Figure - available from: Natural Hazards
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a Major local and regional-scale active faults slicing across or nearby the investigated sector. The north-eastern sector is actively deformed by fault belts (in red) and b Map of PGA (Peak Ground Acceleration) for the investigated area
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The determination of seismic risk in urban settlements has received increasing attention in the scientific community during the last decades since it allows to identify the most vulnerable portions of urban areas and therefore to plan appropriate strategies for seismic risk reduction. In order to accurately evaluate the seismic risk of urban settle...
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Citations
... For instance, they have been applied to seven European cities [9]. The macro-seismic approach combines the vulnerability index method with an analytical function which expresses the expected damage for a given earthquake intensity [10][11][12][13]. Another popular method is based on the damage probability matrix [14][15][16], which returns an estimate of vulnerability in numeric form; in particular, it expresses the likelihood of a certain level of damage for each seismic intensity. ...
Seismic vulnerability assessment in urban areas would, in principle, require the detailed modeling of every single building and the implementation of complex numerical calculations. This procedure is clearly difficult to apply at an urban scale where many buildings must be considered; therefore, it is essential to have simplified, but at the same time reliable, approaches to vulnerability assessment. Among the proposed strategies, one of the most interesting concerns is the application of machine learning algorithms, which are able to classify buildings according to their vulnerability on the basis of training procedures applied to existing datasets. In this paper, machine learning algorithms were applied to a dataset which collects and catalogs the structural characteristics of a large number of buildings and reports the damage observed in L’Aquila territory during the intense seismic activity that occurred in 2009. A combination of a trained neural network and a random forest algorithm allows us to identify an opportune “a-posteriori” vulnerability score, deduced from the observed damage, which is compared to an “a-priori” vulnerability one, evaluated taking into account characteristic indexes for building’s typologies. By means of this comparison, an inverse approach to seismic vulnerability assessment, which can be extended to different urban centers, is proposed.
... Accurately predicting time series data is beneficial for us to plan ahead and better allocate resources. The environmental protection department of the government can use historical air quality data in a region to predict the changes in air quality data in that region in the future, thereby making better arrangements for pollution prevention and control in that area [5]. In industrial production, managers can make better plans for the use of resources such as electricity, natural gas, and coal by predicting and analyzing time series data [6]. ...
In this study, we present the EEG-GCN, a novel hybrid model for the prediction of time series data, adept at addressing the inherent challenges posed by the data's complex, non-linear, and periodic nature, as well as the noise that frequently accompanies it. This model synergizes signal decomposition techniques with a graph convolutional neural network (GCN) for enhanced analytical precision. The EEG-GCN approaches time series data as a one-dimensional temporal signal, applying a dual-layered signal decomposition using both Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) and GRU. This two-pronged decomposition process effectively eliminates noise interference and distills the complex signal into more tractable sub-signals. These sub-signals facilitate a more straightforward feature analysis and learning process. To capitalize on the decomposed data, a graph convolutional neural network (GCN) is employed to discern the intricate feature interplay within the sub-signals and to map the interdependencies among the data points. The predictive model then synthesizes the weighted outputs of the GCN to yield the final forecast. A key component of our approach is the integration of a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) with EEMD within the GCN framework, referred to as EEMD-GRU-GCN. This combination leverages the strengths of GRU in capturing temporal dependencies and the EEMD's capability in handling non-stationary data, thereby enriching the feature set available for the GCN and enhancing the overall predictive accuracy and stability of the model. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that the EEG-GCN model achieves superior performance metrics. Compared to the baseline GCN model, EEG-GCN shows an average R2 improvement of 60% to 90%, outperforming the other methods. These results substantiate the advanced predictive capability of our proposed model, underscoring its potential for robust and accurate time series forecasting.
