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Crop Residue Burning in Northern India: Increasing
Threat to Greater India
S. Sarkar
1,2
, R. P. Singh
3
, and A. Chauhan
4
1
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA,
2
Science Systems and Applications, Inc., Lanham, MD, USA,
3
School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Schmid College of Science and Technology, Chapman University, Orange, CA,
USA,
4
School of Engineering and Technology, Sharda University, Greater Noida, India
Abstract Crop residue burning (CRB) is a recurring problem, during October–November, in the
northwestern regions (Punjab, Haryana, and western Uttar Pradesh) of India. The emissions from the CRB
source regions spread in all directions through long-range transport mechanisms, depending upon the
meteorological conditions. In recent years, numerous studies have been carried out dealing with the impact
of CRB on the air quality of Delhi and surrounding areas, especially in the Indo-Gangetic Basin (also referred to
as Indo-Gangetic Plain). In this paper, we present detailed analysis using both satellite- and ground-based
sources, which show an increasing impact of CRB over the eastern parts of the Indo-Gangetic Basin and also
over parts of central and southern India. The increasing trends of finer black carbon particles and greenhouse
gases have accelerated since the year 2010 onward, which is confirmed by the observation of different
wavelength dependent aerosol properties. Our study shows an increased risk to ambient air quality and an
increased spatiotemporal extent of pollutants in recent years, from CRB, which could be a severe health
threat to the population of these regions.
Plain Language Summary This paper shows from multiple evidence increasing effects of crop
residue burning on the rest of India. This is the first work of its kind that treats this issue over rest of India
at depth based on data from multiple sources and shows the ever increasing menace of biomass burning to
air pollution.
1. Introduction
Air pollution in Indian subcontinent has been identified as a critical issue that is having a lasting impact on
public health and mortality rates (Ghude et al., 2016; Gurjar et al., 2010; Laumbach & Kipen, 2012; Simon
et al., 1998; World Health Organization, 2016). Long-term studies, carried out across different Indian cities,
have all reported persistently high values of aerosol (Girolamo et al., 2004; Moorthy et al., 2013; Prasad
et al., 2006; Sarkar et al., 2006; Satheesh et al., 2017), PM2.5 and PM10 (Guttikunda & Jawahar, 2012;
Sharma et al., 2003; Sharma & Maloo, 2005), and NO
x
(Badhwar et al., 2006; Ghude et al., 2008).
Ascertaining the exact source of air pollution in India is complicated by several factors. This includes the inter-
mixing of pollutants derived from local origin and long-range transport mechanisms (Badarinath et al., 2009;
Kumar et al., 2015), increase in vehicular traffic (Pucher et al., 2005), increasing demand of coal-based power
plants (Garg et al., 2002; Prasad et al., 2006), ill-monitored industrial zones, emissions from biomass burning
sources, and various household fuel consumption issues (Guttikunda et al., 2014).
CRB started in the year 1986 when mechanized harvesting for wheat (in the month of April–May) and rice (in
the month of October–November) was started (Kaskaoutis et al., 2014; Sarkar et al., 2013; Singh & Kaskaoutis,
2014). CRB has recently gained a lot of traction due its substantial impact on seasonal air quality, particularly
over the Indo-Gangetic Basin (IGB; Badarinath et al., 2006; Jain et al., 2014; Kaskaoutis et al., 2014; Liu et al.,
2018; Ram et al., 2012; Singh & Kaskaoutis, 2014; Vijayakumar et al., 2016). In the year 2016, CRB and festival
of light (Diwali) coincided that severely impacted weather of Delhi and surrounding areas and fog, haze, and
smog were persistent for few weeks during last week of October and the first week of November (Chauhan &
Singh, 2017). In the year 2017, the air quality over entire IGB in general and Delhi, in particular, had severe
consequences from CRB in the states of Punjab and Haryana, in the northwestern part of IGB. The pollutants
impacted visibility and caused toxic smog (Times, 2017) and prompted school closures for days to prevent
exposure from the harmful pollutants. In addition, seasonal biomass or CRB also results in spiking of black car-
bon (BC) aerosols that has serious implications due to its ability to absorb incoming solar radiation and impact
SARKAR ET AL. 1
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
RESEARCH ARTICLE
10.1029/2018JD028428
Key Points:
•Analysis from multiple sources
proves the greater influence of crop
residue burning over rest of India
•This paper shows an increasing effect
of crop residue burning over central
and eastern India
•We demonstrate an increasing
impact since the year 2010 with an
increase in mechanized harvesting
practice
Supporting Information:
•Figure S1
•Supporting Information S1
Correspondence to:
S. Sarkar,
sudipta.sarkar@nasa.gov
Citation:
Sarkar, S., Singh, R. P., & Chauhan, A.
(2018). Crop residue burning in
northern India: Increasing threat to
Greater India. Journal of Geophysical
Research: Atmospheres,123. https://doi.
org/10.1029/2018JD028428
Received 29 JAN 2018
Accepted 2 JUN 2018
Accepted article online 19 JUN 2018
©2018. American Geophysical Union.
All Rights Reserved.
climate (Babu & Moorthy, 2002; Babu et al., 2002; Bond et al., 2013; Menon, 2002; Ramanathan & Carmichael,
2008), human health (Gustafsson et al., 2009; Janssen, 2012), precipitation (Gautam et al., 2010; Meehl et al.,
2008; Wang, 2007), and soil productivity (Rhodes et al., 2008). Many studies have focused on CRB and its
impact on BC over IGB during the winter and postmonsoon period (October–November; Kaskaoutis et al.,
2014; Kedia et al., 2014; Nair et al., 2007; Ramanathan, 2007). The increase in BC because of CRB has
made the IGB region a global hot spot for atmospheric pollutants and a place for recurring winter haze
and toxic fog.
While a lot of attention is given to the impact of CRB over the IGB region, less is known about the effect of CRB
on the greater Indian peninsula. Kaskaoutis et al. (2014) and Kumar et al. (2015) discussed long-range trans-
port of aerosols and BC over rest of India, focusing more on capturing the seasonal variations of these proper-
ties. Dumka et al. (2013) looked at the seasonal and diurnal variations of BC over the city of Hyderabad,
located in the state of Telangana and found large seasonal fluctuations with wintertime peaks and summer
lows. Similar studies have been carried out over other isolated locations in the central and southern part of
India (Aruna et al., 2013; Babu & Moorthy, 2002; Kumar et al., 2011; Ramachandran & Rajesh, 2007; Safai
et al., 2007, 2013, 2012). These studies, though mostly local in space and time, agree on the increase of BC
during the postmonsoon and winter periods and the role of CRB in northwest India. In this paper, we have
used data from multiple sources to study the changing aerosol pattern over larger parts of the Indian subcon-
tinent and have documented increasing spatiotemporal extent and changing intensity of CRB in recent years.
2. Study Area
We have considered the whole of India (~8–40°N, 68–98°E; Figure 1) to study the impact of CRB (key states
and regions that are referred to in this text have been highlighted in the figure).
3. Data
We have considered data from a number of satellite observations, ground stations, and global climate models
to assess the impact of CRB over the Indian subcontinent, for the period 2003–2017. In some cases, depend-
ing on the availability of the data, the study periods are limited to years 2005–2016.
Figure 1. Map showing the study area and different states mentioned in the text. The green circles show locations of two
AErosol RObotic NETwork stations (KP = Kanpur and GC = Gandhi College). The region shaded in dark gray represents
the Indo-Gangetic Basin. The location of the Thar Desert (one of the largest dust source regions in India) has been shown
with a red star. City of Hyderabad (HY) has been marked with a blue triangle.
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SARKAR ET AL. 2
3.1. Satellite
We have used the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) active fire data,
MOD14A2/MYD14A2 (Giglio & Justice, 2015) for detection of fire signals, during the postmonsoon season
(October–November), over northwest India. This product is derived from the two MODIS instruments, which
are on board the Terra and Aqua platforms of National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Earth
Observation System (EOS). The collection 6 version of this data set, considered in this study, is an 8-day com-
posite 1-km gridded product that represents the maximum value detected for each pixel within the entire 8-
day compositing period. It was obtained from the Level 1 and Atmosphere Archive and Distribution System
(http://ladsweb.nascom.nasa.gov). For each of the 8-day period, all pixels having the values of 8 and 9, repre-
senting, fire-nominal confidence and fire-high confidence, respectively, were summed to give the total count
of observed fire for each year. The MODIS L3 tile h24v06, covering the northwestern region of India was con-
sidered for this purpose.
The multiwavelength single-scattering albedo (ω
0
) data for the study area were obtained from the Ozone
Monitoring Instrument sensor on board NASA’s EOS Aura space platform. The 0.25° × 0.25° OMAEROe L3
product (Stein-Zweers & Veefkind, 2012; Version 3) provides a measurement of ω
0
at five different wave-
lengths, ranging from 342.5 nm to 483.5 nm. The L3 product selects the best aerosol values for each pixel,
from all the input L2 good quality data, based on the shortest optical path length. These data were down-
loaded for the study period from the Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center
(https://disc.gsfc.nasa.gov). In addition to this, we have made use of aerosol optical depth and absorbing
aerosol optical depth, measured at 500 nm, from the 1° × 1° OMAERUVd daily, L3 data set. This data set is
based on an enhanced Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer algorithm that uses the ultraviolet radiance
data (Torres, 2008).
Methane is an inevitable by-product of CRB due to incomplete combustion. Changes in methane mixing
ratios may indicate changing impacts of CRB. Vertical distribution of methane, across different pressure
levels, has been obtained from the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS) on board the EOS Aqua platform.
We have used the AIRS daily L3 product, AIRS3STD, which has global coverage at a spatial resolution of
1° × 1°. The AIRS instrument uses 2,378 spectral channels, between 3.74 and 15.4 μm, to provide vertical dis-
tribution of different trace gases and water vapor across the globe (AIRS Science Team, 2013).
We have used vertical profiles of aerosol extinction coefficients from the Cloud-Aerosol LIdar with Orthogonal
Polarization instrument, on board the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations
(CALIPSO) platform. CALIPSO is part of the NASA A-Train EOS system that was launched in April 2006. The ver-
tical profiles of extinction coefficients have been obtained from level 2, version 4.0 aerosol profile products
with a horizontal resolution of 5 km (Vaughan et al., 2009).
3.2. Model
The data for BC and dust column mass density were obtained from the Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for
Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) from the NASA’s Global Modeling and Assimilation Office.
MERRA-2 has an improved assimilation scheme compared to earlier MERRA system and is a long-term global
reanalysis process that has a robust mechanism to assimilate satellite-derived observations of aerosols and
their interactions with other physical processes (Gelaro et al., 2017). Besides, MERRA2 relies on a combination
of satellite data and some high-resolution inventories to track time-dependent anthropogenic and biomass
burning emissions. The data used in the present study are from the MERRA2 data set, M2TMNXAER (Global
Modeling and Assimilation Office, 2015; obtained from the Goddard Earth Sciences data portal), which is a
monthly mean spanning the entire globe, with a spatial resolution of 0.5° × 0.625°.
3.3. Ground Station
Specific ground-based aerosol measurements have been derived from the two AErosol RObotic NETwork
(AERONET) stations located in the IGB, Kanpur, and Gandhi College (Figure 1). AERONET sites use CIMEL multi-
band Sun photometers to measure sun irradiance and sky radiances at eight spectral bands ranging from 340
to 1,020 nm (Holben et al., 2001). We have used the ω
0
data from the Version 3.0 Almucantar level 2.0 inver-
sions and the Angstrom exponents (α) from the Version 2.0 direct Sun measurements.
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4. Trend Estimates
The trends for ω
0
, dust, and BC have been computed, using a Mann-Kendall test for detection of monotonic
trends in the time series (Hirsch & Slack, 1984; Mann, 1945). The slope for these trends has been estimated
through a nonparametric Theil-Sen statistic (Sen, 1968) that is equivalent to the least squares regression
but like the Mann-Kendall test that is free from the assumption of normal distribution. Both of these tests
have been shown to be more robust to the presence of outliers in the time series. We have followed a similar
methodology as discussed by Sarkar (2017) and have used the NCL package (https://www.ncl.ucar.edu) for
the estimation of the actual trends. All trends, presented in this work, are interannual trends that have been
computed for the postmonsoon CRB period lasting from October to November of each year.
5. Prevailing Wind Pattern
The dominant wind pattern during the postmonsoon and winter period in India is northerly to northwesterly.
This wind mostly originates from the north, northwestern region of India where a high-pressure system pre-
vails during this time, because of low temperatures and divergence induced by the subtropical jet stream
(see Figure S1 in the supporting information). Back trajectories, computed using the HYbrid Single Particle
Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory model (Draxler & Rolph, 2003), over two locations, in IGB, and in Central
India, confirm this outgoing northerly and northwesterly wind pattern (Figure 2). These back trajectories were
modeled using wind profile data from the 1° × 1° Global Data Assimilation System data, for 5 November 2016.
The models were run for 240 hrs with initial height fixed at 500 m. Figure 2 shows that the back trajectories
from both the locations point to northwestern India, toward the states of Haryana and Punjab. The trajectories
that are color coded byheight (in meters above ground level) showthat most of the pollutants are transported
from north-northwest India at heights below 500 m or less, which is mostly well within the planetary boundary
layer height that is prevalent during the postmonsoon period (Patil et al., 2013). This also agrees with similar
observations that have been made over other biomass burning areas where most of the aerosol load was
found to be restricted within the mixing layer with rare evidence of injection to the free troposphere
(Bikkina et al., 2016; Labonne et al., 2007; Ram et al., 2010). We do see some evidence of long-range transport
at heights above the boundary layer, especially for the location in central India, suggesting that BC
aerosol-laden winds can travel longer distances at higher altitudes and impact far off places.
Figure 2. HYbrid Single Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory back trajectory calculation for two locations, over the (a) eastern parts of Indo-Gangetic Basin and
(b) central south India (b). The matrix locations are shown with red rectangles in each of the figures, and the inset figures show greater detail of the trajectories over
the matrix locations. The two-letter state abbreviations, given in red, stands for PN = Punjab; HY = Haryana; UP = Uttar Pradesh; MP = Madhya Pradesh;
MH = Maharashtra; AP = Andhra Pradesh; CH = Chattisgarh; OR = Odisha. These simulations were initiated for 5 November 2016 and were allowed to run for 240 hr.
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6. Observed Trends
6.1. Fire Counts
The yearly total fire counts, as measured from the MODIS active fire data sets (M*D14A2), over the northwes-
tern part of India, show a distinct trend, primarily, since the year 2010. The yearly fire counts, cumulated over
the postmonsoon (October–November) season for every year, have been fitted with a linear trend and the
slope and adjusted r-squared (R
2
adj
) values are shown in Figure 3. An increasing trend is seen for the entire
study period, since the year 2003, for Aqua MODIS (hereafter referred to as AQUA) with the R
2
adj
value of
0.78 (pvalue: 7.15e06). For Terra MODIS (hereafter referred to as TERRA), no such trend is observed,
although we observe some increase in fire counts for TERRA, since 2010, though not statistically significant
(R
2
adj
value of 0.33, pvalue: 0.08). Both AQUA and TERRA show peaking of fire counts in the year 2016. The
AQUA derived yearly magnitudes are also seen to be much higher than TERRA. This observation of higher fire
counts measured by AQUA is consistent with findings of Kaskaoutis et al. (2014), who found that count of fire
pixels from AQUA was about 10 times higher than those of TERRA over the state of Punjab. TERRA is a morn-
ing satellite with local overpass time of 10:30 a.m., while AQUA has an afternoon overpass time of 1:30 p.m.
We conjecture that because of this difference in observation time, AQUA can detect more fires as CRB picks
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
2000
4000
6000
900
1200
1500
1800
Year
Fire Count
Figure 3. Fire count, accumulated between days 273 and 336, for years 2003 to 2017 from TERRA and AQUA. These data
were compiled from MODIS tile h24v06 that cover the northwestern states where CRB during the postmonsoon
period is prevalent. The linear regression trend fit for both TERRA and AQUA, for the entire study period has been shown in
black dashed lines. For TERRA another trend fit, since 2010, has been shown in brown dashed line. The linear
regression equations and R
2
adj
values for each fit are shown in the figure with the 95% confidence interval shown as a gray
shaded interval. AQUA detects higher fire counts and a statistically significant increasing trend since 2003, whereas
TERRA does not show much trend overall but does show a weak increasing trend after 2010.
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SARKAR ET AL. 5
up with the progression of the day. It is a common practice of farmers to begin burning in the morning and
end by the evening. Nonetheless, irrespective of the differences in the magnitude of fire counts both TERRA
and AQUA observations show a matching increasing trend in the period after 2010–2011.
6.2. Trend of ω
0
Kaskaoutis et al. (2014), divided the primary postmonsoon CRB season into four subperiods, based on num-
ber of fire counts, intensity of burning and aerosol loading into (a) preburning (1–15 October 2012), (ii) early
burning (15–30 October 2012), (iii) late burning (1–17 November 2012), and (iv) postburning (18–30
November 2012). We considered their classification and looked at the trend of ω
0
(λ
463
) in each of these four
subperiods (Figure 4), based on the OMAEROe daily L3 data set. Average for each of the four periods was
computed from the daily data set, and a Mann-Kendall slope was fitted at each point. Black circles in
Figure 4 indicate all areas where the trend is significant at 90%, based on the Theil-Sen trend statistic. Out
of all the four subperiods considered, the late burning period shows clear evidence of an increasing trend
Figure 4. Temporal trend of ω
0
calculated at four subperiods, as defined by Kaskaoutis et al. (2014). Black circles are placed
over areas where the trend is significant at 95%. Late burning period (1–17 November) shows increasing trend of
ω
0
(λ
463
). This is derived from the OMAEROe data set.
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SARKAR ET AL. 6
in ω
0
at the blue-ultraviolet region of the spectrum. This increase is seen over the central southern regions of
India, covering the states of Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and northern Andhra
Pradesh (now referred to as Telangana; Figure 1).
6.3. Trend of BC and Dust
There are mainly two dominant sources of long-range pollutants in India, which are BC and dust (Dey et al.,
2004; Singh et al., 2004). BC aerosols mostly comprise fine particles (0.1–1μm) that are residuals from incom-
plete burning as in fossil fuel, biogenic-fuels and CRB (Collins, 2002). Given their small size, BC aerosols are
more prone to long-range transport and have a longer life in the atmosphere. Dust comprises larger particles
of size 2 μm or more. Dust is more strongly absorbing at lower wavelengths, which cannot explain the
increase in ω
0
(λ
463
) that is seen in Figure 4. But at the same time, both dust and BC aerosols can claim their
provenance from northwestern India. We estimated the trend of dust and BC column mass density from the
MERRA2 data, for November (Figure 5). The meridional variation of BC and dust column density anomalies
along 77E longitude are shown in Figures 5c and 5d, respectively. Stippled areas in Figures 5a and 5b show
significant trend (95% confidence level).
From the BC and Dust trends we found:
•An increasing trend in dust aerosols is largely confined to their source regions of western and northwestern
India (Figure 5b). Most of the dust particles owe their source to the Thar Desert and long-range transport
from the Sahara region, which makes a pathway through the northwestern states of India.
•On the contrary, the increase in BC is more evident along the eastern IGB and central India, conforming to
the northwesterly wind direction in the postmonsoon period (Figures 5a and S1).
•From Figure 5d, we can see that dust event are more pronounced around the premonsoon period (March
to early June), and the influx of dust to lower latitudes is less frequent and is seen only a few times during
2005–2016, mainly in 2008 and 2012. This conforms to findings of Gautam et al. (2009). Pandey et al. (2017)
have also reported this decline of premonsoon dust events.
•An influx of BC at lower latitudes is far more common, and we observe more BC spikes on and after the year
2010.
Source apportionment of BC, especially in South Asia, can be problematic (Gustafsson et al., 2009) because of
multiple emission sources for fine mode particles. Thus, the increase in BC along the eastern part of the IGB
and central southern regions may be potentially attributed to a number of different sources with CRB being
one of them. However, the month-wise trend of BC, as shown in Figure 5a, but computed for each month of
the year (see Figure S2 in the supporting information) shows the pronounced increase in the month of
November in the eastern and central south regions. Furthermore, the area of increase conforms to the con-
tours of prevailing wind direction at this time of the year (Figures 2 and S1 in the supporting information). In
general, the most widespread increase in BC over the eastern and central south regions is seen in the post-
monsoon and winter periods, thus confirming the greater role of transport of BC from northwesterly source
regions in during this time. Our conclusions agree with Dumka et al. (2013), who attributed the wintertime
peak in BC at Hyderabad to crop residue and biomass burning in the northwestern regions. They opined that
such seasonality in BC concentrations might not be caused by any local anthropogenic sources, as anthropo-
genic emissions remain continuous throughout the year. We rule out any role of local large-scale biomass
burning in the central south regions for postmonsoon BC enhancements, as CRB in the central south regions
is largely prevalent between February and May, peaking in the month of March. Comparing month-wise fire
counts from the Global Fire Emissions Database (GFED 4s; van der Werf et al., 2017) for the IGB and central
south regions corroborates this (ref: Figure S3 in the supporting information).
7. Changes in Methane Emissions
Methane emission can result from incomplete combustion of biofuels or crops and is particularly relevant for
paddy leftover burning in the northwestern India, where anaerobic conditions, prevailing in submerged
paddy fields, can create a pool of methane (Bhatia et al., 2013). To assess the relative magnitude of methane
emissions, from CRB, over northern and central south regions of India, we looked at methane emissions from
different sources based on Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (Crippa et al., 2016; EDGAR
431: European Commission, Joint Research Centre/Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (PBL),
10.1029/2018JD028428
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SARKAR ET AL. 7
2016) data. We considered emissions from enteric fermentation, agricultural soils, agricultural waste burning,
fossil fuel combustions, manures, road transportation, and solid wastes. The emission from each source was
normalized, and the annual increase from each source was divided by the gross increase from all emission
Figure 5. Temporal trend for (a) black carbon and (b) dust column mass density, for November, as obtained from the monthly Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for
Research and Applications, Version 2 data set, M2TMNXAER. Stippled areas represent places where the trend is significant at 95%. Time-latitude profiles showing
the yearly variation of respective column mass density anomalies, along 77°E longitude, are shown in (c) for black carbon and in (d) for dust. The meridional
averages are shown on as line plots with each of these figures.
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SARKAR ET AL. 8
sources. Figure 6 shows the fractional increase of methane emission from each source; the maximum
increase in methane emission is found from agricultural waste burning over the IGB and central
southern regions.
We looked at the changes in methane volume mixing ratios, derived from the ascending (daytime) mode of
AIRS sensor. We considered vertical variations of methane between 12°N and 22°N latitudes and along 77°E
longitude. The daily methane observations were converted to monthly averages, and the departures from
monthly means were estimated as monthly anomalies. We found an increase in methane mixing ratios
(Figure 7a), on and after the postmonsoon period of the year 2010. A meridional profile of monthly anomalies
of Ozone Monitoring Instrument derived ω
0
(λ
463
) computed between 16°N and 24°N for November
(Figure 7b) shows higher values of ω
0
(λ
463
) in lower latitudes, being more prevalent on and after the year
2009. The timing of this increase is similar to the increase in methane volume mixing ratio (Figure 7a) and
agrees with the trend in AQUA derived fire counts (Figure 3).
8. Closer Studies of Aerosol Type and Characteristics
8.1. AErosol RObotic NETwork
Delineation of aerosol source and type is possible based on consideration of wavelength dependent factors
like α
λ
and ω
0
. The AERONET data from Kanpur and Gandhi College, both located in the eastern parts of IGB,
have been used to look at the aerosol characteristics and how it has evolved at these two AERONET locations.
Figure 8 shows the variation of α
λ
, calculated from direct Sun algorithm (Holben et al., 2001), at 500–870 nm
Figure 6. Therelative increase of methane emissions from different sources, derived from the Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research 431. This is shown
as slope fraction for each emission component, defined as the trend slope of a particular emission component divided by the sum of trend slopes from all
emission components. All emission components were normalized to minimize bias.
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SARKAR ET AL. 9
(α
500–870
) and 340–440 nm (α
340–440
), at (a) Gandhi College and (b) Kanpur. A trend line has been fitted to
each curve based on loess regression, which is a robust smoothing algorithm based on local polynomial
regression. The α
500–870
for Gandhi College shows an increasing trend since the year 2010 whereas α
340–440
decreases slightly, at the same time. For Kanpur, the same trend is observed, but it is not as prominent as
Figure 7. (a) Pressure (hPa)—time profile of methane volume mixing ratio anomalies, over 12–22°N latitude and along 77°E longitude. Two prominent phases of
increase in methane volume mixing ratio are detected, during 2010 to 2013, and further increase since 2013 to present. (b) Time-latitude profile showing
the variation of ω
0
(λ
463
) for November, as derived from the OMAEROe data set between 16°N and 24°N and along 77°E longitude. We see a marked increase in ω
0
south of 20 N, from 2010 onward.
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
Apr-06
Feb-07
Dec-07
Oct-08
Aug-09
Jun-10
Apr-11
Feb-12
Dec-12
Oct-13
Aug-14
Jun-15
Apr-16
Feb-17
Time
Angstrom Exp.
a)
0.4
0.8
1.2
1.6
Jan-04
Nov-04
Sep-05
Jul-06
May-07
Mar-08
Jan-09
Nov-09
Sep-10
Jul-11
May-12
Mar-13
Jan-14
Nov-14
Sep-15
Jul-16
Time
b)
Figure 8. Plot of α
500–870
and α
340–440
for two AErosol RObotic NETwork sites of (a) Gandhi College and (b) Kanpur. A
sharp increase in seen in α
500–870
for Gandhi College, during 2009 to 2011 and again from 2014 onward. In Kanpur, the
trend is little subdued for reasons that have been described in the text.
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SARKAR ET AL. 10
Gandhi College. The 830- to 880-nm wavelength range is considered as the optimal wavelength range for
BC aerosol estimation as BC aerosols are most sensitive in this range (Sreekanth et al., 2007). The increase of
α
500–870
values, away from 1, toward 1.5 and higher indicates a greater preponderance of finer mode
particles, including sulfates, nitrates, ammonium, organic carbon, and BC, in recent years. A similar
increase in finer particles is observed through an analysis of the AERONET-based fine mode fractions
data (not shown) that are based on a spectral deconvolution algorithm (O’neill, 2003).
BC aerosols are more absorptive in visible and near-infrared ranges and exhibit more scattering in blue and
ultraviolet regions of the spectrum. This dependence of ω
0
with wavelength (δω
0
/δλ) has been estimated at
four wavelengths, ranging from 440 to 1,020 nm, based on AERONET measurements (variations are shown for
Gandhi College in Figure 9a and for Kanpur in Figure 9b). The values of δω
0
/δλ that are <0 are indicative of
the presence of BC. From the variation of δω
0
/δλ, we observe
1. In Gandhi College, a more regular pattern of negative slope values, around the postmonsoon and winter
period of every year. Whereas the positive peaks, indicative of dust spikes are seen around the premon-
soon months from March to May.
2. In Kanpur, the pattern is more irregular similar to variations of αin Figure 8.
3. An increasing frequency of negative slope values, after winter of 2010 compared to earlier periods, which
is evident from the Gandhi College observations.
Kanpur is an industrial city, where the source of aerosol, especially BC aerosol is complicated by various other
emission sources like automobiles, power plants, brick kilns, multiple industries, and indoor fuel consumption
(Singh et al., 2004). So no clear pattern emerges in Kanpur of variation of BC, solely from CRB. The variation of
ω
0
in Kanpur also shows an increasing effect of dust and brown carbons that are known to be more absorp-
tive in the lower wavelength ranges compared to BC.
8.2. Other Satellite- and Ground-Based Observations
Figure 10a shows area averaged aerosol absorption coefficients, derived over central India, over a bounding
box, centered on 22°N and 77°E. These are derived from CALIPSO vertical profiles of extinction coefficients at
532 nm that were scaled, based on factors estimated from colocated observations of absorbing aerosol opti-
cal depth and aerosol optical depth, obtained from OMAERUVd at 500-nm wavelength. The data are shown
for two days, 24 October (early burning) and 9 November (late burning) in 2016. Most of the changes related
to CRB are seen to be restricted within the lower 2 km of the atmosphere. We observe a substantial jump in
the absorption coefficient of 50% or more in these central Indian regions from early burning to late
burning period.
-1e-04
-5e-05
0e+00
5e-05
1e-04
04/06
11/06
06/07
01/08
08/08
03/09
10/09
05/10
12/10
07/11
02/12
09/12
04/13
11/13
06/14
01/15
08/15
03/16
10/16
05/17
12/17
Time
dSSA d
Gandhi College
a
-1e-04
0e+00
1e-04
01/01
09/01
05/02
01/03
09/03
05/04
01/05
09/05
05/06
01/07
09/07
05/08
01/09
09/09
05/10
01/11
09/11
05/12
01/13
09/13
05/14
01/15
09/15
05/16
01/17
09/17
05/18
Time
dSSA d
Kanpur
b
Figure 9. Variation of δω
0
/δλ, estimated at wavelengths of 440, 675, 870, and 1,020 nm for two AErosol RObotic NETwork
stations of (a) Gandhi College and (b) Kanpur.
10.1029/2018JD028428
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
SARKAR ET AL. 11
Implications of BC enhancement in the postmonsoon ambient air quality, over the eastern and Central India,
are far reaching. Unfortunately, there are not enough ground stations in India that provide long-term data of
PM2.5 and PM2.5/PM10 ratio over the years. Changes in such ratio are reflective of the changing fraction of
fine mode particles and could imply changing BC concentration in ambient air. We considered one station
located in the city of Hyderabad (Figure 1), maintained by the Central Pollution Control Board of Government
of India. Figure 10b shows variations of Respirable Suspended Particulate Matter (RSPM) for November. All
available valid daily values for the month were averaged to obtain the monthly total for a given year.
RSPM indicates particles that are small enough (<2.5 μm) to pass through nasal hairs and reach human lungs.
Though the data shown in Figure 10b are not complete and are available only until the year 2013, it shows a
steady increase in RSPM from the year 2011 onward. It may be noted that some of these stations are poorly
maintained, and instruments may not be routinely calibrated; however, the steady increase in RSPM after
2010 is likely associated with changing BC/finer particles concentrations in the atmosphere of central India
during winter time. Figure 10c shows the diurnal variation of PM2.5 and PM2.5/PM10 fractions, during the
years 2016 and 2017, for another site located in the state of Maharashtra, in central India. It shows an increase
in values of finer particles, starting from end October to December of each year. The increase in 2016 was the
highest, corresponding to the highest number of fires that were observed for the year 2016 (Figure 3).
9. Summary and Conclusion
Increased episodes of CRB in the north and the northwestern regions of India have been confirmed by the
analysis of a number of satellite- and ground-based observations. Mechanized harvesting leaves more resi-
dues in the field in the form of stalks, stubbles, and straws that are burnt by the farmers to clear the field
for next crop. It is known that residue generation and burning are proportional to mechanized rice cultivation
systems (Kumar et al., 2014; Manjunatha et al., 2015; Sharma & Prasad, 2008). Hence, an increase in CRB could
Figure 10. (a) Variation of aerosol absorption coefficient with height for a box centered on 22°N and 77°E. The absorption
coefficients have been derived from Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations extinction
coefficients at 532 nm and scaling them by factors obtained through colocated absorbing aerosol optical depth and
aerosol optical depth observations from OMAERUVd. (b) Monthly average value for Respirable Suspended Particulate
Matter, for November, for a site (C.I.T.D. Balanagar) in the city of Hyderabad (~17.4 N, 78.5°E) within Telangana state. (c) The
diurnal variation of PM2.5 (red) and PM2.5/PM10 ratio (blue), for a site in the city of Aurangabad (19.8 N, 75.3°E; station
name: More Chowk-Waluj) in the state of Maharashtra. We observe peaking of PM2.5 and PM2.5/PM10 ratio between
November to December of 2016 and 2017, increase for 2016 was highest.
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Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
SARKAR ET AL. 12
be the result of an increased shift toward mechanized harvesting, which has gradually spread, over the years,
to other states including foothills of Himalaya. This air mass, contaminated from the CRB, is reaching over the
eastern and central parts of India. Even the rice producing eastern states of India have increasingly resorted to
CRB in recent years. It is evident from Figures 3, 5a, 8, and 9 that the post-2010 growth spurt in CRB has come
in two episodes. The first episode roughly lasts from the year 2010 to the year 2013, and then we see another
uptick from 2014 onward, which reflects increasing shift toward mechanized harvesting in recent times. The
recent regulations, put forth to curb these widespread practices of CRB (DTE, 2017; Urmila, 2017), may explain
the slight dip in the count of fires that we observed for the year 2017 (Figure 3).
Our results clearly show an increased preponderance of BC aerosols and finer particles, during the postmon-
soon and wintertime, over the eastern IGB and central India. Comparing the seasonality of other emission
sources and fire events in central south regions based on emission inventory sources like EDGAR and
Global Fire Emissions Database, we show that increase in methane and BC during November over central
south regions has to come from source areas located in north-northwestern India.
Most impacted is the period during the first and second week of November when the northwesterly winds
are seen to transport burning residues and alter the ambient air quality over these parts of India. This dete-
rioration of air quality is of great concern especially over the Eastern IGB that is already riddled with increasing
pollution from various other sources like coal mining, fossil fuel combustion, industrial outputs, and increased
vehicular traffic, all of which are contributors to BC and brown carbon.
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Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to MODIS, AIRS
science team for providing satellite
data, and to NASA AERONET team for
providing Kanpur and Gandhi College
AERONET data for the present study.
Kanpur AERONET station was
established by one of the authors
(R. P. S.) through a joint Memorandum
of Understanding between Indian
Institute of Technology (IIT) Kanpur and
NASA, Maryland. Thanks to Brent
Holben PI of the AERONET program. We
are also thankful to NOAA ARL for
making the HYSPLIT model available for
use. The first author (S. S,) is thankful to
Sadashiva Devadiga and Keith Duffy
from SSAI for their continued support
and patronage. The authors are grateful
to three anonymous reviewers and
Editor for their constructive
comments/suggestions that have
helped us to improve earlier version of
the paper. All data used in this study are
publicly available and have been duly
cited in this text. All supporting figures
(Figures S1–S3) can be found in the
supporting information section. The
analysis presented in this text has
carried out through NCL (https://www.
ncl.ucar.edu), Python, and R. The R code
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found as part of the supporting
information. Thee first author (S. S.) built
and conceptualized upon the notion
that was first put forward by second
author (R. P. S.). S. S. planned and
executed the actual research. R. P. S. and
S. S. wrote the manuscript. and R. P. S.
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