ArticlePDF Available

Validity of InterVA model versus physician review of verbal autopsy for tracking tuberculosis-related mortality in Ethiopia

Authors:

Abstract and Figures

Background In most African countries where a legitimate vital registration system is lacking, physicians often review verbal autopsy (VA) data to determine the cause of death, while there are concerns about the routine practicality, accuracy, and reliability of this procedure. In Ethiopia where the burden of tuberculosis (TB) remains unacceptably high, reliable VA data are needed to guide intervention strategies. This study aimed to validate the InterVA model against the physician VA in tracking TB-related mortality in Ethiopia. Methods From a sample of deaths in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, VAs were conducted on TB-related mortality, physician-certified verbal autopsy (PCVA) through multiple steps to ascertain the causes of death. InterVA model was used to interpret the causes of death. Estimates of TB-related deaths between physician reviews and the InterVA model were compared using Cohen’s Kappa (k), Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, sensitivity, and specificity to compare agreement between PCVA and InterVA. Results A total of 8952 completed PCVA were used. The InterVA model had an optimal likelihood cut-off point sensitivity of 0.64 (95% CI: 59.0–69.0) and specificity of 0.95 (95% CI: 94.9–95.8). The area under the ROC curve was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.78–0.81). The level of agreement between physician reviews and the InterVA model to identifying TB-related mortality was moderate (k = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.57–0.61). Conclusion The InterVA model is a viable alternative to physician review for tracking TB-related causes of death in Ethiopia. From a public health perspective, InterVA helps to analyze the underlying causes of TB-related deaths cost-effectively using routine survey data and translate to policies and strategies in resource-constrained countries.
This content is subject to copyright. Terms and conditions apply.
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07193-w
RESEARCH
Validity ofInterVA model versusphysician
review ofverbal autopsy fortracking
tuberculosis-related mortality inEthiopia
Haileleuel Bisrat1*, Tsegahun Manyazewal1, Hussen Mohammed1,2, Bilal Shikur1,3 and Getnet Yimer1,3
Abstract
Background: In most African countries where a legitimate vital registration system is lacking, physicians often review
verbal autopsy (VA) data to determine the cause of death, while there are concerns about the routine practicality,
accuracy, and reliability of this procedure. In Ethiopia where the burden of tuberculosis (TB) remains unacceptably
high, reliable VA data are needed to guide intervention strategies. This study aimed to validate the InterVA model
against the physician VA in tracking TB-related mortality in Ethiopia.
Methods: From a sample of deaths in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, VAs were conducted on TB-related mortality, physician-
certified verbal autopsy (PCVA) through multiple steps to ascertain the causes of death. InterVA model was used to
interpret the causes of death. Estimates of TB-related deaths between physician reviews and the InterVA model were
compared using Cohen’s Kappa (k), Receiver-operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, sensitivity, and specificity to
compare agreement between PCVA and InterVA.
Results: A total of 8952 completed PCVA were used. The InterVA model had an optimal likelihood cut-off point
sensitivity of 0.64 (95% CI: 59.0–69.0) and specificity of 0.95 (95% CI: 94.9–95.8). The area under the ROC curve was 0.79
(95% CI: 0.78–0.81). The level of agreement between physician reviews and the InterVA model to identifying TB-related
mortality was moderate (k = 0.59, 95% CI: 0.57–0.61).
Conclusion: The InterVA model is a viable alternative to physician review for tracking TB-related causes of death in
Ethiopia. From a public health perspective, InterVA helps to analyze the underlying causes of TB-related deaths cost-
effectively using routine survey data and translate to policies and strategies in resource-constrained countries.
Keywords: Tuberculosis, Mortality, Verbal autopsy, InterVA, Cause of death, Ethiopia
© The Author(s) 2022. Open Access This ar ticle is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which
permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the
original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or
other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line
to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory
regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this
licence, visit http:// creat iveco mmons. org/ licen ses/ by/4. 0/. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http:// creat iveco
mmons. org/ publi cdoma in/ zero/1. 0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated in a credit line to the data.
Background
Tuberculosis (TB) remains one of the major public health
threats worldwide [1]. According to the WHO 2020
annual TB report [2], an estimated 10 million people
fell ill with TB in 2019, and close to half a million peo-
ple developed rifampicin-resistant TB (RR-TB), of which
78% had multidrug-resistant TB (MDR-TB). In Ethiopia,
TB is still a major public health concern [36]. e coun-
try is among the 30 countries with the highest burden of
TB, TB/HIV, and multi-drug resistant TB. Although the
TB burden in Ethiopia has steadily declined, the esti-
mated incidence remains high at 151 per 100,000 popula-
tions and a death rate of 24 per 100,000 population.
In developing countries and Africa in particular, accu-
rate and reliable data on causes of death is essentially
lacking [79]. Ethiopia is one of those countries with
an impaired vital registration system [911]. Mortality
Open Access
*Correspondence: haylishb2@gmail.com
1 Center for Innovative Drug Development and Therapeutic Trials
for Africa (CDT-Africa), College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University,
P.O. Box 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Full list of author information is available at the end of the article
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 2 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
estimates, so far, are derived poorly from demographic
and health surveys, surveillance systems, and math-
ematical models. e Addis Ababa Mortality Surveil-
lance Program (AAMSP) is a unique undertaking, which
monitors citywide mortality based on burial surveillance
in all cemeteries within the city boundary [12]. e pro-
gram collects further information on causes of death and
other socio-demographic characteristics through Verbal
Autopsy (VA) from cases sampled out of burial registries.
e verbal autopsy expert algorithm (InterVA) is a
compter-driven model developed and used to interpret
VA data into probable causes of death [13]. It calculates
the probability of a set of causes of death, given the pres-
ence of indicators (circumstances, signs, and symptoms)
reported in VA interviews [14]. It is faster and cheaper,
although statistical modeling of this sort may not reflect
the subjective subtleties of physicians’ review [15], it is
advantageous in terms of efficiency, consistency, and
standardization. As a result, there is an increasing trend
to shift from physician’s based review to InterVA model;
however, the reliability of this model across different set-
tings has not been studied well [15].
In most of the African countries, including Ethio-
pia, where a legitimate vital registration system is lack-
ing, physicians often review VA data to determine the
cause of death, while there are concerns on the routine
practicality, accuracy, and reliability of this procedure.
In Ethiopia where the burden of TB remains unaccept-
ably high, reliable VA data are needed to guide decision-
making strategies. e country needs reliable data on
the level and causes of TB-related mortality for effective
TB program implementation and realization of the End
TB strategy by 2035. is study aimed to validate the
InterVA model against the physician VA in tracking TB-
related mortality in Ethiopia.
Method
is study used a completed verbal autopsy between
2007 and 2017. e cause of death assigned by physicians
and InterVA was compared at the individual level.
Source ofdata
e source of data was from VA and physician review
records of the AAMSP database. e AAMSP used to
register all deaths that happen in Addis Ababa on regu-
lar basis. e primary source of AAMSP data was death
registration followed by verbal autopsy interviews. Infor-
mation gathered from a standardized interview about
the circumstances of death from relatives or friends or
close caregivers of the deceased was reviewed by physi-
cians to assign causes of death. e AAMSP was estab-
lished in 2001 in Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia
with the main objective of monitoring cause-specific
mortality with a special focus on HIV/AIDS. From a
total of 89 cemeteries, the program collected information
about decedents’ background information and lay the
cause of death from family members[13, 16].
Data collection
Burial surveillance
A burial surveillance form has been used by cemetery
clerks who trained about death registrations in training
workshops. In each of the cemeteries, one or two ceme-
tery-based clerks were assigned to register deaths using
the burial surveillance form prepared for this purpose.
e variables registered by the cemetery clerks include
the name of the deceased, date of burial, age, sex, birth
region, marital status, ethnicity, religion, specific address,
and lay cause of death. More than 15,000 deaths have
been registered annually from all the cemeteries. e
data that was collected from all cemeteries of Addis
Ababa was entered into computer software to serve as a
sampling frame for VA.
Verbal autopsy
A random sample of about ten percent of burial records
from all cemeteries except ‘Baytewar’ cemetery was
selected for VA interviews. ‘Baytewar’ is an Amharic
word used to refer to a stranger or someone who is
socially isolated. In Baytewar cemetery, bodies with no
close relatives or friends to facilitate a funeral were bur-
ied. e Baytewar cemetery alone accommodated around
15% of the total number of burials. Most of these were
infant bodies delivered by the obstetric wards of hospitals
and remain unidentified cemetery and those with com-
plete addresses were not eligible for VA interviews.
Verbal autopsies were conducted by trained inter-
viewers after 2 to 3months of the mourning period. e
interviewers were trained on how to contact respondents
when to interview and complete the questionnaires. Of
the total records that were sampled for VA interviews,
about 7.6% were not completed with the main reasons
either respondents refused the interview or the house-
holds were not found.
VA employs a standardized questionnaire to produce
information about the causes of death. rough this pro-
cess, the information on the sign, symptoms, medical
history, and circumstances preceding deaths were elic-
ited by interviewing the next kin or caregiver. e cause
or sequence of causes that led to death were assigned
based on data collected from the questionnaire and any
health records and narrative section that has been avail-
able. e VA questionnaire was adapted from one used
at the INDEPTH Network site [17] and included a set of
questions previously used in Ethiopia [1820] and modi-
fied on the WHO 2012 VA instrument developed by the
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 3 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
WHO, Health Metrics Network (HMN), and the IN-
DEPTH-Network [21].
Physician review
Physicians reviewed the completed VA questionnaire to
ascertain the causes of deaths which were done in mul-
tiple steps. Initially, the cause of death was assigned
independently by two physicians after they review the
completed VA questionnaire. en, the two-physicians
diagnosis was checked by the surveillance team mem-
bers. If the two-physician diagnosis (for the assigned
cause of death) contradicts, a third physician reviewed
the case, and the final assignment was made based on
the agreement between any two of the three physicians.
However, if the assigned cause of death by the third phy-
sician was not in agreement with any of the two-physi-
cian diagnoses, the cause for death was assigned on a
panel discussion between them. In the situation where
the three physicians could not reach an agreement, the
cause of death was assigned as undetermined. e phy-
sicians were participating to review the process which
was second- or third-year internal medicine residents of
Addis Ababa University recruited to join the university
after serving two or more years as a General Practitioner
(GP) in any of the public hospitals. We provided them
training and annual refreshments on the standard verbal
autopsy method.
InterVA
e physician and the InterVA-3.2 model independently
assessed the same basic data from the VA questionnaire.
e study tested the concordance of assigning any kind
of TB as a cause of death between physician review and
the interval model. e model’s input data include signs,
symptoms, medical history, and situations collected from
the VA questionnaires’ close-ended questions. Compiling
the same VA data into an input file for the InterVA model
and processing it into the cause of death data, data adap-
tations were made to match the model. e model addi-
tionally demands a "high" or "low" input to describe the
local prevalence of two specific causes, which can vary by
order of magnitude between settings. e WHO verbal
autopsy tool does not have data on some InterVA mark-
ers, thus they were left blank.
A STATA do file used to validate the model in 2003 was
revised and applied to produce parameters essential for
the model. Kappa statistics, ROC curve, sensitivity, and
specificity were applied to compare agreement between
PCVA and InterVA. Causes of death are assigned
to a predefined matrix of evaluated probabilities of
occurrence.
Interpretation oftheInterVA model
e model relates a range of input indicators, like sex,
age, physical signs and symptoms, medical record, and
therefore the circumstances of death to likely CODs
using Bayesian probabilities [22]. e model leads to up
to 3 likely causes per case when possible; each related
to a quantified likelihood. To assign an estimate of the
certainty for that patient, the model gives the common
likelihood for a maximum of three CODs [23]. during
this study, a high prevalence of Malaria and HIV/AIDS
were used as basic epidemiological parameters for the
model as their prevalence varies from place to put. Data
were entered case-by-case into Microsoft visual FoxPro
window of the InterVA version 3.2 to assign the pos-
sible COD responsible for the death of every individual.
Distribution ofN subjects byphysician review andInterVA
model category
e formula we used to determine the distribution of
subjects by physician review and InterVA model cat-
egory was:
where Po = the relative observed agreement among
raters.
Pe = the hypothetical probability of chance agreement
K = Kappa statis
Physician review
Category 1
(Yes) Category 2
(No) Total
InterVA
Model Cate-
gory 1
(Yes)
a B a + b P1. = (a + b)/N
Cat-
egory
2 (No)
c D c + d P2. = (c + d)/N
Total a + c b + d N
P
0.1 = (a + c)/N P
0.2 = (b + d)/N
where a = the total number of instances that both raters
said were correct. e raters are in agreement.
b = the total number of instances that rater 2 said
was incorrect, but rater 1 said were correct. is is also
disagreement.
K
=
P
o
P
e
1
Pe
=
11P
o
1
Pe
Po
=
a
+
d
N
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 4 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
c = the total number of instances that rater 1 said
was incorrect, but rater 2 said were correct. is is also
disagreement.
d = the total number of instances that both raters said
was incorrect. Raters are in agreement.
In Cohen’s kappa, the chance agreement is defined as
the sum of the products of marginal distributions, i.e.
Receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curve
For both PCVA and InterVA, the area under the receiver
operator characteristics (ROC) curve was used to assess
overall diagnostic performance (properly diagnosing all
diseases). e area under the curve (AUC) of a procedure
should be near one for it to be highly sensitive and spe-
cific. e approach is more accurate if the curve closely
aligns the left-hand border and the top border of the
ROC space. If the area under the ROC curve was more
than 0.75, we evaluated our methods to be appropriate.
Validity measures: sensitivity andspecicity
Sensitivity and specificity with their 95% confidence
intercal (CI) were compared for PCVA and InterVA
model. e formula for the calculation were defined as:
Where: TP = true positive; FP = false positive;
TN = true negative; FN = false negative.
Inclusion andexclusion criteria
e inclusion criteria were all records where causes of
death were assigned and those with all the information
like identification of decedents, sex, age, house address,
and date of birth.
e exclusion criteria were records with missing in
address, name, inconsistency in the address including
place of burial. Causes of death assigned by the InterVA
model as “Indeterminate” were also excluded from the
analysis.
Data management andanalysis
Data analysis was conducted using STATA 14 software.
Individual decedents had a unique ID and all datasets
were merged using this ID before analysis. Two sepa-
rate variables (TB_inerva and TB_pr) were generated
for comparison purposes and documenting the trend of
Pe(k)
=
P.1
P1.
+
P.2
P2.
Sensitivity
=
TP
(TP
+
FN)
Specificity
=
TN
(FP
+
TN)
TB-related death. Coding and recoding, labeling, and
analysis were done.
Estimates of TB-related deaths between physician
reviews and the InterVA model were compared using
Cohen’s Kappa (k) and ROC curve analysis. A Kappa
value of < 0 indicates no agreement and 0–0.20 as slight,
0.21–0.40 as fair, 0.41–0.60 as moderate, 0.61–0.80 as
substantial, and 0.81–1 as almost perfect agreement.
In this paper, sensitivity refers to the ability of the
InterVA model to correctly identify TB-related deaths
as assigned by the physician method; whereas specificity
refers to the proportion of Death from other causes that
are correctly identified as non TB. ese two measures
were closely related to type I and type II errors. Both sen-
sitivity and specificity were calculated.
Ethical considerations
e study has been reviewed and approved by the Ethio-
pian National Research Ethics Review Committee of the
Ethiopian Ministry of Science and Technology, and the
Institutional Review Board of the College of Health Sci-
ences, Addis Ababa University. Informed consent was
obtained from caregivers or another eligible adult in the
family during the VA interview. Access to the AAMSP
data was obtained from the Addis Ababa University Mor-
tality surveillance team that manages the project. e
participants remained anonymous and were not identi-
fied in the research report or in other means used to dis-
seminate findings.
Results
Background characteristics
A total of 8952 VA was completed with physician diagno-
sis in the period September 2007 to 2017. Of these, 4618
(51.6%) were male and 4086 (45.6%) were from the age
group 65years and above. Regarding educational status,
3836 (42.8%) had completed elementary and/or second-
ary school, while 3721 (41.6%) were illiterates. About
3936 (44%) and 2471 (27.6%) of decedents were married
and widowed, respectively (Table1).
TB‑related cause ofdeath
From the total 8952 PCVA conducted, 972 (10.9%) were
assigned as TB-related deaths by physicians. Of these,
313 VA were excluded from the InterVA analysis due to
important missing variables. Of the 8,639 VAs able to be
analyzed using InterVA, 975 (11.3%) were assigned as
TB-related deaths (Table2).
Of those classified by physicians as TB-deaths, 533
(54.8%) were female, and from the InterVA model, 520
(53.3%) were female. e proportion of male TB-related
death by Inter VA model was comparable with physi-
cian review, 65 (47.1%) and 66 (48.5%), for the period
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 5 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
2009. In the same period, the proportion of female TB-
related death by InterVA and physician review were 73
(52.9%) and 70 (51.5%), respectively. However, male
and female TB-related death varies from year to year
for both InterVA model and physician review (Fig.1).
Agreement indiagnosis betweenphysician andInterVA
Model
According to the analysis, the results of the level of agree-
ment was 92.9%, with a kappa value of 0.59 (95% CI:
0.57–0.61), indicating that there is a moderate agreement
(Table3).
e observed agreement was defined as:
From this analysis, the level of agreement in the Kappa
value was 0.59, which indicates that there was a moderate
agreement.
ROC analysis
Figure 2 presented the ROC analysis in a one-to-one
square. e area under the curve captures the relation-
ship between the sensitivity and specificity of the Inter
VA method and is indicative of how the method per-
formed. e curve follows the left-hand border and then
the top border of the ROC space indicating an acceptable
level of accuracy.
In this study, the ROC curve indicated that the InterVA
model predicted the cause of TB-related death with an
area under curve or probability of 0.79 when compared
Po
=
622
+
7314
8639
=
0.918
Pe(k)
=
(0.112
0.112)
+
(0.887
0.887)
=
k
=
0.918
0.799
(1
0.799)
=
0.59
Table 1 Background characteristics of decedents 2007–2017
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Background characteristics Number Percent
Sex
Male 4618 51.59
Female 4334 48.41
Age
15–24 382 4.27
25–34 1019 11.38
35–44 1124 12.56
45–54 1071 11.96
55–64 1270 14.19
65+ 4086 45.64
Education
No formal school 3721 41.6
Primary 2025 22.6
Secondary 1811 20.2
Tertiary + 833 9.3
Unknown 303 3.4
Marital status
Single 1648 18.41
Married 3936 43.97
Separated/divorced 852 9.3
Widowed 2471 27.60
Unknown 45 0.50
Table 2 Comparison of all causes of death by Physician and InterVA model
InterVA model
Year Physician review Cause of death with non‑TB Cause of death with TB Cause of death
with non‑TB
2007 874 (76.5) 221 (20.1) 875 (79.8)
2008 224 (19.9) 902 (80.1) 184 (16.9) 908 (87.5)
2009 136 (11.9) 1009 (88.1) 138 (12.5) 966 (12.7)
2010 98 (9.2) 966 (90.8) 102 (9.9) 930 (90.1)
2011 86 (8.1) 978 (91.9) 96 (9.3) 934 (90.7)
2012 101 (9.3) 984 (90.7) 114 (10.9) 931 (89.1)
2015 26 (3.8) 664 (96.2) 51 (7.7) 612 (92.3)
2016 20 (2.3) 840 (97.7) 45 (5.5) 778 (94.4)
2017 13 (1.7) 763 (98.3) 24 (3.2) 730 (96.8)
Total 972 (10.9) 7980 (89.1) 975 (11.3) 7664 (88.7)
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 6 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
with physician review which indicates the good diag-
nostic performance of the method. e sensitivity and
specificity of the InterVA model were 0.64 and 0.95,
respectively.
Discussion
is study compared the cause of TB-related death
agreement between the InterVA model and physician
review methods. e study showed that level of agree-
ment between physician review and the InterVA model
was 92.9% with the kappa value of 0.59, which indicated
a moderate agreement. e finding was similar to a pre-
vious study in the country [24], Kappa 0.58% (95% CI:
0.50–0.65), but higher when compared with another
study[25], kappa = 0.50, (95% CI: 0.4–0.6). is indicated
the potential of the IntraVA model to be used to establish
TB-related death data.
When it comes to assigning cause-specific mortalities
using VA data at the population level, the probabilistic
InterVA model produced substantially similar results as
the physicians in this study, which was in line with previ-
ous studies [14, 26]. e InterVA model’s cause-specific
mortality data was consistent with existing knowledge
Fig. 1 Proportion of TB-related deaths based on gender in physician review and InterVA model in the years 2007 to 2017
Table 3 Distribution of N subjects by physician review and InterVA model category
Physician review
TB‑related death Death from other cause Total
InterVA Model TB-related death 622 (a) 353 (b) 975
Death from other cause 350 (c) 7314 (d) 7664
Total 972 7667 8639 (N)
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.
00
Sensitivity
0.00 0.25 0.50 0.75 1.00
1 - Specificity
Area under ROC curve = 0.7955
Fig. 2 Receiver operating characteristic curve of sensitivity and
specificity
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 7 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
about the burden of diseases in the sub-Saharan Africa
context [27, 28], suggesting that the model performed
well ingenerating cause-specific mortality data from VA.
e study finding showed that the overall cause of TB-
related death both by physicians and the model were low
when compared with previous studies from Ethiopia
which has given a kappa value of 31%, with TB-related
death to be 36.0% and 23.0% by the InterVA model and
the physicians respectively [24]. is variation might be
due to the study population and time of the study.
e issue of how to obtain a true gold standard in VA
validation research arises repeatedly. CODs based on
hospital diagnoses have been considered the gold stand-
ard in many studies [29, 30]. Hospital diagnoses, on the
other hand, have limitations as a gold standard since the
composition and distribution of hospital CODs may not
be indicative of community mortality. Furthermore, in
resource-constrained healthcare settings, when hospital
diagnoses are available, they are of poor quality and are
limited by insufficient clinical data and record keeping
[3133]. Moreover, hospital users and residential users
may have varied abilities to notice, recall, and report
indicators of sickness. Physician review was used as a
reference standard in this study to investigate InterVA.
For this study’s population, physician review was the
only option for COD assessment. is option, however,
has drawbacks. Physicians’ experiences, perceptions,
and interpretations of local epidemiology might con-
tribute to variations in COD data, making it difficult to
make valid temporal and regional comparisons. Further-
more, they frequently make decisions based on open his-
tory and may not account for all indicators consistently.
Our report showed that the use of the physician review
has helped to find the most relevant facts relating to the
cause of death by tuberculosis, but the choice had limita-
tions. e physicians have considered the detailed infor-
mation by going through the questionnaire, using their
clinical skills and experiences in determining the cause
of death. ey might however be influenced by their own
biases.
Deaths during TB treatment signify gaps in the accu-
rate implementation of TB programs [34, 35] and this has
been higher in countries like Ethiopia where the health-
care system is hindered by infrastructure and human
resource constraints [3639]. e current study sheds
light on the role and feasibility of using the InterVA
model alternative to physician review of verbal autopsy
that competes for the scarce health human resources.
e limitation of this study was that it used second-
ary data for the primary analysis which is because the
questionnaire is developed for all causes of death not
specifically for TB-related death identification. Another
drawback of using physician review as a gold standard
is that physicians may misinterpret some of the VA data,
leading to a potentially incorrect cause of death result.
e experience, observation, and interpretation of the
physicians might also influence interpretations and reach
a biased decision of cause of death. Otherwise, the study
was conducted carefully and the data management and
analysis were conducted in line with the standard and
appropriate procedures and statistics methods.
Conclusion
e InterVA model is a viable alternative to physician
review for tracking TB-related causes of death in Ethio-
pia. From a public health perspective, InterVA helps to
analyze the underlying causes of TB-related deaths cost-
effectively using routine survey data and translate to poli-
cies and strategies in resource-constrained countries.
Abbreviations
VA: Verbal autopsy ; TB: Tuberculosis; PCVA: Physician-certified verbal autopsy;
k: Cohen’s Kappa; MDR-TB: Multidrug-resistant TB; RR-TB: Rifampicin-resistant
TB; AAMSP: Ababa Mortality Surveillance Program; GP: General practitioner; PR:
Physicians review; WHO: World Health Organization; ROC: Receiver operator
characteristics; InterVA: Verbal Autopsy Expert Algorithm.
Acknowledgements
The authors are thankful to the Center for Innovative Drug Development and
Therapeutic Trials for Africa (CDT-Africa), Addis Ababa University, for the suc-
cessful coordination of the work. The authors are grateful for their permission
to use the needed data for the Addis Ababa Mortality surveillance program.
We are grateful to Professor Peter Byass, who trained the application of InterVA
to the Addis Ababa Mortality surveillance research team.
Authors’ contributions
HB conceived the idea, analyzed the data, and write the first draft; TM, HM, GY,
and BS revised the draft; and all authors approved the final version for publica-
tion. All authors have read and approved the final manuscript.
Funding
This work was supported in part by the European and Developing Countries
Clinical Trials Partnership (EDCTP2) program supported by the European
Union under grant number CSA2016S-1608. TM was supported by the Fogarty
International Center and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
of the U.S. National Institutes of Health under Award Number D43TW009127.
Availability of data and materials
The dataset supporting the conclusions of this article is included in the article.
Declarations
Ethics approval and consent to participate
The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board (IRB) of the College
of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University (Ref. No. AAUMF 03-008) and The
Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia Ministry of Science and Technology
(Ref. No. 310/616/06). Letters of permission were obtained from respective
facilities. After enough time is given by responding to any question raised by
study participants, interviews and procedures were performed. All procedures
were performed as per Helsinki Declaration and national ethical standard.
Informed consent for participation was obtained from caregivers or another
eligible adult in the family. It was performed in a private space. The English
language consent or parental consent and/or assent form was translated to
Amharic back-translated to English for validation.
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 8 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Competing of interests
The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
Author details
1 Center for Innovative Drug Development and Therapeutic Trials for Africa
(CDT-Africa), College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, P.O. Box 9086,
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. 2 Department of Public Health, College of Medicine
and Health Science, Dire Dawa University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia. 3 Department
of Public Health, College of Health Sciences, Addis Ababa University, Addis
Ababa, Ethiopia.
Received: 18 August 2021 Accepted: 17 February 2022
References
1. El Bcheraoui C, Mimche H, Miangotar Y, Krish VS, Ziegeweid F, Krohn
KJ. Burden of disease in francophone Africa, 1990–2017: a systematic
analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017. Lancet Glob Health.
2020;8(3):e341–51.
2. Global tuberculosis report 2020. https:// www. who. int/ publi catio ns-
detail- redir ect/ 97892 40013 131. Accessed 5 Dec 2021.
3. Mohammed H, Oljira L, Roba KT, Ngadaya E, Ajeme T, Haile T. Burden of
tuberculosis and challenges related to screening and diagnosis in Ethio-
pia. J Clin Tuberc Other Mycobact Dis. 2020;19: 100158.
4. Manyazewal T, Woldeamanuel Y, Holland DP, Fekadu A, Blumberg HM,
Marconi VC. Electronic pillbox-enabled self-administered therapy
versus standard directly observed therapy for tuberculosis medication
adherence and treatment outcomes in Ethiopia (SELFTB): protocol for a
multicenter randomized controlled trial. Trials. 2020;21(1):383.
5. Mohammed H, Oljira L, Roba KT, Yimer G, Fekadu A, Manyazewal T. Con-
tainment of COVID-19 in Ethiopia and implications for tuberculosis care
and research. Infect Dis Poverty. 2020;9(1):131.
6. Manyazewal T, Woldeamanuel Y, Blumberg HM, Fekadu A, Marconi VC.
The fight to end tuberculosis must not be forgotten in the COVID-19
outbreak. Nat Med. 2020;26(6):811–2.
7. Uneke CJ, Uro-Chukwu HC, Chukwu OE. Validation of verbal autopsy
methods for assessment of child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa and the
policy implication: a rapid review. Pan Afr Med J. 2019;33:318.
8. Karat AS, Maraba N, Tlali M, Charalambous S, Chihota VN, Churchyard GJ.
Performance of verbal autopsy methods in estimating HIV-associated
mortality among adults in South Africa. BMJ Glob Health. 2018;3(4):
e000833.
9. Gebremedhin S. Development of a new model for estimating maternal
mortality ratio at national and sub-national levels and its application for
describing sub-national variations of maternal death in Ethiopia. PLoS
ONE. 2018;13(8): e0201990.
10. Silva R, Amouzou A, Munos M, Marsh A, Hazel E, Victora C, et al. RMM
Working Group. Can community health workers report accurately on
births and deaths? Results of field assessments in Ethiopia, Malawi and
Mali. PLoS One. 2016;11(1):e0144662.
11. Weldearegawi B, Spigt M, Berhane Y, Dinant G. Mortality level and predic-
tors in a rural Ethiopian population: community based longitudinal study.
PLoS ONE. 2014;9(3): e93099.
12. Araya T, Tensou B, Davey G, Berhane Y. Burial surveillance detected signifi-
cant reduction in HIV–related deaths in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Trop Med
Int Health. 2011;16(12):1483–9.
13. Araya T, Reniers G, Schaap A, Kebede D, Kumie A, Nagelkerke N, et al.
Lay diagnosis of causes of death for monitoring AIDS mortality in Addis
Ababa, Ethiopia. Trop Med Int Health. 2004;9(1):178–86.
14. Oti SO, Kyobutungi C. Verbal autopsy interpretation: a comparative analy-
sis of the InterVA model versus physician review in determining causes of
death in the Nairobi DSS. Popul Health Metr. 2010;8:21.
15. Fottrell E, Byass P. Verbal autopsy: methods in transition. Epidemiol Rev.
2010;32:38–55.
16. Misganaw A, Mariam DH, Araya T, Aneneh A. Validity of verbal autopsy
method to determine causes of death among adults in the urban setting
of Ethiopia. BMC Med Res Methodol. 2012;12:130.
17. INDEPTH Network. Accra, Ghana. http:// www. indep th- netwo rk. org/ resou
rces/ tools.
18. Weldearegawi B, Ashebir Y, Gebeye E, Gebregziabiher T, Yohannes M,
Mussa S, et al. Emerging chronic non-communicable diseases in rural
communities of Northern Ethiopia: evidence using population-based ver-
bal autopsy method in Kilite Awlaelo surveillance site. Health Policy Plan.
2013;28(8):891–8.
19. Tadesse S, Tadesse T. Evaluating the performance of interpreting Verbal
Autopsy 3.2 model for establishing pulmonary tuberculosis as a cause of
death in Ethiopia: a population-based cross-sectional study. BMC Public
Health. 2012;12:1039.
20. Lulu K, Berhane Y. The use of simplified verbal autopsy in identifying
causes of adult death in a predominantly rural population in Ethiopia.
BMC Public Health. 2005;5:58.
21. Byass P, Chandramohan D, Clark SJ, D’Ambruoso L, Fottrell E, Graham WJ,
et al. Strengthening standardised interpretation of verbal autopsy data:
the new InterVA-4 tool. Glob Health Action. 2012;5:1–8.
22. Byass P, Fottrell E, Huong DL, Berhane Y, Corrah T, Kahn K, et al. Refining a
probabilistic model for interpreting verbal autopsy data. Scand J Public
Health. 2006;34(1):26–31.
23. Inter VA 3.2 model. http:// www. inter va. net. Accessed 2012 Feb 12.
24. Tensou B, Araya T, Take DS, Byass P, Berhane Y, Kebebew T. Evaluat-
ing the InterVA model for determining AIDS mortality from verbal
autopsies in the adult population of Addis Ababa. Trop Med Int Health.
2010;15(5):547–53.
25. Tadesse S. Validating the InterVA model to estimate the burden of mortal-
ity from verbal autopsy data: a population-based cross-sectional study.
PLoS ONE. 2013;8(9): e73463.
26. Fantahun M, Fottrell E, Berhane Y, Wall S, Högberg U, Byass P. Assessing a
new approach to verbal autopsy interpretation in a rural Ethiopian com-
munity: the InterVA model. Bull World Health Organ. 2006;84(3):204–10.
27. Jamison DT, Feachem RG, Makgoba MW, Bos ER, Baingana FK, Hofman
KJ, et al. Disease and Mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa. 2nd ed. Washington
(DC): The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The
World Bank; 2006.
28. de-Graft Aikins A, Unwin N, Agyemang C, Allotey P, Campbell C, Arhinful
D. Tackling Africa’s chronic disease burden: from the local to the global.
Global Health. 2010;6:5.
29. Setel PW, Macfarlane SB, Szreter S, Mikkelsen L, Jha P, Stout S, et al. Moni-
toring of vital events. A scandal of invisibility: making everyone count by
counting everyone. Lancet. 2007;370(9598):1569–77.
30. Bauni E, Ndila C, Mochamah G, Nyutu G, Matata L, Ondieki C, et al.
Validating physician-certified verbal autopsy and probabilistic modeling
(InterVA) approaches to verbal autopsy interpretation using hospital
causes of adult deaths. Popul Health Metr. 2011;9:49.
31. Mohammed H, Oljira L, Roba KT, Ngadaya E, Tesfaye D, Manyazewal T,
et al. Impact of early chest radiography on delay in pulmonary tuberculo-
sis case notification in Ethiopia. Int J Mycobacteriol. 2021;10(4):364–72.
32. Mohammed H, Oljira L, Teji Roba K, Ngadaya E, Mehari R, Manyazewal T,
et al. Who to involve and where to start integrating tuberculosis screen-
ing into routine healthcare services: positive cough of any duration as the
first step for screening tuberculosis in Ethiopia. Risk Manag Healthc Policy.
2021;14:4749–56.
33. Said B, Charlie L, Getachew E, Said B, Wanjiru CL, Abebe M, Manyaze-
wal T. Molecular bacterial load assay versus culture for monitoring
treatment response in adults with tuberculosis. SAGE Open Med.
2021;9:20503121211033470.
34. Naik PR, Moonan PK, Nirgude AS, Shewade HD, Satyanarayana S, Raghu-
veer P, et al. Use of verbal autopsy to determine underlying cause of
death during treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, India. Emerg
Infect Dis. 2018;24(3):478–84.
35. Charlie L, Saidi B, Getachew E, Wanjiru CL, Abebe M, Tesfahunei HA, et al.
Programmatic challenges in managing multidrug-resistant tuberculosis
in Malawi. Int J Mycobacteriol. 2021;10(3):255–9.
36. Mussie KM, Gradmann C, Yimer SA, Manyazewal T. Pragmatic manage-
ment of drug-resistant tuberculosis: a qualitative analysis of human
resource constraints in a resource-limited country context-Ethiopia. Int J
Public Health. 2021;66: 633917.
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
Page 9 of 9
Bisratetal. BMC Infectious Diseases (2022) 22:200
fast, convenient online submission
thorough peer review by experienced researchers in your field
rapid publication on acceptance
support for research data, including large and complex data types
gold Open Access which fosters wider collaboration and increased citations
maximum visibility for your research: over 100M website views per year
At BMC, research is always in progress.
Learn more biomedcentral.com/submissions
Ready to submit your research
Ready to submit your research
? Choose BMC and benefit from:
? Choose BMC and benefit from:
37. Temesgen E, Belete Y, Haile K, Ali S. Prevalence of active tuberculosis and
associated factors among people with chronic psychotic disorders at St.
Amanuel Mental Specialized Hospital and Gergesenon Mental Rehabilita-
tion center, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. BMC Infect Dis. 2021;21(1):1100.
38. Manyazewal T, Woldeamanuel Y, Blumberg HM, Fekadu A, Marconi VC.
The potential use of digital health technologies in the African con-
text: a systematic review of evidence from Ethiopia. NPJ Digit Med.
2021;4(1):125.
39. Mussie KM, Yimer SA, Manyazewal T, Gradmann C. Exploring local realities:
perceptions and experiences of healthcare workers on the management
and control of drug-resistant tuberculosis in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. PLoS
ONE. 2019;14(11): e0224277.
Publisher’s Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in pub-
lished maps and institutional affiliations.
Content courtesy of Springer Nature, terms of use apply. Rights reserved.
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Terms and Conditions
Springer Nature journal content, brought to you courtesy of Springer Nature Customer Service Center GmbH (“Springer Nature”).
Springer Nature supports a reasonable amount of sharing of research papers by authors, subscribers and authorised users (“Users”), for small-
scale personal, non-commercial use provided that all copyright, trade and service marks and other proprietary notices are maintained. By
accessing, sharing, receiving or otherwise using the Springer Nature journal content you agree to these terms of use (“Terms”). For these
purposes, Springer Nature considers academic use (by researchers and students) to be non-commercial.
These Terms are supplementary and will apply in addition to any applicable website terms and conditions, a relevant site licence or a personal
subscription. These Terms will prevail over any conflict or ambiguity with regards to the relevant terms, a site licence or a personal subscription
(to the extent of the conflict or ambiguity only). For Creative Commons-licensed articles, the terms of the Creative Commons license used will
apply.
We collect and use personal data to provide access to the Springer Nature journal content. We may also use these personal data internally within
ResearchGate and Springer Nature and as agreed share it, in an anonymised way, for purposes of tracking, analysis and reporting. We will not
otherwise disclose your personal data outside the ResearchGate or the Springer Nature group of companies unless we have your permission as
detailed in the Privacy Policy.
While Users may use the Springer Nature journal content for small scale, personal non-commercial use, it is important to note that Users may
not:
use such content for the purpose of providing other users with access on a regular or large scale basis or as a means to circumvent access
control;
use such content where to do so would be considered a criminal or statutory offence in any jurisdiction, or gives rise to civil liability, or is
otherwise unlawful;
falsely or misleadingly imply or suggest endorsement, approval , sponsorship, or association unless explicitly agreed to by Springer Nature in
writing;
use bots or other automated methods to access the content or redirect messages
override any security feature or exclusionary protocol; or
share the content in order to create substitute for Springer Nature products or services or a systematic database of Springer Nature journal
content.
In line with the restriction against commercial use, Springer Nature does not permit the creation of a product or service that creates revenue,
royalties, rent or income from our content or its inclusion as part of a paid for service or for other commercial gain. Springer Nature journal
content cannot be used for inter-library loans and librarians may not upload Springer Nature journal content on a large scale into their, or any
other, institutional repository.
These terms of use are reviewed regularly and may be amended at any time. Springer Nature is not obligated to publish any information or
content on this website and may remove it or features or functionality at our sole discretion, at any time with or without notice. Springer Nature
may revoke this licence to you at any time and remove access to any copies of the Springer Nature journal content which have been saved.
To the fullest extent permitted by law, Springer Nature makes no warranties, representations or guarantees to Users, either express or implied
with respect to the Springer nature journal content and all parties disclaim and waive any implied warranties or warranties imposed by law,
including merchantability or fitness for any particular purpose.
Please note that these rights do not automatically extend to content, data or other material published by Springer Nature that may be licensed
from third parties.
If you would like to use or distribute our Springer Nature journal content to a wider audience or on a regular basis or in any other manner not
expressly permitted by these Terms, please contact Springer Nature at
onlineservice@springernature.com
Article
Full-text available
Background: As most people in developing countries do not have access to reliable laboratory services, early diagnosis of life-threatening diseases like COVID-19 remains challenging. Facilitating real-time assessment of the health status in a given population, mobile phone (mHealth)-supported syndrome surveillance might help identify disease conditions earlier and save much life cost-effectively. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the potential use of mHealth-supported active syndrome surveillance for COVID-19 early case finding in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Methods: A comparative cross-sectional study was conducted among adults randomly selected from the Ethio telecom list of mobile phone numbers. Participants underwent a comprehensive phone interview for COVID-19 syndromic assessments and their symptoms were scored and interpreted based on national guidelines. Participants who had COVID-19 syndrome were informed to have COVID-19 diagnostic testing in nearby healthcare facilities and get treatment accordingly. Participants were asked about their test results and these were crosschecked against the actual facility-based data. Estimates of COVID-19 detection between mHealth-supported syndromic assessments and facility-based test results were compared using Cohen's Kappa (k), receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, sensitivity, and specificity analysis. Results: A total of 2,741 adults [1,476 (53.8%) male and 1,265 (46.2%) female] were interviewed through the mHealth platform in the period December 2021 to February 2022, of which 1,371 (50%) had COVID-19 symptoms at least once had facility-based COVID-19 diagnostic testing as they self-reported, of which 884 (64.5%) were confirmed from facility-based registries. The syndrome assessment model had an optimal likelihood cut-off point sensitivity of 46% (95% CI 38.4-54.6) and specificity of 98% (95% CI: 96.7-98.9). The area under the ROC curve was 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.91). The level of agreement between the syndrome assessment and the COVID-19 test result was moderate (k = 0.54, 95% CI 0.46-0.60). Conclusions: In this study, the level of agreement for COVID-19 results between the mHealth-supported syndromic assessment and the actual laboratory-confirmed result was reasonable at 89%. mHealth-supported syndromic assessment of COVID-19 is a potential alternative method to the standard laboratory-based confirmatory diagnosis to detect COVID-19 cases earlier in hard-to-reach communities and advise patients on self-care and management of the disease cost-effectively. The findings can inform future research efforts in developing and integrating digital health into continuous active surveillance of emerging infectious diseases.
Article
Full-text available
Background: One‐third of tuberculosis (TB) cases are missed each year and delays in the diagnosis of TB are hampering the whole cascade of care. Early chest X-ray (CXR) in patients with cough irrespective of duration may reduce TB diagnostic and treatment delays and increase the number of TB patients put into TB care. We aimed to evaluate the impact of CXR on delay in the diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) among people with cough of any duration. Methods: A facility‐based cross‐sectional study was conducted in four selected health facilities from two regions and two city administrations of Ethiopia. Patients who sought health care were screened for cough of any duration, and those with cough underwent CXR for PTB and their sputum specimens were tested for microbiological confirmation. Delays were followed up and calculated using median and inter‐quartile range (IQR) to summarize (first onset of cough to first facility visit, ≥15 days), diagnosis delay (first facility visit to date of PTB diagnosis, >7 days), and total delay (first onset of cough to date of PTB diagnosis, >21 days). Kruskal–Wallis and Mann–Witney tests were used to compare the delays among independent variables. Results: A total of 309 PTB cases were consecutively diagnosed of 1853 presumptive TB cases recruited in the study that were identified from 2647 people who reported cough of any duration. The median (IQR) of patient delay, diagnosis delay, and the total delay was 30 (16–44), 1 (0–3), and 31 (19–48) days, respectively. Patients’ delay contributed a great role in the total delay, 201/209 (96.2%). Median diagnosis delay was higher among those that visited health center, diagnosed at a facility that had no Xpert mycobacterium tuberculosis(MTB)/RIF assay, radiologist, or CXR (P < 0.05). Factors associated with patients delay were history of previous TB treatment (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR] = 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.63–0.99) and history of weight loss(aPR = 1.12; 95% CI: 1.0–1.25). Early CXR screening for cough of <2 weeks duration significantly reduced the patients’ delay and thus the total delay, but not diagnostic delay alone. Conclusion: Early screening using CXR minimized delays in the diagnosis of PTB among people with cough of any duration. Patients’ delay was largest and contributed great role in the delay of TB cases. Screening by cough of any duration and/or CXR among people seeking healthcare along with ensuring the availability of Xpert MTB/RIF assay and skilled human power at primary healthcare facilities are important to reduce patient and diagnostic delays of PTB in Ethiopia.
Article
Full-text available
Background: Recent country surveys have shown an unacceptably high prevalence of confirmed tuberculosis (TB) even among those with a low duration of cough, and more than 50% of those with bacteriologically confirmed pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) do not report symptoms that correspond to presumptive TB. Furthermore, there has been an increase in the incidence of smear-negative PTB patients who can serve as a source of infection. We investigated whether screening people who sought healthcare for cough of any duration can increase TB case detection in Ethiopia, and compiled the lessons learned and recommendations. Methods: We carried out a facility-based study in Ethiopia. All consenting participants who sought any healthcare at the outpatients department, and healthcare facilities for reproductive and child health, anti-retroviral therapy, and diabetes were screened for cough of any duration, and those with cough underwent further investigations using chest radiography (CXR) (except for pregnant women, patients on anti-retroviral therapy, and diabetic patients) and microbiological tests. Confirmed cases were linked to TB treatment following the country's standard guidelines. Results: We screened 195,713 people who sought healthcare for cough of any duration. Of these, 2647 reported cough symptom of any duration, of whom 1853 underwent further diagnostic tests as they fulfilled the criteria for presumptive TB. Overall, 309/1853 (16.7%) were diagnosed with PTB and linked to TB treatment. Screening by cough of any duration and/or CXR improved TB case finding, and engaging all health teams (administrative and supportive staff, as well as healthcare providers) in the TB screening and diagnosis significantly improved the process. Conclusion: Screening for TB using cough of any duration and/or CXR for any patient who sought healthcare has the potential to increase both the number of presumptive TB cases and the number of patients diagnosed with and treated for TB in Ethiopia. Such initiatives require strong engagement of facility staff, regular maintenance and calibration of TB diagnostic equipment, and uninterrupted reagent supplies.
Article
Full-text available
Background Tuberculosis (TB) is an airborne chronic infectious disease mainly caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex bacteria . Currently, about 1.7 billion (26%) of the world’s population are considered to be infected with M. tuberculosis. The risk of acquiring tuberculosis is higher on some segments of societies including people with severe mental illness. As a result, World health organization (WHO) strongly recommends screening for tuberculosis in such risk groups and setting. Methods A cross-sectional study was conducted to assess the prevalence of active tuberculosis and associated factors among patients with chronic psychotic disorders admitted at St. Amanuel Mental Specialized Hospital and Gergesenon Mental rehabilitation center from February to June, 2020. All admitted patients were screened for any sign of TB as recommended by WHO. Presumptive TB cases were identified. Sputum samples were collected and tested by Xpert MTB/RIF assay. Data analysis was performed using SPSS version 25.0 statistical software and Chi square analysis was used to test the statistical association. Results From a total 3600 pschotic patients screened for TB, 250 (6.94%) presumptive tuberculosis cases were detected. From these, 27 (10.8%) were positive by Xpert MTB/RIF assay. Most of the patients were males (68.4%). The mean ± SD age of the participant was 36.5 ± 9.7 years. The overall prevalence of tuberculosis was found to be 750 per 100,000 population. The number of patients per room (p = 0.039) was associated with Xpert MTB/RIF positive active tuberculosis. Conclusion The prevalence of active tuberculosis among chronic psychotic patients was high. Number of admitted patients per room was identified as risk factors for Xpert MTB/RIF positive active tuberculosis. Therefore, to control TB transmission in chronic mental health treatment facilities, efforts should be directed to periodic screening for early case detection and improving the number of patients per room.
Article
Full-text available
Background: Multidrug‑resistant tuberculosis (MDR‑TB) is one of the most urgent challenges that Malawi tends to take a firm public health action. A recent increase in multidrug MDR‑TB cases, a decrease in treatment success rate, and a double increase of lost‑to‑follow‑up call into question the country’s programmatic management of MDR‑TB (PMDT). As such, the study aimed at exploring programmatic challenges in managing MDR‑TB in Malawi. Methods: A comprehensive and nonsystematic search was made in PubMed and Google Scholar using mainly the keywords “MDR‑TB” “extensively drug‑resistant TB,” Malawi. The study reviewed existing guidelines and gray literature and reviewed data obtained from the national TB program (NTP) as well. Results: The study found the following challenges affecting PMDT: decrease in funding, partial access to GeneXpert, delay in diagnosis, long treatment duration, lack of adequate personal protective equipment, the long turnaround time of culture results, failure to initiate all diagnosed patients on treatment, absence of alternative second‑line medicines, and lack of transport from health facilities to patient homes. Conclusion: If the Malawi NTP is to achieve a vision of a “TB‑free Malawi,” rigorous efforts at all levels must be made, including mobilizing domestic resources for improved MDR‑TB program performance. Developing partners should continue providing the much‑needed funding to the Malawi government to stand in the wake of the MDR‑TB crisis. Keywords: Extensively drug‑resistant tuberculosis, Malawi, multidrug‑resistant tuberculosis, programmatic management
Article
Full-text available
The World Health Organization (WHO) recently put forth a Global Strategy on Digital Health 2020–2025 with several countries having already achieved key milestones. We aimed to understand whether and how digital health technologies (DHTs) are absorbed in Africa, tracking Ethiopia as a key node. We conducted a systematic review, searching PubMed-MEDLINE, Embase, ScienceDirect, African Journals Online, Cochrane Central Registry of Controlled Trials, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform databases from inception to 02 February 2021 for studies of any design that investigated the potential of DHTs in clinical or public health practices in Ethiopia. This review was registered with PROSPERO ( CRD42021240645 ) and it was designed to inform our ongoing DHT-enabled randomized controlled trial (RCT) (ClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT04216420 ). We found 27,493 potentially relevant citations, among which 52 studies met the inclusion criteria, comprising a total of 596,128 patients, healthy individuals, and healthcare professionals. The studies involved six DHTs: mHealth (29 studies, 574,649 participants); electronic health records (13 studies, 4534 participants); telemedicine (4 studies, 465 participants); cloud-based application (2 studies, 2382 participants); information communication technology (3 studies, 681 participants), and artificial intelligence (1 study, 13,417 participants). The studies targeted six health conditions: maternal and child health (15), infectious diseases (14), non-communicable diseases (3), dermatitis (1), surgery (4), and general health conditions (15). The outcomes of interest were feasibility, usability, willingness or readiness, effectiveness, quality improvement, and knowledge or attitude toward DHTs. Five studies involved RCTs. The analysis showed that although DHTs are a relatively recent phenomenon in Ethiopia, their potential harnessing clinical and public health practices are highly visible. Their adoption and implementation in full capacity require more training, access to better devices such as smartphones, and infrastructure. DHTs hold much promise tackling major clinical and public health backlogs and strengthening the healthcare ecosystem in Ethiopia. More RCTs are needed on emerging DHTs including artificial intelligence, big data, cloud, cybersecurity, telemedicine, and wearable devices to provide robust evidence of their potential use in such settings and to materialize the WHO’s Global Strategy on Digital Health.
Article
Full-text available
Objectives: Existing evidence suggests that drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) remains a huge public health threat in high-burden TB countries such as Ethiopia. The purpose of this qualitative study was to explore the challenges of healthcare workers (HCWs) involved in providing DR-TB care in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. Methods: We conducted in-depth interviews with 18 HCWs purposively selected from 10 healthcare facilities in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. We then transcribed the audiotaped interviews, and thematically analysed the transcripts using Braun and Clark’s reflexive thematic analysis framework. Results: We identified five major themes: 1) inadequate training and provision of information on DR-TB to HCWs assigned to work in DR-TB services, 2) fear of DR-TB infection, 3) risk of contracting DR-TB, 4) a heavy workload, and 5) resource limitations. Conclusion: Our findings highlight major human resource constraints that current DR-TB care policies need to foresee and accommodate. New evidence and best practices on what works in DR-TB care in such resource-limited countries are needed in order to address implementation gaps and to meet global TB strategies.
Article
Full-text available
The lack of rapid, sensitive, and deployable tuberculosis diagnostic tools is hampering the early diagnosis of tuberculosis and early detection of treatment failures. The conventional sputum smear microscopy or Xpert MTB/RIF assay cannot distinguish between alive and dead bacilli and the culture method delays providing results. Tuberculosis molecular bacterial load assay is a reverse transcriptase real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction that quantifies viable tuberculosis bacillary load as a marker of treatment response for patients on anti-tuberculosis therapy. However, results are not synthesized enough to inform its comparative advantage to tuberculosis culture technique which is yet the gold standard of care. With this review, we searched electronic databases, including PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science, from March 2011 up to February 2021 for clinical trials or prospective cohort studies that compared tuberculosis molecular bacterial load assay with tuberculosis culture in adults. We included eight studies that meet the inclusion criteria. Tuberculosis molecular bacterial load assay surpasses culture in monitoring patients with tuberculosis during the first few weeks of anti-tuberculosis treatment. It is more desirable over culture for its shorter time to results, almost zero rates of contamination, need for less expertise on the method, early rate of decline, lower running cost, and reproducibility. Its rapid and specific tuberculosis treatment monitoring competency benefits patients and healthcare providers to monitor changes of bacillary load among isolates with drug-susceptible or resistance to anti-tuberculosis regimens. Despite of the high installing cost of the tuberculosis molecular bacterial load assay method, molecular expertise, and a well-equipped laboratory, tuberculosis molecular bacterial load assay is a cost-effective method with comparison to culture in operational running. To achieve maximum utility in high tuberculosis burden settings, an intensive initial investment in nucleic acid extraction and polymerase chain reaction equipment, training in procedures, and streamlining laboratory supply procurement systems are crucial. More evidence is needed to demonstrate the potential large-scale and sustainable use of tuberculosis molecular bacterial load assay over culture in resource-constrained settings.
Article
Full-text available
Abstract Background: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has emerged as a global health and economic security threat with staggering cumulative incidence worldwide. Given the severity of projections, hospitals across the globe are creating additional critical care surge capacity and limiting patient routine access to care for other diseases like tuberculosis (TB). The outbreak fuels panic in sub-Saharan Africa where the healthcare system is fragile in withstanding the disease. Here, we looked over the COVID-19 containment measures in Ethiopia in context from reliable sources and put forth recommendations that leverage the health system response to COVID-19 and TB. Main text: Ethiopia shares a major proportion of the global burden of infectious diseases, while the patterns of COVID-19 are still at an earlier stage of the epidemiology curve. The Ethiopian government exerted tremendous efforts to curb the disease. It limited public gatherings, ordered school closures, directed high-risk civil servants to work from home, and closed borders. It suspended flights to 120 countries and restricted mass transports. It declared a five-month national state of emergency and granted a pardon for 20 402 prisoners. It officially postponed parliamentary and presidential elections. It launched the ‘PM Abiy-Jack Ma initiative’, which supports African countries with COVID-19 diagnostics and infection prevention and control commodities. It expanded its COVID-19 testing capacity to 38 countrywide laboratories. Many institutions are made available to provide clinical care and quarantine. However, the outbreak still has the potential for greater loss of life in Ethiopia if the community is unable to shape the regular behavioral and sociocultural norms that would facilitate the spread of the disease. The government needs to keep cautious that irregular migrants would fuel the disease. A robust testing capacity is needed to figure out the actual status of the disease. The pandemic has reduced TB care and research activities significantly and these need due attention. Conclusions: Ethiopia took several steps to detect, manage, and control COVID-19. More efforts are needed to increase testing capacity and bring about behavioral changes in the community. The country needs to put in place alternative options to mitigate interruptions of essential healthcare services and scientific researches of significant impact. Keywords: COVID-19, Coronavirus, Public health, Tuberculosis, Containment, Ethiopia
Article
Full-text available
Background: To address the multifaceted challenges associated with tuberculosis (TB) in-person directly observed therapy (DOT), the World Health Organization recently recommended that countries maximize the use of digital adherence technologies. Sub-Saharan Africa needs to investigate the effectiveness of such technologies in local contexts and proactively contribute to global decisions around patient-centered TB care. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of pillbox-enabled self-administered therapy (SAT) compared to standard DOT on adherence to TB medication and treatment outcomes in Ethiopia. It also aims to assess the usability, acceptability, and cost-effectiveness of the intervention from the patient and provider perspectives. Methods: This is a multicenter, randomized, controlled, open-label, superiority, effectiveness-implementation hybrid, mixed-methods, two-arm trial. The study is designed to enroll 144 outpatients with new or previously treated, bacteriologically confirmed, drug-sensitive pulmonary TB who are eligible to start the standard 6-month first-line anti-TB regimen. Participants in the intervention arm (n = 72) will receive 15 days of HRZE-isoniazid, rifampicin, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol-fixed-dose combination therapy in the evriMED500 medication event reminder monitor device for self-administration. When returned, providers will count any remaining tablets in the device, download the pill-taking data, and refill based on preset criteria. Participants can consult the provider in cases of illness or adverse events outside of scheduled visits. Providers will handle participants in the control arm (n = 72) according to the standard in-person DOT. Both arms will be followed up throughout the 2-month intensive phase. The primary outcomes will be medication adherence and sputum conversion. Adherence to medication will be calculated as the proportion of patients who missed doses in the intervention (pill count) versus DOT (direct observation) arms, confirmed further by IsoScreen urine isoniazid test and a self-report of adherence on eight-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale. Sputum conversion is defined as the proportion of patients with smear conversion following the intensive phase in intervention versus DOT arms, confirmed further by pre-post intensive phase BACTEC MGIT TB liquid culture. Pre-post treatment MGIT drug susceptibility testing will determine whether resistance to anti-TB drugs could have impacted culture conversion. Secondary outcomes will include other clinical outcomes (treatment not completed, death, or loss to follow-up), cost-effectiveness-individual and societal costs with quality-adjusted life years-and acceptability and usability of the intervention by patients and providers. Discussion: This study will be the first in Ethiopia, and of the first three in sub-Saharan Africa, to determine whether electronic pillbox-enabled SAT improves adherence to TB medication and treatment outcomes, all without affecting the inherent dignity and economic wellbeing of patients with TB. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04216420. Registered on 2 January 2020.