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Actual vs. predicted [ARIMA and LSTM] for 15 min ahead prediction

Actual vs. predicted [ARIMA and LSTM] for 15 min ahead prediction

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Accurate prediction of traffic makes it easy to make decisions of travelling route, travelling schedule, travel vehicles choice for a commuter. The surveillance systems, GPS system installed on road way are the abundant source of traffic data. This huge amount of traffic data and increased computing power definitely motivates researchers to analyze...

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... for Forecast Result Three criteria are commonly used to evaluate the performance of traffic forecast model. The criteria that are commonly used for evaluating the performance of forecast model of traffic are 1. Mean absolute error (MAE) 2. Root mean square error (RMSE) 3. Mean relative error (MRE) In this preliminary study the Fig. 1 clearly shows that the traffic on Saturday and Sunday is comparatively lower than other 5 days of the week. We have performed data cleaning step before experiment. The parameter considered are date, flow, time period, average journey time, average speed of vehicle, data quality, link length and day of week. ...
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... graphs show the performance of LSTM versus ARIMA and regression. Figure 1 simply shows Actual versus Predicted traffic flow for 15 min ahead using ARIMA and LSTM. MAE for LSTM is 11.004434 where as for ARIMA is 13.476508. ...

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Citations

... LASSO regression is used to find the correlations between the pattern features and select the most critical features that are linearly related to the response. Lonare and Bhramaramba (2020) integrated the spatiotemporal correlation and compared linear regression model and LSTM model in traffic speed prediction. According to the results, LSTM model provided better performance. ...
... All these models used statistical relationships of the data to improve the accuracy of traffic forecasting. With enhanced computing power, storage and availability of huge training data acquired from the data warehouse, nonparametric methods are proven to give better results than parametric methods [8][9][10][11] . The major work among them is in Refs. ...
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