these indicators
na - not available
Source: Ref. 4-7
Table IV. Total fertility rate by educational attainment for four South Asian countries
Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Bangladesh India Nepal
1987 1993 2000 2004 [1] 1998/99 2001
Total na na 1.9 3.3 2.8 4.1
No education na na 2.4 4.1 na 4.8
Primary na na 2.9 3.3 na 3.2
Secondary or higher na na 1.9 2.4 na 2.2
Rate difference 0.5 1.7 2.6
Rate ratio 1.3 1.7 2.2
na - not available
Source: Ref. 4-7
Table II. Per cent of women living in rural areas, by educational attainment, for four South Asian countries
Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Bangladesh India Nepal
1987 1993 2000 1999/2000 1998/99 2001
Total 84 81 80 80 74 90
No education 92 89 86 86 86 94
Primary 89 86 86 83 74 88
Secondary or higher 80 78 78 66 52 72
Rate difference 12 11 8 20 34 22
Rate ratio 1.15 1.14 1.10 1.30 1.66 1.30
Source: Ref. 4-7
HOUWELING et al: SOCIAL DETERMINANTS OF CHILDHOOD MORTALITY 245
Table V. Prevalence of undernutrition among mothers and children in four South Asian countries
Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Bangladesh India Nepal
1987 1993 2000 1999/2000 1998/99 2001
Maternal malnutrition (% with BMI below 18.5)[1]
Total na na 22 45 41 27
No education na na 38 52 47 30
Primary na na 31 49 44 18
Secondary or higher na na 18 30 30 19
Rate difference na na 20 22 16 11
Rate ratio na na 2.07 1.74 1.53 1.59
% of children aged 3-36 months that is stunted [2]
Total 28 21 12 40 46 43
No education 51 41 35 48 55 47
Primary 34 29 19 41 45 35
Secondary or higher 21 16 10 25 31 26
Rate difference 29 24 25 23 24 21
Rate ratio 2.39 2.48 3.50 1.90 1.77 1.81
[1] % of women with body mass index (BMI) below 18.5, for women with births in the last three years preceding the survey. The BMI excludes
pregnant women and those who are less than three months postpartum. [2] height for age below-2 standard deviations from the median
reference population.
na - not available
compared to the other countries. In particular, differences
between the secondary education group and the rest of
the population were large in Sri Lanka.
Fertility - The total fertility rate was lower in Sri
Lanka than in the other South Asian countries (Table
IV). An educational gradient in total fertility was
observed for Sri Lanka, but it was weaker than in Nepal
and Bangladesh. Primary educated mothers, rather than
mothers with no education, had the highest fertility
rate in Sri Lanka, in contrast with Bangladesh and
Nepal.
Malnutrition - Over one in five mothers in Sri Lanka
was undernourished (Table V). The prevalence of
maternal undernourishment in Sri Lanka was somewhat
lower than in Nepal, and about twice as low as in India
and Bangladesh. However, absolute and relative
educational inequalities in Sri Lanka were as large or
larger than in the other countries. In 2000 the country
exhibited a particularly large contrast between the
secondary educated and the rest of the population.
Similarly, the substantially lower levels of chronic
malnutrition among under three year olds in Sri Lanka
went together with a steeper socio-economic gradient
compared to the other countries. Moreover, the strong
overall decline in childhood malnutrition in Sri Lanka
went together with declining absolute inequalities and
increasing relative inequalities in malnutrition. In 2000,
very substantial inequalities between educational groups
were still observed, with 35 per cent of children in the
‘no education’ group being stunted and only 10 per cent
of children in the ‘some secondary education or higher
group.
Health care use - Sri Lanka has achieved virtually
universal professional antenatal care and nearly
universal professional delivery care (overall 0 and 3%
of births respectively not received these types of care),
strongly contrasting with high levels of under-coverage
in the other South Asian countries (Table VI). The
improvements in coverage of antenatal and delivery
care over time in Sri Lanka, have been accompanied
by declining absolute inequalities. Absolute
inequalities in maternal care in 2000 in Sri Lanka were
(much) smaller than in the other South Asian countries.
Relative inequalities in undercoverage of delivery care
had, however increased over time, and were high from
a South Asian perspective, as remaining
undercoverage became increasingly concentrated
among the lower educated. Similarly, the strong
improvements in full childhood immunization
coverage in Sri Lanka-in absolute terms particularly
among the lower educated-had seemingly gone
together with rising relative inequalities in under-
coverage of immunization. In 2000, Sri Lanka still
exhibited a clear educational gradient in
undercoverage of delivery care and immunization.
Discussion
Sri Lanka is well known for its low mortality levels
at a low level of national per capita income. Our study
showed that the low mortality levels in Sri Lanka were
combined with small absolute inequalities in under 5
mortality between educational groups. These absolute
inequalities were low from an international perspective.
This may be expected, as low overall mortality levels
can only be attained if all major social groups are doing
well
10
. However, at these comparatively low mortality
levels, Sri Lanka’s relative mortality inequalities were
high from an international perspective. Moreover, the
50 per cent fall in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka has
probably been accompanied by increasing relative
mortality inequalities across educational groups. This
appeared primarily due to a lagging behind of the
primary education group. Our results for Sri Lanka
showed that a very good position in terms of overall
under 5 mortality levels, can be accompanied by high,
and further increasing, relative mortality inequalities.
246 INDIAN J MED RES, OCTOBER 2007
Sri Lanka’s position internationally, and its trends
over time, depend on the specific groups compared
and inequality measures used. There are indications
that the ‘no education’ group in Sri Lanka has seen
comparatively large declines in under 5 mortality. This
is remarkable, as increasingly small groups tend to
become negatively selected, i.e., as having a low
educational attainment becomes more an exception,
it is increasingly associated with characteristics that
instigate high mortality. The experience of this small
group (5% of women in 2000) can, however, not be
taken to be representative for country as a whole. In
contrast, primary educated women constitute a much
larger group (18% of women in 2000
5
). We used
inequality measures that capture the mortality
experience of all educational groups and that take
differences in group size across countries and over time
into account (the RII and SII). These measures can be
less robust when only a small number of socio-
economic categories are used, especially in
combination with a non-linear association between
Table VI. Health care undercoverage, by maternal education in four South Asian countries
Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Sri Lanka Bangladesh India Nepal
1987 1993 2000 1999/2000 1998/99 2001
% undercoverage of antenatal care [1]:
Total 3 0 0 67 35 52
No educaiton 14 0 2 80 52 61
Primary 4 1 0 69 24 36
Secondary or higher 2 0 0 40 10 14
Rate difference 12 0 2 40 41 48
Rate ratio 6.75 - - 2.01 5.10 4.47
% undercoverage of delivery care [2]:
Total 12 6 3 88 58 87
No educaiton 31 21 16 95 76 93
Primary 16 10 7 92 53 82
Secondary or higher 7 3 2 70 26 54
Rate difference 24 18 14 25 50 39
Rate ratio 4.52 6.60 9.20 1.36 2.94 1.73
% undercoverage of full childhood immunization [3]:
Total 33 5 7 nc nc nc
No educaiton 44 11 19 nc nc nc
Primary 41 6 9 nc nc nc
Secondary or higher 28 4 6 nc nc nc
Rate difference 16 7 13
Rate ratio 1.59 2.67 3.06
[1] % birth during 5 yr prior to survey without professional antenatal care; [2] % births during 5 yr prior to survey without professional
delivery care; [3] % of children aged 12-23 months that is not fully immunized (BCG, DPT3, Polio3, measles) among children with a health
card. nc-not comparable with data from Sri Lanka. [4] antenatal and delivery care data for India refer to births in 3 yr prior to the survey
Source: Ref.4-7
HOUWELING et al: SOCIAL DETERMINANTS OF CHILDHOOD MORTALITY 247
socio-economic position and mortality. It is unlikely
that this explains the increasing relative mortality
inequalities in Sri Lanka, as an increase is also
observed when describing mortality inequalities
between two broad educational categories (primary
education or lower vs. secondary education and above).
Secondly, sample sizes in DHS are often too small to
report changes in mortality inequality at conventional
levels of significance
8
. Also in our study, we could
not exclude the possibility that our observations were
due to chance variations. Nevertheless, the systematic
nature of the increase in relative mortality inequalities
over three time periods for Sri Lanka suggested the
increase was real. Although DHS are the best data
source available for a combined cross-country/time-
trend analysis of mortality inequalities in low and
middle income countries
8
, it would be desirable if more
powerful data sources become available for such
research
11
. Finally, the level and trends in relative
mortality inequalities in Sri Lanka presented here
might be underestimated given that a few regions with
security problems in the country were excluded from
the DHS survey. It may be expected that these regions
exhibit lower educational levels, higher mortality
levels and a slower decline in under 5 mortality, but
this would require further research.
The high and increasing relative mortality
inequalities concurrent with declining overall under 5
mortality levels in Sri Lanka were in accordance with
the general tendency of relative inequalities to rise when
overall mortality levels fall
8
. This tendency can probably
be explained by differential improvements in proximate
mortality determinants across socio-economic groups,
with slower and later improvements among more
disadvantaged groups and regions
2,8
.
Levels of health care use are high in Sri Lanka
compared with the other South Asian countries and have
improved over time. Coverage of antenatal care is
virtually universal and coverage of professional delivery
attendance is exceptionally high in all educational
groups
12
. Also full childhood immunization coverage
reaches over 80 per cent in all groups. However, these
high overall levels and the strong improvements in
health care use over time in Sri Lanka, went together
with comparatively high and increasing relative
inequalities in undercoverage. Similarly, the (from a
South Asian perspective) low levels of maternal and
childhood malnutrition in Sri Lanka, were accompanied
by comparatively steep educational gradients. Further,
while childhood malnutrition in Sri Lanka declined,
relative inequalities increased. In contrast, inequalities
in total fertility are comparatively low in Sri Lanka.
The highest fertility level was, however, observed
among the primary educated, which might have
contributed to the relatively high mortality levels in this
group.
Socio-economic inequalities in under 5 mortality
are often partly explained by the fact that lower socio-
economic groups tend to live in rural areas, which
typically exhibit characteristics that instigate high
mortality
8
. Sri Lanka, with its small rural-urban
inequalities in under 5 mortality, was exceptional in
that sense (results not shown). Whereas inequalities
within rural areas between the estates (tea plantations)
and other rural areas were very large and probably
increasing (results not shown), this appeared not to
fully explain the increasing relative mortality
inequalities by educational attainment, given the
relatively small size of the estate population (6-7% of
population). Hence, the high and increasing relative
inequalities in under 5 mortality in Sri Lanka seemed
to be a predominantly socio-economic, rather than a
regional phenomenon.
One of the factors that perhaps partly explains the
high and increasing relative mortality inequalities in
Sri Lanka was the comparatively strong educational
gradient in female autonomy in this country. Earlier
studies have associated Sri Lanka’s low mortality
levels with its good record in terms of female
autonomy
13
. Average levels of female autonomy,
however, hide a strong educational gradient in
autonomy, which may have contributed to the
increasing concentration of malnutrition and under-
coverage of health care among lower educated group
as overall levels improve.
In conclusion, despite the low overall under 5
mortality levels and absolute mortality inequalities, Sri
Lanka exhibited a clear mortality gradient across
educational groups. Under 5 mortality among children
born to mothers with primary education or below was
about twice as high as that among children born to
higher educated mothers. Further, relative inequalities
across all educational groups in Sri Lanka were high
internationally, and had probably increased over time.
This shows that the achievement of low under 5
mortality levels in Sri Lanka may have been at the
expense of increasing relative inequalities between
socio-economic groups. As levels of health care use in
Sri Lanka are high and further increasing,
undercoverage becomes increasingly concentrated in
lower socio-economic groups. Similarly, as overall
levels of malnutrition decline in Sri Lanka, malnutrition
becomes increasingly concentrated in lower socio-
economic groups. The lower levels of female autonomy
among the lower educated compared to the higher
educated in Sri Lanka, might have played a role in the
unequal improvement of these mortality determinants
and the rising mortality inequalities.
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248 INDIAN J MED RES, OCTOBER 2007
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... Various regression frameworks have been utilized in this direction. This paper has reviewed empirical works on Uganda, India, Zambia, Sri Lanka, Malawi and cross-country studies that found various factors significant in explaining child undernutrition and mortality [6,7,8,9,10,11,12,13,14,15]. Among these factors are: mothers' education; maternal age; housing, water and sanitation situation; household density; energy used for cooking; geographic location of households; household wealth; pre-/postnatal care; deliveries Volume 13 No.5December 2013 attended by professionals; price of food; supply of micronutrients; gross domestic product; and health expenditure. ...
... Contrary to expectation but not uncommon in contemporary research is the evidence that all nine undernutrition regressions (national, rural and urban) do not reveal significant differentials between children born to poor wealth-quintile households and those to rich wealth-quintile households. There is sizeable literature that income and wealth do matter to meet health and nutritional needs, but other factors such as information dissemination on preventive healthcare and nutrition through robust public health programmes could matter most [2,4,6,7,9,11]. Given the expected correlation between education and wealth, and wealth and other development variables, the effect of wealth may have passed through education and other significant covariates to affect undernutrition in this study. It is a general limitation is carrying out such analysis that welfare indicators are generally closely correlated [23] and thus conclusions could be useful but must be treated with a caveat. ...
... Within the limitation of the data used in this analysis and model techniques employed, the most outstanding inference from this study is the need to focus policy on promoting public health and mothers' education in addressing nutritional deficiency and child mortality in Sierra Leone. This is also highly recommended for other developing countries [2,4,5,6,7,9,11,26]. There is need to improve information dissemination on good behavioural practices and cost-effective nutritional alternatives to ensure optimal and sustainable childcare. ...
Article
This study has analysed the determinants of child undernutrition and mortality in Sierra Leone with the objective of identifying key predictors to advise policy . It utilises the country’s Demographic and Health Survey 2008. The estimation of the empirical model employs a seemingly unrelated r egression (SUR) technique and probit framework. The predictors of undernutrition found most significant are: mothers’ education ; housing environment measured by household density , accommodation capacity and sanitary condition; regional development differentials ; having vegetables in the diet for mothers and children ; and immunization. The predictors found significant for tackling mortality are : mothers’ education; household density ; recognition of gendered differential needs for children; nutritional deficiency ; micronutrient supplement ; and postnatal care . The policy simulations demonstrate that focusing policy on these factors could immensely help address child growth problems in the country. More particularly, t he paper suggests the need for a greater focus on supporting mother s ’ education and strengthening public health in childcare management . That, while modern medicine is always crucial , it can be perceived only as bolstering good natural practices in caring for children . It is noted that children that are chronically undernourished can resist episodic sources of undernutrition more strongly than those that have not been undernourished before. This supports the argument that while ‘ vulnerability ’ and ‘ poverty ’ are closely related concepts , they are separable from a static and dynamic point of view ; the former measures the probability of becoming poor due to exposure to shocks even if one is currently better - off , or the probability of becoming poorer for those that are already poor . Child wasting appears closer to vulnerability than stunting , which is mainly noted with those already in poverty . Therefore, policies should target both urban and rural settlers — the former are characterised in this study by higher incidence of child wasting (acute undernutrition ) while the latter are characterised by higher incidence of stunting ( chronic undernutrition ). The study does not find any strict linearity in the expectation of the distribution and dynamics of the effects of nutritional deficiency and morbid episode s across the socioeconomic groups analysed , thereby evincing the need for careful policy targeting . T he four regions of the country should be evaluated carefully in policy targeting processes , given that there are urban poverty pockets as well as rural poverty pockets .
... Irrespective of this potential limitation, these studies concluded that child malnutrition is a public health challenge that remains unresolved in Sri Lanka (Jayasekara and Schultz, 2007;Jayasinghe, 2010;Jayawardena, 2014). According to Houweling et al. (2007), advancement in health care use and declining levels of malnutrition in Sri Lanka ran parallel with high and increasing relative inequalities in health care and malnutrition. ...
... However, the same study, which used a quantile regression approach to find out the determinants of child nutrition, argues that neither parental education nor income growth is effective for children in the lower distribution of height and weight (Aturupane et al., 2008). The impact of child malnutrition was found by several researchers to cause lower academic performance, vulnerability to infections and negative effects on cognitive development, as well as influencing economic productivity when these malnourished children become adults (Houweling et al., 2007;Liyanage, 2016;Wisniewski, 2010). Many studies highlight that since the causes of malnutrition are multi-faceted, proper mechanisms should require strengthening of nutritional interventions (Aturupane et al., 2008;Jayawardena, 2014;Rajapaksa, 2011). ...
Thesis
Sri Lanka has been able to achieve satisfactory progress in health and developmental goals, characterized by substantial declines in infant, child and maternal mortality rates. Despite low mortality levels, better access to healthcare, food security and economic growth, there is little improvement in child nutrition – a paradox and a critical policy challenge that remain unresolved for over the last two decades. Low Birth Weight (LBW), child stunting, wasting and underweight have remained high at constant levels for past 10 years, with increasing health inequalities across different social and ethnic groups. On the other hand, rapid socioeconomic and nutrition transitions can lead to the emergence of a double burden of malnutrition (DBM). This has not been systematically investigated at the national level. Using the data from most recent Sri Lankan Demographic and Health Survey (SDHS), this research investigates the bio-behavioural, socioeconomic and demographic factors underlying inequalities in child nutritional outcomes in Sri Lanka. Further, it examines the risk factors associated with the prevalence of DBM at the household level. The first paper investigates social inequalities underlying LBW outcomes using fixed and random intercept logistic regression models and inequality measures. The results show that LBW is linked to socioeconomic disadvantage, as it is highly concentrated among poor households and in rural and the estate sector; in particular Indian Tamils in the estate sector have the highest risk of LBW of any comparable sub-group of the population. There was substantial unobserved variation in LBW outcomes between mothers. Regression models confirmed that LBW is more closely associated with maternal biological factors, including maternal depletion, than it is with socioeconomic factors. The second paper examines the extent of inequalities in child stunting, wasting and underweight and how these are distributed across different socioeconomic groups, residential sectors and geographical regions. The results show that LBW and BMI are associated with all three outcomes. The effect of child immunisation and feeding practices was not strong for child undernutrition outcomes. Results also suggested that characteristics of the children, their mothers and the households in which they live explain most of the variance in child undernutrition. There is relatively little variation between communities that is not accounted by the composition of those communities. The third paper assesses the driving factors associated with coexistence of child stunting and maternal overweight and obesity at the same household. The results confirm that Sri Lanka is facing a DBM at the household level, with the coexistence of child stunting and maternal overweight. LBW status, maternal age, number of household members, delivery mode, wealth status, ethnicity and province are significantly associated with DBM. Overall, the survey evidence demonstrates that LBW and undernutrition among children are clearly interlinked with socioeconomic disadvantages. The findings of this study suggest that Sri Lanka is facing a dual nutrition challenge of reducing both child undernutrition and maternal overweight and obesity, which are intertwined. The study recommends that child health policies and interventions in Sri Lanka should address both under-nutrition as well as preventing obesity and obesity-related chronic disease risks of malnourished children and their mothers.
... The decrease in the under-five mortality rate, therefore, is not only desirable but also indicative of an improvement in the level of social and economic development and general standards of living (Barman and Talukdar, 2014). The improvement in child survival has been found to be associated with positive changes in the socioeconomic status of the people (Houweling et al, 2007). In India, 2.1 million children are estimated to die before reaching their fifth birthday. ...
... 66 The pace of these positive developments is, of course, much slower in lower income societies like Myanmar, Nepal, Bangladesh, rural regions of India, Pakistan and Indonesia, which contribute greatly to early childhood mortality across the region. 67 Yet, one should understand that unsafe water drinking remains directly correlated to both infectious juvenile diarrhea syndromes 68 and heavy metal toxicities. 69 There is an abundance of academic literature on complex causal relationship between economic growth and human survival. ...
Article
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Purpose: The goal of this study was to assess the effectiveness of healthcare spending among the leading Asian economies. Methods: We have selected a total of nine Asian nations, based on the strength of their economic output and long-term real GDP growth rates. The OECD members included Japan and the Republic of Korea, while the seven non-OECD nations were China, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Pakistan, the Philippines, and Thailand. Healthcare systems efficiency was analyzed over the period 1996-2017. To assess the effectiveness of healthcare expenditure of each group of countries, the two-way fixed effects model (country- and year effects) was used. Results: Quality of governance and current health expenditure determine healthcare system performance. Population density and urbanization are positively associated with a healthy life expectancy in the non-OECD Asian countries. In this group, unsafe water drinking has a statistically negative effect on healthy life expectancy. Interestingly, only per capita consumption of carbohydrates is significantly linked with healthy life expectancy. In these non-OECD Asian countries, unsafe water drinking and per capita carbon dioxide emissions increase infant mortality. There is a strong negative association between GDP per capita and infant mortality in both sub-samples, although its impact is far larger in the OECD group. In Japan and South Korea, unemployment is negatively associated with infant mortality. Conclusion: Japan outperforms other countries from the sample in major healthcare performance indicators, while South Korea is ranked second. The only exception is per capita carbon dioxide emissions, which have maximal values in the Republic of Korea and Japan. Non-OECD nations' outcomes were led by China, as the largest economy. This group was characterized with substantial improvement in efficiency of health spending since the middle of the 1990s. Yet, progress was noted with remarkable heterogeneity within the group.
... The probability of dying in childhood is higher among the poor as compared to the rich income households. Income is the most important determinant of child and women's health status (Cleland, Bicego & Fegan, 1992;Houweling, Jayasinghe & Chandola, 2007). Continuous health deprivation on the grounds of caste and income shapes challenges for the health care system. ...
Article
Full-text available
Since time unmemorable, the caste system has been prevalent in Indian society. It has deeply developed roots in human minds, which leads to income inequality in the country. In the era of globalization and privatization, inequalities have extended to a large extent, which in turn has serious consequences for women and children’s health. In this article, an attempt has been made to understand the Caste, Income and Regional inequalities as determinants of health of women and children. For this study, the data are derived from the National Family Health Survey III conducted during 2005–2006. Bivariate and regression analysis has been done to understand the likelihood of health status of women and child in different categories. The results show that the scheduled tribes and schedule castes having poor wealth quintile and northern Indian women and children are at a greater disadvantage in all indicators of women and child health as compared to other groups.
... 8,10 Our findings that childhood mortality disparities by maternal educational attainment narrowed slightly over time are consistent with findings from south Asia. 47,48 In rural areas of the United Republic of Tanzania 43,49 and other low-and middle-income countries 3,4 household wealth is a predictive factor of disparities in under-five mortality. During our study period, mortality disparities between the poorest and richest worsened in Rufiji and remained stable in Ifakara. ...
Article
Full-text available
Objective To explore trends in socioeconomic disparities and under-five mortality rates in rural parts of the United Republic of Tanzania between 2000 and 2011. Methods We used longitudinal data on births, deaths, migrations, maternal educational attainment and household characteristics from the Ifakara and Rufiji health and demographic surveillance systems. We estimated hazard ratios (HR) for associations between mortality and maternal educational attainment or relative household wealth, using Cox hazard regression models. Findings The under-five mortality rate declined in Ifakara from 132.7 deaths per 1000 live births (95% confidence interval, CI: 119.3–147.4) in 2000 to 66.2 (95% CI: 59.0–74.3) in 2011 and in Rufiji from 118.4 deaths per 1000 live births (95% CI: 107.1–130.7) in 2000 to 76.2 (95% CI: 66.7–86.9) in 2011. Combining both sites, in 2000–2001, the risk of dying for children of uneducated mothers was 1.44 (95% CI: 1.08–1.92) higher than for children of mothers who had received education beyond primary school and in 2010–2011, the HR was 1.18 (95% CI: 0.90–1.55). In contrast, mortality disparities between richest and poorest quintiles worsened in Rufiji, from 1.20 (95% CI: 0.99–1.47) in 2000–2001 to 1.48 (95% CI: 1.15–1.89) in 2010–2011, while in Ifakara, disparities narrowed from 1.30 (95% CI: 1.09–1.55) to 1.15 (95% CI: 0.95–1.39) in the same period. Conclusion While childhood survival has improved, mortality disparities still persist, suggesting a need for policies and programmes that both reduce child mortality and address socioeconomic disparities.
... The latter was not apparent in the Nouna HDSS where Nouna town remained at an advantage. Concerning education, studies from Nepal and Sri Lanka found increasing mortality disparities between children of mothers with different educational attainment [24], while a study from Indonesia showed decreasing disparity by educational attainment and an unclear time trend for household wealth and region of residence [25]. ...
Article
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Within relatively small areas there exist high spatial variations of mortality between villages. In rural Burkina Faso, with data from 1993 to 1998, clusters of particularly high child mortality were identified in the population of the Nouna Health and Demographic Surveillance System (HDSS), a member of the INDEPTH Network. In this paper we report child mortality with respect to temporal trends, spatial clustering and disparity in this HDSS from 1993 to 2012. Poisson regression was used to describe village-specific child mortality rates and time trends in mortality. The Spatial Scan statistic was used to identify villages or village clusters with higher child mortality. Clustering of mortality in the area is still present, but not as strong as before. The disparity of child mortality between villages has decreased. The decrease occurred in the context of an overall halving of child mortality in the rural area of Nouna HDSS between 1993 and 2012. Extrapolated to the Millennium Development Goals target period 1990 to 2015, this yields an estimated reduction of 54%, which is not too far off the aim of a two-thirds reduction. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
Article
Maternal education is widely regarded as a core social determinant of child mortality in low-income countries. In Myanmar, the evidence related to context-specific social determinants of health including maternal education is scarce, limiting grounds to advocate for a comprehensive health policy. Employing multivariate methods, the study analyzed the 2015-2016 Demographic Health Survey data exploring independent effect of maternal education on neonatal, infant, and under-5 mortality. The study found that maternal education was not significantly associated with neonatal mortality as its effect was confounded by household wealth and geographic residence; however, it had independent effect on infant and under-5 mortality. Mothers with primary education had 23% reduction in the odds of under-5 mortality ( P < .001); those with secondary level had 40% reduction ( P < .001); and those at higher level had 62% reduction ( P < .001). The study concluded that maternal education is a critical social determinant of childhood mortalities in Myanmar.
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Objective To examine gender differences in infant survival on the first day of life, in the first week of life, and in the neonatal and post-neonatal periods by socio-demographic and economic variables. Design Secondary data analysis was performed on data from a cluster randomised trial on the effect of implementation of the Integrated Management of Neonatal and Childhood Illness programme, India. Settings The study setting was Palwal and Faridabad, districts of Haryana, a state in North India. Measures Multiple logistic regression models taking the cluster design into account were used to estimate gender differences in mortality in different periods of infancy. Results A total of 60 480 infants were included in these analyses. Of 4060 infant deaths, 2054 were female (7.2% of all females born) and 2006 were male (6.3% of all males born). The death rate was significantly higher in females in the post-neonatal period but not during the neonatal period. The odds of death at 29–180 days and at 181–365 days were 1.4 (95% CI 1.3 to 1.6) and 1.7 (95% CI: 1.4 to 2.0) higher in females compared with males, respectively. This increase was seen across all sociodemographic and economic strata. Conclusion Gender differences during the post-neonatal period are a major threat to the survival and health of female infants in India. Programmes need to identify measures that can specifically reduce female mortality.
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In this paper we review the available summary measures for the magnitude of socio-economic inequalities in health. Measures which have been used differ in a number of important respects, including (1) the measurement of "relative" or "absolute" differences; (2) the measurement of an "effect" of lower socio-economic status, or of the "total impact" of socio-economic inequalities in health upon the health status of the population; (3) simple versus sophisticated measurement techniques. Based on this analysis of summary measures which have previously been applied, eight different classes of summary measures can be distinguished. Because measures of "total impact" can be further subdivided on the basis of their underlying assumptions, we finally arrive at 12 types of summary measure. Each of these has its merits, and choice of a particular type of summary measure will depend partly on technical considerations, partly on one's perspective on socio-economic inequalities in health. In practice, it will often be useful to compare the results of several summary measures. These principles are illustrated with two examples: one on trends in the magnitude of inequalities in mortality by occupational class in Finland, and one on trends in the magnitude of inequalities in self-reported morbidity by level of education in the Netherlands.
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As reducing socio-economic inequalities in health is an important public health objective, monitoring of these inequalities is an important public health task. The specific inequality measure used can influence the conclusions drawn, and there is no consensus on which measure is most meaningful. The key issue raising most debate is whether to use relative or absolute inequality measures. Our paper aims to inform this debate and develop recommendations for monitoring health inequalities on the basis of empirical analyses for a broad range of developing countries. Wealth-group specific data on under-5 mortality, immunisation coverage, antenatal and delivery care for 43 countries were obtained from the Demographic and Health Surveys. These data were used to describe the association between the overall level of these outcomes on the one hand, and relative and absolute poor-rich inequalities in these outcomes on the other. We demonstrate that the values that the absolute and relative inequality measures can take are bound by mathematical ceilings. Yet, even where these ceilings do not play a role, the magnitude of inequality is correlated with the overall level of the outcome. The observed tendencies are, however, not necessities. There are countries with low mortality levels and low relative inequalities. Also absolute inequalities showed variation at most overall levels. Our study shows that both absolute and relative inequality measures can be meaningful for monitoring inequalities, provided that the overall level of the outcome is taken into account. Suggestions are given on how to do this. In addition, our paper presents data that can be used for benchmarking of inequalities in the field of maternal and child health in low and middle-income countries.
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Progress towards the Millennium Development Goals for maternal health has been slow, and accelerated progress in scaling up professional delivery care is needed. This paper describes poor-rich inequalities in the use of maternity care and seeks to understand these inequalities through comparisons with other types of health care. Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 45 developing countries were used to describe poor-rich inequalities by wealth quintiles in maternity care (professional delivery care and antenatal care), full childhood immunization coverage and medical treatment for diarrhoea and acute respiratory infections (ARI). Poor-rich inequalities in maternity care in general, and professional delivery care in particular, are much greater than those in immunization coverage or treatment for childhood illnesses. Public-sector inequalities make up a major part of the poor-rich inequalities in professional delivery attendance. Even delivery care provided by nurses and midwives favours the rich in most countries. Although poor-rich inequalities within both rural and urban areas are large, most births without professional delivery care occur among the rural poor. Poor-rich inequalities in professional delivery care are much larger than those in the other forms of care. Reducing poor-rich inequalities in professional delivery care is essential to achieving the MDGs for maternal health. The greatest improvements in professional delivery care can be made by increasing coverage among the rural poor. Problems with availability, accessibility and affordability, as well as the nature of the services and demand factors, appear to contribute to the larger poor-rich inequalities in delivery care. A concerted effort of equity-oriented policy and research is needed to address the huge poor-rich inequalities in maternity care.
Article
Worldwide more than 10 million children die each year before their fifth birthday (Black et al. 2003). Not only are these deaths concentrated in low and middle income countries; children of the poor and less educated within these countries too exhibit systematically higher mortality levels. Policy makers are learning that improving average population health is not enough. Monitoring and tackling inequalities in health between socio-economic groups within countries has become an increasingly important objective. Whereas research on socio-economic health inequalities is a well-established tradition in high income countries, it is only recently that such inequalities are being studied more systematically in relation to low and middle income countries as well. This has raised new issues regarding measurement and methodology, but also provides opportunities for contributing to existing debates. The first aim of this thesis is to contribute to the evaluation of measures to describe socio-economic mortality inequalities in low and middle income countries. Accurate and valid measurement of socio-economic mortality inequalities is a prerequisite for establishing the magnitude of the problem, for monitoring, and for unravelling its determinants. The second aim of this thesis is to contribute to the description and explanation of time and place variations in the magnitude of socio-economic inequalities in under-5 mortality. Not much is known about how socio-economic inequalities in under-5 mortality vary across countries or over time, and what the determinants of these variations are. Understanding why inequalities are larger in some populations than in others is a first step towards evidence based public health interventions. The availability of Demographic and Health Survey data for multiple time periods for a large set of low and middle income countries, the heterogeneity across these countries and the rapid changes that some countries are experiencing, provide a unique opportunity to contribute to the issues raised above.
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The paper defines 'health transition' and outlines the development of recent research programmes. Evidence is reviewed as to the cultural, social and behavioural determinants of health in the Third World, and the extent to which they interact with the provision of health services in reducing mortality. Specific attention is given to the impact on mortality of education, and the historic experience of the now developed countries is compared with contemporary developing countries. Consideration is also given to the role of cultural factors and to radicalism, egalitarianism and the role of women in traditional society as well as fertility control and various forms of deleterious behaviour in contemporary society. The extent to which all these changes are facets of a single social transformation is discussed. Finally, the future of health transition research and its value for planned health interventions are summarized.
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There is considerable international concern that child-health inequities seem to be getting worse between and within richer and poorer countries. The "inverse equity hypothesis" is proposed to explain how such health inequities may get worse, remain the same, or improve over time. We postulate that as new public-health interventions and programmes initially reach those of higher socioeconomic status and only later affect the poor, there are early increases in inequity ratios for coverage, morbidity, and mortality indicators. Inequities only improve later when the rich have achieved new minimum achievable levels for morbidity and mortality and the poor gain greater access to the interventions. The hypothesis was examined using three epidemiological data sets for time trends in child-health inequities within Brazil. Time trends for inequity ratios for morbidity and mortality, which were consistent with the hypothesis, showed both improvements and deterioration over time, despite the indicators showing absolute improvements in health status between rich and poor.
Good health at low cost Rockefeller Foundation
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Halstead SB, Walsh JA, Warren KS, editors. Good health at low cost. New York: Rockefeller Foundation; 1985.
Good health at low cost
  • S B Halstead
  • J A Walsh
  • K S Warren
Halstead SB, Walsh JA, Warren KS, editors. Good health at low cost. New York: Rockefeller Foundation; 1985.