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Geographic distribution of ID prevalence relative to the birth cohort n=11,034 and ID n=916: Unadjusted (A) and fully adjusted models (B) are presented using the optimal span size of each (0.10 and 0.30 respectively). The unadjusted model is significantly different than flat (global P<0.001). Areas of significantly increased and decreased risk are indicated by black contour bands. Adjusted model is not significantly different than flat (global P=0.065). Adjustment factors were year of birth; plurality; maternal age, race, and level of education; and report of tobacco use during pregnancy.

Geographic distribution of ID prevalence relative to the birth cohort n=11,034 and ID n=916: Unadjusted (A) and fully adjusted models (B) are presented using the optimal span size of each (0.10 and 0.30 respectively). The unadjusted model is significantly different than flat (global P<0.001). Areas of significantly increased and decreased risk are indicated by black contour bands. Adjusted model is not significantly different than flat (global P=0.065). Adjustment factors were year of birth; plurality; maternal age, race, and level of education; and report of tobacco use during pregnancy.

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Background The causes of autism spectrum disorders (ASD) remain largely unknown and widely debated; however, evidence increasingly points to the importance of environmental exposures. A growing number of studies use geographic variability in ASD prevalence or exposure patterns to investigate the association between environmental factors and ASD. Ho...

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... The relationships we observe with qualification level and IMD suggest that area level education and SEP may amplify genetic influences on these neurodevelopmental traits. This fits with previous phenotypic literature suggesting their prevalence is correlated with SEP (13,48,49). Qualification level tends to be higher in less deprived areas, so the fact we observe opposite correlations for these with the PRS association maps fits with this relationship. ...
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... Research on spatial distribution of ASD has been sparse, especially at the state or country level, for which the current literature mainly includes total population studies examining time trends of ASD prevalence [5e10]. Studies exploring spatial patterns of ASD detected clusters of heightened risk in certain areas in California [11e13], North Carolina [14,15], and Utah [16]. Those studies implemented advanced spatial analyses, but the generalizability of their results may be limited to the areas surveyed only. ...
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... Investigating geographic patterns of ASD prevalence may help identify diagnostic and environmental factors associated with prevalence. A growing number of spatially based analyses have used geographic variation in ASD to generate hypotheses about drivers of prevalence at local and state levels (4,(18)(19)(20)(21)(22). For example, Mazumdar et al. (4) reported that living in areas of California with greater diagnostic resources increased a child's odds of being diagnosed with ASD. ...
... Instead, we identify regions of increased or decreased risk. Previous research has shown that smaller-scale variation is likely (4,19). For example, we previously reported geographic variation in surveillancerecognized ASD in North Carolina (19) and Mazumdar et al. (4) reported neighborhood-specific variation in ASD risk. ...
... Previous research has shown that smaller-scale variation is likely (4,19). For example, we previously reported geographic variation in surveillancerecognized ASD in North Carolina (19) and Mazumdar et al. (4) reported neighborhood-specific variation in ASD risk. These spatial analyses have some potential limitations. ...
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... Por exemplo, os endereços residenciais das pessoas que compareceram aos hospitais brasileiros muitas das vezes são incompletos. Essa é uma informação importante nos estudos epidemiológicos com enfoque espacial (Hoffman et al., 2012;Su, Jerrett, and Beckerman, 2009). E quando algum endereço apresenta uma melhor precisão, o problema passa a ser para a integração em um banco de dados geográfico. ...
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... Previous studies have investigated associations between higher socioeconomic status (SES) characteristics and increased ASD diagnosis or prevalence and have consistently described differences across ethnic and socioeconomic groups with prevalence being lower in groups with lower income and education (Bhasin and Schendel, 2007;Croen et al., 2002;Durkin et al., 2010;Fountain et al., 2011;Hertz-Picciotto et al., 2010;King and Bearman, 2011;Liptak et al., 2008;Rahbar et al., 2013;Rosenberg et al., 2009;Sasanfar et al., 2010;Windham et al., 2011). This positive association has also been observed in cumulative incidence (Van Meter et al., 2010) and with geographic clustering (Bakian et al., 2014;Hoffman et al., 2012;Mazumdar et al., 2010;Yeargin-Allsopp et al., 2003). Studies have also shown lower ASD prevalence among traditionally underserved populations including Blacks and Hispanics (Windham et al., 2011;Yeargin-Allsopp et al., 2003). ...
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... In the U.S., children with autism spectrum disorder (ASD) have been found to live in spatial clusters (Mazumdar et al., 2010;Hoffman et al., 2012). From a public health perspective, these clusters mean that children in certain neighbourhoods-often overrepresented by Latinos, African Americans, and low socioeconomic status (SES) families (Durkin et al., 2010)-are less likely than others to receive important services that can improve life outcomes (Liptak et al., 2008). ...
... Theories about the causes of the ASD clustering are diverse. For example, sociologists have found strong positive correlations between the diagnosis and both SES and parental education (Van Meter et al., 2010;Hoffman et al., 2012), and others have found anecdotal evidence of a social network effect on the diagnosis . In California, ASD prevalence in low SES neighbourhoods nearly caught up to the rate in high SES neighbourhoods, and this happened as information about ASD was becoming widespread (King and Bearman, 2011). ...
... Changes in the model-selected optimal span of analysis with and without adjustment were observed and investigated, because a smaller optimal span size is selected when data presents more peaks. A change in optimal size after the inclusion of a covariate can indicate spatial confounding (Hoffman et al., 2012). Also, for both of the approaches, we stratified by sex and fit separate models for women and men as women were significantly older than men. ...
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Introduction The study investigated the geographic variation of mortality risk for hematological malignancies (HMs) in order to identify potential high-risk areas near an Italian petrochemical refinery. Material and methods A population-based case-control study was conducted and residential histories for 171 cases and 338 sex- and age-matched controls were collected. Confounding factors were obtained from interviews with consenting relatives for 109 HM deaths and 267 controls. To produce risk mortality maps, two different approaches were applied. We mapped (1) adptive kernel density relative risk estimation (KDE) for case-control studies which estimates a spatial relative risk function using the ratio between cases and controls’ densities, and (2) estimated odds ratios for case-control study data using generalized additive models (GAMs) to smooth the effect of location, a proxy for exposure, while adjusting for confounding variables. Results No high-risk areas for HM mortality were identified among all subjects (men and women combined), by applying both approaches. Using the adaptive KDE approach, we found a significant increase in death risk only among women in a large area 2–6 km southeast of the refinery and the application of GAMs also identified a similarly-located significant high-risk area among women only (global p-value<0.025). Potential confounding risk factors we considered in the GAM did not alter the results. Conclusion Both approaches identified a high-risk area close to the refinery among women only. Those spatial methods are useful tools for public policy management to determine priority areas for intervention. Our findings suggest several directions for further research in order to identify other potential environmental exposures that may be assessed in forthcoming studies based on detailed exposure modeling. Keywords: Hematological malignancies, Disease mapping, Generalized Additive Models (GAMs), Kernel density estimation
... According to the same CDC report, Caucasian children are 30% more likely to be diagnosed with autism than children of African descent (MMWR, 2012). This discrepancy has been attributed to varying diagnostic practices in different socioeconomic settings and not to race or ethnicity (Durkin et al., 2010;Hoffman et al., 2012;Pedersen et al., 2012;Zuckerman et al., 2013). It seems likely that the same socioeconomic factors biasing the diagnosis of autism may also affect which patients utilize assisted reproductive technologies (ART) (Bitler and Schmidt, 2006;Jain, 2006;Chandra and Stephen, 2010;Duwe et al., 2010). ...
... According to the same CDC report, Caucasian children are 30% more likely to be diagnosed with autism than children of African descent (MMWR, 2012). This discrepancy has been attributed to varying diagnostic practices in different socioeconomic settings and not to race or ethnicity (Durkin et al., 2010;Hoffman et al., 2012;Pedersen et al., 2012;Zuckerman et al., 2013). It seems likely that the same socioeconomic factors biasing the diagnosis of autism may also affect which patients utilize assisted reproductive technologies (ART) (Bitler and Schmidt, 2006;Jain, 2006;Chandra and Stephen, 2010;Duwe et al., 2010). ...