Precipitation and annual mean flow in Dujiangyan from 1959 to 2008. 

Precipitation and annual mean flow in Dujiangyan from 1959 to 2008. 

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Land use changes alter the hydrological characteristics of the land surface, and have significant impacts on hydrological cycle and water balance, the analysis of complex effects on natural systems has become one of the main concerns. In this study, we generated the land use conversion matrixes using ArcGIS and selected several landscape indexes (c...

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... hydrological and meteorological data in Dujiangyan Sta- tion were used in this study to analyze annual trend of pre- cipitation and runoff during 1959-2008. The results were shown in Fig. 2. The precipitation was overall decreased by 1.9 mm per year; meanwhile, the annual mean flow was also showed a decreasing trend, with average decreasing speed of 1.5 m 3 s −1 per year, and the annual runoff volume de- creased at a rate of 47.5 × 10 6 m 3 per year. The changes in precipitation and runoff were nearly synchronous, because precipitation is the main factor to constitute runoff. There- fore, based on the precipitation and runoff data from 1959 to 2008, we established statistical equations (Table 4) for pre- cipitation and runoff during the period 1959-2008, 19851995 and 1996-2008 through regression analysis, respec- tively. These equations represent the relationship between rainfall and runoff under different land use impacts. The R 2 of regression equation at each period were larger than 0.6, indicating the close relationship between runoff and Table 4. Statistical regression analysis and statistical models for runoff and precipitation in different ...

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