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1. Projected ten-year growth in the 65 and older age group

1. Projected ten-year growth in the 65 and older age group

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Technical Report
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Australia’s remote population is forecast to grow only marginally in a decade. Yet chronic illness will rise dramatically, with the burden of mental illness forecast to increase by a fifth, if action is not taken to halt current trends. Health service access in rural regions is also forecast to lag behind metropolitan areas, according to Royal Fly...

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... Indigenous peoples, while comprising only 3.2 % of the total population, account for nearly half of the population in very remote areas (major cities 1.8 %; remote 15.3 %; very remote 40.6 %) (Australian Bureau of Statistics, 2021b). Located in Australia's North, Queensland has the second-highest Indigenous population, with the leading non-Indigenous ancestry being English, Irish, Scottish, and Chinese (Gardiner et al., 2018). ...
... This study includes data for vaccines given to remote and very remote Australian residents, as defined by the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS) (13). Remote and very remote Australia has low population concentrations distributed over vast distances with limited or no service provision, including healthcare, for hundreds of kilometers (14,15). ...
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Background The Royal Flying Doctor Service of Australia (RFDS) established a unique SARS-CoV-2 vaccination program for vaccinating Australians that live in rural and remote areas. This paper describes the preparation and response phases of the RFDS response. Methods This study includes vaccinations conducted by the RFDS from 01 January 2021 until 31 December 2021 when vaccines were mandatory for work and social activities. Prior to each clinic, we conducted community consultation to determine site requirements, patient characteristics, expected vaccination numbers, and community transmission rates. Findings Ninety-five organizations requested support. The majority (n = 60; 63.2%) came from Aboriginal Community Controlled Health Organizations. Following consultation, 360 communities were approved for support. Actual vaccinations exceeded expectations (n = 70,827 vs. 49,407), with a concordance correlation coefficient of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83, 0.93). Areas that reported healthcare workforce shortages during the preparation phase had the highest population proportion difference between expected and actual vaccinations. Areas that reported high vaccine hesitancy during the preparation phase had fewer than expected vaccines. There was a noticeable increase in vaccination rates in line with community outbreaks and positive polymerase chain reaction cases [r (41) = 0.35, p = 0.021]. Engagement with community leaders prior to clinic deployment was essential to provide a tailored response based on community expectations.
... Health professionals who work in remote communities understand the barriers to provision of health services, but limited • failure of health services to engage and codesign with consumers including young people [59,60] Access to effective health services. Accessing health services for remote-living families often means travelling long distances to reach health care, relying on the Royal Flying Doctors Service, or waiting for outreach health services to visit remote communities [61][62][63]. For instance, families must travel long distances to access allied health services for children in remote settings, notably paediatric speech pathologists [64,65]. ...
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... Routine screening for dementia is limited, despite known benefit of early detection and intervention on quality of care and patient outcomes, this again particularly evident in regional and rural communities [4]. Dementia healthcare services have become increasingly managed by specialist services, with the World Alzheimer Report 2016 calling for primary and community care services to play a more prominent role in diagnosis and management [5]. ...
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... and respiratory disease. 27 A potential contributor to the higher relative rates of retrievals for cardiovascular disease could be associated with limitations in these population groups able to access telehealth services, as traditional face-to-face services during the lockdown period were limited. As many remote Australian communities have limited access to COVID-19 testing and management facilities, coupled with higher chronic disease risk factors, it is likely that during mass infection many of these patients will require air ambulance transfer to inner-regional and major city hospitals. ...
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Background Little is known on the trends of aeromedical retrieval during social isolation. Objectives To compare the pre, lockdown, and post‐lockdown aeromedical retrieval (AR) patient characteristics during a period of Coronavirus 2019 (COVID‐19) social isolation. Methods An observational study with retrospective data collection, consisting of AR between 26 January and 23 June 2020. Results There were 16981 ARs consisting of 1983 (11.7%) primary evacuations (PEs) and 14998 (88.3%) inter‐hospital transfers (IHTs), with a population median age of 52 years (interquartile range [IQR] 29.0–69.0), with 49.0% (n= 8283) of the cohort being male and 38.0% (n= 6399) being female. There were six confirmed and 230 suspected cases of COVID‐19, with the majority of cases (n=134; 58.3%) in the social isolation period. As compared to pre‐restriction, the odds of retrieval for the restriction and post‐restriction period differed across time between the major diagnostic groups. This included, an increase in cardiovascular retrieval for both restriction and post‐restriction periods (OR 1.12 95% CI 1.02‐1.24 and OR 1.18 95% CI 1.08‐1.30 respectively), increases in neoplasm in the post restriction period (OR 1.31 95% CI 1.04‐1.64), and increases for congenital conditions in the restriction period (OR 2.56 95% CI 1.39‐4.71). Cardiovascular and congenital conditions had increased rates of priority 1 patients in the restriction and post restriction periods. There was a decrease in endocrine and metabolic disease retrievals in the restriction period (OR 0.72 95% CI 0.53‐0.98). There were lower odds during the post‐restriction period for a retrievals of the respiratory system (OR 0.78 95% CI 0.67‐0.93), and disease of the skin (OR 0.78 95% CI 0.6‐1.0). Distribution between the 2019 and 2020 time periods differed (p<0.05), with the lockdown period resulting in a significant reduction in activity. Conclusion The lockdown period resulted in increased AR rates of circulatory and congenital conditions. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.
... Additional, and unprecedented, stresses caused by the COVID-19 pandemic will lead to anxiety, burnout, depression, and increased sick and personal leave within our clinical workforce. 21 These health care providers are already in short supply in rural and remote Australia 14 ; as such, we need clinical and general population policy and practice interventions aimed at supporting these clinicians and the public they service. However, the best way to support mental health during pandemics such as COVID-19 remains unclear. ...
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The aims of this article are to comment on pre–coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mental health activity in rural and remote Australia, including related air medical retrievals; to discuss how the current pandemic is likely to impact on this vulnerable population's mental health; and to provide potential solutions. The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in significant air medical activity from rural and remote Australia. COVID-19 and the necessary public health and socioeconomic interventions are likely to significantly compound mental health problems for both the general public and the mental health workforce servicing rural and remote communities. However, the COVID-19 crisis provides a window of opportunity to develop, support, and build novel and sustainable solutions to the chronic mental health service vulnerabilities in rural and remote areas in Australia and other countries.
... Within rural and remote Australia, the rates of specialist doctor provision (including gastroenterologists) is 27 per 100 000 population, well below suggested benchmarks of 100 per 100 000 population. 2 The Royal Flying Doctor Service (RFDS) conducts extensive aeromedical retrievals for patients in rural and remote areas. However, it is unclear how many RFDS patients receive an aeromedical retrieval for GI conditions. ...
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The Royal Flying Doctor Service (RFDS) provides medical care to populations without access to traditional health-care services. From 2014 to 2018 the RFDS conducted 6007 (≈1201/year) aeromedical retrievals for gastrointestinal (GI) disorders. More detailed research is needed to determine specific GI disorders that contributed to this caseload, and in particular inform whether the establishment of a GI specialist service is justified.
... For example, when Central Operations (CO), which provides services to South Australia and the Northern Territory, has 6 operational aircraft, it is able to meet demand 87.5% of the time at benchmark. However, if COVID-19 cases were to increase by n=8 priority 1 and n=4 priority 2 patients per day, Central Operations would need to increase its serviceable aircraft to [8][9][10][11][12][13][14][15] to meet demand. This is consistent throughout the RFDS Sections and Operations, with results detailed in Figure 3. Figure 4 indicates that under most scenarios, priority 1 patient demand is met under 6 hours, however at the expense of priority 2-3 (as these are prioritised after priority 1 patients). ...
... Rural and remote areas (especially remote areas) have significant workforce shortages. 12 This includes limitations in recruiting and retaining general practitioners, nurses, and allied health professionals. 12 During this pandemic we have had volunteer pilots offer their services. ...
... 12 This includes limitations in recruiting and retaining general practitioners, nurses, and allied health professionals. 12 During this pandemic we have had volunteer pilots offer their services. ...
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Introduction There is a COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to describe the characteristics of patients transported by the Royal Flying Doctor Service (RFDS) for confirmed or suspected Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), and to investigate surge capacity of, and operational implications for, the RFDS in dealing with COVID-19. Methods Prospective cohort study. To determine the characteristics of patients transported for confirmed or suspected COVID-19, we included patient data from 02 February 2020 to 06 May 2020. To investigate surge capacity and operational implications for RFDS in dealing with COVID-19, we built, and validated, an interactive operations area level discrete-event simulation decision support model, underpinned by RFDS aeromedical activity data from 2015 to 2019 (4-years). This model was subsequently used in a factorial in silico experiment to systematically investigate both the supply of RFDS aeromedical services and the increased rates of demand for these services, for diseases of the respiratory system. Results The RFDS conducted 291 patient episodes of care for confirmed or suspected COVID-19. This included 288 separate patients, including 136 males and 119 females (gender missing=33), with a median age of 62.0 years (IQR=43.5-74.9). The simulation decision support model we developed is capable of providing dynamic and real-time support for RFDS decision-makers in understanding the system's performance under uncertain COVID-19 demand. With increased COVID-19 related demand, the ability of the RFDS to cope will be driven by the number of aircraft available. The simulation model provided each aviation section with estimated numbers of aircraft required to meet a range of anticipated demands. Conclusion Despite the lack of certainty in the actual level of COVID-19 related demand for RFDS services, modelling demonstrates that robustness of meeting such demand increases with the number of operational and medically staffed aircraft.