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Comparisons of Interventions for Preventing Falls in Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

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Importance Falls result in substantial burden for patients and health care systems, and given the aging of the population worldwide, the incidence of falls continues to rise. Objective To assess the potential effectiveness of interventions for preventing falls. Data Sources MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and Ageline databases from inception until April 2017. Reference lists of included studies were scanned. Study Selection Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of fall-prevention interventions for participants aged 65 years and older. Data Extraction and Synthesis Pairs of reviewers independently screened the studies, abstracted data, and appraised risk of bias. Pairwise meta-analysis and network meta-analysis were conducted. Main Outcomes and Measures Injurious falls and fall-related hospitalizations. Results A total of 283 RCTs (159 910 participants; mean age, 78.1 years; 74% women) were included after screening of 10 650 titles and abstracts and 1210 full-text articles. Network meta-analysis (including 54 RCTs, 41 596 participants, 39 interventions plus usual care) suggested that the following interventions, when compared with usual care, were associated with reductions in injurious falls: exercise (odds ratio [OR], 0.51 [95% CI, 0.33 to 0.79]; absolute risk difference [ARD], −0.67 [95% CI, −1.10 to −0.24]); combined exercise and vision assessment and treatment (OR, 0.17 [95% CI, 0.07 to 0.38]; ARD, −1.79 [95% CI, −2.63 to −0.96]); combined exercise, vision assessment and treatment, and environmental assessment and modification (OR, 0.30 [95% CI, 0.13 to 0.70]; ARD, −1.19 [95% CI, −2.04 to −0.35]); and combined clinic-level quality improvement strategies (eg, case management), multifactorial assessment and treatment (eg, comprehensive geriatric assessment), calcium supplementation, and vitamin D supplementation (OR, 0.12 [95% CI, 0.03 to 0.55]; ARD, −2.08 [95% CI, −3.56 to −0.60]). Pairwise meta-analyses for fall-related hospitalizations (2 RCTs; 516 participants) showed no significant association between combined clinic- and patient-level quality improvement strategies and multifactorial assessment and treatment relative to usual care (OR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.33 to 1.81]). Conclusions and Relevance Exercise alone and various combinations of interventions were associated with lower risk of injurious falls compared with usual care. Choice of fall-prevention intervention may depend on patient and caregiver values and preferences.
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Comparisons of Interventions
for Preventing Falls in Older Adults
A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis
Andrea C. Tricco, PhD; Sonia M. Thomas,MSc; Are ti AngelikiVeroniki, PhD; Jemila S. Hamid, PhD; Elise Cogo, ND;
Lisa Strifler, MSc; Paul A. Khan, PhD; Reid Robson, MSc; Kathryn M. Sibley, PhD; Heather MacDonald, MSc;
John J. Riva, DC; Kednapa Thavorn, PhD; Charlotte Wilson, MSc; Jayna Holroyd-Leduc, MD; Gillian D. Kerr, MD;
Fabio Feldman, PhD; Sumit R. Majumdar, MD; Susan B. Jaglal, PhD; Wing Hui, MSc; Sharon E. Straus, MD, MSc
IMPORTANCE Falls result in substantial burden for patients and health care systems, and given
the aging of the population worldwide, the incidence of falls continues to rise.
OBJECTIVE To assess the potential effectiveness of interventions for preventing falls.
DATA SOURCES MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials,
and Ageline databases from inception until April 2017. Reference lists of included studies
were scanned.
STUDY SELECTION Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) of fall-prevention interventions for
participants aged 65 years and older.
DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS Pairs of reviewers independently screened the studies,
abstracted data, and appraised risk of bias. Pairwise meta-analysis and network meta-analysis
were conducted.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Injurious falls and fall-related hospitalizations.
RESULTS A total of 283 RCTs (159 910 participants; mean age, 78.1 years; 74% women) were
included after screening of 10 650 titles and abstracts and 1210 full-text articles. Network
meta-analysis (including 54 RCTs, 41596 participants, 39 interventions plus usual care)
suggested that the following interventions, when compared with usual care, were associated
with reductions in injurious falls: exercise (odds ratio [OR], 0.51 [95% CI, 0.33 to 0.79];
absolute risk difference [ARD], −0.67 [95% CI, −1.10 to −0.24]); combined exercise and vision
assessment and treatment (OR, 0.17 [95% CI, 0.07 to 0.38]; ARD, −1.79 [95% CI, −2.63 to
−0.96]); combined exercise, vision assessment and treatment, and environmental
assessment and modification (OR, 0.30 [95% CI, 0.13 to 0.70]; ARD, −1.19 [95% CI, −2.04 to
−0.35]); and combined clinic-level quality improvement strategies (eg, case management),
multifactorial assessment and treatment (eg, comprehensive geriatric assessment), calcium
supplementation, and vitamin D supplementation (OR, 0.12 [95% CI, 0.03 to 0.55]; ARD,
−2.08 [95% CI, −3.56 to −0.60]). Pairwise meta-analyses for fall-related hospitalizations
(2 RCTs; 516 participants) showed no significant association between combined clinic- and
patient-level quality improvement strategies and multifactorial assessment and treatment
relative to usual care (OR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.33 to 1.81]).
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Exercise alone and various combinations of interventions
were associated with lower risk of injurious falls compared with usual care. Choice of
fall-prevention intervention may depend on patient and caregiver values and preferences.
JAMA. 2017;318(17):1687-1699. doi:10.1001/jama.2017.15006
Editorial page 1659
Supplemental content
CME Quiz at
jamanetwork.com/learning
and CME Questions page 1706
Author Affiliations: Author
affiliations are listed at the end of this
article.
Corresponding Author: Sharon E.
Straus, MD, MSc, Director,
Knowledge TranslationProgram,
Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute,
St Michael’s Hospital, 209 Victoria St,
East Bldg, Room 716, Toronto, ON,
M5B 1T8, Canada (sharon.straus
@utoronto.ca).
Research
JAMA | Original Investigation
(Reprinted) 1687
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Data from the National Institute on Aging showed
that the 2-year prevalence of falls among individuals
aged 65 years or older was 36% in 2010.
1
Falls cause
a substantial burden to patients and health care systems.
2-4
In 2012, the cost of falls to Medicare was $31 billion.
5
Not
only can falls result in serious injury or death,
6,7
but older
adults who experience falls also report increased anxiety
and depression and reduced quality of life.
8,9
Given the
aging of the population worldwide, the incidence of falls is
expected to continue rising.
5
As such, preventing falls
among older persons is increasingly important for health
care systems.
Previous randomized clinical trials (RCTs) and system-
atic reviews have selectively examined fall-prevention
programs.
10-13
However, directly comparing more than 2
interventions using conventional meta-analysis has major
limitations. The key elements of an effective fall-prevention
program remain unclear, which has hampered implementa-
tion of effective interventions. Furthermore, a network
meta-analysis ranking all available fall-prevention interven-
tions and their combinations has not been conducted.
Therefore, a systematic review and network meta-analysis
on all available fall-prevention interventions for older
people were conducted.
Methods
Protocol
The systematic review protocol was developed using
guidance from the Preferred Reporting Items for System-
atic Review and Meta-analysis Protocols (PRISMA-P)
statement,
14
registered in PROSPERO (CRD42013004151),
and published.
15
Because the methods were reported
previously, they are described only briefly here. The
PRISMA-network meta-analysis extension
16
was used to
report results.
Eligibility Criteria
All types of RCTs (eg, cluster, crossover) examining
fall-prevention interventions (whether single or multifacto-
rial) for adults aged 65 years or older in all settings (eg, com-
munity, acute care) were included. Potential compar-
ators were usual care, other fall-prevention interventions,
and placebo.
Outcomes
The primary outcomes were the numbers of injurious falls
and fall-related hospitalizations. The secondary outcomes
were rate of falls, number of fallers, number of fall-related
emergency department visits, number of fall-related physi-
cian visits, number of fractures, costs (eg, to the health care
system), number of intervention-related harms (eg, muscle
soreness from exercise), and quality of life. Quality of
life was measured with the SF-12 or SF-36 physical and men-
tal summary component measures (range, 0-100) or the
EuroQol-5D VAS (range, 0-100), where 0 indicates maxi-
mum disability, and 100 indicates no disability.
17-19
Data Sources
MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled
Trials, and Ageline databases were searched from inception
until December 1, 2015 (see protocol for search strategy
15
).
Reference lists of included RCTs and relevant reviews were
scanned for additional RCTs. Study authors were contacted
for unpublished studies or additional data. An updated
search was conducted on April 19, 2017, which involved
screening, abstraction, and risk-of-bias appraisal by 2 review-
ers, working independently without additional reference
scanning or author contact regarding conference abstracts,
trial protocols, or non-English articles for any studies identi-
fied in the update.
Study Selection
After pilot-testing eligibility criteria for citations and full-text
articles, screening was conducted independently by pairs
of reviewers. Conflicts were resolved by a third reviewer.
Data Abstraction
Data abstraction was completed by independent pairs
of reviewers after pilot-testing of the data abstraction
form. Conflicts were resolved by a third reviewer. Interven-
tions were coded independently by a clinician (S.E.S.) and
a methodologist (A.C.T.) using a preestablished coding
guide (eTable 1 in the Supplement). Included interventions
were classified into the following broad categories: basic
falls risk assessment, calcium supplementation, cog-
nitive behavioral therapy, devices, diet modification,
electromagnetic field therapy and whole-body vibration,
environmental assessment and modification, exercise, floor
modifications, multifactorial assessment and treatment,
osteoporosis medications, podiatry assessment and treat-
ment, quality improvement strategies, social engagement,
surgery, vision assessment and treatment, and vitamin D
supplementation. Quality improvement strategies were
focused on increasing use of research in practice and were
classified at the health system, clinic and clinician, and
patient levels (Box 1 and Table 1).
20
Key Points
Question What types of fall-prevention programs may be
effective for reducing injurious falls in older people?
Findings In a network meta-analysis including 54 studies and
41 596 participants, exercise (odds ratio [OR], 0.51), combined
exercise, vision assessment and treatment, and environmental
assessment and modification (OR, 0.30), combined exercise,
and vision assessment and treatment (OR, 0.17), and combined
clinic-level quality-improvement strategies, multifactorial
assessment and treatment, calcium supplementation,
and vitamin D supplementation (OR, 0.12)were signif icantly
associated with reductions in injurious falls.
Meaning The analysis identified combinations of interventions
likely to be more effective than usual care for preventing
injurious falls.
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Risk-of-Bias Appraisal
The Cochrane Effective Practice and Organisation of Care
(EPOC) Group’s risk-of-bias tool was used to appraise in-
cluded studies.
21
This appraisal was conducted by pairs
of independent reviewers, with conflicts resolved by a third
reviewer. Small study effects were assessed for each out-
come (when >10 RCTs were available) using the comparison-
adjusted funnel plot and the netfunnel command (Stata 13.0)
22
with a fixed meta-analysis model and ordering treatmentsfrom
most to least effective according to clinical insight.
Data Synthesis and Analysis
Across all outcomes, pairwise random-effects meta-analysis
was conducted. Effect estimates are reported as odds ratios
(ORs) for dichotomous outcomes and mean differences for
continuous outcomes. Studies reporting dichotomous out-
comes with zero events across all groups were included in
the systematic review, but excluded from analysis. Studies
reporting continuous outcomes with the average effect esti-
mate but not reporting the associated measure of variance
(eg, standard deviation) were included in the analysis, with
standard errors imputed when feasible.
23,24
Random-effects network meta-analyses were con-
ducted for connected networks of included RCTs when
more than 10 RCTs were available and the number of RCTs
was greater than the number of intervention nodes. To sur-
mount small study effects,
25
smaller trials (n <100 partici-
pants) were excluded from analysis. Across all outcomes for
which network meta-analysis was possible, the transitivity
and consistency assumptions were assessed a priori.
26-28
In both network meta-analysis and inconsistency models,
common within-network, between-study variance across
intervention comparisons was assumed because the treat-
ments included in each network of trials were mostly
nonpharmacological. Subgroup and sensitivity network
meta-analyses were conducted for the primary outcome
with consideration of potential treatment effect modifiers.
Interventions were ranked using P scores
29
and presented in
a rank-heat plot.
30
For each network meta-analysis, the
overall risk for the control group (considering usual care
as the control) of the included studies was calculated via
the variance-stabilizing Freeman-Tukey double arcsine
approach.
31
A random-effects pairwise meta-analysis was
applied using inverse variance weights, and to facilitate
interpretation, summary group risks were back-transformed
to the initial scale. All network meta-analyses and consis-
tency assessments were conducted with R software (version
3.3.3)
32
using the netmeta package.
33
Results were summa-
rized using effect estimates (ORs or mean differences) and
their associated 95% CIs. Overall ORs, derived from each
network meta-analysis, were transformed to risk differ-
ences to allow judgment of the clinical importance of statis-
tically significant results.
34
Analysis details are provided in
eMethods in the Supplement.
Results
Study Selection
A total of 10 650 titles and abstracts and subsequently
1210 full-text articles were screened (Figure 1). Across
all outcomes, 283 RCTs and 20 companion reports were
Box 1. Components of Quality Improvement Strategies Classified
by Level of Implementation
Clinic Level
Quality improvement initiatives targeting the clinic or care team
include case management, team changes, electronic patient
registries, facilitated relay of information to clinicians, continuous
quality improvement, audit and feedback, staff education,
and clinician reminders
Patient Level
Quality improvement initiatives targeting the patient include
promotion of self-management, patient education, patient
reminders, and motivational interviewing
Health System Level
Quality improvement initiatives targeting the health system
include interventions with positive or negative financial incentives
directed at clinicians (eg, linked to adherence to some process of
care or achievement of some target outcome), positive or negative
financial incentives directed at patients, or system-wide changes
in reimbursement systems
Table 1. Components of Interventions to Prevent Falls
Intervention Component Abbreviation
Basic falls risk assessment bf
Calcium ca
Cognitive behavioral therapy cb
Clinic-level quality improvement cl-qi
Comprehensive podiatry assessment
and treatment
cp
Device—alarm de-al
Device—hip protector de-hp
Device—orthosis de-or
Dietary modifcations di
Environmental assessment
and modification
ea
Electromagnetic field therapy
and whole-body vibration
em+wb
Exercise ex
Flooring fl
Lavender la
Multifactorial assessment and treatment mf
Osteoporosis treatment op-tx
Patient-level quality improvement pa-qi
Social engagement so
Surgery—cataract su-ey
Surgery—hip su-hi
Surgery—pacemaker su-pm
Health system–level quality improvement sy-qi
Usual care uc
Vision assessment and treatment va
Vitamin D vi-d
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included (citations in eReferences in the Supplement),
with a total of 159 910 participants (mean age 78.1 years;
74% women). Two included studies were available only as
conference abstracts,
35,36
and 14 other studies were identi-
fied by scanning reference lists of included studies and rel-
evant reviews.
37-50
Author Contact
Fifty-four authors were contacted, and responses were re-
ceived from 35 (response rate, 65%), which allowed inclusion
of 2 additional studies.
Study and Participant Characteristics
For 155 of the RCTs (54.8%), the mean age of participants
was between 74 and 84 years (Table 2; eTable 2 in the
Supplement). In 248 of the RCTs (87.6%), at least 50% of the
participants were women. One hundred sixty-nine RCTs
(59.7%) included a mixture of individuals with and without
a history of falls. The number of medications taken was not
reported in 172 RCTs (60.8%).
Two hundred fifty-five of the RCTs (90.1%) were pub-
lished in 2001 or later, and the studies were conducted in
Europe (121 [42.8%]), Australia or New Zealand (66 [23.3%]),
and other regions (Table 3; eTable 3 in the Supplement).
The setting for 142 studies (50.2%) was at home, 75 were in
a clinic ([26.5%]), and 72 were in the community (25.4%),
with some studies including multiple settings. One hundred
and fifty-one RCTs (53.4%) had an intervention duration
of 26 weeks or less, and 223 of the studies (78.8%) had
a duration (ie, from recruitment to the end of follow-up)
of 1 year or less.
Risk of Bias
Most RCTs had a low risk of bias for random sequence gen-
eration (187 [66.1%]), similar baseline outcome measures (212
[74.9%]), similar baseline characteristics (238 [84.1%]),
incomplete outcome data (221 (78.1%]), blinding (267
[94.3%]), and other components of bias (171 [60.4%]) (eTable
4 and eFigure 1 in the Supplement). However, a high propor-
tion had unclear risk of bias for allocation concealment
Table 2. Summary of Patient Characteristics
Characteristic
No. (%) of Randomized Clinical Trials
(N = 283)
Age, mean, y
64-73.9 56 (19.8)
74-83.9 155 (54.8)
≥84 36 (12.7)
Not reported 36 (12.7)
% Women
0-49.9 20 (7.1)
50-100 248 (87.6)
Not reported 15 (5.3)
History of falls
All 60 (21.2)
Mixed 169 (59.7)
None 0
Not reported 54 (19.1)
No. of medications taken
a
0-4 56 (19.8)
≥5 55 (19.4)
Not reported 172 (60.8)
a
Refers to the reported mean or median number of medications taken
by patients—not necessarily the number of medications taken daily.
Figure 1. Study Flow From LiteratureSearch
9454 Excluded
9191 Not a falls-prevention
intervention
3No relevant comparator
233 Not an RCT
27 Participants aged <65 y
907 Excluded
266 No relevant outcome
104 No abstractable data
99 Participants aged <65 y
35 Duplicate article
17 No relevant comparator
224 Not an RCT
162 Not a falls-prevention intervention
1210 Full-text articles assessed for eligibility
303 Studies included in meta-analysis
283 Primary publications
20 Companion reportsa
10
650 Records identified and screened
through database search
14 Articles identified from scanning
of reference lists
RCT indicates randomized
clinical trial.
a
If multiple publications reported
data from the same trial
(eg, reporting results at 1-year vs
2-year follow-up), the first was
identified as the primary publication
and any additional publications
were referred to as companion
reports to avoid double counting
data from the same trial.
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(145 [51.2%]), contamination (190 [67.1%]), and selective out-
come reporting (183 [64.7%]). All comparison-adjusted fun-
nel plots suggested no evidence of publication bias (eFigure 2
in the Supplement).
Statistical Analysis
The design-by-treatment interaction model showed no evi-
dence of significant inconsistency across the network meta-
analysis (eTable 5 in the Supplement). Because of the large
number of results from the analysis, the overall results for
each outcome are presented and focus on statistically signifi-
cant intervention effects relative to usual care for network
meta-analyses (summarized in Box 2). The results from all
statistically significant treatment comparisons are available
in eTable 5 in the Supplement, and the results from all analy-
ses are posted on the Open Science Framework.
50
Pscores
were used to summarize results for the primary outcome,
and all results are presented in eTable 6, eTable 7, and eTable
8intheSupplement. The rank-heat plot, presented in eFig-
ure 3 in the Supplement, indicates that exercise is likely the
most effective intervention in terms of numbers of fallers,
injurious falls, fractures, and hip fractures.
Injurious Falls
Network meta-analysis for the primary outcome of injurious
falls included 54 RCTs (41 596 participants) with 39 interven-
tions plus usual care (Figure 2). The event rate for injurious
falls in the usual care group was 0.34 (95% CI, 0.24 to 0.44).
Across all 780 network meta-analysis comparisons, 101
(12.9%) were statistically significant (eTable 5 in the Supple-
ment). The following 4 interventions were associated with a
reduced risk of injurious falls relative to usual care:
Exercise (OR, 0.51 [95% CI, 0.33 to 0.79]; absolute risk dif-
ference [ARD], −0.67 [95% CI, −1.10 to −0.24])
Combined exercise and vision assessment and treatment
(OR, 0.17 [95% CI, 0.07 to 0.38]; ARD, −1.79 [95% CI, −2.63
to −0.96])
Combined exercise, vision assessment and treatment, and en-
vironmental assessment and modification (OR, 0.30 [95% CI,
0.13 to 0.70]; ARD, −1.19 [95% CI, −2.04 to −0.35])
Combined clinic-level quality improvement strategies,mul-
tifactorial assessment and treatment, calcium supplemen-
tation, and vitamin D supplementation (OR, 0.12 [95%CI, 0.03
to 0.55]; ARD, −2.08 [95% CI, −3.56 to −0.60])
The remaining 35 single or multifactorial interventions
were not significantly associated with the risk of injurious falls
relative to usual care. According to the P score results, com-
bined exercise and vision assessment and treatment was prob-
ably the most effective intervention (97% likelihood) to re-
duce injurious falls.
The results of subgroup analyses are summarized in
Table 4. For the 37 RCTs that had less than 75% women
(20 354 participants), which examined 27 treatments plus
usual care, the network meta-analysis results were consistent
with the main analysis. For the 44 RCTs with duration of 12
months or less (32 890 participants; examined 28 interven-
tions plus usual care), the network meta-analysis results
Table 3. Summary of Study Characteristics
Study Characteristic No. (%) of RCTs (N = 283)
Year of publication
1990-1995 10 (3.5)
1996-2000 18 (6.4)
2001-2005 66 (23.3)
2006-2010 77 (27.2)
2011-2015 87 (30.7)
2016-2017 25 (8.8)
Continent
a
Europe 121 (42.8)
Australia/New Zealand 66 (23.3)
North America 47 (16.6)
Asia 43 (15.2)
South America 4 (1.4)
Multicontinent 2 (0.7)
Study design
Parallel RCT 243 (85.9)
Cluster RCT 40 (14.1)
Site
Multicenter 155 (54.8)
Single center 127 (44.9)
Not reported 1 (0.4)
Settings
b
Home 142 (50.2)
Clinic 75 (26.5)
Community 72 (25.4)
Hospital 51 (18.0)
Long-term care facility 39 (13.8)
Retirement home 28 (9.9)
Not reported 9 (3.2)
Sample size (No. of patients)
Parallel RCTs
20-99 65 (23.0)
100-299 90 (31.8)
300-999 68 (24.0)
1000-9440 20 (7.1)
Cluster RCTs
68-500 21 (7.4)
501-1500 11 (3.9)
1501-5500 6 (2.1)
5501-10 558 2 (0.7)
No. of clusters, median (IQR) 17 (8.00-25.00)
Duration of Intervention, wk
<1-26 151 (53.4)
27-52 72 (25.4)
53-78 11 (3.9)
79-104 13 (4.6)
105-260 17 (6.0)
Not reported 19 (6.7)
Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; RCT,randomized clinical trial.
a
Continent refers to where the study was conducted; if not reported explicitly,
the location of the first author’s institution was used as a proxy.
b
The number of RCTs exceeds283 and percents total more than 100% because
some studies involved multiple settings.
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were consistent with the main analysis for the interventions
of exercise vs usual care and combined clinic-level quality
improvement strategies, multifactorial assessment and treat-
ment, calcium supplementation, and vitamin D supplemen-
tation vs usual care; the remaining 2 significant comparisons
from the main analysis (combined exercise and vision assess-
ment and treatment vs usual care; combined exercise, vision
assessment and treatment, and environmental assessment
and modification vs usual care) were no longer included in
the network. Network meta-analysis was conducted for the
32 RCTs with participants who were younger than 80 years
old (24 869 participants), which examined 26 interventions
plus usual care. Compared with the main analysis, the same
interventions were associated with a reduced risk of injurious
falls except for the combination of clinic-level quality
improvement strategies, multifactorial assessment and treat-
ment, calcium supplementation, and vitamin D supplemen-
tation, which was no longer in the network. This finding was
consistent in another network meta-analysis involving the
40 RCTs (37 010 participants) for people with a mixed fall his-
tory (ie, some had fallen previously and some had not),
which examined 34 interventions plus usual care. A network
meta-analysis restricted to 11 RCTs involving 3830 patients
who had fallen previously and examining 9 interventions
plus usual care found that the combination of clinic-level
quality improvement strategies, multifactorial assessment
and treatment, calcium supplementation, and vitamin D
supplementation was associated with fewer injurious falls
than usual care (OR, 0.12 [95% CI, 0.04 to 0.44]; ARD, −2.08
[95% CI, −3.34 to −0.83]), while the remaining 3 comparisons
(exercise vs usual care; combined exercise and vision assess-
ment and treatment vs usual care; combined exercise, vision
assessment and treatment, and environmental assessment
and modification vs usual care) were no longer in the net-
work. Sensitivity analysis was conducted restricting the net-
work meta-analysis to 24 RCTs with a low risk of contamina-
tion bias (26 969 participants; 19 interventions plus usual
care); no intervention was associated with a lower risk of
injurious falls compared with usual care (eg, exercise vs usual
care, OR, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.29 to 1.18]; ARD, −0.53 [95% CI,
−1.23 to 0.17]), and 3 of the significant comparisons from
the main analysis were no longer in the network (combined
exercise and vision assessment and treatment vs usual care;
combined exercise, vision assessment and treatment, and
environmental assessment and modification vs usual care;
combined clinic-level quality improvement strategies, multi-
factorial assessment and treatment, calcium supplementa-
tion, and vitamin D supplementation vs usual care).
Overall, each of the 4 interventions that was associated
with better outcomes than usual care in the main analysis was
also associated with fewer injurious falls in 2 or more of the
additional analyses, although in some cases, an additional
analysis was not feasible for a particular subgroup.
Hospitalizations
For the primary outcome of fall-related hospitalizations, 20
RCTs (24 531 participants) with 25 interventions plus usual
care were included. Two pairwise meta-analyses were pos-
sible across all comparisons (eTable 9 in the Supplement).
There were no significant associations with hospitalizations
for combined clinic-level quality improvement strategies,
patient-level quality improvement strategies, and multifacto-
rial assessment and treatment relative to usual care (2 RCTs
[516 participants]; OR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.33 to 1.81]; ARD, −0.03
[−0.10 to 0.093]) or for combined patient-level quality
improvement strategies and exercise relative to exercise
alone (2 RCTs [2126 participants]; OR, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.38 to
3.25]; ARD, 0.02 [−0.09 to 0.22]).
Emergency Department Visits
Eleven RCTs (2956 participants) with 12 interventions plus
usual care reported on emergency department visits. Only 1
pairwise meta-analysis (2 RCTs; 499 participants) was pos-
sible across all comparisons (eTable 9 in the Supplement). There
was no significant association with emergency department vis-
its for multifactorial assessment and treatment relativeto usual
care (OR, 1.24 [95% CI, 0.86 to 1.77]; ARD, 0.04[−0.03 t o 0.13]).
Outpatient Physician Visits
Twenty-one RCTs (17193 participants) with 32 interventions
plus usual care reported on physician visits. Only 1 pairwise
meta-analysis (2 RCTs; 681 participants) was possible
across all treatment comparisons (eTable 9 in the Supple-
ment). There was no significant association with outpatient
Box 2. Interventions Associated With Reduction of Outcome
Compared With Usual Care in Network Meta-analysis
Outcomes
Number of Injurious Falls
Exercise
Combined exercise and vision assessment and treatment
Combined exercise, vision assessment and treatment, and envi-
ronmental assessment and modification
Combined clinic-level quality improvement strategies, multifacto-
rial assessment and treatment, calcium supplementation, and vita-
min D supplementation
Number of Fallers
Exercise
Combined exercise, patient-level quality improvement strategies,
clinic-level quality improvement strategies, and multifactorial as-
sessment and treatment
Combined exercise, patient-level quality improvement strategies,
hip protectors, and environmental assessment and modification
Combined patient-level quality improvement strategies, clinic-
level quality improvement strategies, dietary modifications, cal-
cium supplementation, and vitamin D supplementation
Combined orthotics and exercise
Number of Fractures
Combined osteoporosis treatment, calcium supplementation, and
vitamin D supplementation
Number of Hip Fractures
Combined osteoporosis treatment, calcium supplementation, and
vitamin D supplementation
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physician visits for exercise relative to usual care (OR, 0.62
[95% CI, 0.32 to 1.18]; ARD, −0.10 [−0.19 to 0.04]).
Number of Fallers
Network meta-analysis for the outcome of number of fallers
included 158 RCTs, 107 300 participants, and 77 interven-
tions plus usual care (Figure 3). One RCT (0.6%) with 31 par-
ticipants (0.03%) was excluded from the network meta-
analysis because it had zero events across all groups. The event
rate for falls in the usual care group was 0.38 (95% CI, 0.33 to
0.43). Across all 3003 networkmeta-analysis comparisons, 200
(6.7%) were statistically significant (eTable 5 in the Supple-
ment). Of these, 5 interventions were associated with a lower
risk of patients experiencing a fall relative to usual care:
Exercise (OR, 0.83 [95% CI, 0.70 to 0.99]; ARD, −0.19 [95%
CI, −0.36 to −0.01])
Combined exercise, patient-level qualityimprovement strat-
egies, clinic-level quality improvement strategies, and mul-
tifactorial assessment and treatment (OR, 0.68[95% CI, 0.49
to 0.94]; ARD, −0.39 [95% CI, −0.72 to 0.06])
Combined exercise, patient-level qualityimprovement strat-
egies, hip protectors, and environmental assessment and
modification (OR, 0.53 [95% CI, 0.29 to 0.97]; ARD, −0.63
[95% CI, −1.22 to −0.03])
Combined patient-level quality improvement strategies,
clinic-level quality improvement strategies, dietary modifi-
cations, calcium supplementation, and vitamin D supple-
mentation (OR, 0.36 [95% CI, 0.14 to 0.93]; ARD, −1.03 [95%
CI, −1.99 to −0.08])
Combined orthotics and exercise (OR, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.07 to
0.67]; ARD, −1.54 [95% CI, −2.67 to −0.40])
The remaining interventions were not significantly
associated with a lower risk of falls than usual care. One
intervention (combined exercise, patient-level quality
improvement strategies, and social engagement) was asso-
ciated with a higher risk that patients would experience falls
relative to usual care (OR, 5.13 [95% CI, 2.14 to 12.30]; ARD,
1.63 [95% CI, 0.76 to 2.51]).
Fractures
Network meta-analysis for the outcome of fractures included
68 RCTs, 86 491 participants, and 43 interventions plus usual
care (Figure 4). The event rate for fractures in the usual care
group was 0.07 (95% CI, 0.05 to 0.10). Across all 946 network
meta-analysis comparisons, 45 (4.8%) were statistically sig-
nificant (eTable 5 in the Supplement). Of these, 1 intervention
(combined osteoporosis treatment (eg, bisphosphonates),
calcium supplementation, and vitamin D supplementation)
was associated with a lower risk of fractures relative to usual
care (OR, 0.22 [95% CI, 0.09 to 0.54]; ARD, −1.51 [95% CI,
−2.41 to −0.62]). The remaining 42 interventions were not
significantly associated with a lower risk of fractures than
usual care.
Hip Fractures
Network meta-analysis for the outcome of hip fractures
included 39 RCTs, 52 281 participants, and 23 interventions
plus usual care (Figure 4). Four RCTs (9.1%) with 1877 par-
ticipants (3.5%) were excluded from the network meta-
analysis because they had zero events across all groups. The
event rate for hip fractures in the usual care group was 0.03
(95% CI, 0.02 to 0.04). Across all 276 network meta-analysis
Figure 2. Network Geometry for Injurious Falls
so
ex
ea
fl
va
pa–qi
cl–qi
mf
uc
de-al
ex+va
ex+vi–d
ex+pa–qi
ea+ex
ea+va
ea+pa–qi
pa–qi+va
cl–qi+mf
bf+pa–qi
bf+cl–qi
mf+pa–qi
ex+mf+pa–qi
ea+ex+va
ea+ex+vi–d
ea+ex+mf
cb+ex+pa–qi
cb+cl–qi+pa–qi
cl–qi+ex+pa–qi
cl–qi+ex+mf
cl–qi+mf+pa–qi
bf+cl–qi+pa–qi
bf+cl–qi+sy–qi
ea+ex+pa–qi+sy–qi
ca+ex+em+wb+vi–d
ca+cl–qi+mf+vi–d
cl–qi+ex+mf+pa–qi
cl–qi+mf+pa–qi+so
bf+cl–qi+ex+pa–qi
cl–qi+de–al+ex+mf+pa–qi
bf+ea+ex+pa–qi+va
Network geometry for 54
randomized clinical trials (41 596
patients). Each treatment node
indicates an intervention and is
weighted according to the number of
patients who received the particular
intervention. Each edge (line
connecting the nodes) is weighted
according to the number of studies
and directly compares the treatments
it connects. See Table 1 for
expansions of treatment
abbreviations. The coding guide,
which provides a description of each
intervention component, can be
found in eTable 1 of the Supplement.
Comparisons of Interventions for Preventing Falls in Older Adults Original Investigation Research
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Table 4.Subgroup Analyses of Ne tworkMeta-analysis for Injurious Falls Outcome
Comparison by Subgroup Studies, No. Patients, No.
Proportion With Event (95% CI)
Odds Ratio (95% CI)
Absolute Mean Difference
in Proportions (95% CI)
a
Intervention Control
Exercise vs Usual Care
Overall analysis 0.51 (0.33 to 0.79)
Participants <75% women 37 20 354 0.36 (0.16 to 0.59) 0.41 (0.29 to 0.53) 0.49 (0.31 to 0.78) −0.71 (−1.17 to −0.25)
Study duration ≤12 mo 44 32 890 0.30 (0.13 to 0.52) 0.33 (0.22 to 0.44) 0.48 (0.29 to 0.80) −0.72 (−1.23 to −0.22)
Age <80 y of age 32 24 869 0.25 (0.08 to 0.48) 0.35 (0.19 to 0.53) 0.44 (0.26 to 0.75) −0.81 (−1.35 to −0.28)
Mixed history of falling
b
40 37 010 0.36 (0.16 to 0.59) 0.37 (0.25 to 0.49) 0.49 (0.30 to 0.82) −0.71 (−1.22 to −0.20)
History of falling only
c
11 3830 0.16 (0.07 to 0.27) 0.24 (0.07 to 0.47) 0.90 (0.24 to 3.30) −0.11 (−1.41 to 1.19)
Low risk of contamination bias 24 26969 0.40 (0.00 to 0.96) 0.26 (0.15 to 0.37) 0.59 (0.29 to 1.18) −0.53 (−1.23 to 0.17)
Combined Exercise and Vision Assessment and Treatment vs Usual Care
Overall analysis 0.17 (0.07 to 0.38)
Participants <75% women 37 20 354 0.51 (0.42 to 0.59) 0.41 (0.29 to 0.53) 0.16 (0.07 to 0.39) −1.82 (−2.68 to −0.95)
Study duration ≤12 mo 44 32 890 NA 0.33 (0.22 to 0.44) NA
Age <80 y of age 32 24 869 0.51 (0.42 to 0.59) 0.35 (0.19 to 0.53) 0.17 (0.07 to 0.43) −1.76 (−2.66 to −0.85)
Mixed history of falling
b
40 37 010 0.51 (0.42 to 0.59) 0.37 (0.25 to 0.49) 0.16 (0.06 to 0.42) −1.82 (−2.77 to −0.86)
History of falling only
c
11 3830 NA 0.24 (0.07 to 0.47) NA
Low risk of contamination bias 24 26 969 NA 0.26 (0.15 to 0.37) NA
Combined Exercise, Vision Assessment and Treatment, and Environmental Assessment and Modification vs Usual Care
Overall analysis 0.30 (0.13 to 0.70)
Participants <75% women 37 20 354 0.65 (0.57 to 0.73) 0.41 (0.29 to 0.53) 0.30 (0.12 to 0.71) −0.22 (−2.09 to −0.35)
Study duration ≤12 mo 44 32 890 NA 0.33 (0.22 to 0.44) NA
Age <80 y of age 32 24 869 0.65 (0.57 to 0.73) 0.35 (0.19 to 0.53) 0.31 (0.13 to 0.78) −1.16 (−2.07 to −0.24)
Mixed history of falling
b
40 37 010 0.65 (0.57 to 0.73) 0.37 (0.25 to 0.49) 0.30 (0.11 to 0.78) −1.22 (−2.18 to −0.25)
History of falling only
c
11 3830 NA 0.24 (0.07 to 0.47) NA
Low risk of contamination bias 24 26 969 NA 0.26 (0.15 to 0.37) NA
Combined Clinic-Level Quality Improvement Strategies, Multifactorial Assessment and Treatment, Calcium Supplementation, and Vitamin D Supplementation vs Usual Care
Overall analysis 0.12 (0.03 to 0.55)
Participants <75% women 37 20 354 0.03 (0.00 to 0.07) 0.41 (0.29 to 0.53) 0.12 (0.03 to 0.56) −2.08 (−3.58 to −0.58)
Study duration ≤12 mo 44 32 890 0.03 (0.00 to 0.07) 0.33 (0.22 to 0.44) 0.12 (0.03 to 0.54) −2.08 (−3.56 to −0.61)
Age <80 y of age 32 24 869 NA 0.349 (0.191 to 0.527) NA
Mixed history of falling
b
40 37 010 NA 0.37 (0.25 to 0.49) NA
History of falling only
c
11 3830 0.03 (0.00 to 0.07) 0.24 (0.07 to 0.47) 0.12 (0.04 to 0.44) −2.08 (−3.34 to −0.83)
Low risk of contamination bias 24 26 969 NA 0.26 (0.15 to 0.37) NA
Abbreviations: NA, not applicable.
a
Odds ratios derived from each network meta-analysis were transformed to risk differences using
established methods.
34
b
Studies that included participants regardless of whether they had fallen in the past or not.
c
Studies that only included participants who had fallen in the past.
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comparisons, 9 (3.3%) were statistically significant (eTable 5
in the Supplement). Of these, 1 intervention (combined
osteoporosis treatment, calcium supplementation, and vita-
min D supplementation) was associated with a lower risk of
hip fracture relative to usual care (OR, 0.18 [95% CI, 0.05 to
0.62]; ARD, −1.70 [95% CI, −2.92 to −0.48]). An additional
22 interventions were not significantly associated with a
lower risk of hip fractures than usual care.
Quality of Life
Although 32 RCTs (18 521 participants) provided data on
quality-of-life measures (eTable 10 in the Supplement),
only 2 pairwise meta-analyses were possible (eTable 9 in
the Supplement). Exercise was not significantly associated
with improvement in quality of life as measured by the
SF-36 or SF-12 physical component summary score com-
pared with usual care (mean difference, −0.06 [95% CI,
−0.90 to 0.77]; 2 RCTs; 1206 participants). Similar results
were obtained for the SF-36 or SF-12 mental component
summary score (mean difference, 0.29 [95% CI, −1.00 to
1.58]; 2 RCTs; 1206 participants).
Harms
Fifty-seven of the RCTs (24558 participants) reported no
intervention-related harmful events in any study group, and
another 62 RCTs (39 596 participants) reported 1 or more
harms (eTable 11 in the Supplement). Only 2 pairwise meta-
analyses were possible (eTable 9 in the Supplement). Exer-
cise was not significantly associated with an increased risk of
muscle soreness compared with usual care (OR, 4.97 [95% CI,
0.35 to 70.38]; ARD, 0.13 [95% CI, −0.02 to 0.70]; 2 RCTs;
1021 participants). Supplementation with calcium and vita-
min D was not significantly associated with an increased risk
of gastrointestinal harm compared with usual care (OR, 1.05
[95% CI, 0.52 to 2.09]; ARD, 0.001 [95% CI, −0.01 to 0.03];
2 RCTs; 3853 participants).
Figure 3. Network Geometry for Fallers
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18 19
20
21
22
23
24
25 26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
Order
Code
Treatment
Abbreviation
1uc
2di
3so
4ex
5 em+wb
6ea
7fl
8 de-al
9 de-hp
10 va
11 su-ey
12 su-PM
13 ca
14 vi-d
15 op-tx
16 pa-qi
17 cb
18 cl-qi
19 bf
20 mf
21 di+ex
22 di+vi-d
23 ex+so
24 ex+va
25 ex+vi-d
26 ex+pa-qi
27 ex+sy-qi
28 ex+mf
29 ea+ex
30 ea+va
31 ea+pa-qi
32 de-hp+pa-qi
33 de-or+ex
34 ca+vi-d
35 op-tx+vi-d
36 pa-qi+va
37 pa-qi+vi-d
38 cb+ex
39 cb+pa-qi
Order
Code
Treatment
Abbreviation
40 cl-qi+de-hp
41 cl-qi+pa-qi
42 cl-qi+mf
43 bf+pa-qi
44 bf+cl-qi
45 mf+pa-qi
46 ex+pa-qi+so
47 ex+mf+pa-qi
48 ex+mf+sy-qi
49 ea+ex+va
50 ea+ex+vi-d
51 ea+ex+mf
52 ea+mf+sy-qi
53 cp+de-ft+pa-qi
54 ca+di+vi-d
55 ca+op-tx+vi-d
56 ca+pa-qi+vi-d
57 cb+ex+pa-qi
58 cb+cl-qi+pa-qi
59 cl-qi+ex+pa-qi
60 cl-qi+ex+mf
61 cl-qi+ea+pa-qi
62 cl-qi+de-hp+pa-qi
63 cl-qi+mf+pa-qi
64 bf+ex+pa-qi
65 bf+cl-qi+pa-qi
66 bf+cl-qi+sy-qi
67 ea+ex+pa-qi+sy-qi
68 de-hp+ea+ex+pa-qi
69 ca+cl-qi+mf+vi-d
70 ca+ea+pa-qi+vi-d
71 cl-qi+ex+mf+pa-qi
72 cl-qi+mf+pa-qi+so
73 bf+cp+ex+pa-qi
74 bf+cl-qi+ex+pa-qi
75 ca+cb+di+ex+vi-d
76 ca+cl-qi+di+pa-qi+vi-d
77 cl-qi+de-al+ex+mf+pa-qi
78 bf+ea+ex+pa-qi+va
Network geometry for 158 randomized clinical trials (107 300 patients). Each
treatment node indicates an intervention and is weighted according to the
number of patients who received the particular intervention. Each edge (line
connecting the nodes) is weighted according to the number of studies and
directly compares the treatments it connects. See Table 1 for expansions of
treatment abbreviations. The coding guide, which provides a description of
each intervention component, can be found in eTable 1 of the Supplement.
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Discussion
Exercise alone and various combinations of interventions
were associated with lower risk of injurious falls compared
with usual care. Choice of intervention may depend on
patient and caregiver values and preferences. Combinations
of interventions, including exercise, vision assessment and
treatment, environmental assessment and modification,
multifactorial assessment and treatment, and vitamin D
supplementation were associated with preventing injurious
falls compared with usual care. The combination of exercise
Figure 4. Network Geometry for Fractures and Hip Fractures
uc
di
so
ex
fl
de–al
su–ey
ca
vi–d
op–tx
op–tx+vi–d
pa–qi
cl–qi
bf
mf
di+ex
ex+pa–qi
ex+mf
ea+va
ea+pa–qi
de–hp+pa–qi ca+vi–d
pa–qi+vi–d
cl–qi+de–hp
cl–qi+mf
bf+su–pm
bf+cl–qi
ea+ex+mf
cp+de–ft+pa–qi
ca+op–tx+vi–d
ca+pa–qi+vi-d
cb+cl–qi+pa–qi
cl–qi+ex+pa–qi
cl–qi+ex+mf
cl–qi+mf+pa–qi
bf+cl–qi+pa–qi
de–hp+ea+ex+pa–qi
ca+ea+pa–qi+vi–d
ca+cl–qi+mf+vi–d
cl–qi+ex+mf+pa–qi
cl–qi+mf+pa–qi+so
bf+cp+ex+pa–qi
ca+cl–qi+di+pa–qi+vi–d
Fractures
A
Hip fractures
B
uc
so
ex
fl
de–al
su–ey
ca
vi–d
pa–qi
bf
mf
ex+pa–qi
ea+va
de–hp+pa–qi
ca+vi–d
cl–qi+de–hp
cl–qi+pa–qi
cl–qi+mf
cp+de–ft+pa–qi
ca+op-tx+vi–d
cl–qi+de–hp+pa–qi
cl–qi+mf+pa–qi
de–hp+ea+ex+pa–qi
cl–qi+mf+pa–qi+so
cl–qi+de–al+ex+mf+pa–qi
A, Network geometry for 68
randomized clinical trials (86 491
patients). B, Network geometry for
39 randomized clinical trials (52 281
patients). Each treatment node
indicates an intervention and is
weighted according to the number of
patients who received the particular
intervention. Each edge (line
connecting the nodes) is weighted
according to the number of studies
and directly compares the treatments
it connects. See Table 1 for
expansions of treatment
abbreviations. The coding guide,
which provides a description of each
intervention component, can be
found in eTable 1 of the Supplement.
Research Original Investigation Comparisons of Interventions for Preventing Falls in Older Adults
1696 JAMA November 7, 2017 Volume 318, Number 17 (Reprinted) jama.com
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Downloaded From: by a St. Michael's Hospital User on 11/27/2017
and vision assessment and treatment was probably the
intervention most strongly associated with reduction in
injurious falls.
These results suggest that encouraging patients to exer-
cise, undergo a vision assessment, and consider osteoporo-
sis therapy (for those at risk), given the potential impact of
these interventions in preventing injurious falls. Other com-
binations of interventions to consider include exercise,
patient-level and clinic-level quality improvement strate-
gies, multifactorial assessment and treatment; exercise,
patient-level quality improvement strategies, hip protectors,
and environmental assessment and modification; and
orthotics and exercise in patients at risk for falls. The results
suggest focusing on implementing patient-level quality
improvement strategies (eg, patient education and patient
reminders) and clinic-level quality improvement interven-
tions (eg, audit and feedback) to increase uptake of this evi-
dence. The results also suggest that calcium and vitamin D
supplementation may decrease fractures, as may osteoporo-
sis therapy plus calcium and vitamin D supplementation.
However, the results indicate the need for a tailored ap-
proach; subgroup analyses showed that the combination of
exercise, environmental assessment and modification, and
multifactorial assessment and treatment was associated
with an increased risk of injurious falls among patients who
had fallen previously. In addition, the combination of exer-
cise, patient-level quality improvement strategies, and social
engagement was associated with increased fall risk. Exercise
may increase fall risk in some individuals because these
people become more mobile as their strength increases;
patients can be made aware of this situation, but any cau-
tionary advice must be balanced with the need to improve
mobility and avoid deconditioning. This finding also raises
the issue of the type of exercise to recommend, such as exer-
cise focused on enhancing balance.
52
Health care managers
might consider the use of clinic-level quality improvement
strategies, such as clinician reminders and audit and feed-
back, to increase uptake of multifactorial assessment and
treatment and of vitamin D supplementation to reduce inju-
rious falls. As well, for patients in long-term care settings,
hip protectors, environmental assessment and modification,
exercise, and patient-level quality improvement strategies
are potential options to reduce falls.
A 2015 systematic review and network meta-analysis
examining vision and risk factor interventions to prevent
falls included 7 RCTs with 2723 participants; interventions
combining vision assessment and treatment and multifacto-
rial assessment and treatment were found to be the most
effective.
53
The current systematic review was much larger
(with an additional 276 RCTs and 157187 participants; eRef-
erences in the Supplement) and includes information on the
effectiveness of quality improvement strategies and multi-
factorial assessment and treatment. Although the authors of
a systematic review on exercise
54
did not conduct network
meta-analysis, their results were similar to those reported
here, which suggests that exercise might be associated with
decreased falls in older adults, but the type of exercise
should be tailored to the individual.
The authors of RCTs included in this review could have
improved their studies by conducting adequate allocation
concealment (which is possible in any RCT), ensuring that
results were not influenced by contamination bias, and
reporting all outcomes. Most RCTs were completed within 6
months, but longer-term follow-up and confirmation of the
sustainability of these interventions are required. In addi-
tion, few studies were conducted in the acute care setting,
despite falls in hospitals often being considered during hos-
pital accreditation processes.
Strengths of the review process include reviewers work-
ing in pairs across all levels of screening, data abstraction, and
risk-of-bias appraisal; cleaning of the data by a third re-
viewer; and following the guidance of the International Soci-
ety for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research in con-
ducting statistical analyses.
55
This study had several limitations. The published
protocol included both the falls rate and costs as secondary
outcomes. However, because few studies reported these
outcomes consistently, these outcomes could not be ana-
lyzed directly; rather, data for falls rates were converted to
number of falls. As well, another outcome, quality of life, as
measured by SF-12 or SF-36 summary component measures
or EuroQol-5D, was added.
17-19
Some of the planned sub-
group analyses and sensitivity analyses were not conducted
because of insufficient data. Although the point esti-
mate was similar to the overall OR, the results were no lon-
ger statistically significant for the injurious falls network
meta-analysis when only studies with a low risk of contami-
nation bias were included. However, because most of the
studies (67%) were assessed as having an unclear risk of
contamination bias, the power of this sensitivity analysis
was limited by the lower number of studies that could be
included. This limitation suggests that improvements in
reporting are required. Most network meta-analyses
included numerous interventions, with sparse data for the
treatment comparisons; additional analyses, using the mod-
els suggested by Welton et al
56
and Caldwell and Welton
57
to account for sparseness, could be conducted in the fu-
ture. Scanning the reference lists of 32 additional studies
from the updated search and inclusion of an unpublished
conference abstract
58
and a non-English paper
59
were not
possible. Because of the large number of comparisons in the
network meta-analyses, multiplicity may have elevated
the rate of false positives in the statistically significant
results (type I error).
60,61
Although P scores are based on
the treatment effect estimates and their associated CIs,
it is recommended that the P score values be interpreted
along with the network meta-analysis point estimates and
their precision.
29
Conclusions
Exercise alone and various combined interventions were as-
sociated with lower risk of injurious falls compared with usual
care. Choice of intervention may depend on patient and care-
giver values and preferences.
Comparisons of Interventions for Preventing Falls in Older Adults Original Investigation Research
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ARTICLE INFORMATION
Accepted for Publication: September 28, 2017.
Author Affiliations: Knowledge Translation
Program, Li Ka Shing Knowledge Institute, St
Michael’s Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
(Tricco,Thomas, Veroniki, Hamid, Cogo, Strifler,
Khan, Robson, MacDonald, Thavorn, Wilson, Kerr,
Hui, Straus); Epidemiology Division, Dalla Lana
School of Public Health, University of Toronto,
Toronto,Ontario, Canada (Tricco); Institute of
Health Policy, Managementand Evaluation,
University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
(Strifler); Toronto Rehabilitation Institute,
University Health Network, Toronto, Ontario,
Canada (Sibley); Department of Community Health
Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg,
Manitoba, Canada (Sibley); Department of Family
Medicine, David Braley Health Sciences Centre,
McMaster University,Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
(Riva); Department of Health Research Methods,
Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University,
Hamilton, Ontario, Canada (Riva); Clinical
Epidemiology Program, The Ottawa Hospital
Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
(Thavorn); Departments of Medicine and
Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary,
Calgary, Alberta, Canada (Holroyd-Leduc);Older
Adult Program, Fraser Health, Surrey, British
Columbia, Canada (Feldman); Department of
Medicine, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta,
Canada (Majumdar); Department of Physical
Therapy, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario,
Canada (Jaglal); Department of Medicine,
University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
(Straus).
Author Contributions: Drs Straus and Tricco had
full access to all of the data in the study and take
responsibility for the integrity of the data and the
accuracy of the data analysis.
Concept and design: Tricco,Sibley, Holroyd-Leduc,
Feldman, Majumdar,Jaglal, Straus.
Acquisition, analysis, or interpretation of data:
Tricco,Thomas, Veroniki, Hamid, Cogo, Strifler,
Khan, Robson, Sibley,MacDonald, Riva, Thavorn,
Wilson, Holroyd-Leduc, Kerr, Majumdar, Hui, Straus.
Drafting of the manuscript: Tricco,Thomas,
Veroniki, Cogo, Sibley, Straus.
Critical revision of the manuscript for important
intellectual content: All authors.
Statistical analysis: Veroniki, Hamid, Hui, Straus.
Obtained funding: Tricco,Sibley.
Administrative, technical, or material support:
Thomas, Cogo, Riva, Thavorn, Kerr, Straus.
Supervision: Tricco, Straus.
Other - Knowledge user input: Feldman.
Other - Editing & content analysis: Wilson.
Conflict of Interest Disclosures: All authors have
completed and submitted the ICMJE Form for
Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest.
Dr Tricco reports receiving a Tier 2 Canada Research
Chair in Knowledge Synthesis grant. Dr Veroniki
reports receiving a Canadian Institutes of Health
Research (CIHR) Banting Postdoctoral Fellowship
Program grant. Dr Sibley reports receiving a Tier 2
Canada Research Chair in Integrated Knowledge
Translation in RehabilitationSciences grant. Dr Riva
reports board membership with the Ontario
Chiropractic Association. Dr Holyroyd-Leduc
reports working as an associate editor for the
Canadian Medical Association Journal. Dr Majumdar
reports support from the Faculty of Medicine and
Dentistry and the Faculty of Pharmacy and
Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Alberta
(holds the Endowed Chair in Patient Health
Management). Dr Straus reports receiving a Tier 1
Canada Research Chair in Knowledge Translation
grant. No other disclosures were reported.
Funding/Support: This research was funded by a
CIHR Knowledge Synthesis Grant (KRS 289648).
Role of the Funders/Sponsors: CIHR had no role in
the design and conduct of the study; collection,
management, analysis, and interpretation of the
data; preparation, review,or approval of the
manuscript; and decision to submit the manuscript
for publication.
Additional Contributions: We thank Joseph
Beyene, PhD, McMaster University, for analyzing
preliminary data; Alexander Leung, MD, University
of Calgary, Sophia Tsouros, BHKin, University of
Ottawa Evidence-based Practice Center, Alana
Harrington, MSc, York University, Vera Nincic, PhD,
St Michael’s Hospital, and Geetha Sanmugalingham,
MSc, Tampa General Hospital, for screening and
abstracting data from some studies; Laure Perrier,
PhD, University of Toronto, for developing the
literature search strategies; Patricia Rios, MSc,
St Michael’s Hospital, for cleaning the data from the
updated search and helping update statistics files
and tables; Susan Le, HBSc, St Michael’s Hospital,
for formatting the manuscript and managing the
references; and Alissa Epworth, OCD, St Michael’s
Hospital, for updating our search and obtaining the
full-text articles. None of the aforementioned
individuals received compensation for their role in
the study beyond regular salary.Additionally, we
thank Becky Skidmore, MLS, Ottawa Health
Research Institute, who received compensation for
peer-reviewing the MEDLINE search strategy; and
Peggy Robinson, BSc, an independent editorial
consultant, who received compensation for
provision of copyediting services.
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Comparisons of Interventions for Preventing Falls in Older Adults Original Investigation Research
jama.com (Reprinted) JAMA November 7, 2017 Volume 318, Number 17 1699
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... The American and British Geriatric Societies and Geriatric Emergency Department Guidelines recommend a comprehensive fall risk evaluation for patients after a fall [17,18]. Studies have shown that interventions such as exercise and environmental assessment, and referral to relevant services after interdisciplinary fall risk assessment, reduce injurious falls or future falls [19,20]. However, other systematic reviews have not found evidence supporting ED-based screening or fall prevention services initiated in the ED for older adults who present to the ED with a fall [16,21]. ...
Article
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Background As a third of all community dwellers aged 65+ fall each year, falls are common reasons for older adults to present to an Emergency Department (ED). Although EDs should assess patients’ multifactorial fall risks to prevent future fall-related injuries, this frequently does not occur. We describe our protocol to determine the feasibility, acceptability, and safety of a pilot ED Virtual Observation Unit (VOU) Falls program. Methods To ensure standardized conduct and reporting, the Standard Protocol Items for Intervention Trials (SPIRIT) guidelines will be used. The VOU is a program where patients are sent home from the ED but are part of a virtual observation unit in that they can call on-call ED physicians while they are being treated for conditions such as cellulitis, congestive heart failure, or pneumonia. A paramedic conducts daily visits with the patient and facilitates a telemedicine consult with an ED physician. VOU nursing staff conduct daily assessments of patients via telemedicine. The ED VOU Falls program is one of the VOU pathways and is a multi-component fall prevention program for fall patients who present after an ED visit. The paramedic conducts a home safety evaluation, a Timed Up and Go Test (TUG). During the VOU visit, the ED physician conducts a telemedicine visit, while the paramedic is visiting the home, to review patients' fall-risk-increasing drugs and their TUG test. We will determine feasibility by calculating rates of patient enrollment refusal, and adherence to fall-risk prevention recommendations using information from 3-month follow-up telephone calls, as well as qualitative interviews with the paramedics. We will determine the acceptability of the ED VOU Falls program based on patient and provider surveys using a Likert scale. We will ask VOU nursing staff to report any safety issues encountered while the patient is in the ED VOU Falls program (e.g., tripping hazards). We will use the chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test for categorical variables, Student’s t-test for continuous variables, and Mann-Whitney for nonparametric data. We will review interview transcripts and generate codes. Codes will then be extracted and organized into concepts to generate an overall theme following grounded theory methods. This is a pilot study; hence, results cannot be extrapolated. However, a definite trial would be the next step in the future to determine if such a program could be implemented as part of fall prevention interventions. Discussion This study will provide insights into the feasibility and acceptability of a novel ED VOU Falls program with the aim of ultimately decreasing falls. In the future, such a program could be implemented as part of fall prevention interventions.
... O exercício físico é uma intervenção eficaz na prevenção e redução de quedas nos idosos, mesmo quando adotada isoladamente, demonstram resultados eficazes na diminuição desses incidentes (Tricco et al. 2017). Essa medida recupera a capacidade funcional, aumentando a força, massa muscular e densidade óssea dos membros inferiores. ...
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O envelhecimento traz consigo diversas transformações progressivas que resultam em modificações no estilo de vida do indivíduo, uma delas é a instabilidade postural como um dos principais fatores associados às quedas em pessoas idosas. Analisar as publicações científicas relacionada as intervenções para a melhora do equilíbrio postural de idosos como medida preventiva de quedas. Elaborou-se uma revisão integrativa com pesquisa em diferentes bases de dados no período de agosto a dezembro de 2020. Os estudos foram analisados e categorizados de acordo com os critérios propostos por Melnyk e Fineout-Overholt e a qualidade metodológica recorreu-se ao Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology. Analisaram-se 22 artigos, a maior parte teve como país de origem o Canadá, Austrália e Espanha, cada um com 03 (13,6%) estudos, prevaleceu o idioma inglês com 95,5% da amostra, e a maioria (72,7%) tinha o nível de evidência II. As intervenções encontradas foram agrupadas em quatro categorias: Exercícios físicos; Reabilitação vestibular; Monitoramento/supervisão e Realidade virtual/games. Observou-se que as intervenções para prevenção de quedas em idosos com instabilidade postural devem ter diversas modalidades para serem eficazes. Esses resultados podem auxiliar os profissionais de saúde a criar programas e estratégias para aprimorar o equilíbrio dos idosos em diferentes ambientes clínicos.
... Kim et al. (2022) underlined the importance and influence of light physical activity, which can help reduce mortality in older adults; thus, any level of PA is encouraged for mortality benefits [47]. Regardless of PA, regularly engaging in physical exercise can enhance the quality of life, promote good health, improve physical function, and mitigate the risk of falls in older individuals [42,[48][49][50][51][52]. ...
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Background: People living with dementia (PLWD) may experience substantial cognitive decline as the disease progresses, which interferes with their daily activities. This study aimed to assess physical activity (PA) performance and care dependency (CD) and identify factors related to PA among PLWD. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study in 63 PLWD from National Geriatrics Hospital, Vietnam, from 2021 to 2023. We used the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA), International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ), and Care Dependency Scale (CDS) to assess the nutritional status and the levels of PA and CD, respectively. We used the Mann-Whitney test to compare the differences in the PA types and CD levels between dementia levels and a multivariable logistics regression model to analyze factors related to PA. Results: More than half of the subjects had mild dementia. In total, 35% of the PLWD had a low level of PA, and 46.3% were completely independent of care. The mean score in each CDS aspect of the subjects with moderate/severe dementia was statistically significantly lower than that of those with mild dementia (p ≤ 0.05). Lower dependency (OR = 0.9; 95% CI = 0.88-0.99) and malnutrition (OR = 15.4; 95% CI = 1.18-20.21) were associated with insufficient PA in the PLWD. Conclusion: Formal caregivers and healthcare workers should encourage PLWD to perform physical activities at any level and personalize the development of tailored and nutritional care strategies for each individual.
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Background Most standardized balance tests cannot detect subtle balance deterioration in middle age, or identify those at higher risk for accelerated balance decline due to a ceiling effect. Aims To determine whether the Brief Balance Evaluation Systems Test (Brief-BESTest), partially instrumented with accelerometry, can detect balance deterioration in middle age and identify individuals with poor balance. Methods We studied young (25.3±2.3 years), early middle-aged (47.7±2.6 years), and late middle-aged adults (60.6±3.6 years), with 25 participants in each age group. Subjects wore an accelerometer on their lower back while performing the Brief-BESTest. Balance measurements included the Brief-BESTest total and sub-measures scores, and postural sway during the Brief-BESTest standing tasks, calculated by the 95% confidence ellipse trajectory of the center of mass (COM-95% ellipse). Results Compared to the two middle-aged groups, young adults had better total Brief-BESTest and sub-measures scores, apart from the Stability-in-Gait sub-measure, and less postural sway during the Sensory-Orientation sub-measure. The total Brief-BESTest scores as well as the Biomechanical-Constraints and Sensory-Orientation sub-measures differed also between early and late middle-aged adults. Both the Brief-BESTest total scores and the Sensory-Orientation postural sway values demonstrated increased variation with age, allowing to identify subjects with poor balance. A moderate negative correlation (r = -0.43) was found between the Brief-BESTest total score and the COM-95% ellipse size, and a moderate agreement (k = 0.56) in identifying subjects with poor performance in the early but not the late middle age group. Conclusions The Brief-BESTest test combined with accelerometry could be a suitable screening tool to identify middle-aged people with early balance deterioration and potentially identify those with poor balance and a possible higher risk for falls. Clinicians and policymakers can use our findings to implement balance assessment programs in patients <65 years, leading to preventive strategies before the risk increases.
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Older adults are the least physically active group with specific barriers to regular exercise, and online exercise programs could overcome some of those barriers. This scoping review aimed to describe the characteristics of supervised group-based synchronous online exercise programs for older adults living in the community, their feasibility, acceptability, and potential benefits. MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase, SPORTDiscus, and the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature were searched until November 2022. The included studies met the following criteria: participants aged 50 years and above, a minimum of a 6-week group-based supervised and synchronous intervention, and original articles available in English. Eighteen articles were included, with 1,178 participants (67% female, average age of 71 [57–93] years), most (83%) published in the past 3 years. From the limited reported studies, delivering supervised, synchronous online exercise programs (one to three times/week, between 8 and 32 weeks) for older adults living in the community seems feasible, accepted, and can improve physical function.
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Introduction Community-based services to sustain independence for older people have varying configurations. A typology of these interventions would improve service provision and research by providing conceptual clarity and enabling the identification of effective configurations. We aimed to produce such a typology. Method We developed our typology by qualitatively synthesising community-based complex interventions to sustain independence in older people, evaluated in randomised controlled trials (RCTs), in four stages: (i) systematically identifying relevant RCTs; (ii) extracting descriptions of interventions (including control) using the Template for Intervention Description and Replication; (iii) generating categories of key intervention features and (iv) grouping the interventions based on these categories. PROSPERO registration: CRD42019162195. Results Our search identified 129 RCTs involving 266 intervention arms. The Community-based complex Interventions to sustain Independence in Older People (CII-OP) typology comprises 14 action components and 5 tailoring components. Action components include procedures for treating patients or otherwise intended to directly improve their outcomes; regular examples include formal homecare; physical exercise; health education; activities of daily living training; providing aids and adaptations and nutritional support. Tailoring components involve a process that may result in care planning, with multiple action components being planned, recommended or prescribed. Multifactorial action from care planning was the most common tailoring component. It involves individualised, multidomain assessment and management, as in comprehensive geriatric assessment. Sixty-three different intervention types (combinations) were identified. Conclusions Our typology provides an empirical basis for service planning and evidence synthesis. We recommend better reporting about organisational aspects of interventions and usual care.
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Background: Over 35 million falls occur in older adults annually and are associated with increased emergency department (ED) revisits and 1-year mortality. Despite associations between medications and falls, the prevalence of fall risk-increasing drugs remains high. Our objective was to implement an ED-based medication reconciliation for patients presenting after falls and determine whether an intervention targeting high-risk medications was related to decreased future falls. Methods: This was an observational prospective cohort study at a single site in the United States. Adults 65 years and older presenting to the ED after falls had a pharmacist review their medicines. Pharmacists made recommendations to taper, stop, or discuss medications with the primary clinician. At 3, 6, and 12 months, we recorded the number of fall-related return ED visits and determined if recommended medication changes had been implemented. We compared the rate of return visits of patients who had followed the medication change recommendations and those who received recommendations but had no change in their medications using chi-square tests. Results: A total of 577 patients (mean age 81 years, 63.6% female) were enrolled of 1509 potentially eligible patients. High-risk medications were identified in 310 patients (53.7%) who received medication recommendations. High-risk medications were associated with repeat fall-related visits at 12 months (risk difference 8.1% [95% confidence interval 0.97-15.0]). A total of 134 (43%) patients on high-risk medications had evidence of medication modification. At 12 months, there was no statistically significant difference in return fall visits between patients who had modifications to medications compared with those who had not implemented changes (p = 0.551). Conclusions: Our findings identified opportunities for medication optimization in over half of emergency visits for falls and demonstrated that medication counseling in the ED is feasible. However, evaluation of the effect on future falls was limited.
Article
Currently, robust evidence is lacking to support one exercise type over another in the prevention of physical and cognitive decline and falls among older adults, primarily because of the lack of comparative trials of proven interventions. Therefore, a 12‐month randomized, single‐blind, comparative effectiveness trial is conducted, in which 142 older adults at high risk for falls are randomized (1:1) to receive an evidence‐based Dalcroze Eurhythmics (DE) exercise program (once weekly, group‐based) or an evidence‐based multicomponent (MULTI) exercise program incorporating balance, functional, and strength training activities (twice weekly, group‐ and home‐based), for 12 months. The primary outcome is gait variability under dual‐task at 12 months. At 12 months, the DE group has significant improvements compared with MULTI group on gait under both dual‐task (adjusted β for stride variability: −2.3, 95%CI, −3.1 to −1.4; p < 0.001) and single‐task, and on a variety of secondary physical and cognitive/executive function outcomes. The adjusted hazard ratio for falls is 0.58 (95%CI, 0.37 to 0.93) for the DE group compared with MULTI group. In conclusion, DE exercise is more effective than MULTI exercise in improving physical and cognitive function and reducing falls in older adults. The mechanisms underlying DE exercise‐induced benefits remain to be fully elucidated.
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Introduction Falls are the leading cause of injury in older adults and can lead to substantial costs for the individual and society. Eye care practitioners in the community provide services for a large proportion of the older adult population and can play a key role in falls prevention, however it is unclear whether they are implementing evidence-based recommendations in practice. The aim of this scoping review is to map and synthesise the current evidence for community-based eye care practitioners translating falls prevention evidence into clinical practice. Methods and analysis The study will use the framework by Arksey and OMalley and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR). Studies that have been published in English from 1990 to current on the topic of eye care practitioners and falls prevention in older adults will be searched on MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHLPlus databases. Grey literature will be searched using Web of Science and OpenMD. The titles and abstracts of results will be screened against the inclusion criteria and full texts will be analysed. Data from final included articles will be extracted by two independent reviewers using a tool created according to the Joanna Briggs Institute guidelines. The World Falls Guidelines will be used as a framework for data mapping. Results will be charted, collated, and summarised narratively. Ethics and dissemination It is anticipated that the results from this scoping review will highlight any gaps in the literature regarding eye care practitioner awareness and implementation of falls prevention guidelines and inform future research and clinical recommendations. Ethics approval is not required. Findings will be submitted to a peer-reviewed journal for publication.
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Background: Network meta-analysis is used to compare three or more treatments for the same condition. Within a Bayesian framework, for each treatment the probability of being best, or, more general, the probability that it has a certain rank can be derived from the posterior distributions of all treatments. The treatments can then be ranked by the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). For comparing treatments in a network meta-analysis, we propose a frequentist analogue to SUCRA which we call P-score that works without resampling. Methods: P-scores are based solely on the point estimates and standard errors of the frequentist network meta-analysis estimates under normality assumption and can easily be calculated as means of one-sided p-values. They measure the mean extent of certainty that a treatment is better than the competing treatments. Results: Using case studies of network meta-analysis in diabetes and depression, we demonstrate that the numerical values of SUCRA and P-Score are nearly identical. Conclusions: Ranking treatments in frequentist network meta-analysis works without resampling. Like the SUCRA values, P-scores induce a ranking of all treatments that mostly follows that of the point estimates, but takes precision into account. However, neither SUCRA nor P-score offer a major advantage compared to looking at credible or confidence intervals.
Article
Objectives: To analyze the effectiveness of tai chi for falls prevention. Design: Systematic review and meta-analysis. Setting: Pubmed, Scopus, CINHAL, and Physiotherapy Evidence Database (PEDro) were searched to May 26, 2016. Participants: Older adult population and at-risk adults. Intervention: Randomized controlled trials analyzing the effect of tai chi versus other treatments on risk of falls. Measurements: The incidence rate ratio (IRR) for falls incidence and hazard ratio (HR) for time to first fall. Results: The search strategy identified 891 potentially eligible studies, of which 10 met the inclusion criteria. There was high-quality evidence of a medium protective effect for fall incidence over the short term (IRR = 0.57; 95% CI = 0.46, 0.70) and a small protective effect over the long term (IRR = 0.87; 95% CI = 0.77, 0.98). Regarding injurious falls, we found very low-quality evidence of a medium protective effect over the short term (IRR = 0.50; 95% CI = 0.33, 0.74) and a small effect over the long term (IRR = 0.72; 95% CI = 0.54, 0.95). There was no effect on time to first fall, with moderate quality of evidence (HR = 0.98; 95% CI = 0.69, 1.37). Conclusion: In at-risk adults and older adults, tai chi practice may reduce the rate of falls and injury-related falls over the short term (<12 months) by approximately 43% and 50%, respectively. Tai chi practice may not influence time to first fall in these populations. Due to the low quality of evidence, more studies investigating the effects of tai chi on injurious falls and time to first fall are required.
Article
Previous meta-analyses have found exercise as a single intervention prevents falls in older people. This updated systematic review with random effects meta-analysis and meta-regression aimed to test whether this effect is still present when new trials are added and explore trial characteristics associated with greater fall prevention effects. One hundred comparisons from 89 randomised trials with 19,869 participants were available for meta-analysis. Overall, exercise reduced the rate of falls in community dwelling older people by 21% (pooled rate ratio 0.79, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.85, p<0.001, I² 47%, 67 comparisons) with greater effects seen from exercise programs that challenged balance and involved more than three hours per week of exercise. Together these variables explained 76% of the between-trial heterogeneity and in combination led to a 39% reduction in falls (IRR 0.61, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.72, p<0.001). Exercise also had a fall prevention effect in community-dwelling people with Parkinson’s disease (pooled rate ratio 0.47, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.73, p=0.001, I² 65%, 6 comparisons) or cognitive impairment (pooled rate ratio 0.55, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.83, p=0.004, I² 21%, 3 comparisons) but not in residential care settings or among stroke survivors, people with severe visual impairment or people recently discharged from hospital. Exercise as a single intervention can prevent falls in community dwelling older people, promising results are seen in people with Parkinson’s disease or cognitive impairment but its impact in other clinical groups and aged care facility residents requires further investigation.
Article
Objective Previous meta-analyses have found that exercise prevents falls in older people. This study aimed to test whether this effect is still present when new trials are added, and it explores whether characteristics of the trial design, sample or intervention are associated with greater fall prevention effects. Design Update of a systematic review with random effects meta-analysis and meta-regression. Data sources Cochrane Library, CINAHL, MEDLINE, EMBASE, PubMed, PEDro and SafetyLit were searched from January 2010 to January 2016. Study eligibility criteria We included randomised controlled trials that compared fall rates in older people randomised to receive exercise as a single intervention with fall rates in those randomised to a control group. Results 99 comparisons from 88 trials with 19 478 participants were available for meta-analysis. Overall, exercise reduced the rate of falls in community-dwelling older people by 21% (pooled rate ratio 0.79, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.85, p<0.001, I² 47%, 69 comparisons) with greater effects seen from exercise programmes that challenged balance and involved more than 3 hours/week of exercise. These variables explained 76% of the between-trial heterogeneity and in combination led to a 39% reduction in falls (incident rate ratio 0.61, 95% CI 0.53 to 0.72, p<0.001). Exercise also had a fall prevention effect in community-dwelling people with Parkinson's disease (pooled rate ratio 0.47, 95% CI 0.30 to 0.73, p=0.001, I² 65%, 6 comparisons) or cognitive impairment (pooled rate ratio 0.55, 95% CI 0.37 to 0.83, p=0.004, I² 21%, 3 comparisons). There was no evidence of a fall prevention effect of exercise in residential care settings or among stroke survivors or people recently discharged from hospital. Summary/conclusions Exercise as a single intervention can prevent falls in community-dwelling older people. Exercise programmes that challenge balance and are of a higher dose have larger effects. The impact of exercise as a single intervention in clinical groups and aged care facility residents requires further investigation, but promising results are evident for people with Parkinson's disease and cognitive impairment.
Article
Introduction: This study sought to estimate the incidence, average cost, and total direct medical costs for fatal and non-fatal fall injuries in hospital, ED, and out-patient settings among U.S. adults aged 65 or older in 2012, by sex and age group and to report total direct medical costs for falls inflated to 2015 dollars. Method: Incidence data came from the 2012 National Vital Statistics System, 2012 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project-Nationwide Inpatient Sample, 2012 Health Care Utilization Program National Emergency Department Sample, and 2007 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. Costs for fatal falls were derived from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Web-based Injury Statistics Query and Reporting System; costs for non-fatal falls were based on claims from the 1998/1999 Medicare fee-for-service 5% Standard Analytical Files. Costs were inflated to 2015 estimates using the health care component of the Personal Consumption Expenditure index. Results: In 2012, there were 24,190 fatal and 3.2 million medically treated non-fatal fall related injuries. Direct medical costs totaled $616.5 million for fatal and $30.3 billion for non-fatal injuries in 2012 and rose to $637.5 million and $31.3 billion, respectively, in 2015. Fall incidence as well as total cost increased with age and were higher among women. Conclusion: Medically treated falls among older adults, especially among older women, are associated with substantial economic costs. Practical application: Widely implementing evidence-based interventions for fall prevention is essential to decrease the incidence and healthcare costs associated with these injuries.
Article
Objective: To present a novel and simple graphical approach to improve the presentation of the treatment ranking in a network meta-analysis (NMA) including multiple outcomes. Study design and settings: NMA simultaneously compares many relevant interventions for a clinical condition from a network of trials, and allows ranking of the effectiveness and/or safety of each intervention. There are numerous ways to present the NMA results, which can challenge their interpretation by research users. The rank-heat plot is a novel graph that can be used to quickly recognize which interventions are most likely the best or worst interventions with respect to their effectiveness and/or safety for a single or multiple outcome(s), and may increase interpretability. Results: Using empirical NMAs, we show that the need for a concise and informative presentation of results is imperative, particularly as the number of competing treatments and outcomes in a NMA increases. Conclusions: The rank-heat plot is an efficient way to present the results of ranking statistics, particularly when a large amount of data is available, and it is targeted to users from various backgrounds.
Article
Clinical and statistical heterogeneity are commonplace in meta-analysis of mental health interventions. One possible source of this heterogeneity is the complexity of the intervention being evaluated. Complexity may relate to the intervention, or to the way in which it is implemented; however, the most common interpretation of a complex intervention is one which has multiple, potentially interacting components. In this article we outline different analytical strategies suggested for incorporating intervention complexity in a meta-analysis.
Article
The aim of this study was to evaluate the results of physiotherapeutic regimens for improving the individual capability of the elderly for rising after an incidental fall. It covered 63 subjects, aged 76-91 years, who had had more than one fall within 3 months prior to its commencement. The subjects were randomly divided into two groups and assigned respective physiotherapeutic regimens to be pursued for two months. Group I followed the conventional teaching method, whereas, Group II the backward chaining method. Only Group II showed a significant improvement of individual capability for rising after an incident fall, i.e. 12-21% of the subjects (p=0,04). The backward chaining method may, therefore, be reasonably assumed to be a far more effective regimen, offering therapeutic benefits to the elderly by enhancing their individual capability for unassisted rising after an incidental fall.
Article
This study examined the effects of a 1-year low intensity exercise program in community dwelling older women on falls, injuries, and risk factors for falls such as poor balance, muscular weakness, and gait abnormalities. Eighty older women were assigned to an exercise (Ex, n = 42) or attention control (Co, n = 38) group. During the 1-year study, 36% of the Ex group experienced a fall compared to 45% of the Co group (χ2 = 0.22, p ≥ 0.05). None of the 10 fallers in the Ex group suffered an injury that required medical attention, compared with 3 of the 14 fallers (21%) in the Co group. Further analyses indicated that the Co group declined significantly in isometric strength of the knee extensors and ankle dorsiflexors while the Ex group did not change significantly across the 1-year study. On measures of hip abductor strength, balance, and gait, the groups were not significantly different from each other pre- to post intervention.