Ansari Saleh Ahmar

Universitas Negeri Makassar | UNM · Department of Statistics

The purpose of this study was to develop Android-based teaching materials, which have qualities (valid, practical and effective) that can help to improve the quality of student learning outcomes and to motivate students to learn. The process of developing this material used the Plomp development model, which consists of a preliminary investigation...

This study aims at development of the technical indicator in Stock Market as Sutte indicator. Sutte indicator in stock trading that will assist in the investment decision-making process which is to buy or sell stocks. This study took data from PT. Astra Agro Lestari Tbk. Which is listed in the Indonesia stock exchange in the period of 5 April 2001...

This article report on quasi-experimental research. The aims of this research were to examine: 1) which model of cooperative learning (TAI or STAD) is suitable for improving student learning outcomes; 2) whether the learning outcomes of mathematics students who have visual learning style taught by TAI type model is better than when they are tought...

The aim of this study is to obtain a description of the mathematical problem-solving ability of first year students of the Statistics Department at Universitas Negeri Makassar, Makassar, South Sulawesi, Indonesia, based on the SOLO taxonomy and the cognitive style. This study uses a qualitative explorative method. The hypothesis of the study was th...

Sistem Informasi Manajemen Sekolah Berbasis Web yang dibahas didalam buku ini bersifat gratis, dikenal dengan nama JIBAS (Jaringan Informasi Bersama Antar Sekolah) yang dibuat secara professional oleh tim programmer dari PT. Galileo Mitra Solusitama. JIBAS mempunyai modul lengkap yang diperlukan oleh Sekolah, seperti Akademik, Keuangan, Perpustaka...

This study aims to utilize the ARIMA method to predict the value of Indonesia's oil and gas exports. As quantitative research, it employs secondary data sourced from the Central Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Indonesia's website. The data spans January 2010 to March 2022 and are presented on a monthly basis. Through the results and discuss...

The objective of this research is to reveal the effect of government role and human resource competence on level of success of SMEs in East Java Province with business performance as mediation variable. Using quantitative research, causal relationship across variables is ensured through SEM-PLS method. Sampling technique is purposive random samplin...

Unhealthy and unsafe sanitation will make it easier for various diseases to attack the body. In addition, unsafe sanitation will also affect a country's economy, including declining welfare, tourism losses, and environmental losses due to the loss of productive land. The research aimed to estimate the welfare cost of premature deaths based on unsaf...

The agriculture sector plays an essential function within the Indian economic system. Foodgrains provide almost all the calories and proteins. This paper aims to compare ARIMA, SutteARIMA, Holt-Winters, and NNAR models to recommend an effective model to predict foodgrains production in India. The execution of the SutteARIMA predictive model used in...

The objective of this study is to compare the different methods which are effective in predicting data of the short-term effect of COVID-19 confirmed cases and DJI closed stock market in the US. Data for confirmed cases of COVID-19 has been obtained from Worldometer, the database of Johns Hopkins University and the US stock market data (DJI) was ob...

The objective of the study was to forecast the value of oil and gas exports in Indonesia using the ARIMA Box-Jenkins. With this prediction, it is hoped that it can be a study for future policy making. This oil and gas export data is obtained from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) website, in raw data from January 2010 to March 2022....

This study is a quantitative research using bibliometric analysis. This study aimed to find out more detail about the “Statistics: A Journal of Theoretical and Applied Statistics” or SJTAS which was published during 1985-2021. This was seen from the topic of study, country productivity, author contributions, and analysis of their citation. The data...

This study was conducted with the aim to the clustering of provinces in Indonesia of the risk of the COVID-19 pandemic based on coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) data. This clustering was based on the data obtained from the Indonesian COVID-19 Task Force (SATGAS COVID-19) on 19 April 2020. Provinces in Indonesia were grouped based on the data of...

The national economics were horribly unsettled by covid-19 pandemic. Domestic consumption level fell sharply because the long post-pandemic recovery had severely impacted production and trade sectors where Small and Medium Enterprises do business most. Unhealthy business climate becomes pivotal moment for academicians to review the capability of Sm...

The inflation rate, particularly in South Sulawesi Province from year to year, is found to be very unstable, so that an effort to overcome the instability of the inflation rate is highly needed. One of the efforts that can be used is to carry out a process of forecasting the inflation rate, so that the government can predict the inflation rate prop...

This study was the development of digital teaching materials in the era of the industrial revolution 4.0 era is a type of development research or R&D. The development of teaching materials in this study adapted the software development life cycle (SDLC) development model. Based on the results and discussion, we can conclude that the design and deve...

Real world applications are dealing now with a huge amount of data, especially in the area of high dimensional features. In this article, we depict the simply*upper, the simply*lower continuous, we get several characteristics and other properties with respect to upper and lower simply*-continuous soft multi-functions. We also investigate the relati...

Forecasting is a method that is often used to view future events using past time data. Past time data have useful information to use in obtaining the future. The aim of this study was to forecast infection fatality rate (IFR) of COVID-19 in Brazil using NNAR and ARIMA. ARIMA and NNAR are used because (1) ARIMA is a simple stochastic time series met...

This research was conducted to identify and describe the profile of publications in Indonesia in 2020. This research used the bibliometric methods. The data in this research were collected by searching through the Scopus database with the keywords: AFFILCOUNTRY “Indonesia” and PUBYEAR “2020” with the exception of AFFILCOUNTRY other than “Indonesia”...

The aim of this study is to determine the association between temperature and humidity in relation to COVID-19 above 3°C. This was carried out in the cities of Bandung and Surabaya which have temperatures of about 22°C to 31°C. Data was analyzed using descriptive analysis and the Pearson and Spearman correlation for normally and abnormally distribu...

Objectives Forecasting the number of COVID-19 cases in the USA can provide an overview and projection of the development of COVID-19 cases in the US so that policy makers can determine the steps that must be taken. This study aimed to determine whether COVID-19 confirmed cases in the USA would reach 3 million cases with the SutteARIMA method foreca...

Pengolahan data menggunakan Anaysis Toolspack dilakukan dalam bentuk pelatihan bagi guru-guru di Kab. Barru bekerjasama dengan UPT SMA Negeri 1 Barru Kabupaten Takalar. Pelatihan bertempat di SMA Negeri 1 Barru Kabupaten Barru dan dilaksanakan secara daring dengan menggunakan Zoom. Tujuan dari pelatihan ini adalah agar guru terampil dalam menggunak...

The purpose of this study was to design distance learning platform using heutagogy approach. This study is expected to help to improve the quality of student learning outcomes and to motivate students to learn. This type of research is the development of research, known as research and development (R&D). The design of this study adapting by the SDL...

Bibliometric analysis is one of the research approaches that utilizes quantitative and mathematical data to address problems posed in the context of visualization to see patterns in the field of science. In fact, bibliometric analysis may also include a wider overview of the names of the most influential writers in the area of science. This data an...

The aim of this study is to predict 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain. Covid-19 Spanish confirmed data obtained from Worldometer from 01 March 2020 – 17 April 2020. The data from 01 March 2020 – 10 April 2020 using to fitting with data from 11 April – 17 April 2020. For the evaluation of the forecasting accuracy measures, we use the mean absolute...

Bibliometric analysis is one of the research approaches that utilizes quantitative and mathematical data to address problems posed in the context of visualization to see patterns in the field of science. In fact, bibliometric analysis may also include a wider overview of the names of the most influential writers in the area of science. This data an...

The aim of this study is predicted 200.000 cases of Covid-19 in Spain. Covid-19 Spanish confirmed data obtained from Worldometer from 01 March 2020 - 17 April 2020. The data from 01 March 2020 - 10 April 2020 using to fitting with data from 11 April - 17 April 2020. For the evaluation of the forecasting accuracy measures, we use mean absolute perce...

SutteARIMA to Forecasting Artificial Data

The purpose of our research is to predict the short-term of confirmed cases of covid-19 and IBEX in Spain by using SutteARIMA method. Covid-19 Spanish confirmed data obtained from Worldometer and Spain Stock Market data (IBEX 35) data obtained from Yahoo Finance. Data starts from 12 February 2020–09 April 2020 (the date on Covid-19 was detected in...

Discriminant analysis is a method in multivariat statistic analysis that related with object which have separated into the defined group defined and see the accuracy of the formed group. In this research, clustera analysis is used for the first grouping, cluster analysis is a statistical analysis which aims to classify some objects based on the cha...

Abstrak Nearest neighbor analysis merupakan sebuah metode analisis yang dapat digunakan untuk menentukan suatu pola penyebaran, apakah berpola seragam (uniform), acak (random), atau mengelompok (cluster). Nearest neighbor analysis dalam perhitungannya mempertimbangkan jarak, jumlah titik lokasi penyebaran, dadn luas wilayah, hasil akhir analisis in...

Purpose This paper aims to reveal the effect of organizational learning on market orientation, job satisfaction on market orientation, organizational learning on business innovation, job satisfaction on business innovation and market orientation on business innovation. Design/methodology/approach Research was designed to use quantitative approach...

The Current information services are dealing with big data that is freely accessible. Companies providing information services and products need to develop creativity and innovation to maintain their existence. In this paper, we offer that information specialist can add value to information. The added value is given through an analysis of informati...

Metode Vector Autoregressive adalah salah satu analisis yang digunakan untuk menganalisis data deret waktu (time series). Data deret waktu dapat dinyatakan dalam tahun, bulan, minggu, atau hari. Salah satu tujuan penelitian adalah untuk mengetahui pengaruh antara indeks perekonomian suatu negara khususnya pengaruh Kurs, Inflasi dan Suku Bunga terha...

Journal of Applied Science, Engineering, Technology, and Education (ASCI) is an international wide scope, peer-reviewed open access journal for the publication of original papers concerned with diverse aspects of applied science, education, technology and engineering.

This study aims to find out the market orientation and the distinctive competence toward the service mix in study programs of higher education in Maluku Province, Indonesia. The research method used is descriptive method and explanatory method. The technique analysis used is Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). The total population of 242 department...

The aims of this research are to design and to implement network security system in internal web testing using DeMilitarized Zone Method and Microtic Router on Siakad server of STMIK AKBA. Data analysis techniques that possible to use is descriptive method. The significances of the study are 1) to avoid the attack of cracker who intend to access th...

The purpose of this research is to see the application of modified TAM model by entering the experiential variable as a moderation variable to see one's intention in the use of technology especially internet banking. Data obtained through the distribution of questionnaires to customers. The study population is bank customers registered as users of...

The purpose of this research is to apply technical analysis of Sutte Indicator in stock trading which will assist in the investment decision making process i.e. buying or selling shares. This research takes data of "A" on the Indonesia Stock Exchange(IDX or BEI) 29 November 2006 until 20 September 2016 period. To see the performance of Sutte Indica...

This study aims to find out the market orientation and the distinctive competence toward the service mix in study programs of higher education in Maluku Province, Indonesia. The research method used is descriptive method and explanatory method. The technique analysis used is Structural Equation Modeling (SEM). The total population of 242 department...

Authenticity of access in very information are very important in the current era of Internet-based technology, there are many ways to secure information from irresponsible parties with various security attacks, some of technique can use for defend attack from irresponsible parties are using steganography, cryptography or also use digital signatures...

This study studies that has the aim to apply Sutte Indicator to assist the investor to make the decision-making process of buying or selling of their stocks. The data of this study obtained from Stock of PT. Astra Agro Lestari Tbk. (AALI) on Yahoo Finance website. The period of data from 5 April 2001 to 20 September 2016. To check the performance o...

eLit is a web-based research management information system developed using CodeIgniter programming and MySQL database. eLit developed to use at Universitas Negeri Makassar and universities in Indonesia in general. This information system has entered in the second year in its development. This Information System developed with systems-based life dev...

Measurement of the efficiency of the university performance. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a data-based performance evaluation method used when multiple inputs and outputs are represented in the Decision-Making Unit (DMU) set. In DEA, when there is a value of Non-Zero Input and Output Slacks then this often means inefficiency. This scalar meas...

STATCAL-VISUALIZATION is a application program designed to make various graph easily. STATCAL-VISUALIZATION is designed using r programming language, in RStudio, with r shiny package as the main package. STACAL-VISUALIZATION program application can be downloaded in www.statcal.com.

The purpose of this research is to investigate the effects of financial decision behavior on firm performance of Indonesian public companies using panel data. The dynamic generalized method of moment is utilized in this study. The results show that firm performance is dynamic in nature, which indicates that last year performance affects current per...

The study was aimed to examine the effect of organizational learning on market orientation moderated by job satisfaction. Quantitative approach was used due to the design of this study. The causal relationship of variables was understood using Structural Equation Modeling-Partial Least Squares (SEM-PLS). Population of study was 52 dairy cattle milk...

Currently, there are many application programs to perform statistical analysis, such as SPSS, EViews, and Minitab, which are commercial software, while PSPP, JASP and PAST, which are free software. STATCAL is an user-friendly statistical application program which is developed using R programming language, in RStudio using various R packages. STATCA...

Hate speech is now a problem for social media users such as Facebook, Twitter, Whatsapp and also Telegram. The current social media users are also a lot to post, share the content both consciously and unconsciously to various social media as well as even some hate speech postings are shared by irresponsible parties to gain profit from the chaos tha...

This study aim to explore and review the literacy of tables and graphs for statistics students at Universitas Negeri Makassar. To obtain this aim, descriptive analysis conducted on the students results of table and graph literacy test. This study is importance for leading statistical learning tendency which emphasis on technical procedures with muc...

α-Sutte Indicator (α-Sutte) was originally from the development of Sutte Indicator. Sutte Indicator can be used to predict the movement of stocks. As the development of science, Sutte Indicator is developed to predict not only the movement of stocks but also able to forecast the data on finance, insurance, and time series data. This method is calle...

This research aims to obtain a picture of attitudes and understanding of early childhood education teachers on the use of learning media Edu-Games My Profession as an effort to introduce various types of professions in early childhood education students. The developed product includes My Professional Edu-Games app guide that meets the contents feas...

Keeping the data intact without changing becomes an important factor in a communication, the data itself has many forms such as text data, audio data, image data and for secure every form data an algorithm Base64 are needed, Base64 algorithm is used as data format to transmit data due to the result of base64 itself, but Base64 algorithm is not safe...

In 2006, Kemendiknas RI have done big enough investment in developing national computer network, called Jardiknas. Based on observation, there are quite a lot unproductive ICT center, is previously established in vocational schools. The study aims to find the suitable model of ICT management for Vocational High School (VHS). The model is expected t...

This study aims to develop the Mobile Academic Exhibition information system that presents a solution of at least a platform for students of vocational to share the work or final project used mobile device as a potential medium. The purpose of this information system development is to help vocational students identify the work in one container info...

On the data structure course, there are some problem appear during the learning process. The main problem that occurs is lack of comprehension data structure in theory related to implementation practical teaching. In other case, the classic teaching method considered as one of problem caused. The comparison between classic teaching method and CDIO...

Decision Support System is a system commonly used to assist management in assisting decision-making in top managerial sections, Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) is one of many decision-making methods that can be used to select the best alternative from a number of alternatives based on certain criteria, one of the methods that can be utilized...

In this research stand-alone data logger device that can be used for measuring solar panel power characteristics is introduced. With RTC and SD Card installed on the device, the energy produced by solar panel is measured, then data are stored in CSV format that is compatible with MS Excel. Stand-alone feature makes it suitable for monitoring solar...

Decision Support System is a system commonly used to assist management in assisting decision-making in top managerial sections, Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) is one of many decision-making methods that can be used to select the best alternative from a number of alternatives based on certain criteria, one of the methods that can be utilized...

The selection of the bridge is fundamental thing to Sei Anak Muara Bulan 2 Bridge Planning. After knowing the results of capacity analysis of land and pile support capacity, ease of implementation, determine the selection of foundation planning decisions. The results of AHP implementation indicate that the aspects of land and pile carrying capacity...

Cryptography is a field of science that can be learned to secure data and information, cryptography is used in almost all communications both in network and non-network; and one of the algorithms could use is RC4 algorithm, publication about RC4 algorithm is quite a lot but the discussion is dominant only theory alone does not complete the RC4 algo...

This research is directed to sound absorption performance test on single-reflex bandpass type speaker box from a fiber of Areca Nut with polyurethane and gypsum matrix. The variables of this study change the frequency into 3 types namely, 125, 250 and 500 Hz and then modify the sound pressure into 10 types, namely, 31.5, 63, 125, 250, 500, 1000, 20...

K-Means Clustering (KMC) is a technique used in performing data groupings. The data classification procedure is based on the degree of membership of each member. The purpose of this study is to group the existing Provinces in Indonesia based on Population Density, School Participation Rate, Human Development Index, and Open Unemployment Rate using...

Estimated value of construction industry in Indonesia in 2016 is Rp. 1.303 trillion, in 2017 is Rp. 1.460 trillion and in 2018 is Rp. 1.640 trillion. Especially for the value of the infrastructure industry in 2016 is Rp. 708 trillion, in 2017 is Rp. 795 trillion and in the year 2018 is Rp. 891 trillion (Office of Public Appraisal Services (KJPP), 2...

Electronic learning based on Information and Communication Technology is one of the backbone behind the success of distance learning because it is actually able to save cost, time, and resources. To optimize the quality of this learning, more variety and interactive content with the support of multimedia elements (such as text, images, animations,...

The long-term goal of this research is the development of Information System of Scientific Works at Universitas Negeri Makassar that can be accessed by various parties related to the publication of the final assignment of students anytime and anywhere without any time and location limitation so that the final assignment of students can be published...

A fine aggregate fraction that passes No. 200 is filler that affects the performance of a hot asphalt mixture. The usual Portland cement used on the asphalt mixture is Portland cement type 1. it will be tested using portland cement type1, type 2, type 3, and type 5. The chance of road damage is greater in wet than dry. The loss of asphalt or adhesi...

The effect of dynamic soil-structure interaction is really important to be examined. Moreover if the structure is nuclear power structure or multi-storey structure. In solving the dynamic problem caused by dynamic mass on the soil-structure and interaction, it will use wavelet transform. This study aims to examine the dynamic soil-structure interac...

Security in a transaction activity is crucial, in digital communication that irresponsible parties can tap all objects sent in the form of bits, the use of cryptographic algorithms such as Base64 and Word Auto Key Encryption can be a solution that produces a secure ciphertext, base64 algorithm which can encode all objects such as text, image, and a...

Long-term goal of this research is the development of a Research Management Information System at the Universitas Negeri Makassar that can be accessed by various parties related to research anytime and anywhere without any time and location limitation so that the disclosure of research management information can be done from the level of the study...

Along with the development of times, there is a growing need for internet among the society. This is not limited to the world of education, somehow. In the world of education, especially higher education, if a lecturer wants to increase his/her rank, he/she needs some publications either in the form of journals, books, or seminar proceedings. One o...

The purpose of this research is to apply RcmdrPlugin.sutteForecastR in forecasting data. RcmdrPlugin.sutteForecastR is the Rcmdr Plug-in package by using the package from α-Sutte Indicator i.e. sutteForecastR. Data used in this research are Rainfall Data of Indonesia 1991-2015.

In everyday life, seasonal events are common, seasonal behavior is common in various periods, such as daily, weekly or monthly. business, economics and financial cases for example, we often encounter a seasonal phenomenon, namely data that repeated over the same period. However, this seasonal test is only accurate For stationary Seasonal time serie...

The purpose of this study is to apply the α-Sutte Indicator and ARIMA in forecasting data. α-Sutte Indicator is a new forecasting method that was developed in 2017 by Ansari Saleh Ahmar. To see the accuracy of these methods, the forecasting results of the α-Sutte Indicator will be forecasting methods compared to other items, namely: ARIMA. Based on...

This type of research is a development research or it is known by the term of Research and Development (R & D). The focus of this research is to develop a logical reasoning ability measurement tool based on qualified Web and Android as a research instrument alternative solution. The implementation of this research is conducted on Statistics Departm...

The Consumer Price Index is an index which calculates the average change in prices over a period, of a set of goods and services consumed by the population/households within a specific time. In this paper will be discussed about the forecasting of consumer price index of Indonesia using forecast package with R Software. The forecasting process this...

This type of research is qualitative research. The focus of this research is to determine the logical thinking ability and adversity quotient from the Students of Statistics batch III FMIPA UNM and reviewed from the cognitive style. The population in this research is all batch III students of Statistics Department at Universitas Negeri Makassar. Th...

The purpose of this study is to apply the α-Sutte Indicator in forecasting data. α-Sutte Indicator is a new forecasting method that was developed in 2017 by Ansari Saleh Ahmar. To see the accuracy of these methods, the forecasting results of the α-Sutte Indicator will be forecasting methods compared to other items, namely: ARIMA and HoltWinters. Ba...

Dairy cattle milk cooperatives in East Java has been threatened to be failure in achieving the target of Milk Self-Capacity By 2020. The reason of this failure threat is low productivity among dairy cattle milk entrepreneurs. Productivity is closely related with performance of dairy cattle milk business units, but this performance is affected by fa...

Tulisan ini memaparkan beberapa uji statistika yang dapat digunakan untuk menganalisis hubungan antara variabel kategori, disertai langkah-langkah mengolah dengan STATCAL, SPSS dan Minitab

The purpose of this research is to validate the Critical Success Factors (CSFs) of e-Government implementation in Indonesia. The e-Government initiative conducted only to obey the regulation but ignoring the quality. Defining CSFs will help government agencies to avoid failure of e-Government projects. A survey with the questionnaire was used to va...

Developing country mostly left behind in adopting e-Government system. Miss-interpretation is assuming e-Government only about the application of technology made fail implementation. It is a whole philosophy that explores a human-citizen centered aspect in organized societies. Further, successful information system determined by user acceptance. Th...