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Tourism Geographies
An International Journal of Tourism Space, Place and Environment
ISSN: 1461-6688 (Print) 1470-1340 (Online) Journal homepage: https://www.tandfonline.com/loi/rtxg20
The COVID-19 crisis: Opportunities for sustainable
and proximity tourism
Francesc Romagosa
To cite this article: Francesc Romagosa (2020) The COVID-19 crisis: Opportunities
for sustainable and proximity tourism, Tourism Geographies, 22:3, 690-694, DOI:
10.1080/14616688.2020.1763447
To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2020.1763447
Published online: 13 May 2020.
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ARTICLE COMMENTARIES
The COVID-19 crisis: Opportunities for sustainable and
proximity tourism
Francesc Romagosa
School of Tourism and Hotel Management & Department of Geography, Autonomous University of
Barcelona, Cerdanyola (Barcelona), Spain
ARTICLE HISTORY
Received 25 April 2020
Accepted 27 April 2020
Introduction: the impact of COVID-19 on tourism
In light of the health crisis arising from the COVID-19 pandemic—and which has now
become a global economic and social crisis—a large number of questions are being
raised about its impact, in the near and long term, on the tourism sector. The crisis is
so far-reaching and has developed so suddenly and unexpectedly that it has become
very difficult to make predictions that are even slightly realistic. To paraphrase Pliny
the Elder, the great Roman naturalist who lived 2,000 years ago, the only certainty
right now is uncertainty. No-one knows what will happen, even in the short term, the
almost immediate future. However, there is consensus that nothing will ever be the
same again. Moreover, there are likely to be socioeconomic changes that will have a
very significant impact on tourism as we have come to know it: changes in mobility,
socialisation and consumption patterns, our leisure and work, and many other dimen-
sions of our social lives. Based on the evidence we have and on recent trends in the
tourism sector up until now, we reflect on the implications that this crisis may have
for the sustainability of the sector and the challenges it faces.
Based on the latest preventative measures being taken by countries, recent devel-
opments in Asia and the pattern of previous crises (SARS in 2003, the economic and
financial crisis in 2008–2009), the UN World Tourism Organisation (UNWTO) has esti-
mated a decrease of between 20% to 30% in international tourist arrivals and corre-
sponding economic earnings in 2020 compared with 2019. However, the UNWTO
acknowledges that such estimates must be treated with considerable caution, given
the magnitude, volatility and wholly different profile of this crisis with respect to previ-
ous ones (UNWTO, 2020). For now, the evidence we have is of the closure, albeit tem-
porarily, of most of the world’s tourism destinations and, consequently, of all the
companies, large and small, that depend directly or indirectly on the sector (air trans-
port, cruises, hospitality, travel agencies, leisure and cultural activities, etc.). The level
of economic and social upheaval is unprecedented.
CONTACT Francesc Romagosa francesc.romagosa@uab.cat School of Tourism and Hotel Management &
Department of Geography, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Cerdanyola (Barcelona), Spain.
ß2020 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group
TOURISM GEOGRAPHIES
2020, VOL. 22, NO. 3, 690–694
https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2020.1763447
Furthermore, it is not yet known how long the crisis will last; nor do we know its
implications, from the point of view of restrictions on our mobility or so-called social
distancing that must be maintained to prevent the spread of contagion. In this sense,
from a sociological and anthropological point of view there are also a number of
questions concerning the social impact of this crisis—at least until the pandemic is
over—especially in those places that until very recently welcomed tourists. Apart from
a considerable sense of bewilderment, suffering and social unrest among the popula-
tion, could tourists be seen as potential carriers of the virus and therefore a threat
(Korstanje, 2020)? Could this be the start of tourismophobia or, in those destinations
where it already exists, cause it to increase? The role that social media could play in
disseminating pandemic-induced perceptions and discrimination that affect the image
of companies and destinations has already been identified as being a major one (Yu
et al., 2020).
A (new) opportunity for a more sustainable tourism
It has often been argued that the tourism sector has high resilience and the capacity
to adapt to and recover from catastrophic or unexpected phenomena. This time, how-
ever, the sector will have a very severe stress test to pass. There are analysts who
believe that once the worst moments have passed, we will gradually return—they do
not venture to offer a timescale—to a certain level of normality, or at least to a situ-
ation relatively similar to that which existed pre-crisis (Navarro Jurado et al., 2020). If
this is the case, the black swan theory would be confirmed. That theory posits that
once an unexpected event of great socioeconomic impact, such as this crisis, has
passed, it becomes rationalised, making it seem predictable or explicable and giving
the impression that its occurrence was anticipated (Taleb, 2007). According to such a
point of view, the current crisis would not imply substantial change to the tourism
sector, at least in terms of its future management and planning. Rather, a ’business as
usual’philosophy would prevail. This would be worrying, if we consider the repeated
warnings that the sector has received both for its unsustainability (lack of long-term
vision) and for the increasingly recurring risks it poses with respect to climate change
and global health emergencies (Jamal & Budke, 2020). Ignoring these risks would
be reckless.
In light of the current situation, there have been calls for taking advantage of this
period of stoppage in order to make far-reaching structural changes to the tourism
sector, starting with a reflection on its sustainability. This is particularly relevant if we
are to take account of criticisms levelled in recent years, mainly by the academic field,
around the concept of sustainable tourism.Those criticisms highlight the need to
rethink that concept and bring it closer in line with resilience (Bosak, 2016; Cheer &
Lew, 2017; Hall et al., 2018). With the current crisis, this need has become more evi-
dent than ever.
Higgins-Desbiolles (2020), for example, wonders whether the COVID-19 crisis is
really an epic disaster. Given that human activities need to change if we are to avoid
the worst effects of climate change, this crisis, she says, presents us with an unex-
pected opportunity. Rather than return to our previous operating model as soon as
TOURISM GEOGRAPHIES 691
possible, COVID-19 challenges us to think about the unsustainability of the pre-crisis
travel and tourism industry. This links into another debate that began a few years ear-
lier, which highlighted the need to curb what appeared to be the unchecked (and,
therefore, unsustainable) growth of international tourism travel and to opt instead
for degrowth strategies, especially in oversaturated destinations suffering from
‘overtourism’(Higgins-Desbiolles et al., 2019). However, suddenly and unexpectedly,
those destinations that previously suffered from this problem are now faced with the
completely opposite concern: ‘undertourism’or, rather, the absence of tourism. It
should be said that this crisis has nothing to do with degrowth, which entails
voluntary and planned contraction. Nevertheless, as authors such as Fletcher et al.
(2020) suggest,
…even if the COVID-19 crisis ends relatively soon, we cannot afford to return to levels of
travel experienced previously, particularly by the wealthiest segment of the world’s
population. This is not only because of the social unrest overtourism provoked, but also
because the industry’s environmental damages (including climate change as well as
pollution and resource depletion) which were already beyond unsustainable.
According to the same authors, the current restrictions and controls on mobility of
people imposed by the health crisis show how, where there is the will and political
consensus to do so, it would be possible to regulate tourist flows according to certain
sustainability standards—when it had often been argued that this was not possible
(Fletcher et al., 2020).
Despite the uncertainty we referred to at the beginning of the article, one of the
most likely consequences of this crisis is the bolstering of proximity tourism (Navarro
Jurado et al., 2020), understood it as doing tourism and travelling near home (Diaz-
Soria, 2017; Jeuring & Haartsen, 2017). This prediction is based on the fact that with
greater social and environmental awareness (Lew, 2020), post-crisis tourists will prob-
ably choose to travel to destinations closer to their place of residence. In the context
of growing insecurity and uncertainty, nearby destinations could be considered ‘less
risky’by many potential tourists who, having been noticeably affected by the eco-
nomic crisis arising from the health crisis, have seen their purchasing power reduced.
Added to this, there may in fact be restrictions on international (long-distance) travel,
at least for a while; in helping to reduce overall emissions, this would certainly be in
line with both the promotion of more sustainable tourism and the concept
of degrowth.
Conclusions
Needless to say, there is considerable concern over the sustainability of destinations
and tourism companies (in this case, sustainability in the sense of survival). Faced with
an uncertain future, destinations that appear to be in a less disadvantaged, more resili-
ent, position are those that have a more diversified offer, are less dependent on a par-
ticular market and have opted for qualitative rather than quantitative criteria (i.e.
development instead of growth). As for the tourism companies, the larger ones may
have more wriggle room compared with small ones, although nothing is guaranteed
(consider the collapse of giant Thomas Cook, in September 2019). If we consider the
692 F. ROMAGOSA
above-mentioned predictions, companies that have believed in and been loyal to the
principles of sustainable tourism, regardless of their size, are those that could be well
positioned in the new context. At this point, we should make special reference to the
myriad of micro and small enterprises that are deeply rooted in the destination: those
companies that offer ecotourism products or products based on the local natural and
cultural heritage and do not contribute to overcrowding, offering both high-quality
experiences for tourists and high added value to the destination. In any case, as Lew
(2020) has pointed out, companies that survive the pandemic will need to make their
products more resilient to future pandemics—which health experts warn will continue
to occur—and be able to adapt to the predicted change in consumer interests, which
will include greater demand for sustainable products.
In developed countries and emerging economies, where most of the world’s tour-
ism demand is concentrated and where proximity tourism is expected to help save
the sector, the situation is more promising than it is in developing countries. The latter
are highly dependent on outbound markets that come mostly from developed coun-
tries. Therefore, the challenge to the global tourism sector is major. Sustainability tells
us to look for balances (i.e. between the environment, society and the economy).
Thus, the challenge for global sustainable tourism will be to strike a balance between
maintaining activity in rich countries, while avoiding overcrowding, and bringing activ-
ity to poor countries, some of which are overly dependent on the sector and markets
that will need a lot of incentives to recover. Tourism can be a good tool for local
development, but it should not be the only one. Thus, it will also be necessary to find
a social balance in terms of equity and justice, as well as an economic one, in every
destination. This is where tourism planning and management policies come into play,
in terms of implementing sustainability and resilience at all scales (local, national and
international) and with appropriate forms of governance, integrating the public and
private sectors in a co-ordinated manner.
In brief, all stakeholders, including us as researchers, have a task of great responsi-
bility: to help redirect tourism—from the point of view of both supply and demand—
towards a truly sustainable and resilient profile that is fit for a future that is constantly
changing and full of new challenges.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
ORCID
Francesc Romagosa http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9963-4227
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