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Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
Available online 20 March 2024
0167-5877/© 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
Global prevalence and risk factors associated with Toxoplasma gondii
infection in wild birds: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Chao Chen
a
,
b
,
1
, Si-Yuan Qin
c
,
1
, Xing Yang
d
,
1
, Xiao-Man Li
e
, Yanan Cai
a
, Cong-Cong Lei
c
,
Quan Zhao
a
,
*
, Hany M. Elsheikha
f
,
*
, Hongwei Cao
b
,
*
a
College of Animal Science and Technology, Jilin Agricultural University, Changchun, Jilin 130118, PR China
b
School of Pharmacy, Yancheng Teachers University, Yancheng, Jiangsu 224002, PR China
c
Center of Prevention and Control Biological Disaster, State Forestry and Grassland Administration, Shenyang, Liaoning 110034, PR China
d
Department of Medical Microbiology and Immunology, School of Basic Medicine, Dali University, Dali, Yunnan 671000, PR China
e
College of Veterinary Medicine, Qingdao Agricultural University, Qingdao, Shandong 266109, PR China
f
Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, School of Veterinary Medicine and Science, University of Nottingham, Sutton Bonington Campus, Loughborough, United
Kingdom
ARTICLE INFO
Keywords:
Meta-analysis
Systematic review
Toxoplasma gondii
Wild birds
Zoonotic diseases
ABSTRACT
A systematic review and meta-analysis were performed to identify the global prevalence and factors associated
with Toxoplasma gondii infection in wild birds. Six bibliographic databases (Chinese National Knowledge
Infrastructure, VIP Chinese Journal Database, Wanfang Data, PubMed, Web of science and ScienceDirect) were
searched from inception to February 2023. The search yielded 1220 records of which 659 articles underwent full-
text evaluation, which identied 49 eligible articles and 16,030 wild bird samples that were included in the
meta-analysis. The estimated pooled global prevalence of T. gondii infection in wild birds was 16.6%. Out of the
variables tested, publication year after 2020 and climate type were signicantly associated with T. gondii
infection (P<0.01). Our data indicate that the prevalence of T. gondii in wild birds can be inuenced by
epidemiological variables. Further research is needed to identify the biological, environmental, anthropogenic,
and geographical risk factors which impact the ecology and prevalence of T. gondii in wild birds.
1. Introduction
Toxoplasmosis is a zoonotic disease caused by the opportunistic
protozoan Toxoplasma gondii, which has a worldwide distribution
(Crozier and Schulte-Hostedde, 2014; Jenkins et al., 2015). Approxi-
mately one-third of the world’s human population are chronically
infected by T. gondii, which can remain dormant in the host for many
years (Zhang et al., 2016). Although T. gondii infection is generally
asymptomatic in immunocompetent individuals, the parasite can have
an adverse impact on the health of the fetus due to congenital trans-
mission during pregnancy and the immunodecient individuals (Cortes
et al., 2019; Dubey, 2010; Elsheikha, 2008; Elsheikha et al., 2020).
Many bird species can be infected by T. gondii, however canaries and
pigeons can experience severe disease (Dubey, 2002).
T. gondii is considered a generalist parasite, with a heteroxenous life
cycle involving a broad range of mammalian and avian intermediate
hosts and a feline denitive host (Aguirre et al., 2019). T. gondii may
have originated from South American cats and spread around the world
through migratory birds (Lehmann et al., 2006). The migratory behavior
of wild birds and ability to travel long distances make them an efcient
source and vector for cross-species dispersal of zoonotic pathogens
(Rahman et al., 2021).
Birds play an important role in the epidemiology and transmission of
T. gondii to other hosts (Dubey and Jones, 2008). Birds acquire infection
by consuming cysts in the muscle and brain of T. gondii-infected animals
through hunting or scavenging. They can also consume food or water
contaminated with oocysts. When infected birds are preyed on by cats
(Abdoli et al., 2018), the parasite undergoes sexual reproduction in the
feline intestine, culminating in formation and excretion of many oocysts
in the cat feces (Dubey et al., 2020). Infected cats shed oocysts for a short
duration and adult cats contribute far less to the environmental
contamination with oocysts compared to young cats (Dubey, 1976).
* Corresponding authors.
E-mail addresses: zhaoquan0825@163.com (Q. Zhao), Hany.Elsheikha@nottingham.ac.uk (H.M. Elsheikha), caohw@yctu.edu.cn (H. Cao).
1
These authors contributed equally to this work.
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Preventive Veterinary Medicine
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/prevetmed
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106187
Received 13 August 2023; Received in revised form 13 March 2024; Accepted 14 March 2024
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
2
The use of wild birds as sentinels for multiple zoonotic pathogens
(Hamer et al., 2012) has elicited a growing interest in investigating the
prevalence of T. gondii infection in wild and domestic birds. However,
disparities exist in T. gondii prevalence between countries (Costa et al.,
2022; Dubey et al., 2020; Wang et al., 2021) and the global prevalence in
wild birds remains unknown. To comprehensively examine this topic,
we conducted a systematic literature review and meta-analysis to esti-
mate the global prevalence of T. gondii in wild birds and identify po-
tential factors associated with T. gondii infection in wild birds. The study
results highlight the need for more surveillance of T. gondii infection in
wild birds to improve understanding of the ecology and transmission
pathways of T. gondii genotypes in wild birds and their relationships to
animal and human disease.
2. Materials and methods
2.1. Literature search strategy
The present systematic review and meta-analysis followed the
Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses
Protocols (PRISMA). To estimate the global prevalence of T. gondii
infection in wild birds, a comprehensive review of the English and
Chinese literature was performed. We searched six online bibliographic
databases for articles related to T. gondii infection in wild birds,
including the China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), VIP
Chinese Journal Database, Wanfang Data, PubMed, ScienceDirect, and
Web of Science from inception to February 2023. The advanced search
was carried out using “Wild birds (in Chinese)” and “Toxoplasma gondii
(in Chinese)” as keywords in the three Chinese databases. We used a
combination of Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) terms and keywords
(“Toxoplasma gondii”, “Wild birds”) in the search strategy. We used
Boolean operators “AND” to link MeSH terms and “OR” to link the entry
terms. Finally, the search formula was (“Birds”[Mesh]) OR (Bird[Title/
Abstract]) OR (Aves[Title/Abstract]) OR (Wild bird[Title/Abstract]) OR
(Waterfowl[Title/Abstract]) OR (Migratory bird[Title/Abstract])) AND
(“Toxoplasma”[Mesh]) OR (Toxoplasmas[Title/Abstract]) OR (Toxo-
plasma gondii[Title/Abstract]). In ScienceDirect, the keywords "Wild
birds", "Toxoplasma gondii" and "Prevalence OR Seroprevalence" were
used in the search. In Web of Science, the search formula was (AB=
(Birds) OR AB=(Bird) OR AB=(Aves) OR AB=(Wild bird) OR AB=
(Waterfowl) OR AB=(Migratory bird)) AND (AB=(Toxoplasma) OR AB=
(Toxoplasmas) OR AB=(Toxoplasma gondii)). Bibliographies of the
included articles and relevant reviews were scrutinized for more refer-
ences. The search was not restricted by the publication year and
geographic origin of the published articles. However, the literature
search was limited to articles published in Chinese or English language.
2.2. Study selection and quality assessment
This study focused on wild birds and T. gondii for literature search to
identify all qualied articles. The quality of studies was graded using the
Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evalua-
tions (GRADE) framework (Guyatt et al., 2008). The eligible articles
were assessed for quality of design and methodology based on ve
criteria: random sampling, number of samples analyzed (≥100), clear
sampling location(s), reporting ≥6 epidemiological variables and clear
description of the detection method. The studies that fullled all 5
criteria received a score of 5. Studies were rated as low (1–2 points),
medium (3 points), or high quality (4–5 points). Articles that did not
meet these criteria were excluded. Review papers, case reports, reprints,
and unpublished reports were also excluded.
Table 1
Normal distribution test for the normal rate and the different conversions of the
normal rate.
Conversion form W P
PRAW 0.89191 P<0.001
PLN 0.95676 0.069
PLOGIT 0.98979 0.944
PAS 0.96173 0.111
PFT 0.95874 0.084
“PRAW”: original rate; “PLN”: logarithmic transformation; “PLOGIT”: logit
transformation; “PAS”: arcsine transformation; “PFT”: double−arcsine
transformation.
Fig. 1. PRISMA ow chart shows the steps used for article screening and selection.
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
3
2.3. Data extraction
Two independent reviewers reviewed the abstracts of the selected
references to determine whether the studies met the inclusion criteria, in
which case a full review of the article was conducted. The information
extracted for this study included the detection method, year of publi-
cation of the study, continent, sample type, country, order of the wild
birds, hemisphere, and climate. The meteorological data were obtained
from the National Centers for Environmental Information (https://www
.ncei.noaa.gov/maps/monthly/). The data about the geographic loca-
tion (latitude and longitude) and altitude were obtained by searching for
information about the sampling site or neighboring sites at the respec-
tive location. The climate of the areas in the included studies was
categorized by using the K¨
oppen-Geiger classication (KGC) (Peel et al.,
2007). Because of the many different wild bird species worldwide, we
presented all bird species at the order level to facilitate data analysis. All
wild bird species were classied by https://avibase.bsc-eoc.org/. Data
from each of eligible study were extracted and recorded independently.
2.4. Statistical analyses
The quantitative meta-analysis was performed with the R software
(4.3.2 version) using the meta package 7.0.0 version (https://cran.r-p
roject.org/web/packages/meta/index.html). We used the random-
effects model to determine the pooled prevalence of T. gondii and sub-
group analysis at 95% condence interval (CI). To t the data to
Gaussian distribution, ve transformation methods were implemented
(Table 1). These included logit transformation (PLOGIT), arcsine
transformation (PAS), double-arcsine transformation (PFT), logarithmic
transformation (PLN), and original rate (PRAW). The normality of the
data was checked by Shapiro-Wilk test. The closer the ‘W’was to the
value 1 (maximum value of this statistic) with a P value ≥0.05, the
closer the t to Gaussian normal distribution. The PLOGIT with the
largest p-value was chosen to analyze the data.
Publication bias was assessed by visual inspection of the inverted
funnel plot asymmetry and by using Egger test to assess the small-study
effects. To further examine and adjust for publication bias, we imputed
Table 2
Summary of studies included in the meta-analysis of T. gondii prevalence in wild birds.
Study reference Sampling time Country Method No. positive/ No. tested Quality score
Tsai et al. (2006) 2004–2004 China LAT 31/665 High
Murao et al. (2008) 2003–2005 Russia and Japan ELISA 81/418 High
Dubey et al. (2010) 2008–2010 USA MAT 38/382 High
Gondim et al. (2010) 2007–2008 Brazil MAT 3/293 High
Alvarado-Esquivel et al. (2011) 2009–2010 USA MAT 17/653 High
Cabezon et al. (2011) 1996–2010 Spain MAT 282/1079 Medium
Darwich et al. (2012) N/D Spain PCR 12/201 High
Huang et al. (2012) N/D China PCR 4/178 Medium
Molina-Lopez et al. (2012) 2006–2010 Spain MAT 91/113 High
Tian et al. (2012) 2011–2012 China MAT 35/277 High
Cong et al. (2013) 2011–2011 China MAT 39/313 High
Khademvatan et al. (2013) 2011 Iran PCR 25/146 High
Mancianti et al. (2013) 2011–2012 Italy MAT 9/103 High
Salant et al. (2013) 2010–2011 Israel MAT 92/223 Medium
Sandstrom et al. (2013) 2006–2010 Russia, Netherlands, Denmark MAT 247/2675 High
Hu et al. (2014) 2010–2013 China MAT 36/131 High
Barros et al. (2014) 2010–2011 Brazil MAT 46/206 High
Gennari et al. (2014) 2010–2011 Brazil MAT 73/202 High
Miao et al. (2014) 2012–2013 China MAT 131/659 High
Muz et al., (2015) 2007–2014 Turkey PCR 7/103 High
Chen et al. (2015) 2013–2014 China MAT 92/394 High
Zhang et al. (2015) 2013 China PCR 18/249 High
Andrade et al. (2016) 2011–2013 Brazil MAT 3/222 High
Cabez´
on et al. (2016) 2009–2011 Spain MAT 110/525 High
Gennari et al., (2016a) N/D Brazil MAT 28/100 Medium
Gennari et al. (2016b) 2013 Brazil MAT 24/69 High
Love et al. (2016) 2012–2014 United States MAT 97/281 High
Wu et al. (2017) 2016–2016 China MAT 20/179 High
Tidy et al. (2017) 2014–2015 Portugal MAT 17/77 High
Luo et al. (2017) 2010–2016 China IHT 72/751 High
Mirza et al. (2017) 1990–2014 Netherlands PCR 9/117 High
Amouei et al., (2018) 2014–2015 Iran MAT 26/50 High
Abdoli et al. (2018) N/D Iran PCR 9/55 Medium
Lukasova et al. (2018) 2014–2015 South Africa PCR 3/110 High
Nazir et al. (2018) N/D Pakistan PCR 19/54 Medium
Acosta et al. (2019) 2011–2015 Chile MAT 57/132 High
Huang et al. (2019) 2014–2015 China MAT 120/350 High
Liu et al. (2019) 2017 China PCR 13/239 High
Naveed et al. (2019) 2016–2017 Pakistan LAT 25/200 High
Lohr et al. (2020) 2012–2013 Italy PCR 45/771 High
Iemmi et al. (2020) 2016–2017 Italy MAT 91/147 High
Ammar et al. (2021) 2016–2018 USA MAT 32/155 High
Bata et al. (2021) 2018–2019 Nigeria ELISA 13/92 High
Gazzonis et al. (2021) 2018–2019 Italy PCR 35/56 High
Lopes et al. (2021) N/D Portugal MAT 96/263 Medium
Poulle et al., (2021) 2011–2015 Western Indian Ocean MAT 170/1014 High
Sato et al. (2021) 2014–2015 Brazil IFAT 6/72 Low
Tayyub et al. (2022) 2018–2018 Pakistan PCR 46/120 High
Karadjian et al. (2022) 2017–2018 France MAT 65/166 High
Abbreviation: N/D; data not available; LAT: Latex agglutination test; ELISA: Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay; MAT: Modied agglutination test; PCR: Polymerase
chain reaction; IHT: Indirect hemagglutination test; IFAT: Indirect immunouorescent antibody test.
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
4
potentially missing studies using the trim-and-ll method (Duval and
Tweedie, 2000). To evaluate the heterogeneity between studies,
Cochran Q test, I
2
statistics and
χ
2
test were used (Chen and Benedetti,
2017; Higgins and Thompson, 2002). Subgroup analysis was performed
to investigate the differences in the prevalence and potential sources of
heterogeneities due to categorical variables, including detection
method, sample type, continent, hemisphere, economic status, latitude,
altitude, climate type, publication year, and level of study quality.
3. Results
3.1. Study selection and characteristics
The search of the databases yielded 1220 records. After removal of
125 duplicates, 1095 were screened at the title and abstract level, and
659 studies underwent full-text evaluation. Of those, 610 articles were
excluded for various reasons listed in the PRISMA owchart for study
selection. Finally, 49 studies met the inclusion criteria and were
Fig. 2. Forest plot of the global prevalence of T. gondii infection in wild birds. Gray squares and their corresponding lines are the point estimates and 95% CI. The
diamond represents the pooled estimate (width denotes 95% CI). Heterogeneity was considered high (I
2
=97%).
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
5
included in the meta-analysis (Fig. 1). Table 2 summarizes the main
characteristics of the 49 articles included in this meta-analysis. Of the 49
eligible studies, 41 (83.67%), seven (14.28%), and one (2.04%) were
considered of high, medium, and low quality, respectively.
3.2. Publication heterogeneity, bias and sensitivity analysis
The heterogeneity test showed I
2
=97% (
χ
2
=1.41, P <0.01),
suggesting high heterogeneity in T. gondii infection prevalence in wild
birds (Fig. 2). The publication bias was statistically signicant
(P<0.0001) as revealed by the Egger’s regression test (Fig. 3). Visual
inspection of the funnel plot revealed asymmetry, suggesting that the
results may have been inuenced by publication bias or small sample
bias (Fig. 4). The trim and ll analysis identied six studies with nega-
tive results (shown as white circles in Fig. 5), indicating potential pub-
lication bias. Sensitivity analysis revealed that the reorganized data had
no impact on the outcome of the analysis (Fig. 6).
3.3. Global prevalence and study-level covariates of T. gondii prevalence
in wild birds
The univariate analysis was conducted on 49 eligible studies with
16,030 samples, of which 2660 samples were positive for T. gondii. The
highest prevalence was detected in Europe (Fig. 7). The estimated
pooled global prevalence of T. gondii infection in wild birds was 16.6%
(95% CI: 12.40–21.87). Strigiformes (33.5%, 95% CI: 21.46–48.16) had
the highest prevalence followed by Falconiformes, which had a preva-
lence close to 30%. Charadriiformes also had a high prevalence
(Table 3). However, the order of birds did not have any signicant effect
on T. gondii prevalence (P=0.08).
The results of sub-group and meta-regression analysis considered the
following variables: detection method, sample type, continent, hemi-
sphere, economic status, latitude, altitude, climate type, publication
year, and level of study quality (Table 4). T. gondii detection methods
reported in the meta-analysis included enzyme-linked immunosorbent
test (ELISA), indirect hemagglutination test (IHT), indirect immunou-
orescent antibody test (IFAT), latex agglutination test (LAT), modied
agglutination test (MAT), and polymerase chain reaction (PCR).
Regarding the detection method subgroup, the highest prevalence
21.3% (95% CI: 14.95–29.44) correlated with the use of MAT. However,
there were no signicant differences in T. gondii prevalence between the
detection methods (P=0.44). In the sampling type subgroup (P=0.46),
the highest prevalence was associated with blood samples 18.1% (95%
CI: 13.05–24.45).
While no signicant effect was detected in the continent subgroup
(P=0.15), Europe had the highest pooled prevalence 14.2% (95% CI:
13.45–15.05). This was followed by Asia 14.1% (95% CI: 13.21–15.10),
South America 11.8% (95% CI: 9.98–13.68), North America 10.2%
(95% CI: 8.70–11.79), and Africa 6.9% (95% CI: 3.83–10.80). Only one
study was reported in Oceania with a prevalence of 7.7% (95% CI:
3.58–13.19). Analysis of the hemisphere (P=0.30) showed that the
highest prevalence was detected in northern hemisphere (16.8%; 95%
CI: 12.49–22.26) and eastern hemisphere (16.8%; 95% CI:
12.28–22.57). Regarding the economic status (P=0.13), the prevalence
was higher in countries with developing economy (14.7%, 95% CI:
12.22–13.81) than in countries with developed economy.
Analysis of the latitude (P=0.13) and altitude (P=0.53) showed that
the highest prevalence was detected in the latitude category 30◦–60◦
(19.5%; 95% CI: 13.78–26.90) and altitude category 100–1000 m
(16.6%; 95% CI: 9.33–27.89). Of all climate types (P<0.01), tropical
monsoon climate had the highest prevalence of T. gondii infection
(34.8%; 95% CI:24.53–46.67), followed by dry winter subtropical
climate (26.3%;95% CI:13.54–44.96) and dry summer, Mediterranean,
climate (24.2%;95% CI:9.34–49.67).
Fig. 3. Egger’s test for the assessment of publication bias.
Fig. 4. Funnel plot with pseudo 95% CI for examination of the publication bias.
Each dot represents one study.
Fig. 5. Funnel plot shows evidence of publication bias in the meta-analysis of
T. gondii prevalence in wild birds, with missing studies imputed via the trim and
ll method. Shaded circles represent the original study estimates, and the un-
shaded circles represent the missing estimates.
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
6
Regarding the year of publication subgroup, the prevalence reported
in articles published after 2020 was 26.9% (95% CI: 16.96–39.81;
P<0.01), the highest prevalence among all articles combined. The
highest T. gondii prevalence in wild birds correlated with medium
quality studies 22.6% (95% CI: 12.03–38.37). However, T. gondii prev-
alence was not inuenced by the quality of studies (P =0.32).
4. Discussion
We conducted the rst comprehensive evaluation of the global
prevalence of T. gondii in wild birds. This systematic review and meta-
analysis estimated a pooled global prevalence of T. gondii in wild birds
of 16.6%, suggesting the widespread distribution of T. gondii in wild
birds. Our results along with others (Dubey, 2002), corroborate the
variation in the susceptibility to T. gondii among different bird species. In
our study, Strigiformes had the highest prevalence followed by Falco-
niformes. Most species in the Strigiformes and Falconiformes are
nocturnal predators that feed primarily on small rodents (Andrle, 2011;
Bertolino et al., 2001), the natural intermediate host of T. gondii (Krijger
et al., 2020), making Strigiformes and Falconiformes more likely to
acquire T. gondii infection.
By comparing methods used for detection of T. gondii infection in
wild birds, MAT was found associated with the highest prevalence,
followed by ELISA. This result is consistent with a previous study
showing MAT as the most appropriate serological test for detection of
T. gondii in birds (Dubey, 2002). MAT is the gold standard assay for
detection of T. gondii (Fernandes et al., 2019) and has good sensitivity
for measurement of anti-T. gondii antibodies (Dubey et al., 2016; Lan-
goni‚ et al., 2007; Macrì et al., 2009). MAT is also simple to use, requires
no special equipment or species-specic reagents, antigens are stable for
Fig. 6. Sensitivity analysis of T. gondii prevalence in wild birds.
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
7
months, and reagents are commercially available (Fernandes et al.,
2019). The prevalence detected by ELISA, although was lower than that
obtained by MAT, it was much higher than the prevalence obtained by
the other diagnostic methods. Although ELISA is one of the most reliable
methods for detecting anti-T. gondii specic antibodies, only two of the
articles included in this review used ELISA, presumably because it is
time-consuming, laborious, and relatively expensive (Dard et al., 2016).
The prevalence was higher in blood samples compared with the brain
tissue and muscle samples collected from wild birds. This result may be
attributed to the increased number of studies utilizing serological
analysis because blood analysis can provide valuable information
without the need for constraining or euthanasia of the bird (Angelier
et al., 2011).
Subgroup analysis by continent showed that the highest and lowest
prevalence was detected in Europe and Africa, respectively. The inter-
continental differences may have a plausible explanation. Migrant
birds can contribute to the spread and diversity of parasites by hosting
more parasites than resident birds and by facilitating long-distance
parasite dispersal (Bauer and Hoye, 2014; Jourdain et al., 2007). In
Europe, most of the bird habitats are wetlands and marshes, and with the
predicted changes in climate, wetter areas can become more humid
(Soultan et al., 2022), favoring more spread of T. gondii. Warm and
humid environments are conducive to the survival T. gondii oocysts
(Robert-Gangneux and Dard´
e, 2012). The lowest prevalence detected in
Africa may be attributed to the dry and hot climatic conditions, which do
not support the survival of T. gondii oocysts, and thus may not favor the
transmission of T. gondii. The modest number of studies reported from
Africa is perhaps related to the limited resources which may impede
investment in research.
The prevalence was higher in the eastern hemisphere compared with
the western hemisphere and higher in the northern hemisphere than the
southern hemisphere. Most of the continents are in the northern hemi-
sphere and most of the bird migration occurs in the northern hemi-
sphere. The life cycle of T. gondii is closely affected by climatic
conditions such as temperature and humidity, which are common fea-
tures of the northeastern hemisphere’s climate. These results are
consistent with the results of the continent subgroup analysis which
detected the highest prevalence in Europe and Asia.
Fig. 7. Worldwide map showing the continent-wise prevalence of T. gondii infection in wild birds.
Table 3
Pooled prevalence of T. gondii in various wild birds.
Order No. studies No. examined No. positive % (95% CI) Heterogeneity Univariate meta−regression
χ
2 P−value I
2
(%) P−value Coefcient (95% CI)
Accipitriformes 11 789 180 16.27 (7.49–31.81) 61.2 <0.01 83.7 0.08 0.9094 (−0.1230 to 1.9418)
Anseriformes 11 3507 395 20.09 (11.49–32.75) 116.9 <0.01 91.4
Charadriiformes 7 1938 415 26.43 (18.48–36.29) 28.9 <0.01 79.3
Columbiformes 12 1833 130 8.97 (4.76–16.26) 123.9 <0.01 91.1
Falconiformes 10 916 278 29.67 (17.54–45.56) 96.1 <0.01 90.6
Gruiformes 7 93 10 9.02 (3.04–23.85) 11.0 0.09 45.8
Passeriformes 21 3120 588 16.28 (9.96–25.48) 411.9 <0.01 95.1
Pelecaniformes 6 224 48 21.79 (4.53−62.08) 15.7 <0.01 68.3
Strigiformes 12 698 254 33.50 (21.46–48.16) 49.2 <0.01 77.7
Others 41 1711 239 9.71 (5.73–15.98) 137.4 <0.01 70.9
Abbreviations: CI: Condence interval; P-value: P ≤0.05 is statistically signicant.
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
8
Table 4
Sub−group analysis of the prevalence of T. gondii in wild birds.
Variable Category No.
studies
No.
examined
No.
positive
% (95% CI) Heterogeneity Univariate meta−regression
χ
2 P−value I
2
(%)
P−value Coefcient (95% CI)
Detection
method
ELISA 2 510 94 18.4
(15.30–22.04)
1.3 0.24 26.9 0.44 0.8740 (−3.0919 to
1.3440)
IHT 1 751 72 9.6 (7.68–11.91) 0.0 NA NA
IFAT 1 72 6 8.3 (3.79–17.33) 0.0 NA NA
LAT 2 865 56 7.5 (3.72–14.60) 14.4 <0.01 93.1
MAT 30 11,433 2187 21.3
(14.95–29.44)
973.6 <0.01 97.0
PCR 13 2399 245 11.0 (5.93–19.41) 244.4 <0.01 95.1
Sample type Blood 36 14,236 2395 18.1
(13.05–24.45)
1191.4 <0.01 97.1 0.46 −0.3547 (−1.3006 to
0.5913)
Brain 8 1030 150 13.3 (5.90–27.41) 143.5 <0.01 95.1
Muscles 3 398 88 17.0 (3.47–53.70) 39.6 <0.01 95.0
Continent Africa 2 202 16 6.9 (3.83–10.80) 9.6 <0.01 89.6 0.15 0.2368 (−0.0851 to
0.5586)
Asia 22 5197 811 14.1
(13.21–15.10)
462.2 <0.01 95.5
Europe 17 7332 1161 14.2
(13.45–15.05)
896.0 <0.01 98.2
North
America
4 471 184 10.2 (8.70–11.79) 185.9 <0.01 98.4
Oceania 1 117 9 7.7 (3.58–13.19) 0.0 NA NA
South
America
7 1164 183 11.8 (9.98–13.68) 247.7 <0.01 97.6
Hemisphere West 11 2764 373 11.40
(5.52–23.00)
261.3 <0.01 96.2 0.30 −0.4302 (−1.2380 to
0.3776)
East 36 10,827 1494 16.80
(12.28–22.57)
953.4 <0.01 96.3
South 8 1319 189 9.36 (3.32–23.73) 117.0 <0.01 94.0
North 39 12,272 1678 16.82
(12.49–22.26)
1093.0 <0.01 96.5
Economic status Developed 22 8688 1365 13.8
(13.08–14.53)
1186.8 <0.01 98.2 0.13 −0.0900 (−0.2067 to
0.0267)
Developing 31 6795 999 14.70
(12.22–13.81)
650.5 <0.01 95.4
Latitude −60◦− − 30◦1 117 9 7.96 (4.05–14.13) 0.0 NA NA 0.13 0.7514 (−0.2111 to
1.7140)
−30◦−0◦7 1202 180 9.59 (2.92–27.26) 101.5 <0.01 94.1
0◦−30◦7 2979 332 9.44 (5.23–16.45) 156.7 <0.01 96.2
30◦−60◦29 6394 1062 19.52
(13.78–26.90)
794.8 <0.01 96.5
60◦−90◦3 2899 284 13.15
(8.38–20.03)
13.8 <0.01 85.6
Altitude <100 m 20 8704 1054 15.46
(11.51–20.44)
403.1 <0.01 95.3 0.53 0.3037 (−0.6451 to
1.2525)
100–1000 m 17 2939 566 16.63
(9.33–27.89)
367.7 <0.01 95.6
>1000 m 10 1948 247 12.69
(5.15–28.00)
304.8 <0.01 97.0
Climate type Am 1 69 24 34.78
(24.53–46.67)
0.0 NA NA 0.01 −2.9073 (−5.2372 to
−0.5775)
Aw 3 715 31 2.68 (0.63–10.68) 28.9 <0.01 93.1
Bs 4 1458 97 5.80 (2.77–11.74) 36.9 <0.01 91.9
Bw 1 146 25 17.12
(11.84–24.12)
0.0 NA NA
Cf 16 5245 771 17.08
(11.08–25.40)
393.1 <0.01 96.2
Cs 6 1208 207 24.18
(9.34–49.67)
244.2 <0.01 98.0
Cw 6 796 236 26.34
(13.54–44.96)
111.7 <0.01 95.5
Df 2 298 51 8.75 (1.68–34.98) 10.4 <0.01 90.4
Dw 4 722 136 17.96
(8.79–33.21)
64.7 <0.01 95.4
ET 4 2934 289 13.10
(8.84–18.98)
14.6 <0.01 79.5
Publication year 2000−2010 4 1758 153 6.0 (2.07–16.19) 72.8 <0.01 95.9 0.01 −1.7430 (−3.1244 to
−0.3616
)
2011−2020 37 12,334 2044 16.5
(11.82–22.57)
1138.2 <0.01 96.8
(continued on next page)
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
9
In the latitude subgroup analysis, we found that mid-latitude had the
highest prevalence, followed by high latitude, whereas low latitudes had
the lowest prevalence. Climatic conditions in mid-latitudes are often
more humid and warm, which favor the survival of T. gondii oocysts
(Rostami et al., 2017) and maintain their infectivity (Pereira et al.,
2020). In the subgroup analysis of altitude, the highest prevalence was
found in the range of 100–1000 m. The prevalence of low altitude
(<100 m) was very close to that of 100–1000 m. The low prevalence at
the high altitude (>1000 m) is perhaps related to the low air pressure,
oxygen deprivation, low temperature, high solar radiation and unpre-
dictable climate (Zhang and Li, 2015), which are not supportive to the
survival and transmission of T. gondii.
In terms of climate type (P<0.05), the present study showed that
tropical monsoon climate had the highest prevalence, however this
result was based on a single article and cannot reect the actual effect of
climate on T. gondii prevalence. The second highest prevalence was
correlated with dry-summer, Mediterranean, climate and dry-winter
subtropical climate. Temperature, rainfall, and geographic location
can inuence the occurrence of T. gondii infection (Oliveira et al., 2019).
T. gondii is more prevalent in regions with high humidity and warm
climates (Webster, 2010). Tropical monsoon climate is characterized by
high temperature and humidity, which favor the maturation and sur-
vival oof T. gondii oocysts (Hung et al., 2007). Tropical climates are also
richer in biodiversity and forests (Sloan et al., 2019), providing a suit-
able habitat for T. gondii transmission. These results highlight the need
for more surveillance of T. gondii infection in wild birds in humid and
warm regions.
Subgroup analysis by publication year (P<0.01) revealed an increase
in the prevalence from 6.0% in 2000–2010 to 16.5% in 2011–2020 and
26.9% after 2020. This temporal progressive increase in the prevalence
of T. gondii infection in wild birds may be attributed to increased
anthropological activities (Loiselle et al., 2010; Szabo et al., 2012),
changes in the agricultural landscapes (Green et al., 2005) or advances
in the development of methods that enable better detection and moni-
toring of pathogens (Suminda et al., 2022). A high attention given to
health and environmental issues in recent years may also play a role in
increasing the awareness of and reporting T. gondii infection in wild
birds.
4.1. Limitations and perspectives
Some aspects need to be considered when interpreting the ndings of
our study. First, our meta-analysis showed high heterogeneity, which is
common in meta-analyses of prevalence estimates owing to the meth-
odological variability between studies and residual confounding that are
difcult to control. Second, some of the tested variables lack sufcient
epidemiological data due to the low number of included studies, with
analysis of some categories based on only one article. Therefore, the
results should be interpreted with some caution because of the marked
differences in the number of studies between the analyzed categories.
Future systematic reviews should consider studies published in other
languages to increase the number of studies included in the analysis.
Future investigations should also consider more surveillance of wild bird
migration routes because migratory birds can spread T. gondii to a wide
range of warm-blooded animals, particularly outdoor reared mammals.
The detection and genotyping of T. gondii isolates from wild birds can
help identify the likely source of infection and trace potential trans-
mission routes. Future research should also assess additional risk factors
such as age and gender of the birds.
5. Conclusions
Results from the systematic review and meta-analysis of 49 studies
revealed 16.6% pooled global prevalence of T. gondii infection in wild
birds. Meta-regression analysis showed that two variables, publication
year and climate type, can have a signicant inuence on T. gondii
prevalence. The inclusion of more studies reporting on the prevalence of
T. gondii in wild birds may assist in distinguishing actual differences
among other variables such as the geographical location, and method of
detection. More investigations can improve understanding of T. gondii
infection epidemiology in wild birds and contribute to the development
of measures to prevent the transmission of infection to mammalian hosts
and humans.
Funding
This work was supported by National Key R&D Program of China
(2021YFC2300903).
CRediT authorship contribution statement
Cong-Cong Lei: Software, Investigation, Formal analysis. Quan
Zhao: Writing – review & editing, Supervision, Project administration,
Conceptualization. Hany Elsheikha: Writing – review & editing, Visu-
alization, Validation, Resources, Conceptualization. Hongwei Cao:
Writing – review & editing, Supervision, Project administration, Fund-
ing acquisition, Conceptualization. Si-Yuan Qin: Resources, Investiga-
tion, Formal analysis. Xing Yang: Writing – original draft, Visualization,
Validation, Data curation. Xiao-Man Li: Visualization, Software, Re-
sources, Methodology, Data curation. Yanan Cai: Methodology,
Table 4 (continued )
Variable Category No.
studies
No.
examined
No.
positive
% (95% CI) Heterogeneity Univariate meta−regression
χ
2 P−value I
2
(%)
P−value Coefcient (95% CI)
After 2020 8 1938 463 26.9
(16.96–39.81)
132.4 <0.01 94.7
Quality level 5 29 11,105 1640 14.8
(10.04–21.20)
982.1 <0.01 97.1 0.32 −0.3432 (−1.0304 to
0.3441)
4 12 2901 484 19.4
(10.38–33.28)
259.3 <0.01 95.8
3 7 1952 530 22.6
(12.03–38.37)
64.6 <0.01 90.7
2 1 72 6 8.3 (3.79–17.33) 0.0 NA NA
Total 49 16,030 2660 16.6
(12.40–21.87)
Abbreviations: CI: Condence interval; NA: not applicable; P−value: P ≤0.05 was set at the statistical signicance threshold; LAT: Latex agglutination test; ELISA:
Enzyme linked immunosorbent assay; MAT: Modied agglutination test; PCR: Polymerase chain reaction; IHT: Indirect hemagglutination test; IFAT: Indirect
immunouorescent antibody test; Am: Tropical monsoon climate; Aw: Tropical savannah climate; Bs: Arid steppe climate; Bw: Arid desert climate; Cf: Temperate
without dry season climate; Cs: Temperate dry summer climate; Cw: Temperate dry winter climate; Df: Cold without dry season climate; Dw: Cold dry winter climate;
ET: Polar tund.
C. Chen et al.
Preventive Veterinary Medicine 226 (2024) 106187
10
Investigation, Formal analysis, Data curation. Chao Chen: Writing –
original draft, Software, Methodology, Investigation, Formal analysis,
Data curation.
Declaration of Competing Interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing nancial
interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to inuence
the work reported in this paper.
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