The predicted Galactic nova rate based on 1000 Monte Carlo trials, from ASAS-SN (blue histogram), Gaia (red histogram), and a combination of both surveys (purple histogram). We give the median values of the distributions as the most likely Galactic nova rate and include the 16% and 84% confidence regions. The results are all consistent at the 1σ level, with the most likely rate from both surveys predicting a Galactic nova rate of R = 26 ± 5 yr −1 .

The predicted Galactic nova rate based on 1000 Monte Carlo trials, from ASAS-SN (blue histogram), Gaia (red histogram), and a combination of both surveys (purple histogram). We give the median values of the distributions as the most likely Galactic nova rate and include the 16% and 84% confidence regions. The results are all consistent at the 1σ level, with the most likely rate from both surveys predicting a Galactic nova rate of R = 26 ± 5 yr −1 .

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We present the first estimate of the Galactic nova rate based on optical transient surveys covering the entire sky. Using data from the All-Sky Automated Survey for Supernovae (ASAS-SN) and Gaia—the only two all-sky surveys to report classical nova candidates—we find 39 confirmed Galactic novae and 7 additional unconfirmed candidates discovered fro...

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... trial provides a different estimate of the Galactic nova rate, and we take the median rate as the most likely and 68.2% of the width as the 1σ uncertainty. The results of the Monte Carlo simulation are shown in Figure 7. ...

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... In particular, they showed that previous optical searches were systematically missing a substantial population of dust-obscured novae, resulting in inconsistencies between observed and estimated nova rates in optical searches. More recently, Kawash et al. (2021b) and Kawash et al. (2022) used novae discovered in the ASASSN and Gaia surveys to carry out a systematic analysis of the nova rate, providing a rate of 26 ± 5 yr −1 . With the estimated optical nova rate nominally inconsistent with the higher NIR rate, further progress requires additional investigation of independent surveys and observing wavebands to assess these discrepancies. ...
... However, the WISE sample of novae, being discovered in the midinfrared bands over a broad-sky area including the Galactic plane, is tightly clustered around the central Galactic plane in regions of heavy extinction. This trend corroborates previous suggestions (De et al. 2021;Kawash et al. 2022) that infrared searches are substantially more sensitive to the (most frequent) nova eruptions near the Galactic plane, even though these events have been historically overlooked in optical surveys. ...
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