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Classification of Inflation and Deflation Hedges

Classification of Inflation and Deflation Hedges

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With inflation rates remaining close to zero in all major developed economies for long periods of time, especially from 1998 - 2015, investors have become increasingly concerned about the potential effects of deflation on asset value. Negative inflation rates were observed between 1998 and 2009 in Hong Kong and Japan, and those economies faced seve...

Contexts in source publication

Context 1
... second predictive variable of the regression model provides additional information about the sensitivity of the nominal asset return to unexpected changes in consumer prices. Table 1 summarizes the abovementioned dependence of hedge characteristics on the regression coefficient value and direction of changes in consumer prices. ...
Context 2
... the null hypothesis can be rejected statistically, it will indicate that the i th investment is either a positive or negative hedge against expected inflation, depending on the sign of the estimated parameter (see Table 1). The second test evaluates the influence exerted by unexpected changes in consumer prices: ...
Context 3
... the null hypothesis can be rejected statistically, it will indicate that the i th investment is either a positive or a negative hedge against unexpected inflation, depending on the sign of the estimated parameter (see Table 1). ...

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Citations

... Residential property prices and stock prices are also found to behave differently in other countries, as reported in Bahmani-Oskooee and Ghodsi (2018),Fleischmann et al. (2019), and so on and so forth. ...
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We investigate the profitability of momentum strategies in the market for single-family homes by using 10 city-level Case-Shiller home price indices (HPIs). Compared with the momentum strategies based on the Fama-French 10-industry portfolios of stocks, the profits from the single-family HPIs are more statistically significant, less sensitive to the construction methods of the momentum strategies and more correlated across different strategies. The momentum profits from the HPIs tend to be counter-cyclical, unlike the pro-cyclical behaviors of the momentum profits from stock portfolios. The differences in the momentum profits with HPIs and stocks indicate that a momentum strategy with the former can help diversify the risk in the asset portfolio of investors.
... Robiyanto (2018) use both the ordinary least square (OLS) and quantile regression (QREG) approaches to explore the function of gold as a safe haven and hedge for Sharia stocks in Indonesia and finds that gold can indeed serve as both a hedge and safe haven asset. Fleischmann et al. (2019) use an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model to examine whether real estate, stocks and bonds offer a deflation hedge for Hong Kong and Japan from 1986 to 2009 and find that real estate is not an effective hedge against deflation. Adrangi et al. (2004) examine the relationship between equity and mortgage REIT returns and inflation. ...
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