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Examples of top-selling biaryl products ( 31 , 32 ). Worldwide sales: Diovan, US$3.1 billion (2004); Micardis, US$704 million (2004); Boscalid, EUR 150 million (projected). 

Examples of top-selling biaryl products ( 31 , 32 ). Worldwide sales: Diovan, US$3.1 billion (2004); Micardis, US$704 million (2004); Boscalid, EUR 150 million (projected). 

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We report the detection of an earthquake by a space-based measurement. The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites observed a ±15-microgalileo gravity change induced by the great December 2004 Sumatra-Andaman earthquake. Coseismic deformation produces sudden changes in the gravity field by vertical displacement of Earth's layered...

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... 2. Gravity changes (in m Gal) after the Sumatra- Andaman earthquake, computed from averaging and filtering the two gravity changes between two different time periods (Fig. 1, E and F).  ...
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... : 03 0 : 01 6 The spatial distributions of aerosol over the oceans and their absorption properties are highly heterogeneous. Consequently, the estimated average impact is uncertain and should be viewed as a first approximation. The clouds sampled by the AERONET procedure do not include extended cloud systems that are sensitive to aerosol effect. The analysis applies to urban industrial pollution and aerosol produced by biomass burning rather than land-use–generated dust. The relationship between cloud cover and aerosol given by Eq. 5 can serve as a constraint on models of the aerosol and cloud interaction, independently of the cause-and-effect relationship. The robustness of the effect of aerosols on clouds, presented here, makes it more likely that most of the observed changes in the cloud cover are due to the aerosol impact. The large effect of elevated aerosol concentration on cloud cover, an increase of 0.03 (5%) in average cloud cover (Eq. 6), can have a profound effect on the hydrological cycle and climate. he devastating 26 December 2004 Sumatra- T Andaman moment magnitude undersea earthquake, ( M ) between with 9.1 a w and 9.3, ruptured more than 1000 km of a locked subduction interface near northern Sumatra, Nicobar, and the Andaman islands ( 1 ). Measure- ments from global seismic network and Global Positioning System (GPS) stations have been used to infer the coseismic slip history of this event ( 1–4 ). The earthquake permanently changed the mass distribution within Earth and has conse- quently perturbed the motion of Earth-orbiting satellites by an amount that is measurable from the ranging instrument onboard the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites ( 5 ). GRACE consists of two identical satellites co- orbiting at low altitude ( È 450 km), separated by 220 km and linked with the K-band micro- wave ranging (KBR) satellite-to-satellite tracking (SST) system ( 6 ). Minute changes in the distance between the GRACE satellites (measured by KBR) reflect mass anomalies within the Earth system and manifest as changes in Earth _ s gravity field ( 5 ). Some of the better known time-variable gravity signals observed by the GRACE satellites, including tides (of the solid earth, ocean, atmo- sphere, and pole) and atmospheric and ocean barotropic mass variations, have been removed from GRACE observations using a priori models ( 5–7 ). Although the solid-earth mass transport induced by earthquakes is abrupt and permanent, climate-related signals such as hydrological ( 8–10 ) and ocean mass fluxes ( 11 ) are periodic, with primarily seasonal and possibly interannual or longer time scales. In order to eliminate signals other than those associated with the earthquake, we took differences of the gravity solutions (from the same months in various years), using measurements obtained before and after the earthquake. By doing so, we suppressed the normally dominant gravity variations driven by seasonal changes. By using multiple months of data, we can further enhance the tectonic signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) in the GRACE gravity solutions. Our method is based on the direct use of KBR SST data to measure the range changes between the centers of mass of the GRACE satellites and accelerometer and attitude data to measure and remove the effect of nongravita- tional forces acting on the satellites. We used the energy conservation principle and regional gravity field inversion to enhance the spatial and temporal resolutions ( 12 , 13 ). The technique has been demonstrated by successful analysis of various geophysical phenomena, including hydrological variations in the Amazon ( 10 ) and ocean tides underneath the Antarctica ice shelves ( 14 ), with improved spatial (500 km) and temporal (5 days) resolutions. The data for the first 6 months of the years 2003, 2004, and 2005 were used, except for January and June 2003 and the last half of January 2004, during which there are no available data. The gravity changes in each year were computed using data from the available months (that is, February to May 2003 and January to June 2004 and 2005) with respect to a reference gravity model GGM01C ( 6 ) (Fig. 1, A to C). We find that (Fig. 1) (i) the gravity anomalies appearing along the coastal area of the Bay of Bengal and the east of Thailand exist in all years; (ii) the negative gravity anomalies are observed to be getting larger near the south of the Mekong River, Cambodia/Vietnam, every year; and (iii) the gravity anomalies appear north of the Sumatra Islands and Andaman Sea with a 30- m Gal peak-to-peak variation only in 2005. The gravity variation in 2004 with re- spect to 2003 (Fig. 1D) is insignificant, whereas the variation in 2005 with respect to 2003 or 2004 shows strong negatives in the Andaman Sea and positives along the west of the Sumatra, Nicobar, and Andaman Islands (Fig. 1, E and F), indicating the occurrence of a strong earthquake during 2004. The other dominant anomaly found south of the Mekong River implicates hydrolog- ic variations. The anomalies in all differenced pairs are negative, and the magnitude is larger in the 2-year differenced pair of 2005 and 2003 than in the 1-year differenced pairs (2005 and 2004 or 2004 and 2003). This implies negative interannual variation or mass decreasing every year, which could result from the droughts oc- curring during the same time period in southeast- ern Asia. To retain only the anomalies relevant to the earthquake, we filtered the average of two pairs, 2005/2003 and 2005/2004 (Fig. 2). The gravity anomalies outside a spherical cap cen- tered at the earthquake epicenter (3.5 - N, 96 - E), with a spherical radius of 7 - , were further filtered by downweighing the anomalies with a factor of inverse square of distance away from the edges of the spherical cap. We analyzed the GRACE gravity observations using a seismically derived dislocation model for the Sumatra-Andaman (26 December 2004) and the Nias (28 March 2005) earthquakes ( 15 ). The geometry (size, orientation, and location) of the fault planes is assumed to be known. Assuming an elastic half-space ( 16 , 17 ), the fault slip data were used to model the uplift and subsidence at the sea floor and at the Moho ( 18 ), where large density contrasts exist. The computed topography changes for both levels were used to predict the gravity changes at sea level (Fig. 3, A to C) E see the supporting online material (SOM) for the formalism of computing gravity changes due to vertical displacement at sea level . We then applied Gaussian smoothing to the computed gravity from the model ( 15 ), with averaging radii of 300 km in longitude and 200 km in latitude ( 19 ), to be commensurate with the spatial resolution of the GRACE observations. The larger positive gravity change (Fig. 3A) is due to the dominant up-warping of the hanging wall and the density contrast at the sea floor, which is three to four times larger than that at the Moho. The negative gravity change is due to the (smaller) down-warping of the hanging wall (Fig. 3A) and subsidence of the foot wall at the Moho (Fig. 3B). The resulting largely positive gravity change due to vertical displacement (Fig. 3C) cannot fully explain the negative components also seen in the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). There must be another mechanism causing the large negative signals in the GRACE observation. We considered the internal mass redistribution (density change caused by dilatation of a compressible Earth) due to the earthquake. With the strains computed using the seismic model, we calculated the density changes by multiplying the sum of the normal strains (that is, the divergence of the displacement field) by the density at the corresponding depth. Assuming that there are two distinct densities for the crust and the mantle (fig. S1), the respective gravity changes due to density changes in the crust and the mantle were calculated separately (SOM). The negative gravity change in the crust (Fig. 3D) is primarily due to the expansion caused by horizontal (mostly in the east-west direction) and vertical motions of the sea floor. The gravity change caused by the compression in the mantle (Fig. 3E) is due to down-warping of the subsurface. The total gravity effect of the density change (Fig. 3F) shows negatives around the faults and smaller positives over the surrounding regions and variations along the strike. The combined effects of uplift and subsidence and dilatation and compression from the seismically driven model (Fig. 4) yield excellent agreement (a correlation coefficient of 0.85) with the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). In addition to our regional inversion of the overflight GRACE tracking data (Figs. 1 and 2), we also processed monthly mean GRACE gravity estimates expressed in terms of spherical harmonic (SH) coefficients ( 5 ). The global SH spectra are, however, less effective for modeling the regional gravity signals (such as earthquakes) because the spatially limited signals spread across the entire SH spectra ( 10 ). The GRACE SH coefficients have a good SNR limited only to low degree coefficients (that is, a long-wavelength spatial scale larger than 1300 km). ...
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... anomalies appear north of the Sumatra Islands and Andaman Sea with a 30- m Gal peak-to-peak variation only in 2005. The gravity variation in 2004 with re- spect to 2003 (Fig. 1D) is insignificant, whereas the variation in 2005 with respect to 2003 or 2004 shows strong negatives in the Andaman Sea and positives along the west of the Sumatra, Nicobar, and Andaman Islands (Fig. 1, E and F), indicating the occurrence of a strong earthquake during 2004. The other dominant anomaly found south of the Mekong River implicates hydrolog- ic variations. The anomalies in all differenced pairs are negative, and the magnitude is larger in the 2-year differenced pair of 2005 and 2003 than in the 1-year differenced pairs (2005 and 2004 or 2004 and 2003). This implies negative interannual variation or mass decreasing every year, which could result from the droughts oc- curring during the same time period in southeast- ern Asia. To retain only the anomalies relevant to the earthquake, we filtered the average of two pairs, 2005/2003 and 2005/2004 (Fig. 2). The gravity anomalies outside a spherical cap cen- tered at the earthquake epicenter (3.5 - N, 96 - E), with a spherical radius of 7 - , were further filtered by downweighing the anomalies with a factor of inverse square of distance away from the edges of the spherical cap. We analyzed the GRACE gravity observations using a seismically derived dislocation model for the Sumatra-Andaman (26 December 2004) and the Nias (28 March 2005) earthquakes ( 15 ). The geometry (size, orientation, and location) of the fault planes is assumed to be known. Assuming an elastic half-space ( 16 , 17 ), the fault slip data were used to model the uplift and subsidence at the sea floor and at the Moho ( 18 ), where large density contrasts exist. The computed topography changes for both levels were used to predict the gravity changes at sea level (Fig. 3, A to C) E see the supporting online material (SOM) for the formalism of computing gravity changes due to vertical displacement at sea level . We then applied Gaussian smoothing to the computed gravity from the model ( 15 ), with averaging radii of 300 km in longitude and 200 km in latitude ( 19 ), to be commensurate with the spatial resolution of the GRACE observations. The larger positive gravity change (Fig. 3A) is due to the dominant up-warping of the hanging wall and the density contrast at the sea floor, which is three to four times larger than that at the Moho. The negative gravity change is due to the (smaller) down-warping of the hanging wall (Fig. 3A) and subsidence of the foot wall at the Moho (Fig. 3B). The resulting largely positive gravity change due to vertical displacement (Fig. 3C) cannot fully explain the negative components also seen in the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). There must be another mechanism causing the large negative signals in the GRACE observation. We considered the internal mass redistribution (density change caused by dilatation of a compressible Earth) due to the earthquake. With the strains computed using the seismic model, we calculated the density changes by multiplying the sum of the normal strains (that is, the divergence of the displacement field) by the density at the corresponding depth. Assuming that there are two distinct densities for the crust and the mantle (fig. S1), the respective gravity changes due to density changes in the crust and the mantle were calculated separately (SOM). The negative gravity change in the crust (Fig. 3D) is primarily due to the expansion caused by horizontal (mostly in the east-west direction) and vertical motions of the sea floor. The gravity change caused by the compression in the mantle (Fig. 3E) is due to down-warping of the subsurface. The total gravity effect of the density change (Fig. 3F) shows negatives around the faults and smaller positives over the surrounding regions and variations along the strike. The combined effects of uplift and subsidence and dilatation and compression from the seismically driven model (Fig. 4) yield excellent agreement (a correlation coefficient of 0.85) with the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). In addition to our regional inversion of the overflight GRACE tracking data (Figs. 1 and 2), we also processed monthly mean GRACE gravity estimates expressed in terms of spherical harmonic (SH) coefficients ( 5 ). The global SH spectra are, however, less effective for modeling the regional gravity signals (such as earthquakes) because the spatially limited signals spread across the entire SH spectra ( 10 ). The GRACE SH coefficients have a good SNR limited only to low degree coefficients (that is, a long-wavelength spatial scale larger than 1300 km). Therefore, we applied Gaussian smoothing with an averaging radius of 800 km to reduce errors in higher degree coefficients ( 5 ). The months from February to May in 2003, 2004, and 2005 were used because they are available in common. We computed 4-month mean differences in various years, similar to Fig. 1. One, 2004–2003, (fig. S2A) shows nothing notable except the negative gravity change over the Mekong River; however, the pairs 2005–2003 (fig. S2B) and 2005– 2004 (fig. S2C) show significant negative anomalies around the Malay Peninsula, Thailand. The magnitude of the anomaly is larger for the 2-year differenced pair (fig. S2B), and the location of the peak in 2005–2003 (fig. S2B) is moved toward the east from the north of the Sumatra Islands, when compared to the predic- tion (fig. S2F). The mislocation of the peak signal is explained by the combined effects of the earthquake and hydrology in the Mekong river due to the smoothing of GRACE global spectra. At this low spatial resolution, we cannot isolate the earthquake anomalies from other signals. However, the gravity effects of vertical displacement (fig. S2D) and density change (fig. S2E) predicted by the seismic model still agree with the GRACE SH observations when combined and smoothed to the commensurate spatial resolution (fig. S2F). The 1-year difference pair (fig. S2C) was less affected by the Mekong hydrology and was in better agreement with the predicted gravity change from the seismic model (fig. S2F), in terms of strength and location of the peak. Finally, we quantified the signal spectra sensitive to GRACE observations by analyzing the power spectral density (PSD) of predicted gravity changes from the seismic model ( 15 ). The PSD of the gravity changes due to uplift and subsidence from the model without smoothing (Fig. 5A) indicates that the dominant power is focused on spherical degree 40 in latitude and 100 in longitude ( 20 ). Higher degree components are found in longitude because the uplift and subsidence have a north-south elongated feature with variation of sign along longitude (fig. S3C). The power spectra of gravity changes induced by dilatation from the seismic model without smoothing (Fig. 5B) indicate that most powers are at the low degrees. Unlike the uplift and subsidence, higher degree components are found in latitude because the dilatation has an east-west elongated feature with variation of sign along latitude (fig. S3F). Because of the poor SNR in the higher degrees ( 21 , 22 ), GRACE is expected to provide reliable estimates that are limited to low degree components for uplift and subsidence (Fig. 5C) and for dilatation (Fig. 5D). Most of signals are within less than 40 to 50 degrees (on a spatial scale or resolution larger than 400 to 500 km). Although GRACE would miss the main power of the uplift and subsidence (out of the re- coverable degrees), it successfully captures the main power of dilatation (within the recover- able degrees). According to the ratio between the total power of uplift and subsidence commensurate with GRACE resolution and the predicted power from the seismic model (table S1), it is found that GRACE retains only 2% of the power of uplift and subsidence signals. However, GRACE retains almost half of the power of dilatation signals. The seismic model predicts that the power of uplift and subsidence is 20 to 30 times larger than that of dilatation; however, for the band-limited GRACE observations, they are almost equal in magnitude. GRACE _ s sensitivity to low degree spectra only does not allow observations of a major portion of the coseismic uplift and subsidence, but the coseismic dilatation is well observed. Like other shallow subduction earthquakes, the Sumatra-Andaman undersea earthquake has produced sparse geodetic measurements except for distant GPS measurements at surrounding islands. GRACE has mapped the coseismic mass redistribution directly above the faults with a resolution of approximately 400 to 500 km. Comparison with an independent seismic model and consideration of the fault mechanism with the geometry of subduction along the trench consistently indicate that the stronger negative gravity anomaly in the east of the Java trench observed by GRACE is due to substantial expansion of the seafloor crust. This unusual sensitivity to the coseismic dilatation suggests that GRACE can provide a new class of observa- tional constraints on geophysical models of great subduction-zone earthquakes. he biaryl substructure is a widely oc- T curring and functional component molecules of biologically ( 1–4 ). Its active im- portance is reflected in the immense economic value of pharmaceuticals including Valsartan ( 5 , 6 ) and Telmisartan ( 7 , 8 ), agrochemicals such as Boscalid ( 9 ), and liquid crystals for LCD screens ( 10 ) (Fig. 1). Over the past several decades, the mild and selective Suzuki coupling of nucleophilic arylbo- ronic acids with aryl halides ( 11–14 ) has almost completely replaced classical methods of biaryl synthesis ( 15–18 ) and has become the method of choice for laboratory and industrial applications ( 19 ). More than 4000 publications ( 20 ) attest to the tremendous interest in improving this transformation. However, the Suzuki reaction still suffers from a ...
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... the entire SH spectra ( 10 ). The GRACE SH coefficients have a good SNR limited only to low degree coefficients (that is, a long-wavelength spatial scale larger than 1300 km). Therefore, we applied Gaussian smoothing with an averaging radius of 800 km to reduce errors in higher degree coefficients ( 5 ). The months from February to May in 2003, 2004, and 2005 were used because they are available in common. We computed 4-month mean differences in various years, similar to Fig. 1. One, 2004–2003, (fig. S2A) shows nothing notable except the negative gravity change over the Mekong River; however, the pairs 2005–2003 (fig. S2B) and 2005– 2004 (fig. S2C) show significant negative anomalies around the Malay Peninsula, Thailand. The magnitude of the anomaly is larger for the 2-year differenced pair (fig. S2B), and the location of the peak in 2005–2003 (fig. S2B) is moved toward the east from the north of the Sumatra Islands, when compared to the predic- tion (fig. S2F). The mislocation of the peak signal is explained by the combined effects of the earthquake and hydrology in the Mekong river due to the smoothing of GRACE global spectra. At this low spatial resolution, we cannot isolate the earthquake anomalies from other signals. However, the gravity effects of vertical displacement (fig. S2D) and density change (fig. S2E) predicted by the seismic model still agree with the GRACE SH observations when combined and smoothed to the commensurate spatial resolution (fig. S2F). The 1-year difference pair (fig. S2C) was less affected by the Mekong hydrology and was in better agreement with the predicted gravity change from the seismic model (fig. S2F), in terms of strength and location of the peak. Finally, we quantified the signal spectra sensitive to GRACE observations by analyzing the power spectral density (PSD) of predicted gravity changes from the seismic model ( 15 ). The PSD of the gravity changes due to uplift and subsidence from the model without smoothing (Fig. 5A) indicates that the dominant power is focused on spherical degree 40 in latitude and 100 in longitude ( 20 ). Higher degree components are found in longitude because the uplift and subsidence have a north-south elongated feature with variation of sign along longitude (fig. S3C). The power spectra of gravity changes induced by dilatation from the seismic model without smoothing (Fig. 5B) indicate that most powers are at the low degrees. Unlike the uplift and subsidence, higher degree components are found in latitude because the dilatation has an east-west elongated feature with variation of sign along latitude (fig. S3F). Because of the poor SNR in the higher degrees ( 21 , 22 ), GRACE is expected to provide reliable estimates that are limited to low degree components for uplift and subsidence (Fig. 5C) and for dilatation (Fig. 5D). Most of signals are within less than 40 to 50 degrees (on a spatial scale or resolution larger than 400 to 500 km). Although GRACE would miss the main power of the uplift and subsidence (out of the re- coverable degrees), it successfully captures the main power of dilatation (within the recover- able degrees). According to the ratio between the total power of uplift and subsidence commensurate with GRACE resolution and the predicted power from the seismic model (table S1), it is found that GRACE retains only 2% of the power of uplift and subsidence signals. However, GRACE retains almost half of the power of dilatation signals. The seismic model predicts that the power of uplift and subsidence is 20 to 30 times larger than that of dilatation; however, for the band-limited GRACE observations, they are almost equal in magnitude. GRACE _ s sensitivity to low degree spectra only does not allow observations of a major portion of the coseismic uplift and subsidence, but the coseismic dilatation is well observed. Like other shallow subduction earthquakes, the Sumatra-Andaman undersea earthquake has produced sparse geodetic measurements except for distant GPS measurements at surrounding islands. GRACE has mapped the coseismic mass redistribution directly above the faults with a resolution of approximately 400 to 500 km. Comparison with an independent seismic model and consideration of the fault mechanism with the geometry of subduction along the trench consistently indicate that the stronger negative gravity anomaly in the east of the Java trench observed by GRACE is due to substantial expansion of the seafloor crust. This unusual sensitivity to the coseismic dilatation suggests that GRACE can provide a new class of observa- tional constraints on geophysical models of great subduction-zone earthquakes. he biaryl substructure is a widely oc- T curring and functional component molecules of biologically ( 1–4 ). Its active im- portance is reflected in the immense economic value of pharmaceuticals including Valsartan ( 5 , 6 ) and Telmisartan ( 7 , 8 ), agrochemicals such as Boscalid ( 9 ), and liquid crystals for LCD screens ( 10 ) (Fig. 1). Over the past several decades, the mild and selective Suzuki coupling of nucleophilic arylbo- ronic acids with aryl halides ( 11–14 ) has almost completely replaced classical methods of biaryl synthesis ( 15–18 ) and has become the method of choice for laboratory and industrial applications ( 19 ). More than 4000 publications ( 20 ) attest to the tremendous interest in improving this transformation. However, the Suzuki reaction still suffers from a fundamental drawback common to almost all catalytic couplings between aryl nucleophiles and electrophiles: It requires the use of stoichi- ometric amounts of an expensive organometallic compound, in this case a boronic acid, which must generally be prepared from sensitive precursors under elaborate anaerobic conditions ( 16 ). Living organisms, which generally lack an air- and water-free environment, have long evolved to generate carbanion equivalents by straightforward enzymatic decarboxylation of ubiquitously available carboxylic acid derivatives, including as an example the heteroarenecarboxylic acid orotidine monophosphate (OMP, Fig. 2) ( 21–24 ). This biochemical transformation inspired us to adopt a loosely analogous approach for the chemical synthesis of biaryls, using carboxylate salts rather than organometallics as the source of carbon nucleophiles. However, whereas b -ketocarboxylic acids are capable of forming a six-membered cyclic transition state, lowering the activation barrier for decarboxylation ( 25 , 26 ), metal salts of aromatic carboxylates require extreme temper- atures to lose CO ( 27–29 ), and under the re- 2 ported conditions, the aryl-metal species are rapidly protonated by the surrounding medium to give the corresponding arenes. In mechanistic studies of such protodecarboxylation reactions, Nilsson proved the intermediacy of an aryl-copper species in the pyrolysis of copper 2-nitrobenzenecarboxylate (250 - C) by captur- ing it with excess iodobenzene and isolating 2-nitrobiphenyl along with nitrobenzene and several by-products ( 29 ). Because of the intrinsic limitations of related copper-mediated Ullmann-type couplings (insuf- ficient selectivity for the heterocoupling, stoichi- ometric use of copper), we saw little opportunity to turn this trapping experiment into a prepara- tively useful biaryl synthesis from arenecarboxylates. However, we envisioned that such a synthesis could be achieved with a bimetallic catalyst—a copper complex capable of mediating the strongly endothermic extrusion of carbon dioxide from arenecarboxylates, combined with a two-electron catalyst capable of catalyzing the cross-coupling with an aryl halide (Fig. 3). The copper derivative would thus initially coordinate to the carboxylate oxygen, then shift to the aryl p system and insert into the C–C(O) bond under extrusion of CO to form a stable aryl-copper 2 intermediate ( 28 ). The two-electron catalyst (e.g., Pd) could then cross-couple this species with an aryl electrophile to form the desired biaryl and the corresponding metal halide. To test our hypothesis and identify systems capable of mediating this highly desirable pro- cess, we chose as a model reaction the commercially important cross-coupling of 2-nitrobenzoic acid with 4-bromochlorobenzene to form the Boscalid intermediate 3a (Fig. 4). Selected results from our screening experiments are sum- marized in table ...
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... : 03 0 : 01 6 The spatial distributions of aerosol over the oceans and their absorption properties are highly heterogeneous. Consequently, the estimated average impact is uncertain and should be viewed as a first approximation. The clouds sampled by the AERONET procedure do not include extended cloud systems that are sensitive to aerosol effect. The analysis applies to urban industrial pollution and aerosol produced by biomass burning rather than land-use–generated dust. The relationship between cloud cover and aerosol given by Eq. 5 can serve as a constraint on models of the aerosol and cloud interaction, independently of the cause-and-effect relationship. The robustness of the effect of aerosols on clouds, presented here, makes it more likely that most of the observed changes in the cloud cover are due to the aerosol impact. The large effect of elevated aerosol concentration on cloud cover, an increase of 0.03 (5%) in average cloud cover (Eq. 6), can have a profound effect on the hydrological cycle and climate. he devastating 26 December 2004 Sumatra- T Andaman moment magnitude undersea earthquake, ( M ) between with 9.1 a w and 9.3, ruptured more than 1000 km of a locked subduction interface near northern Sumatra, Nicobar, and the Andaman islands ( 1 ). Measure- ments from global seismic network and Global Positioning System (GPS) stations have been used to infer the coseismic slip history of this event ( 1–4 ). The earthquake permanently changed the mass distribution within Earth and has conse- quently perturbed the motion of Earth-orbiting satellites by an amount that is measurable from the ranging instrument onboard the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites ( 5 ). GRACE consists of two identical satellites co- orbiting at low altitude ( È 450 km), separated by 220 km and linked with the K-band micro- wave ranging (KBR) satellite-to-satellite tracking (SST) system ( 6 ). Minute changes in the distance between the GRACE satellites (measured by KBR) reflect mass anomalies within the Earth system and manifest as changes in Earth _ s gravity field ( 5 ). Some of the better known time-variable gravity signals observed by the GRACE satellites, including tides (of the solid earth, ocean, atmo- sphere, and pole) and atmospheric and ocean barotropic mass variations, have been removed from GRACE observations using a priori models ( 5–7 ). Although the solid-earth mass transport induced by earthquakes is abrupt and permanent, climate-related signals such as hydrological ( 8–10 ) and ocean mass fluxes ( 11 ) are periodic, with primarily seasonal and possibly interannual or longer time scales. In order to eliminate signals other than those associated with the earthquake, we took differences of the gravity solutions (from the same months in various years), using measurements obtained before and after the earthquake. By doing so, we suppressed the normally dominant gravity variations driven by seasonal changes. By using multiple months of data, we can further enhance the tectonic signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) in the GRACE gravity solutions. Our method is based on the direct use of KBR SST data to measure the range changes between the centers of mass of the GRACE satellites and accelerometer and attitude data to measure and remove the effect of nongravita- tional forces acting on the satellites. We used the energy conservation principle and regional gravity field inversion to enhance the spatial and temporal resolutions ( 12 , 13 ). The technique has been demonstrated by successful analysis of various geophysical phenomena, including hydrological variations in the Amazon ( 10 ) and ocean tides underneath the Antarctica ice shelves ( 14 ), with improved spatial (500 km) and temporal (5 days) resolutions. The data for the first 6 months of the years 2003, 2004, and 2005 were used, except for January and June 2003 and the last half of January 2004, during which there are no available data. The gravity changes in each year were computed using data from the available months (that is, February to May 2003 and January to June 2004 and 2005) with respect to a reference gravity model GGM01C ( 6 ) (Fig. 1, A to C). We find that (Fig. 1) (i) the gravity anomalies appearing along the coastal area of the Bay of Bengal and the east of Thailand exist in all years; (ii) the negative gravity anomalies are observed to be getting larger near the south of the Mekong River, Cambodia/Vietnam, every year; and (iii) the gravity anomalies appear north of the Sumatra Islands and Andaman Sea with a 30- m Gal peak-to-peak variation only in 2005. The gravity variation in 2004 with re- spect to 2003 (Fig. 1D) is insignificant, whereas the variation in 2005 with respect to 2003 or 2004 shows strong negatives in the Andaman Sea and positives along the west of the Sumatra, Nicobar, and Andaman Islands (Fig. 1, E and F), indicating the occurrence of a strong earthquake during 2004. The other dominant anomaly found south of the Mekong River implicates hydrolog- ic variations. The anomalies in all differenced pairs are negative, and the magnitude is larger in the 2-year differenced pair of 2005 and 2003 than in the 1-year differenced pairs (2005 and 2004 or 2004 and 2003). This implies negative interannual variation or mass decreasing every year, which could result from the droughts oc- curring during the same time period in southeast- ern Asia. To retain only the anomalies relevant to the earthquake, we filtered the average of two pairs, 2005/2003 and 2005/2004 (Fig. 2). The gravity anomalies outside a spherical cap cen- tered at the earthquake epicenter (3.5 - N, 96 - E), with a spherical radius of 7 - , were further filtered by downweighing the anomalies with a factor of inverse square of distance away from the edges of the spherical cap. We analyzed the GRACE gravity observations using a seismically derived dislocation model for the Sumatra-Andaman (26 December 2004) and the Nias (28 March 2005) earthquakes ( 15 ). The geometry (size, orientation, and location) of the fault planes is assumed to be known. Assuming an elastic half-space ( 16 , 17 ), the fault slip data were used to model the uplift and subsidence at the sea floor and at the Moho ( 18 ), where large density contrasts exist. The computed topography changes for both levels were used to predict the gravity changes at sea level (Fig. 3, A to C) E see the supporting online material (SOM) for the formalism of computing gravity changes due to vertical displacement at sea level . We then applied Gaussian smoothing to the computed gravity from the model ( 15 ), with averaging radii of 300 km in longitude and 200 km in latitude ( 19 ), to be commensurate with the spatial resolution of the GRACE observations. The larger positive gravity change (Fig. 3A) is due to the dominant up-warping of the hanging wall and the density contrast at the sea floor, which is three to four times larger than that at the Moho. The negative gravity change is due to the (smaller) down-warping of the hanging wall (Fig. 3A) and subsidence of the foot wall at the Moho (Fig. 3B). The resulting largely positive gravity change due to vertical displacement (Fig. 3C) cannot fully explain the negative components also seen in the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). There must be another mechanism causing the large negative signals in the GRACE observation. We considered the internal mass redistribution (density change caused by dilatation of a compressible Earth) due to the earthquake. With the strains computed using the seismic model, we calculated the density changes by multiplying the sum of the normal strains (that is, the divergence of the displacement field) by the density at the corresponding depth. Assuming that there are two distinct densities for the crust and the mantle (fig. S1), the respective gravity changes due to density changes in the crust and the mantle were calculated separately (SOM). The negative gravity change in the crust (Fig. 3D) is primarily due to the expansion caused by horizontal (mostly in the east-west direction) and vertical motions of the sea floor. The gravity change caused by the compression in the mantle (Fig. 3E) is due to down-warping of the subsurface. The total gravity effect of the density change (Fig. 3F) shows negatives around the faults and smaller positives over the surrounding regions and variations along the strike. The combined effects of uplift and subsidence and dilatation and compression from the seismically driven model (Fig. 4) yield excellent agreement (a correlation coefficient of 0.85) with the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). In addition to our regional inversion of the overflight GRACE tracking data (Figs. 1 and 2), we also processed monthly mean GRACE gravity estimates expressed in terms of spherical harmonic (SH) coefficients ( 5 ). The global SH spectra are, however, less effective for modeling the regional gravity signals (such as earthquakes) because the spatially limited signals spread across the entire SH spectra ( 10 ). The GRACE SH coefficients have a good SNR limited only to low degree coefficients (that is, a long-wavelength spatial scale ...
Context 6
... : 03 0 : 01 6 The spatial distributions of aerosol over the oceans and their absorption properties are highly heterogeneous. Consequently, the estimated average impact is uncertain and should be viewed as a first approximation. The clouds sampled by the AERONET procedure do not include extended cloud systems that are sensitive to aerosol effect. The analysis applies to urban industrial pollution and aerosol produced by biomass burning rather than land-use–generated dust. The relationship between cloud cover and aerosol given by Eq. 5 can serve as a constraint on models of the aerosol and cloud interaction, independently of the cause-and-effect relationship. The robustness of the effect of aerosols on clouds, presented here, makes it more likely that most of the observed changes in the cloud cover are due to the aerosol impact. The large effect of elevated aerosol concentration on cloud cover, an increase of 0.03 (5%) in average cloud cover (Eq. 6), can have a profound effect on the hydrological cycle and climate. he devastating 26 December 2004 Sumatra- T Andaman moment magnitude undersea earthquake, ( M ) between with 9.1 a w and 9.3, ruptured more than 1000 km of a locked subduction interface near northern Sumatra, Nicobar, and the Andaman islands ( 1 ). Measure- ments from global seismic network and Global Positioning System (GPS) stations have been used to infer the coseismic slip history of this event ( 1–4 ). The earthquake permanently changed the mass distribution within Earth and has conse- quently perturbed the motion of Earth-orbiting satellites by an amount that is measurable from the ranging instrument onboard the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites ( 5 ). GRACE consists of two identical satellites co- orbiting at low altitude ( È 450 km), separated by 220 km and linked with the K-band micro- wave ranging (KBR) satellite-to-satellite tracking (SST) system ( 6 ). Minute changes in the distance between the GRACE satellites (measured by KBR) reflect mass anomalies within the Earth system and manifest as changes in Earth _ s gravity field ( 5 ). Some of the better known time-variable gravity signals observed by the GRACE satellites, including tides (of the solid earth, ocean, atmo- sphere, and pole) and atmospheric and ocean barotropic mass variations, have been removed from GRACE observations using a priori models ( 5–7 ). Although the solid-earth mass transport induced by earthquakes is abrupt and permanent, climate-related signals such as hydrological ( 8–10 ) and ocean mass fluxes ( 11 ) are periodic, with primarily seasonal and possibly interannual or longer time scales. In order to eliminate signals other than those associated with the earthquake, we took differences of the gravity solutions (from the same months in various years), using measurements obtained before and after the earthquake. By doing so, we suppressed the normally dominant gravity variations driven by seasonal changes. By using multiple months of data, we can further enhance the tectonic signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) in the GRACE gravity solutions. Our method is based on the direct use of KBR SST data to measure the range changes between the centers of mass of the GRACE satellites and accelerometer and attitude data to measure and remove the effect of nongravita- tional forces acting on the satellites. We used the energy conservation principle and regional gravity field inversion to enhance the spatial and temporal resolutions ( 12 , 13 ). The technique has been demonstrated by successful analysis of various geophysical phenomena, including hydrological variations in the Amazon ( 10 ) and ocean tides underneath the Antarctica ice shelves ( 14 ), with improved spatial (500 km) and temporal (5 days) resolutions. The data for the first 6 months of the years 2003, 2004, and 2005 were used, except for January and June 2003 and the last half of January 2004, during which there are no available data. The gravity changes in each year were computed using data from the available months (that is, February to May 2003 and January to June 2004 and 2005) with respect to a reference gravity model GGM01C ( 6 ) (Fig. 1, A to C). We find that (Fig. 1) (i) the gravity anomalies appearing along the coastal area of the Bay of Bengal and the east of Thailand exist in all years; (ii) the negative gravity anomalies are observed to be getting larger near the south of the Mekong River, Cambodia/Vietnam, every year; and (iii) the gravity anomalies appear north of the Sumatra Islands and Andaman Sea with a 30- m Gal peak-to-peak variation only in 2005. The gravity variation in 2004 with re- spect to 2003 (Fig. 1D) is insignificant, whereas the variation in 2005 with respect to 2003 or 2004 shows strong negatives in the Andaman Sea and positives along the west of the Sumatra, Nicobar, and Andaman Islands (Fig. 1, E and F), indicating the occurrence of a strong earthquake during 2004. The other dominant anomaly found south of the Mekong River implicates hydrolog- ic variations. The anomalies in all differenced pairs are negative, and the magnitude is larger in the 2-year differenced pair of 2005 and 2003 than in the 1-year differenced pairs (2005 and 2004 or 2004 and 2003). This implies negative interannual variation or mass decreasing every year, which could result from the droughts oc- curring during the same time period in southeast- ern Asia. To retain only the anomalies relevant to the earthquake, we filtered the average of two pairs, 2005/2003 and 2005/2004 (Fig. 2). The gravity anomalies outside a spherical cap cen- tered at the earthquake epicenter (3.5 - N, 96 - E), with a spherical radius of 7 - , were further filtered by downweighing the anomalies with a factor of inverse square of distance away from the edges of the spherical cap. We analyzed the GRACE gravity observations using a seismically derived dislocation model for the Sumatra-Andaman (26 December 2004) and the Nias (28 March 2005) earthquakes ( 15 ). The geometry (size, orientation, and location) of the fault planes is assumed to be known. Assuming an elastic half-space ( 16 , 17 ), the fault slip data were used to model the uplift and subsidence at the sea floor and at the Moho ( 18 ), where large density contrasts exist. The computed topography changes for both levels were used to predict the gravity changes at sea level (Fig. 3, A to C) E see the supporting online material (SOM) for the formalism of computing gravity changes due to vertical displacement at sea level . We then applied Gaussian smoothing to the computed gravity from the model ( 15 ), with averaging radii of 300 km in longitude and 200 km in latitude ( 19 ), to be commensurate with the spatial resolution of the GRACE observations. The larger positive gravity change (Fig. 3A) is due to the dominant up-warping of the hanging wall and the density contrast at the sea floor, which is three to four times larger than that at the Moho. The negative gravity change is due to the (smaller) down-warping of the hanging wall (Fig. 3A) and subsidence of the foot wall at the Moho (Fig. 3B). The resulting largely positive gravity change due to vertical displacement (Fig. 3C) cannot fully explain the negative components also seen in the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). There must be another mechanism causing the large negative signals in the GRACE observation. We considered the internal mass redistribution (density change caused by dilatation of a compressible Earth) due to the earthquake. With the strains computed using the seismic model, we calculated the density changes by multiplying the sum of the normal strains (that is, the divergence of the displacement field) by the density at the corresponding depth. Assuming that there are two distinct densities for the crust and the mantle (fig. S1), the respective gravity changes due to density changes in the crust and the mantle were calculated separately (SOM). The negative gravity change in the crust (Fig. 3D) is primarily due to the expansion caused by horizontal (mostly in the east-west direction) and vertical motions of the sea floor. The gravity change caused by the compression in the mantle (Fig. 3E) is due to down-warping of the subsurface. The total gravity effect of the density change (Fig. 3F) shows negatives around the faults and smaller positives over the surrounding regions and variations along the strike. The combined effects of uplift and subsidence and dilatation and compression from the seismically driven model (Fig. 4) yield excellent agreement (a correlation coefficient of 0.85) with the GRACE observations (Fig. 2). In addition to our regional inversion of the overflight GRACE tracking data (Figs. 1 and 2), we also processed monthly mean GRACE gravity estimates expressed in terms of spherical harmonic (SH) coefficients ( 5 ). The global SH spectra are, however, less effective for modeling the regional gravity signals (such as earthquakes) because the spatially limited signals spread across the entire SH spectra ( 10 ). The GRACE SH coefficients have a good SNR limited only to low degree coefficients (that is, a long-wavelength spatial scale larger than 1300 km). Therefore, we applied Gaussian smoothing with an averaging radius of 800 km to reduce errors in higher degree coefficients ( 5 ). The months from February to May in 2003, 2004, and 2005 were used because they are available in common. We computed 4-month mean differences in various years, similar to Fig. 1. One, 2004–2003, (fig. S2A) shows nothing notable except the negative gravity change over the Mekong River; however, the pairs 2005–2003 (fig. S2B) and 2005– 2004 (fig. S2C) show significant negative anomalies around the Malay Peninsula, Thailand. The magnitude of the anomaly is larger for the 2-year differenced pair (fig. S2B), and the location of the peak in ...

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... Determining the structure of the Earth's gravity field and its temporal change is one of the main scientific objectives for modern geodesy (Davis et al., 2004;Plag and Pearlman, 2009;Zhou et al., 2020). Moreover, it provides essential geospatial information for solving contemporary challenges in geoscience, such as resource, environment monitoring and disaster mitigation (Tapley et al., 2004a;Han et al., 2006;Velicogna and Wahr, 2013). In the 21st century, the development of Earth's gravity field models has made substantial progress, largely due to successful gravity satellite exploration missions (Zhou et al., 2017). ...
... A number of gravity change studies following large shallow earthquakes have discussed two dominant effects causing perturbations in gravity, namely large-scale crustal density changes and vertical uplift or subsidence at density interfaces within the solid Earth and its surface (e.g., Okubo, 1992 for a half space modeling; Sun & Okubo, 1993;Pollitz, 1997a for a spherical Earth modeling). Those studies identified crustal deformation associated with volumetric change over an extensive region from the satellite observations (e.g., Han et al., 2006;Heki & Matsuo, 2010;Ogawa & Heki, 2007;Panet et al., 2007). They concluded that the total changes in surface gravity at large spatial scales (as detectable by satellites) are dominated by volumetric dilatation, as observed repeatedly for shallow thrust and strike-slip events (e.g., Han et al., 2013). ...
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The main factors contributing to the occurrence of an earthquake are under the crust. Also; due to the lack of access to direct measurements of these factors and the parameters involved in the occurrence of an earthquake, the main goal of researchers is to study the earthquake occurrence through its precursors. Currently, monitoring and identifying some of these precursors are made possible by geomatics technologies. It is an undeniable fact that the behavioral variations of the precursors don’t follow a common pattern in all earthquakes. Also, the variations of the precursors show peculiar behaviors in each region. So, it seems infeasible to provide an accurate prediction based on the analysis of the behavioral variations of a single precursor. Unlike previous studies, this study doesn’t have a single-parametrical orientation toward an earthquake prediction process. Accordingly, this study aims to extract the trend of variations in crustal deformation anomalies and thermal anomalies before the earthquake to analyze them through an integrated process based on data mining methods. As a result, the tests of earthquake predictions for 17 cases have shown that the proposed method can make a reliable prediction of the probable time and magnitude range of oblique-thrust earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 5.5. Moreover, the proposed method has been able to accurately estimate the occurrence of the 26th November 2019 Albania earthquake (Mw = 6.4) as well as 21th September 2019 Albania earthquake (Mw = 5.6) before they happen.