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Financial infrastructure—total factor productivity (TFP) nexus within the purview of FDI outflow, trade openness, innovation, human capital and institutional quality: Evidence from BRICS economies

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Applied Economics
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  • Bangladesh Institute of Governance and Management (BIGM), University of Dhaka Affilt., Dhaka-1207, Bangladesh

Abstract

BRICS countries’ contribution to the global economy has received wider attention. The critical factor behind their role is financial market reform that stimulates these economies’ productivity growth. This research contributes to constructing a comprehensive index of financial infrastructure and measuring its relationship with BRICS economies’ total factor productivity (TFP) within the purview of outward FDI, trade openness, human capital, innovation and institutional quality during 1990–2019 using the CS-ARDL technique. The findings divulge a significant and positive role of financial infrastructure in TFP both in the long and short runs, while outward FDI, trade openness, human capital, and innovation walk on the same footing in BRICS countries. Moreover, the CS-ARDL-based investigated findings remain the same across the two-way fixed effect with Driscoll and Kraay Standard Error technique. Therefore, BRICS countries’ more promotion of financial dynamics and other ancillary economic, demographic, and technological factors is critical to stepping towards the spectacular growth trajectory.
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Financial infrastructure—total factor productivity
(TFP) nexus within the purview of FDI outflow,
trade openness, innovation, human capital
and institutional quality: Evidence from BRICS
economies
Faheem Ur Rehman & Md Monirul Islam
To cite this article: Faheem Ur Rehman & Md Monirul Islam (2022): Financial infrastructure—total
factor productivity (TFP) nexus within the purview of FDI outflow, trade openness, innovation,
human capital and institutional quality: Evidence from BRICS economies, Applied Economics, DOI:
10.1080/00036846.2022.2094333
To link to this article: https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094333
Published online: 11 Jul 2022.
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Financial infrastructure—total factor productivity (TFP) nexus within the purview
of FDI outow, trade openness, innovation, human capital and institutional
quality: Evidence from BRICS economies
Faheem Ur Rehman
a,b
and Md Monirul Islam
a
a
Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg, Russia;
b
Business School, Ningbo Tech University,
Ningbo, Zhejiang, China
ABSTRACT
BRICS countries’ contribution to the global economy has received wider attention. The critical
factor behind their role is nancial market reform that stimulates these economies’ productivity
growth. This research contributes to constructing a comprehensive index of nancial infrastructure
and measuring its relationship with BRICS economies’ total factor productivity (TFP) within the
purview of outward FDI, trade openness, human capital, innovation and institutional quality during
1990–2019 using the CS-ARDL technique. The ndings divulge a signicant and positive role of
nancial infrastructure in TFP both in the long and short runs, while outward FDI, trade openness,
human capital, and innovation walk on the same footing in BRICS countries. Moreover, the CS-
ARDL-based investigated ndings remain the same across the two-way xed eect with Driscoll
and Kraay Standard Error technique. Therefore, BRICS countries’ more promotion of nancial
dynamics and other ancillary economic, demographic, and technological factors is critical to
stepping towards the spectacular growth trajectory.
KEYWORDS
Financial infrastructure;
financial stability, Total
factor productivity; CS-ARDL,
BRICS
JEL CLASSIFICATION
G3; G10; G15; G18; G24; C23
I. Introduction
Economic theories generally reveal that invest-
ment or capital flows expedite economic growth
(Zaman et al. 2021; Rehman et al. 2019).
However, the investment flows depend on the
financial system as this mechanism (financial
system) transmits investments into capital,
creating values for numerous usages in the pro-
duction process. That is why a well-functioning
financial system must utilize resources to accel-
erate industrial productivity. Generally, financial
systems consist of financial markets that stimu-
late income growth by lowering transaction
costs and thus making resource distribution
more manageable. Therefore, financial develop-
ment-laden economic growth is assumed in two
ways: the first is roughly concerned with capital
accumulation, and the second path is linked to
the total factor productivity (Imbruno et al.
2022; Liu et al. 2021; Rehman and Ding 2019).
Capital accumulation steers economic growth
through its (capital) substantial utilization in
an economy’s development projects.
Furthermore, the total factor productivity
(TFP)-laden economic growth is a result of the
efficient allocation of resources where there is
a deficiency of information asymmetry in the
exploitation of financial technology innovation.
Financial development accelerates productivity
growth through proper allocation of resources.
However, an inefficient financial process instigates
economic distortion by increasing transaction costs
in business operations (Cho and Chen 2021; Liu
et al. 2021). By referencing BRICS economies like
India and Russia, Hsieh, and Klenow (2009) illu-
strated that illustrated that lower TFP occurs due to
the improper distribution of resources across firms.
For example, their estimated TFP in the manufac-
turing sector was 50–60% and 25–40% for Russia
and India, respectively, when labour and capital are
reallocated hypothetically to equalize marginal
product to the US level. Figure 1 visualizes the
trends of TFP in BRICS countries, representing
a progressive trend since the last decades. China
is leading in TFP growth, while other BRICS coun-
tries are converging at the same point.
CONTACT Faheem Ur Rehman rehman@urfu.ru Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Mira 19, Yekaterinburg
620002, Russia
APPLIED ECONOMICS
https://doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2022.2094333
© 2022 Informa UK Limited, trading as Taylor & Francis Group
Financial development boosts productivity
through technological growth and innovation.
Schumpeter and Backhaus (2003) pointed out that
a developed financial system provides credit facil-
ities to innovative manufacturers for productivity
enhancement. Greenwood and Smith (1997) sug-
gested that a developed financial system reduces
transaction costs for increasing transactions,
which helps achieve productivity levels. This
hypothesis is tested by Rajan and Zingales (1998),
concluding that for firms that receive more external
finance, their growth rate becomes high due to the
developed financial market. Guillaumont
Jeanneney, Hua, and Liang (2006) proved that eco-
nomic development enhances efficiency that
improves TFP. Our computed financial infrastruc-
ture index in Figure 2 visualizes the progressive
trend of this index in the context of BRICS coun-
tries over the last decade. Specifically, India is the
leading economy in the overall financial infrastruc-
ture index, followed by China, South Africa, Brazil,
and Russia.
However, a country’s total productivity is not
spurred only by the financial infrastructure, but
other macroeconomic elements like outward FDI,
trade openness, innovation, human capital and
institutional quality matter. Specifically, outward
FDI becomes instrumental to fluctuating produc-
tivity in economies. The relationship between
external and local activities becomes operational
within the ambit of firms’ financial portfolios in
a situation where static investments in diverse loca-
tions contest for funds caused by costly foreign
financing (Liaqat et al. 2022) Given this, the invest-
ment decision of scarce resources abroad inexor-
ably decreases the chances of the home country’s
concomitant investments. It implies that each dol-
lar of outward FDI misplaces a dollar of local
investment (Desai, Foley, and Hines 2005;
Feldstein 1995; Herzer and Schrooten 2008). In
addition, when the investments in foreign coun-
tries come without regard for investments needed
to sustain the home economy’s productivity, out-
ward FDI may reduce the domestic productivity of
the investment firm in the long run. However, out-
ward FDI potentials help increase any economy’s
productivity if these funds are used to import
goods and services from external countries, using
the calibre of external workers, machinery and
research and development (R&D) (Herzer 2011).
Apart from the outward FDI-total productivity
nexus, the trade openness-economic growth rela-
tionship occurs due to an economy’s augmented
efficiency in distributing resources and economies
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Brazil Russia India China South Africa
Figure 1. Trends of TFP Growth in BRICS Countries. Source: Penn World Table” version 9.1.
0
1
2
3
4
5
1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Financial infrastructure
Index
Brazil Russia India China South Africa
Figure 2. Movement of financial infrastructure index in BRICS Countries. Source: Authors’ Own Calculation
2F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
of scale (Grossman and Helpman, 1991; Obstfeld
and Rogoff 1996). For example, in the case of total
factor productivity, trade theory reveals that trade
openness contributes to improving productivity,
including labour and total productivity (TFP) ema-
nating from economies of scale (Krugman 1981).
Moreover, trade openness leads to augmenting
TFP through increasing labour productivity (Cho
and Chen 2021).
The role of human capital in the production
method is not traced as an input, but its effect
spurs the total productivity of an economy
(Benhabib and Spiegel et al. 1994). Besides, knowl-
edge spillovers as part of human capital are the
engine to expand economic growth. Knowledge
usually prevents diminishing returns in economies
by developing human capital skills via technologi-
cal learning. Moreover, knowledge spillovers
through developing human capital help increase
production returns (Xu, Lai, and Qi 2008). The
endogenous growth model is critical to under-
standing the nexus between innovation and TFP
growth. An abundance of skilled labour and R&D
subsidies downsize the marginal costs of R&D
activities and enhance the level of innovation and
the growth rate of TFP. Besides, market size incre-
ment contributes to boosting innovators’ revenues
for implementing more innovative projects, and it
helps intensify higher total factor productivity
(TFP) growth (Comin 2010). Moreover, innova-
tion becomes more dynamic if the economy utilizes
physical technology (Comin, Hobijn, and Rovito
2006; Hall and Jones 1999; Solow 1956). Besides,
variation in the use of physical technology yields
cross-country differences in the TFP rate.
Therefore, recently, innovation means technologi-
cal innovation, as argued by many economists.
Institutional quality influences aggregate pro-
ductivity by allocating resources efficiently.
Specifically, institutions play a substantial role in
boosting TFP by utilizing the latest technology in
investment, maintaining transaction costs, mana-
ging incentive mechanisms, and market-oriented
policies and the environment (Rehman and Sohag
2022; Quijada 2007). According to Khan et al.
(2019), good quality of the institutions bring out
expected outcomes in two ways: a) institutions
protect rights by ensuring people’s access to eco-
nomic opportunities equally and provide
remuneration for those who contribute to the pro-
duction process. On the other hand, bad institu-
tions significantly constrain productivity by
encouraging resource misallocation. Moreover,
quality institutions mobilize resources properly to
contribute to the entire production process (Islam
et al. 2022a, 2022b).
We contribute to existing financial literature
in several ways. First, we devise a novel com-
prehensive index of financial infrastructure fol-
lowing the index constructing technique used by
Donaubauer, Meyer, and Nunnenkamp (2016)
and Kaufmann, Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2011).
However, our financial index is different from
the index constructed by Donaubauer, Meyer,
and Nunnenkamp (2016) and Kaufmann,
Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2011) due to the utiliza-
tion of recent data properties with different
dimensions, especially in the case of BRICS
countries. Besides, Donaubauer, Meyer, and
Nunnenkamp (2016) devised the financial infra-
structure index in which they employed tradi-
tional aggregated data in only their quantitative
forms and used it in the case of trade. However,
in this study, we use a financial infrastructure
index consisting of 8 quantitative and qualitative
variables by employing the unobserved compo-
nent model (UCM) technique during 1990–
2019. Furthermore, this study normalizes the
dataset by population using the UCM para-
meter. This technique also captures the quanti-
tative and qualitative variables (see section III),
making regression analysis misspecification-free.
Besides, we claim that our novel formulated
index of financial infrastructure contains
a mixed order of stationarity status. This situa-
tion allows us to employ a rigorous econometric
analysis, namely the CS-ARDL technique. The
study findings’ robustness is extraordinarily
checked using alternative computation para-
meters, e.g. Two-way Fixed Effect with Driscoll
and Kraay Standard Error technique that is
barely common to the existing kinds of litera-
ture. Besides, previous studies hardly utilized
outward FDI, trade openness, human capital,
innovation and institutional quality variables in
the case of the nexus between financial infra-
structure and total factor productivity (TFP) in
the context of BRICS economies. Moreover, the
APPLIED ECONOMICS 3
study finding proves an expediting role of finan-
cial development in TFP in BRICS countries
within the purview of trade, outward FDI, inno-
vation, human capital and institutional quality
that has significant policy implications. Based on
this finding, the policymakers would solely con-
centrate on developing the array of financial
development for BRICS countries’ overall pro-
duction systems.
II. Review of literature
This literature review is of two strands: financial
infrastructure-induced total factor productivity
(TFP) and outward FDI, trade openness, innova-
tion, human capital and institutional quality-
induced total productivity factor (TFP).
Financial infrastructure-induced total factor
productivity (TFP)
Studies by Schumpeter and Nichol (1934),
Goldsmith (1969), Shaw (1973) and McKinnon
(1973) investigated the importance of the financial
system to economic growth from the different
angles of empirical inquiries. Goldsmith (1969)
firstly sought out the impacts of economic growth
on the financial market; secondly, the financial
development’s impact on economic growth;
thirdly, the influence of the financial system on
a country’s growth rate. He first established that
economic development spurs the financial system.
His second proposition assumed that banking sec-
tor growth as a part of financial development influ-
ences higher economic development than the
national output level. He failed to address
the second point, i.e. the relationship between
financial development level and economic growth.
However, his study established a positive correla-
tion between financial development and economic
activity level. Thus, he did not arrive at any con-
crete conclusion due to data limitations in a cross-
country analysis. He established his third assump-
tion relating to the effect of financial development
on a country’s growth within the empirical
procedure.
After Goldsmith (1969), the 1960s and 1970
witnessed much progress in investigating the
relationship between poverty, financial
development, and economic growth. To this
end, two groups appeared in economic studies:
structuralist and repressionist. Structuralist
research emphasizes financial variables’ structure
and qualitative composition that are instrumen-
tal in enhancing economic development. Mainly,
the financial product status helps mobilize sav-
ings in increasing capital formations and hence
economic growth. This level of income growth
reduces the poverty of an economy (Chaffai
2021; Esfahani 1994; Guha-Khasnobis 2008).
On the other hand, financial repressionist
research is carried out by Shaw (1973) and
McKinnon (1973), known as the hypothesis of
McKinnon-Shaw. This theory suggests an appro-
priate return rate on real cash balances of finan-
cial liberalizations as an economic growth
driver. This premise is based on the principle
that negative or meagre real interest rates damp
saving, by which loanable funds supply shrinks
and growth rate decreases. Therefore, the
McKinnon-Shaw model emphasized financial
liberalization that will create competition.
A rise in interest rate will boost saving and
capital formation, enhancing investment and
economic growth.
Many empirical studies have mixed conclu-
sions amid a lengthy debate on the financial
development-economic growth nexus. Some stu-
dies investigated the causal relationship between
these two variables. Moreover, empirical findings
hardly developed any specific prediction in the
nexus between these variables. For example, King
and Levine (1993) found a significant positive
relationship between financial development and
total productivity in the presence of per capita
GDP growth rate and per capita stock. Using the
averaged non-overlapping and generalized move-
ment method, Beck, Demirguc-Kunt, and Levine
(2004) found that the development of the bank-
ing sector and stock markets positively affect
economic growth. Dogan, Madaleno, and
Altinoz (2020) applied development indicators
of the stock market and banking industry and
concluded that the development indicator of the
stock market has significant positive effects on
economic growth. However, economic growth is
negatively affected by the development of the
banking sector within the purview of the
4F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
development indicator of the stock market.
A positive correlation between economic growth
and financial development was found by Leitao
(2010) for 27 EU nations and five countries of
BRICS in the case of the data from 1980 to 2006.
Adusei (2013) undertook the dynamic GMM
method for 24 countries selected from Africa
from 1981 to 2010 and found a positive relation-
ship between economic growth and financial
development. This research also proved that the
Granger causality test found bidirectional causal-
ity between economic growth and financial devel-
opment. established a similar outcome, i.e.
bidirectional causality between financial develop-
ment and income growth in Nigeria. Other stu-
dies, such as Luintel and Khan (1999) and Li and
Marinč (2018), remain on the same footing
regarding the causal relationship between eco-
nomic growth and financial development.
Abdelbary and Benhin (2019) suggested that
economic growth does not cause financial develop-
ment; instead, financial openness causes economic
growth. The study findings stated that economic
growth Grange causes financial development.
Menyah, Nazlioglu, and Wolde-Rufael (2014)
found a weak causality between financial develop-
ment and economic growth. They concluded that
economic growth depends upon financial develop-
ment, and the pattern of causation varies from one
country to another. Mlachila and Ouedraogo
(2020) pointed out that banking sector credit pro-
vision to private businesses is helpful to GDP
growth, stock market return, and dividend, which
are indicators of capital accumulation, productiv-
ity, and economic development. However, there is
no long-run relationship between bank branch
numbers and GDP for the Indian economy, as
investigated by Bhanumurthy and Singh (2013).
Finally, the study by Menyah, Nazlioglu, and
Wolde-Rufael (2014) did not conclude any causal
relation between economic growth with trade and
financial development. For searching the future
direction of the financial research, the study of
Patel et al. (2022) undertook a meta-literature
review covering the topic ‘financial market integra-
tion (FMI)’ by including 260 scientific articles from
1981 to 2021. This research explored some dimen-
sions of FMI that help productivity augmentation
for the economy.
Outward FDI, trade openness, innovation, human
capital and institutional quality-induced total
productivity factor
Apart from financial infrastructure, other macro-
economic, demographic, technological and gov-
ernance dynamics influence the TFP in any
economy. Studies on outward FDI-driven total
productivity factor (TFP) are mainly concerned
with the economic growth of different economies.
Despite this, Damijan, Polanec, and Prašnikar
(2007) examined the nexus between outward FDI
and productivity in the case of Slovenia using
microlevel data. It proved a positive relationship
between different firms’ external connectivity that
spurs the total productivity in Slovenia. Using the
panel cointegration technique, Herzer (2010) con-
sidered 33 developing countries’ contexts concern-
ing the relationship between outward FDI and TFP
during 1980–2005. This study explored a strong
positive influence of outward FDI on TFP in the
long run for these economies. Another study by
Herzer (2012) investigated a similar relationship
between outward FDI and TFP. This study used
both the TFP and economic growth, considering
them as the dependent variables of this study in the
context of Germany. His findings showed
a bidirectional causal association between outward
FDI, TFP and economic growth. It implies that
both output and productivity of Germany’s econ-
omy are the cause and consequence of outward
FDI, as proven in this study outcome. Finally, the
very recent studies such as Wu et al. (2020), Xie
and Zhang (2021) and Song et al. (2021) delved
into the nexus between outward FDI and the total
green productivity in the contexts of different
economies.
TFP is caused by trade openness due to econo-
mies of scale. The study of Miller and Upadhyay
(2000) utilized the factors trade, openness expo-
sure and human capital on TFP in the case of
developed and developing countries. They found
that trade orientation mainly influences outward-
oriented economies’ productivity. Abizadeh and
Pandey (2009) scrutinized the influence of trade
openness and structural change on TFP from the
perspective of 20 OECD member economies dur-
ing 1980–2000. Their findings discovered an influ-
ential profile of trade openness on TFP as trade
APPLIED ECONOMICS 5
leads to boosting the service sector of these coun-
tries. However, the recent investigations are largely
confined to the study of the nexus between trade
openness and green total factor productivity (Ding
et al. 2021; Huang and Liu 2021).
The knowledge spillovers effect is a core com-
ponent of human capital that stimulates the TFP
of an economy. Miller and Upadhyay (2000)
calculated the parsimonious aggregate produc-
tion function within the purview of openness,
trade, and human in both developed and devel-
oping countries and found a positive role of
human capital in the total process of TFP.
Considering the 1985-to 2004, Wei and Hao
(2011) proved a positive influence of human
capital on TFP in Chinese provinces within the
stochastic frontier approach. The author con-
firmed these findings while dividing human
capital into qualitative and quantitative forms
in estimation. Finally, Fassio, Kalantaryan, and
Venturini (2020) studied the role of foreign
human capital in TFP from three EU countries,
including the UK, Germany and France, cover-
ing the period 1994–2007. Migrants as the com-
ponent of human capital lead to enlarging
productivity where they are employed. Besides,
highly educated migrants positively affect the
production method of the high-tech sector and
have a less positive impact on the service-
oriented sectors of these EU economies.
Physical technology-relevant innovation contri-
butes to higher TFP in any economy. By including
48,794 firms from 23 industries in Taiwan, Chang
and Robin (2008) attempted to measure the role of
innovation in TFP augmentation within the pro-
pensity score matching (PSM) approach. The find-
ings extraordinarily expressed an adverse effect of
innovation on TFP in most of Taiwan’s industries.
Catching-up strategies the study observes in the
case of innovation’s downbeat move towards the
TFP growth in Taiwan. The research done by
Karafillis and Papanagiotou (2011) delved into the
effect of innovations on the TFP of organic olive
cultivators in the context of the Greek region. This
study finding reveals technology variance that sti-
mulates the formation of TFP variations in this
region. The mediating role of development in the
innovation-TFP nexus was also explored by
Demmel et al. (2017) while studying the context
of four Latin American countries Argentina,
Colombia, Peru and Mexico from 2006 to 2010.
Finally, Lee and Xuan (2019) investigated the
impact of innovation management and technology
on TFP and economic growth in China during
1977–2016. Manufacturing technology and pro-
duction-related innovation positively increase
TFP in the Chinese firm-level production process.
Through resource mobilization, institutional
quality impacts the total factor productivity
(TFP). As such, Quijada (2007) studied to inspect
how institutional quality affects TFP from the per-
spectives of Latin American countries. The study
findings divulged that the significant indicator of
institutional quality economic liberty positively
impacts the TFP in the short run in these countries.
The 24 European countries’ contexts were investi-
gated by Kaasa (2016) concerning the role of insti-
tutional quality in enhancing social capital and
labour productivity. The empirical findings discov-
ered that trust towards institutions and civic parti-
cipation are discussed in the literature to be the
significant indicators of productivity in this region.
How do local institutions impact the total factor
productivity (TFP) studied by Lasagni, Nifo, and
Vecchione (2015) in the context of 4000 firms in
Italy. The findings found a better performance of
local institutions in expediting the firm-level TFP
in this country.
The critical assumption drawn from the above
literature review includes that majority of the
researchers investigated the connection between
financial development and income growth or eco-
nomic development from the perspectives of dif-
ferent economies. The study on the nexus between
financial development and total productivity factor
(TFP) along with outward FDI, trade openness,
human quality, innovation and institutional quality
is almost scarce in the existing kinds of literature.
Besides, the previous literature hardly considered
the case of BRICS economies to quest for the same
nexus. From this viewpoint, our study would add
value to economic literature in examining the
financial development-total productivity (TFP)
nexus in the context of BRICS countries.
6F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
III. Methods and materials
Model
This research investigates the nexus between finan-
cial development and total factor productivity
(TFP) within the purview of outward FDI, trade
openness, innovation, human capital and institu-
tional quality in BRICS countries, including Brazil,
Russia, India, China and South Africa. Based on the
research purpose, we can draw the following asso-
ciation among the variables within a panel frame-
work as follows:
lnTFPit ¼αit þβlnFINit þlnOFDIit þγlnTOit
þθlnINOit þλlnHCit þϑlnIQit þεit
(1)
In Eq.(1), i depicts the i
th
sample country in the
panel; t denotes the time 1990–2019; α expresses
the constant; β , ,γ , θ , λ and ϑ denote the
coefficients of financial infrastructure (lnFIN), out-
ward FDI (lnOFDI), trade openness (lnTO), inno-
vation (lnINO), human capital (lnHC) and
institutional quality (lnIQ), respectively, and εit
demonstrates the error term.
Data construction and collection
This study constructs an index of financial infra-
structure using an Unobserved Component Model
(UCM) approach. This technique can efficiently
pick up several features of the respective variables
from various data sources, making an index, as
Kaufmann, Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2011) proposed.
In our index formulating process, the UCM con-
siders unobserved financial infrastructure aspects
as random components and makes them observed
as components. This method has two significant
advantages. First, the created index is more likely to
be particular and valuable in producing quality
data according to Kaufmann, Kraay, and
Mastruzzi (2011). The UCM-based index becomes
more potent than a single indicator implemented
in regression estimation. Second, rather than focus-
ing on a single characteristic, the developed index
is eligible for the case of a vast number of countries.
The UCM technique allows data extension to com-
pare the index’s quality and quantity across
countries.
The key feature of the UCM approach used in
this study closely resembles the framework of
Krarti, Dubey, and Howarth (2019), who created
a governance index considering several governance
indicators. As previously stated, this research aims
to provide summary characteristics of the financial
index for each country c included in the dataset by
focusing on the observed financial j indicators. The
sole idea is that observable financial indicators
usually include an unobservable variable to emu-
late a country’s core finance c. However, we calcu-
late the predicted value of an unobserved common
component of the financial indicators, which are
dependent on observed data indicators j for coun-
try c.
FIN InfcjSC1:. . . ;Scj
¼XJ
j¼1δcj
Scj γj
θj
(2)
In the Equation (1), Scj denotes the country c for
a each of the variables, which is expressed by j.
Similarly, δcj denote the particular weights, while,
γj and θj are the parameters. So, the acquired index
is then the assessed by the summation of all
j variables, which is additional weighted accord-
ingly to their correctness.
Scj ¼γjþθjInfcþerrorcj
(3)
Equation (2) states the observed scores Scj for
a country c as linearly linked with the unobserved
component of Infc financial infrastructure. The
preceding equation’s parameters γjandθj represent
unobserved expressions in observed data while
accounting for varied measurement units and
data sources. The error term represents each indi-
cator’s sample variation and perceived error errorcj.
It is also considered to be equally and indepen-
dently distributed, with a mean EðerrorcjÞ ¼ 0 and
a cross-country constant variance, although it var-
ies across the indicators. It is additionally consid-
ered that the error is independent across the
sources i.e Eðerrorci;errorcj Þ ¼ 0forij. This allows
the precise unobserved elements of each data
resource that is incorporated into the aggregated
financial index to be identified. As a result, the
correlational link of one data with another can be
attributed to the same unobserved underlying Infc
infrastructure. For attaining the γj;θj and varj
APPLIED ECONOMICS 7
estimates, the essential Log Likelihood (LL) func-
tion is optimized subject to the constraint thatvarj
θjandγj;are random indicators having normal dis-
tribution (mean and standard deviation equal to
zero and one, respectively). UCM specifies the
weights δcj as inversely related to the variance of
the jth indication and positively connected to the
variances in overall indicators to identify the
weights for each indicator.
δcj ¼var2
j
1þPJ
j¼1var2
j
(4)
The lower variance value for the jth indication
could imply good accuracy and the related weigh-
tage connected with the indicator. We also need to
rescale the index to guarantee that it is comparable
between years and economies, as the sample size in
our study fluctuates each year due to differences in
data availability in the case of several underlying
financial variables. Rescaling would prevent the
index from being distorted for economies with
poor performance in previous periods. For this,
we used 2015 as the baseline year, with a mean
and standard deviation of zero and one, respec-
tively. For periods other than 2015, we regulated
the score such that we had the same countries’
sample as in the benchmark year. Therefore, we
rescaled the index in periods other than the bench-
mark period such that it has a standard deviation
and mean of zero and one, respectively. After
adjustment, the index is then
Infc;t;Adj ¼Infc;tInf c;tþ1;Add
ntþ1nt
nt
Infc;t;miss
ntntþ1
nt
(5)
where Infc;t;Adj and Infc;t;miss correspond to the
mean value of the indicator for sample countries in
the following years and missing the next years,
respectively. The total number of economies in
the sample in the respective year are represented
by n. The larger the number of economies included
in the more recent years sample, the lower the
mean value for previous years. Likewise, the esti-
mated index’s standard deviation needs to be
rescaled by the following factors:
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
ntþ1
ntntþ1nt
nt
var Infc;tþ1;add
þInf2
c;tþ1;add
h i
r
ntntþ1
nt
var Infc;t;miss
þInf2
c;t;miss
h i (6)
where var Infc;tþ1;add
and Infc;t;miss show the
variance or dispersion for the countries in the
pattern explained previously in case of mean indi-
cators. The greater dispersion of scores in the add-
ing countries and the lower the dispersion of scores
in the missing countries in the subsequent year, the
more countries in the data are impacted. As
a result, our rescaled index is now comparable
across the sample countries and time. We normal-
ize the metrics by geographic area and population
density to account for the differences between
countries.
Table 1. Description of variables and data sources.
Variables Notation Descriptions Sources
Dependent Variables
Total Factor
Productivity
TFP Total output
weighted average of the inputs
TFP is measured at constant national prices (2011 percent 1)
Penn World Table” version 9.1.
Independent Variables
Financial
infrastructure
index
FIN See Section III and Appendix-A World Bank (Global Financial
Development Database)
Outward Foreign
Direct Investment
OFDI Foreign direct investment outflow (in Million USD) UNCTAD
Trade openness TO Export þImport
GDP WDI
Innovations INO Numbers of patent applications submitted by the resident and non-resident
people from inner and outer parts of different countries.
WDI
Human Capital
Institutional
Quality
HC
IQ
Secondary School enrollment (net %)
Six country risk indicators, including corruption, law and order, democratic
accountability, government stability, bureaucratic quality and investment
profile are taken using Principal Component Analysis (PCA).
WDI
International Country Risk
Guide
8F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
The total factor productivity (TFP) is chosen as
a dependent variable for his study, and Penn World
data is gathered for this variable. TFP is calculated
by aggregating PF and dividing it by the average
capital and labour input weightages. It ranges from
0 to 1, with 1 indicating the maximum efficiency
level on the edge and 0 indicating the maximum
distance from the edge. Section 3.2 provides more
information about the creation of financial infra-
structure, and Appendix-A contains the definitions
of variables utilized in constructing this novel
financial infrastructure index. The rest of the vari-
ables, data source, and description of our selected
variables are presented in Table 1.
Econometric methodology
Cross-Sectional dependence test
The selection of appropriate econometric techniques
for panel data models depends on the cross-sectional
dependence (CD) test results. Therefore, the study
utilizes the cross-sectional dependence (CD) test
proposed by Pesaran and Yamagata (2008), which
allows us to compare the null hypothesis (H
0
) of
cross-sectional independence against cross-sectional
dependence among the variables. The CD test is
based on the following statistics:
CD ¼ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
2F
N N 1ð Þ
sX
N1
i¼1X
N
j¼iþ1
Fdð Þ^
ρ2
ij E½Fdð Þ^
ρ2
ij
var F dð Þ^
ρ2
ij
h i(7)
where ^
ρ2
ij denotes the correlation between each
pair of the residuals obtained from ordinary least
squares (OLS) estimation, the CD test is also eligi-
ble for small cross-sectional panel data with
a small-time range (Le and Sarkodie 2020).
Panel unit root test
The first-generation panel unit root tests assume
that there are no unit roots in the panel data and
are cross-sectionally uncorrelated. To overcome
this drawback, Pesaran (2007) developed
the second generation panel unit root tests, namely
CIPS, for balanced panel data to test the null
hypothesis of non-stationarity. Chudik and
Pesaran (2015) suggested the CIPS statistic as:
CIPS N;Tð Þ ¼ 1
NX
N
i¼1
tiN;Tð Þ (8)
where t
i
(N, T) indicates the t statistic of θi.
Cross-Sectional Autoregressive Distributed Lags (CS
ARDL) approach
The Cross-Sectional Autoregressive Distributed
Lags (CS-ARDL) approach is generally used for
analysing cointegrating relationship among the
variables. This technique, i.e. the CS–ARDL, has
various advantages over other econometric models
utilized for regression analysis. More specifically,
the CS-ARDL framework considers the one-year
lag of the predicted variable as weakly exogenous
predictors within the framework of error correc-
tion (EC) mechanism. The most significant advan-
tage of the CS-ARDL procedure is that it permits to
control an unobservable issue to measure the long-
term effects in the regression model. Moreover, it
enables managing cross-sectional dependence
(CD) in long and short runs.
The current study employs the pooled mean
group (PMG) estimation-based CS-ARDL proce-
dure upholding the idea that assessments are asymp-
totically unbiased with “‘N∞’ for both fixed ‘T’
and ‘N∞’. However, the current study demon-
strates the common-correlation bias because of
unobserved and observed issues in long and short-
run dynamics. The experimental model for panel
data under the CS-ARDL framework is as follows:
ΔTFPit ¼μiþ ;iTFPit1βð
iXit1ϑ1iTFPt1ϑ2i
Xt1Þ þ X
p1
j¼1
πijΔTFPitj
þX
q1
j¼0
ωijΔXitjþρ1iΔTFPtþρ2iΔXtþεit
(9)
Here, TFPit Xit denotes dependent variable;
Xitshows the regressors vectors outward FDI,
trade openness, innovations, human capital and
institutional quality; TFPt1 indicates the long-
run estimated values of the dependent variables;
Xt1displays the long-run anticipated values of
the predictor variables. Besides, short run expected
values of the dependent variable and regressors
APPLIED ECONOMICS 9
shown by TFPitjand Xitj, respectively, and
εitdenotes error term. In addition, Index J¼
1. . . :J displays cross-sectional components;
t¼1. . . . . . Tshows the time span; πij and ωij
notice the short-term coefficients of the dependent
and independent variables, respectively; and ρ1i
and ρ2i are the mean values of dependent and
independent variables, respectively.
Two-Way fixed effect with Driscoll Kraay standard
errors technique
This study utilizes the two-way fixed effect with
Driscoll Kraay standard errors technique. It is sui-
table robustness checking procedure due to its
power to control disturbance terms in different
panels associated with cross-sectional (spatial)
dependency. Cross-sectional dependence is espe-
cially evident when i and j are divergent panels.
This problem frequently occurs when a series of
macroeconomic data with somewhat long periods
are used (Torres-Reyna 2007). First of all, the
Driscoll Kraay standard errors procedure checks
the issues of heteroscedasticity, cross-sectional
dependency and autocorrelation issues. Secondly,
this technique considers average values in the
regressors with their errors appearing. Then, it
utilizes these values in a weighted HAC estimator
to construct standard errors that become cross-
sectionally robust. The fixed effects estimator
requires two steps to be implemented. All variables
zit 2yit;xit
f g in the model for the first step are
within-transmuted as follows:
~
zit ¼zit
ziþz
¼(10)
Where
zi¼T1
iPTi
t¼ti1zit and z
¼¼PTi
ð Þ 1PiPtzit
It is mentioning that within-estimator relates to
OLS estimator of ~
yit ¼~
x0
it ; þ ~
εit is the second step.
It measures the transmuted regression model in
Equation (10) by using pooled OLS estimation.
IV. Results and discussions
Table 2 summarizes the descriptive statistics of the
study variables. The TFP mean value is 0.694, and
the standard deviation (SD) is 0.424, indicating that
the degree of effectiveness is high, with slight var-
iation across the sample economies during the
chosen years. Financial infrastructure has a mean
of 2.595 and a standard deviation of 1.091, indicat-
ing less erraticism in the sample group during the
concern years. The average and standard deviation
of institutional quality are 3.334 and 0.123, respec-
tively, showing significant variation across the sam-
ple countries. Human capital has a mean value of
4.306 and a standard deviation of 0.294, indicating
more diversity in HC across the countries and years
studied. Outward foreign direct investment has
a mean and standard deviation of 9.259 and
1.535, respectively, indicating that OFDI is highly
moveable throughout the years and countries stu-
died. The trade openness’ mean value is 3.587, with
a standard deviation of 0.360, indicating a lower
level of variability across the selected years and
among the sample economies. Finally, the mean
value of innovation is 9.595, with a standard devia-
tion of 1.026, indicating more significant variability
over the selected years and among the sample
economies. Overall, the summary statistics show
minor standard deviations among the time-series
variables, indicating normal distribution.
Therefore, this dataset will be eligible for exploita-
tion in the regression model.
Table 3 shows the empirical results of the cor-
relation matrix with levels of significance for the
concerned indicators. TFP has a considerable posi-
tive link with financial infrastructure, human capi-
tal, outward foreign direct investment, innovation,
trade openness and institutional quality, according
to the empirical findings. A systemic order is used
to classify appropriate econometric techniques for
the concerned model estimate.
This research principally uses the CD test to inves-
tigate the common correlation among concerned
Table 2. Descriptive statistics.
Variables Mean SD Min. Max.
LNTFPit 0.694 0.424 0.267 1.934
LNFINi;t2.595 1.091 0.000 4.655
LNIQi;t3.334 0.123 2.917 3.566
LNHCi;t4.306 0.294 3.607 4.700
LNOFDIi;t9.259 1.535 5.531 11.561
LNTOi;t3.587 0.360 2.763 4.158
LNINOi;t9.595 1.026 8.051 12.87
Observations 95 95 95 95
10 F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
economies across the researched period. The CD
test statistics assess the common correlation
over the cross-sections emanating from the simple
OLS regression. Furthermore, the second generation
panel unit-root test, namely CIPS, clearly finds the
integration order of all selected study indicators.
Finally, the mixed order of integration of our vari-
ables of interest at I(0) or I(1) and the presence of CD
are adequate for assessing the empirical study model
using the CS-ARDL approach. (Tugcu and Tiwari
2016).
Table 4 shows the CD test findings, e.g. the
common correlation coefficients for the complete
set of variables. The presence of CD in the selected
variables is apparent in the second column. The
third and fourth columns show the results of each
indicator’s integrated order. The unit-root inter-
cept assessment approach is used in this investiga-
tion. The CIPS test measures total productivity
factor (TFP), financial infrastructure (FIN),
human capital (HC) and trade openness (TO) to
be stationary at levels I(0) and the first difference I
(1). On the other, innovation (INO), outward FDI
(OFDI) and institutional quality (IQ) are stationary
at the level I(0). This stationarity status indicates
a mixed order of integration among the variables.
This composite integrating order among the vari-
ables allows the CS-ARDL technique for empirical
estimation.
Table 5 shows how the CS-ARDL estimation
technique tackles the CD problem under three
cases. First, this study resolves the CD issue in the
short estimator in Model 1. Model 2 removes
the CD dilemma in the long run. Finally, the cur-
rent study eliminates the CD issue for long and
short-run estimation in Model 3. For interpreta-
tion of assessment parameters, we accept Model − 3
results as a common correlation influence in the
presence of each indicator throughout the con-
cerned sample countries over the study period. In
our Model-3, the error-correction term (ECT-1)
coefficient appears to be negatively significant to
confirm a long-run relationship between the vari-
ables. The negative coefficient shows the speed of
adjustment from short-term disturbance to the
long-term viability of the Model’s regressors. The
adjustment speed to the equilibrium point in the
long-run relationship is 24% for this study.
According to our central hypothesis, financial
infrastructure significantly fosters the total produc-
tivity factor (TFP) in both the long run and short
run. This scenario indicates that the assumption of
financial infrastructure-induced TFP prevails in
the case of BRICS economies (Table 5 and
Figure 3). This study suggests that improving the
quality and quantity of financial infrastructure
boosts up total factor productivity in both the
long and short terms in the sampled economies
across the period investigated. The results reported
in Table 5 align with the idea that a well-developed
financial system allows households to switch from
tangible unproductive assets to productive finan-
cial assets, increasing credit supply. As a result, the
economy’s investment level rises in tandem with
the increase in real credit supply, resulting in a high
level of productivity. Besides, the nexus between
financial and entrepreneurial dynamics could con-
siderably proliferate the possibility of growth-laden
strategy and productivity (Dogan, Madaleno, and
Table 3. Correlation matrix.
Variables LNTFPit LNFINi;tLNIQi;tLNHCi;tLNOFDIi;tLNTOi;tLNINOi;t
LNTFPit 1.00
LNFINi;t0.194 1.00
LNIQi;t0.133 0.565 1.00
LNHCi;t0.191 0.214 0.149 1.00
LNOFDIi;t0.332 0.192 0.124 0.026 1.00
LNTOi;t0.339 0.026 0.016 0.447 0.078 1.00
LNINOi;t0.372 0.103 0.037 0.092 0.805 0.205 1.00
Table 4. Tests for cross-sectional dependency and integration
order.
Variables CD-test CIPS
Level First Difference
LNTFPit 1.328* -1.601* -7.842***
LNFINi;t2.53*** -2.798** -9.604***
LNIQi;t2.44*** -1.349 5.342***
LNHCi;t2.28*** -1.645* -8.131***
LNOFDIi;t3.82*** -1.583 -7.822***
LNTOi;t3.36*** -2.432** 9-.822***
LNINOi;t2.41*** -1.357 -7.105***
***, ** and * denotes significance level at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively.
APPLIED ECONOMICS 11
Altinoz 2020). This situation helps an economy to
be more productive and efficient in performance.
This finding relating to financial infrastructure-
stimulated TFP in the context of BRICS countries
is supported by Sanfilippo (2015).
Table 5 and Figure 4 suggests that the effect of
outward foreign direct investment on TFP is posi-
tive and significant. External foreign direct invest-
ment theoretically boosts the host country’s total
factor productivity through the following mechan-
isms: First, the reverse technological spillover effect
of this investment will enhance productivity in the
home country, enhancing its ability to produce
more sophisticated goods (Sethi et al. 2021).
Second, industries in the host nation can lower
their production costs through OFDI and reduce
the price of more sophisticated products while free-
ing up more resources for R&D, boosting produc-
tivity. Third, enterprises in the home country will
gain more information from overseas markets due
to OFDI, lowering the cost of communication and
increasing the probability of producing more com-
plex products. The positive relationship between
OFDI and TFP is supported by the earlier studies
including Damijan, Polanec, and Prašnikar (2007),
Herzer (2011) and Herzer (2012).
Table 5 and Figure 5 show that innovations
boost TFP, confirming the current study’s hypoth-
esis as proved by the previous empirical studies
done by Supekar et al. (2019), Benhabib, Perla,
and Tonetti (2021) and Wang and Dass (2017).
Innovations affect TFP through the direct channel
of research and development (R&D) activities in
adopting advanced technologies, such as computer
.2 .4 .6 . 8 1 1 .2
Total Fa cto r P rod uc tiv ity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Financial Infrastructure Index
95% CI Fitted values
Figure 3. TFP and FIN.
-.5 0 .5 1
Tota l fac tor Pro duc tivity
2 4 6 8 10 12
FDI outflow
95% CI Fitted values
Figure 4. TFP and OFDI.
Table 5. CS-ARDL estimation results for financial infrastructure-
TFP nexus.
Variables
CD-SR(Model-
1)
CD-LR(Model-
2)
CD-SR and LR
(Model-3)
Long Run
Results
LNTFPit 1.983*** 1.143*** 1.074***
(0.466) (0.278) (0.208)
LNFINi;t2.971*** 1.943** 1.514***
(0.259) (0.153) (0.039)
LNIQi;t0.380*** 0.216** 0.170***
(0.018) (0.016) (0.019)
LNHCi;t1.947*** 1.268*** 0.953***
(0.861) (0.126) (0.065)
LNOFDIi;t1.634*** 1.009*** 0.986**
(0.006) (0.000) (0.000)
LNTOi;t0.826 0.725 0.423**
(0.726) (0.528) (0.187)
LNINOi;t1.862*** 1.569*** 1.097***
(0.526) (0.238) (0.176)
Short Run
Results
LNTFPit 0.536** 0.469** 0.826**
(0.167) (0.170) (0.071)
LNFINi;t0.341** 0.736* 0.629**
(0.160) (0.163) (0.156)
LNIQi;t0.581* 0.254* 0.165**
(0.340) (0.133) (0.060)
LNHCi;t0.604 0.477 0.217
(0.880) (0.578) (0.348)
LNOFDIi;t0.105 0.126 0.079
(0.141) (0.178) (0.089)
LNTOi;t0.432 0.762 0.423
(0.372) (0.563) (0.329)
LNINOi;t0.976** 0.653* 0.592**
(0.168) (0.164) (0.015)
Cons:4.7623*** 4.301*** 3.634***
(0.516) (0.594) (0.187)
ECT 1ð Þ −0.594*** −0.417*** −0.348***
(0.096) (0.013) (0.021)
Obs:95 95 95
N 05 05 05
***, ** and * denotes significance level at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively.
12 F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
hardware, advanced machinery etc. The innovation
approach is also concerned with some non-
research and development activities, including
acquiring patents, software, licences, and training
related to modern products and procedures, mar-
ket studies, the viability of launching new pro-
jects, and specific other mechanisms relating to
production engineering and design. Furthermore,
R&D and non-R&D activities promote TFP by
decreasing production costs with more efficient
techniques and diversifying products to achieve
economies of scale (Pradhan 2019; Pradhan et al.
2021).
The long-run results depicted in model 3
reveal that the trade openness (TO) coefficient
is significant and positive, indicating that TO
enhances TFP (See Table 5 and Figure 6). This
finding of the study is in line with the pioneer-
ing research by Grossman and Krueger (1991),
arguing that TO encourages the essential ‘sup-
ply-side impacts’. It means that the TO upgrades
the economic and technological efficiencies on
a microeconomic level, stimulating TFP.
Additionally, modern technology becomes read-
ily available through the TO in home countries,
resulting in increasing TFP. Finally, enough
empirical evidence suggests that importing mod-
ern technologies from international ‘technology
leader’ economies boosts TFP in many host
economies (Li and Marinč 2018). Besides, trade
openness accelerates bank growth by decreasing
the charge and risk and increasing the volume
of bank credit the core component of financial
development .
Both Table and Figure 7 show that human capi-
tal increases total factor productivity (i.e. the coef-
ficient is significantly positive), confirming our
claim that HC is critical for developing and adopt-
ing cutting-edge technology, which boosts produc-
tivity. Higher-skilled human labour allows for
more efficient inventions and production and
more accessible expansion and distribution at the
technological frontier. Besides, financial market
development considerably leads to the efficiency
of total R&D investment, and this investment port-
folio helps increase the TFP in an economy
(Chowdhury and Maung 2012). TThe study out-
come concerning the positive influence of human
.6 .7 .8 .9 1 1.1
Total Factor Productivity
8 10 12 14
Innovations
95% CI Fitted values
Figure 5. TFP and INO.
.2 .4 .6 .8 1 1.2
Total Factor Productivity
2 2.5 3 3.5 4
Trade openess
95% CI Fitted values
Figure 6. TFP and to.
.2 .4 .6 .8 1 1.2
Total Factor Productivity
0 1 2 3 4 5
Human Capital
95% CI Fitted values
Figure 7. TFP and HC.
APPLIED ECONOMICS 13
capital on spurring TFPT is consistent with pre-
vious studies, such as Khanna and Sharma (2021)
and Liu et al. (2021).
Institutional quality is positive and significant in
both the long and short run in the case of BRICS
economies, as revealed in Table 5 and Figure 8. The
quality of institutions mainly helps augment an
economy’s production to mobilize resources by
applying proper rules and regulations. The institu-
tional potentials also influence the policy process of
the country The concerned institutions of BRICS’
economies utilize their quality mechanism and
procedure to encourage public and private
entrepreneurs, external investors and stakeholders
to accelerate production systems. Applying regula-
tory quality, these institutions make a business-
friendly climate for the investors, which stimulates
the whole production process of the BRICS econo-
mies. The studies by Quijada (2007), Balcerzak and
Pietrzak (2016), Ngo and Nguyen (2020) and
Nasreen et al. (2020) corroborate this study’s find-
ings on the ground that BRICS countries’ institu-
tional quality is primarily associated with the
successful mobilization of resources.
Robustness check
Our empirical finding are strongly robust across the
specification of an alternate estimator namely, two-
way fixed effect with Driscoll and Kraay Standard
Error technique.
The findings indicate that financial infrastruc-
ture promotes total factor productivity. In addi-
tion, other control variables such as outward FDI,
trade openness, innovation, human capital and
institutional quality also affect TFP positively and
significantly (See Table 6). These findings are in
line with the CS-ARDL approach, though there
exists deviation in coefficient values found from
this robustness check method. More importantly,
signs and significance levels obtained from this
robustness check procedure are similar to the find-
ings emerging from the CS-ARDL method.
V. Conclusion and policy implications
The view of this study is solely concerned with the
financial infrastructure-induced augmentation of
total factor productivity (TFP). The nexus between
these two core indicators in BRICS economies is
established by the current study covering 1990–
2019. Therefore, this study’s contribution includes
constructing a financial infrastructure index within
the unobserved component model (UCM) frame-
work. Besides, using a cointegration analysis tech-
nique, namely the CS-ARDL and a robustness
estimation method, i.e. two-way fixed effect with
Driscoll and Kraay standard error technique, talks
about this study’s potential in the value addition
realm of financial study literature.
The finding emerging from the CS-ARDL
procedure supports that the existing financial
0 .5 1 1.5 2
Total Factor Productivity
8 10 12 14
Institusional Quality
95% CI Fitted values
Figure 8. TFP and IQ.
Table 6. Results of two-way fixed effect with Driscoll and Kraay
Standard Error.
Variables
Two-way Fixed Effect with Driscoll and Kraay
Standard Error
LNTFPit 0.998***
(0.138)
LNFINi;t1.552***
(0.383)
LNIQi;t2.208***
(1.996)
LNHCi;t1.699***
(0.235)
LNOFDIi;t0.315**
(0.017)
LNTOi;t1.239***
(0.160)
LNINOi;t1.827***
(0.483)
Cons:4.724
(1.624)
TimeEffect NO
RegionalFixedEffect NO
Obs:95
Rsquared 0.457
N 05
***, ** and * denotes significance level at 1%, 5% and 10% respectively.
14 F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
infrastructure in BRICS countries boosts total
factor productivity (TFP) in both the short and
long runs. The selected control variable (i.e.
human capital) is one of the critical variables
used in this study is helpful to promote TFP in
these economies in the long run, though, in the
short run, it plays an insignificant role in pro-
moting TFP. In addition, the innovation factor,
trade openness, and outward FDI contribute to
stimulating TFP in the short and long run in
BRICS economies. The present empirical study
has significant policy implications in BRICS
countries and similar progressive countries glob-
ally. The policymakers of these economies
should have a keen eye for the augmentation
of financial infrastructure’s qualitative and quan-
titative formation. So, to uphold the contribu-
tion of the financial infrastructure dynamic, the
policymakers should increase economic effi-
ciency by reducing the pressure on the balance
of payments. Consequently, the potential of
financial infrastructure would create a market
for employment opportunities in the manufac-
turing, maintenance, and other industrial sec-
tors. The policymakers of BRICS countries
should adopt the best policy option to mitigate
potential volatility in financial infrastructure
triggered by so-called corporatism.
This study finding also points out exploiting the
potentials of different macroeconomic determinants
such as outward FDI, trade openness, innovation and
human capital. The development of the demographic
factor such as human capital augmentation is a key to
augmenting the TFP. In this regard, governments of
these economies should provide technical education,
training, and skills development programs consider-
ing the goal of “Industrial Revolution 4.0”. Besides,
encouraging innovation-related works and expanding
expenditure for R&D potential are required to accel-
erate these economies’ productivity. Furthermore, the
policymakers should prioritize the outward FDI-
driven business opportunities and outcomes. The
trade openness-led TFP stimulation process suggests
making the local markets more competitive by remov-
ing all trade barriers and encouraging technological
diffusion to expedite total productivity momentum.
Moreover, resource mobilization is critical to reaching
a viable spectrum of real productivity. Only improv-
ing institutional quality can help mobilize resources to
attain this desired goal of impressive productivity in
the BRICS countries.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
ORCID
Md Monirul Islam http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9818-1676
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18 F. U. REHMAN AND M. M. ISLAM
Appendices
Appendix-A. Financial infrastructure variables, descriptions and
sources
Finance Variables Descriptions Sources
Access Government listed
corporations
No. of government listed corporations, (population relative) World Bank- Global Financial
Development Database (WDI-
GFDD)
Bank accounts No of bank accounts, (relative to population). (WDI-GFDD)
traded Value Traded shares value outside of the major 10 traded corporations, as a % of
aggregated traded shares value in stock market exchange (logged).
(WDI-GFDD)
Depth Stock market
aggregated value
traded
In terms of GDP, the total number of shares traded on the stock exchange (logged). (WDI-GFDD)
quasi money and
Money (M2)
Money and quasi-money are made up of cash held outside of banks, demand
deposits other than those held by the central government, and time, savings, and
foreign currency deposits held by non-central government resident sectors. The
variable is expressed as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) (logged).
World Bank (WDI)
Private credit by
deposit money
banks
As a percentage of GDP, domestic money banks supply financial resources to the
private sector (logged). Commercial banks and other financial organizations that
take transferable deposits, such as demand deposits, are known as domestic
money banks.
(WDI-GFDD)
Efficiency turnover of Stock
market
The total value of shares exchanged over the time divided by the period’s average
market capitalization (logged).
(WDI-GFDD)
Stability Z-score Bank It expresses the likelihood of a country’s commercial banking sector defaulting. The
Z-score compares the buffer (returns and capitalization) of a country’s commercial
banking system to the volatility of those returns (logged).
(WDI-GFDD)
volatility of Stock
price
The average of the national stock market index’s 360-day volatility is used to
calculate stock price volatility (logged). The variable is multiplied by a factor (−1).
(WDI-GFDD)
APPLIED ECONOMICS 19
... By providing access to banking services for firms and individuals, financial inclusion encourages corporate investment, which in turn stimulates growth and promotes economic development. In this way, financial inclusion creates an environment conducive to the growth of firms by providing them with the financial resources they require to grow [1,2]. ...
... Regarding column (1), the coefficient of the variable SFG t−1 displays a positive and statistically significant impact on SFG t . As for column (2), this coefficient has a positive and statistically significant sign at the 1% level. In fact, the negative effect of SFG t−1 on SFG t is explained by the fact that the current growth is strictly higher than the lagged growth, indicating the emergence of accelerated growth. ...
... In order to do this, we have divided our sample into two groups, the GCC countries and the non-GCC countries. Based on the results reported in Table 11, the nonlinear link between Invest and SFG is further confirmed for both cases (see columns (2) to (4) for the GCC case and columns (6) to (8) for the non-GCC case), suggesting that H1 is accepted for both the GCC and non-GCC countries. ...
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... Finally, two-way FDI enhances the speed of capital flows and the efficiency of financing, contributing to growth in labor productivity growth rates resulting from capital deepening and improvements in the quality of labor (Rehman and Islam 2022). Structural changes in factor endowments have created an endogenous push-back mechanism that has prompted firms to reallocate factors, creating a tendency for capital to replace labor, also called capital deepening (Chen 2020). ...
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... By contrast, foreign investment, energy efficiency, renewable electricity output, and renewable energy consumption have significantly improved environmental quality by reducing carbon emissions. Rehman and Islam (2023) believe that financial infrastructure has an important positive impact on total factor productivity, and financial technology and energy innovation promote environmental sustainability. However, natural resource rents and economic growth will damage environmental quality (Udeagha and Muchapondwa 2023;Dhingra 2023). ...
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