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Associations of Moderate Low-Carbohydrate Diets With Mortality Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study

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Abstract

Objective To investigate the associations of different types of lower-carbohydrate diets with mortality among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Methods The prospective study included 5,677 patients with T2D. The overall, unhealthy, and healthy lower-carbohydrate-diet scores were calculated based on the percentage of energy from total and subtypes of carbohydrate, protein, and fat. Death were determined via linkage to the National Death Index records until 31 st December 2015. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of mortality. Results During a median of 6.3 years of follow-up (39,401 person-years), 1,432 deaths were documented. After multivariable adjustment including lifestyle factors, diabetes duration, and glycated hemoglobin A1c, patients in the third quartile of overall lower-carbohydrate-diet score had the lowest risk of mortality (hazard ratio: 0.65 [95% confidence interval: 0.50, 0.85]), compared with the first quartile. The multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of mortality across quartiles of healthy lower-carbohydrate-diet score were 1.00 (reference), 0.78 (0.64, 0.96), 0.73 (0.58, 0.91), and 0.74 (0.58, 0.95) (P-trend =0.01). Isocalorically replacing 2% of energy from carbohydrates with plant-based protein or polyunsaturated fatty acids was associated with 23%~37% lower total mortality. Similar results were observed when analyses were stratified by age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking status, body mass index, physical activity, and diabetes duration. Conclusions Healthy lower-carbohydrate-diet score was significantly associated with a lower risk of mortality in adults with T2D. Adherence to a well-balanced moderate lower-carbohydrate-diet that emphasizes healthy carbohydrate, plant-based protein, and polyunsaturated fat may prevent premature death among patients with T2D.
The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 2022, 107, e2702–e2709
https://doi.org/10.1210/clinem/dgac235
Advance access publication 16 April 2022
Clinical Research Article
Received: 30 November 2021. Editorial Decision: 11 April 2022. Corrected and Typeset: 6 May 2022
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Associations of Moderate Low-Carbohydrate Diets
With Mortality Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes:
AProspective CohortStudy
ZhenzhenWan,1,* ZhileiShan,1,* TingtingGeng,1,2 QiLu,1, LinLi,1 JiaweiYin,1 LiegangLiu,1
AnPan,2, and GangLiu1,
1Department of Nutrition and Food Hygiene, Hubei Key Laboratory of Food Nutrition and Safety, Ministry of Education Key Lab of Environment
and Health, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong
University of Science and Technology, 430030 Wuhan, China
2Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and
Technology, 430030 Wuhan, China
*Z.W.and Z.S.contributed equally to this work as co-first authors
Correspondence: Gang Liu, PhD, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, 13 Hangkong Rd, 430030
Wuhan, China. Email: liugang026@hust.edu.cn.
Abstract
Context: A statement of context for the abstract was added in Objective as follows: Lower-carbohydrate-diet (LCD) has been reported to have
beneficial effects on cardiovascular risk factor profile in general population. However, whether adherence to an LCD could benefit long-term
survival among individuals with diabetes is unclear.
Objective: This work aimed to investigate the associations of different types of lower-carbohydrate diets with mortality among individuals with
type 2 diabetes (T2D).
Methods: This prospective study included 5677 patients with T2D. The overall, unhealthy, and healthy lower-carbohydrate-diet (LCD) scores
were calculated based on the percentage of energy from total and subtypes of carbohydrate, protein, and fat. Deaths were determined via
linkage to the National Death Index records until December 31, 2015. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratios
(HRs) and 95% CIs of mortality.
Results: During a median of 6.3 years of follow-up (39 401 person-years), 1432 deaths were documented. After multivariable adjustment
including lifestyle factors, diabetes duration, and glycated hemoglobin A1c, patients in the third quartile of overall LCD score had the lowest risk of
mortality (HR: 0.65; 95% CI, 0.50-0.85), compared with the first quartile. The multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of mortality across quartiles
of healthy lower-carbohydrate-diet score were 1.00 (reference), 0.78 (0.64-0.96), 0.73 (0.58-0.91), and 0.74 (0.58-0.95) (Ptrend = .01). Isocalorically
replacing 2% of energy from carbohydrates with plant-based protein or polyunsaturated fatty acids was associated with 23% to approximately
37% lower total mortality. Similar results were observed when analyses were stratified by age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking status, body mass
index, physical activity, and diabetes duration.
Conclusion: Healthy LCD score was significantly associated with a lower risk of mortality in adults with T2D. Adherence to a well-balanced
moderate lower-carbohydrate diet that emphasizes healthy carbohydrates, plant-based protein, and polyunsaturated fat may prevent premature
death among patients with T2D.
Key Words: lower-carbohydrate-diet, prospective study, type 2 diabetes, mortality
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CRP, C-reactive protein; CVD, cardiovascular disease; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin A1c; HDL, high-density lipoprotein;
HOMA-IR, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance; HR, hazard ratio; LCD, lower-carbohydrate diet; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; NHANES, National
Health and Nutrition Examination Survey; T2D, type 2 diabetes.
Diabetes is a serious public health issue associated with
high morbidity and mortality rates (1). According to the
International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas Report in
2019, approximately 4.2 million deaths among adults aged
20 to 79 years are attributable to diabetes (2). Among the
modiable risk factors, healthy diet has played an essential
role in preventing and improving complications of diabetes
(3, 4).
A lower-carbohydrate diet (LCD), dened as reduced
carbohydrate and increased fat and protein contributions to
total energy, has been suggested to exert favorable effects on
weight loss, glycemic control, and reduced glycated hemo-
globin A1c (HbA1c), even beyond the energy restriction (5-10).
LCD has also been reported to have benecial effects on car-
diovascular risk factor prole, such as circulating cholesterol
and triglycerides (11). However, the association between ad-
herence to LCD and risk of mortality among general popu-
lations is less conclusive, with some studies showing that a
higher LCD score was associated with a higher risk of mor-
tality (12-14), whereas other studies reported an inverse as-
sociation (15) or null association (16, 17). Moreover, besides
the quantity, different quality and sources of carbohydrate,
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The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 2022, Vol. 107, No. 7 e2703
fat, and protein could yield contrasting health effects (18, 19).
Several studies indicated that an LCD highlighting animal
sources of protein and fat was associated with a higher risk
of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mor-
tality, whereas an LCD rich in plant-based foods was associ-
ated with a lower risk of mortality (13, 20, 21).
Although potential benets of LCD are highlighted by a
US Consensus Report for glycemic control among patients
with T2D (22), whether adherence to an LCD could benet
long-term survival among individuals with diabetes is unclear.
Furthermore, whether the LCD-mortality association among
diabetes would vary by sex, race/ethnicity, obese status, or dia-
betes duration remains unknown. To address these research
gaps, for the rst time, we prospectively investigated the as-
sociations of different LCD scores with mortality among pa-
tients with T2D, using data from the National Health and
Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). We hypothesized
that an LCD score that emphasized healthy carbohydrates,
plant-based protein, and unsaturated fat would be associated
with a lower risk of mortality.
Materials andMethods
Study Population
The NHANES is a periodic survey conducted by the National
Center for Health Statistics of the Centers for Disease
Control, which represents a nationally representative sample
of the noninstitutionalized US civilian population. In this pro-
spective study, we included participants aged 20years and
older with diabetes who had at least one reliable dietary re-
call data from 8cycles of NHANES between 1999 and 2014.
Those with gestational diabetes at baseline were excluded.
The details of sampling method and analytic guidelines have
been published elsewhere (23).
Diabetes was dened as self-reported physical diagnosis of
diabetes, use of oral glucose-lowering medicines or insulin,
fasting glucose greater than or equal to 7.0 mmol/L, per-
centage HbA1c greater than or equal to 6.5%, or oral glucose
tolerance test greater than or equal to 11.1mmol/L. After ex-
clusion of individuals with unreliable energy intake (< 800
or > 4200 kcal/day for men and < 600 or > 3500 kcal/day for
women), with incomplete information on mortality, or who
were self-reported pregnant at baseline, 5677 patients with
diabetes were included in the nal analysis. Aowchart of
the study participants is shown in Supplementary Fig. 1 (24).
NHANES study protocols were approved by the institutional
review board of the National Center of Health Statistics.
Dietary Assessment and Lower-Carbohydrate Diet
Score Computation
Diet intake was assessed using 1 24-hour dietary recall in
NHANES 1999 to 2000, and 2 24-hour dietary recalls in
2001 to 2014; means of 2 values for macronutrients were
used. We also applied the National Cancer Institute method
in estimation of usual intake of macronutrients to reduce
measurement error (25). Three LCD scores, that is, overall
LCD, unhealthy LCD, and healthy LCD, were computed
using the method described in our previous study (20). Briey,
we dened carbohydrates from whole grains, whole fruit, leg-
umes, and nonstarchy vegetables as high-quality carbohy-
drates, and carbohydrates from rened grains, added sugar,
fruit juice, potato, other starchy vegetables, and other sources
as low-quality carbohydrates. We used the percentage of en-
ergy from fat, protein, and carbohydrates to represent dietary
composition instead of the absolute intake to minimize the
underreporting bias (13). The participants were divided into
11 strata (0-10) for the percentage of energy from fat (satur-
ated or unsaturated), protein (animal-based or plant-based),
and carbohydrate (high-quality or low-quality). Individuals
at higher categories of fat and protein components were as-
signed higher scores whereas carbohydrate component was
reversely scored (Supplementary Table 1) (24). The overall
LCD score was the sum of the 3 macronutrients compo-
nent scores, ranging from 0 to 30. An unhealthy LCD score
was computed according to the percentage of energy from
high-quality carbohydrates, animal-based protein, and satur-
ated fat; and a healthy LCD was computed based on low-
quality carbohydrates, plant-based protein, and unsaturated
fat (20). The higher the score, the more closely the participant
follow a healthy diet pattern.
Assessment of Covariates
Information on age, sex, race/ethnicity, education level, family
income, smoking status, physical activity, diabetes, and med-
ical history was collected at recruitment by trained inter-
viewers using standardized questionnaires. Height and body
weight were obtained through physical examinations. Body
mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight in kilograms
divided by height in meters squared, and then classied as
less than 25, 25 to 30, and 30 or greater. Physical activity
in leisure time was calculated by summarizing times of self-
reported moderate to vigorous activity per week. Alcohol in-
take data were collected at a mobile examinationcenter.
In addition, plasma glucose, insulin, HbA1c, triglycerides,
total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol,
low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and C-reactive
protein (CRP) were measured at recruitment. We computed
the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance
(HOMA-IR) using the method of Matthews etal (26).
Ascertainment of Mortality
Mortality was determined using the NHANES Public-Use
Linked Mortality File as of December 31, 2015. This le
linked NHANES to the National Death Index through a
rigorous probability matching and death certicate review
process. All-cause mortality consisted of all specied and un-
known causes.
Statistical Analysis
Considering the complex sampling design of NHANES, all
analyses in the present study incorporated sample weights,
clustering, and stratication. Person-time was computed from
the date of the dietary interview to the date of death or the
end of follow-up (December 31, 2015), whichever came rst.
Percentages of missing values were less than 5%, except for
family income-poverty ratio (8.5%). Multiple imputation was
performed for missing covariates values. SAS PROC MI and
PROC MIANALYZE were used to maximize data availability
for all variables. We imputed 5 data sets to achieve less-biased
and robust results over different simulations.
The generalized linear model was used to examine the as-
sociations of LCD scores with cardiometabolic biomarkers
at baseline, including plasma glucose, insulin, HOMA-IR,
HbA1c, triglycerides, CRP, total cholesterol, HDL, and LDL.
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e2704 The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 2022, Vol. 107, No. 7
Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to in-
vestigate the associations between LCD scores and mortality
with the lowest quartile as the reference group. Proportional
hazards assumptions were tested using Schoenfeld residuals
method and no violations were observed for all models. In
model 1, we adjusted for age (continuous, years), sex (male,
female), and race (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black,
Mexican American, or other). In model 2, we further adjusted
for total energy intake (continuous, kcal/day), cholesterol in-
take (in quartiles, mg), educational level (< high school, high
school or equivalent, or ≥ college), family income-poverty
ratio (0-1.0, 1.0-3.0, or > 3.0), BMI (< 25, 25-30, or 30),
smoking status (never, former, or current smoker), alcohol
drinking (nondrinker, low to moderate drinker, or heavy
drinker), leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity
(0, 1-3, or > 3 times/week), duration of diabetes (≤ 3, 3-10,
or > 10years), diabetes medication use (none, only oral medi-
cation, insulin, or others), HbA1c (< 7.0% or ≥ 7.0%), and
history of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, or CVD (yes
or no). Categorization of LCD scores was set as the primary
analysis. To test for linear trend, we modeled LCD scores by
assigning the median value to each quartile. As a secondary
analysis, a 20% increment in LCD scores was also applied
to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of the risk
of all-cause mortality. Isocaloric models were used to esti-
mate HRs of mortality when energy from total, unhealthy or
healthy carbohydrates was theoretically replaced by equiva-
lent energy from animal or plant-based protein, or different
types of fat (27). Results for 2% energy substitution were
shown to make the HRs comparable for various macronu-
trient substitution analyses (28).
We further stratied the analyses by age at recruitment (< 65
or ≥ 65years), sex (male or female), race/ethnicity (White or
non-White), smoking status (never or ever smokers), drinking
status (nondrinkers or drinkers), physically activity (yes or
no), BMI (< 30 or ≥ 30), diabetes duration (≤ 3 or > 3years),
and history of comorbidities (yes or no). Both categorical and
continuous (per 20% increment) LCD scores were used to es-
timate the HRs and 95% CIs of the risk of all-cause mortality.
The P values for the product terms between LCD scores and
stratication variables were used to assess the signicance of
interactions.
A series of sensitivity analyses were also conducted to test
the robustness of the results. To minimize the potential reverse
causality, we excluded participants who died within the rst
year of follow-up. Second, we further excluded participants
with a history of CVD or cancer. Third, to explore the poten-
tial mediation effects of lipid and inammation, we further
adjusted for HDL and CRP (with available data in NHANES
1999-2010). Finally, to address the potential sex-difference
issue, we generated the LCD scores using sex-specic macro-
nutrient components and repeated the main analyses. SAS
statistical software (version 9.4, SAS Institute Inc) was used
for all analyses, and a 2-tailed P value less than .05 was con-
sidered statistically signicant.
Results
Among the 5677 patients with T2D, the mean (SD) age was
61.8 (13.5) years and 49.7% were female. The baseline
characteristics of the participants according to quartiles of
LCD scores are shown in Table 1. Participants in the highest
quartiles of overall, unhealthy, or healthy LCD scores con-
suming 45.9% to 47.4% of energy from carbohydrate intake.
Participants who had a higher overall LCD score tended to
be younger, male, non-Hispanic White, and physically active,
and had higher family income and education level, higher in-
take of cholesterol, and lower intake of total energy. Similar
results were observed for the other 2 LCD scores, with the
exception that participants with a higher healthy LCD score
were older and had a better diet pattern while participants
with a higher unhealthy LCD score tended to be physically
inactive and had a higher intake of totalenergy.
The least-square means of cardiometabolic biomarkers ac-
cording to the healthy LCD score are shown in the Table 2.
Higher healthy LCD score was signicantly associated with
lower levels of CRP and higher levels of HDL at baseline (all
Ptrend .01). In addition, higher overall LCD score was as-
sociated with lower triglycerides and higher HDL, whereas
unhealthy LCD score was associated with higher HDL
(Supplementary Tables 2 and 3)(24).
During a median of 6.3years of follow-up (39 401 person-
years), we documented 1432deaths. Compared with the rst
quartile, participants in the third quartile of overall LCD
score had the lowest risk of all-cause mortality, with an HR
(95% CI) of 0.65 (0.50-0.85). The multivariable-adjusted
HRs (95% CIs) of all-cause mortality across quartiles of
healthy LCD score were 1.00 (reference), 0.78 (0.64-0.96),
0.73 (0.58-0.91), and 0.74 (0.58-0.95) (Ptrend = .01) (Table 3).
For 20% increments in the healthy LCD score, the HR (95%
CI) of all-cause mortality was 0.89 (0.81-0.97) (Table 3). No
signicant association was observed between unhealthy LCD
scores and mortality. The results remained largely unchanged
when BMI, HbA1c, and diabetes duration were included as
continuous variables into the models. Isocalorically replacing
2% of energy from total carbohydrates, unhealthy or healthy
carbohydrates with plant-based protein or PUFAs was associ-
ated with 23% to approximately 37% lower total mortality
(Fig. 1).
Results of stratied and sensitive analyses are shown in
the online repository (24). Similar results were demonstrated
when analyses were stratied by age, sex, race/ethnicity,
smoking and drinking status, physical activity, BMI, diabetes
duration, and presence of comorbidity, although some of the
associations did not reach statistical signicance largely be-
cause of reduced power. We did not observe any signicant
interactions between LCD scores and the stratied factors
on all-cause mortality after correcting for multiple testing
(Supplementary Figs. 2 and 3)(24).
In sensitive analyses, the association between healthy LCD
and all-cause mortality remained signicant when excluding
participants who died during the rst year of follow-up, or
those with CVD or cancer at baseline (Supplementary Table
4) (24). The results were slightly attenuated when further
adjusting for HDL and CRP (Supplementary Table 5) (24).
Similar ndings were observed when using sex-specic LCDs
(Supplementary Table 6)(24).
Discussion
In this large, prospective study of patients with T2D, a healthy
LCD score was associated with a lower risk of mortality, in-
dependent of lifestyle factors, diabetes duration, and glucose
control. Replacing carbohydrates with PUFAs or plant-based
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Table 1. Characteristics of participants with diabetes according to quartiles of lower-carbohydrate-diet scores in the National Health and Nutrition
Examination Survey 1999 to 2014a
Characteristics Overall LCD score Unhealthy LCD score Healthy LCD score
Quartile 1 Quartile 4 Quartile 1 Quartile 4 Quartile 1 Quartile 4
Participants, No. 1,490 1,544 1,487 1,497 1,301 1,345
Median score (IQR) 6 (4-8) 24 (22-26) 7 (5-9) 23 (21-25) 6 (4-8) 23 (22-25)
Age, mean (SD), y 61.7 (14.7) 60.7 (13.1) 65.2 (12.3) 57.9 (13.9) 59.0 (15.3) 63.8 (11.7)
Age at diagnosis, mean (SD), y 50.0 (16.5) 48.6 (15.6) 52.4 (15.4) 47.1 (15.5) 48.3 (16.6) 50.8 (15.4)
BMI, mean (SD) 32.0 (7.4) 32.6 (7.5) 31.1 (6.8) 33.1 (7.8) 32.7 (7.6) 31.4 (7.0)
Female 1015 (68.1) 515 (33.4) 1013 (68.1) 469 (31.3) 728 (56.0) 566 (42.1)
Race/ethnicity
Non-Hispanic White 468 (31.4) 753 (48.8) 430 (28.9) 784 (52.4) 465 (35.7) 572 (42.5)
Non-Hispanic Black 445 (29.9) 359 (23.3) 362 (24.3) 396 (26.5) 431 (33.1) 281 (20.9)
Hispanic 331 (22.2) 278 (18.0) 396 (26.6) 206 (13.8) 244 (18.8) 286 (21.3)
Other 246 (16.5) 154 (10.0) 299 (20.1) 111 (7.4) 161 (12.4) 206 (15.3)
Family income to poverty ratio
≤ 1.0 356 (26.4) 298 (21.1) 325 (24.1) 346 (25.0) 354 (27.2) 221 (16.4)
1.0-3.0 663 (49.1) 597 (42.2) 665 (49.4) 605 (43.7) 698 (53.7) 664 (49.4)
> 3.0 332 (24.6) 519 (36.7) 357 (26.5) 434 (31.3) 249 (19.1) 460 (34.2)
Educational level
< High school 614 (41.4) 558 (36.1) 610 (41.1) 555 (37.1) 538 (41.4) 470 (34.9)
High school or equivalent 340 (22.9) 362 (23.5) 327 (22.1) 366 (24.5) 317 (24.4) 335 (24.9)
≥ College 531 (35.8) 624 (40.4) 546 (36.8) 576 (38.5) 446 (34.3) 540 (40.2)
Nonsmoker 832 (56.0) 640 (41.5) 896 (60.3) 593 (39.6) 624 (48.0) 607 (45.1)
Nondrinker 657 (46.3) 432 (29.2) 709 (50.3) 402 (28.1) 494 (38.0) 442 (32.9)
Physical activity, times/wk
0 995 (66.8) 967 (62.6) 914 (61.5) 976 (65.2) 890 (68.4) 789 (58.7)
1-2 150 (10.1) 171 (11.1) 143 (9.6) 175 (11.7) 151 (11.6) 149 (11.1)
≥3 345 (23.2) 406 (26.3) 430 (28.9) 346 (23.1) 260 (20.0) 407 (30.3)
Duration of diabetes, y
≤ 3 751 (51.6) 622 (41.3) 662 (45.5) 719 (49.1) 696 (53.5) 465 (34.6)
3-10 306 (21.0) 386 (25.7) 326 (22.4) 342 (23.4) 311 (23.9) 410 (30.5)
> 10 399 (27.4) 497 (33.0) 466 (32.1) 403 (27.5) 294 (22.6) 470 (34.9)
Dietary intake, mean (SD)
Total energy, kcal/d 1866 (401) 1829 (372) 1780 (373) 1905 (396) 1937 (410) 1802 (368)
Total carbohydrate, % of total energy intake 56.8 (2.5) 45.9 (2.6) 55.4 (3.5) 47.0 (3.5) 55.7 (3.2) 47.4 (3.6)
High-quality carbohydrate 10.8 (4.4) 8.6 (3.3) 13.7 (3.8) 6.7 (2.1) 8.1 (3.1) 11.4 (4.3)
Low-quality carbohydrate 46.0 (4.7) 37.4 (3.5) 41.7 (5.6) 40.3 (4.2) 47.7 (3.4) 36.0 (3.1)
Total protein, % of total energy intake 15.3 (1.4) 17.9 (1.4) 16.0 (1.6) 17.4 (1.6) 15.4 (1.5) 17.6 (1.6)
Animal protein 9.6 (1.1) 12.0 (1.4) 9.7 (1.2) 11.9 (1.4) 10.2 (1.4) 11.1 (1.6)
Plant protein 5.7 (0.8) 5.9 (0.8) 6.3 (0.9) 5.5 (0.7) 5.2 (0.5) 6.5 (0.7)
Total fat, % of total energy intake 27.9 (2.7) 36.2 (3.0) 28.6 (3.4) 35.6 (3.3) 28.9 (3.0) 35.0 (3.6)
Saturated fat 9.8 (1.4) 12.8 (1.6) 9.6 (1.2) 13.1 (1.4) 10.5 (1.6) 11.9 (1.8)
PUFAs 7.1 (1.0) 8.7 (1.2) 7.6 (1.2) 8.2 (1.3) 6.9 (0.9) 8.9 (1.2)
MUFAs 11.1 (1.3) 14.7 (1.5) 11.4 (1.6) 14.3 (1.7) 11.4 (1.3) 14.3 (1.8)
Total cholesterol intake, mg/d (IQR) 163 (85-275) 302 (175-501) 142 (78-242) 315 (181-514) 199 (112-342) 232 (135-419)
HbA1c, ≥ 7.0% 601 (41.6) 691 (46.3) 594 (41.5) 645 (45.0) 532 (40.9) 573 (42.6)
History of CVD 380 (25.5) 391 (25.3) 413 (27.8) 388 (25.9) 332 (25.5) 332 (24.7)
Hypertension 953 (64.0) 1,012 (65.5) 1,001 (67.3) 939 (62.7) 789 (60.7) 900 (66.9)
Hypercholesterolemia 765 (51.3) 841 (54.5) 800 (53.8) 778 (52.0) 618 (47.5) 771 (57.3)
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CVD, cardiovascular disease; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin A1c; IQR, interquartile range; LCD, lower-carbohydrate
diet; MUFAs, monounsaturated fatty acids; PUFAs, polyunsaturated fatty acids.
aData are presented as means (SD) for continuous variables and numbers (%) for categorical variables.
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e2706 The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 2022, Vol. 107, No. 7
protein was also associated with lower mortality. The ndings
were robust in a series of sensitivity analyses and stratied
analyses. In addition, higher healthy LCD score was signi-
cantly associated with lower level of CRP and higher level
of HDL. No association was observed between overall and
unhealthy LCD scores and mortality.
Although an LCD has become popular in rapid weight loss
with low carbohydrates and high protein and fat intake (7,
Table 2. Least-square means of cardiometabolic markers according to healthy lower-carbohydrate diet score among participants with diabetes in the
National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2014
Healthy LCD score
Ptrend Quartile 1 (0-9) Quartile 2 (10-15) Quartile 3 (16-20) Quartile 4 (21-30)
Glucose (n = 2974, mmol/L) 9.15 ± 0.17 9.15 ± 0.16 8.98 ± 0.16 9.01 ± 0.16 .25
Insulin (n = 2904, μU/mL) 24.8 ± 1.72 21.9 ± 1.63 23.7 ± 1.66 25.2 ± 1.67 .65
HOMA-IR (n = 2895) 10.2 ± 0.72 9.35 ± 0.68 9.98 ± 0.70 10.7 ± 0.70 .42
HbA1c (n = 5489, %) 7.65 ± 0.07 7.61 ± 0.07 7.58 ± 0.07 7.53 ± 0.07 .09
Triglycerides (n = 2944, mmol/L) 2.11 ± 0.12 2.06 ± 0.11 1.95 ± 0.11 2.00 ± 0.11 .23
CRP (n = 3922, mg/dL) 0.70 ± 0.06 0.65 ± 0.06 0.55 ± 0.06 0.58 ± 0.06 .01
Total cholesterol (n = 5396, mmol/L) 5.05 ± 0.05 5.00 ± 0.05 4.95 ± 0.05 4.98 ± 0.05 .10
HDL (n = 5395, mmol/L) 1.32 ± 0.01 1.36 ± 0.01 1.36 ± 0.01 1.38 ± 0.01 < .001
LDL (n = 2680, mmol/L) 2.78 ± 0.06 2.77 ± 0.05 2.69 ± 0.06 2.73 ± 0.06 .18
The least squares (mean ± SE) were estimated using the general linear model with the adjustment for age (continuous), sex (male, or female), race/ethnicity
(non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Mexican American, or other), total energy (continuous), BMI (< 25, 25-30, or ≥ 30), education level (< high
school, high school or equivalent, or ≥ college), family income-poverty ratio (0-1.0, 1.0-3.0, or > 3.0), drinking status (nondrinker, low-to-moderate
drinker, or heavy drinker), smoking status (never smoker, former smoker, or current smoker), and leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (0,
1-3, or > 3 times/week), duration of diabetes (< 3, 3-10, or ≥ 10years), diabetes medication use (none, only oral medication, insulin, or others), HbA1c
(< 7.0% or ≥ 7.0%), cholesterol intake (in quartiles), self-reported hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), CVD (yes or no), and
cancer (yes or no).
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CRP, C-reactive protein; CVD, cardiovascular disease; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin A1c; HDL, high-density
lipoprotein; HOMA-IR, homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance; LCD, lower-carbohydrate diet; LDL, low-density lipoprotein.
Table 3. Associations between lower-carbohydrate diet scores and all-cause mortality among participants with diabetes in the National Health and
Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 to 2014
Quartiles of LCD scores
Ptrend
Per 20% increment
in score Quartile 1 Quartile 2 Quartile 3 Quartile 4
Overall LCD score
Median score (IQR) 6 (4-8) 12 (11-13) 17 (16-19) 24 (22-26)
Person-years of follow-up 10 656 8351 9855 10 539
Deaths, No. 390 318 353 371
Model 1a1.00 0.74 (0.58-0.95) 0.67 (0.53-0.85) 0.81 (0.62-1.06) .15 0.92 (0.85-1.00)
Model 2b1.00 0.76 (0.59-0.98) 0.65 (0.50-0.85) 0.81 (0.60-1.09) .16 0.91 (0.84-1.00)
Unhealthy LCD score
Median score (IQR) 7 (5-9) 13 (12-14) 17 (16-18) 23 (21-25)
Person-y of follow-up 10 305 8240 10 464 10 392
Deaths, No. 391 318 379 344
Model 1a1.00 1.17 (0.95-1.43) 1.07 (0.88-1.30) 1.09 (0.86-1.37) .60 1.01 (0.94-1.10)
Model 2b1.00 1.24 (0.99-1.56) 1.08 (0.88-1.34) 1.02 (0.79-1.31) .92 0.98 (0.90-1.07)
Healthy LCD score
Median score (IQR) 6 (4-8) 13 (11-14) 18 (17-19) 23 (22-25)
Person-years of follow-up 9415 11 042 9935 9009
Deaths, No. 318 426 388 300
Model 1a1.00 0.79 (0.64-0.97) 0.71 (0.57-0.90) 0.69 (0.54-0.88) .002 0.87 (0.80-0.95)
Model 2b1.00 0.78 (0.64-0.96) 0.73 (0.58-0.91) 0.74 (0.58-0.95) .02 0.89 (0.81-0.97)
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CVD, cardiovascular disease; HbA1c, glycated hemoglobin A1c; IQR, interquartile range; LCD, lower-carbohydrate
diet.
aModel 1: adjusted for age (continuous), sex (male, or female), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Mexican American, or other).
bModel 2: further adjusted for total energy (continuous), BMI (< 25, 25-30, or ≥ 30), education level (< high school, high school or equivalent, or ≥ college),
family income-poverty ratio (0-1.0, 1.0-3.0, or > 3.0), drinking status (nondrinker, low-to-moderate drinker, or heavy drinker), smoking status (never
smoker, former smoker, or current smoker), and leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (0, 1-3, or > 3 times/week), duration of diabetes (<3,
3-10, or ≥ 10years), diabetes medication use (none, only oral medication, insulin, or others), HbA1c (< 7.0% or ≥ 7.0%), cholesterol intake (in quartiles),
self-reported hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), CVD (yes or no), and cancer (yes or no).
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The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 2022, Vol. 107, No. 7 e2707
29, 30), the associations between LCD and risk of CVD and
long-term survival among general populations were incon-
sistent. For instance, studies using data from NHANES and The
Scandinavian Women’s Lifestyle and Health Cohort showed
that LCD was associated with higher total and CVD mor-
tality (12, 31), whereas the Nurses’ Health Study and a cohort
study in Sweden observed null association of LCD with CVD
events or mortality (16, 17). In addition, the Prospective Urban
Rural Epidemiology (PURE) study (including 135 335 individ-
uals) and a cohort study in Japanese individuals found that
lower carbohydrate intake was associated with lower mortality
(15, 32). Moreover, the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities
(ARIC) study including 15 428 participants with 25 years of
follow-up suggested a U-shaped association between carbo-
hydrate intake and mortality with a nadir at consuming 50%
to 55% energy from carbohydrates (33). The heterogeneity of
these studies may be partially due to overlooking the sources
of macronutrients: animal-based or plant-based. Increasing
evidence has indicated that adherence to an LCD that empha-
sized plant sources of protein and fat was associated with a
lower risk of mortality among general populations (13, 17, 20,
33), while the unhealthy LCD rich in animal sources of protein
and fat was associated with a higher risk of CVD events and
mortality (13, 20, 21). Therefore, it is necessary to take into
consideration the quality and sources of macronutrients when
investigating the associations of LCDs with health outcomes.
In patients with diabetes, glucose control is crucial to pre-
vent long-term vascular events and mortality (34, 35). Previous
clinical studies have found that adherence to an LCD could sig-
nicantly improve glycemic control, insulin sensitivity, HbA1c,
and dyslipidemia among patients with T2D in a relatively short
intervention period (9, 11, 36-39). Although an LCD has been
recommended by a US Consensus Report for glycemic control
among people with diabetes (22), the long-term safety and ef-
fect of LCD on the health outcomes of individuals with T2D
are still poorly understood. Whether different quality and com-
ponents of macronutrients in an LCD could yield diverse ef-
fects among diabetes is unclear. To ll these knowledge gaps,
our study for the rst time explored the associations of 3 dif-
ferent LCDs patterns with mortality among 5677adults with
T2D. We found that a healthy LCD, dened as lower intake of
low-quality carbohydrates, and higher intake of planted-based
protein and polyunsaturated fat, was signicantly associated
with lower level of CRP and higher level of HDL, and a lower
risk of mortality among individuals with T2D. Moreover,
sex, race/ethnicity, obesity status, and diabetes duration did
not modify the association of LCD score with mortality.
Unexpectedly, unhealthy LCD score was positively associated
with HDL level. Although previous studies have suggested
positive associations of very-low-carbohydrate ketogenic diets
or LCD scores with HDL levels (40, 41), more studies are war-
ranted to conrm this nding. In addition, given that lower
mortality was observed when energy from carbohydrates was
theoretically replaced by that from plant-based protein or
PUFAs, it is of great importance to verify the potential benet
of diet pattern in future intervention studies. Overall, our nd-
ings indicated that health benets of moderate LCD among
diabetic patients depend both on the quantity and quality of
macronutrients in thediet.
The potential mechanisms underlying the observed associ-
ations in our study might be explained by the following bio-
logical plausibility. Ahealthy LCD emphasizes higher intakes
of plant-based protein, and unsaturated fat and lower intakes
of animal-based foods, which have been shown to have favor-
able effects on cardiometabolic disease and traits (42, 43). In
addition, plant-based foods and their bioactive components
including ber, vitamins and minerals, and phytochemicals
may be involved in the associations between the healthy LCD
scores and mortality by creating a healthy gut-microbiota
environment (44, 45). Furthermore, greater intake of plant-
based foods such as fruits, vegetables, and nuts could reduce
the dietary acid load, which might improve proinammation
and endothelial dysfunction (46-48). Nevertheless, more
studies are warranted to clarify the underlying mechanisms.
To our best knowledge, the present study is among the rst
prospective studies to explore associations between different pat-
terns of moderate LCD and mortality among patients with dia-
betes. Moreover, the use of a nationally representatively sample
of US adults with diabetes could facilitate the generalization of
the ndings. In addition, because of the comprehensive data of
Figure 1. Multivariable adjusted HRs of total mortality by isocaloric replacing 2% of energy from total, unhealthy, or healthy carbohydrate with
specific macronutrients. HRs were adjusted for age (continuous), sex (male, or female), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black,
Mexican American, or other), body mass index (< 25, 25-30, or ≥ 30), education level (< high school, high school or equivalent, or ≥ college), family
income-poverty ratio (0-1.0, 1.0-3.0, or > 3.0), drinking status (nondrinker, low-to-moderate drinker, or heavy drinker), smoking status (never smoker,
former smoker, or current smoker), and leisure-time moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (0, 1-3, or > 3 times/week), duration of diabetes (< 3, 3-10,
or ≥ 10years), diabetes medication use (none, only oral medication, insulin, or others), glycated hemoglobin A1c (< 7.0% or ≥ 7.0%), total energy intake
(continuous), dietary cholesterol (in quartiles), self-reported hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), CVD (yes or no), and cancer (yes,
or no), and percentage of energy from remaining macronutrients where appropriate (animal or plant-based protein, healthy or unhealthy carbohydrates,
PUFAs, MUFAs, and SAFs, all continuous). Carbs, carbohydrates; HR, hazard ratio; MUFAs, monounsaturated fatty acids; PUFAs, polyunsaturated fatty
acids; SAFs, saturated fatty acids.
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e2708 The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism, 2022, Vol. 107, No. 7
NHANES, the present study was able to account for a multitude
of potential confounding factors. However, several limitations
should be mentioned as well. First, the self-reported diet data
using 2 24-hour recalls was subject to measurement error, al-
though we applied the National Cancer Institute method to es-
timate distribution of usual macronutrient intake (25). Second,
diet was assessed only at baseline and patients with diabetes
may have changed their diet during follow-up, despite it being
more likely to cause nondifferential misclassication bias and
attenuate the true associations. Third, diabetes type could not
be distinguished in NHANES, although T2D accounts for more
than 90% of patients with diabetes. Fourth, severity of diabetes
cannot be completely controlled because of a lack of detailed
information, although the results did not signicantly change
when adjusting for diabetes medication use, diabetes duration,
and HbA1c levels. Fifth, multiple comparisons could not be ex-
cluded, although the results were largely similar after using the
false discovery rate approach for multiple comparison correc-
tion. Finally, residual confounding cannot be entirely ruled out
because of the nature of the observational studydesign.
Conclusion
In a nationally representative sample of US adults, we found
that healthy LCD score was signicantly associated with a
lower risk of mortality among patients with T2D. Our nd-
ings indicate that adopting a well-balanced, moderate LCD
that emphasizes good quality and food sources of macronu-
trients may aid in preventing premature death among people
withT2D.
Acknowledgment
We would like to thank each author for your contributions.
FinancialSupport
G.L.was supported by the National Nature Science Foundation
of China (grant No. 82073554), a National Nutrition Science
Research Grant (No. CNS-NNSRG2021-10), the Hubei
Province Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars
(No. 2021CFA048), and the Fundamental Research Funds
for the Central Universities (No. 2021GCRC076). A.P. was
supported by the National Nature Science Foundation
of China (grant Nos. 81930124 and 82021005) and the
Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
(No. 2021GCRC075). T.G. was supported by the China
Postdoctoral Science Foundation (No. 2021M691129).
Author Contributions
G.L.conceived the study design. Z.W. and Z.L.S.conducted
the analyses. Z.W.wrote the rst draft of the paper. All au-
thors contributed to the interpretation of the results and
critical revision of the manuscript for important intellectual
content. All authors approved the nal version of the manu-
script. G.L.is the guarantor of this work and, as such, had full
access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for
the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Disclosures
All authors have nothing to disclose.
Data Availability
Data described in the manuscript, code book, and analytic
code will be made available on request pending application
and approval from the corresponding author.
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... Moderate certainty of evidence was observed for the replacement of 2% energy from carbohydrates by plant protein inversely associated with all-cause mortality (SRR 0.76; 95% CI 0.66, 0.87; I 2 = 0%; n = 2 studies) (30,61), and for the substitution of 2% energy from carbohydrates with saturated fatty acids positively associated with all-cause mortality (SRR 1.10; 95% CI 1.04, 1.16; I 2 = 0%; n = 2 studies) (30,62). ...
... Moderate certainty of evidence was observed for the replacement of 2% energy from carbohydrates by plant protein inversely associated with all-cause mortality (SRR 0.76; 95% CI 0.66, 0.87; I 2 = 0%; n = 2 studies) (30,61), and for the substitution of 2% energy from carbohydrates with saturated fatty acids positively associated with all-cause mortality (SRR 1.10; 95% CI 1.04, 1.16; I 2 = 0%; n = 2 studies) (30,62). No association was found for the substitution of carbohydrates with PUFA, monounsaturated fatty acids, and animal protein, graded with low to moderate certainty of evidence (Supplementary Table 5). ...
... and Supplementary Fig. 3. We identified 20 studies investigating a dietary pattern, including the Mediterranean diet (5,20-22), Alternate Healthy Eating Index (23,24), Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) diet (14,22), Dietary Inflammatory Index(25)(26)(27), lowcarbohydrate high-protein diet(28,29), low-carbohydrate score(16,30), or other dietary indices and behaviors(31)(32)(33)(34)(35)(36). The certainty of evidence was rated as ...
Article
BACKGROUND Type 2 diabetes is a major health concern associated with mortality. Diet may influence the progression of diabetes; however, systematic reviews are lacking. PURPOSE This study systematically summarized the evidence on diet and all-cause mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes. DATA SOURCES PubMed and Web of Science were searched until June 2022. STUDY SELECTION Prospective observational studies investigating dietary factors in association with all-cause mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes were selected. DATA SYNTHESIS We identified 107 studies. Moderate certainty of evidence was found for inverse associations of higher intakes of fish (summary risk ratios per serving/week: 0.95; 95% CI 0.92, 0.99; n = 6 studies), whole grain (per 20 g/day: 0.84; 95% CI 0.71, 0.99; n = 2), fiber (per 5 g/day: 0.86; 95% CI 0.81, 0.91; n = 3), and n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (per 0.1 g/day: 0.87; 95% CI 0.82, 0.92; n = 2) and mortality. There was low certainty of evidence for inverse associations of vegetable consumption (per 100 g/day: 0.88; 95% CI 0.82, 0.94; n = 2), plant protein (per 10 g/day: 0.91; 95% CI 0.87, 0.96; n = 3), and for positive associations of egg consumption (per 10 g/day: 1.05; 95% CI 1.03, 1.08; n = 7) and cholesterol intake (per 300 mg/day: 1.19; 95% CI 1.13, 1.26; n = 2). For other dietary factors, evidence was uncertain or no association was observed. CONCLUSIONS Higher intake of fish, whole grain, fiber, and n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids were inversely associated with all-cause mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes. There is limited evidence for other dietary factors, and, thus, more research is needed.
... For cardiovascular risk, the benefit of LCD was studied in a prospective study. The protocol included 5,677 cases, and they were followed up for 6.3 years, totaling 39,401 person-years with 1,432 deaths during the period [14]. After adjustment for HbA1c and lifestyle factors, the third quartile of the overall LCD score showed the lowest risk for mortality with an HR of 0.65. ...
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Various discussions have continued concerning low carbohydrate diet (LCD) and calorie restriction (CR). The American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) have gradually recognized LCD as the recommendation for nutritional treatment. Recent reports have shown the predominance of LCD with clinical evidence from the accumulated data of the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) and Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS), with analyses of total LCD scores (TLCDS). Using TLCDS to analyze 139 thousand person-years, the hazard ratio (HR) of total mortality was 0.87 for TLCDS and 0.76 for vegetable (VLCDS). Authors continue developing LCD activities through the Japan LCD Promotion Association (JLCDPA).
... Due to its significant effects on world morbidity, mortality, and economics, obesity is regarded as an international health problem. In addition, being overweight raises the chance of developing a number of chronic illnesses, including heart diseases, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, stroke, osteoarthritis, and many more [125]. ...
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Sweet bell pepper (SBP, Capsicum annuum L.) can be employed as a spice in many dishes and may also be eaten as a delicious fruit. These two nutritional attributes are owing to the strong, deep taste of many SBP phytochemi-cals. This fruit has many additional beneficial properties because it contains high concentrations of minerals and vitamins that distinguish it from other kinds of fruits. Almost every part of the SBP is thought to be an excellent source of bioactive substances that are health supporters, such as flavonoids, polyphenols, and various aromatic substances. The ability of SBP-phytochemicals to work as antioxidants, reducing the harmful effects of oxidative stress and consequently preventing many chronic illnesses, is one of their main biomedical characteristics. These phytochemicals have good antibacterial properties, mostly against gram-positive pathogenic microbes, in addition to their anti-carcinogenic and cardio-preventive effects. So, this review aims to highlight the nutritional qualities of SBP-derived phytochemicals and their illness-alleviated characteristics. Antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, antitumor, antidiabetic, and analgesic properties are some of the ones discussed.
... The lowcarbohydrate-diet score has been reported to be a useful indicator for evaluating low-carbohydrate diets 9 . The lowcarbohydrate-diet score is also reportedly associated with cardiovascular events and total mortality 10,11 . ...
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Aims Low‐carbohydrate diets have become popular in the general community. The mutual relationship between the percentage of total energy intake from carbohydrates (CHO/E), glycemic control indices, and diabetes complications remains unclear. Materials and Methods This cross‐sectional study included 177 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who regularly visited outpatient clinics. In this study, dietary questionnaires were used to assess the intake ratio of the three macronutrients, and the low‐carbohydrate‐diet score was calculated. We investigated the association between the low‐carbohydrate‐diet score, continuous glucose monitoring (CGM)‐derived short‐term glycemic control indices, and diabetes complications in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Results The results are presented as medians (interquartile ranges) unless otherwise stated. Hemoglobin A1c was 7.1% (6.6–7.7%), CGM‐derived time in range (TIR) was 75.3% (62.8–87.0%), body mass index (BMI) was 24.0 (22.1–26.3) kg/m², and CHO/E was 49.8% (44.8–55.6%). BMI, triglycerides, and CGM‐derived time above range decreased significantly with increasing low‐carbohydrate‐diet scores. However, no significant association was found between the low‐carbohydrate‐diet score and glycemic control indices, including TIR, mean amplitude of glycemic excursions, and vascular complications of type 2 diabetes mellitus. Conclusion Moderate‐carbohydrate diets positively impact weight control and lipid metabolism but may have a limited effect on short‐term glycemic variability in Japanese patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.
Article
There is scarce research focusing on the relationship between the low-carbohydrate dietary score and the development of a metabolically unhealthy phenotype. Therefore, this cohort study was designed to assess the association between the low-carbohydrate dietary score and the risk of metabolically unhealthy phenotypes (MUP). This study included 1299 adults with healthy metabolic profiles who were followed for 5.9 years. Results indicated an inverse association between the second tertile of the low-carbohydrate dietary score and the risk of developing metabolically unhealthy obesity (MUO) (HR: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.59-0.98). In addition, we found an inverse association between the healthy low-carbohydrate dietary score and the risk of MUO (HR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.60-0.99). Our results revealed a nonlinear inverse association between the low-carbohydrate dietary score and the risk of MUP only in subjects with overweight or obesity. This relationship was independent of animal protein and fat intake. Also, we found that a lower intake of unhealthy carbohydrates was associated with a lower risk of MUP only in subjects with overweight or obesity.
Article
Background: Short-term clinical trials have shown the effectiveness of low-carbohydrate diets (LCDs) and low-fat diets (LFDs) for weight loss and cardiovascular benefits. We aimed to study the long-term associations among LCDs, LFDs, and mortality among middle-aged and older people. Methods: This study included 371,159 eligible participants aged 50-71 years. Overall, healthy and unhealthy LCD and LFD scores, as indicators of adherence to each dietary pattern, were calculated based on the energy intake of carbohydrates, fat, and protein and their subtypes. Results: During a median follow-up of 23.5 years, 165,698 deaths were recorded. Participants in the highest quintiles of overall LCD scores and unhealthy LCD scores had significantly higher risks of total and cause-specific mortality (hazard ratios [HRs]: 1.12-1.18). Conversely, a healthy LCD was associated with marginally lower total mortality (HR: 0.95; 95% confidence interval: 0.94, 0.97). Moreover, the highest quintile of a healthy LFD was associated with significantly lower total mortality by 18%, cardiovascular mortality by 16%, and cancer mortality by 18%, respectively, versus the lowest. Notably, isocaloric replacement of 3% energy from saturated fat with other macronutrient subtypes was associated with significantly lower total and cause-specific mortality. For low-quality carbohydrates, mortality was significantly reduced after replacement with plant protein and unsaturated fat. Conclusions: Higher mortality was observed for overall LCD and unhealthy LCD, but slightly lower risks for healthy LCD. Our results support the importance of maintaining a healthy LFD with less saturated fat in preventing all-cause and cause-specific mortality among middle-aged and older people.
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Objective To determine the efficacy and safety of low carbohydrate diets (LCDs) and very low carbohydrate diets (VLCDs) for people with type 2 diabetes. Design Systematic review and meta-analysis. Data sources Searches of CENTRAL, Medline, Embase, CINAHL, CAB, and grey literature sources from inception to 25 August 2020. Study selection Randomized clinical trials evaluating LCDs (<130 g/day or <26% of a 2000 kcal/day diet) and VLCDs (<10% calories from carbohydrates) for at least 12 weeks in adults with type 2 diabetes were eligible. Data extraction Primary outcomes were remission of diabetes (HbA 1c <6.5% or fasting glucose <7.0 mmol/L, with or without the use of diabetes medication), weight loss, HbA 1c , fasting glucose, and adverse events. Secondary outcomes included health related quality of life and biochemical laboratory data. All articles and outcomes were independently screened, extracted, and assessed for risk of bias and GRADE certainty of evidence at six and 12 month follow-up. Risk estimates and 95% confidence intervals were calculated using random effects meta-analysis. Outcomes were assessed according to a priori determined minimal important differences to determine clinical importance, and heterogeneity was investigated on the basis of risk of bias and seven a priori subgroups. Any subgroup effects with a statistically significant test of interaction were subjected to a five point credibility checklist. Results Searches identified 14 759 citations yielding 23 trials (1357 participants), and 40.6% of outcomes were judged to be at low risk of bias. At six months, compared with control diets, LCDs achieved higher rates of diabetes remission (defined as HbA 1c <6.5%) (76/133 (57%) v 41/131 (31%); risk difference 0.32, 95% confidence interval 0.17 to 0.47; 8 studies, n=264, I ² =58%). Conversely, smaller, non-significant effect sizes occurred when a remission definition of HbA 1c <6.5% without medication was used. Subgroup assessments determined as meeting credibility criteria indicated that remission with LCDs markedly decreased in studies that included patients using insulin. At 12 months, data on remission were sparse, ranging from a small effect to a trivial increased risk of diabetes. Large clinically important improvements were seen in weight loss, triglycerides, and insulin sensitivity at six months, which diminished at 12 months. On the basis of subgroup assessments deemed credible, VLCDs were less effective than less restrictive LCDs for weight loss at six months. However, this effect was explained by diet adherence. That is, among highly adherent patients on VLCDs, a clinically important reduction in weight was seen compared with studies with less adherent patients on VLCDs. Participants experienced no significant difference in quality of life at six months but did experience clinically important, but not statistically significant, worsening of quality of life and low density lipoprotein cholesterol at 12 months. Otherwise, no significant or clinically important between group differences were found in terms of adverse events or blood lipids at six and 12 months. Conclusions On the basis of moderate to low certainty evidence, patients adhering to an LCD for six months may experience remission of diabetes without adverse consequences. Limitations include continued debate around what constitutes remission of diabetes, as well as the efficacy, safety, and dietary satisfaction of longer term LCDs. Systematic review registration PROSPERO CRD42020161795.
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Aims/hypothesis Dietary recommendations for treating type 2 diabetes are unclear but a trend towards recommending a diet reduced in carbohydrate content is acknowledged. We compared a carbohydrate-reduced high-protein (CRHP) diet with an iso-energetic conventional diabetes (CD) diet to elucidate the effects on glycaemic control and selected cardiovascular risk markers during 6 weeks of full food provision of each diet. Methods The primary outcome of the study was change in HbA1c. Secondary outcomes reported in the present paper include glycaemic variables, ectopic fat content and 24 h blood pressure. Eligibility criteria were: men and women with type 2 diabetes, HbA1c 48–97 mmol/mol (6.5–11%), age >18 years, haemoglobin >6/>7 mmol/l (women/men) and eGFR >30 ml min⁻¹ (1.73 m)⁻². Participants were randomised by drawing blinded ballots to 6 + 6 weeks of an iso-energetic CRHP vs CD diet in an open label, crossover design aiming at body weight stability. The CRHP/CD diets contained carbohydrate 30/50 energy per cent (E%), protein 30/17E% and fat 40/33E%, respectively. Participants underwent a meal test at the end of each diet period and glycaemic variables, lipid profiles, 24 h blood pressure and ectopic fat including liver and pancreatic fat content were assessed at baseline and at the end of each diet period. Data were collected at Copenhagen University Hospital, Bispebjerg and Copenhagen University Hospital, Herlev. Results Twenty-eight participants completed the study. Fourteen participants carried out 6 weeks of the CRHP intervention followed by 6 weeks of the CD intervention, and 14 participants received the dietary interventions in the reverse order. Compared with a CD diet, a CRHP diet reduced the primary outcome of HbA1c (mean ± SEM: −6.2 ± 0.8 mmol/mol (−0.6 ± 0.1%) vs −0.75 ± 1.0 mmol/mol (−0.1 ± 0.1%); p < 0.001). Nine (out of 37) pre-specified secondary outcomes are reported in the present paper, of which five were significantly different between the diets, (p < 0.05); compared with a CD diet, a CRHP diet reduced the secondary outcomes (mean ± SEM or medians [interquartile range]) of fasting plasma glucose (−0.71 ± 0.20 mmol/l vs 0.03 ± 0.23 mmol/l; p < 0.05), postprandial plasma glucose AUC (9.58 ± 0.29 mmol/l × 240 min vs 11.89 ± 0.43 mmol/l × 240 min; p < 0.001) and net AUC (1.25 ± 0.20 mmol/l × 240 min vs 3.10 ± 0.25 mmol/l × 240 min; p < 0.001), hepatic fat content (−2.4% [−7.8% to −1.0%] vs 0.2% [−2.3% to 0.9%]; p < 0.01) and pancreatic fat content (−1.7% [−3.5% to 0.6%] vs 0.5% [−1.0% to 2.0%]; p < 0.05). Changes in other secondary outcomes, i.e. 24 h blood pressure and muscle-, visceral- or subcutaneous adipose tissue, did not differ between diets. Conclusions/interpretation A moderate macronutrient shift by substituting carbohydrates with protein and fat for 6 weeks reduced HbA1c and hepatic fat content in weight stable individuals with type 2 diabetes. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02764021. Funding The study was funded by grants from Arla Food for Health; the Novo Nordisk Foundation Center for Basic Metabolic Research, University of Copenhagen; the Department of Clinical Medicine, Aarhus University; the Department of Nutrition, Exercise and Sports, University of Copenhagen; and Copenhagen University Hospital, Bispebjerg.
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Objective To assess the association of dietary fatty acids with cardiovascular disease mortality and total mortality among patients with type 2 diabetes. Design Prospective, longitudinal cohort study. Setting Health professionals in the United States. Participants 11 264 participants with type 2 diabetes in the Nurses’ Health Study (1980-2014) and Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (1986-2014). Exposures Dietary fat intake assessed using validated food frequency questionnaires and updated every two to four years. Main outcome measure Total and cardiovascular disease mortality during follow-up. Results During follow-up, 2502 deaths including 646 deaths due to cardiovascular disease were documented. After multivariate adjustment, intake of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) was associated with a lower cardiovascular disease mortality, compared with total carbohydrates: hazard ratios comparing the highest with the lowest quarter were 0.76 (95% confidence interval 0.58 to 0.99; P for trend=0.03) for total PUFAs, 0.69 (0.52 to 0.90; P=0.007) for marine n-3 PUFAs, 1.13 (0.85 to 1.51) for α-linolenic acid, and 0.75 (0.56 to 1.01) for linoleic acid. Inverse associations with total mortality were also observed for intakes of total PUFAs, n-3 PUFAs, and linoleic acid, whereas monounsaturated fatty acids of animal, but not plant, origin were associated with a higher total mortality. In models that examined the theoretical effects of substituting PUFAs for other fats, isocalorically replacing 2% of energy from saturated fatty acids with total PUFAs or linoleic acid was associated with 13% (hazard ratio 0.87, 0.77 to 0.99) or 15% (0.85, 0.73 to 0.99) lower cardiovascular disease mortality, respectively. A 2% replacement of energy from saturated fatty acids with total PUFAs was associated with 12% (hazard ratio 0.88, 0.83 to 0.94) lower total mortality. Conclusions In patients with type 2 diabetes, higher intake of PUFAs, in comparison with carbohydrates or saturated fatty acids, is associated with lower total mortality and cardiovascular disease mortality. These findings highlight the important role of quality of dietary fat in the prevention of cardiovascular disease and total mortality among adults with type 2 diabetes.
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Background: The Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension (DASH) dietary pattern, which emphasizes fruit, vegetables, fat-free/low-fat dairy, whole grains, nuts and legumes, and limits saturated fat, cholesterol, red and processed meats, sweets, added sugars, salt and sugar-sweetened beverages, is widely recommended by international diabetes and heart association guidelines. Objective: To summarize the available evidence for the update of the European Association of the Study of Diabetes (EASD) guidelines, we conducted an umbrella review of existing systematic reviews and meta-analyses using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) approach of the relation of the DASH dietary pattern with cardiovascular disease and other cardiometabolic outcomes in prospective cohort studies and its effect on blood pressure and other cardiometabolic risk factors in controlled trials in individuals with and without diabetes. Methods: MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched through January 3, 2019. We included systematic reviews and meta-analyses assessing the relation of the DASH dietary pattern with cardiometabolic disease outcomes in prospective cohort studies and the effect on cardiometabolic risk factors in randomized and non-randomized controlled trials. Two independent reviewers extracted relevant data and assessed the risk of bias of individual studies. The primary outcome was incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) in the prospective cohort studies and systolic blood pressure in the controlled trials. Secondary outcomes included incident coronary heart disease, stroke, and diabetes in prospective cohort studies and other established cardiometabolic risk factors in controlled trials. If the search did not identify an existing systematic review and meta-analysis on a pre-specified outcome, then we conducted our own systematic review and meta-analysis. The evidence was summarized as risk ratios (RR) for disease incidence outcomes and mean differences (MDs) for risk factor outcomes with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). The certainty of the evidence was assessed using GRADE. Results: We identified three systematic reviews and meta-analyses of 15 unique prospective cohort studies (n = 942,140) and four systematic reviews and meta-analyses of 31 unique controlled trials (n = 4,414) across outcomes. We conducted our own systematic review and meta-analysis of 2 controlled trials (n = 65) for HbA1c. The DASH dietary pattern was associated with decreased incident cardiovascular disease (RR, 0.80 (0.76–0.85)), coronary heart disease (0.79 (0.71–0.88)), stroke (0.81 (0.72–0.92)), and diabetes (0.82 (0.74–0.92)) in prospective cohort studies and decreased systolic (MD, −5.2 mmHg (95% CI, −7.0 to −3.4)) and diastolic (−2.60 mmHg (−3.50 to −1.70)) blood pressure, Total-C (−0.20 mmol/L (−0.31 to −0.10)), LDL-C (−0.10 mmol/L (−0.20 to −0.01)), HbA1c (−0.53% (−0.62, −0.43)), fasting blood insulin (−0.15 μU/mL (−0.22 to −0.08)), and body weight (−1.42 kg (−2.03 to −0.82)) in controlled trials. There was no effect on HDL-C, triglycerides, fasting blood glucose, HOMA-IR, or CRP. The certainty of the evidence was moderate for SBP and low for CVD incidence and ranged from very low to moderate for the secondary outcomes. Conclusions: Current evidence allows for the conclusion that the DASH dietary pattern is associated with decreased incidence of cardiovascular disease and improves blood pressure with evidence of other cardiometabolic advantages in people with and without diabetes. More research is needed to improve the certainty of the estimates.
Article
Aims: To estimate the number of deaths attributable to diabetes in 20-79-year-old adults in 2019. Methods: The following were used to estimate the number of deaths attributable to diabetes: all-cause mortality estimates from the World Health Organization life table, country level age- and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence in 2019 and relative risks of death in people with diabetes compared to people without diabetes. Results: An estimated 4.2 million deaths among 20-79-year-old adults are attributable to diabetes. Diabetes is estimated to contribute to 11.3% of deaths globally, ranging from 6.8% (lowest) in the Africa Region to 16.2% (highest) in the Middle East and North Africa. About half (46.2%) of deaths attributable to diabetes occur in people under the age of 60 years. The Africa Region has the highest (73.1%) proportion of deaths attributable to diabetes in people under the age of 60 years, while the Europe Region has the lowest (31.4%). Conclusions: Diabetes is estimated to contribute to one in nine deaths among adults aged 20-79 years. Prevention of diabetes and its complications is essential, particularly in middle-income countries, where the current impact is estimated to be the largest. Contemporary data from diverse populations are needed to validate these estimates.
Article
Importance It is crucial to incorporate quality and types of carbohydrate and fat when investigating the associations of low-fat and low-carbohydrate diets with mortality. Objective To investigate the associations of low-carbohydrate and low-fat diets with total and cause-specific mortality among US adults. Design, Setting, and Participants This prospective cohort study used data from the US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey from 1999 to 2014 from 37 233 adults 20 years or older with 24-hour dietary recall data. Data were analyzed from July 5 to August 27, 2019. Exposures Overall, unhealthy, and healthy low-carbohydrate-diet and low-fat-diet scores based on the percentage of energy as total and subtypes of carbohydrate, fat, and protein. Main Outcomes and Measures All-cause mortality from baseline until December 31, 2015, linked to National Death Index mortality data. Results A total of 37 233 US adults (mean [SD] age, 49.7 [18.3] years; 19 598 [52.6%] female) were included in the present analysis. During 297 768 person-years of follow-up, 4866 total deaths occurred. Overall low-carbohydrate-diet and low-fat-diet scores were not associated with total mortality. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for total mortality per 20-percentile increase in dietary scores were 1.07 (95% CI, 1.02-1.11; P = .01 for trend) for unhealthy low-carbohydrate-diet score, 0.91 (95% CI, 0.87-0.95; P < .001 for trend) for healthy low-carbohydrate-diet score, 1.06 (95% CI, 1.01-1.12; P = .04 for trend) for unhealthy low-fat-diet score, and 0.89 (95% CI, 0.85-0.93; P < .001 for trend) for healthy low-fat-diet score. The associations remained similar in the stratification and sensitivity analyses. Conclusions and Relevance In this study, overall low-carbohydrate-diet and low-fat-diet scores were not associated with total mortality. Unhealthy low-carbohydrate-diet and low-fat-diet scores were associated with higher total mortality, whereas healthy low-carbohydrate-diet and low-fat-diet scores were associated with lower total mortality. These findings suggest that the associations of low-carbohydrate and low-fat diets with mortality may depend on the quality and food sources of macronutrients.
Article
Diabetes is a common chronic disease with various complications. The present study was conducted to determine the association of plant-based dietary index (PDI) and dietary acid load (DAL) with sleep status as well as mental health in type 2 diabetic women. In this cross-sectional study, a validated food frequency questionnaire was used to assess dietary intakes of 230 diabetic patients. We created a whole PDI, healthful plant-based diet index (hPDI) and unhealthful plant-based diet index (uPDI). DAL was calculated based on potential renal acid load and net endogenous acid production method. The Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index and 21 items Depression, Anxiety and Stress Scale were used to assess sleep and mental health disorders, respectively. Participants in the top group of uPDI had greater risk of poor sleep (OR: 6.47, 95%CI: 2.75-15.24). However, patients who were in the top group of hPDI had a lower risk of sleep problems (OR: 0.28; 95%CI: 0.13-0.62). Participants in the top group of uPDI had greater risk of depression, anxiety and stress (OR: 9.35, 95%CI: 3.96-22.07, OR: 4.74, 95%CI: 2.28-9.85, OR: 4.24, 95%CI: 2.14-8.38, respectively). In conclusion, participants with higher DAL scores and patients who adhered to animal-based diets rather than plant-based diets were likely more to be poor sleepers and have mental health disorders.
Article
Objective: Acid-base status, which can be affected by dietary acid load (DAL), has been associated with risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) and metabolic syndrome (MetS). Given the limited published literature on DAL, the aim of this study was to examine the association between DAL and risk factors for CVD and prevalence of MetS in young women. Methods: This was a cross-sectional study conducted with 371 women (20-50 y of age). Dietary intake was assessed using a food frequency questionnaire. DAL was evaluated through potential renal acid load (PRAL) and net endogenous acid production (NEAP). The associations between DAL (both PRAL and NEAP) with categories of biochemical factors (fasting blood sugar, triacylglycerol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol), anthropometric parameters (body mass index and waist circumference) and the prevalence of MetS based on the National Cholesterol Education Program's Adult Treatment Panel III) were assessed using binary logistic regression in crude and adjusted models. Results: The median values of PRAL and NEAP were 8.93 and 46.77 mEq/d, respectively. After adjustment for several covariates, a significant positive association was observed between PRAL and serum triglyceride levels (odds ratio [OR], 4.28; 95% CI, 1.67-10.99; P = 0.002). Moreover, there were positive associations between NEAP with overweight and obesity (body mass index ≥25 kg/m2; OR, 3.07; 95% CI, 1.92-4.93; P = 0.0001), waist circumference (OR, 2.27; 95% CI, 1.37-3.75; P= 0.001), and serum triglyceride levels (OR, 4.92; 95% CI, 1.87-12.92; P= 0.001). Conclusion: Compared with women with a low DAL score, women with a higher DAL score had higher weight, waist circumference, and triglyceride concentrations.
Article
Aims: Little is known about the long-term association between low-carbohydrate diets (LCD) and mortality. We evaluated the link between LCD and overall or cause-specific mortality using both individual data and pooled prospective studies. Methods and Results: Data on diets from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES; 1999-2010) were analysed. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards were applied to determine the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for mortality for each quartile of the LCD score, with the lowest quartile (Q1 – with the highest carbohydrates intake) used as reference. We used adjusted Cox regression to determine the risk ratio (RR) and 95%CI, as well as random effects models and generic inverse variance methods to synthesize quantitative and pooled data, followed by a leave-one-out method for sensitivity analysis. Overall, 24825 participants from NHANES study were included (mean follow-up 6.4 years). After adjustment, participants with the lowest carbohydrates intake (quartile Q4) of LCD had the highest risk of overall (32%), cardiovascular (CVD) (50%), cerebrovascular (51%) and cancer (36%) mortality. In the same model, the association between LCD and overall mortality was stronger in the non-obese (48%) than in the obese (19%) participants. Findings on pooled data of 9 prospective cohort studies with 462,934 participants (mean follow-up 16.1 years) indicated a positive association between LCD and overall (risk ratio [RR]: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.06-1.39, p<0.001, I2=8.6), CVD (RR: 1.13, 95%CI: 1.02-1.24, p<0.001, I2=11.2) and cancer mortality (RR: 1.08, 95%CI: 1.01-1.14, p=0.02, I2=10.3). These findings were robust in sensitivity analyses. Conclusions: Our study suggests a potentially unfavourable association of LCD with overall and cause-specific mortality, based on both analyses of a new cohort and by pooling previous cohort studies. Given the nature of the study, causality cannot be proven; we cannot rule out residual bias. Nevertheless, further studies are needed to extend these important findings, which if confirmed, may suggest a need to rethink recommendations for LCD in clinical practice.